The potential unemployment owing to automation and improvements in ICTs is likely to be more drastic than earlier rounds of automation. Will people be redundant at the workplace? Is this likely to lead to unemployment and strife? Or can we use this opportunity to explore more art, travel, have more fun, in short be more human?
Wellness, in today’s context, is much more than diagnosing and curing poor health or diseases. It is a multidimensional and holistic state of being that is conscious, self-directed, and constantly evolving. Trying to make sense of wellness in a world of rising healthcare costs, shortage of wellness professionals, and technological advances in everything from computing to genetics, gives rise to several pertinent questions.
-- Will there still be any universally recognized concept of wellness? Or will it be hyper personalized to each individual's environments, genetics, and experiences?
-- What will wellness look and feel like in the future? What will be the new indicators of wellness?
-- As people experience enhanced wellness, will they become more self-aware and adopt additional experiences that will promote wellness?
-- Will we be more in control of our well-being? Or will we stop caring in a world where every aspect of our person is closely and constantly monitored and serviced?
-- As roles in the wellness ecosystem shift, what are the new well-being authorities and environments that will emerge?
-- Will big data around wellness help create better early warning systems about potential pandemics? Or will there be a drive to protect and hide our personal wellness and risk profiles online?
-- Will we ever be 'unwell', given all the new technologies to enhance (as well as prevent) wellness that will be in place?
-- Will we prefer being looked after and treated by robotic care givers/surgeons?
We attempt to answer these questions through 10 current trends we have identified, which will impact the course of wellness in the future.
Download the Wellness in 2050 Infographic - http://www.slideshare.net/UXTrendspotting/wellness-in-2050
How will food and everything related to food will look like in future? What role will technology and innovation play in making people more conscious about what they eat?
What will be the food ecosystem of the future?
The current generation is getting health conscious and the same has been started reflecting in all the new age innovations.
In this report by the Institute of Customer Experience (ICE), we explore how the ecosystem around food will evolve and what are the key signals around this ecosystem.
Waste management is an important part of any sustainable future. In this report we present our views on Sustainable Futures for India from a waste management perspective.
-- We research and present our findings on why waste management is becoming increasingly important for India.
-- Who are the stakeholders involved in waste management? What happens to our waste - lifecycle of our waste.
-- We explore global trends in waste management and present innovative uses of waste from around the world.
-- Finally, we come down to the biggest challenges that India faces in waste management.
-- We identify two key pressing issues and propose innovative solutions for the same.
In 2013, the Institute of Customer Experience designed a board game called “Trip to the Future” which was used to conduct “playshops” for children to get insights into how children’s minds work in visualizing the future.
Three years later, at Kala Ghoda Arts Festival 2016 held in Mumbai, we had an opportunity to conduct two similar playshops—one for an NGO called Akanksha and the second for the KGAF 2016 festival children.
The responses we received were intriguing and actually point to current trends in 2016, indicating the directions in which technology will evolve in the future.
Response-Trend that emerged:
1. Practical space exploration
2. Beneficial intelligence
3. Maker movement (3D printing)
4. Space-saving automated tech
5. Cognitive Internet of Things
6. Immersive screen display
7. Augmented knowledge (and immortality)
World population is growing continuously with more people living on the Earth than ever before. In 2007, humanity’s total ecological footprint was estimated at 1.5 planet Earths. Resources are becoming increasingly valuable as the Earth is the only source till date and others planets are still to become a viable source of these resources.
Projections estimate that we will need the equivalent of two planets by 2030 to meet our annual demands. The only way, we can reduce our footprint is by producing more with less, and consuming better, wiser and less - the way forward is better and 'frugal' choices!
In this report, we present the trends that encourage better choices; trends in Frugal Innovations, 'Jugaad' and Do-It-Yourself are explored to see how and where we can make our better choices for the future.
We conclude our report with 3 thought provoking future scenarios.
As various smart home technology companies spring up in India, in this report, we explore how smart homes can benefit the elderly by listing the cultural dimensions of the elderly in India and taking a closer look at a model for elderly care in Norway for inspiration.
Derived from the Latin term for “enslaved by” or “bound to”, Addictions primarily lead to cravings, dependence and uncontrollable use with negative consequences. Today, Addictions are being recognized as chronic diseases that alter both the structure as well as the function of the brain. With the evolution of humans and technology, addictions and compulsions are undergoing a constant metamorphosis and ave evolved from substance, behavioral and impulse controlled disorders to territories around Social media, electronics and applied science.
Wellness, in today’s context, is much more than diagnosing and curing poor health or diseases. It is a multidimensional and holistic state of being that is conscious, self-directed, and constantly evolving. Trying to make sense of wellness in a world of rising healthcare costs, shortage of wellness professionals, and technological advances in everything from computing to genetics, gives rise to several pertinent questions.
-- Will there still be any universally recognized concept of wellness? Or will it be hyper personalized to each individual's environments, genetics, and experiences?
-- What will wellness look and feel like in the future? What will be the new indicators of wellness?
-- As people experience enhanced wellness, will they become more self-aware and adopt additional experiences that will promote wellness?
-- Will we be more in control of our well-being? Or will we stop caring in a world where every aspect of our person is closely and constantly monitored and serviced?
-- As roles in the wellness ecosystem shift, what are the new well-being authorities and environments that will emerge?
-- Will big data around wellness help create better early warning systems about potential pandemics? Or will there be a drive to protect and hide our personal wellness and risk profiles online?
-- Will we ever be 'unwell', given all the new technologies to enhance (as well as prevent) wellness that will be in place?
-- Will we prefer being looked after and treated by robotic care givers/surgeons?
We attempt to answer these questions through 10 current trends we have identified, which will impact the course of wellness in the future.
Download the Wellness in 2050 Infographic - http://www.slideshare.net/UXTrendspotting/wellness-in-2050
How will food and everything related to food will look like in future? What role will technology and innovation play in making people more conscious about what they eat?
What will be the food ecosystem of the future?
The current generation is getting health conscious and the same has been started reflecting in all the new age innovations.
In this report by the Institute of Customer Experience (ICE), we explore how the ecosystem around food will evolve and what are the key signals around this ecosystem.
Waste management is an important part of any sustainable future. In this report we present our views on Sustainable Futures for India from a waste management perspective.
-- We research and present our findings on why waste management is becoming increasingly important for India.
-- Who are the stakeholders involved in waste management? What happens to our waste - lifecycle of our waste.
-- We explore global trends in waste management and present innovative uses of waste from around the world.
-- Finally, we come down to the biggest challenges that India faces in waste management.
-- We identify two key pressing issues and propose innovative solutions for the same.
In 2013, the Institute of Customer Experience designed a board game called “Trip to the Future” which was used to conduct “playshops” for children to get insights into how children’s minds work in visualizing the future.
Three years later, at Kala Ghoda Arts Festival 2016 held in Mumbai, we had an opportunity to conduct two similar playshops—one for an NGO called Akanksha and the second for the KGAF 2016 festival children.
The responses we received were intriguing and actually point to current trends in 2016, indicating the directions in which technology will evolve in the future.
Response-Trend that emerged:
1. Practical space exploration
2. Beneficial intelligence
3. Maker movement (3D printing)
4. Space-saving automated tech
5. Cognitive Internet of Things
6. Immersive screen display
7. Augmented knowledge (and immortality)
World population is growing continuously with more people living on the Earth than ever before. In 2007, humanity’s total ecological footprint was estimated at 1.5 planet Earths. Resources are becoming increasingly valuable as the Earth is the only source till date and others planets are still to become a viable source of these resources.
Projections estimate that we will need the equivalent of two planets by 2030 to meet our annual demands. The only way, we can reduce our footprint is by producing more with less, and consuming better, wiser and less - the way forward is better and 'frugal' choices!
In this report, we present the trends that encourage better choices; trends in Frugal Innovations, 'Jugaad' and Do-It-Yourself are explored to see how and where we can make our better choices for the future.
We conclude our report with 3 thought provoking future scenarios.
As various smart home technology companies spring up in India, in this report, we explore how smart homes can benefit the elderly by listing the cultural dimensions of the elderly in India and taking a closer look at a model for elderly care in Norway for inspiration.
Derived from the Latin term for “enslaved by” or “bound to”, Addictions primarily lead to cravings, dependence and uncontrollable use with negative consequences. Today, Addictions are being recognized as chronic diseases that alter both the structure as well as the function of the brain. With the evolution of humans and technology, addictions and compulsions are undergoing a constant metamorphosis and ave evolved from substance, behavioral and impulse controlled disorders to territories around Social media, electronics and applied science.
We come across dozens of design breakthroughs and technological innovations daily--so many that it's easy to miss important trends emerging in the chaos all around us and not connect the dots to see the BIG picture.
Here at The Institute for Customer Experience (ICE), we understand the business and design value of capturing the right trend insights at the right moment. We observe and analyse trends in design, technology, and business, and keep our fingers on the pulse of the global zeitgeist. In this series of trendbriefs, we bring you alerts on what's trending in our world and their possible impact on our future.
Subscription to ICE Breakers - http://eepurl.com/S1ZFL
What is the future of transportation? We at the Institute of Customer Experience share our insights by analyzing the trends in technological advancements in transportation, which you can find on our Facebook page: facebook.com/UXTrendspotting
Transhumanism is the belief or theory that the human race can evolve beyond its current physical and mental limitations by means of science and technology. The more we explored this subject, the more we got fascinated to see how people are riding on the current era technologies to surpass the capabilities of human body. If the current explorations in transhumanism are anything to go by, then, we believe the future will be very exciting!
In this report we explore the various technologies, people involved and the advancements made in the field of Transhumanism. We would love to hear your feedback, comments and suggestions. Please mail us at ice@humanfactors.com
Reinventing Survival: A Keynote from ETech 2019Jane McGonigal
Can we invent the future and save the world, just by playing a game? Find out how forecasting games like the Institute for the Future's SUPERSTRUCT can help us harness participation bandwidth, solve hard problems, give more people work that actually matters, and turn us into Super Empowered Hopeful Individuals who are capable of re-inventing society,
Happy New Year 2039! What our world will look like 25 years from now.Natalia Hatalska
Future will be awesome. Future is so unpredictable. Future is scary. We don’t know what the next few years will bring let alone next decades. But I challenged the world’s greatest minds to deal with that daunting task and gathered their opinions to show us the future in the next 25 years. In 12 different aspects of our lives.
The future makers will tell you about it. Today.
Why we need radically new stories to create the planetary culture we want to live and work in...
Presentation inspired by http://futureofworking.org
Full Article at http://philiphorvath.com/thoughts-on-narratives-for-the-future-of-working/
Primer19 NYC - Envisioning Our Demise to Prevent Our Extinction - Future of F...Anthony D. Paul
The design thinking process is increasingly criticized for conservatism and maintaining status quo, despite its popularization for collaborative change-making. At all levels, we admittedly craft idealistic user journeys, brand experiences, and business outcomes as design objectives, sidestepping the realistic challenges we, our products, and our users will face. As interface designers, we actively ignore the impending disruption of human work by automation, bots, and artificial intelligence. As organizational problem solvers, our scope of vision rarely zooms out to observe economies and markets shifting, dying, and being born. As dreamers and innovators, we focus on the value-creating dream for our creations, and have a hard time imagining their risk of weaponization or malpractice
GE Transportation’s, futurism research team is a steward for the railroad and adjacent industries who've been "doing it this way" for centuries. Their customers, and their departments, alienate one other as competitors, matching projects and resources to small-picture pain points that woefully and naively leave the surrounding global and industry changes unaddressed-- changes that, if left ignored, will result in the extinction of their market, workforce, and relevance. Anthony’s team shapes politically-charged partnerships, aligned industry visions, and intentional roadmaps into the future.
In this talk, Anthony will give the audience a renewed understanding of the importance of design context and a fresh look at how a healthy culture of the apocalypse can sharpen your design strategies, rally your stakeholders and decision-makers, and drive bigger picture innovation that trickles actionable guidance down to day-to-day projects.
Attendees will walk away with tangible activities for integrating speculative doomsday design fiction into their individual decisions and co-creative conversations.
Designing Multi-Partner Transformations from Democratized Polytopias Into Act...Anthony D. Paul
As designers and foresight practitioners, we're pretty good at storytelling utopias, ideal experiences, provocative future products, and other end states. However, our partner teams rarely know how to take these ideas from philosophical discussion into productive next steps—especially when our R&D cycles have long tails into "value" metrics that would give us permission to create any of our ideas. How do we answer, "What now?" How do we design interim products that lay foundation for a grander vision? Or, even more aspirational, how do we steer the actions of multiple teams and industries toward a unified, democratized vision…aligning today's competitors into tomorrow's business partners? how do we utilize our role from the inside, to realize real, tangible, and positive change on the outside?
In this workshop, I'll share our Future of Freight Vision Timeline—how it was created, the value it provides in design discovery, and how we maintain it recursively. Our activities will use the tool and its associated worksheets to identify long-horizon product opportunities and speculative business models, describe those who will be both positively and negatively impacted by our offering, set a strategic roadmap into this vision including dependencies (cultural, financial, technological, etc.), and finally to identify near-term, actionable, partner-specific product opportunities. This talk is tailored to the designer, product strategist, or any other contributor within a large, reluctant organization or industry, who (like me) struggles to operationalize speculative futures and make a tangible difference that results in positive change.
Product Dev w/ NASA, Final PresentationJosh Stroud
Spring 2013: I was a member of a New Product Development team partnering with the NASA Ames Research center to apply cutting-edge robotics technology for eldercare in the home. Go space or go home.
Product Dev with NASA @ UC Berkeley, Final ReportJosh Stroud
Spring 2013: I was a member of a New Product Development team partnering with the NASA Ames Research center to apply cutting-edge robotics technology for eldercare in the home. Go space or go home.
On March 11, 2011 Todd Marks presented The Singularity is Here at SXSW Interactive.
The topic of Singularity is heating up as more people discuss what will become of the human race when computers exceed our intelligence. This presentation explores several theories about the future of mankind and points out how the technology leading us there is already HERE.
“The Singularity is Near” is a book and movie written by futurist and prominent Singularitarian, Ray Kurzweil. It is a documentary with a B-line drama where Ray’s digital alter ego Ramona sets off on a quest to pass the Turing Test. Passing this test signifies the day computers can “think”, which came close to occurring a few years ago and is not far off.
Learn what milestones we have already reached toward Singularity and what technologies present and future are leading us there. We will explore Location Based Services, Augmented Reality, Bio-Feedback and Smart Agents. We will analyze current trends in Bio-Technology, Nano-Technology, Computing and Robotics and discuss the possibility of Digital Immortality.
Slides from my talk at the Oceanus Aquaconference #AQUA with detail slides from the LOOP platform, UBU Experiential Leadership Training modules, Use Case descriptions & More...
Part I - Describes where we are today and some emerging trends - conclusions! - We are deeply embedded in systems of systems, some work well while many do not, which is a deep cause for concern.
Part II – We look at the future in terms of how systems might change going forward - we could have utopia or dystopia – Do expect an increase in complexity and systems becoming messier? Will there be acceleration and shorter time-frames within which to act.
Part III - Analysis of why there is dysfunction and how we might shape the future. We look at the evolution of systems and try to understand why they became complex and dysfunctional. Why have we not been able to fix them and what design principles can we use in future design.
Part IV - This part would talk about the fact that we need these systems to work and how we can design and innovate better systems.
The Technological Singularity - Prepare for the Disruption of Human IntelligenceManuel Koelman
As technological development progresses at an exponential rate a central question comes up: Will machines at some point be more intelligent than humans? If so, when will that "Singularity" happen?
I held this talk at execfintech.com in Frankfurt on March 8th 2016.
Will we stop packing a water bottle and collect air on-the-go? Will personal straws be the next big thing to ensure we get access to drinking water? Will ancient desalination techniques be our saving grace and enable us to engineer the future of water? Or will the ocean start cleaning itself?
The diversity of South Africa is on one hand a treasure that should be preserved and people still do recognize its importance and carry forward their cultural values. On the other hand, the very same diversity is a challenge for policy makers, marketers, advertisers, government and other institutions that want to reach out to greater masses and those who look for scalability.
However, the “mobile first” generation is the answer. The mobile revolution has introduced the people in South Africa to the power of social media, enabled them to open and operate bank accounts, helped them level their healthcare needs and now it is being used in many more avenues with greater possibilities.
This report aggregates the current trends to showcase the possibilities. Further on, it challenges the designers and innovators by planting the Brainstorming Seeds that will grow on to become possibilities of tomorrow—to build a more prosperous and vibrant Rainbow Nation!
We come across dozens of design breakthroughs and technological innovations daily--so many that it's easy to miss important trends emerging in the chaos all around us and not connect the dots to see the BIG picture.
Here at The Institute for Customer Experience (ICE), we understand the business and design value of capturing the right trend insights at the right moment. We observe and analyse trends in design, technology, and business, and keep our fingers on the pulse of the global zeitgeist. In this series of trendbriefs, we bring you alerts on what's trending in our world and their possible impact on our future.
Subscription to ICE Breakers - http://eepurl.com/S1ZFL
What is the future of transportation? We at the Institute of Customer Experience share our insights by analyzing the trends in technological advancements in transportation, which you can find on our Facebook page: facebook.com/UXTrendspotting
Transhumanism is the belief or theory that the human race can evolve beyond its current physical and mental limitations by means of science and technology. The more we explored this subject, the more we got fascinated to see how people are riding on the current era technologies to surpass the capabilities of human body. If the current explorations in transhumanism are anything to go by, then, we believe the future will be very exciting!
In this report we explore the various technologies, people involved and the advancements made in the field of Transhumanism. We would love to hear your feedback, comments and suggestions. Please mail us at ice@humanfactors.com
Reinventing Survival: A Keynote from ETech 2019Jane McGonigal
Can we invent the future and save the world, just by playing a game? Find out how forecasting games like the Institute for the Future's SUPERSTRUCT can help us harness participation bandwidth, solve hard problems, give more people work that actually matters, and turn us into Super Empowered Hopeful Individuals who are capable of re-inventing society,
Happy New Year 2039! What our world will look like 25 years from now.Natalia Hatalska
Future will be awesome. Future is so unpredictable. Future is scary. We don’t know what the next few years will bring let alone next decades. But I challenged the world’s greatest minds to deal with that daunting task and gathered their opinions to show us the future in the next 25 years. In 12 different aspects of our lives.
The future makers will tell you about it. Today.
Why we need radically new stories to create the planetary culture we want to live and work in...
Presentation inspired by http://futureofworking.org
Full Article at http://philiphorvath.com/thoughts-on-narratives-for-the-future-of-working/
Primer19 NYC - Envisioning Our Demise to Prevent Our Extinction - Future of F...Anthony D. Paul
The design thinking process is increasingly criticized for conservatism and maintaining status quo, despite its popularization for collaborative change-making. At all levels, we admittedly craft idealistic user journeys, brand experiences, and business outcomes as design objectives, sidestepping the realistic challenges we, our products, and our users will face. As interface designers, we actively ignore the impending disruption of human work by automation, bots, and artificial intelligence. As organizational problem solvers, our scope of vision rarely zooms out to observe economies and markets shifting, dying, and being born. As dreamers and innovators, we focus on the value-creating dream for our creations, and have a hard time imagining their risk of weaponization or malpractice
GE Transportation’s, futurism research team is a steward for the railroad and adjacent industries who've been "doing it this way" for centuries. Their customers, and their departments, alienate one other as competitors, matching projects and resources to small-picture pain points that woefully and naively leave the surrounding global and industry changes unaddressed-- changes that, if left ignored, will result in the extinction of their market, workforce, and relevance. Anthony’s team shapes politically-charged partnerships, aligned industry visions, and intentional roadmaps into the future.
In this talk, Anthony will give the audience a renewed understanding of the importance of design context and a fresh look at how a healthy culture of the apocalypse can sharpen your design strategies, rally your stakeholders and decision-makers, and drive bigger picture innovation that trickles actionable guidance down to day-to-day projects.
Attendees will walk away with tangible activities for integrating speculative doomsday design fiction into their individual decisions and co-creative conversations.
Designing Multi-Partner Transformations from Democratized Polytopias Into Act...Anthony D. Paul
As designers and foresight practitioners, we're pretty good at storytelling utopias, ideal experiences, provocative future products, and other end states. However, our partner teams rarely know how to take these ideas from philosophical discussion into productive next steps—especially when our R&D cycles have long tails into "value" metrics that would give us permission to create any of our ideas. How do we answer, "What now?" How do we design interim products that lay foundation for a grander vision? Or, even more aspirational, how do we steer the actions of multiple teams and industries toward a unified, democratized vision…aligning today's competitors into tomorrow's business partners? how do we utilize our role from the inside, to realize real, tangible, and positive change on the outside?
In this workshop, I'll share our Future of Freight Vision Timeline—how it was created, the value it provides in design discovery, and how we maintain it recursively. Our activities will use the tool and its associated worksheets to identify long-horizon product opportunities and speculative business models, describe those who will be both positively and negatively impacted by our offering, set a strategic roadmap into this vision including dependencies (cultural, financial, technological, etc.), and finally to identify near-term, actionable, partner-specific product opportunities. This talk is tailored to the designer, product strategist, or any other contributor within a large, reluctant organization or industry, who (like me) struggles to operationalize speculative futures and make a tangible difference that results in positive change.
Product Dev w/ NASA, Final PresentationJosh Stroud
Spring 2013: I was a member of a New Product Development team partnering with the NASA Ames Research center to apply cutting-edge robotics technology for eldercare in the home. Go space or go home.
Product Dev with NASA @ UC Berkeley, Final ReportJosh Stroud
Spring 2013: I was a member of a New Product Development team partnering with the NASA Ames Research center to apply cutting-edge robotics technology for eldercare in the home. Go space or go home.
On March 11, 2011 Todd Marks presented The Singularity is Here at SXSW Interactive.
The topic of Singularity is heating up as more people discuss what will become of the human race when computers exceed our intelligence. This presentation explores several theories about the future of mankind and points out how the technology leading us there is already HERE.
“The Singularity is Near” is a book and movie written by futurist and prominent Singularitarian, Ray Kurzweil. It is a documentary with a B-line drama where Ray’s digital alter ego Ramona sets off on a quest to pass the Turing Test. Passing this test signifies the day computers can “think”, which came close to occurring a few years ago and is not far off.
Learn what milestones we have already reached toward Singularity and what technologies present and future are leading us there. We will explore Location Based Services, Augmented Reality, Bio-Feedback and Smart Agents. We will analyze current trends in Bio-Technology, Nano-Technology, Computing and Robotics and discuss the possibility of Digital Immortality.
Slides from my talk at the Oceanus Aquaconference #AQUA with detail slides from the LOOP platform, UBU Experiential Leadership Training modules, Use Case descriptions & More...
Part I - Describes where we are today and some emerging trends - conclusions! - We are deeply embedded in systems of systems, some work well while many do not, which is a deep cause for concern.
Part II – We look at the future in terms of how systems might change going forward - we could have utopia or dystopia – Do expect an increase in complexity and systems becoming messier? Will there be acceleration and shorter time-frames within which to act.
Part III - Analysis of why there is dysfunction and how we might shape the future. We look at the evolution of systems and try to understand why they became complex and dysfunctional. Why have we not been able to fix them and what design principles can we use in future design.
Part IV - This part would talk about the fact that we need these systems to work and how we can design and innovate better systems.
The Technological Singularity - Prepare for the Disruption of Human IntelligenceManuel Koelman
As technological development progresses at an exponential rate a central question comes up: Will machines at some point be more intelligent than humans? If so, when will that "Singularity" happen?
I held this talk at execfintech.com in Frankfurt on March 8th 2016.
Will we stop packing a water bottle and collect air on-the-go? Will personal straws be the next big thing to ensure we get access to drinking water? Will ancient desalination techniques be our saving grace and enable us to engineer the future of water? Or will the ocean start cleaning itself?
The diversity of South Africa is on one hand a treasure that should be preserved and people still do recognize its importance and carry forward their cultural values. On the other hand, the very same diversity is a challenge for policy makers, marketers, advertisers, government and other institutions that want to reach out to greater masses and those who look for scalability.
However, the “mobile first” generation is the answer. The mobile revolution has introduced the people in South Africa to the power of social media, enabled them to open and operate bank accounts, helped them level their healthcare needs and now it is being used in many more avenues with greater possibilities.
This report aggregates the current trends to showcase the possibilities. Further on, it challenges the designers and innovators by planting the Brainstorming Seeds that will grow on to become possibilities of tomorrow—to build a more prosperous and vibrant Rainbow Nation!
Lifelogging is the practice of tracking personal data generated by our own behavioral activities in continuous digital streams. As it is slowly becoming mainstream, it raises a lot of intriguing questions and thoughts.
Lifelogging and self-tracking are altering the Futures of:
Memory,
Remembering,
Forgetting,
Storytelling,
Privacy,
Law enforcement,
Governance,
Bodies,
and our very Humanness.
This report explores these questions, thoughts and futures.
Love is a very complex emotion to decode. Or is it?
Machines and their relationship with humans have been explored in great detail. However the impact of machines on the future of love and the connection between technology and emotions seem more pertinent now than before.
As part of Institute of Customer Experience, we are constantly on the look out for opportunities that give us an insight into the future of things. We wanted to explore the concept of “beginner’s mind” which is said to be an attitude of openness, eagerness and lack of preconceptions and realized that it was the mind of a child that we wanted a peek into.
We ideated and devised a unique way of getting children to give us their insights about what they think will happen in the future. The result was a board game called “The Trip to the Future” which we used to conduct “playshops”. This method got us very exciting responses. We would love to take you through the journey.
How will the future of politics and political campaigning look like? Who will be the heroes in the future political battles? Where will the battle take place - on the streets or in the virtual world? What weapons will the future political parties use?
In this report, the Institute of Customer Experience raises many of such questions and presents possible scenarios that might become a reality given the present trends.
Is our current materialistic lifestyle sustainable for our planet? How long can we continue to do things that make us feel good, but that are harmful and not sustainable for our environment? We need to start seeing our interests and nature’s interest as one and the same.
At, HFI’s Institute of Customer Experience (ICE) we believe that there is hope to turn things around from leading a materialistic lifestyle that is indifferent to the planet to leading a sustainable lifestyle; and we have that hope in people. So we went out searching for people from around the world who do live a sustainable lifestyle, and it shows in their work and in their personal lives each day. They are ordinary people, but with a refreshing new mindset, which makes them extraordinary. They are cleaning up our planet, making it a better place to live in, and empathizing with nature all along the way. They mobilize others into action and have drawn many to their work.
We at ICE believe that these people are the “Trendsetters for Sustainable Lifestyles”. Through the eight photobooks that follow we want to showcase their work to the world for the simple and elegant ways in which they have made a difference to the planet as individuals. They are doing their bit and as a result have positively affected communities and the environment around them. We hope they inspire our readers the way that they have inspired us. If we can learn from sustainability being their state of mind and from their work, we can make changes in our lives and fields of work to start living in a manner that will keep Earth a beautiful and habitable place for us for a very long time to come.
By the year 2050, the world’s population is projected to swell to 9 billion. 80% of us will be urban-dwellers. Demand from developing countries for a wider range of foods is on the rise. Experts estimate that we will need new farmland larger than the size of Brazil to produce enough to meet the demands of growing populations.
Food security therefore represents one of the single biggest challenges of our future, with environmental, economic, political, and lifestyle implications.
How will we fix our broken and unsustainable systems of industrial food production to serve the needs of an ever-growing planet? In what ways will we rethink food via new practices and new technologies? This latest report from the Institute for Customer Experience considers how we are re-imagining our food practices in order to project anew our collective, global future.
Incarceration has historically been about punishment but recently the trend has shifted towards reform, schooling, and an entrepreneurial spirit. In this report, we look at trends in prison experiences, technology, as well as edtech and entrepreneurship in prisons. Prisons are increasingly enabling inmates to get a vocational training, degrees, and even healing. No longer are inmates looked upon as "less than human" but there is a curiosity about their minds and views that are pro-reform so that they integrate well into society on their release. We then forecast three scenarios on mass incarceration in 2040.
Taking off our from our ICE breaker on Child's Play of the Future, here we present five futuristic scenarios of a highly intelligent and self-adapting toy and its interactions with a child.
The first in a series on the Future of Money. Sponsored by The Institute of Customer Experience (ICE).
Today’s world increasingly challenges us to think differently about value and money. Almost everyone agrees that reputation is important. But how important is it? Does it have an impact on your finances? What is the currency of reputation and is it transferable or exchangeable?
Link - http://ice.humanfactors.com/money.html
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...gerogepatton
Artificial intelligence is the highest form of human development and sound outcome of human conscience
till the date. But the very development seems to be devastating to human future ahead and has been heavily
projected accordingly. More than it may be to decay and destroy the world, the negative and chilling views
on the prospective damages of AI that scholars are percolating to public are costing many times on
humans; and that is plunging human mindset into irreparable pessimism and negativity. This article
explores the way that AI is being depressingly explored and investigated to browbeat public. In addition,
this write-up highlights the serious lacuna, which the advanced academic engagement has still grossly
failed to fill up, of a great deal in course of mainstreaming views and discussions for noble cause of human
development and societal well-belling . Further, it unmasks the dire need in making constructive,
encouraging and optimistic mind-set building academic pursuits and writings then makes an alarming call
to the all prominent scholars to engage with due compliance of it .
AN OBNOXIOUS LACUNA ON DISCOURSES AND COUNTER DISCOURSES OVER ARTIFICIAL INTE...ijaia
Artificial intelligence is the highest form of human development and sound outcome of human conscience
till the date. But the very development seems to be devastating to human future ahead and has been heavily
projected accordingly. More than it may be to decay and destroy the world, the negative and chilling views
on the prospective damages of AI that scholars are percolating to public are costing many times on
humans; and that is plunging human mindset into irreparable pessimism and negativity. This article
explores the way that AI is being depressingly explored and investigated to browbeat public. In addition,
this write-up highlights the serious lacuna, which the advanced academic engagement has still grossly
failed to fill up, of a great deal in course of mainstreaming views and discussions for noble cause of human
development and societal well-belling . Further, it unmasks the dire need in making constructive,
encouraging and optimistic mind-set building academic pursuits and writings then makes an alarming call
to the all prominent scholars to engage with due compliance of it .
The following document was elaborated by InPeople Consulting & UpsideRisks as a consecuence of the participation at the Conference Exponential Finance and their own research.
Future of work An initial perspective by Andrew Curry of The Futures CompanyFuture Agenda
An initial perspective on the future of work by Andrew Curry of The Futures Company. This is the starting point for the global future agenda discussions taking place through 2015 as part of the futureagenda2.0 programme. www.futureagenda.org
Work is universal. But, how, why, where and when we work has never been so open to individual interpretation. The certainties of the past have been replaced by ambiguity, questions and the steady hum of technology. Now, in a groundbreaking research project covering 21 global companies and more than 200 executives, Lynda Gratton is making sense of the future of work. In this exclusive article she provides a preview of the real world of 21st century work.
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The present study begins by surveying, broadly supports the assertion that technology, trade, sustainability and
development-led globalization is the path in the Chinese context not adequately paid to attention except with very few
original or significant contributions. This research examines the existing pattern in the areas of trade, technology,
investment with a view to locate in the development context in the era of globalization. This study also investigates
theories of trade, technology movement under capitalist paradigm along with the empirical one. The survey broadly
supports the frequent, through usually undocumented, assertion that China’s socialist market paradigm was not
different from the capitalist mode of production as tended to neglect and to which they had made few if any original or
significant contributions. Alongside, this study used secondary data and analyzed, where the results confirmed that
foreign direct investment (FDI), trade and economic growth indicated the presence of long-run sustainable equilibrium
relationship between them but created income inequality gap widely among people. It is, thus, important for
policymakers to remove obstacles and improve the respective absorptive capacity in order to reap maximized positive
inclusive development with equality basis.
This work can only be an actual and general overview which contains possibly staying facts in Quantum Computing. A detailed, deep research is for the author not possible but treasury Search Items and Key Words besides significant topics are interesting results by their writing down. Details can be found by every reader for himself by using Search Machines. Besides the value of scientifically Orientation is imporatnt.
This month, at the Institute of Customer Experience, we explore trends that are converting the world into a shopping interface. Here are the top six trend categories covered in this report.
1. Immersive Experiences: Take a closer look at how VR and AR are changing the shopping experience.
2. Intelligence Explosion with Human Touch: Explore examples of artificial intelligence in assisting our purchases.
3. Data Sync: Check out how research about customers’ previous shopping data enhances anticipatory shopping.
4. Fluidity Among Channels: View examples of seamless integration of social media, QVC, live shows and online shopping.
5. Post-Money Economy: As shopping enters the post-money economy see how cashless, cardless purchases and even staffless retail stores are trending.
6. Automated Consumerism: Check out technologies that are enabling restocking and various ways of looking for the best deals on products.
This report looks at the disruptive potential of automated vehicles: their impact on commuters, car companies, vehicle design and urban planning. It warns of the potential dangers of their unbridled proliferation and prerequisites to their effective deployment.
The Technological Singularity is a future point in time when technology will rapidly improve itself to surpass human intelligence, changing human life as we know it. In this report, the following topics are covered:
What is the Singularity?
How is it predicted?
What are its implications?
What does it mean for human evolution?
What when it happens: Utopia or doom?
Beginnings of the Singularity
Questions that arise
We come across dozens of design breakthroughs and technological innovations daily--so many that it's easy to miss important trends emerging in the chaos all around us and not connect the dots to see the BIG picture.
Here at The Institute for Customer Experience (ICE), we understand the business and design value of capturing the right trend insights at the right moment. We observe and analyse trends in design, technology, and business, and keep our fingers on the pulse of the global zeitgeist. In this series of trendbriefs, we bring you alerts on what's trending in our world and their possible impact on our future.
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What if, in the future…
• “We”go on to live for a long time, and become our own future? There are no children?
• We forget what a “child”is?
• Children are no longer ‘born’ but manufactured? A child becomes a technological marvel?
• All the beauty inside (and outside) can be fabricated, can be artificially modified,and can be quantified?
Our latest report explores the future of children. We look forward to hear your comments, views and opinions.
The history of sports probably extends as far back as the existence of people as active beings. The history of sports informs a great deal about social changes and about the nature of sport itself.
In the current era, as technology changes at an exponential rate, the social impacts are varied and deep rooted. This implies a great deal of change in sports too.
As we move into the era of robotics, machines, transhumans, cyborgs, prosthetics and exoskeletons, the future of sports seems even more disrupted. And it raises questions at different levels.
On the ground level, how will sports and sports-viewing experiences evolve? On the next level, how will the sportsperson of the future look like? And on a much higher level, we raise questions on ethics in sports, sportsmanship, and team spirit.
As an initiative for International Women's day (March 8), we thought of compiling brief statements on gender futures as each one of us visualizes and envisions these.
Have you ever wondered about the lost city of Atlantis and its profound connection to our modern world? Ruth Elisabeth Hancock’s podcast, “Visions of Atlantis,” delves deep into this intriguing topic in a captivating conversation with Michael Le Flem, author of the enlightening book titled “Visions of Atlantis.” This podcast episode offers a thought-provoking blend of historical inquiry, esoteric wisdom, and contemporary reflections. Let’s embark on a journey of discovery as we unpack the mysteries of ancient civilizations and their relevance to our present existence.
Is your favorite ring slipping and sliding on your finger? You're not alone. Must Read this Guide on What To Do If Your Ring Is Too Big as shared by the experts of Andrews Jewelers.
Care Instructions for Activewear & Swim Suits.pdfsundazesurf80
SunDaze Surf offers top swimwear tips: choose high-quality, UV-protective fabrics to shield your skin. Opt for secure fits that withstand waves and active movement. Bright colors enhance visibility, while adjustable straps ensure comfort. Prioritize styles with good support, like racerbacks or underwire tops, for active beach days. Always rinse swimwear after use to maintain fabric integrity.
Johnny Depp Long Hair: A Signature Look Through the Yearsgreendigital
Johnny Depp, synonymous with eclectic roles and unparalleled acting prowess. has also been a significant figure in fashion and style. Johnny Depp long hair is a distinctive trademark among the various elements that define his unique persona. This article delves into the evolution, impact. and cultural significance of Johnny Depp long hair. exploring how it has contributed to his iconic status.
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Introduction
Johnny Depp is an actor known for his chameleon-like ability to transform into a wide range of characters. from the eccentric Captain Jack Sparrow in "Pirates of the Caribbean" to the introspective Edward Scissorhands. His long hair is one constant throughout his evolving roles and public appearances. Johnny Depp long hair is not a style choice but a significant aspect of his identity. contributing to his allure and mystique. This article explores the journey and significance of Johnny Depp long hair. highlighting how it has become integral to his brand.
The Early Years: A Budding Star with Signature Locks
1980s: The Rise of a Young Heartthrob
Johnny Depp's journey in Hollywood began in the 1980s. with his breakout role in the television series "21 Jump Street." During this time, his hair was short, but it was already clear that Depp had a penchant for unique and edgy styles. By the decade's end, Depp started experimenting with longer hair. setting the stage for a lifelong signature.
1990s: From Heartthrob to Icon
The 1990s were transformative for Johnny Depp his career and personal style. Films like "Edward Scissorhands" (1990) and "Benny & Joon" (1993) saw Depp sporting various hair lengths and styles. But, his long, unkempt hair in "What's Eating Gilbert Grape" (1993) began to draw significant attention. This period marked the beginning of Johnny Depp long hair. which became a defining feature of his image.
The Iconic Roles: Hair as a Character Element
Edward Scissorhands (1990)
In "Edward Scissorhands," Johnny Depp's character had a wild and mane that complemented his ethereal and misunderstood persona. This role showcased how long hair Johnny Depp could enhance a character's depth and mystery.
Captain Jack Sparrow: The Pirate with Flowing Locks
One of Johnny Depp's iconic roles is Captain Jack Sparrow from the "Pirates of the Caribbean" series. Sparrow's long, dreadlocked hair symbolised his rebellious and unpredictable nature. The character's look, complete with beads and trinkets woven into his hair. was a collaboration between Depp and the film's costume designers. This style became iconic and influenced fashion trends and Halloween costumes worldwide.
Other Memorable Characters
Depp's long hair has also been featured in other roles, such as Ichabod Crane in "Sleepy Hollow" (1999). and Roux in "Chocolat" (2000). In these films, his hair added a layer of authenticity and depth to his characters. proving that Johnny Depp with long hair is more than a style—it's a storytelling tool.
Off-Screen Influenc
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From Stress to Success How Oakland's Corporate Wellness Programs are Cultivat...Kitchen on Fire
Discover how Oakland's innovative corporate wellness initiatives are transforming workplace culture, nurturing the well-being of employees, and fostering a thriving environment. From comprehensive mental health support to flexible work arrangements and holistic wellness workshops, these programs are empowering individuals to navigate stress effectively, leading to increased productivity, satisfaction, and overall success.
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2. SWEDEN’S SIX HOUR WORKDAY
This year Sweden started on a little experiment that could have a
dramatic impact on our world. The way we work, play, live, love,
everything. In a bid to increase productivity and increase happiness,
the country is experimenting with a 6 hour work day.
Responses to this move range from dismissive “Not for us” to
skeptical “Will it work?” to militant “What are they doing to the
moral fabric of society?”
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
3. This report explores the before and after of such an idea, the
context and implications. It will look at why this is an idea whose
time has come and what kind of steps others who seek to emulate it
(and even Sweden itself) will need to keep in mind in such an effort.
To understand the move will require us to go back a few hundred
years to the industrial revolution, grapple with notions of work and
its role in society. How this history is in conflict with the new
realities of today’s technology and the information economy. And
arrive at a sense of how we would like to shape the future..
THE FUTURE OF WORK
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
4. WHAT IS
WORK?
The Fordist
paradigm
Alternative
paradigms
UBERFICATION
OF PROCESSES
Changing
Work processes
Company side
(Uber)
People side
(FOSS, Wikipedia)
RECASTING
OF WORK
Implications?
from Need to Choice
New Systems
21 Hours
Universal Basic
Income
THE FUTURE OF WORK
TOMORROW’S
TECHNOLOGY
ICT, Computing,
AI, Robotics
Automation of
Blue Collar and
White Collar Jobs
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
5. Our story begins about a hundred years ago.
While the industrial revolution of the 18th and
19th centuries made drastic changes to the way
work was carried out, it is in the early part of the
20th century that we see ideas of FW Taylor’s
Scientific Management get entrenched at the
workplace. And more so in the factories of Henry
Ford than anywhere else.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
6. FORD’S 8 HOUR WORKDAY
In 1925, Henry Ford, in a bid to improve
productivity and also reduce employee turnover,
absenteeism and the accident rate, cut the
working day to 8 hours, and the work week to 5
days. And doubled the wages, while at it.
Other manufacturers were forced to follow suit—
leading to the institutionalization of the 40-hour
work week.
It led to improvement in workers’ health and
productivity. Their rising affluence allowed them
to actually buy the cars (and other goods) they
were making.
Thus was created the consumption-driven American economic system, which has now found resonance and adoption
throughout the world.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
7. The Fordist paradigm of
work is first and
foremost productive
Work creates or increases value.
It shapes raw material,
cultivates crops, dams rivers to
produce electricity. It moves
things to where they are useful.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
8. Work as a
means to an End
Work is a means to earn money
or status or other benefits. Work
may be mindless, boring,
painful, dangerous, but can be
and is done since it pays for a
living or allows for other
benefits.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
9. Work, in this paradigm, is also a means of
keeping people consuming and the economy
running
Work. Earn. Consume.
Economy grows, Earnings rise. Consume more. People's worth is
measured by the market value of their labor.
Any threat to this order of things is quickly dispensed with. Policy
is modified and tweaked and bent over backwards to ensure this
system is strengthened and unthreatened. People are kept in this
state of work in order to keep the economy running.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
10. But work can be more than a means to an end.
Work can be a pleasure in itself. It may be seen as a duty, or simply a
part of being part of a society.
In his book The Craftsman, Richard Sennet describes people who are driven more often by the
pleasure of their craft than the reward at the end. Another popular example is the Slow Food
movement which highlights the pleasure in making food and talking rather than food quickly
prepared for consumption.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
11. CURIOSITY / SELF EXPRESSION
Work might be the pursuit of a
curiosity or a mode of self expression.
And decoupled from monetary reward,
a means of building character.
“Character is formed primarily by a man's work.
And work, properly conducted in conditions of
human dignity and freedom, blesses those who
do it.”
EF Schumacher
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
12. WORK AS PLAY *
Similar to the idea of Sennet’s
Craftsman, but as opposed to the
seriousness of the craftsman’s
exploration, play is activity for it’s
own sake.
The best examples are of course children who are
very serious about their play. But some adults, the
most creative ones are also often ‘playing’ a great
deal.
* Not to be confused with the modern sports
professional where in fact Play as Work.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
13. WORK AS SOCIABILITY
Work may also function out of a
simple sense of society. eg When an
accident victim is taken to hospital
by people nearby. When a parent
bathes a child. When we help out.
That we look out for each other as humans, that
we feed each other, clean each other may not be
classified as work, but is far more important and
valuable and significant.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
14. WHAT IS
WORK?
The Fordist
paradigm
Alternative
paradigms
UBERFICATION
OF PROCESSES
Changing
Work processes
Company side
(Uber)
People side
(FOSS, Wikipedia)
RECASTING
OF WORK
Implications?
from Need to Choice
New Systems
21 Hours
Universal Basic
Income
THE FUTURE OF WORK
TOMORROW’S
TECHNOLOGY
ICT, Computing,
AI, Robotics
Automation of
Blue Collar and
White Collar Jobs
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
15. Two important developments of the last 30 years are
recasting our notions of work.
One, the advancement of IT enables truly
automatic tasks and processes.
Two, the Internet of Things. As more and more
of these machines, robots and people get
connected to and communicate with each other,
it enables coordination and targeted delivery at a
planetary scale.
The combination of these two allow for hitherto unimagined
possibilities.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
16. Computer programs can write
newspaper articles and even stories of
a passable quality.
Self Driving Cars: Activity which was
considered extremely complex and
therefore human now being automated.
Robotic melon pickers, that can judge
ripeness of fruit by smell. Similarly robots
to spray pesticide and fertilizers; Robot
shearers tested in Australia.
Complex Supply Chains integrated
and managed by software
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
17. Earlier, manual labour was being replaced by machines,
Today’s computers and robots can supplant white-collar work
and complex activities like diagnosis, trading and writing.
Where they don’t completely do the work, they can perform
large chunks of tasks, drastically reducing the number of
people required overall.
Deloitte expects cognitive technologies embedded in products
to provide “intelligent” behavior, natural interfaces (such
speech and visual), and automation. The impact of product
applications on workers ranges from none (robotic toys or
intelligent thermostats), to marginal (robotic vacuum cleaners
may reduce hours demanded of house cleaners), to
significant.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
18. “People are racing
against the machine in
media and music,
finance and
manufacturing, retailing
and trade, in short, in
every industry. And
losing.”
Erik Brynjolfsson
The advent of an increasingly
machine run world is one which
humans will finding increasingly
difficult to cope with.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
19. The use of technology and automation is only speeding up at a rapid
pace. Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne, in ‘The Future of
Employment: How Susceptible Are Jobs to Computerization’ expect
about half of present jobs to be automated in the next two decades (by
2035). Gartner forecasts that “one in three jobs will be taken by software
or robots by 2025.”
ABB’s CEO expects European unemployment expected to rise from the
present 10 to 20 or 25 percent in the next decade. The Wall Street
Journal expects corporate re-engineering to eliminate between 1 million
and 2.5 million jobs a year across the entire U.S. economy, for the
foreseeable future.
90% 2.5milOf Jobs replaced by smart
machines by 2030
Jobs eliminated in the US every year
by corporate re-engineering
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
20. WHAT IS
WORK?
The Fordist
paradigm
Alternative
paradigms
UBERFICATION
OF PROCESSES
Changing
Work processes
Company side
(Uber)
People side
(FOSS, Wikipedia)
RECASTING
OF WORK
Implications?
from Need to Choice
New Systems
21 Hours
Universal Basic
Income
THE FUTURE OF WORK
TOMORROW’S
TECHNOLOGY
ICT, Computing,
AI, Robotics
Automation of
Blue Collar and
White Collar Jobs
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
21. The Internet enables
Innovative means of
work organization:
It is possible now to
break up work into
tiny tasks that can be
performed by people
in different parts of
the world.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
22. The Free and Open Source Software
movement, which gave us Linux and
Wikipedia, is one of the most
significant examples of a distributed
model of work enabled by the internet.
People across the world connected by the Internet,
are able to collaborate and contribute to the creation
of something that is useful for millions.
The work is done free or occasionally paid a
honorarium, it is done at programmers own time, as
much as they wish to or can contribute.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
23. This gives people a lot more flexibility, allowing
different work-life-play balances and dynamics.
People (both companies and individuals) looking to
more ethical ways of being and functioning (green,
sharing, voluntarism/open source models, sourcing
of materials and labor etc) are enabled by this
network.
These then also allow us to imagine alternatives to
the big business model of work.. For instance, the
Exchange economies that were popular during the
aftermath of the 2008 crisis.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
24. Companies too are
outsourcing more and more
work to contractors. Like
Uber’s ‘independent
contractors’ who are
summoned and used as and
when required, and are kept
on standby forever
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
25. While Uber itself will likely shift to completely
automated vehicles and not need drivers, more
and more organizations will adopt an Uber-like
reliance on contract and on-demand workers.
This will result in and be facilitated by an
increasingly large self-employed workforce. Self-
employed will thus likely be the largest section in
the workforce of the future.
This leads to the emergence of micro-task
economies. So "workers" cease to exist in the
same big masses. Even turn invisible.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
26. WHAT IS
WORK?
The Fordist
paradigm
Alternative
paradigms
UBERFICATION
OF PROCESSES
Changing
Work processes
Company side
(Uber)
People side
(FOSS, Wikipedia)
RECASTING
OF WORK
Implications?
from Need to Choice
New Systems
21 Hours
Universal Basic
Income
THE FUTURE OF WORK
TOMORROW’S
TECHNOLOGY
ICT, Computing,
AI, Robotics
Automation of
Blue Collar and
White Collar Jobs
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
27. Imagine an economy in which 1 percent own the machines,
10 per cent manage their operation, and 90 per cent either
do the remaining scraps of ‘unautomatable’ work, or are
unemployed.
This may seem like a proposition that the 1 percent find appealing, but the very
economics that got us to this point where this can happen tells you otherwise.
“The reality is that the free market economy, as we understand it today, simply
cannot work without a viable labor market. Jobs are the primary mechanism
through which income—and, therefore, purchasing power—is distributed to the
people who consume everything the economy produces. If at some point,
machines are likely to permanently take over a great deal of the work now
performed by human beings, then that will be a threat to the very foundation
of our economic system.
This is not something that will just work itself out. This is something that we
need to begin thinking about.”
Martin Ford
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
28. Simply put, machines don’t buy things.
And people who don’t have jobs or income
will not be able to buy. So what happens to
the economy?
Will it lead to a global crash, depression, swabs of wealth
destroyed across the globe?
More important, what happens to people?
The impoverishment to large sections of the globe, entire
countries going bankrupt; The possibility of civil wars or
simple old fashioned genocide that can be ordered by those
in charge of the machines make people especially
vulnerable.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
29. FROM needing to work
TO choosing to work
It is also possible to envision a happier world. Where people don’t
abandon their vocation for soul sapping means of livelihood. But
rather one where they indulge in what they most truly wish to do,
their calling.
Like John Lanchester suggests, “The robots liberate most of humanity
from work: we don’t have to work in factories or go down mines or
clean toilets or drive long-distance lorries, but we can choreograph
and weave and garden and tell stories and invent things.”
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
30. Once we do away with the need to work, it is possible that we
choose work. Work of the character-building kind. The kind that is
fulfilling and truly human. The play kind. The social kind.
‘Worklessness’, then, is reframed from a problem to solve to an
opportunity to discover what is most truly human about us.
Or in the words of Ernst Fischer:
“As machines become more and more efficient and perfect, so it
will become clear that imperfection is the greatness of man.”
It is in this context that Sweden’s move begins to make sense.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
31. This will require a
paradigm shift in the
way we think about
the world, the
economy, our notions
of work and play, our
education system, our
infrastructure,
everything.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
32. A NEW EDUCATION SYSTEM
To begin with, something as elementary as our
education system. The bulk of the present
system creates workers for factories, and
managers for them.
The future will require more liberal arts, more
pure science, more explorers. It will have space
for people without a formal education , trained
in the world, on farms, in communities,
through travel, through exploring curiosity like
people, used to in the past.
Large scale reform of the education system will
be the first ask of this new world.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
33. NEW MODELS OF WORK ORGANIZATION
We will also need to update our policies around
employee relations and organizational structures. We
would do well to consider seriously proposals like the 21
hour work week.
Paul Mason adds that the transition is not just about
economics. It will have to be a human transition. Our
roles as consumers, lovers, communicators are as
important to this as our role at work.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
34. NEW ECONOMIC PARADIGMS
We will need to move out of the present neo-liberal
paradigm and tend towards more socialist principles like
Universal Basic Income.
What it will allow is the creation of a security that
allows people to pursue things they would rather, than
be forced to do things they do not like. Allowing a much
freer flowering of creativity, exploration and if one were
to be a little optimistic, a little more happiness.
Let us look at two interesting suggestions mooted in the
recent past.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
35. 21 HOUR WORK WEEK
This proposal comes from the New Economic Foundation, a think tank
based in the UK.
NEF suggests that shifting from the current default of the 40 hour work
week to a 21 hour week could help to address a range of urgent,
interlinked problems: overwork, unemployment, over-consumption, high
carbon emissions, low well-being, entrenched inequalities, and the lack
of time to live sustainably, to care for each other, and simply to enjoy life.
The logic of industrial time is out of step with today’s conditions, where
instant communications and mobile technologies bring new risks and
pressures, as well as opportunities. The challenge is to break the power
of the old industrial clock without adding new pressures, and to free up
time to live sustainable lives.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
36. 21 HOUR WORK WEEK
This move would offer several benefits:
Increased social justice and well-being. A 21-hour ‘normal’ working
week could help distribute paid work more evenly across the
population, reducing ill-being associated with unemployment, long
working hours and too little control over time.
More sustainable habits: Work pressures of today make it necessary to
use a number of ‘time saving’ devices, technologies, and habits.
Similarly, the pressure of the work-week ends up making us consume
on weekends, creating an unsustainable ecological situation.
Improving gender relations: It becomes possible to share childcare
equally between two partners
Break the habit of living to work, working to earn, and earning to
consume.
The Swedish experiment is a step in this direction.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
37. UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME
But to make any of these earlier proposals feasible or even thinkable,
requires a guarantee of the basics: housing, food, healthcare. We’ll have
to begin by guaranteeing the trio to the entire population. People can
(and will) work for more, but they also will not be compelled any longer
to do things (like David Graeber calls them, bullshit jobs) in order to live.
A basic income will free up people to pursue what they really love.
A two year pilot is to happen in Finland starting next year. 100,000 Finns
could get up to 1,000 euros a month. For this, they will not need to work
or prove they're in poverty. They will simply get a fixed amount to do
with what they will.
Cities in the Netherlands and Canada are also planning pilots with
Universal Basic Income.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
38. UNIVERSAL BASIC INCOME
There are several challenges to introducing Universal Basic Income.
Many governments have such lean budgets that they can’t even try
doing this. Besides the cultural resistance against giving away free money
to people for doing nothing would be huge.
It is important to consider the idea not in the context of our current
economy, but in a context British economist Paul Mason calls
Postcapitalist. Mason explains how capitalism isn't as socially productive
as it's traditionally been. In fact, the 2008 crisis would point to the
opposite. One can also see that the nature of the Information Economy
(based on zero marginal cost) is radically different from the economics of
the industrial age that Capitalism is based on.
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
39. Sources:
Paul Mason PostCapitalism
Jeremy Rikin, The End of Work
Juliet B Schor, The Overworked American
Bertrand Russel, In Praise of Idleness
EF Schumacher, Small is Beautiful
Martin Ford, The Lights in the Tunnel
Sebastian de Grazia, Of Time Work and Leisure
Deloitte, Redesigning Work in an Era of Cognitive Technologies
New Economic Foundation, 21 Hours
http://dupress.com/articles/work-redesign-and-cognitive-technology/
fastcoexist http://www.fastcoexist.com/section/the-new-rules-of-work Anti-Work | 21 Hour Work-Week | Post-Work Economy |
Universal Basic Income
https://theanarchistlibrary.org/library/bob-black-the-abolition-of-work
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/jun/11/neoliberalism-hijacked-vocabulary
Images from:
commons.wikimedia.org
flickr.com
freeimages.com
pexels.com
pixabay.com
unsplash.com
ICE, All rights reserved, May 2, 2016
40. Pagewise Photo Credits:
1
2 http://www.loc.gov/pictures, pingnews
3 http://www.loc.gov/pictures, pingnews
4
5 ClkerFreeVectorImages
6 ClkerFreeVectorImages
7 US Dept of Agriculture
8 US Dept of Agriculture
9 Tim Gouw
10
11 Eddy Klaus
12 StockSnap
13 Wikimedia
14
15 BMW
16 kropekk_pl, Google
17 BMW
18 Amazon
19 kaboompics.com
20
21 Tim Gouw
22 ubuntu
23 StockSnap
24 Jim Jackson
25 Jim Jackson
26
27 Jim Jackson
28 Jim Jackson
29 Paul Proshin
30 Paul Proshin
31 Paul Proshin
32 cherylt23
33 Rainbow_Loom_und_Nadel
34 Tung Wong
35 Shanice Garcia
36 Shanice Garcia
37 Jesse Vermeulen
38 Jesse Vermeulen
39
40
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41. Interested in future trends and reports?
ice@humanfactors.com
facebook.com/uxtrendspotting
@UXTrendspotting
Author: ANAND VIJAYAN
Supervised by: DEEPA S REDDY