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Ramada Hotel Singapore October 1 & 2, 2014
#QUAL360
Organized by
#QUAL360
Ramada Hotel Singapore Oct 1 & 2, 2014
Platinum Sponsor Silver Sponsors
Association & Education Partners
Media Partners
The evolution of Qual research
And a few things to
consider on how to cope
….
Tyrone Almeida,
Director, Marketing & Insights, Kellogg Apac
How has the world Changed ?
• Technological
– Mobile, Connectivity, info access..
• Social
– Zero Privacy
– Interactive – Experiential
– Always on - Connected ..
– Data overload
• Economic
– more evolved needs,
– more fragmentation
– more discretionary items…
New Behaviors driven by …
New knowledge..
• Better appreciation of Cognitive biases,
irrationality…deep sub-conscious…
– Behavioral economics, Neurosciences
• Behavior = f (context, stimuli, subject..)
– Environments more complex now…..more behavioral
change due to context changes
– Chaos theory role of randomness….
New or more evolved
Needs & Behaviours + New understanding
New or more evolved ways of
Collecting, Analysing & Interpreting data
• Who is the Source of information
• Provide the insights
• Target of the analysis and research investigation
• What are the specific information needs
• Areas to focus / probe on
How will you execute: Methods & Tools
In Qualitative research
WHO
Classical WHO : Representative (Rep) consumers/shoppers
• The average (rep) consumer is NOT very :
– Involved ( in your category)
– Sensitive to marginal changes in the proposition ( with only few exposures to the stimuli)
– Aware of their buying behavior/habits ( more sub-conscious )
– Articulate enough to explain
• No panel is truly rep – skews exist
– Sometimes better to intentionally bias
– Easier to read and adjust for bias
WHO
“All happy families are alike;
each unhappy family is unhappy
in its own way.”
― Leo Tolstoy, Anna Karenina
• Two ends of the spectrum on a few key variables
• Category usage, Influencing, Adoption….amongst others
• Higher degree of sensitivity to different stimuli
– E.g. Heavy users of the category – tend to be more sensitive to minute changes in the pdt
or price. Light users tend to be very sensitive to level of engagement required with the
category.
• Not about trying to shift one end group to another – it’s about better understanding
the in-betweens – the ‘rep’
• Consumers and their states are not static, they cycle through different stages , even
through a bell curve. Bell curves for different categories are inter-connected ..often
via tail-end consumers…
• Level of diversity in tail-end consumers. Richer insights per person vs rep
HeavyLight
Consumption
Vocal/InfluencerQuiet
Influencing
Early AdoptersLaggards
Adoption
Tail end consumers
WHO
The ‘experts’ & ‘catalysts’..
The Experts
To Learn about Talk to :
• Shoppers Retailers…
• Food Chefs, food bloggers, retailers
• Cosmetics Make up artists, models, glam writers
• Comm. reactions neuroscientists, ethnographers..
Sometimes a few consumer experts give you more than speaking to hordes of
consumers
The Catalysts
Those who help get the best out of your interactions with consumers
• To better interpret consumer articulations
– Semiotic specialists, anthropologists, linguistic experts
• To better interpret consumer behavior
– Behavioral psychologists, neuroscientists, client side experts
WHAT
Behavior = f (context, stimuli, subject..)
• Shopping environment, cultural and social
norms, information processing…
– Case study: A tale of 2 sachets
• More effort to understand the context and how
that drives behavior
• E.g. Demand spaces
– what, where , when , with whom, why
WHAT
W.r.t. purchase behavior, Consumers not highly
self aware / unable to articulate
• Shift from direct probing to Observe & Infer model –
the emergence of mini-experiments /hypothesize &
test approach
– E.g. Case of Price Vs Brand Vs Benefit
• Unstructured conversations – the consumer leads ,
you listen
HOW
• Technology
– Video streaming, Online panels, Social media, …
– More spontaneity , large samples, extended durations, anytime follow
on probes…
• Problem of data management, analysis
– Better context probing with mobile…
• Pampers, Food testing…
• Experiments
– linked to the Observe & Infer approach
– Games, Exercises, Tests…
HOW
the Convergence of Domains
Qual – Quant
• Layering
• Hybrid techniques
• Pull all existing knowledge
on a topic together into a
map
• A review of this knowledge
map is the starting point for
designing each subsequent
research
• Each new piece of research
will then add to the
knowledge map as it will
either : reinforce the story,
create contradictions or
open new dimensions
• New work creates new pieces of the knowledge map or sharpens existing
pieces i.e. builds and creates new knowledge layers around a topic
• Great tool for managing information, helps focus future research
Layering
Layering and extending Qual to Quant
• A novel application of Bayes’ Theorem
– expresses how a subjective degree of belief should rationally
change to account for new evidence
– How the degree of belief in a hypothesis based on 1 piece of
research should change based on prior research
E.g.: Packaging research on pink vs blue packs
• A few FGDs suggest most prefer pink because it’s
feminine.
• Prior research suggests that feminine traits are a key
driver of product choice + Your own knowledge suggest
that in general most consumers would consider pink
more feminine.
• You infer that the in population the pink package would
be more preferred.
Qual–Quant Hybrids
• Combining qual probing and depth for certain
areas with the scale and structure of a quant
research.
• Equity measurement – Relevance Tags®
www.relevance.pro
“A lot goes on in our minds that we're
not aware of. Most of what influences
what we say and do occurs below the
level of awareness”
- Gerald Zaltman
Professor, Harvard Business School & creator of the Z-met
probing technique
“we are far less rational in our decision
making than we think.... (however) our
irrational behaviors are neither random
nor senseless- they are systematic and
predictable”
- Dan Ariely
Author of
Predictably Irrational:
The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
HOW
the Convergence of Domains
• Neuro-testing
– with FGD debriefs
– With Z-met
– Better understand the role of
emotions
• Behavioral Economics
– Bandwagon, Anchoring, Mental
accounting, Zero cost, Compromise
effect
• :::::
Summary
ExperimentsTech driven
UnstructuredObs vs ClaimedContext
CatalystsTail -End Experts
Quant from Qual
Layering
Convergence
Quant with Qual
Dealing with the changes..
1. Innovation in research: Play your part.
Engage , Push and Challenge your
vendor partners
2. The old and new often don’t talk to
each other. Push our vendors to
integrate emerging techniques with
the good aspects of the old..
3. Act like a venture capitalist. Break-
throughs come with failure. …Keep 10-
20% of your budget for piloting &
refining new stuff.
#QUAL360
Ramada Hotel Singapore Oct 1 & 2, 2014
Platinum Sponsor Silver Sponsors
Association & Education Partners
Media Partners
Ramada Hotel Singapore October 1 & 2, 2014
#QUAL360
Organized by

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The evolution of Qual research - Kellogg

  • 1. Ramada Hotel Singapore October 1 & 2, 2014 #QUAL360 Organized by
  • 2. #QUAL360 Ramada Hotel Singapore Oct 1 & 2, 2014 Platinum Sponsor Silver Sponsors Association & Education Partners Media Partners
  • 3. The evolution of Qual research And a few things to consider on how to cope …. Tyrone Almeida, Director, Marketing & Insights, Kellogg Apac
  • 4. How has the world Changed ?
  • 5. • Technological – Mobile, Connectivity, info access.. • Social – Zero Privacy – Interactive – Experiential – Always on - Connected .. – Data overload • Economic – more evolved needs, – more fragmentation – more discretionary items… New Behaviors driven by …
  • 6. New knowledge.. • Better appreciation of Cognitive biases, irrationality…deep sub-conscious… – Behavioral economics, Neurosciences • Behavior = f (context, stimuli, subject..) – Environments more complex now…..more behavioral change due to context changes – Chaos theory role of randomness….
  • 7. New or more evolved Needs & Behaviours + New understanding New or more evolved ways of Collecting, Analysing & Interpreting data
  • 8. • Who is the Source of information • Provide the insights • Target of the analysis and research investigation • What are the specific information needs • Areas to focus / probe on How will you execute: Methods & Tools In Qualitative research
  • 9. WHO
  • 10. Classical WHO : Representative (Rep) consumers/shoppers • The average (rep) consumer is NOT very : – Involved ( in your category) – Sensitive to marginal changes in the proposition ( with only few exposures to the stimuli) – Aware of their buying behavior/habits ( more sub-conscious ) – Articulate enough to explain • No panel is truly rep – skews exist – Sometimes better to intentionally bias – Easier to read and adjust for bias WHO
  • 11. “All happy families are alike; each unhappy family is unhappy in its own way.” ― Leo Tolstoy, Anna Karenina
  • 12. • Two ends of the spectrum on a few key variables • Category usage, Influencing, Adoption….amongst others • Higher degree of sensitivity to different stimuli – E.g. Heavy users of the category – tend to be more sensitive to minute changes in the pdt or price. Light users tend to be very sensitive to level of engagement required with the category. • Not about trying to shift one end group to another – it’s about better understanding the in-betweens – the ‘rep’ • Consumers and their states are not static, they cycle through different stages , even through a bell curve. Bell curves for different categories are inter-connected ..often via tail-end consumers… • Level of diversity in tail-end consumers. Richer insights per person vs rep HeavyLight Consumption Vocal/InfluencerQuiet Influencing Early AdoptersLaggards Adoption Tail end consumers
  • 13. WHO
  • 14. The ‘experts’ & ‘catalysts’.. The Experts To Learn about Talk to : • Shoppers Retailers… • Food Chefs, food bloggers, retailers • Cosmetics Make up artists, models, glam writers • Comm. reactions neuroscientists, ethnographers.. Sometimes a few consumer experts give you more than speaking to hordes of consumers The Catalysts Those who help get the best out of your interactions with consumers • To better interpret consumer articulations – Semiotic specialists, anthropologists, linguistic experts • To better interpret consumer behavior – Behavioral psychologists, neuroscientists, client side experts
  • 15.
  • 16. WHAT Behavior = f (context, stimuli, subject..) • Shopping environment, cultural and social norms, information processing… – Case study: A tale of 2 sachets • More effort to understand the context and how that drives behavior • E.g. Demand spaces – what, where , when , with whom, why
  • 17. WHAT W.r.t. purchase behavior, Consumers not highly self aware / unable to articulate • Shift from direct probing to Observe & Infer model – the emergence of mini-experiments /hypothesize & test approach – E.g. Case of Price Vs Brand Vs Benefit • Unstructured conversations – the consumer leads , you listen
  • 18.
  • 19. HOW • Technology – Video streaming, Online panels, Social media, … – More spontaneity , large samples, extended durations, anytime follow on probes… • Problem of data management, analysis – Better context probing with mobile… • Pampers, Food testing… • Experiments – linked to the Observe & Infer approach – Games, Exercises, Tests…
  • 20. HOW the Convergence of Domains Qual – Quant • Layering • Hybrid techniques
  • 21. • Pull all existing knowledge on a topic together into a map • A review of this knowledge map is the starting point for designing each subsequent research • Each new piece of research will then add to the knowledge map as it will either : reinforce the story, create contradictions or open new dimensions • New work creates new pieces of the knowledge map or sharpens existing pieces i.e. builds and creates new knowledge layers around a topic • Great tool for managing information, helps focus future research Layering
  • 22. Layering and extending Qual to Quant • A novel application of Bayes’ Theorem – expresses how a subjective degree of belief should rationally change to account for new evidence – How the degree of belief in a hypothesis based on 1 piece of research should change based on prior research E.g.: Packaging research on pink vs blue packs • A few FGDs suggest most prefer pink because it’s feminine. • Prior research suggests that feminine traits are a key driver of product choice + Your own knowledge suggest that in general most consumers would consider pink more feminine. • You infer that the in population the pink package would be more preferred.
  • 23. Qual–Quant Hybrids • Combining qual probing and depth for certain areas with the scale and structure of a quant research. • Equity measurement – Relevance Tags® www.relevance.pro
  • 24. “A lot goes on in our minds that we're not aware of. Most of what influences what we say and do occurs below the level of awareness” - Gerald Zaltman Professor, Harvard Business School & creator of the Z-met probing technique
  • 25. “we are far less rational in our decision making than we think.... (however) our irrational behaviors are neither random nor senseless- they are systematic and predictable” - Dan Ariely Author of Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
  • 26. HOW the Convergence of Domains • Neuro-testing – with FGD debriefs – With Z-met – Better understand the role of emotions • Behavioral Economics – Bandwagon, Anchoring, Mental accounting, Zero cost, Compromise effect • :::::
  • 27. Summary ExperimentsTech driven UnstructuredObs vs ClaimedContext CatalystsTail -End Experts Quant from Qual Layering Convergence Quant with Qual
  • 28. Dealing with the changes.. 1. Innovation in research: Play your part. Engage , Push and Challenge your vendor partners 2. The old and new often don’t talk to each other. Push our vendors to integrate emerging techniques with the good aspects of the old.. 3. Act like a venture capitalist. Break- throughs come with failure. …Keep 10- 20% of your budget for piloting & refining new stuff.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. #QUAL360 Ramada Hotel Singapore Oct 1 & 2, 2014 Platinum Sponsor Silver Sponsors Association & Education Partners Media Partners
  • 32. Ramada Hotel Singapore October 1 & 2, 2014 #QUAL360 Organized by