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Regional Development
THE EAST AND CENTRAL AFRICA REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT.
Why Kenya remain the hegemony in the region?
IKIRIINYA CAROLINE KINYA:- STUDENT ID. 1701214777
BASHAR JABER:- STUDENT ID. 1701214776.
ZAKHIDOV MIRZOKHID:- STUDENT ID. 1701214793
EAST AFRICA
EAST AFRICA GDP
EAST AFRICA: FIRST NATURE
2ND NATURE
E.A TRANSPORT CORRIDOR
MAJOR TRANSPORT
CORRIDOR
Northern Corridor;
Transport corridor is the
Mombasa - Uganda
transport corridor that
passes through Nairobi and
much of the Northern Rift
Central Corridor
Dar es Salaam, the
corridor runs inland,
serving the Tanzania
interior capital Dodoma &
Mwanza. Rwanda &
Burundi and the eastern
part of the DRC
KENYA:- THINKING ECONOMICS IN 3 D;
Density, Distance, DivisionFACTS;
• Kenya is densely
populated as you
approach the railway
line. (Highway)
• Cities along the railway
line:
• Nairobi
• Mombasa
• Kisumu
All have international
airport.
The railway connect the
country to East Africa
Nairobi is the largest city;
• Agglomeration
Capital, Industries,
universities, Services
UNEP/UN-HABITAT
Why Kenya remain the hegemony in the region?
• Despite Kenya being a smaller country in term of size and population in
comparison to Tanzania that share same Indian Ocean resources Kenya has
always been economically ahead of Tanzania. Thus playing a pivot role in
East Africa and COMESA Region.
• Tanzania has stepped up its investment to catch up with the capitalist Kenya
Economy. However will it catch-up?
• Why it will be hard for Tanzania to catch up despite its location advantage?
KENYA DRIVERS
• INNOVATION;- Development Of Konza City, Education
• ENTREPRENUERSHIP; START-UPS: Youth Fund, Women Fund, Uwezo Fund. CDF
• CONNECTIVITY; Northern Corridor Development Project, LAPSSET Project.
I N N O V A T I O N A N D E N T R E P R E N U E R S H I P
此处添加详细文本描述,建议
与标题相关并符合
在此添加标题
Northern Corridor Infrastructure
AGGLOMERATION : KONZA TECHNOLOGY CITY ,
TWO RIVERS CENTER,NAIVASHA INDUSTRIAL PARK.
Jomo Kenyatta International Airport
– Jomo Kenyatta International — Kenya’s premier airport — is to receive multiple upgrades. A new greenfield
terminal designed by architects Pascall + Watson will be the largest in Africa, serving 20 million passengers a year,
at a cost of around $650 million. A second runway will be inaugurated in 2017
INTRODUCTION OF THE 3RD CORRIDOR
Lamu Port-South Sudan-
Ethiopia-Transport (LAPSSET)
Corridor
KEY ENGINE OF
DEVELOPMENT;
Reduction of transport cost;
Globalization and localization
7 KEY COMPONENTS OF LAPSSET
1. Lamu Port
2. Highways
3. Oil Pipelines
5. International Airports
6. Resort Cities
4. Railway
7. High Grand Falls Dam
Additional Components: Electricity
Transmission, Fiber Optic
Connectivity, Water Supply
INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC
1. The Inner Corridor:
Infrastructure Corridor
of 500m
• Road
• Railway
• Oil Pipeline
• Gas Pipelines
2. Economic Corridor
of 100Km wide
• 50Km on either sides of the
Corridor
• Special Investment Corridor for:
• Industrial Parks
• Mechanized Industrialized Farms
• Cities, Towns and Real Estate
Development
LAPSSET – A NEW CORRIDOR
LAMU PORT
3 AIRPORTS LAMU, ISIOLO,
LOKICHOKIO
HIGH SPEED RAILWAY
INTER-REGIONAL HIGHWAY
CITIES LAMU , ISIOLO, LAKE TURKANA
OIL PIPELINES
Airport at Lamu has an EIRR of 20.7%, which indicates economic viability.
Airports at Isiolo and Turkana, however, need rehabilitation and
maintenance of the existing airports. The maximum allowable costs are
assessed to maintain the cut-off EIRR of 12%
The Railway has overall Economic Internal Rate of
Return (EIRR) of 15.6% for all sections combined. The
project is considered feasible from the viewpoint of
national economy.
)
Resort cities at Lamu, Isiolo and Lake Turkana have
EIRR of 17.1%, 12.8% and 20.8 %, respectively.
LAPSSET
PROJECT
•Highway has an EIRR of 12.9% for the total
length of 920km from Lamu to Lokichar.
• Crude Oil Pipeline and Product Oil Pipeline have EIRR of 21.6% and 14.0%, respectively.;-
feasible from the viewpoint of national economy.
•Crude Oil Pipeline and Product Oil Pipeline are assumed under totally private investment.
The cut-off FIRR is set at 10%.
•The transportation charges: low transport considered to be financially viable.
East Africa Region Port Demand
deficit Curve to be filled by Lamu Port
Port Demand Integrating Lamu Port Capacity
East Africa Region Port
Demand deficit Curve to
be filled by Lamu Port
Mombasa Port Demand Versus Capacity
LAMU PORT
32 Deep Sea Berths at Manda Bay
• 400m key length and a draft of 18 m along 6 KM coastline;
• 1st 3 berths under construction by the Government of Kenya
• Remaining Berths to be concessioned to private sector
• Cost of 1st 3 Berths: Kshs. 48 Billion / USD 480 Million
• Kshs. 10 Billion allocated in the 2016/17 FY
• EIRR of 23.4%
Construction Status
• The first berth is expected to be completed by June 2018 while the
remaining two are to be completed by December 2020.
• LAPSSET Plaza (Port Headquarters) – 100%
• Port Police station – 100%
• Electric Power connection to the national grid – 100%
• Water supply to the port area – 100%
• Port Housing for management and security - 55%
HIGHWAYS
Interregional Highways from Lamu to Isiolo, Isiolo to Nakodok and Juba
(South Sudan), Isiolo to Moyale and to Addis Ababa (Ethiopia), and
Lamu to Garsen (Kenya)
Lamu – Garissa – Isiolo (537 Kms)
Detailed engineering designs complete, road ready for
financing/construction.
Isiolo – Lokichar – Nakodok (738 Kms)
World Bank funded 500 Million USD loan for the construction of the road
section between Lokichar and Nakodok. Construction to began in 2017
Isiolo – Marsabit – Moyale (505 Kms)
Works 100% Complete
Construction works on the One-Stop Border Post at Moyale is ongoing
and is expected to be commissioned in 2017 FY.
Lamu – Witu – Garsen (112 KMs)
Procurement of contractor completed. Construction commenced in
February 2017.
ISIOLO – MOYALE HIGHWAY
505KM CONSTRUCTION - 100% COMPLETE
INTERMEDIATE BENEFITS OF CONSTRUCTING
ISIOLO – MOYALE ROAD (505 km)
• Travel time between Moyale (Kenya/Ethiopia border town) and
Nairobi reduced from about 3 days (60 hours) down to 1/3 of a day (8
hours). Previously, bus travelers made two night stopovers during the
journey from Moyale to Nairobi. The first at Marsabit and the second
at Isiolo, arriving in Nairobi on the evening of the third day.
• Increased response by government institutions in the delivery of
public services including security
• Stabilization of security among communities residing along the road
has significantly increased. Inter-community conflicts have since
reduced.
• Increased commodity supply and economic trade into the region.
• Increased market access to goods and livestock produced from the
region.
RAILWAY
Interregional Standard Gauge Railway lines from Lamu to Isiolo, Isiolo to
Nakodok (Kenya/South Sudan border) and Juba(South Sudan), Isiolo to
Moyale (Kenya/Ethiopia border) and Addis Ababa (Ethiopia), and Nairobi to
Isiolo
• Preliminary Engineering and feasibility studies carried out on the
project lines.
• Bilateral agreement signed between Kenya and Ethiopia on the
development of the Railway.
• Costs for construction of LAPSSET Corridor Railway and procurement of
rolling stocks are estimated at approximately US$ 7,100 million in total.
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORTS
3 International Airports; one each at Lamu, Isiolo, and Lake Turkana
• Intermediary Airports under construction to build up air transport
and logistics business case for the International Airports.
• Preliminary facilities at Manda Airport in Lamu completed, including
a 2.3Km runway and terminal building.
• Construction of Parallel Taxiway and Apron planned to commence
immediately
• Construction of Control Tower to be commenced in 2016
• 1 Km runway completed in Isiolo. Construction works on the
terminal building ongoing with an estimated completion rate of
95%.
• Airport in Lodwar/Lake Turkana area to follow soon.
• EIRR of 20.7%
MANDA LAMU AIRPORT: IMPROVEMENT WORKS ON RUNWAY & TERMINAL BLDG
Cost Estimate
• The total construction cost of Oil refinery at Lamu with a capacity of 125,000 bpd is estimated at US$
2.814 billion. The refinery which comprises of crude and product tank farms, the primary and
secondary processing units, administrative service area and construction yard will sit on 53 ha of land.
Economic Evaluation
1) Oil refinery has an Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) of 21.6% which is above the socio-
economic discount rate of 12%. The Project is therefore considered economically feasible and
competitive.
2) The, Oil refinery Lamu will have access to imported crude oils through the Single Point Mooring
Buoy (SPMB) from the Middle East or any other offshore source. This will provide the necessary
flexibility in optimizing crude mix for the best refining economics.
3) The oil refinery will supply international market with oil including deficit arising from the proposed oil
refinery in Kabaale in Uganda and generate annual gross revenue estimate of close to US$ 664.5
million.
Financing Plan
1) The execution of this project is expected to be implemented by a private entity through a Merchant
Refinery Model which entails buying crude oil, refining and selling the products. Accordingly, a
concession to Build, Own and Operate will be considered.
OIL REFINERY
Kenya Perspective
NATURAL
RESOURCES;
•Oil
•Gas
•Underground
water
•Land
PERSPECTIVES IN ETHIOPIA
• Ethiopia undertaking the development of
Ethiopia Sugar Corporation at a cost of $2
Billion. Aiming to be the largest Sugar
producer in Africa
• Large Scale leather Industry in Ethiopia as
part of the livestock value chain. By 2030
Africa will have a 500B US$ market in the US
and Europe for Apparels and Textiles.
• Aggressive agricultural development
through farming, agro-processing, and
production of farm machinery, most of
which are located at the southern part
Ethiopia which is served by the LAPSSET
Corridor.
• Diverse flora and fauna ranging from
National Parks, lakes, mountains, plains,
valleys, forests, wildlife and people with a
rich cultural heritage, all along the LAPSSET
Corridor
PERSPECTIVES IN SOUTH SUDAN
• Rich in Natural Resources such as petroleum, iron ore, copper,
chromium ore, zinc, tungsten, mica, silver, gold, and hydropower.
• Agricultural Produce include cotton, groundnuts (peanuts),
sorghum, millet, wheat, gum arabic, sugarcane, cassava (tapioca),
mangos, papaya, bananas, sweet potatoes, and sesame.
• 85% of the former Sudan’s Oil output was from South Sudan
• Rich in agricultural land and has one of the largest populations of
pastoralists in the world
• Loka Teaks, the largest Teak plantation in Africa is located in South
Sudan
NEW GROWTH FRONTIER IN NORTHERN KENYA
• Kenya has concentrated investments in 30% of its land space. The
remaining 70% of vast land has several resources that can make
major contributions to the economy.
• Endowed with high value resource potentials like minerals, oil and
gas capable of generating high value returns to the economy
• There is a huge potential for mechanized agricultural production
providing food security, lowering the cost of living and providing
employment opportunities
• It is envisioned that the LAPSSET corridor project will triple
investment and employment space and opportunities in the
country, increase the habitable and productive area and drive
the economy into sustainable double digit growth.
•THANK YOU

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THE EAST AND CENTRAL AFRICA REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT. Why Kenya remain the hegemony in the region?

  • 1. Regional Development THE EAST AND CENTRAL AFRICA REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT. Why Kenya remain the hegemony in the region? IKIRIINYA CAROLINE KINYA:- STUDENT ID. 1701214777 BASHAR JABER:- STUDENT ID. 1701214776. ZAKHIDOV MIRZOKHID:- STUDENT ID. 1701214793
  • 5. 2ND NATURE E.A TRANSPORT CORRIDOR MAJOR TRANSPORT CORRIDOR Northern Corridor; Transport corridor is the Mombasa - Uganda transport corridor that passes through Nairobi and much of the Northern Rift Central Corridor Dar es Salaam, the corridor runs inland, serving the Tanzania interior capital Dodoma & Mwanza. Rwanda & Burundi and the eastern part of the DRC
  • 6. KENYA:- THINKING ECONOMICS IN 3 D; Density, Distance, DivisionFACTS; • Kenya is densely populated as you approach the railway line. (Highway) • Cities along the railway line: • Nairobi • Mombasa • Kisumu All have international airport. The railway connect the country to East Africa Nairobi is the largest city; • Agglomeration Capital, Industries, universities, Services UNEP/UN-HABITAT
  • 7. Why Kenya remain the hegemony in the region? • Despite Kenya being a smaller country in term of size and population in comparison to Tanzania that share same Indian Ocean resources Kenya has always been economically ahead of Tanzania. Thus playing a pivot role in East Africa and COMESA Region. • Tanzania has stepped up its investment to catch up with the capitalist Kenya Economy. However will it catch-up? • Why it will be hard for Tanzania to catch up despite its location advantage? KENYA DRIVERS • INNOVATION;- Development Of Konza City, Education • ENTREPRENUERSHIP; START-UPS: Youth Fund, Women Fund, Uwezo Fund. CDF • CONNECTIVITY; Northern Corridor Development Project, LAPSSET Project.
  • 8. I N N O V A T I O N A N D E N T R E P R E N U E R S H I P 此处添加详细文本描述,建议 与标题相关并符合 在此添加标题
  • 10. AGGLOMERATION : KONZA TECHNOLOGY CITY , TWO RIVERS CENTER,NAIVASHA INDUSTRIAL PARK.
  • 11. Jomo Kenyatta International Airport – Jomo Kenyatta International — Kenya’s premier airport — is to receive multiple upgrades. A new greenfield terminal designed by architects Pascall + Watson will be the largest in Africa, serving 20 million passengers a year, at a cost of around $650 million. A second runway will be inaugurated in 2017
  • 12. INTRODUCTION OF THE 3RD CORRIDOR Lamu Port-South Sudan- Ethiopia-Transport (LAPSSET) Corridor KEY ENGINE OF DEVELOPMENT; Reduction of transport cost; Globalization and localization
  • 13. 7 KEY COMPONENTS OF LAPSSET 1. Lamu Port 2. Highways 3. Oil Pipelines 5. International Airports 6. Resort Cities 4. Railway 7. High Grand Falls Dam Additional Components: Electricity Transmission, Fiber Optic Connectivity, Water Supply
  • 14. INFRASTRUCTURE & ECONOMIC 1. The Inner Corridor: Infrastructure Corridor of 500m • Road • Railway • Oil Pipeline • Gas Pipelines 2. Economic Corridor of 100Km wide • 50Km on either sides of the Corridor • Special Investment Corridor for: • Industrial Parks • Mechanized Industrialized Farms • Cities, Towns and Real Estate Development
  • 15. LAPSSET – A NEW CORRIDOR LAMU PORT 3 AIRPORTS LAMU, ISIOLO, LOKICHOKIO HIGH SPEED RAILWAY INTER-REGIONAL HIGHWAY CITIES LAMU , ISIOLO, LAKE TURKANA OIL PIPELINES Airport at Lamu has an EIRR of 20.7%, which indicates economic viability. Airports at Isiolo and Turkana, however, need rehabilitation and maintenance of the existing airports. The maximum allowable costs are assessed to maintain the cut-off EIRR of 12% The Railway has overall Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) of 15.6% for all sections combined. The project is considered feasible from the viewpoint of national economy. ) Resort cities at Lamu, Isiolo and Lake Turkana have EIRR of 17.1%, 12.8% and 20.8 %, respectively. LAPSSET PROJECT •Highway has an EIRR of 12.9% for the total length of 920km from Lamu to Lokichar. • Crude Oil Pipeline and Product Oil Pipeline have EIRR of 21.6% and 14.0%, respectively.;- feasible from the viewpoint of national economy. •Crude Oil Pipeline and Product Oil Pipeline are assumed under totally private investment. The cut-off FIRR is set at 10%. •The transportation charges: low transport considered to be financially viable. East Africa Region Port Demand deficit Curve to be filled by Lamu Port
  • 16. Port Demand Integrating Lamu Port Capacity East Africa Region Port Demand deficit Curve to be filled by Lamu Port Mombasa Port Demand Versus Capacity
  • 17. LAMU PORT 32 Deep Sea Berths at Manda Bay • 400m key length and a draft of 18 m along 6 KM coastline; • 1st 3 berths under construction by the Government of Kenya • Remaining Berths to be concessioned to private sector • Cost of 1st 3 Berths: Kshs. 48 Billion / USD 480 Million • Kshs. 10 Billion allocated in the 2016/17 FY • EIRR of 23.4% Construction Status • The first berth is expected to be completed by June 2018 while the remaining two are to be completed by December 2020. • LAPSSET Plaza (Port Headquarters) – 100% • Port Police station – 100% • Electric Power connection to the national grid – 100% • Water supply to the port area – 100% • Port Housing for management and security - 55%
  • 18. HIGHWAYS Interregional Highways from Lamu to Isiolo, Isiolo to Nakodok and Juba (South Sudan), Isiolo to Moyale and to Addis Ababa (Ethiopia), and Lamu to Garsen (Kenya) Lamu – Garissa – Isiolo (537 Kms) Detailed engineering designs complete, road ready for financing/construction. Isiolo – Lokichar – Nakodok (738 Kms) World Bank funded 500 Million USD loan for the construction of the road section between Lokichar and Nakodok. Construction to began in 2017 Isiolo – Marsabit – Moyale (505 Kms) Works 100% Complete Construction works on the One-Stop Border Post at Moyale is ongoing and is expected to be commissioned in 2017 FY. Lamu – Witu – Garsen (112 KMs) Procurement of contractor completed. Construction commenced in February 2017.
  • 19. ISIOLO – MOYALE HIGHWAY 505KM CONSTRUCTION - 100% COMPLETE
  • 20. INTERMEDIATE BENEFITS OF CONSTRUCTING ISIOLO – MOYALE ROAD (505 km) • Travel time between Moyale (Kenya/Ethiopia border town) and Nairobi reduced from about 3 days (60 hours) down to 1/3 of a day (8 hours). Previously, bus travelers made two night stopovers during the journey from Moyale to Nairobi. The first at Marsabit and the second at Isiolo, arriving in Nairobi on the evening of the third day. • Increased response by government institutions in the delivery of public services including security • Stabilization of security among communities residing along the road has significantly increased. Inter-community conflicts have since reduced. • Increased commodity supply and economic trade into the region. • Increased market access to goods and livestock produced from the region.
  • 21. RAILWAY Interregional Standard Gauge Railway lines from Lamu to Isiolo, Isiolo to Nakodok (Kenya/South Sudan border) and Juba(South Sudan), Isiolo to Moyale (Kenya/Ethiopia border) and Addis Ababa (Ethiopia), and Nairobi to Isiolo • Preliminary Engineering and feasibility studies carried out on the project lines. • Bilateral agreement signed between Kenya and Ethiopia on the development of the Railway. • Costs for construction of LAPSSET Corridor Railway and procurement of rolling stocks are estimated at approximately US$ 7,100 million in total.
  • 22. INTERNATIONAL AIRPORTS 3 International Airports; one each at Lamu, Isiolo, and Lake Turkana • Intermediary Airports under construction to build up air transport and logistics business case for the International Airports. • Preliminary facilities at Manda Airport in Lamu completed, including a 2.3Km runway and terminal building. • Construction of Parallel Taxiway and Apron planned to commence immediately • Construction of Control Tower to be commenced in 2016 • 1 Km runway completed in Isiolo. Construction works on the terminal building ongoing with an estimated completion rate of 95%. • Airport in Lodwar/Lake Turkana area to follow soon. • EIRR of 20.7%
  • 23. MANDA LAMU AIRPORT: IMPROVEMENT WORKS ON RUNWAY & TERMINAL BLDG
  • 24. Cost Estimate • The total construction cost of Oil refinery at Lamu with a capacity of 125,000 bpd is estimated at US$ 2.814 billion. The refinery which comprises of crude and product tank farms, the primary and secondary processing units, administrative service area and construction yard will sit on 53 ha of land. Economic Evaluation 1) Oil refinery has an Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) of 21.6% which is above the socio- economic discount rate of 12%. The Project is therefore considered economically feasible and competitive. 2) The, Oil refinery Lamu will have access to imported crude oils through the Single Point Mooring Buoy (SPMB) from the Middle East or any other offshore source. This will provide the necessary flexibility in optimizing crude mix for the best refining economics. 3) The oil refinery will supply international market with oil including deficit arising from the proposed oil refinery in Kabaale in Uganda and generate annual gross revenue estimate of close to US$ 664.5 million. Financing Plan 1) The execution of this project is expected to be implemented by a private entity through a Merchant Refinery Model which entails buying crude oil, refining and selling the products. Accordingly, a concession to Build, Own and Operate will be considered. OIL REFINERY
  • 25.
  • 27. PERSPECTIVES IN ETHIOPIA • Ethiopia undertaking the development of Ethiopia Sugar Corporation at a cost of $2 Billion. Aiming to be the largest Sugar producer in Africa • Large Scale leather Industry in Ethiopia as part of the livestock value chain. By 2030 Africa will have a 500B US$ market in the US and Europe for Apparels and Textiles. • Aggressive agricultural development through farming, agro-processing, and production of farm machinery, most of which are located at the southern part Ethiopia which is served by the LAPSSET Corridor. • Diverse flora and fauna ranging from National Parks, lakes, mountains, plains, valleys, forests, wildlife and people with a rich cultural heritage, all along the LAPSSET Corridor
  • 28. PERSPECTIVES IN SOUTH SUDAN • Rich in Natural Resources such as petroleum, iron ore, copper, chromium ore, zinc, tungsten, mica, silver, gold, and hydropower. • Agricultural Produce include cotton, groundnuts (peanuts), sorghum, millet, wheat, gum arabic, sugarcane, cassava (tapioca), mangos, papaya, bananas, sweet potatoes, and sesame. • 85% of the former Sudan’s Oil output was from South Sudan • Rich in agricultural land and has one of the largest populations of pastoralists in the world • Loka Teaks, the largest Teak plantation in Africa is located in South Sudan
  • 29. NEW GROWTH FRONTIER IN NORTHERN KENYA • Kenya has concentrated investments in 30% of its land space. The remaining 70% of vast land has several resources that can make major contributions to the economy. • Endowed with high value resource potentials like minerals, oil and gas capable of generating high value returns to the economy • There is a huge potential for mechanized agricultural production providing food security, lowering the cost of living and providing employment opportunities • It is envisioned that the LAPSSET corridor project will triple investment and employment space and opportunities in the country, increase the habitable and productive area and drive the economy into sustainable double digit growth.