Terminator Tintin och teleportering - Vetenskapsfestivalen 2013
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This document discusses emerging trends in transportation and logistics over the next 30 years. It identifies three trends that will significantly impact the field: 1) Terminator - The rise of the digital human who is constantly connected to information. 2) Tintin - The rise of the "prosumer" who both consumes and produces goods. 3) Teleportation - Advances that allow the digital transfer of goods and people over long distances, similar to the concept in The Matrix. The document argues that transportation is at an inflection point due to new technologies like 3D printing, augmented reality, and advanced robotics that will transform how people and goods move globally.
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Terminator Tintin och teleportering - Vetenskapsfestivalen 2013
- 1. Terminator, Tintin och Teleportering Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se Per Olof Arnäs @Dr_PO
- 3. Om 30 år ...hur kommer världen att se ut? bo? arbeta? ...hur transportera? kommer vi konsumera? att hålla oss friska? utbildas? utvecklas? Per Olof Arnäs /ponder by hobvias sudoneighm on Flickr
- 4. EU:s vitbok 2011 Per Olof Arnäs
- 5. EU:s vitbok 2011 ”European transport is at a crossroads. Old challenges remain but new have come.” ”The transport system is not sustainable. Looking 40 years ahead, it is clear 40 years ahead, it is clear that transport cannot develop that transport cannot along the same path. develop along the same path.” Per Olof Arnäs
- 6. ra N åg Globala trender Klimatförändring Hållbarhetsfokus Befolkningsökning Urbanisering Energibrist Effektivitetsfokus Blue Marble (Planet Earth) by woodleywonderworks on Flickr Per Olof Arnäs
- 7. Transport- branschen 3 saker: Per Olof Arnäs Carbon-free transport by Stéfan on Flickr
- 8. …fysisk Per Olof Arnäs 3d boxes by crystaljingsr on Flickr
- 9. …publik Per Olof Arnäs Traffic Jam by Giorgio Minguzzi on Flickr
- 10. …analog Per Olof Arnäs 542 miles by Jason on Flickr
- 11. Per Olof Arnäs
- 12. Transporter har utvecklats mer eller mindre linjärt de senaste 5500 åren... Per Olof Arnäs Stage Coach Wheel by arbyreed on Flickr
- 13. i bö rjan av Vi befinner oss mitt i en gigantisk exponentiell utvecklingskurva Per Olof Arnäs
- 14. Ett nytt globalt ekosysystem där nya typer av, kunskapsbaserade, industrier konkurrerar med traditionella Per Olof Arnäs
- 15. Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. Miniature Airport by disparkys on Flickr Per Olof Arnäs http://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation
- 16. Startups don’t compete with airlines... by purchasing a bunch of planes hiring a bunch of pilots and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports. Startups compete with airlines by inventing videoconferencing. Miniature Airport by disparkys on Flickr Per Olof Arnäs http://bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation
- 17. e r påv Tre re n dsom kommer att erk andra t a logistik och transport 1: Terminator - Homo Digitalis 2: Tintin - Prosumerism 3: Teleportering - The Matrix [clueless] by RHiNO NEAL on Flickr Per Olof Arnäs
- 18. Homo Digitalis Dante Cyborg by Roberto Rizzato on Flickr Per Olof Arnäs
- 19. Även om den skapade världen runt omkring oss utvecklas snabbt... ...så gäller inte samma sak för människoarten. I alla fall inte utan verktyg... Per Olof Arnäs Evolution by Ryan Woon on Flickr
- 20. People will still want the same things Lo que el viento se llevo / Gone with the wind by J. Carlos Fernández on Flickr Get laid Get paid Get made Per Olof Arnäs Quote from Dave McClure
- 21. Augmented (hyper)Reality: Domestic Robocop by Keiichi Matsuda: https://vimeo.com/8569187 The Aeon Project: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UjnbiaY1JCE Apple iLens concept by AppleiLens: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rsdImcPj5SM Project Glass: One day... by Google: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9c6W4CCU9M4 Per Olof Arnäs Augmented Reality Navigation – Interface Demo by Hannes Fritz: https://vimeo.com/10401397
- 22. Per Olof Arnäs
- 23. Vi blir uppkopplade mot allt som finns runt omkring oss From Minority Report Per Olof Arnäs
- 24. Homo Economicus The Economic Man Per Olof Arnäs things i believe by Martin Sharman on Flickr
- 25. Homo Digitalis Economicus Well-informed The Well-equipped Economic Man Well-connected data Med höga optimering förväntningar på interaktion Per Olof Arnäs things i believe by Martin Sharman on Flickr
- 27. 3D printing demo -- ball bearings! by dehurt: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u7h09dTVkdw CES 2012: Cubed 3D Home Printer by AMussey: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iB5i5SA6rKQ uPrint SE 3D Printer Creates Wrench with Moving Parts Already Assembled by stratasysfdm: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rn1hxd-MeuI Per Olof Arnäs 3D Printer Makes Nearly Anything by PigMine3: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nsgORCjf7oU
- 28. 3D-printing kommer att ske i hemmet och i lokala/regionala ”fabs” Ökade globala http://mocoloco.com/upload/2012/03/rp_guitar_by_de/rp_guitar_derek_manson_3b.php flöden av råmaterial Minskade flöden av produkter Per Olof Arnäs
- 29. Per Olof Arnäs Image: Nike
- 30. Enter the Matrix Per Olof Arnäs Blue pill or the red pill by Sarah Fagg on Flickr
- 31. Per Olof Arnäs
- 32. O - Functions int pen bi erf ac co Da as l sy llec ta s iona k e Goods d oo ect rlin G ir e A ord dvanc (o stemtion pe s Vehicle d yp er h e n) W h s and d Software eb UI e ling od ba c Pl ar ma cisio ted at se B Sim sy bas for kin n d de tribu p st ed m g han le ord em P la Computers s dlin er en ei y t s Di m fr all t s gh too g cu ted ic do ra ron nin tag D- s ne ct I col tems y) RF g B (pr ge Ele Ha ente Dat tion sys rietar M sn ed ori Performa ss lec op Manual goo rt on u co rdw d ds ased acc as a Sma ito mp rb r f tio are pe ed ue n Pa Ph pe - as l Pa on rs rb nce e e pe Pa Version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 A na oo ce Ba an Com h vehic E-m gn d acces d si oa data e lo ls The s s wit t se m s b gu R ail Pro Perfor mun e web sys TM ms ocial S Ex icat s te S- D ce R le l sy utin ic Fax ion tio r ro am ga o n ste g vi S f ms n pl Rou na GP s Dy co Mu up E- da iple an te Op ctiv nn inv sh ni es so ta ng lt e en ity Ma oic urc g e W lin ms e l In bo b ba To ste l ok se es ua Business pr teg og ra no ted in d g Route se rvic c Web h traf fi sy d id iv ting ion In rou at Infra- si wit ata structure m s optimisat d or processes Ex ion f c in ha eptio n ing nd lin ns too Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com g Pla CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers
- 33. Enkelt Kuponger Svårt ”Kuponger” ? Per Olof Arnäs
- 34. O - Functions int pen bi erf ac co Da as l sy llec ta s iona k e Goods d oo ect rlin G ir e A ord dvanc (o stemtion pe s Vehicle d yp er h e n) W h s and d Software eb UI e ling od ba c Pl ar ma cisio ted at se B Sim sy bas for kin n d de tribu p st ed m g han le ord em P la Computers s dlin er en ei y t s Di m fr all t s gh too g cu ted ic do ra ron nin tag D- s ne ct I col tems y) RF g B (pr ge Ele Ha ente Dat tion sys rietar M sn ed ori Performa ss lec op Manual goo rt on u co rdw d ds ased acc as a Sma ito mp rb r f tio are pe ed ue n Pa Ph pe - as l Pa on rs rb nce e e pe Pa Version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 A na oo ce Ba an Com h vehic E-m gn d acces d si oa data e lo ls The s s wit t se m s b gu R ail Pro Perfor mun e web sys TM ms ocial S Ex icat s te S- D ce R le l sy utin ic Fax ion tio r ro am ga o n ste g vi S f ms n pl Rou na GP s Dy co Mu up E- da iple an te Op ctiv nn inv sh ni es so ta ng lt e en ity Ma oic urc g e W lin ms e l In bo b ba To ste l ok se es ua Business pr teg og ra no ted in d g Route se rvic c Web h traf fi sy d id iv ting ion In rou at Infra- si wit ata structure m s optimisat d or processes Ex ion f c in ha eptio n ing nd lin ns too Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com g Pla CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers
- 35. Kan man ett Tel e maila a por ter am a Be Dig i talis era kylskåp Per Olof Arnäs 3D Character and Question Mark by crystaljingsr on Flickr
- 36. Ja! Per Olof Arnäs Bokeh Remote by Bart on Flickr
- 37. Våra styrsystem är digitala modeller av verkligheten Remote by Kevin T. Houle on Flickr Per Olof Arnäs
- 38. Per Olof Arnäs
- 39. Per Olof Arnäs
- 40. Våra styrsystem är instrumentpaneler Per Olof Arnäs F430 dashboard by Carlos de Paz on Flickr
- 41. Och de blir bättre och bättre! Per Olof Arnäs F430 dashboard by Carlos de Paz on Flickr
- 42. Om 30 år ...hur kommer världen att se ut? bo? arbeta? ...hur transportera? kommer vi konsumera? att hålla oss friska? utbildas? utvecklas? Per Olof Arnäs /ponder by hobvias sudoneighm on Flickr
- 43. Per Olof Arnäs /ponder by hobvias
- 44. Tack! Per Olof Arnäs Chalmers per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se about.me/perolofarnas @Dr_PO Slides finns på slideshare.net/poar Bilder CC-‐licensierade Per Olof Arnäs /ponder by hobvias