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Teen Influences on Church Dropouts Spring 2007
Report Contents ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Terminology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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Key Findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key Findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key Findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key Findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*Selected a 4 or a 5 on a 5-point scale in which “1” = Strongly Disagree and  “5” = Strongly Agree.
Key Findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key Findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
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In middle school, dropouts indicate they attended church twice-a-month just as often as those who stayed in church Q1a. At which of the following ages did you regularly attend church (by “regularly attend,” we mean attend at least twice a month for three or more months)?  Base: All (n=1,023 through age 18) Consistent twice-a-month attendance does result in lower likelihood of dropping out of church, but among 18-30 year olds who did so from under age 14 through age 17, 55%  still dropped out (vs. 65% total)
Fewer dropouts indicate twice-a-month attendance beginning at age 16 Q1a. At which of the following ages did you regularly attend church (by “regularly attend,” we mean attend at least twice a month for three or more months)?  Base: All (n=1,023 through age 18) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant Half of dropouts still attend twice a month at Age 17 By Age 18 the difference in attendance between dropouts and those who stay is dramatic
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Family Influences  Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dropouts are less likely to say they had direct spiritual guidance and a genuine example from their family as teens Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
As teens, 20% fewer dropouts indicate their families had positive attitudes toward church than those who stayed  Q9. Which of the following describe your parents’ attitudes toward religion/church attendance through your teenage years (prior to turning 18)? Base: All (n=1,023) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
Prior to age 18, more dropouts indicate their families were negative examples about church than those who stayed Q9. Which of the following describe your parents’ attitudes toward religion/church attendance through your teenage years (prior to turning 18)? Base: All (n=1,023) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
Parents’ harmony in marriage and church is more common among those who continue attending church  Q10a. At age 17, which of the following applied to your parents? Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
While more mothers attend church, the father’s attendance makes a bigger impact on the decision to stay in church  Q10a. At age 17, which of the following applied to your parents? Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
Parents’ expectations matter ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Q9. Which of the following describe your parents’ attitudes toward religion/church attendance through your teenage years (prior to turning 18)?  Base: All (n=1,023) Q9a In what ways did your parents/family members express that they expected you to continue attending church after age 17?  Base: Q9=Parents expected *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
More examples of how parents expressed their expectations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Q9a In what ways did your parents/family members express that they expected you to continue attending church after age 17?  Base: Q9=Parents expected
[object Object]
Adults investing time in a teen’s spiritual growth  Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) 42 percent of young adults indicate that prior to turning 18:  “An adult spent time with me regularly to help me grow spiritually”* *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
Adults from church investing in teens ,[object Object],Q6a. How many adults from church do you feel made a significant investment in you personally and spiritually between the ages of 15 and 18?  Base: All (n=1,023) Adults Making a Significant Investment   in Teen’s Life   Between Ages 15 and 18 None : 89% dropped out   1 : 76% dropped out   2 : 68% dropped out   3 or 4 : 59% dropped out   5 or 6 : 57% dropped out   7 or more : 50% dropped out Among  young adults indicating:
Adults from church investing in teens ,[object Object],Q6a. How many adults from church do you feel made a significant investment in you personally and spiritually between the ages of 15 and 18?  Base: All (n=1,023) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
[object Object]
Attendance and participation  prior to age 18 among ALL young adults   Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) Although inclusion in this study only required that young people attend a Protestant church for at least a year in high school, a large majority indicate church activities characterized their life prior to turning 18:  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Friends and responsibility at church prior to age 18 among ALL young adults Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],While the majority of young adults indicate they had positive peer pressure to attend church as teens, a significant minority lack any positive influence from friends to attend In contrast to high levels of attendance and participation, relatively few young adults indicate they were given regular responsibility within church as teens
Personal desires and activities related to church prior to age 18 among ALL young adults Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) Among those teens who had confidence in their own beliefs, only a third did  not  want the church to help guide their decisions – 83% of these dropped out of church between ages 18-22 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
More of those who stay are involved in church activities (before age 18) than those who dropout Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
More of those who stay are involved in church activities (before age 18) than those who dropout Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
Dropouts had less responsibility at church and less positive peer pressure than those who stayed in church Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
Thirty percent more of those who stay wanted the church to help guide their decisions in everyday life as teens  Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
[object Object]
Among ALL young adults, at least half viewed the church they attended positively prior to age 18 Attractive Worship   Agree *  The worship style was appealing to me 56%  The pastor’s sermons were engaging 54% The pastor’s sermons were relevant to my life 50% * Selected a 4 or a 5 on a 5-point scale in which “1” = Strongly Disagree and “5” = Strongly Agree Complementary of Atmosphere   Agree *  My church was a welcoming environment for people in my life stage 60% Other people like me attended the church 60% My church offered appealing activities or small group studies  for people in my life stage 58%  I felt “at home” at church 57% My church was a source of support during personal crises  48% Similar Perspective   Agree *  I agreed with beliefs taught in my church 69% My church was important in my life 62% I agreed with my church’s political perspective  52% Q7. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements about  the church you attended  as they pertain to your perceptions prior to turning 18 and whether they apply to your perceptions through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023)
The perspective on church (prior to age 18) is more positive among those who stay in church than among dropouts ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Q7. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements about  the church you attended  as they pertain to your perceptions prior to turning 18 and whether they apply to your perceptions through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023) * Selected a 4 or a 5 on a 5-point scale in which “1” = Strongly Disagree and “5” = Strongly Agree
Young adults’ perspective on church attended prior to age 18  *Selected a 4 or a 5 on a 5-point scale in which “1” = Strongly Disagree and “5” = Strongly Agree.    All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant Q7. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements about  the church you attended  as they pertain to your perceptions prior to turning 18 and whether they apply to your perceptions through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023)
Young adults’ perspective on church attended prior to age 18 *Selected a 4 or a 5 on a 5-point scale in which “1” = Strongly Disagree and “5” = Strongly Agree.    All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant Q7. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements about  the church you attended  as they pertain to your perceptions prior to turning 18 and whether they apply to your perceptions through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,023)
[object Object]
Among ALL young adults, twice as many indicate positive impressions of church members than negative prior to age 18 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Q8. Please indicate which of the following statements describe your impression of  church members in general  prior to turning 18 and which statements describe your impression through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,004)
Dropouts indicate less positive impressions of church members before age 18 than those who stayed in church Q8. Please indicate which of the following statements describe your impression of  church members in general  prior to turning 18 and which statements describe your impression through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,004) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
Dropouts indicate more negative impressions of church members before age 18 than those who stayed in church Q8. Please indicate which of the following statements describe your impression of  church members in general  prior to turning 18 and which statements describe your impression through ages 18-22.  Base: All (n=1,004) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
[object Object]
College attendance has no impact on the church dropout rate of young adults ,[object Object],Stopped attending church for at least a year between ages 18-22  S3. Did you stop attending church regularly for at least a year between the ages of 18 and 22?  Base: Ages 23-30.  S4. Highest level of education: Some college or higher (n=413), High school graduate or less (n=319)
Types of high school attended can have some impact on the likelihood a young adult drops out of church Q14a. Please indicate the type of schools/colleges you have attended? Base: Public (n=830) Private (n=64) Catholic (n=53) Christian (n=93) Home School (n=104) *Difference in percentages between those who “dropped out” and the total dropout rate for 18-30 year olds (65%) is statistically significant Note: Respondents could indicate attending more than one type of school There is no statistically significant difference in the dropout rate for those attending a public high school, but the dropout rate is lower for those attending home school or a Christian school (other than Catholic)  Type of high schools attended   Public  : 65% dropped out   Private  (not Christian) : 69% dropped out Catholic  : 63% dropped out   Other Christian  : 51% dropped out*   Home school  : 56% dropped out* Among  young adults ages 18-30 indicating:
Types of college or university attended can have some impact on the likelihood a young adult drops out of church Q14a. Please indicate the type of schools/colleges you have attended? Base: State (n=302) Christian (n=92) Other Private (n=67) *Difference in percentages between those who “dropped out” and the total dropout rate for 18-30 year olds (65%) is statistically significant Note: Respondents could indicate attending more than one type of school There is no statistically significant difference in the dropout rate for those attending a state colleges (the largest group), but the rate is lower for those attending Christian colleges/universities (other than Catholic)  Type of college or university attended   State  : 69% dropped out Christian  : 46% dropped out*    Other private  : 70% dropped out Catholic   : Small sample size   Other religious  : Small sample size Among  young adults ages 18-30 indicating:
[object Object]
Many aspects of a teens’ environment, behavior, and attitude correspond to dropping out of church between ages 18-22 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Based on stepwise regression analysis.  26 independent variables and 816 observations were used in the model.  Linear regression results: R 2 =0.316, Adjusted R 2 =0.293  F value=14.01  Probability > F=.0001
Together, the characteristics tested predict about 32% of the variance in dropout behavior  When combined, the following characteristics are most predictive of continuing to attend church: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Based on stepwise regression analysis.  Listed in order of their loading/ contribution to the predictiveness (R 2 ) of the model. 26 independent variables and 816 observations were used in the model.  Linear regression results: R2=0.316, Adjusted R2=0.293  F value=14.01  Probability > F=.0001

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Teen Influences On Church Dropouts

  • 1. Teen Influences on Church Dropouts Spring 2007
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  • 13. In middle school, dropouts indicate they attended church twice-a-month just as often as those who stayed in church Q1a. At which of the following ages did you regularly attend church (by “regularly attend,” we mean attend at least twice a month for three or more months)? Base: All (n=1,023 through age 18) Consistent twice-a-month attendance does result in lower likelihood of dropping out of church, but among 18-30 year olds who did so from under age 14 through age 17, 55% still dropped out (vs. 65% total)
  • 14. Fewer dropouts indicate twice-a-month attendance beginning at age 16 Q1a. At which of the following ages did you regularly attend church (by “regularly attend,” we mean attend at least twice a month for three or more months)? Base: All (n=1,023 through age 18) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant Half of dropouts still attend twice a month at Age 17 By Age 18 the difference in attendance between dropouts and those who stay is dramatic
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Dropouts are less likely to say they had direct spiritual guidance and a genuine example from their family as teens Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
  • 18. As teens, 20% fewer dropouts indicate their families had positive attitudes toward church than those who stayed Q9. Which of the following describe your parents’ attitudes toward religion/church attendance through your teenage years (prior to turning 18)? Base: All (n=1,023) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
  • 19. Prior to age 18, more dropouts indicate their families were negative examples about church than those who stayed Q9. Which of the following describe your parents’ attitudes toward religion/church attendance through your teenage years (prior to turning 18)? Base: All (n=1,023) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
  • 20. Parents’ harmony in marriage and church is more common among those who continue attending church Q10a. At age 17, which of the following applied to your parents? Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
  • 21. While more mothers attend church, the father’s attendance makes a bigger impact on the decision to stay in church Q10a. At age 17, which of the following applied to your parents? Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Adults investing time in a teen’s spiritual growth Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,023) 42 percent of young adults indicate that prior to turning 18: “An adult spent time with me regularly to help me grow spiritually”* *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
  • 26.
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  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. More of those who stay are involved in church activities (before age 18) than those who dropout Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
  • 34. Dropouts had less responsibility at church and less positive peer pressure than those who stayed in church Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
  • 35. Thirty percent more of those who stay wanted the church to help guide their decisions in everyday life as teens Q6b. Please indicate whether each of the following statements applies to your life prior to turning 18 and whether it applies to your life through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,023) *All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant
  • 36.
  • 37. Among ALL young adults, at least half viewed the church they attended positively prior to age 18 Attractive Worship Agree * The worship style was appealing to me 56% The pastor’s sermons were engaging 54% The pastor’s sermons were relevant to my life 50% * Selected a 4 or a 5 on a 5-point scale in which “1” = Strongly Disagree and “5” = Strongly Agree Complementary of Atmosphere Agree * My church was a welcoming environment for people in my life stage 60% Other people like me attended the church 60% My church offered appealing activities or small group studies for people in my life stage 58% I felt “at home” at church 57% My church was a source of support during personal crises 48% Similar Perspective Agree * I agreed with beliefs taught in my church 69% My church was important in my life 62% I agreed with my church’s political perspective 52% Q7. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements about the church you attended as they pertain to your perceptions prior to turning 18 and whether they apply to your perceptions through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,023)
  • 38.
  • 39. Young adults’ perspective on church attended prior to age 18 *Selected a 4 or a 5 on a 5-point scale in which “1” = Strongly Disagree and “5” = Strongly Agree. All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant Q7. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements about the church you attended as they pertain to your perceptions prior to turning 18 and whether they apply to your perceptions through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,023)
  • 40. Young adults’ perspective on church attended prior to age 18 *Selected a 4 or a 5 on a 5-point scale in which “1” = Strongly Disagree and “5” = Strongly Agree. All differences in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” are statistically significant Q7. Please indicate your level of agreement with each of the following statements about the church you attended as they pertain to your perceptions prior to turning 18 and whether they apply to your perceptions through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,023)
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43. Dropouts indicate less positive impressions of church members before age 18 than those who stayed in church Q8. Please indicate which of the following statements describe your impression of church members in general prior to turning 18 and which statements describe your impression through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,004) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
  • 44. Dropouts indicate more negative impressions of church members before age 18 than those who stayed in church Q8. Please indicate which of the following statements describe your impression of church members in general prior to turning 18 and which statements describe your impression through ages 18-22. Base: All (n=1,004) *Difference in percentages between “dropouts” and those who “stayed” is statistically significant
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Types of high school attended can have some impact on the likelihood a young adult drops out of church Q14a. Please indicate the type of schools/colleges you have attended? Base: Public (n=830) Private (n=64) Catholic (n=53) Christian (n=93) Home School (n=104) *Difference in percentages between those who “dropped out” and the total dropout rate for 18-30 year olds (65%) is statistically significant Note: Respondents could indicate attending more than one type of school There is no statistically significant difference in the dropout rate for those attending a public high school, but the dropout rate is lower for those attending home school or a Christian school (other than Catholic) Type of high schools attended Public : 65% dropped out Private (not Christian) : 69% dropped out Catholic : 63% dropped out Other Christian : 51% dropped out* Home school : 56% dropped out* Among young adults ages 18-30 indicating:
  • 48. Types of college or university attended can have some impact on the likelihood a young adult drops out of church Q14a. Please indicate the type of schools/colleges you have attended? Base: State (n=302) Christian (n=92) Other Private (n=67) *Difference in percentages between those who “dropped out” and the total dropout rate for 18-30 year olds (65%) is statistically significant Note: Respondents could indicate attending more than one type of school There is no statistically significant difference in the dropout rate for those attending a state colleges (the largest group), but the rate is lower for those attending Christian colleges/universities (other than Catholic) Type of college or university attended State : 69% dropped out Christian : 46% dropped out* Other private : 70% dropped out Catholic : Small sample size Other religious : Small sample size Among young adults ages 18-30 indicating:
  • 49.
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  • 51.