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Tech Sector Overview and Outlook
2014 IT Industry Growth Forecast
8.0

Growth Rate Range

7.0

5.9%

6.0
5.0
4.0

3.4%

3.0
2.0

1.0
0.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: CompTIA

1.0%
www.techvoice.org
Positive Outlook, But Concerns Always Loom
Tech Executives Feeling Slightly
More Confident Heading into 2014

Key Concerns Keeping Tech
Executives “Awake at Night”
1

Government

3

Labor costs / availability
of skilled workers

4

62.0

Price sensitive customers hesitant
to spend (aka lack of demand)

2

64.0

Competition from new firms
entering space / disruption

5

Disruption from new technologies
or business models

60.0
58.0

56.0
54.0
52.0
50.0
48.0

44.0

Q3 '09
Q4 '09
Q1 '10
Q2 '10
Q3 '10
Q4 '10
Q1 '11
Q2 '11
Q3 '11
Q4 '11
Q1 '12
Q2 '12
Q3 '12
Q4 '12
Q1 '13
Q2 '13
Q3 '13
Q4 '13
Q1 '14
Forecast

46.0

Source: CompTIA

www.techvoice.org
Assessing Technology-Related Employment

IT
Industry
Employment

IT
Occupation
Employment

Within the IT industry, there
are many IT occupations

www.techvoice.org
U.S. Core IT Occupation Count: 4.74 million
Midwest:
934 K
Northeast:
906 K

West:
1.2 M

South:
1.6 M

Sources: EMSI | U.S. Bureau of Labor Statics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages | CompTIA

www.techvoice.org
State Level View of IT Employment
Virginia Employment Landscape:
235,000 IT workers employed in a
range of industries across the state

VA Employers with the Most IT Jobs Postings
Time period: during 2013

General Dynamics

3,945

SAIC

2,203

Mantech Intl

1,845

Northrop Grumman

1,801

CACI
Accenture

1,687
1,584

BAE Systems

1,330

Lockheed Martin

1,285

Booz Allen

1,218

Computer Sciences

1,068

Capital One

1,008

Note: not all job postings
lead to new hires.
Companies may hire
internally, outsource the
work, postpone the hire,
repost the position to
attract new candidates or
change direction and
withdraw the job posting.

www.techvoice.org
Source: Burning Glass Technologies Labor Insights, January 2014
2013 U.S. IT Industry Employment Estimates
IT
Hardware
Mfg.

1,098,725
employed

Software
Publishing
324,669
employed

5.7 million
employed* in the
U.S. Info Tech Sector

IT Services
2,288,462

357,940

•
•
•
•
•
•

Computer &peripheral equipment
Communications equipment
A/V equipment
Semiconductors & electrical components
Measuring & control instruments
Magnetic & Optical media

Software Publishing: 12,187 establishments
• Software

IT Services: 228,373 establishments
•
•
•
•
•

Computer system design & implementation
Custom computer programming
Support and management
Maintenance & repair services
Computer training

employed

Telecom/Info Services: 67,047 establishments

U.S. Employer
Establishments

Telecom &
Info
Services

Includes technical and non-technical occupations.
The 357,940 figure includes employer firms ONLY –
firms with payroll and employees.
There are an estimated 878,243 self-employed,
non-employer entities. These could be consultants,
contractors, independent mobile app developers
and other individual entities without payroll.

IT Hardware Mfg.: 18,835 establishments

1,526,839
employed

Retail &
Wholesale
& Dist.
491,123
employed

•
•
•
•

Wired telecom services
Wireless telecom services
Satellite services
Data processing, hosting and search
services

Retail & Wholesale: 31,498 establishments
• Computer & software stores
• Computer, peripheral and software
wholesalers
• Online computer & related retailers
www.techvoice.org

Sources: EMSI | U.S. Bureau of Labor Statics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages | CompTIA
Technology Adoption Progression

Trends

Innovators

Early
Adopters

Early
Majority

AntiTrends

Late
Majority

Late
Adopters

www.techvoice.org
Trends to Watch in 2014
 Technology Becomes a Core Competency for More Businesses

Macro
Trends

 Mass Customization Gets More Sophisticated
 Processes and Workflow Get a Makeover
 Technology Increasingly Embraced as the Remote Control of Life
 Cloud Wars Intensify

Tech
Trends

 Diverse Devices Flood the Market
 Big Data Has a Little Sibling
 Software’s Appetite is not Satisfied

Source: CompTIA

www.techvoice.org
And, the Anti-Trends…
 Enterprise digital divide persists

Macro
Anti-Trends

 Options overload (“good enough”)
 Reinventing work processes easier said than done
 Digital fatigue
 On-premise technology remains a mainstay

Tech
Anti-Trends

 The PC still critical business tool that sells a lot of units
 Some organizations not even ready for small data
 Large installed base; hardware-centric mindset

Source: CompTIA

www.techvoice.org
Thank You | Questions

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Tech Sector Overview and Outlook shown at the TechVoice Fly-In

  • 1. Tech Sector Overview and Outlook
  • 2. 2014 IT Industry Growth Forecast 8.0 Growth Rate Range 7.0 5.9% 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.4% 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: CompTIA 1.0% www.techvoice.org
  • 3. Positive Outlook, But Concerns Always Loom Tech Executives Feeling Slightly More Confident Heading into 2014 Key Concerns Keeping Tech Executives “Awake at Night” 1 Government 3 Labor costs / availability of skilled workers 4 62.0 Price sensitive customers hesitant to spend (aka lack of demand) 2 64.0 Competition from new firms entering space / disruption 5 Disruption from new technologies or business models 60.0 58.0 56.0 54.0 52.0 50.0 48.0 44.0 Q3 '09 Q4 '09 Q1 '10 Q2 '10 Q3 '10 Q4 '10 Q1 '11 Q2 '11 Q3 '11 Q4 '11 Q1 '12 Q2 '12 Q3 '12 Q4 '12 Q1 '13 Q2 '13 Q3 '13 Q4 '13 Q1 '14 Forecast 46.0 Source: CompTIA www.techvoice.org
  • 4. Assessing Technology-Related Employment IT Industry Employment IT Occupation Employment Within the IT industry, there are many IT occupations www.techvoice.org
  • 5. U.S. Core IT Occupation Count: 4.74 million Midwest: 934 K Northeast: 906 K West: 1.2 M South: 1.6 M Sources: EMSI | U.S. Bureau of Labor Statics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages | CompTIA www.techvoice.org
  • 6. State Level View of IT Employment Virginia Employment Landscape: 235,000 IT workers employed in a range of industries across the state VA Employers with the Most IT Jobs Postings Time period: during 2013 General Dynamics 3,945 SAIC 2,203 Mantech Intl 1,845 Northrop Grumman 1,801 CACI Accenture 1,687 1,584 BAE Systems 1,330 Lockheed Martin 1,285 Booz Allen 1,218 Computer Sciences 1,068 Capital One 1,008 Note: not all job postings lead to new hires. Companies may hire internally, outsource the work, postpone the hire, repost the position to attract new candidates or change direction and withdraw the job posting. www.techvoice.org Source: Burning Glass Technologies Labor Insights, January 2014
  • 7. 2013 U.S. IT Industry Employment Estimates IT Hardware Mfg. 1,098,725 employed Software Publishing 324,669 employed 5.7 million employed* in the U.S. Info Tech Sector IT Services 2,288,462 357,940 • • • • • • Computer &peripheral equipment Communications equipment A/V equipment Semiconductors & electrical components Measuring & control instruments Magnetic & Optical media Software Publishing: 12,187 establishments • Software IT Services: 228,373 establishments • • • • • Computer system design & implementation Custom computer programming Support and management Maintenance & repair services Computer training employed Telecom/Info Services: 67,047 establishments U.S. Employer Establishments Telecom & Info Services Includes technical and non-technical occupations. The 357,940 figure includes employer firms ONLY – firms with payroll and employees. There are an estimated 878,243 self-employed, non-employer entities. These could be consultants, contractors, independent mobile app developers and other individual entities without payroll. IT Hardware Mfg.: 18,835 establishments 1,526,839 employed Retail & Wholesale & Dist. 491,123 employed • • • • Wired telecom services Wireless telecom services Satellite services Data processing, hosting and search services Retail & Wholesale: 31,498 establishments • Computer & software stores • Computer, peripheral and software wholesalers • Online computer & related retailers www.techvoice.org Sources: EMSI | U.S. Bureau of Labor Statics Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages | CompTIA
  • 9. Trends to Watch in 2014  Technology Becomes a Core Competency for More Businesses Macro Trends  Mass Customization Gets More Sophisticated  Processes and Workflow Get a Makeover  Technology Increasingly Embraced as the Remote Control of Life  Cloud Wars Intensify Tech Trends  Diverse Devices Flood the Market  Big Data Has a Little Sibling  Software’s Appetite is not Satisfied Source: CompTIA www.techvoice.org
  • 10. And, the Anti-Trends…  Enterprise digital divide persists Macro Anti-Trends  Options overload (“good enough”)  Reinventing work processes easier said than done  Digital fatigue  On-premise technology remains a mainstay Tech Anti-Trends  The PC still critical business tool that sells a lot of units  Some organizations not even ready for small data  Large installed base; hardware-centric mindset Source: CompTIA www.techvoice.org
  • 11. Thank You | Questions