Presented for the Wall Street Journal CEO Council on November 14, 2017, this presentation shows how cybercrime is making business reconsider the role of national security in its corporate grand strategies.

1. Welcome
A Conversation With Renowned Futurist Eric Garland
“Disruption by Design”
Moderated by Will Lewis and CP Gurani

2. Technology, Globalization, And the
Future Wealth of Nations

3. Technology drives ECONOMICS AND GEOPOLITICS

4. Technology drives ECONOMICS AND GEOPOLITICS

5. Technology drives ECONOMICS AND GEOPOLITICS

6. Technology drives ECONOMICS AND GEOPOLITICS

7. Technology drives ECONOMICS AND GEOPOLITICS

8. Technology drives ECONOMICS AND GEOPOLITICS

9. Question for leaders: Are we in a quasi-stateless world?

10. Global trade seems to ignore borders

11. Suddenly,
borders matter.

12. Disruption
Ahead

13. Cybersecurity issues will roll back statelessness and
Cause a Retrenchment in the Nation-state system.

14. How
did
We
get
Here?

17. Just
Get
1%
Market
Share!

19. Hey man, I’m
a Citizen of the
World™
Oh, really?

20. Find the $65 trillion (give or take)

22. Breaking
Point

23. Massive Data Breaches with unknowable future consequences
Year Network Records Exfiltrated
2011 Sony PlayStation Network 77 million
2012 U.S. Office of Personnel
Management
22 million
2013 NSA/OpSnowden ???
2013 Yahoo! 3 billion
2014 eBay 145 million
2015 Anthem 78.8 million
2016 Adult Friend Finder 412.2 million
2016 RNC & DNC ???
2017 Equifax 143 million
Source: CSO Online, Oct 11, 2017

24. The global economy will trade market access for national defense
While we strengthen information Security

25. HOW DO YOU PREPARE FOR DISRUPTION?
Forecast, make scenarios, evaluate

26. Both a metaphor and a forecast in one

27. Additional disruption - energy transition

28. How to Predict the future - basic recipe
+ +
Strategic Trends Actor Analysis Wildcard Events

30. How to prepare for disruption starting today
•Start tracking economic, technological and social trends
outside of your industry
•Hold active discussions with stakeholders about what it
all means
•Ask how customer needs will evolve from these macro-
trends
•Look for new partners in the evolving ecosystem
•Tell your customers that you have their future in mind

31. THANK YOU!
@ericgarland
EricGarlandFuture
www.ericgarland.co
www.competitivefutures.com