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Superstition Vistas Interim Report Presentation June 30 th  2009 A Sustainable Community  for the Next Century
Interim Report Cover ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
Intro and Visioning
Intro and Visioning ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Recent Trends & Regional Values
Recent Trends & Regional Values ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SUPERSTITION VISTAS POPULATION PROJECTIONS RANGE FROM 261,000 TO OVER 1 MILLION Superstition Vistas Average Annual Household Growth 2010-2060 8,000 4,000 5,700 2,800 3,700 2,000 HIGH-LOW HIGH-HIGH MEDIUM-HIGH MEDIUM-LOW LOW-HIGH LOW-LOW
100 MILLION PEOPLE WILL BE ADDED TO THE U.S. POPULATION BY 2040; 60 MILLION IN 20 MARKETS At Least 10 Million People by 2040
ArizonaSun Corridor
New Cities Emerge Along these Corridors. The two Regions are Connected by a well Planned Transportation System and Concentrated City Centers
Regional Visioning Starts with  Regional Values ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Regional Visioning Starts with  Regional Values ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Regional Visioning Starts with  Regional Values
Regional Visioning Starts with  Regional Values
Scenario Overview ,[object Object],[object Object]
Scenarios for Superstition Vistas Plausible stories about the future:
Develop a Range of Scenarios A B C D
Scenario A Description
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Scenario A
Scenario A Shown with the transportation network and existing surrounding plans Scenario A
Perspective View of Scenario A North
Scenario B Description
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Scenario B
Scenario B Shown with the transportation network and existing surrounding plans Scenario B
Perspective View of Scenario B North
Scenario C Description
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Scenario C
Scenario C Shown with the transportation network and existing surrounding plans Scenario C
Perspective View of Scenario C North
Scenario D Description
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Scenario D
Scenario D Shown with the transportation network and existing surrounding plans Scenario D
Perspective View of Scenario D North
Scenario Comparison
Land Developed (Acres)
Jobs-Housing Balance
Open Space (acres)
Carbon Footprint – Scenario Comparison
Transportation Emissions (CO2) Tons of CO2 per Year
Building Emissions (CO2) Annual CO2 (ton/yr)
Incremental Improvement Costs
Total Carbon Footprint (Building and Transportation Emissions)
Carbon Footprint – Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The APS Solana solar plant  ,[object Object]
Water Use  ,[object Object]
Water Recycling Effluent Water Storage Tanks Rooftop Freshwater Ponds Golf Course/Landscape Irrigation for Grow-in Runoff Natural Wetlands Constructed Wetlands Parking Lot Runoff Wastewater Treatment
Potential Benchmarks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Water Recycling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Landscaping Water Demand   (gallons/sf/day)
Total Water Demand (Gallons/capita/day - Building and Landscaping)
Water Use - Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Urban Heat Island  One of the most pressing issues for the Phoenix area is finding ways to reduce urban heat island.  Temperatures in Phoenix are 5 to 6 degrees hotter than surrounding undeveloped areas – largely because the surfaces of urban areas trap and reradiate heat. With the average temperatures forecasted to rise several degrees in the summer over the next 50 years, keeping our cities cool is vital for urban livability, as well as to reduce the amount of energy used for cooling.
Urban Heat Island  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Development ,[object Object]
Economic Development Catalysts for Southeast Region Destination health campus, emphasis on research Health Care/Health Sciences Connections to Phoenix and Pinal, within SV Commuter Rail Viable alternative to I-10 leads through SV Freeways Significance of John Wayne Airport Phoenix-Mesa Gateway Influence Comprehensive regional open space strategy Open Spaces and Parks/Recreation Several regional HQs, one or two national HQs Major Employer Campuses/National Headquarters New public or private university on site Higher Education Leading edge of best practices Energy Sustainability/Climate Cultural facilities of regional importance Cultural Amenities Visitation patterns established; resort/convention hotels Resort/Hospitality/Tourism/Entertainment
Economic Development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Industry Priorities Tier 1 – Early Phase Tier 2 - Intermediate Tier 3 – Late Stage Waste Management   Tour Operators   Plastics   Food processing   Golf Courses   Construction Sand and Gravel   Theme Parks   Mining Support Activities   Advanced Manufacturing   Warehouse Distribution   Motion Picture Production   Construction Park   Resort   Clean Energy Gen   Higher Education Leading Agents, Writers, Performers   Spectator Sports Outdoor   Automotive    Environmental Consulting   Clean Energy Man   Medical R&D/Bio Tech/AG   Pharmaceuticals   Advance Business Services   Information Technology   Research Parks Middle Performing Arts Companies   Spectator Sports Indoor   Museums, Zoos   Convention and Trade Show   Data Processing   R&D   Aerospace   Telephone Call Centers   Admin Support   Finance/ Insurance   Corp. Offices Late
Growth in tiers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tier 1 Basic Employment
Each Industry is assigned a basic building type for its employment 90% 10%   5% Advanced Manufacturing 95% 5%   5% Warehouse Distribution 95% 5%   10% Motion Picture Production 95% 5%   15% Construction Park   15% 85% 15% Resort 90% 10%   15% Clean Energy Generation   90% 10% 35% Higher Education Industrial Space Office space Retail space Share of Employment Industry 
Tier 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tier 1 Totals 2862 Residential Subdivision 1416 Traditional Neighborhood (TND) 631 Master Planned Community 1604 Industrial 328 Business Park 59 Town Center 152 Traditional Downtown 81 Urban Core Acres Allocated Development Type 13,228 Industrial 11,756 Office  8,745 Retail 33,728 Total Employment 37,582 Total Dwelling Units Totals Housing and Jobs
 
Tier 1 Basic Jobs Higher Education Clean energy generation Resort Construction Park Film production Warehouse distribution Advanced Manufacturing New urban centers Employment cores
Supportive Job growth
Initial Industries Housing
Total  Phase 1 Housing
Complete Phase 1
Superstition Vistas  Overview of Housing Analysis
Current Rental Housing Compared with 2030 Demand (Phoenix MSA)
Current Owner Housing Compared with 2030 Demand (Phoenix MSA)
Superstition Vistas’ Balanced Housing Indicator ,[object Object],[object Object]
Superstition Vistas Proportional Housing Profile by Income (Rental)
Superstition Vistas Proportional Housing Profile by Income (Owner)
Estimating the Affordability of Prototype Units (Rental) 3 Story Apartment $950 month/rent = $38,000 annual income  8-Story Mixed Use   Retail/Residential $1,400 month/rent = $56,000 annual income
Estimating the Affordability of Prototype Units (Owner) 2 Story Single Family $322,000 sales price = $76,500 annual income * 2 Story Townhome $250,000 sales price = $66,000 annual income * * Assumes 10% down payment, 7% interest, 30 year term
Estimating the Affordability of Prototype Units (Owner) Large Lot Single Family $570,000 sales price = $135,000 annual income * * Assumes 10% down payment, 7% interest, 30 year term
Balanced Proportional Profile  by Prototype
Balanced Housing Index ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Comparing Scenario A and the Proportional Profile by Prototype Balanced Housing Index Score 57
Comparing Scenario B and the Proportional Profile by Prototype Balanced Housing Index Score 80
Comparing Scenario C and the Proportional Profile by Prototype Balanced Housing Index Score 73
Comparing Scenario D and the Proportional Profile by Prototype Balanced Housing Index Score 48
Transportation Options by Scenario
Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT)
Trip Counts – Walk & Bike Percent of Trips
Daily Transit Ridership
Proximity to Transit
Best Practices for Planning a Superstition Vistas Transportation Network   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lessons Learned ,[object Object]
Lessons Learned ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Next Steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EXTRA SLIDES ,[object Object]
 
 
 
 

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Superstition Vistas - Scenario A-D Comparison

Editor's Notes

  1. update with latest plan
  2. update with latest plan
  3. update with latest plan