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Enterprise Agility Europe 2019
How “Agile” Are We?
June 11, 2019
Who am I
Shuman Ip @ LoyaltyOne (Canada)
KMP, ESP
Associate Director, Agility and Lean
& Services Delivery Manager
Past Experience:
- Agile Coach
- Scrum Master
- Product Owner
- Developer
- Software Test Engineer
Agenda
• Business Agility
• Measure How “Agile”
• Metrics 1
• Metrics 2
• Metrics 3
• Discussion
Business
Agility
Question: How Agile are our businesses?
1. How important is Agility to the business?
2. How Agile is your business currently?
How Agile are our businesses per Deloitte and McKinsey?
More than 90% of senior executives
give high priority to becoming agile
While less than 10% see their firm as
currently highly agile
Sources:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevedenning/2019/05/23/understanding-fake-agile/amp/?fbclid=IwAR3Dzi69RuBNNopaR5qEcCgldaL0W9PjiqTvZogT2gUZAhO0tSfiOVossVE
https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/organization/our-insights/how-to-create-an-agile-organization
https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/lu/Documents/human-capital/lu-hc-2017-global-human-capital-trends-gx.pdf
Question: What does it mean to be Agile as a Business?
What does it mean to be Agile as a Business?
Business Agility is the ability of an
organization to rapidly adapt to
market and environmental changes
What are the indicators for Agility?
What are the indicators for Agility?
What are the indicators for Agility?
Team Outputs?
What are the indicators for Agility?
Team Outputs?
What are the indicators for Agility?
Team Outputs?
What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility?
What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility?
1. Customer Lens
What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility?
1. Customer Lens
2. Measure End-to-End Service Delivery
What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility?
1. Customer Lens
2. Measure End-to-End Service Delivery
3. Different Services have Different
Agility Expectations and Capability
Measuring
How “Agile
Are We
Exercise: Different Group has different identity
Feature: Fitness CriteriaWhich service are we inspecting?
There is no one size fit all expectations
and delivery capability
Each service has a different service
level expectation and their respective
delivery capability
Feature: Fitness CriteriaWho is our customer for this service?
In case you don’t know who your customer is…
Identify the group who is yelling the loudest and fastest
when the delivery of a service is not up to expectation
Feature: Fitness Criteria3 Metrics for Service Delivery Agility
1. Replenishment Frequency
2. Release Frequency
3. Lead Time
Feature: Fitness Criteria3 Metrics for Service Delivery Agility
1. Replenishment Frequency
2. Release Frequency
3. Lead Time
Replenishment
Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency
Replenishment happens
when the delivery system
pulls in customer request(s)
as commitment(s)
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Replenishment Frequency
Payment
(Commit to fulfill Request)
Replenishment
Moonbucks Coffee
Queue
(Optional)
Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Replenishment Frequency
Replenishment vs. Business Agility
It shows how often we can adapt to
changes introduced by our customers
Agile does not mean delivering faster,
it means adapting to changes quick
enough
Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency
How often do customers
expect us to react (take in
their request of this
particular work item type)?
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
How often do we currently
take in customer request of
this particular work item type?
Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency
Replenishment Frequency can
signal the customers to prepare
for their request in a ready-to-
consume state
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Replenishment Example – Feature Work
Censored
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Replenishment Example – Feature Work
Category Notes
Goal Setting (What)
50% of new POS Loyalty Program
enrollments come from Digital Channels
Strategic Objective (Why)
Validate hypothesis: Our potential POS
customer-base is moving towards Digital
Workflow
See attached for current paper-based
workflow and ideal digital workflow
Business Scope Trim Divided Digital Enrollment into 3 Phases
Business Dependencies Client Services, Partner, Marketing
Analytics
User flow (look into drop off)
Enrollment Location (for future campaign)
Technical Feasibility Yes
Effort (hrs, days, wks, mths) Days
Technical Dependencies Dani’s team to work on front end tweaks
Technical Scope Trim N/A
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Replenishment Example – Feature Work
With an established Replenishment
Cadence, customers know when to
get the Feature Request form filled
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Replenishment Frequency
Avg. Replenishment Rate = Number of Days
Number of Replenishment
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
What is the expected and
current Replenishment
Frequency of your system?
Day Replenishment? Release?
1 √
2
3
4
5
6 √ √
7
8
9
10 √ √
11
12
13
14
15 √ √
16
17
18
19
20 √ √
21
22
23
24
25
26 √ √
27
28
29
30 √ √
Day Replenishment? Release?
31
32
33
34
35 √ √
36
37
38
39
40 √ √
41
42
43
44
45 √
46 √
47
48
49
50 √
51 √
52
53
54
55 √ √
56
57
58
59
60 √ √
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lead Time
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Replenishment Frequency
Avg. Replenishment Rate = Number of Days
Number of Replenishment
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
What is the expected and
current Replenishment
Frequency of your system?
Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency
Replenishment vs. Business Agility
It shows how often we can adapt to
changes introduced by our customers
Agile does not mean delivering faster,
it means adapting to changes quick
enough
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness Criteria3 Metrics for Service Delivery Agility
1. Replenishment Frequency
2. Release Frequency
3. Lead Time
Release
Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency
Release happens when the
customer has received the
service (product) as requested
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Release Frequency
Moonbucks Coffee
Medium Diablo
Coffee for David
&
Two Small Angel
Coffees for Ann Yep I am David.
Thanks!
Oh I am Ann.
Coming now
Coffee is Made
Customer has not received
Coffee Received
(Outcome realized)
Release
Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Release Frequency
Release vs. Business Agility?
It shows how often stakeholders
need to do release-related tasks, and
It shows how often customer can
adapt to changes introduced by us
Collaborate with Customer to
achieve outcomes instead of
pushing outputs to Customer
Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency
How often do customers
expect to receive fulfilled
requests of this particular
work item type from us?
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency
How often do we currently
deliver completed request(s)
of this particular work item
type to customers?
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Release Example – Feature Work
Release Frequency can
signal customer and
stakeholders to prepare for
release-related tasks
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Release Example – Feature Work
Release Tasks Customer Internal Stakeholders
Deploy to Production √ (Ops)
Communication √ √ (Internal, Exec)
Training √ √
User Acceptance Test √ √ (User Research)
Add to Starter Kit √ (Dev)
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Release Frequency
What is the expected and
current Release Frequency of
your system?
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Avg. Release Rate = Number of Days
Number of Release
Day Replenishment? Release?
1 √
2
3
4
5
6 √ √
7
8
9
10 √ √
11
12
13
14
15 √ √
16
17
18
19
20 √ √
21
22
23
24
25
26 √ √
27
28
29
30 √ √
Day Replenishment? Release?
31
32
33
34
35 √ √
36
37
38
39
40 √ √
41
42
43
44
45 √
46 √
47
48
49
50 √
51 √
52
53
54
55 √ √
56
57
58
59
60 √ √
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lead Time
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Release Frequency
What is the expected and
current Release Frequency of
your system?
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Avg. Release Rate = Number of Days
Number of Release
Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency
Release vs. Business Agility?
It shows how often stakeholders
need to do release-related tasks, and
It shows how often customer can
adapt to changes introduced by us
Collaborate with Customer to
achieve outcomes instead of
pushing outputs to Customer
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment and Release Frequencies
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment and Release Frequencies
Replenishment and Release
have Transaction Costs
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness Criteria3 Metrics for Service Delivery Agility
1. Replenishment Frequency
2. Release Frequency
3. Lead Time
Lead Time
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time
Lead Time is the elapsed time between
Replenishment and Release
Slow
Fast
How fast?
Low
High
How Predictable?
Payment
(Commit to fulfill Request)
Replenishment
Moonbucks Coffee
Coffee Received
(Outcome realized)
Release
Lead Time
How much
sugar/ milk?
Which
coffee
bean?
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time
Lead Time is not a mere number,
it is a Probabilistic Distribution
Slow
Fast
How fast?
Low
High
How Predictable?
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time
Slow
Fast
How fast?
Low
High
How Predictable?
Lead Time vs. Business Agility
It answers the question “when will this be done?”
based on historical data
• End-to-end delivery
• Customer-recognizable service
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time
Slow
Fast
How fast?
90 Days
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%
How fast do customers expect our delivery to be?
How predictable do customers expect our delivery to be?
E.g.
Customer expects 90 Days
delivery 75% of the time
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time
How fast is our current delivery to customers’ expected confidence level?
How predictable is our current delivery to customers’ expected duration?
E.g.
We deliver to 90 days 57% of the time
We deliver to 106 days 75% of the time
Slow
Fast
How fast?
90 Days
106
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%
57%
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Release Example – Feature Work
Knowing the Lead Time allows customer to select
the appropriate class of service for each work item
Slow
Fast
How fast?
90 Days 85
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%82%
1
0
1 1
0 0
4
1 1
0
1
0 0 0 0 0 0
1 1
0
14 22 30 38 46 54 62 70 78 86 94 102 110 118 126 134 142 150 158 166
Itemcount(higherequalsmoreoften)
Cycle time value (calendar days from start to complete)
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Release Example – Feature Work
p actual estimated rounded days
5% 21 30.730 31
10% 27 38.397 38
15% 33 43.908 44
20% 43 48.434 48
25% 56 52.396 52
30% 56 56.000 56
35% 56 59.369 59
40% 58 62.584 63
45% 59 65.706 66
50% 60 68.783 69
55% 63 71.862 72
60% 67 74.988 75
65% 74 78.213 78
70% 82 81.600 82
75% 90 85.240 85
80% 123 89.269 89
85% 147 93.930 94
90% 152 99.732 100
95% 160 108.194 108
100% 170 170.000 170
Slow
Fast
How fast?
90 Days 85
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%82%
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time
What is the expected and current lead time of your system?
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%
Slow
Fast
How fast?
6 Days
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time
What is the expected and current lead time of your system?
1. Histogram (X-axis = Range of duration; Y-axis = # of work done in a particular duration)
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 …
Lead Time (Days)
Slow
Fast
How fast?
6 Days
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time
Based on our historical data:
0% chance we can deliver in less than 3 days
100% chance we can deliver within 12 days
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 …
Lead Time (Days)
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time
What is the expected and current lead time of your system?
1. Histogram (X-axis = Range of duration; Y-axis = # of work done in a particular duration)
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%
Slow
Fast
How fast?
6 Days
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 …
Lead Time (Days)
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time
What is the expected and current lead time of your system?
1. Histogram (X-axis = Range of duration; Y-axis = # of work done in a particular duration)
2. Calculate Lead Time Duration per customer’s expected predictability (e.g. 75%)
Slow
Fast
How fast?
6 Days
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%
8.5
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 …
Lead Time (Days)
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time
What is the expected and current lead time of your system?
1. Histogram (X-axis = Range of duration; Y-axis = # of work done in a particular duration)
2. Calculate Lead Time Duration per customer’s expected Predictability (e.g. 75%)
3. Calculate Lead Time Predictability per customer’s expected Duration (e.g. 6 Days)
Slow
Fast
How fast?
6 Days
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%
8.5
65%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 …
Lead Time (Days)
Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time
What is the expected and current lead time of your system?
1. Troy Magennis’s http://focusedobjective.com/free-tools-resources/
2. Excel: =PERCENTILE.INC(array, desired percentile)
3. Excel: =PERCENTRANK.INC(array, desired duration)
Slow
Fast
How fast?
6 Days
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%
8.5
65%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 …
Lead Time (Days)
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time
Lead Time vs. Business Agility
It answers the question “when will this be done?”
based on historical data
• End-to-end delivery
• Customer-recognizable service
Slow
Fast
How fast?
90 Days
85
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%82%
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow “Agile” is our Cost-Saving Feature Service in LoyaltyOne?
Slow
Fast
How fast?
90 Days
85
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%82%
Go-to-market Strategies
Current State
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaWhen do we use the Service Delivery Dashboard?
Customer Meetings
Service Delivery Review
Operations Review
Improvement Initiatives… etc.
Service Delivery Agility
Feature: Fitness CriteriaPresentation: What does your dashboard say?
Can you guess the
identity of your system?
What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility?
1. Unit of measure is “customer recognizable”
2. Represent the capability of an End-to-End delivery pipeline
3. One dashboard per service
Discussion
Feature: Fitness CriteriaDiscussion: How useful is this dashboard?
For Customers?
For the Service Delivery Group?
For Executives?
Any other groups?
Feature: Fitness CriteriaDiscussion: How to close the gaps in dashboard?
How do we close the gap between
customer expectation and delivery
system capability?
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Turn off a customer segment
Feature: Fitness CriteriaBank Monthly Financial Report Dashboard
Slow
Fast
How fast?
30 Days
34
Low
High
How Predictable?
100%
73%
Go-to-market Strategies
Current State
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Turn off a customer segment
2. Manage Customer Demand and Expectations
Feature: Fitness CriteriaGaming Startup Feature Request Dashboard
Slow
Fast
How fast?
5 Days
6
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%
70%
Go-to-market Strategies
Current State
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Weekly
Release Frequency
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Daily
Replenishment Frequency
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Turn off a customer segment
2. Manage Customer Demand and Expectations
3. Increase Delivery Capability
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Analyze the Histogram tail
Feature: Fitness CriteriaAnalyze the Histogram Tail
Why were these
tickets delayed?
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 …
Lead Time
Feature: Fitness CriteriaAnalyze the Histogram Tail
Feature: Fitness CriteriaAnalyze the Histogram Tail
Special cause variation –
outside of normal fluctuation
+3 standard deviation
-3 standard deviation
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Analyze the Histogram tail
2. Visualize Workflow
Feature: Fitness CriteriaVisualize Workflow
Feature: Fitness CriteriaVisualize Workflow
Do we have too much going
on in Design?
How long are the tickets in
Design for?
What is the flow efficiency?
Do we have too little going on
in UAT?
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Analyze the Histogram tail
2. Visualize Workflow
3. Limit Work In Progress
Feature: Fitness CriteriaLimit Work In Progress
Avg. Lead Time =
Work In Progress
Avg. Delivery Rate
Little’s Law
Limiting WIP puts a constraint to the
system to lower the Avg. Lead Time
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Analyze the Histogram tail
2. Visualize Workflow
3. Limit Work In Progress
4. Deferred Commitment
Feature: Fitness CriteriaDeferred Commitment
Option vs. Commitment
Are you treating everything
as Commitment?
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Analyze the Histogram tail
2. Visualize Workflow
3. Limit Work In Progress
4. Deferred Commitment
5. Classes of Service
Feature: Fitness CriteriaClasses of Service
A service might need to offer
different classes of service to
satisfy different “urgency”
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Analyze the Histogram tail
2. Visualize Workflow
3. Limit Work In Progress
4. Deferred Commitment
5. Classes of Service
6. Work Item Types
Feature: Fitness CriteriaWork Item Types
Demand Analysis:
Are we dividing our services too granularly?
Do we need to further split our work item types?
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard?
1. Analyze the Histogram tail
2. Visualize Workflow
3. Limit Work In Progress
4. Deferred Commitment
5. Classes of Service
6. Work Item Types
7. Staffing
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHypothesis
If we <the change / experiment>
we expect to see <impact to the context for change>
seen through <measurement and observations>
Feature: Fitness CriteriaHypothesis
Example:
If we decrease WIP Limit from 10 to 7
we expect to see a increase in lead time predictability
seen through the shape of our lead time histogram
Feature: Fitness Criteria
Slow
Fast
How fast?
90 Days
85
Low
High
How Predictable?
75%82%
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Release Frequency
Yearly
Quarterly
Monthly Weekly
Daily
Hourly
Monthly
Replenishment Frequency
106
57%
Go-to-market Strategies
Current State
Previous State
NEW System vs Old System
Feature: Fitness CriteriaAll components are interrelated
All components are interrelated
Intending to improve one area (e.g. Release Rate)
can have an impact on the other areas
Feature: Fitness CriteriaDiscussion: What about Throughput?
Why doesn’t this dashboard include
Throughput as a metrics?
Suman Ip - AirMiles  - How "Agile" Are We?

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Suman Ip - AirMiles - How "Agile" Are We?

  • 1. Enterprise Agility Europe 2019 How “Agile” Are We? June 11, 2019
  • 3. Shuman Ip @ LoyaltyOne (Canada) KMP, ESP Associate Director, Agility and Lean & Services Delivery Manager Past Experience: - Agile Coach - Scrum Master - Product Owner - Developer - Software Test Engineer
  • 4. Agenda • Business Agility • Measure How “Agile” • Metrics 1 • Metrics 2 • Metrics 3 • Discussion
  • 6. Question: How Agile are our businesses? 1. How important is Agility to the business? 2. How Agile is your business currently?
  • 7. How Agile are our businesses per Deloitte and McKinsey? More than 90% of senior executives give high priority to becoming agile While less than 10% see their firm as currently highly agile Sources: https://www.forbes.com/sites/stevedenning/2019/05/23/understanding-fake-agile/amp/?fbclid=IwAR3Dzi69RuBNNopaR5qEcCgldaL0W9PjiqTvZogT2gUZAhO0tSfiOVossVE https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/organization/our-insights/how-to-create-an-agile-organization https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/lu/Documents/human-capital/lu-hc-2017-global-human-capital-trends-gx.pdf
  • 8. Question: What does it mean to be Agile as a Business?
  • 9. What does it mean to be Agile as a Business? Business Agility is the ability of an organization to rapidly adapt to market and environmental changes
  • 10. What are the indicators for Agility?
  • 11. What are the indicators for Agility?
  • 12. What are the indicators for Agility? Team Outputs?
  • 13. What are the indicators for Agility? Team Outputs?
  • 14. What are the indicators for Agility? Team Outputs?
  • 15. What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility?
  • 16. What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility? 1. Customer Lens
  • 17. What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility? 1. Customer Lens 2. Measure End-to-End Service Delivery
  • 18. What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility? 1. Customer Lens 2. Measure End-to-End Service Delivery 3. Different Services have Different Agility Expectations and Capability
  • 20. Exercise: Different Group has different identity
  • 21. Feature: Fitness CriteriaWhich service are we inspecting? There is no one size fit all expectations and delivery capability Each service has a different service level expectation and their respective delivery capability
  • 22. Feature: Fitness CriteriaWho is our customer for this service? In case you don’t know who your customer is… Identify the group who is yelling the loudest and fastest when the delivery of a service is not up to expectation
  • 23. Feature: Fitness Criteria3 Metrics for Service Delivery Agility 1. Replenishment Frequency 2. Release Frequency 3. Lead Time
  • 24. Feature: Fitness Criteria3 Metrics for Service Delivery Agility 1. Replenishment Frequency 2. Release Frequency 3. Lead Time
  • 27. Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency Replenishment happens when the delivery system pulls in customer request(s) as commitment(s) Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Replenishment Frequency
  • 28. Payment (Commit to fulfill Request) Replenishment Moonbucks Coffee Queue (Optional)
  • 29. Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Replenishment Frequency Replenishment vs. Business Agility It shows how often we can adapt to changes introduced by our customers Agile does not mean delivering faster, it means adapting to changes quick enough
  • 30. Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency How often do customers expect us to react (take in their request of this particular work item type)? Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency
  • 31. Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency How often do we currently take in customer request of this particular work item type?
  • 32. Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency Replenishment Frequency can signal the customers to prepare for their request in a ready-to- consume state Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency
  • 33. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Replenishment Example – Feature Work Censored
  • 34. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Replenishment Example – Feature Work Category Notes Goal Setting (What) 50% of new POS Loyalty Program enrollments come from Digital Channels Strategic Objective (Why) Validate hypothesis: Our potential POS customer-base is moving towards Digital Workflow See attached for current paper-based workflow and ideal digital workflow Business Scope Trim Divided Digital Enrollment into 3 Phases Business Dependencies Client Services, Partner, Marketing Analytics User flow (look into drop off) Enrollment Location (for future campaign) Technical Feasibility Yes Effort (hrs, days, wks, mths) Days Technical Dependencies Dani’s team to work on front end tweaks Technical Scope Trim N/A
  • 35. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Replenishment Example – Feature Work With an established Replenishment Cadence, customers know when to get the Feature Request form filled Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency
  • 36. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Replenishment Frequency Avg. Replenishment Rate = Number of Days Number of Replenishment Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency What is the expected and current Replenishment Frequency of your system?
  • 37. Day Replenishment? Release? 1 √ 2 3 4 5 6 √ √ 7 8 9 10 √ √ 11 12 13 14 15 √ √ 16 17 18 19 20 √ √ 21 22 23 24 25 26 √ √ 27 28 29 30 √ √ Day Replenishment? Release? 31 32 33 34 35 √ √ 36 37 38 39 40 √ √ 41 42 43 44 45 √ 46 √ 47 48 49 50 √ 51 √ 52 53 54 55 √ √ 56 57 58 59 60 √ √ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Lead Time
  • 38. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Replenishment Frequency Avg. Replenishment Rate = Number of Days Number of Replenishment Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency What is the expected and current Replenishment Frequency of your system?
  • 39. Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment Frequency Replenishment vs. Business Agility It shows how often we can adapt to changes introduced by our customers Agile does not mean delivering faster, it means adapting to changes quick enough Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency
  • 40. Feature: Fitness Criteria3 Metrics for Service Delivery Agility 1. Replenishment Frequency 2. Release Frequency 3. Lead Time
  • 43. Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency Release happens when the customer has received the service (product) as requested Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Release Frequency
  • 44. Moonbucks Coffee Medium Diablo Coffee for David & Two Small Angel Coffees for Ann Yep I am David. Thanks! Oh I am Ann. Coming now Coffee is Made Customer has not received Coffee Received (Outcome realized) Release
  • 45. Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Release Frequency Release vs. Business Agility? It shows how often stakeholders need to do release-related tasks, and It shows how often customer can adapt to changes introduced by us Collaborate with Customer to achieve outcomes instead of pushing outputs to Customer
  • 46. Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency How often do customers expect to receive fulfilled requests of this particular work item type from us? Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency
  • 47. Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency How often do we currently deliver completed request(s) of this particular work item type to customers? Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency
  • 48. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Release Example – Feature Work Release Frequency can signal customer and stakeholders to prepare for release-related tasks Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency
  • 49. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Release Example – Feature Work Release Tasks Customer Internal Stakeholders Deploy to Production √ (Ops) Communication √ √ (Internal, Exec) Training √ √ User Acceptance Test √ √ (User Research) Add to Starter Kit √ (Dev)
  • 50. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Release Frequency What is the expected and current Release Frequency of your system? Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency Avg. Release Rate = Number of Days Number of Release
  • 51. Day Replenishment? Release? 1 √ 2 3 4 5 6 √ √ 7 8 9 10 √ √ 11 12 13 14 15 √ √ 16 17 18 19 20 √ √ 21 22 23 24 25 26 √ √ 27 28 29 30 √ √ Day Replenishment? Release? 31 32 33 34 35 √ √ 36 37 38 39 40 √ √ 41 42 43 44 45 √ 46 √ 47 48 49 50 √ 51 √ 52 53 54 55 √ √ 56 57 58 59 60 √ √ 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Lead Time
  • 52. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Release Frequency What is the expected and current Release Frequency of your system? Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency Avg. Release Rate = Number of Days Number of Release
  • 53. Feature: Fitness CriteriaRelease Frequency Release vs. Business Agility? It shows how often stakeholders need to do release-related tasks, and It shows how often customer can adapt to changes introduced by us Collaborate with Customer to achieve outcomes instead of pushing outputs to Customer Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency
  • 54. Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment and Release Frequencies Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency
  • 55. Feature: Fitness CriteriaReplenishment and Release Frequencies Replenishment and Release have Transaction Costs Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency
  • 56. Feature: Fitness Criteria3 Metrics for Service Delivery Agility 1. Replenishment Frequency 2. Release Frequency 3. Lead Time
  • 59. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time Lead Time is the elapsed time between Replenishment and Release Slow Fast How fast? Low High How Predictable?
  • 60. Payment (Commit to fulfill Request) Replenishment Moonbucks Coffee Coffee Received (Outcome realized) Release Lead Time How much sugar/ milk? Which coffee bean?
  • 61. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time Lead Time is not a mere number, it is a Probabilistic Distribution Slow Fast How fast? Low High How Predictable?
  • 62. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time Slow Fast How fast? Low High How Predictable? Lead Time vs. Business Agility It answers the question “when will this be done?” based on historical data • End-to-end delivery • Customer-recognizable service
  • 63. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time Slow Fast How fast? 90 Days Low High How Predictable? 75% How fast do customers expect our delivery to be? How predictable do customers expect our delivery to be? E.g. Customer expects 90 Days delivery 75% of the time
  • 64. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time How fast is our current delivery to customers’ expected confidence level? How predictable is our current delivery to customers’ expected duration? E.g. We deliver to 90 days 57% of the time We deliver to 106 days 75% of the time Slow Fast How fast? 90 Days 106 Low High How Predictable? 75% 57%
  • 65. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Release Example – Feature Work Knowing the Lead Time allows customer to select the appropriate class of service for each work item Slow Fast How fast? 90 Days 85 Low High How Predictable? 75%82% 1 0 1 1 0 0 4 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 14 22 30 38 46 54 62 70 78 86 94 102 110 118 126 134 142 150 158 166 Itemcount(higherequalsmoreoften) Cycle time value (calendar days from start to complete)
  • 66. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLoyaltyOne Release Example – Feature Work p actual estimated rounded days 5% 21 30.730 31 10% 27 38.397 38 15% 33 43.908 44 20% 43 48.434 48 25% 56 52.396 52 30% 56 56.000 56 35% 56 59.369 59 40% 58 62.584 63 45% 59 65.706 66 50% 60 68.783 69 55% 63 71.862 72 60% 67 74.988 75 65% 74 78.213 78 70% 82 81.600 82 75% 90 85.240 85 80% 123 89.269 89 85% 147 93.930 94 90% 152 99.732 100 95% 160 108.194 108 100% 170 170.000 170 Slow Fast How fast? 90 Days 85 Low High How Predictable? 75%82%
  • 67. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time What is the expected and current lead time of your system? Low High How Predictable? 75% Slow Fast How fast? 6 Days
  • 68. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time What is the expected and current lead time of your system? 1. Histogram (X-axis = Range of duration; Y-axis = # of work done in a particular duration) Low High How Predictable? 75% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 … Lead Time (Days) Slow Fast How fast? 6 Days
  • 69. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time Based on our historical data: 0% chance we can deliver in less than 3 days 100% chance we can deliver within 12 days 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 … Lead Time (Days)
  • 70. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time What is the expected and current lead time of your system? 1. Histogram (X-axis = Range of duration; Y-axis = # of work done in a particular duration) Low High How Predictable? 75% Slow Fast How fast? 6 Days 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 … Lead Time (Days)
  • 71. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time What is the expected and current lead time of your system? 1. Histogram (X-axis = Range of duration; Y-axis = # of work done in a particular duration) 2. Calculate Lead Time Duration per customer’s expected predictability (e.g. 75%) Slow Fast How fast? 6 Days Low High How Predictable? 75% 8.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 … Lead Time (Days)
  • 72. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time What is the expected and current lead time of your system? 1. Histogram (X-axis = Range of duration; Y-axis = # of work done in a particular duration) 2. Calculate Lead Time Duration per customer’s expected Predictability (e.g. 75%) 3. Calculate Lead Time Predictability per customer’s expected Duration (e.g. 6 Days) Slow Fast How fast? 6 Days Low High How Predictable? 75% 8.5 65% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 … Lead Time (Days)
  • 73. Feature: Fitness CriteriaExercise: Lead Time What is the expected and current lead time of your system? 1. Troy Magennis’s http://focusedobjective.com/free-tools-resources/ 2. Excel: =PERCENTILE.INC(array, desired percentile) 3. Excel: =PERCENTRANK.INC(array, desired duration) Slow Fast How fast? 6 Days Low High How Predictable? 75% 8.5 65% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 … Lead Time (Days)
  • 74. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLead Time Lead Time vs. Business Agility It answers the question “when will this be done?” based on historical data • End-to-end delivery • Customer-recognizable service Slow Fast How fast? 90 Days 85 Low High How Predictable? 75%82%
  • 75. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow “Agile” is our Cost-Saving Feature Service in LoyaltyOne? Slow Fast How fast? 90 Days 85 Low High How Predictable? 75%82% Go-to-market Strategies Current State Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency
  • 76. Feature: Fitness CriteriaWhen do we use the Service Delivery Dashboard? Customer Meetings Service Delivery Review Operations Review Improvement Initiatives… etc.
  • 78. Feature: Fitness CriteriaPresentation: What does your dashboard say? Can you guess the identity of your system?
  • 79. What are the criteria for the appropriate indicators for Agility? 1. Unit of measure is “customer recognizable” 2. Represent the capability of an End-to-End delivery pipeline 3. One dashboard per service
  • 81. Feature: Fitness CriteriaDiscussion: How useful is this dashboard? For Customers? For the Service Delivery Group? For Executives? Any other groups?
  • 82. Feature: Fitness CriteriaDiscussion: How to close the gaps in dashboard? How do we close the gap between customer expectation and delivery system capability?
  • 83. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Turn off a customer segment
  • 84. Feature: Fitness CriteriaBank Monthly Financial Report Dashboard Slow Fast How fast? 30 Days 34 Low High How Predictable? 100% 73% Go-to-market Strategies Current State Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency
  • 85. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Turn off a customer segment 2. Manage Customer Demand and Expectations
  • 86. Feature: Fitness CriteriaGaming Startup Feature Request Dashboard Slow Fast How fast? 5 Days 6 Low High How Predictable? 75% 70% Go-to-market Strategies Current State Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Weekly Release Frequency Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Daily Replenishment Frequency
  • 87. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Turn off a customer segment 2. Manage Customer Demand and Expectations 3. Increase Delivery Capability
  • 88. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Analyze the Histogram tail
  • 89. Feature: Fitness CriteriaAnalyze the Histogram Tail Why were these tickets delayed? 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 … Lead Time
  • 90. Feature: Fitness CriteriaAnalyze the Histogram Tail
  • 91. Feature: Fitness CriteriaAnalyze the Histogram Tail Special cause variation – outside of normal fluctuation +3 standard deviation -3 standard deviation
  • 92. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Analyze the Histogram tail 2. Visualize Workflow
  • 94. Feature: Fitness CriteriaVisualize Workflow Do we have too much going on in Design? How long are the tickets in Design for? What is the flow efficiency? Do we have too little going on in UAT?
  • 95. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Analyze the Histogram tail 2. Visualize Workflow 3. Limit Work In Progress
  • 96. Feature: Fitness CriteriaLimit Work In Progress Avg. Lead Time = Work In Progress Avg. Delivery Rate Little’s Law Limiting WIP puts a constraint to the system to lower the Avg. Lead Time
  • 97. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Analyze the Histogram tail 2. Visualize Workflow 3. Limit Work In Progress 4. Deferred Commitment
  • 98. Feature: Fitness CriteriaDeferred Commitment Option vs. Commitment Are you treating everything as Commitment?
  • 99. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Analyze the Histogram tail 2. Visualize Workflow 3. Limit Work In Progress 4. Deferred Commitment 5. Classes of Service
  • 100. Feature: Fitness CriteriaClasses of Service A service might need to offer different classes of service to satisfy different “urgency”
  • 101. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Analyze the Histogram tail 2. Visualize Workflow 3. Limit Work In Progress 4. Deferred Commitment 5. Classes of Service 6. Work Item Types
  • 102. Feature: Fitness CriteriaWork Item Types Demand Analysis: Are we dividing our services too granularly? Do we need to further split our work item types?
  • 103. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHow to close the gaps in dashboard? 1. Analyze the Histogram tail 2. Visualize Workflow 3. Limit Work In Progress 4. Deferred Commitment 5. Classes of Service 6. Work Item Types 7. Staffing
  • 104. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHypothesis If we <the change / experiment> we expect to see <impact to the context for change> seen through <measurement and observations>
  • 105. Feature: Fitness CriteriaHypothesis Example: If we decrease WIP Limit from 10 to 7 we expect to see a increase in lead time predictability seen through the shape of our lead time histogram
  • 106. Feature: Fitness Criteria Slow Fast How fast? 90 Days 85 Low High How Predictable? 75%82% Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Release Frequency Yearly Quarterly Monthly Weekly Daily Hourly Monthly Replenishment Frequency 106 57% Go-to-market Strategies Current State Previous State NEW System vs Old System
  • 107. Feature: Fitness CriteriaAll components are interrelated All components are interrelated Intending to improve one area (e.g. Release Rate) can have an impact on the other areas
  • 108. Feature: Fitness CriteriaDiscussion: What about Throughput? Why doesn’t this dashboard include Throughput as a metrics?