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                        IORR: Industry Outlook Reference Report

             Steel Industry in India - 2013




Published: 08.01.2013

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1.

                              Steel Industry in India - 2013

Index & Disclaimer

About IORR                      Index:                                                                                Page

IORR: “Industry                 1. Steel Industry in India: Global Perspective                                         3-4
Outlook Reference                  - Indian steel industry vs. global steel industry
Report” is an initiative           - Contribution of India’s economy to global GDP
by Corpotrade Global               - India & the leading steel producers in the world
Pvt. Ltd., India to                - India’s share in global steel consumption
increase knowledge                 - Competitiveness of the Indian steel industry
and awareness about
                                2. Steel Production Scenario in India: The Way Forward                                 5-7
a particular industry
                                   - Indian steel industry: evolution and growth
among information
                                   - Steel production trend in India
seekers, professionals
                                   - Leading steel producers in India
and executives of the
industry. The report               - Technology wise steel production
gives a quick overview             - Category wise steel production
and insight of the              3. India’s Steel Consumption Trend and the Growth Drivers                              8-9
particular industry and            - India’s steel consumption on high growth trajectory
is meant only for                  - Steel consumption trend in India
personal reference                 - Category wise steel consumption
and increasing                     - Prime growth drivers of steel demand in India
knowledge and
awareness.                      4. India’s Steel Import Export Scenario and Future Prospects                           10
                                   - Steel import trend and future scenario
Note                               - Steel export trend and future scenario

THIS REPORT IS                  5. Raw Material Supplies for Steel Industry: Is India Self Sufficient?                 11
PREPARED IN A                      - Assessing raw material supply scenario for India
CRISP & CONCISE                    - Raw material demand by steel industry
FORMAT FOR                         - Initiatives that will improve & secure raw materials supply
QUICK REFERENCE




                                                Disclaimer
This report is for personal reference only, to increase knowledge and awareness about the steel industry.
Information provided in this report are sourced from standard sources however Corpotrade Global does not
guarantee exactness and accuracy of the information sourced. Corpotrade Global will not be responsible for
any losses claimed in relation to contents or material of this report. A detailed research and expert assistance
is advised for conclusions and decision making.

                                                                       ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL
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2.

                              Steel Industry in India - 2013

Index Continued…

About IORR                      Index:                                                                                Page

IORR: “Industry                 6. Inadequate Infrastructure: A Major Concern for Steel Industry in India 12
Outlook Reference                  - Infrastructure issues for steel industry in India
Report” is an initiative           - Infrastructure addition during twelfth five year plans (2012-17)
by Corpotrade Global               - Actions to boost infrastructure support to steel industry
Pvt. Ltd., India to             7. Indian Steel Industry and Increasing Role of Technology                             13
increase knowledge                 - Technological exposure of Indian steel industry
and awareness about
                                   - Indian steel industry needs to adapt latest technologies
a particular industry
among information               8. Prospective Analysis of Indian Steel Industry                                       14
seekers, professionals             - Potential Growth Drivers of Indian Steel Industry
and executives of the              - Strength, Weakness, Opportunity & Threat: SWOT Analysis
industry. The report            9. Executive Summary                                                                   15
gives a quick overview
and insight of the              10. Abbreviations and Bibliography                                                     16
particular industry and
is meant only for
personal reference
and increasing
knowledge and
awareness.

Note
THIS REPORT IS
PREPARED IN A
CRISP & CONCISE
FORMAT FOR
QUICK REFERENCE




                                                Disclaimer
This report is for personal reference only, to increase knowledge and awareness about the steel industry.
Information provided in this report are sourced from standard sources however Corpotrade Global does not
guarantee exactness and accuracy of the information sourced. Corpotrade Global will not be responsible for
any losses claimed in relation to contents or material of this report. A detailed research and expert assistance
is advised for conclusions and decision making.

                                                                       ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL
                                                        Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
3.

                         Steel Industry in India - 2013

1. Steel Industry in India: Global Perspective

KEY FIGURES               INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY VS. GLOBAL STEEL INDUSTRY
 Global crude steel      Global crude steel production reached 1527 MT in 2011 showing a 6.8 %
  production – 2011:      growth over 2010. India has emerged as a leading player in global steel
  1527 MT                 industry contributing to about 4.7 % of global crude steel production in 2011.
                          Large scale infrastructure expansion plans for twelfth five year plan (FYP:
 Global crude steel      2012-17) and raising per capita steel consumption in India promises
  production growth       unprecedented growth potential of Indian steel Industry during next 10 years.
  during 2007-11: at
  CAGR of 3.2 %           Exhibit 1: World crude steel production: 2007-11, country-wise contribution (%)
                          to world crude steel production in 2011
 India’s crude steel
  production -2011:
                             World Crude Steel Production in MT (2007-11)                     Share in % (2011)
  72.2 MT
 India’s GDP               1800
                                                                 1527              RoW, 11.8
                            1600                          1430
  growth:                          1347   1341                                Brazil, 2.3
                            1400                  1236
  2010-11= 8.4%                                                               Ukraine, 2.3
                            1200
  2011-12= 6.5%             1000                                        South Korea, 4.5
  2012-13= 5.9%(E)           800                                           Russia, 4.5                                 China, 45.5
                             600
 India’s GDP: 2011                                                           India, 4.7
                             400
  Nominal - $ 1.85           200                                         United States, 5.6
                               0                                                                       Japan, 7
  trillion
                                   2007   2008    2009    2010   2011
  PPP - $ 4.5 trillion
 Approximate share       Source: World Steel Association
  of infrastructure(8%
  E) & manufacturing      CONTRIBUTION OF INDIA’S ECONOMY TO GLOBAL GDP
  sector(16 % E) in       India ranked as the third largest contributor (5.65%) to global GDP in 2011 in
  India’s GDP (FY         terms of PPP ranking, only behind US and China. India’s economic growth has
  12): one fourth         slacked during past three years due to worldwide economic slowdown however
                          during next five years it’s GDP is expected to grow in 6-8 % range. The sectors
                          with high growth potential like manufacturing and construction sectors which
                          account for about one fourth(FY 12) of India’s GDP will be the key growth
                          drivers for the Indian Steel Industry

                          Exhibit 2: GDP (trillion $) of leading global economies in terms of PPP- 2011
India’s is gradually
evolving as global
leader in steel
production though it                              US
                                                                        CHINA
lags in per capita                               15.1
                                                                        11.3                   INDIA              JAPAN
steel consumption                                                                               4.5                4.4

                           Global Rank            1                       2                      3                 4
                          Source: International Monetary Fund, Economic Times


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4.

                         Steel Industry in India - 2013

1. Steel Industry in India: Global Perspective

KEY FIGURES               INDIA & THE LEADING STEEL PRODUCERS IN THE WORLD
 Global crude steel      India is the largest producer of sponge iron and fourth largest producer of crude
  consumption –           steel in the world. India registered a 5.7 % growth in crude steel production in
  2011: 1373 MT           2011 against 2010. Japan was the only nation among top ten crude steel
                          producers in the world posting negative growth of minus 1.8 % for crude steel
 Global crude steel      production in 2011 against 2010. Indian steel industry which is not
  consumption             technologically as mature as steel industry of developed economies is
  growth during           implementing latest technology, adapting backward integration and improving
  2007-11: at CAGR        efficiency in steel production to reduce cost, increase production and become
  of 3.04 %               competitive globally.

 India’s crude steel     Exhibit 3: Top ten crude steel producers in the world and their steel production
  consumption -2011:      in: 2010 and 2011 (MT)
  67.8 MT                  Country     China    Japan
                                                           United
                                                                        India   Russia
                                                                                            South
                                                                                                  Germany Ukraine                 Brazil          Turkey
                                                           States                           Korea
 India’s global rank:
                            2011       695.5    107.6          86.2     72.2     68.7           68.5        44.3      35.3          35.2            34.1
  Largest sponge
  iron producer.            2010       638.7    109.6          80.5     68.3     66.9           58.9        43.8      33.4          32.9            29.1

  4th Largest crude
                          Source: World Steel Association
  steel producer
 Per capita steel        INDIA’S SHARE IN GLOBAL STEEL CONSUMPTION
  consumption-2011:       India’s per capita steel consumption is only 57 kg against global average of 215
  Global - 215 Kg         kg. This shows a broad scope for increase in per capita steel consumption in
  India’s – 57 kg         India and potential unprecedented expansion of steel industry in India. Global
                          crude steel consumption for 2011 reached about 1373 MT
                          Exhibit 4: World crude steel consumption: 2007-11, country-wise contribution (%)
                          to world crude steel consumption in 2011
                             World Crude Steel Consumption in MT ( 2007-11)                            Share in % (2011)
                                                                                        Other Europe, 2.6
                              1500                               1301   1373                                                        China, 45.1
                                       1218    1218     1140                        Other Asian, 7.2

                              1000                                                Others, 6.3

                                                                                    Japan, 7.1
                               500
                                                                                        EU, 11.7
                                                                                                                                        OTHERS
                                                                                                                             Africa: 1%
                                   0                                                     India, 4.9                          Middle East: 1.5%
Potential growth of                    2007    2008     2009     2010   2011                                                 Central & South America: 3.3%
                                                                                                 CIS, 7.4      NAFTA, 7.7    Australia & New Zealand: 0.5%
steel consumption in
                          Source: World Steel Association, Ministry of Steel- GoI
India will polarise
development of            COMPETITIVENESS OF THE INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY
global steel sector       Abundance of raw materials, iron ore and cheap workforce makes Indian steel
towards India             industry competitive. However dependence on imported coking coal, low
                          production efficiency, inadequate infrastructure & technology and delays in
                          regulatory clearances & approvals are major hindrance to growth of Indian
                          steel industry.

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5.

                         Steel Industry in India - 2013

2. Steel Production Scenario in India: The Way Forward

KEY FIGURES               INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY: EVOLUTION AND GROWTH
 Modern steel            Steel making in India can be traced back to 400 BC. The foundation of modern
                          steel industry in India was led down in 1874 by establishment of steel making
  production facility
                          facility of Bengal Iron Works (BIW) in Kulti (West Bengal). Beginning of large
  started in India in
                          scale steel production started with establishment of Tata steel plant in 1907 in
  1874                    Jamshedpur, which started production in 1912. Later large steel plants in India
 Post liberalisation     were established in Bokaro, Durgapur, Bhilai, Burnpur and Bhadrawati. Except
  (1991) steel making     Tata Steel, steel production in India was confined to public sector companies
                          under control of SAIL till 1990s. Post liberalisation(1991) large scale
  was made open for
                          development in steel industry was witnessed due to participation of private
  private co.'s and
                          players and huge influx of foreign investment in steel industry of India.
  steel price was also
  deregulated             STEEL PRODUCTION TREND IN INDIA
 Finished steel          Post independence steel production in India showed a considerable growth in
  production in India:    capacity. Finished steel production increased from 1.1 MT in 1951 to 14.33 MT
                          in 1991-92. Post liberalisation the growth trend continued however at a higher
  Year 1951: 1.1 MT       pace and finished steel production reached 73.7 MT(provisional) for 2011-12.
  1991-92: 14.33 MT       Exhibit 5: Historical trend of steel production in India: 1951 to 2012
  2011-12:73.7 MT(P)                                                       Finished Steel Production in MT
                              80
 India’s crude steel
  production growth           60
                                                                                        CAGR: 8.53 %
  during 12th FYP
                              40
  2012-17:
  estimated at 11.3 %         20                        CAGR: 5.16 %
  (CAGR)
                                 0
 Estimated crude                                    FY 1951                            FY 1992                           FY 2012(P)
  steel volume India      Source: Public Information Bureau-GoI, Ministry of Steel-GoI
  reaches by FY 17:
                          During the period FY 07 to FY 12 crude steel production has attained growth at
  Prod.: 125.9 MT         CAGR of about 7.7 %. While the average capacity utilisation remained near 89
                          percent of the total production capacity. During the twelfth five year plan crude
  Capacity: 139.9 MT
                          steel production is estimated to grow at CAGR of about 11.3 % due to large
                          scale capacity addition plans for steel production during this period.
                          Exhibit 6: India’s crude steel production trend & projection- FY 2007 to FY 2017
Capacity utilisation                                           Crude Steel Production vs. Capacity (MT)                               139.9
of the Indian steel        150                                                                                              127.2
                                                               Actual              Estimates                      115.6
industry on average                                                                              95.4
                                                                                                           105
                           100                                                 78       81.9
remains high at 89%,                                      66.3
                                                                    72.9                                                                      Production
                                       56.8     59.8
however the sector          50                                                                                   104      114.5     125.9
                                                                                                                                              Capacity
                                                                                               85.9     94.5
suffers due to low                   50.8     53.8      58.4      64.8      69.5     73.7

efficiency                   0
                                     FY 07    FY 08     FY 09     FY 10      FY 11    FY 12    FY 13    FY 14    FY 15    FY 16     FY 17

                          Source: Ministry of Steel-GoI: working group report 2012-17, Annual Report-2011: MoS-GoI

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6.

                         Steel Industry in India - 2013

2. Steel Production Scenario in India: The Way Forward

KEY FIGURES               LEADING STEEL PRODUCERS IN INDIA
 SAIL is the largest     Steel making in India is concentrated along mineral rich belt of India, as vicinity
  steel producer in       to supply of raw materials like iron ore and coal provides considerable
  India with 13.76 MT     economic advantage. Most of the large scale steel making facilities are
  crude steel             concentrated in state of Jharkhand, Orissa, West Bengal, Chhattisgarh and
                          Karnataka. Steel production in India is leaded by SAIL, Tata Steel, JSW and
  production in FY 11
                          others, while SAIL continues to be the largest steel producer in India.
 Top five steel          Exhibit 7: Leading steel producers in India and their production share: FY 2007 to FY 2011
  producers
  contribute to            Crude Steel Production Share in MT (2007-11)                                       Share in % (2011)
  almost half of            Producer         FY 07         FY 08        FY 09       FY 10     FY 11(P)
  crude steel
                            SAIL             13.51         13.96        13.41       13.51      13.76
  production in India                                                                                                         20%
                            RINL              3.50          3.13        2.96        3.21          3.24          32%
 Steel production                                                                                                                     5%
                            Tata Steel        5.17          5.01        5.65        6.56          6.86
  through induction                                                                                                                    10%
  furnace and electric      JSW               2.64          3.15        3.22        5.26          5.85
                                                                                                                 14%              8%
  arc furnace route         ISPAT             2.76          2.83        2.20        2.69          2.38                       3%
                                                                                                                        3% 5%
  contributes to more       ESSAR             3.01          3.56        3.34        3.47          3.37
  than 50 % of steel                                                                                             SAIL         RINL
                            JSPL               -             -          1.46        1.96          2.27
  production                                                                                                     Tata Steel   JSW
                            Others-1          4.84          5.28        8.15        9.36          9.79
 Steel production                                                                                               ISPAT        ESSAR
                            Others-2         15.39         16.93        18.05       19.82      22.07
  share- FY 2011:                                                                                                JSPL         Others-1
  Crude Steel               Total            50.82         53.86        58.44       65.84      69.58             Others-2
  Private Sector: 75%       Others-1: Includes production from EAF Units/ COREX-BOF
  Gov. Sector: 25%          Others-2: Includes production from induction furnace

  Finished Steel
                          Source: Joint Plant Committee: MoS-GoI working group report 2012-17
  Private Sector: 80%
  Gov. Sector: 20%        Steel production in India which was primarily reserved for government
                          companies till liberalisation now sees dominance of private companies in terms
                          of production share. Share of private sector companies in crude steel
                          production raised from 49 % in FY 01 to 75 % in FY 11. While the share of
                          private sector companies in finished steel production increased from 68 % in
                          FY 01 to 80 % in FY 11.
                          Exhibit 8: Share of private sector companies in steel production in India (%): FY 2011
Post deregulation of                   Crude Steel Production (% Share)           Finished Steel Production (% Share)
steel industry private
sector is gaining                                    25                                      20
dominance in terms
of cumulative
production share                                                 75                                      80

                                                   Private Sector Companies      Government Sector Companies
                          Source: Joint Plant Committee


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                          Steel Industry in India - 2013

2. Steel Production Scenario in India: The Way Forward

KEY FIGURES                TECHNOLOGY WISE STEEL PRODUCTION
 Steel production         Steel production in India attained a high growth at CAGR of about 5.8 %
  growth during 11th       during the 11th FYP 2007-11 mostly contributed due to growth in steel making
  FYP 2007-11: at          through electric furnaces route. While the old method of steel making through
  CAGR of 5.8 %            oxygen route still remains dominating and contributes to about 44 % of crude
                           steel production in 2011.
 Sponge Iron figures
                           Exhibit 9: Technology-wise crude steel production share (%): FY 2011 vs. FY 2006
  for FY 12 (P):
  Prod.- 20.37 MT                                     Process Route & % Share in Crude Steel Making
  Capacity- 32 MT
                            FY 11          Basic Oxygen Furnace             Electric Arc Furnace                Induction furnace          Total
 India is the largest                             (44%)                            (24%)                            (32%)                 100 %
  sponge iron                                                     Decline
                                                                                                     Increase
                                                                    in %
  producer in the                                                  share
                                                                                                        in %
                                                                                                       share
  world and
  contributes about
                                              Basic Oxygen Furnace                   Electric Arc Furnace         Induction furnace        Total
  one third of the          FY 06                     (53%)                                  (18%)                     (29%)               100 %
  global sponge iron
  production
                           Source: Joint Plant Committee
 Production of pig
  iron and sponge          CATEGORY WISE STEEL PRODUCTION
  remained almost
  flat during last five    Most of the sponge iron produced in India, about 75 % (in FY 11) comes from
  years                    coal based units. Production of sponge iron touched 20.37 MT(P) in FY 12
                           while the capacity reached about 32 MT. India which is a net exporter of Pig
 Product-wise             Iron produced 5.78 MT(P) of pig iron in FY 12.
  growth in steel
                           Exhibit 10: Category-wise crude steel production share (MT): FY 2008 to FY 2012
  production during
  11th FYP 2007-11,        Steel Category                        FY 08        FY 09                FY 10            FY 11           FY 12(P)
  in CAGR terms:           Pig Iron                               5.28         6.21                5.88              5.68             5.78
  Flat Prod.- 4.9 %        Sponge Iron                           20.37         21.09               24.33            25.08            20.37
  Long Prod.- 5.8 %        Total Finished Steel (alloy +
                                                                 56.08         57.16               60.62            68.62            73.42
  Alloy Prod.- 16 %        non alloy)
                           Source: Joint Plant Committee: MoS

                           Exhibit 11: Product-wise crude steel production for sale (MT): FY 2007 to FY 2011
With increasing                     80
                                                                                            4.22
number of small                                        2.76         3.02      3.53
                                    60     2.33
steel producers steel                                                                                             Total of Alloy Products
                                                                                            30.8
production through                  40    25.45       26.99        27.18     30.16
                                                                                                                  Total of Flat Products
electric furnaces                                                                                                 Total of Long Products
                                    20
route is growing                          24.73       26.32        26.98     26.95          31

substantially                        0
                                         FY 07        FY 08        FY 09    FY 10        FY 11 (P)
                           Source: Joint Plant Committee: MoS-GoI: working group report 2012-17


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                        Steel Industry in India - 2013

3. India’s Steel Consumption Trend and the Growth Drivers

KEY FIGURES              INDIA’S STEEL CONSUMPTION ON HIGH GROWTH TRAJECTORY
 Per capita steel       Steel consumption in India has grown substantially since evolving of modern
  consumption            steel industry during nineteenth century. During the past two decade steel
  growth (CAGR in        consumption has grown at a faster pace driven by liberalisation, decontrol of
  %) 2006-2011:          steel industry, growing population, infrastructure development and changing
                         lifestyle of people. Per capita steel consumption in India (57kg: 2011) which is
  World Avg.- 2.75 %
                         considerably low compared to global average (215 kg: 2011 ) is estimated to
  For India- 6.71 %      grow substantially during the next five years in proportionate with the growing
 Steel consumption      economy.
  growth during 11th     Exhibit 12: Per capita steel consumption in India (kg): 2006 to 2011
  FYP (2007-11): at
                                            India’s Per Capita Steel Consumption vs. World Average
  CAGR of 8.8 %
                           250                                                                              214.7
                                                                                                 205.5
 Increasing                       187.5
                                                   198.4         196.4
                                                                                 181.9
                           200
  urbanisation and
  infrastructure           150                                                                                                      India
  growth to propel         100                                                                                                      World Average
  per capita steel                                                                50             55.4         57
                                    41.2           45.8          45.1
  consumption in            50

  India                      0
                                   2006            2007          2008            2009            2010       2011
 Finished steel
                         Source: World Steel Association
  demand for India by
  FY 17:
                         STEEL CONSUMPTION TREND IN INDIA
  Scenario-1: 105
                         Steel consumption growth during 11th FYP (2007-11) has outpaced steel
  MT (Estimated)
                         production growth. Steel consumption growth during this period was at CAGR
  Scenario-2: 107        of 8.8 % compared to production growth at CAGR of 5.8 %. We have estimated
  MT (Estimated)         finished steel demand growth during 12th FYP (2012-17) in two scenarios. For
                         scenario- 1 we assumed finished steel demand to grow at CAGR of 9 % while
                         in more optimistic case of scenario-2 we assume demand growth at CAGR of
                         11 %, with respect to FY11 as base year.
                         Exhibit 13: Steel consumption trend in India (MT): FY 2007 to FY 2017
                                 Finished Steel Consumption (Actual)                       *Finished Steel Demand Growth (Estimates)
                            80                                                         120.00
                                                                         65.61                                                                      107.01
                                                               59.34                   110.00
                            60             52.12     52.35                                                                                  99.08
Steel consumption                46.78                                                 100.00                                    91.74              105.08
growth in India             40                                                           90.00                        84.95
                                                                                                                                            97.30
during 11th FYP has                                                                                        78.65
                                                                                                                                 90.09
                                                                                         80.00     72.83
outpaced domestic           20                                                                                        83.41
                                                                                         70.00             77.24
steel production                                                                                   71.51
                             0                                                           60.00
growth with a                    FY 07     FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11(P)                             FY 12    FY 13     FY 14    FY 15      FY 16      FY 17
differential of 3% in                      Finished Steel Consumption                                              Scenario- 1               Scenario- 2
CAGR
                         Source: WSA, Joint Plant Committee: MoS-GoI: working group report 2012-17, *Estimates


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9.

                          Steel Industry in India - 2013

3. India’s Steel Consumption Trend and the Growth Drivers

KEY FIGURES                CATEGORY WISE STEEL CONSUMPTION
 Product-wise             Steel consumption in India though maintained healthy growth during the
  growth in steel          11th FYP (2007-11) but demand of steel in long product category remained
  consumption during       sluggish. Slow paced infrastructure and industrial projects development
  11th FYP 2007-11,        due to worldwide recession was the major cause for sluggish demand of
  in CAGR terms:           long product. While the demand of flat product posted high growth (12.1%
  Flat Prod.- 12.1 %       CAGR) driven by robust domestic demand of consumer durables and
  Long Prod.- 5.9 %        utility items.
  Alloy Prod.- 9 %         Exhibit 14: Product-wise consumption of finished steel (MT): FY 2007 to FY 2011
 India’s steel sector           70                                                                 3.47

  growth is primarily            60                       2.74
                                                                                   3.26
                                                                        3.36
  driven by domestic             50            2.46
                                                                                                   30.99                  Total of Alloy Products
  demand as export                                                                29.27
                                 40                       22.97        21.83
  volume is low                               19.59                                                                       Total of Flat Products
                                 30
 Factors contributing           20                                                                                       Total of Long Products
                                                                                                   31.16
  to steel demand                10           24.73       26.45        27.07      26.81

  growth in India
                                   0
  - Economic growth                           FY 07      FY 08         FY 09      FY 10          FY 11 (P)

  - Construction
                           Source: Joint Plant Committee: MoS-GoI: working group report 2012-17
  - Infrastructure dev.
  - Population growth      PRIME GROWTH DRIVERS OF STEEL DEMAND IN INDIA
  - Manufacturing
                           Steel demand has been proportionate with the GDP growth of the country.
                           Housing & real estate, construction & infrastructure and manufacturing
                           segment are the prime consumers and drivers of steel demand in India.

                           Exhibit 15: Steel demand drivers and their potential effect on steel demand growth during
                           next 5 year time frame


                                       High
                                                                                   Construction &
                                                                                   Infrastructure          Major Factors for Steel Demand Growth
                                                                                   Housing & Real
                                                                                   Estate                     Economic growth
Construction,                                                                                                 Industrial, construction &
                             Potential                                             Manufacturing
                                                                                   Sector                      manufacturing growth
infrastructure               Demand
                             Driver                                                                           Growth in population
development and                                                                    Energy & other
                                                                                   Sector                     Rising middle class population and per
manufacturing                                                                                                  capita steel consumption
                                                                                   Agriculture,
activity forms the                                                                 Mining sector
                                                                                                              Growth in rural steel consumption
                                                                                   activity
backbone of steel                                                                                             Infrastructure Development
industry demand                                                                           High
                                                 Growth prospect of the segment

                           Source: Indicative model


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                          Steel Industry in India - 2013

4. India’s Steel Import Export Scenario and Future Prospects

KEY FIGURES                STEEL IMPORT TREND AND FUTURE SCENARIO
 India is net importer    India has been a net importer of steel, primarily of high grade steel and special
  of steel                 steel products. Deregulation and reduction in import duties on steel imports has
                           favoured steel imports. Steel imports has increased during the past decade due
 India primarily          to surge in domestic demand and reduction in price differential between
  imports as well as       imported steel and domestic steel. Import volumes have been fluctuating
  exports value            during the past five years and as per working group estimates steel imports
  added and special        during 12th FYP is estimated to be in 5-6 MT range.
  steel products           Exhibit 16: Steel import in India : past trends and future estimates- 2007-08 to 2017
 Steel import in
  India touched 7.38                                        Finished Steel Import in MT
  MT in FY 10                  8
                                                              Actual           Estimates

 Working group on             6
  Steel estimates              4    7.03             7.38      6.66     6.83
                                             5.84                                      6    5.5     5.5
  steel imports in                                                                                           5       5
                               2
  range of 5-6 MT              0
  during 12th FYP                  FY 08    FY 09   FY 10     FY 11 FY 12 (P) FY 13        FY 14   FY 15   FY 16   FY 17
                                                                        Steel Import
 During 11th FYP
  steel import posted      Source: Joint Plant Committee - MoS, Working group report 2012-17- MoS

  negative growth of
  about 9 %                STEEL EXPORT TREND AND FUTURE SCENARIO
 Working group on         Liberalisation and free trade policy helped growth of steel exports from India.
                           Most of the steel exports from India consists of value added steel products
  Steel estimates
                           with higher margins. To remain competitive globally India needs to grow share
  steel exports to         of value added and sophisticated steel product in its export basket. Steel
  reach 7 MT during        exports from India declined during 2008-11 period due to subdued demand of
  12th FYP                 steel globally. Steel export is expected to regain momentum as the global
                           economy revives . Steel exports is estimated to grow gradually from about 4
                           MT during FY 13 to 7 MT by FY 17.
                           Exhibit 17: Steel exports from India : past trends and future estimates- 2007-08 to 2017

                                                      Finished Steel Export from India in MT
                               8

                               6
India’s steel export                                           Actual          Estimates
will shift towards             4
                                                                                                             7       7
higher percentage of                                                                                 6
                                    5.08                                                     5
                               2             4.44                       4.04           4
                                                               3.64
value added and                                      3.25

high margin steel              0
products in the                    FY 08    FY 09   FY 10     FY 11 FY 12 (P) FY 13        FY 14   FY 15   FY 16   FY 17
export basket                                                           Steel Export

                           Source: Joint Plant Committee - MoS, Working group report 2012-17- MoS


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5. Raw Material Supplies for Steel Industry: Is India Self Sufficient?

KEY FIGURES               ASSESSING RAW MATERIAL SUPPLY SCENARIO FOR INDIA
 Iron ore production     Raw material accounts for about 30-50% of the total cost of steel production in
  in FY 12 was            India. Raw materials for steel making includes iron ore, coke, lime, ferro-alloys
  169.66 MT               and refractories etc. India has a huge iron ore reserve of about 28.52 billion
                          tons. About 60-70 % of the iron ore produced is consumed domestically and
 India has 28.52         remaining (mostly fines) is exported. India lags in coking coal reserves and
  billion tons of iron    have only 5.3 billion tons of coking coal reserves. India meets more than 50
  ore reserves            percent of coking coal demand through imports and imports will grow in parallel
                          with increasing steel production capacity.
 Estimated iron ore
  consumption by          RAW MATERIAL DEMAND BY STEEL INDUSTRY
  iron and steel          About 2.5 to 3.5 ton of raw materials is required per ton of crude steel
  industry in FY 12       production in India. With increasing crude steel production capacities demand
  was 116.3 MT            for main raw materials like iron ore and coking coal by steel industry will
 Coking coal             increase at faster pace.
  production in India     Exhibit 18: Raw material demand (MT) by steel industry during 12th FYP: 2012-17
  for FY 12 is                Estimated Demand                 Iron Ore               Coking Coal                   Others                Total
  estimated at about                   FY 12                    115.03                     43.25                     11.13               169.41
  22 MT                                FY 13                     135.7                     52.29                     13.92               201.91
                                       FY 14                    149.43                     57.91                     15.33               222.67
 Coking coal import                   FY 15                    166.66                     67.49                     17.28               251.43
  in India for 2012 is                 FY 16                    185.24                     77.23                     19.48               281.95
                                       FY 17                    206.18                     90.16                     21.76                318.1
  estimated at about       Others : PCI Coal, Manganese Ore, Chromite, Ferro Chrome, Ferro-Manganese, Silico-Manganese, Ferro-Silicon and Refractories
  36.8 MT
                          Source: Working group report 2012-17- MoS, Projections by working group on steel industry

                          INITIATIVES THAT WILL IMPROVE & SECURE RAW MATERIALS SUPPLY
                          Indian steel industry requires reliable and economical raw material supplies to
                          remain competitive on global platform. Being deficient in coking coal and rich in
                          iron ore fines India needs to adapt steel making technologies which are
                          suitable for low grade Indian coal and iron ore fines. India requires technology
                          inputs and investments to increase sintering and pelletisation facility for making
                          use of iron ore fines. Indian companies needs to acquire coking coal assets
                          overseas to assure uninterrupted and economic supply of coking coal for its
                          steel Industry.
                          Exhibit 19: Major initiatives to improve and secure raw material supplies to steel industry
                                                                                                                             Progressive Impact
India lags in coking                                        Reformation Measures
                                                                                                                           Small    Medium High
coal reserves,
                           1. Limiting volatility in prices & assuring continuous supply through long term linkages
acquiring coal
                           2. Assuring raw material supply security through overseas assets acquisitions
assets overseas can
                           3. Consolidating steel industry and focus on backward integration
assure reliable &
                           4. Adapting new technology to increase output and maximise efficiency
economic supplies          5. Allotting iron ore and coal mines for captive consumption by steel plants
of coal in the future      6. Minimising duties & taxes on imports & increasing same for exports of raw material
                           7. Adding coal washing and iron ore sintering & pelletisation facility
                          Source: Indicative model

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                          Steel Industry in India - 2013

6. Inadequate Infrastructure: A Major Concern for Steel Industry in India

KEY FIGURES                INFRASTRUCTURE ISSUES FOR STEEL INDUSTRY IN INDIA
 Estimated                Steel industry is heavily dependent on raw material and bulk movement. For
  investment in            every tonne of steel produced about four tonnes of raw materials requires to be
  infrastructure sector    transported. Indian steel industry is facing difficulties and delays caused due to
  during 12th              inadequate infrastructure for transportation and handling bulk materials. Most
                           of the steel plant does not have proper connectivity through rail network to
  FYP(2012-17): $ 1
                           mines and ports. Bulk handling facility at majority of the ports, mines and steel
  trillion                 plants are of low capacity causing delays in loading & unloading. In most cases
 Estimated bulk           road networks connecting steel plants to mines and ports are congested
  transportation &         leading to delays in supply and delivery of raw material and other items.
  handling capacity        Exhibit 20: Bulk movements and associated issues faced by steel industry in India
  requirement of
  steel industry by
                                                                        STEEL PLANT
                                               Inadequate
  2017: more than                              - Handling facility
  400 MT                                       - Road network
                                               - Rail network                                                         Inadequate               MARKET
                                                                           Inadequate
                                                                                                                      - Storage & Logistics
 Investment in                                                            - Loading/unloading
                                                                                                                      Lack of dedicated
                                                                             Facility
  infrastructure sector                                                                                               - Road network
                                                                           Congested
                                                                                                                      - Rail network
                                                                           - Road network
  of India is                                    MINES                     - Rail network                  PORT
  estimated to remain      Source: Indicative model
  in 9-10 % range
  during 12th FYP          INFRASTRUCTURE ADDITION IN INDIA DURING TWELFTH FIVE YEAR
  (2012-17)                PLANS (2012-17)
 Infrastructure           With increasing capacities of steel production in India more than 400 MT of
  requirement by           bulk handling capacity and transportation infrastructure will be required by steel
                           industry by 2017. Almost two fold rise in infrastructure demand by steel
  steel industry is
                           industry during next five years will require massive investment in road, rail and
  estimated to             port infrastructure facility. An estimates investment (by public and private
  double in next five      sector) of $ 1 trillion has been envisaged for infrastructure sector(including
  years.                   road, rail, port and other transportation infrastructure) during 12th FYP.
                           Exhibit 21: Estimated Investment in Infrastructure during 12 th FYP: 2012-17
                            1200                                                                                                        12
                                                                                                          10.3           10.7
                                                                          9.5               9.9
                                        8.3                  9                                                                                  Investment in
                                                                                                                                        8
                            800                                                                                                                 INR,000 crore
                                                                                                                        1039.5
                                                                                                           918                          4
                                                                                            809.5
                                                                         712.7                                                                  Investment as
                                       528.3               619.4
                            400                                                                                                         0       % of GDP
Infrastructure
                                       FY 12              FY 13          FY 14           FY 15           FY 16          FY 17
development will
                           Source: Planning Commission - committee on Infrastructure
drive steel demand
as well as support         ACTIONS TO BOOST INFRASTRUCTURE SUPPORT TO STEEL INDUSTRY
infrastructural              - Rapid completion of “Dedicated Freight Corridor” by                  - Developing self, part of project linked transportation
requirement by steel           railways to address increasing freight traffic                         infrastructure by large project developers
                             - Addition of large capacity siding and loading facility               - Widening congested road and railways
industry itself                at ports, mines and steel plant                                      - Improving loading and transportation infrastructure
                             - Developing road, rail and port infrastructure                          by adapting latest technology and equipment
                               dedicated for steel industry                                         - Introducing large capacity wagons for rail transport


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13.

                        Steel Industry in India - 2013

7. Indian Steel Industry and Increasing Role of Technology

KEY FIGURES              TECHNOLOGICAL EXPOSURE OF INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY
 Expenditure on         Indian steel industry is highly fragmented with large number of small to large
  research &             scale producers. Use of steel making technologies varies among different steel
  development by         making units. With overall low level of advanced technological exposure, Indian
  Indian steel           steel industry faces issues of quality, efficiency, hazards and process
                         standards. The overall use of latest and modern technologies is inadequate in
  Industry is
                         the entire steel industry value chain comprising of raw material mining and
  estimated to be        processing, transportation and steel making. This leaves a broad scope for
  very low at an         process improvement through introduction of latest and efficient technology.
  average 0.2% of
  the turnover           Exhibit 22: Technological input status at various process stages of Indian steel industry
                                      RAW MATERIAL SUPPLY                                               STEEL MAKING PROCESS
 Introducing latest         - Low mechanisation level & latest technology                   - Most of steel making facilities use: old and less
  technologies will            input: for mining and processing raw materials                  efficient steel making technology
  improve Indian             - Inadequate facility: for use of iron ore fines                - Expenditure on research and development: is
                               using pelletisation & sintering technology                      considerably low
  steel industry’s:          - Lack of coal processing & washing technology STEEL INDUSTRY   - Present steel making facility: not suitable for
  - Efficiency                 : to make higher use of low grade Indian coal PROCESS CHAIN     Indian iron ore fines and high ash coal
                             - Inadequate facility: for raw material loading                 - Relatively lower number of steel plants: with
  - Product quality            and transportation                                              facility to make complex steel products
  - Carbon footprint         - Lack of facility: for use of raw material rejects             - On average Indian steel industry lags: in
                                                                                               process efficiency and hazard control
  - Production cost
  - Competitiveness
                         Source: Indicative descriptive model
  - Use of domestic
  raw material
                         INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY NEEDS TO ADAPT LATEST TECHNOLOGIES
  - Growth
                         With open trade policy for steel, Indian steel industry faces global competition,
                         hence to remain competitive and profitable it has to adapt latest and efficient
                         technologies. Using latest technologies can boost steel companies business
                         with advantages of scale, quality, productivity, safety and higher margins. As
                         overall exposure of Indian steel industry to latest technology remains low, so
                         there is a huge potential for increase in production and process optimisation.
                         Also with development and use of technologies suitable for steel making using
                         iron ore fines and low grade Indian coal, Indian steel Industry can have
                         advantage of raw material security and sustainability.
                         Exhibit 23: Potential benefits of technological up-gradation in steel Industry

                               Improvement In Steel Production Efficiency
Use of latest                  Improving Cost Effectiveness & Profit Margins
technology by Indian           Improving Unit Yield and Product Quality                                             Improving overall
steel industry
                               Reduction In Environmental Impact and Hazards                                        efficiency and
remains low so there                       Potential Benefits in the Value Chain                                    competitiveness of
is huge potential for                                                                                               Indian Steel
                               Utilise Domestic Coal and Iron Ore Fines In Steel Making
improvement                                                                                                         Industry
                               Addition In Production Capacity
through introducing            Reduction In Raw Material & Energy Wastage
latest technology
                         Source: Indicative model


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14.

                         Steel Industry in India - 2013

8. Prospective Analysis of Indian Steel Industry

KEY FIGURES               POTENTIAL GROWTH DRIVERS OF INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY
 Planned projects        Indian steel industry is aiming for high growth during the next 5-7 years,
  for steel making is     supported by economic growth and positive change in consumption behaviuor
  likely to increase      of the large and growing population. The prime factors which will support
  steel production        growth of Indian steel Industry are demand driving factors, government policies
                          and capacity addition plan for steel.
  capacity of India to
  150 MT by 2017          Exhibit 24: Factors propelling Indian steel industry’s growth

 Promising factors of      Steel Demand Drivers         Government Policies            Capacity Addition in Steel Making
  Indian steel              - Growing economy            - Funding developments         - SAIL, Tata Steel, JSW, ISPAT, RINL,
  industry:                 - Large population           - Stressing on R&D             ISPAT etc. along with global multinationals
  - Potential for           - Low per capita steel       - Offering incentives          like POSCO, Arcelor Mittal, Nippon Steel,
                              consumption                - Policies favoring            Kobe Steel, Severstal and others have
  high growth
                            - Manufacturing &              domestic industry &          large scale expansion plans for steel
  - Cheap labour                                                                        making in India
                              construction activity        regulating dumping
  - Untapped market
                            - Untapped rural market      - Judicious Import-            - Planned projects by Indian and global
  - Abundant raw
                            - Industrial activity          export taxes/duties          companies is likely to increase India’s steel
  material supply             growth                     - Faster approvals             producing capacity to 150 MT by 2017
  - Growing
  Economy                 Source: Indicative descriptive model

                          STRENGTH, WEAKNESS, OPPORTUNITY & THREATS: (SWOT) ANALYSIS
                          Indian steel Industry is evolving itself to become global leader in terms of
                          product quality and overall efficiency. It’s growth objective can be attained
                          efficiently by addressing the present issues and challenges and building the
                          growth strategies in cohesion with its strength.
                          Exhibit 25: Prospecting Indian Steel Industry via SWOT analysis
                                               STRENGTH                                               WEAKNESS
                               Low manpower cost                                      Overall production efficiency is low
                               Abundance of raw materials                             Inadequate infrastructure support
                               Policies for long term linkages for raw                Lacking in coking coal reserve and most of
                                material supply                                         iron ore reserves consists of iron ore fines
                               Option of getting project linked captive iron          Latest technological input and research and
                                ore, coal mines                                         development activity is low
                               Large economy and population driving steel
                                demand
                                                                              SWOT
                                                                             Analysis
There is a huge                              OPPORTUNITY                                                THREAT
potential growth               Growing & untapped rural market                        Delays in approvals and regulatory
opportunity for                Infrastructure & manufacturing activity                 clearances
                                growth to drive steel demand                           Land acquisition and rehabilitation issues
Indian steel industry
                               Per capita steel demand to grow, which at              Competition from large number of small
with untapped rural             present is one fourth of the global average             steel producers
markets and growing            Low present export volume: so potential for            Threat from cheap import and dumping
economy                         growth in exports is considerable                      Issues of capital for projects and high
                               Option for investment and stake acquisition             interest on loans
                          Source: Indicative descriptive model

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15.

                                       Steel Industry in India - 2013

9. Executive Summary

 AUTHOR:
                                        Post liberalisation in 1991 Indian steel Industry has attained a substantial
                                        growth on domestic as well as global platform. Growing in pace with the
                                        economy Indian steel industry has positioned itself as the largest sponge iron
                                        producer and the fourth largest crude steel producer in the world. Global crude
                                        steel production reached 1527 MT in 2011 in which India contributed a
                                        significant 4.7%.
                                        Though effect of global economic recession post 2008 was witnessed by steel
 TARUN MISHRA
                                        sector globally, but Indian steel industry showed resilience and growth due to
 Director- Consulting & Research
 Corpotrade Global Pvt. Ltd., India     robust domestic demand. The credit of Indian steel industry’s growth goes to
                                        policies of government and Indian public and private sector steel producers.
 For any queries or information         With present low per capita steel consumption at 57 kg in India against global
 regarding contents of this report
                                        average of 215 kg there lies a huge potential for steel demand growth in India.
 or for any type of assistance I can
 be reached at following contacts:      Also the estimated massive $ 1 trillion investment in India’s infrastructure
                                        sector during 12th FYP will boost demand of steel. Significant steel demand will
 Phone: +91 11 6469 7575                also arise from rural markets and proactive steel producers in India have
 Mail: tarun@cptgl.com
                                        started exploring untapped rural markets to get maximum share of this market.
        business@cptgl.com
                                        Indian steel industry attained appreciable growth post liberalisation but it has
 Web: www.cptgl.com
      www.corpotradeglobal.com          suffered due to issues of efficiency, quality, safety and productivity. Future
                                        growth and sustainability of Indian steel industry lies in adapting latest
                                        technologies, improving efficiency and optimising process.


                                                                                               Thanks,
                                                                                               Tarun Mishra
                                                                                               & CorpotradeGlobal Team




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16.

                             Steel Industry in India - 2013

10. Abbreviations and Bibliography

 ABBREVIATIONS
   Short Name              Full Name
   CAGR                    Compounded Annual Growth rate
   CIS                     Commonwealth of Independent states
   E                       Estimates
   EU                      European Union
   FY                      Financial Year (April to March)
   FYP                     Five Year Plan
   GDP                     Gross Domestic Product
   GoI                     Government of India
   JPC                     Joint Plant Committee
   MT                      Million ton
   MoS                     Ministry of Steel
   P                       Provisional
   PPP                     Purchasing Power Parity
   WSA                     World Steel Association
   $                       US Dollar
   INR                     Indian Rupee
   Crore                   10^7



 BIBLIOGRAPHY
 World Steel Association, International Monetary Fund, Economic Times, Ministry of Steel - India, Public
 Information Bureau - India, Joint Plant Committee- India, Planning Commission - committee on
 Infrastructure, Annual report 2010-11- MoS, World Steel in Figures 2012-WSA, Press Information
 Bureau- GoI, moneycontrol.com, The Telegraph, The Economic Times, miningweekly.com, Wikipedia,
 mjunction and CorpotradeGlobal Research & Database.




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Steel Industry in India - 2013

About Corpotrade Global:
Corpotrade Global Pvt. Ltd., India is a
Management Consulting and Business
Services Company located in New Delhi-
India.

Services Offered :
 Management Consulting
 Market & Business Research
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 Industrial Segment
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Steel industry-in-india-2013-report

  • 1. Corpotrade Global Business Management Enabling Enterprise Growth Consulting IORR: Industry Outlook Reference Report Steel Industry in India - 2013 Published: 08.01.2013 ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 2. 1. Steel Industry in India - 2013 Index & Disclaimer About IORR Index: Page IORR: “Industry 1. Steel Industry in India: Global Perspective 3-4 Outlook Reference - Indian steel industry vs. global steel industry Report” is an initiative - Contribution of India’s economy to global GDP by Corpotrade Global - India & the leading steel producers in the world Pvt. Ltd., India to - India’s share in global steel consumption increase knowledge - Competitiveness of the Indian steel industry and awareness about 2. Steel Production Scenario in India: The Way Forward 5-7 a particular industry - Indian steel industry: evolution and growth among information - Steel production trend in India seekers, professionals - Leading steel producers in India and executives of the industry. The report - Technology wise steel production gives a quick overview - Category wise steel production and insight of the 3. India’s Steel Consumption Trend and the Growth Drivers 8-9 particular industry and - India’s steel consumption on high growth trajectory is meant only for - Steel consumption trend in India personal reference - Category wise steel consumption and increasing - Prime growth drivers of steel demand in India knowledge and awareness. 4. India’s Steel Import Export Scenario and Future Prospects 10 - Steel import trend and future scenario Note - Steel export trend and future scenario THIS REPORT IS 5. Raw Material Supplies for Steel Industry: Is India Self Sufficient? 11 PREPARED IN A - Assessing raw material supply scenario for India CRISP & CONCISE - Raw material demand by steel industry FORMAT FOR - Initiatives that will improve & secure raw materials supply QUICK REFERENCE Disclaimer This report is for personal reference only, to increase knowledge and awareness about the steel industry. Information provided in this report are sourced from standard sources however Corpotrade Global does not guarantee exactness and accuracy of the information sourced. Corpotrade Global will not be responsible for any losses claimed in relation to contents or material of this report. A detailed research and expert assistance is advised for conclusions and decision making. ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 3. 2. Steel Industry in India - 2013 Index Continued… About IORR Index: Page IORR: “Industry 6. Inadequate Infrastructure: A Major Concern for Steel Industry in India 12 Outlook Reference - Infrastructure issues for steel industry in India Report” is an initiative - Infrastructure addition during twelfth five year plans (2012-17) by Corpotrade Global - Actions to boost infrastructure support to steel industry Pvt. Ltd., India to 7. Indian Steel Industry and Increasing Role of Technology 13 increase knowledge - Technological exposure of Indian steel industry and awareness about - Indian steel industry needs to adapt latest technologies a particular industry among information 8. Prospective Analysis of Indian Steel Industry 14 seekers, professionals - Potential Growth Drivers of Indian Steel Industry and executives of the - Strength, Weakness, Opportunity & Threat: SWOT Analysis industry. The report 9. Executive Summary 15 gives a quick overview and insight of the 10. Abbreviations and Bibliography 16 particular industry and is meant only for personal reference and increasing knowledge and awareness. Note THIS REPORT IS PREPARED IN A CRISP & CONCISE FORMAT FOR QUICK REFERENCE Disclaimer This report is for personal reference only, to increase knowledge and awareness about the steel industry. Information provided in this report are sourced from standard sources however Corpotrade Global does not guarantee exactness and accuracy of the information sourced. Corpotrade Global will not be responsible for any losses claimed in relation to contents or material of this report. A detailed research and expert assistance is advised for conclusions and decision making. ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 4. 3. Steel Industry in India - 2013 1. Steel Industry in India: Global Perspective KEY FIGURES INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY VS. GLOBAL STEEL INDUSTRY  Global crude steel Global crude steel production reached 1527 MT in 2011 showing a 6.8 % production – 2011: growth over 2010. India has emerged as a leading player in global steel 1527 MT industry contributing to about 4.7 % of global crude steel production in 2011. Large scale infrastructure expansion plans for twelfth five year plan (FYP:  Global crude steel 2012-17) and raising per capita steel consumption in India promises production growth unprecedented growth potential of Indian steel Industry during next 10 years. during 2007-11: at CAGR of 3.2 % Exhibit 1: World crude steel production: 2007-11, country-wise contribution (%) to world crude steel production in 2011  India’s crude steel production -2011: World Crude Steel Production in MT (2007-11) Share in % (2011) 72.2 MT  India’s GDP 1800 1527 RoW, 11.8 1600 1430 growth: 1347 1341 Brazil, 2.3 1400 1236 2010-11= 8.4% Ukraine, 2.3 1200 2011-12= 6.5% 1000 South Korea, 4.5 2012-13= 5.9%(E) 800 Russia, 4.5 China, 45.5 600  India’s GDP: 2011 India, 4.7 400 Nominal - $ 1.85 200 United States, 5.6 0 Japan, 7 trillion 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 PPP - $ 4.5 trillion  Approximate share Source: World Steel Association of infrastructure(8% E) & manufacturing CONTRIBUTION OF INDIA’S ECONOMY TO GLOBAL GDP sector(16 % E) in India ranked as the third largest contributor (5.65%) to global GDP in 2011 in India’s GDP (FY terms of PPP ranking, only behind US and China. India’s economic growth has 12): one fourth slacked during past three years due to worldwide economic slowdown however during next five years it’s GDP is expected to grow in 6-8 % range. The sectors with high growth potential like manufacturing and construction sectors which account for about one fourth(FY 12) of India’s GDP will be the key growth drivers for the Indian Steel Industry Exhibit 2: GDP (trillion $) of leading global economies in terms of PPP- 2011 India’s is gradually evolving as global leader in steel production though it US CHINA lags in per capita 15.1 11.3 INDIA JAPAN steel consumption 4.5 4.4 Global Rank 1 2 3 4 Source: International Monetary Fund, Economic Times ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 5. 4. Steel Industry in India - 2013 1. Steel Industry in India: Global Perspective KEY FIGURES INDIA & THE LEADING STEEL PRODUCERS IN THE WORLD  Global crude steel India is the largest producer of sponge iron and fourth largest producer of crude consumption – steel in the world. India registered a 5.7 % growth in crude steel production in 2011: 1373 MT 2011 against 2010. Japan was the only nation among top ten crude steel producers in the world posting negative growth of minus 1.8 % for crude steel  Global crude steel production in 2011 against 2010. Indian steel industry which is not consumption technologically as mature as steel industry of developed economies is growth during implementing latest technology, adapting backward integration and improving 2007-11: at CAGR efficiency in steel production to reduce cost, increase production and become of 3.04 % competitive globally.  India’s crude steel Exhibit 3: Top ten crude steel producers in the world and their steel production consumption -2011: in: 2010 and 2011 (MT) 67.8 MT Country China Japan United India Russia South Germany Ukraine Brazil Turkey States Korea  India’s global rank: 2011 695.5 107.6 86.2 72.2 68.7 68.5 44.3 35.3 35.2 34.1 Largest sponge iron producer. 2010 638.7 109.6 80.5 68.3 66.9 58.9 43.8 33.4 32.9 29.1 4th Largest crude Source: World Steel Association steel producer  Per capita steel INDIA’S SHARE IN GLOBAL STEEL CONSUMPTION consumption-2011: India’s per capita steel consumption is only 57 kg against global average of 215 Global - 215 Kg kg. This shows a broad scope for increase in per capita steel consumption in India’s – 57 kg India and potential unprecedented expansion of steel industry in India. Global crude steel consumption for 2011 reached about 1373 MT Exhibit 4: World crude steel consumption: 2007-11, country-wise contribution (%) to world crude steel consumption in 2011 World Crude Steel Consumption in MT ( 2007-11) Share in % (2011) Other Europe, 2.6 1500 1301 1373 China, 45.1 1218 1218 1140 Other Asian, 7.2 1000 Others, 6.3 Japan, 7.1 500 EU, 11.7 OTHERS Africa: 1% 0 India, 4.9 Middle East: 1.5% Potential growth of 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Central & South America: 3.3% CIS, 7.4 NAFTA, 7.7 Australia & New Zealand: 0.5% steel consumption in Source: World Steel Association, Ministry of Steel- GoI India will polarise development of COMPETITIVENESS OF THE INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY global steel sector Abundance of raw materials, iron ore and cheap workforce makes Indian steel towards India industry competitive. However dependence on imported coking coal, low production efficiency, inadequate infrastructure & technology and delays in regulatory clearances & approvals are major hindrance to growth of Indian steel industry. ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 6. 5. Steel Industry in India - 2013 2. Steel Production Scenario in India: The Way Forward KEY FIGURES INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY: EVOLUTION AND GROWTH  Modern steel Steel making in India can be traced back to 400 BC. The foundation of modern steel industry in India was led down in 1874 by establishment of steel making production facility facility of Bengal Iron Works (BIW) in Kulti (West Bengal). Beginning of large started in India in scale steel production started with establishment of Tata steel plant in 1907 in 1874 Jamshedpur, which started production in 1912. Later large steel plants in India  Post liberalisation were established in Bokaro, Durgapur, Bhilai, Burnpur and Bhadrawati. Except (1991) steel making Tata Steel, steel production in India was confined to public sector companies under control of SAIL till 1990s. Post liberalisation(1991) large scale was made open for development in steel industry was witnessed due to participation of private private co.'s and players and huge influx of foreign investment in steel industry of India. steel price was also deregulated STEEL PRODUCTION TREND IN INDIA  Finished steel Post independence steel production in India showed a considerable growth in production in India: capacity. Finished steel production increased from 1.1 MT in 1951 to 14.33 MT in 1991-92. Post liberalisation the growth trend continued however at a higher Year 1951: 1.1 MT pace and finished steel production reached 73.7 MT(provisional) for 2011-12. 1991-92: 14.33 MT Exhibit 5: Historical trend of steel production in India: 1951 to 2012 2011-12:73.7 MT(P) Finished Steel Production in MT 80  India’s crude steel production growth 60 CAGR: 8.53 % during 12th FYP 40 2012-17: estimated at 11.3 % 20 CAGR: 5.16 % (CAGR) 0  Estimated crude FY 1951 FY 1992 FY 2012(P) steel volume India Source: Public Information Bureau-GoI, Ministry of Steel-GoI reaches by FY 17: During the period FY 07 to FY 12 crude steel production has attained growth at Prod.: 125.9 MT CAGR of about 7.7 %. While the average capacity utilisation remained near 89 percent of the total production capacity. During the twelfth five year plan crude Capacity: 139.9 MT steel production is estimated to grow at CAGR of about 11.3 % due to large scale capacity addition plans for steel production during this period. Exhibit 6: India’s crude steel production trend & projection- FY 2007 to FY 2017 Capacity utilisation Crude Steel Production vs. Capacity (MT) 139.9 of the Indian steel 150 127.2 Actual Estimates 115.6 industry on average 95.4 105 100 78 81.9 remains high at 89%, 66.3 72.9 Production 56.8 59.8 however the sector 50 104 114.5 125.9 Capacity 85.9 94.5 suffers due to low 50.8 53.8 58.4 64.8 69.5 73.7 efficiency 0 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 Source: Ministry of Steel-GoI: working group report 2012-17, Annual Report-2011: MoS-GoI ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 7. 6. Steel Industry in India - 2013 2. Steel Production Scenario in India: The Way Forward KEY FIGURES LEADING STEEL PRODUCERS IN INDIA  SAIL is the largest Steel making in India is concentrated along mineral rich belt of India, as vicinity steel producer in to supply of raw materials like iron ore and coal provides considerable India with 13.76 MT economic advantage. Most of the large scale steel making facilities are crude steel concentrated in state of Jharkhand, Orissa, West Bengal, Chhattisgarh and Karnataka. Steel production in India is leaded by SAIL, Tata Steel, JSW and production in FY 11 others, while SAIL continues to be the largest steel producer in India.  Top five steel Exhibit 7: Leading steel producers in India and their production share: FY 2007 to FY 2011 producers contribute to Crude Steel Production Share in MT (2007-11) Share in % (2011) almost half of Producer FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11(P) crude steel SAIL 13.51 13.96 13.41 13.51 13.76 production in India 20% RINL 3.50 3.13 2.96 3.21 3.24 32%  Steel production 5% Tata Steel 5.17 5.01 5.65 6.56 6.86 through induction 10% furnace and electric JSW 2.64 3.15 3.22 5.26 5.85 14% 8% arc furnace route ISPAT 2.76 2.83 2.20 2.69 2.38 3% 3% 5% contributes to more ESSAR 3.01 3.56 3.34 3.47 3.37 than 50 % of steel SAIL RINL JSPL - - 1.46 1.96 2.27 production Tata Steel JSW Others-1 4.84 5.28 8.15 9.36 9.79  Steel production ISPAT ESSAR Others-2 15.39 16.93 18.05 19.82 22.07 share- FY 2011: JSPL Others-1 Crude Steel Total 50.82 53.86 58.44 65.84 69.58 Others-2 Private Sector: 75% Others-1: Includes production from EAF Units/ COREX-BOF Gov. Sector: 25% Others-2: Includes production from induction furnace Finished Steel Source: Joint Plant Committee: MoS-GoI working group report 2012-17 Private Sector: 80% Gov. Sector: 20% Steel production in India which was primarily reserved for government companies till liberalisation now sees dominance of private companies in terms of production share. Share of private sector companies in crude steel production raised from 49 % in FY 01 to 75 % in FY 11. While the share of private sector companies in finished steel production increased from 68 % in FY 01 to 80 % in FY 11. Exhibit 8: Share of private sector companies in steel production in India (%): FY 2011 Post deregulation of Crude Steel Production (% Share) Finished Steel Production (% Share) steel industry private sector is gaining 25 20 dominance in terms of cumulative production share 75 80 Private Sector Companies Government Sector Companies Source: Joint Plant Committee ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 8. 7. Steel Industry in India - 2013 2. Steel Production Scenario in India: The Way Forward KEY FIGURES TECHNOLOGY WISE STEEL PRODUCTION  Steel production Steel production in India attained a high growth at CAGR of about 5.8 % growth during 11th during the 11th FYP 2007-11 mostly contributed due to growth in steel making FYP 2007-11: at through electric furnaces route. While the old method of steel making through CAGR of 5.8 % oxygen route still remains dominating and contributes to about 44 % of crude steel production in 2011.  Sponge Iron figures Exhibit 9: Technology-wise crude steel production share (%): FY 2011 vs. FY 2006 for FY 12 (P): Prod.- 20.37 MT Process Route & % Share in Crude Steel Making Capacity- 32 MT FY 11 Basic Oxygen Furnace Electric Arc Furnace Induction furnace Total  India is the largest (44%) (24%) (32%) 100 % sponge iron Decline Increase in % producer in the share in % share world and contributes about Basic Oxygen Furnace Electric Arc Furnace Induction furnace Total one third of the FY 06 (53%) (18%) (29%) 100 % global sponge iron production Source: Joint Plant Committee  Production of pig iron and sponge CATEGORY WISE STEEL PRODUCTION remained almost flat during last five Most of the sponge iron produced in India, about 75 % (in FY 11) comes from years coal based units. Production of sponge iron touched 20.37 MT(P) in FY 12 while the capacity reached about 32 MT. India which is a net exporter of Pig  Product-wise Iron produced 5.78 MT(P) of pig iron in FY 12. growth in steel Exhibit 10: Category-wise crude steel production share (MT): FY 2008 to FY 2012 production during 11th FYP 2007-11, Steel Category FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12(P) in CAGR terms: Pig Iron 5.28 6.21 5.88 5.68 5.78 Flat Prod.- 4.9 % Sponge Iron 20.37 21.09 24.33 25.08 20.37 Long Prod.- 5.8 % Total Finished Steel (alloy + 56.08 57.16 60.62 68.62 73.42 Alloy Prod.- 16 % non alloy) Source: Joint Plant Committee: MoS Exhibit 11: Product-wise crude steel production for sale (MT): FY 2007 to FY 2011 With increasing 80 4.22 number of small 2.76 3.02 3.53 60 2.33 steel producers steel Total of Alloy Products 30.8 production through 40 25.45 26.99 27.18 30.16 Total of Flat Products electric furnaces Total of Long Products 20 route is growing 24.73 26.32 26.98 26.95 31 substantially 0 FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 (P) Source: Joint Plant Committee: MoS-GoI: working group report 2012-17 ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 9. 8. Steel Industry in India - 2013 3. India’s Steel Consumption Trend and the Growth Drivers KEY FIGURES INDIA’S STEEL CONSUMPTION ON HIGH GROWTH TRAJECTORY  Per capita steel Steel consumption in India has grown substantially since evolving of modern consumption steel industry during nineteenth century. During the past two decade steel growth (CAGR in consumption has grown at a faster pace driven by liberalisation, decontrol of %) 2006-2011: steel industry, growing population, infrastructure development and changing lifestyle of people. Per capita steel consumption in India (57kg: 2011) which is World Avg.- 2.75 % considerably low compared to global average (215 kg: 2011 ) is estimated to For India- 6.71 % grow substantially during the next five years in proportionate with the growing  Steel consumption economy. growth during 11th Exhibit 12: Per capita steel consumption in India (kg): 2006 to 2011 FYP (2007-11): at India’s Per Capita Steel Consumption vs. World Average CAGR of 8.8 % 250 214.7 205.5  Increasing 187.5 198.4 196.4 181.9 200 urbanisation and infrastructure 150 India growth to propel 100 World Average per capita steel 50 55.4 57 41.2 45.8 45.1 consumption in 50 India 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011  Finished steel Source: World Steel Association demand for India by FY 17: STEEL CONSUMPTION TREND IN INDIA Scenario-1: 105 Steel consumption growth during 11th FYP (2007-11) has outpaced steel MT (Estimated) production growth. Steel consumption growth during this period was at CAGR Scenario-2: 107 of 8.8 % compared to production growth at CAGR of 5.8 %. We have estimated MT (Estimated) finished steel demand growth during 12th FYP (2012-17) in two scenarios. For scenario- 1 we assumed finished steel demand to grow at CAGR of 9 % while in more optimistic case of scenario-2 we assume demand growth at CAGR of 11 %, with respect to FY11 as base year. Exhibit 13: Steel consumption trend in India (MT): FY 2007 to FY 2017 Finished Steel Consumption (Actual) *Finished Steel Demand Growth (Estimates) 80 120.00 65.61 107.01 59.34 110.00 60 52.12 52.35 99.08 Steel consumption 46.78 100.00 91.74 105.08 growth in India 40 90.00 84.95 97.30 during 11th FYP has 78.65 90.09 80.00 72.83 outpaced domestic 20 83.41 70.00 77.24 steel production 71.51 0 60.00 growth with a FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11(P) FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 differential of 3% in Finished Steel Consumption Scenario- 1 Scenario- 2 CAGR Source: WSA, Joint Plant Committee: MoS-GoI: working group report 2012-17, *Estimates ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 10. 9. Steel Industry in India - 2013 3. India’s Steel Consumption Trend and the Growth Drivers KEY FIGURES CATEGORY WISE STEEL CONSUMPTION  Product-wise Steel consumption in India though maintained healthy growth during the growth in steel 11th FYP (2007-11) but demand of steel in long product category remained consumption during sluggish. Slow paced infrastructure and industrial projects development 11th FYP 2007-11, due to worldwide recession was the major cause for sluggish demand of in CAGR terms: long product. While the demand of flat product posted high growth (12.1% Flat Prod.- 12.1 % CAGR) driven by robust domestic demand of consumer durables and Long Prod.- 5.9 % utility items. Alloy Prod.- 9 % Exhibit 14: Product-wise consumption of finished steel (MT): FY 2007 to FY 2011  India’s steel sector 70 3.47 growth is primarily 60 2.74 3.26 3.36 driven by domestic 50 2.46 30.99 Total of Alloy Products demand as export 29.27 40 22.97 21.83 volume is low 19.59 Total of Flat Products 30  Factors contributing 20 Total of Long Products 31.16 to steel demand 10 24.73 26.45 27.07 26.81 growth in India 0 - Economic growth FY 07 FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 (P) - Construction Source: Joint Plant Committee: MoS-GoI: working group report 2012-17 - Infrastructure dev. - Population growth PRIME GROWTH DRIVERS OF STEEL DEMAND IN INDIA - Manufacturing Steel demand has been proportionate with the GDP growth of the country. Housing & real estate, construction & infrastructure and manufacturing segment are the prime consumers and drivers of steel demand in India. Exhibit 15: Steel demand drivers and their potential effect on steel demand growth during next 5 year time frame High Construction & Infrastructure Major Factors for Steel Demand Growth Housing & Real Estate  Economic growth Construction,  Industrial, construction & Potential Manufacturing Sector manufacturing growth infrastructure Demand Driver  Growth in population development and Energy & other Sector  Rising middle class population and per manufacturing capita steel consumption Agriculture, activity forms the Mining sector  Growth in rural steel consumption activity backbone of steel  Infrastructure Development industry demand High Growth prospect of the segment Source: Indicative model ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 11. 10. Steel Industry in India - 2013 4. India’s Steel Import Export Scenario and Future Prospects KEY FIGURES STEEL IMPORT TREND AND FUTURE SCENARIO  India is net importer India has been a net importer of steel, primarily of high grade steel and special of steel steel products. Deregulation and reduction in import duties on steel imports has favoured steel imports. Steel imports has increased during the past decade due  India primarily to surge in domestic demand and reduction in price differential between imports as well as imported steel and domestic steel. Import volumes have been fluctuating exports value during the past five years and as per working group estimates steel imports added and special during 12th FYP is estimated to be in 5-6 MT range. steel products Exhibit 16: Steel import in India : past trends and future estimates- 2007-08 to 2017  Steel import in India touched 7.38 Finished Steel Import in MT MT in FY 10 8 Actual Estimates  Working group on 6 Steel estimates 4 7.03 7.38 6.66 6.83 5.84 6 5.5 5.5 steel imports in 5 5 2 range of 5-6 MT 0 during 12th FYP FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 (P) FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 Steel Import  During 11th FYP steel import posted Source: Joint Plant Committee - MoS, Working group report 2012-17- MoS negative growth of about 9 % STEEL EXPORT TREND AND FUTURE SCENARIO  Working group on Liberalisation and free trade policy helped growth of steel exports from India. Most of the steel exports from India consists of value added steel products Steel estimates with higher margins. To remain competitive globally India needs to grow share steel exports to of value added and sophisticated steel product in its export basket. Steel reach 7 MT during exports from India declined during 2008-11 period due to subdued demand of 12th FYP steel globally. Steel export is expected to regain momentum as the global economy revives . Steel exports is estimated to grow gradually from about 4 MT during FY 13 to 7 MT by FY 17. Exhibit 17: Steel exports from India : past trends and future estimates- 2007-08 to 2017 Finished Steel Export from India in MT 8 6 India’s steel export Actual Estimates will shift towards 4 7 7 higher percentage of 6 5.08 5 2 4.44 4.04 4 3.64 value added and 3.25 high margin steel 0 products in the FY 08 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 (P) FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 export basket Steel Export Source: Joint Plant Committee - MoS, Working group report 2012-17- MoS ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 12. 11. Steel Industry in India - 2013 5. Raw Material Supplies for Steel Industry: Is India Self Sufficient? KEY FIGURES ASSESSING RAW MATERIAL SUPPLY SCENARIO FOR INDIA  Iron ore production Raw material accounts for about 30-50% of the total cost of steel production in in FY 12 was India. Raw materials for steel making includes iron ore, coke, lime, ferro-alloys 169.66 MT and refractories etc. India has a huge iron ore reserve of about 28.52 billion tons. About 60-70 % of the iron ore produced is consumed domestically and  India has 28.52 remaining (mostly fines) is exported. India lags in coking coal reserves and billion tons of iron have only 5.3 billion tons of coking coal reserves. India meets more than 50 ore reserves percent of coking coal demand through imports and imports will grow in parallel with increasing steel production capacity.  Estimated iron ore consumption by RAW MATERIAL DEMAND BY STEEL INDUSTRY iron and steel About 2.5 to 3.5 ton of raw materials is required per ton of crude steel industry in FY 12 production in India. With increasing crude steel production capacities demand was 116.3 MT for main raw materials like iron ore and coking coal by steel industry will  Coking coal increase at faster pace. production in India Exhibit 18: Raw material demand (MT) by steel industry during 12th FYP: 2012-17 for FY 12 is Estimated Demand Iron Ore Coking Coal Others Total estimated at about FY 12 115.03 43.25 11.13 169.41 22 MT FY 13 135.7 52.29 13.92 201.91 FY 14 149.43 57.91 15.33 222.67  Coking coal import FY 15 166.66 67.49 17.28 251.43 in India for 2012 is FY 16 185.24 77.23 19.48 281.95 FY 17 206.18 90.16 21.76 318.1 estimated at about Others : PCI Coal, Manganese Ore, Chromite, Ferro Chrome, Ferro-Manganese, Silico-Manganese, Ferro-Silicon and Refractories 36.8 MT Source: Working group report 2012-17- MoS, Projections by working group on steel industry INITIATIVES THAT WILL IMPROVE & SECURE RAW MATERIALS SUPPLY Indian steel industry requires reliable and economical raw material supplies to remain competitive on global platform. Being deficient in coking coal and rich in iron ore fines India needs to adapt steel making technologies which are suitable for low grade Indian coal and iron ore fines. India requires technology inputs and investments to increase sintering and pelletisation facility for making use of iron ore fines. Indian companies needs to acquire coking coal assets overseas to assure uninterrupted and economic supply of coking coal for its steel Industry. Exhibit 19: Major initiatives to improve and secure raw material supplies to steel industry Progressive Impact India lags in coking Reformation Measures Small Medium High coal reserves, 1. Limiting volatility in prices & assuring continuous supply through long term linkages acquiring coal 2. Assuring raw material supply security through overseas assets acquisitions assets overseas can 3. Consolidating steel industry and focus on backward integration assure reliable & 4. Adapting new technology to increase output and maximise efficiency economic supplies 5. Allotting iron ore and coal mines for captive consumption by steel plants of coal in the future 6. Minimising duties & taxes on imports & increasing same for exports of raw material 7. Adding coal washing and iron ore sintering & pelletisation facility Source: Indicative model ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 13. 12. Steel Industry in India - 2013 6. Inadequate Infrastructure: A Major Concern for Steel Industry in India KEY FIGURES INFRASTRUCTURE ISSUES FOR STEEL INDUSTRY IN INDIA  Estimated Steel industry is heavily dependent on raw material and bulk movement. For investment in every tonne of steel produced about four tonnes of raw materials requires to be infrastructure sector transported. Indian steel industry is facing difficulties and delays caused due to during 12th inadequate infrastructure for transportation and handling bulk materials. Most of the steel plant does not have proper connectivity through rail network to FYP(2012-17): $ 1 mines and ports. Bulk handling facility at majority of the ports, mines and steel trillion plants are of low capacity causing delays in loading & unloading. In most cases  Estimated bulk road networks connecting steel plants to mines and ports are congested transportation & leading to delays in supply and delivery of raw material and other items. handling capacity Exhibit 20: Bulk movements and associated issues faced by steel industry in India requirement of steel industry by STEEL PLANT Inadequate 2017: more than - Handling facility 400 MT - Road network - Rail network Inadequate MARKET Inadequate - Storage & Logistics  Investment in - Loading/unloading Lack of dedicated Facility infrastructure sector - Road network Congested - Rail network - Road network of India is MINES - Rail network PORT estimated to remain Source: Indicative model in 9-10 % range during 12th FYP INFRASTRUCTURE ADDITION IN INDIA DURING TWELFTH FIVE YEAR (2012-17) PLANS (2012-17)  Infrastructure With increasing capacities of steel production in India more than 400 MT of requirement by bulk handling capacity and transportation infrastructure will be required by steel industry by 2017. Almost two fold rise in infrastructure demand by steel steel industry is industry during next five years will require massive investment in road, rail and estimated to port infrastructure facility. An estimates investment (by public and private double in next five sector) of $ 1 trillion has been envisaged for infrastructure sector(including years. road, rail, port and other transportation infrastructure) during 12th FYP. Exhibit 21: Estimated Investment in Infrastructure during 12 th FYP: 2012-17 1200 12 10.3 10.7 9.5 9.9 8.3 9 Investment in 8 800 INR,000 crore 1039.5 918 4 809.5 712.7 Investment as 528.3 619.4 400 0 % of GDP Infrastructure FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY 17 development will Source: Planning Commission - committee on Infrastructure drive steel demand as well as support ACTIONS TO BOOST INFRASTRUCTURE SUPPORT TO STEEL INDUSTRY infrastructural - Rapid completion of “Dedicated Freight Corridor” by - Developing self, part of project linked transportation requirement by steel railways to address increasing freight traffic infrastructure by large project developers - Addition of large capacity siding and loading facility - Widening congested road and railways industry itself at ports, mines and steel plant - Improving loading and transportation infrastructure - Developing road, rail and port infrastructure by adapting latest technology and equipment dedicated for steel industry - Introducing large capacity wagons for rail transport ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 14. 13. Steel Industry in India - 2013 7. Indian Steel Industry and Increasing Role of Technology KEY FIGURES TECHNOLOGICAL EXPOSURE OF INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY  Expenditure on Indian steel industry is highly fragmented with large number of small to large research & scale producers. Use of steel making technologies varies among different steel development by making units. With overall low level of advanced technological exposure, Indian Indian steel steel industry faces issues of quality, efficiency, hazards and process standards. The overall use of latest and modern technologies is inadequate in Industry is the entire steel industry value chain comprising of raw material mining and estimated to be processing, transportation and steel making. This leaves a broad scope for very low at an process improvement through introduction of latest and efficient technology. average 0.2% of the turnover Exhibit 22: Technological input status at various process stages of Indian steel industry RAW MATERIAL SUPPLY STEEL MAKING PROCESS  Introducing latest - Low mechanisation level & latest technology - Most of steel making facilities use: old and less technologies will input: for mining and processing raw materials efficient steel making technology improve Indian - Inadequate facility: for use of iron ore fines - Expenditure on research and development: is using pelletisation & sintering technology considerably low steel industry’s: - Lack of coal processing & washing technology STEEL INDUSTRY - Present steel making facility: not suitable for - Efficiency : to make higher use of low grade Indian coal PROCESS CHAIN Indian iron ore fines and high ash coal - Inadequate facility: for raw material loading - Relatively lower number of steel plants: with - Product quality and transportation facility to make complex steel products - Carbon footprint - Lack of facility: for use of raw material rejects - On average Indian steel industry lags: in process efficiency and hazard control - Production cost - Competitiveness Source: Indicative descriptive model - Use of domestic raw material INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY NEEDS TO ADAPT LATEST TECHNOLOGIES - Growth With open trade policy for steel, Indian steel industry faces global competition, hence to remain competitive and profitable it has to adapt latest and efficient technologies. Using latest technologies can boost steel companies business with advantages of scale, quality, productivity, safety and higher margins. As overall exposure of Indian steel industry to latest technology remains low, so there is a huge potential for increase in production and process optimisation. Also with development and use of technologies suitable for steel making using iron ore fines and low grade Indian coal, Indian steel Industry can have advantage of raw material security and sustainability. Exhibit 23: Potential benefits of technological up-gradation in steel Industry Improvement In Steel Production Efficiency Use of latest Improving Cost Effectiveness & Profit Margins technology by Indian Improving Unit Yield and Product Quality Improving overall steel industry Reduction In Environmental Impact and Hazards efficiency and remains low so there Potential Benefits in the Value Chain competitiveness of is huge potential for Indian Steel Utilise Domestic Coal and Iron Ore Fines In Steel Making improvement Industry Addition In Production Capacity through introducing Reduction In Raw Material & Energy Wastage latest technology Source: Indicative model ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 15. 14. Steel Industry in India - 2013 8. Prospective Analysis of Indian Steel Industry KEY FIGURES POTENTIAL GROWTH DRIVERS OF INDIAN STEEL INDUSTRY  Planned projects Indian steel industry is aiming for high growth during the next 5-7 years, for steel making is supported by economic growth and positive change in consumption behaviuor likely to increase of the large and growing population. The prime factors which will support steel production growth of Indian steel Industry are demand driving factors, government policies and capacity addition plan for steel. capacity of India to 150 MT by 2017 Exhibit 24: Factors propelling Indian steel industry’s growth  Promising factors of Steel Demand Drivers Government Policies Capacity Addition in Steel Making Indian steel - Growing economy - Funding developments - SAIL, Tata Steel, JSW, ISPAT, RINL, industry: - Large population - Stressing on R&D ISPAT etc. along with global multinationals - Potential for - Low per capita steel - Offering incentives like POSCO, Arcelor Mittal, Nippon Steel, consumption - Policies favoring Kobe Steel, Severstal and others have high growth - Manufacturing & domestic industry & large scale expansion plans for steel - Cheap labour making in India construction activity regulating dumping - Untapped market - Untapped rural market - Judicious Import- - Planned projects by Indian and global - Abundant raw - Industrial activity export taxes/duties companies is likely to increase India’s steel material supply growth - Faster approvals producing capacity to 150 MT by 2017 - Growing Economy Source: Indicative descriptive model STRENGTH, WEAKNESS, OPPORTUNITY & THREATS: (SWOT) ANALYSIS Indian steel Industry is evolving itself to become global leader in terms of product quality and overall efficiency. It’s growth objective can be attained efficiently by addressing the present issues and challenges and building the growth strategies in cohesion with its strength. Exhibit 25: Prospecting Indian Steel Industry via SWOT analysis STRENGTH WEAKNESS  Low manpower cost  Overall production efficiency is low  Abundance of raw materials  Inadequate infrastructure support  Policies for long term linkages for raw  Lacking in coking coal reserve and most of material supply iron ore reserves consists of iron ore fines  Option of getting project linked captive iron  Latest technological input and research and ore, coal mines development activity is low  Large economy and population driving steel demand SWOT Analysis There is a huge OPPORTUNITY THREAT potential growth  Growing & untapped rural market  Delays in approvals and regulatory opportunity for  Infrastructure & manufacturing activity clearances growth to drive steel demand  Land acquisition and rehabilitation issues Indian steel industry  Per capita steel demand to grow, which at  Competition from large number of small with untapped rural present is one fourth of the global average steel producers markets and growing  Low present export volume: so potential for  Threat from cheap import and dumping economy growth in exports is considerable  Issues of capital for projects and high  Option for investment and stake acquisition interest on loans Source: Indicative descriptive model ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 16. 15. Steel Industry in India - 2013 9. Executive Summary AUTHOR: Post liberalisation in 1991 Indian steel Industry has attained a substantial growth on domestic as well as global platform. Growing in pace with the economy Indian steel industry has positioned itself as the largest sponge iron producer and the fourth largest crude steel producer in the world. Global crude steel production reached 1527 MT in 2011 in which India contributed a significant 4.7%. Though effect of global economic recession post 2008 was witnessed by steel TARUN MISHRA sector globally, but Indian steel industry showed resilience and growth due to Director- Consulting & Research Corpotrade Global Pvt. Ltd., India robust domestic demand. The credit of Indian steel industry’s growth goes to policies of government and Indian public and private sector steel producers. For any queries or information With present low per capita steel consumption at 57 kg in India against global regarding contents of this report average of 215 kg there lies a huge potential for steel demand growth in India. or for any type of assistance I can be reached at following contacts: Also the estimated massive $ 1 trillion investment in India’s infrastructure sector during 12th FYP will boost demand of steel. Significant steel demand will Phone: +91 11 6469 7575 also arise from rural markets and proactive steel producers in India have Mail: tarun@cptgl.com started exploring untapped rural markets to get maximum share of this market. business@cptgl.com Indian steel industry attained appreciable growth post liberalisation but it has Web: www.cptgl.com www.corpotradeglobal.com suffered due to issues of efficiency, quality, safety and productivity. Future growth and sustainability of Indian steel industry lies in adapting latest technologies, improving efficiency and optimising process. Thanks, Tarun Mishra & CorpotradeGlobal Team ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 17. 16. Steel Industry in India - 2013 10. Abbreviations and Bibliography ABBREVIATIONS Short Name Full Name CAGR Compounded Annual Growth rate CIS Commonwealth of Independent states E Estimates EU European Union FY Financial Year (April to March) FYP Five Year Plan GDP Gross Domestic Product GoI Government of India JPC Joint Plant Committee MT Million ton MoS Ministry of Steel P Provisional PPP Purchasing Power Parity WSA World Steel Association $ US Dollar INR Indian Rupee Crore 10^7 BIBLIOGRAPHY World Steel Association, International Monetary Fund, Economic Times, Ministry of Steel - India, Public Information Bureau - India, Joint Plant Committee- India, Planning Commission - committee on Infrastructure, Annual report 2010-11- MoS, World Steel in Figures 2012-WSA, Press Information Bureau- GoI, moneycontrol.com, The Telegraph, The Economic Times, miningweekly.com, Wikipedia, mjunction and CorpotradeGlobal Research & Database. ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations
  • 18. Steel Industry in India - 2013 About Corpotrade Global: Corpotrade Global Pvt. Ltd., India is a Management Consulting and Business Services Company located in New Delhi- India. Services Offered :  Management Consulting  Market & Business Research  Strategy & Advisory  Business Process Optimisation  Business Services Business Practice Segment:  Industrial Segment  Energy & Fuel Segment  Mineral Resource Segment  Machine & Equipment Segment  Technology Segment  FMCG Segment  Agro Based Segment  Realty & Infrastructure Segment Contact: Corpotrade Global Pvt. Ltd. Mail: business@cptgl.com info@cptgl.com Phone: +91 11 6469 7575 Web: www.cptgl.com www.corpotradeglobal.com ® Right Reserved | CORPOTRADE GLOBAL Management Consulting & Business Services for Organisations