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Business Brokers of Florida
Central Chapter
Quarterly Training
Maximizing the Broker’s ROI
July 20, 2011
Agenda
11:30 -  12:00
Our Current Market Statistics & What they mean?
12:00 – 12:30
Panel of Experts Critique their Own Success Stories
and Failures.
12:30 – 1:00
Lunch
1:00 – 2:00
Panel of Experts Continues followed by critique of 5
random listings (chosen by Lee Ossin)
Participants
Special thanks to Our Panel of Experts:
 Bob Adams
 Brian Bateson
 Michael Mensch (filling in for John Hoyt)
 George Rosen
 Mike Shea
Statistics supplied by Lou Vescio (unable to attend
this meeting) and Michael Mensch.
The 4 Letter Word - RISK
 Risk = Probability for a Loss
 What is the risk in buying/selling a
business?
 For the Seller?
 For the Buyer?
 For the Broker?
The 4 Letter Word - RISK
 What is the risk in marketing a business
for sale?
 For the Seller?
 For the Buyer?
 For the Broker?
 Little risk on Seller & Buyer until the
closing.
Broker Buyer Seller
Prior to Listing X
Packaging the Listing X
Advertising the Listing X
Working with Buyers X X
Buyer-Seller Meetings X X X
Offers Made X X X
Contracts Signed X X X
Due Dilgence Phase X X X
Financing Phase X X X
Pre-closing Phase X X X
Closing X X X
Time Investment
The 4 Letter Word - RISK
The 4 Letter Word - RISK
Low Avg High
Prior to Listing 5 10 40
Packaging the Listing 3 10 50
Advertising the Listing 2 5 20
Working with Buyers 10 20 100
Buyer-Seller Meetings 10 20 40
Offers Made 2 10 50
Contracts Signed 4 10 50
Due Dilgence Phase 10 40 100
Financing Phase 0 10 30
Pre-closing Phase 5 10 40
Closing 1 2 4
Total Hours 52 147 524
Hours up to Offer 30 65 250
Broker’s Time Investment
The 4 Letter Word - RISK
 Doesn’t include time for:
 Marketing
 Networking
 Attending office meetings
 Continuing education
 Creating BBF chapter meeting slides
The 4 Letter Word - RISK
 The Broker, by far, has the most at risk
in marketing a business for sale.
 Yet with all the time that we invest,
there are no guarantees:
 May not find interested buyers
 Seller may step out of the business
 Business may suffer a set back
 Deal may fall apart
The 4 Letter Word - RISK
 How can we mitigate our risk?
 Weeding out lower probability sales

Businesses that are likely unsellable
 Setting realistic asking price & terms

Setting price in-line with market demand

Prepping for realistic sale terms
 Understanding common issues

With specific types of businesses
The 4 Letter Word - RISK
 Purpose herein is to better understand
Low Probability Sales by:
 Reviewing sold & current listing statistics
 Hearing insight from some experienced
brokers
 Analyzing issues with some sample
listings
Real World BBF Statistics
 In the prior 365 days, BBF brokers sold 841
businesses.
 BBF has 881 member brokers  average of
0.95 businesses per broker
 Average sale price was $241K
 Average BBF broker earned about $12K in
the past year.
*Assumes 10% commission and the listing/seller associate
earns 50% of total or independent licensed broker would have
about 50% in overhead costs.
Real World BBF Statistics
 Of the 841 businesses sold
 46% sold for less than $100K
 27% sold in the $100K to $200K range
 11% sold in the $200K to $300K range
 4% sold in the $300K to $400K range
 3% sold in the $400K to $500K range
 9% sold at $500K or more
84%
Most Businesses sold by BBF Members
are Lower End Main Street Businesses
Real World BBF Statistics
BBF Listings Sold in the Past 365 Days as of July 6, 2011
841 # of busineses sold
118 had Zero Sales Listed 14%
124 had Zero Adj Net or Negative Adj Net 15%
280 Had Adj Net below $50K 33%
156 Had Adj Net between 50-75K 19%
142 Had Adj Net between 75-100K 17%
89 Had Adj Net between 100-125K 11%
43 Had Adj Net between 125-150K 5%
23 Had Adj Net between 150-175K 3%
27 Had Adj Net between 175-200K 3%
42 Had Adj Net between $200 -300K 5%
13 Had Adj Net between $300 -400K 2%
13 Had Adj Net between $400 -500K 2%
22 Had Adj Net over $500K 3%
80% had
Adj Net
< $125k
Real World BBF Statistics
 Of the 841 businesses sold:
 46% (390) were a “sale of assets” and not
sold based on cash flows
 45% (383) were sold with a cash flow of
$50K or more.
 84% sold for less than $300k
 80% had an adjusted net < $125k
*“Sale of Assets” = current & fixed assets valued at 80% or
more of sold price and/or the adj net was less than $25,000.
Sold Multiples to Consider
Brokers that sold businesses in the past year, priced them high but not
high enough to deter a Buyer.
Listed Sold Listed Sold
Adj Net Mult Adj Net Mult % Sales Rev % of Sales Rev
50000 - 75000 1.84 1.47 56% 44%
75000 - 100000 2.12 1.75 69% 57%
100000 - 125000 1.94 1.61 51% 43%
125000 - 150000 2.22 1.88 70% 59%
150000 - 175000 2.79 2.24 103% 81%
175000 - 200000 2.49 2.17 90% 80%
200000 - 300000 2.45 2.06 61% 52%
300000 - 400000 4.04 3.51 97% 82%
400000 - 500000 2.21 1.90 69% 60%
500000 plus 3.23 2.86 72% 65%
Average 2.57 2.12 66.57% 54.92%
Adj Net
21.2% 21.2%
Current BBF Listed data
BBF Listed Data as of July 6, 2011
3276 number of current listings
40 Had Negative Adj Net 1%
446 Had Adj Net of 0 14%
682 Had adj net 0-50K 21%
550 Had adj net 50-75K 17%
401 Had adj net 75-100K 12%
296 Had adj net 100-125K 9%
182 Had adj net 125-150K 6%
126 Had adj net 150-175K 4%
89 Had adj net 175-200K 3%
237 Had adj net 200-300K 7%
110 Had adj net 300-400K 3%
44 Had adj net 400-500K 1%
73 Had adj net over 500K 2%
74%
have
Adj Net
<
$125k
Current Listed Multiples
compared to Sold Data
Current Current
Listed Sold Listed Sold
Adj Net Mult Adj Net Mult % of Sales Rev % of Sales Rev
50000 - 75000 3.03 1.47 87% 44%
75000 - 100000 2.58 1.75 72% 57%
100000 - 125000 2.89 1.61 79% 43%
125000 - 150000 2.75 1.88 82% 59%
150000 - 175000 2.91 2.24 74% 81%
175000 - 200000 2.85 2.17 75% 80%
200000 - 300000 3.43 2.06 90% 52%
300000 - 400000 4.62 3.51 117% 82%
400000 - 500000 4.35 1.90 101% 60%
500000 plus 4.05 2.86 123% 65%
Average 3.35 2.12 90.07% 54.92%
Adj Net
Current listings are priced so high that most will never attract a serious
Prospect, let alone a yield Buyer.
58.0% 64.0%
Current Listings
 Are priced 50 to 100% too high.
 At least 36% will qualify as a sale of assets.
(adj net < $50k.)
 Based on our current trend, only about 12.8%
will result in a closing.
 That suggests that BBF brokers have wasted
at least 296,000 to 840,000 hours of effort in
the past year trying to sell bad listings.
Supporting Data
 This data is not new!
 In 2008, JohnsonServices.com
completed a detailed study for the IBBA
 White Paper entitled “Will Your Listing
Sell” – paper by Douglas Perreault
(April 2008)
 Copies available on request
email: LouisVescio@bellsouth.net
JohnsonServices.com Data
 JohnsonServices.com reviewed
 Listed Data
 Sold Data
from all of the databases they manage –
includes BBF MLS data
 Every effort was made to exclude any
duplicate data
 Start-up listings were also excluded
 The data was combined and just the overall
results are provided
Percent of Listed to Sold
 Of the 96,935 listings in the databases, about
16,000 were still listed, leaving 80,927
businesses to evaluate.
 Of this number, 8468 businesses were sold.
Sold
10.5%
Not Sold
89.5%
Current Status Listed Percent
Sold 8,468 10.5%
Not Sold 72,459 89.5%
Totals 80,927 100.0%
Sold Based on Source of
Financial Data
Sale of Assets (sale of fixed assets only)
Non Operating
Projected, Owner to Prove, Annualized & Owner’s
Estimate
P&L’s, Tax Returns, Part Yr
2794 Unsold 330 Sold 10.56% Sold
17,751 Unsold 3,877 Sold 17.93% Sold
14,244 Unsold 2,416 Sold 15.50% Sold
3078 Unsold 29 Sold 0.93% Sold
56% of Listings, 62% of Sold
What the Data Suggests
 Brokers can reduce their risk by:
 Pricing businesses properly. (Those that sold were
listed at a price within ~20% of the sale price).
 Listing businesses with positive cash flow
(probability increases by 1.5 to 19 x).
 Listing businesses with provable financial data.
 Listing businesses with financing (PeerComps)
 Now lets see what the experts say…
Panel of Experts
 Will each discuss:
 A good listing that they sold
 A bad listing that they could not sell
 Someone else’s listing (chosen at random)
 Audience: Feel free to ask questions or
add insight.
Mensch – Sellable Listing
Mensch – Sellable Listing
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 20 X
Years Owned 20 X
Financial Records Tax Return X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 50% X
Labor Costs 10% X
Profitability 26% X
Rent as % of Sales 3.5% X
Profits over recent history
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Increasing X
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 2.07 x DE 2.2 w/o inv. 2.45 w/ inv.
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 46% 57% to 64%
ROI to comparable sold businesses 36% 34 to 38%
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party Yes X
Seller Yes X
Other Comments
1 Health foods & supplements X
2 Revenue steady through year X
3 Minimal add backs and all provable X
4 Seller worked 45 hrs/wk with one wk off/month X
5 Seller was part of the business brand X
Mensch – Sellable Listing
Mensch – Unsellable Listing
Mensch – Unsellable Listing
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 44 X
Years Owned 17 X
Financial Records Tax Return X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 69% X
Labor Costs 7.5% X
Profitability 11.5% X
Rent as % of Sales 6% X
Profits over recent history
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Same X
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.64 X DE 2.02 w/o inv. 3.25 w/ inv.
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 35% 23% to 37%
ROI to comparable sold businesses 44% 43% w/o inv. 27% w/ inv.
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party Yes X
Seller Yes X
Other Comments
1 Niched electronics store X
2 Business was very well known in area X
3 Revenue seasonal X
4 Seller only worked 20 hrs/wk and traveled X
5 Add backs were a little heavy X
Mensch – Unsellable Listing
Stable cash
flow!
Mensch –Sellable Listing
Many months breaking even or in
the red!
Mensch – Unsellable
Listing
Listings 1 thru 5
Random Listing Critique 1
Random Listing Critique 1
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 10 X
Years Owned 10 X
Financial Records P&L X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 42% X
Labor Costs ? Owner works 80 hrs/wk
Profitability 19% X 15% if 1 employee is added
Rent as % of Sales 7% X
Profits over recent history Yes X
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Increase X
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.9 x DE 2.6 w/o inv. 3.19 w/ inv.
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 39% 33% 62%
ROI to comparable sold businesses 42% 19%
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party Yes X Only 40% financing
Seller No X
Other Comments
1 Owner works 80 hrs/wk - error in adj net X
2 Only two employees X
3 Spike in sales in 2010 & $20k depreciation X
4
5
Random Listing Critique 1
Rosen – Sellable Listing
Rosen – Sellable Listing
Rosen – Sellable Listing
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 18 X
Years Owned 10 X
Financial Records P&L X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 22% X
Labor Costs ?
Profitability 17% X
Rent as % of Sales 11% X
Profits over recent history Yes X
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Static X
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.59 x DE 2.79
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 45% 48%
ROI to comparable sold businesses 38% 26%
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party No X
Seller No X
Other Comments
1 Lease - Up for Renewal Market Rate X
2 Management team X
3 Recasting minimal add backs X
4 National Franchise X
5 High Profile Location X
Rosen – Unsellable Listing
Rosen – Unsellable Listing
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 18 X
Years Owned 10 X
Financial Records P&L X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 42% X
Labor Costs ?
Profitability 9% X
Rent as % of Sales 13% X
Profits over recent history
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady DOWN X
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.69 x DE 7.7
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 39% 77%
ROI to comparable sold businesses N/A X
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party No X
Seller No X
Other Comments
1 1 Partner wants out, Silent Partner Ambivalent X
2 Liquor License worth $130,000 X
3 Financial Add-Backs are myriad X
4 Owner Works Short Hours (20 / week) X
Rosen – Unsellable Listing
Random Listing Critique 2
Random Listing Critique 2
Random Listing Critique 2
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 14 X
Years Owned 14 X
Financial Records Projection X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 61% X
Labor Costs ?
Profitability 11% X
Rent as % of Sales 5% X
Profits over recent history
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Decreasing X
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 2.0 x DE 12.5
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 60% 33% 138%
ROI to comparable sold businesses 34% 4.50%
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party Yes X
Seller Yes X
Other Comments
1 Selling based on projected growth X
2 Total debt service > 2010 adj net X
3 $650k in inventory > 2010 CGS X
4
5
Shea – Sellable Listing
Shea – Sellable Listing
 Discussion
 Good points
 Bad points
Shea – Sellable Listing
Shea – Unsellable Listing
Shea – Unsellable Listing
 Discussion
 Good points
 Bad points
Shea – Unsellable Listing
Random Listing Critique 3
Random Listing Critique 3
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 6 X
Years Owned 5 X
Financial Records Projection X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 89% X
Labor Costs ? No expense listed for any year!
Profitability 11% X
Rent as % of Sales ?
Profits over recent history
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Increasing X
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 2.08 x DE 6.7
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 34% 74%
ROI to comparable sold businesses 41% 11.90%
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party No X
Seller No X
Other Comments
1 Projecting doubling two years in a row? X
2 No expenses listed X
3 No financing X
4 Low profit margin X
5
Random Listing Critique 3
Adams – Sellable Listing
Adams – Sellable Listing
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 19 X
Years Owned 19 X
Financial Records Tax Return X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 28% X
Labor Costs ?
Profitability 13% X
Rent as % of Sales 9% X
Profits over recent history Yes X
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady X
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.9 x DE 2.59
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 40% 33%
ROI to comparable sold businesses 38% 27%
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party No X
Seller No X
Other Comments
1 Lease - 3 five year options X
2 Manaagement team X
3 Recasting minimal add backs X
4
5
Good Listing Checklist
Bob Adams Good Listing
Adams – Sellable Listing
Adams – Unsellable Listing
Adams – Unsellable Listing
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 24 X
Years Owned 7 X
Financial Records O to P X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 37% X
Labor Costs ?
Profitability 47% X
Rent as % of Sales 2% X
Profits over recent history ?
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady ?
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.5 x DE 2.1
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 40% 33%
ROI to comparable sold businesses 38% 23%
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party No X
Seller No X
Other Comments
1 Lease - 3 years remaining X
2 Minimal hours opened X
3 Owner to prove financials suspect X
4 Buying a $50K job for $125K X
5 Has 1 PT employee X
Good Listing Checklist
Bob Adams Not So Good ListingAdams – Unsellable Listing
Random Listing Critique 4
Random Listing Critique 4
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established 18 X
Years Owned 18 X
Financial Records Tax Return X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 39% X
Labor Costs 31% X
Profitability 10% X 12-15% desired
Rent as % of Sales 2% X
Profits over recent history
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Yes X
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 2.48 x DE 2.96 For Bus only
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 37-39% 38.6% Real Estate excluded
ROI to comparable sold businesses 28-33% 25%
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party Yes X
Seller No X
Other Comments
1 Lease - 3 five year options X Real Estate sold with Biz
2 Management team X
3 Recasting minimal add backs Recasting error in rent X
4 Very nice Conf Bus Review X Very nice work
5
Random Listing Critique 4
Bateson – Sellable Listing
Bateson – Sellable Listing
 Discussion
 Good points
 Bad points
Bateson –Sellable Listing
Bateson – Unsellable Listing
Bateson – Unsellable Listing
 Discussion
 Good points
 Bad points
Bateson – Unsellable Listing
Random Listing Critique 5
Random Listing Critique 5
Answer Good OK
Not so
Good Bad
Years Established ?
Years Owned 9
Financial Records Tax Return X
Meets Financial Model for Industry
Cost of Goods Sold 67% X
Labor Costs ?
Profitability 7% X
Rent as % of Sales 2% X
Profits over recent history
Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady ? Gross sales decreased but Gross Profit fluctuating
Pricing
DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.77 x DE 5.7
% Sales to comparable sold businesses 34% 41%
ROI to comparable sold businesses 41% 12.70%
Financing Offered
Bank or Third Party No X
Seller No X
Other Comments
1 A/R, Inventory & F,F &E not included? X
2 Slim margins X
3 No financing X
4
5
Random Listing Critique 5
Summary
 The Broker carries most of the risk in
marketing a business for sale.
 Steps should be taken to minimize your
risk and maximize your time & money:
 Screening for sellable listings
 Pricing & packaging them right
 Following your gut
Thank you!

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Stats for business salse stats in florida

  • 1. Business Brokers of Florida Central Chapter Quarterly Training Maximizing the Broker’s ROI July 20, 2011
  • 2. Agenda 11:30 -  12:00 Our Current Market Statistics & What they mean? 12:00 – 12:30 Panel of Experts Critique their Own Success Stories and Failures. 12:30 – 1:00 Lunch 1:00 – 2:00 Panel of Experts Continues followed by critique of 5 random listings (chosen by Lee Ossin)
  • 3. Participants Special thanks to Our Panel of Experts:  Bob Adams  Brian Bateson  Michael Mensch (filling in for John Hoyt)  George Rosen  Mike Shea Statistics supplied by Lou Vescio (unable to attend this meeting) and Michael Mensch.
  • 4. The 4 Letter Word - RISK  Risk = Probability for a Loss  What is the risk in buying/selling a business?  For the Seller?  For the Buyer?  For the Broker?
  • 5. The 4 Letter Word - RISK  What is the risk in marketing a business for sale?  For the Seller?  For the Buyer?  For the Broker?  Little risk on Seller & Buyer until the closing.
  • 6. Broker Buyer Seller Prior to Listing X Packaging the Listing X Advertising the Listing X Working with Buyers X X Buyer-Seller Meetings X X X Offers Made X X X Contracts Signed X X X Due Dilgence Phase X X X Financing Phase X X X Pre-closing Phase X X X Closing X X X Time Investment The 4 Letter Word - RISK
  • 7. The 4 Letter Word - RISK Low Avg High Prior to Listing 5 10 40 Packaging the Listing 3 10 50 Advertising the Listing 2 5 20 Working with Buyers 10 20 100 Buyer-Seller Meetings 10 20 40 Offers Made 2 10 50 Contracts Signed 4 10 50 Due Dilgence Phase 10 40 100 Financing Phase 0 10 30 Pre-closing Phase 5 10 40 Closing 1 2 4 Total Hours 52 147 524 Hours up to Offer 30 65 250 Broker’s Time Investment
  • 8. The 4 Letter Word - RISK  Doesn’t include time for:  Marketing  Networking  Attending office meetings  Continuing education  Creating BBF chapter meeting slides
  • 9. The 4 Letter Word - RISK  The Broker, by far, has the most at risk in marketing a business for sale.  Yet with all the time that we invest, there are no guarantees:  May not find interested buyers  Seller may step out of the business  Business may suffer a set back  Deal may fall apart
  • 10. The 4 Letter Word - RISK  How can we mitigate our risk?  Weeding out lower probability sales  Businesses that are likely unsellable  Setting realistic asking price & terms  Setting price in-line with market demand  Prepping for realistic sale terms  Understanding common issues  With specific types of businesses
  • 11. The 4 Letter Word - RISK  Purpose herein is to better understand Low Probability Sales by:  Reviewing sold & current listing statistics  Hearing insight from some experienced brokers  Analyzing issues with some sample listings
  • 12. Real World BBF Statistics  In the prior 365 days, BBF brokers sold 841 businesses.  BBF has 881 member brokers  average of 0.95 businesses per broker  Average sale price was $241K  Average BBF broker earned about $12K in the past year. *Assumes 10% commission and the listing/seller associate earns 50% of total or independent licensed broker would have about 50% in overhead costs.
  • 13. Real World BBF Statistics  Of the 841 businesses sold  46% sold for less than $100K  27% sold in the $100K to $200K range  11% sold in the $200K to $300K range  4% sold in the $300K to $400K range  3% sold in the $400K to $500K range  9% sold at $500K or more 84% Most Businesses sold by BBF Members are Lower End Main Street Businesses
  • 14. Real World BBF Statistics BBF Listings Sold in the Past 365 Days as of July 6, 2011 841 # of busineses sold 118 had Zero Sales Listed 14% 124 had Zero Adj Net or Negative Adj Net 15% 280 Had Adj Net below $50K 33% 156 Had Adj Net between 50-75K 19% 142 Had Adj Net between 75-100K 17% 89 Had Adj Net between 100-125K 11% 43 Had Adj Net between 125-150K 5% 23 Had Adj Net between 150-175K 3% 27 Had Adj Net between 175-200K 3% 42 Had Adj Net between $200 -300K 5% 13 Had Adj Net between $300 -400K 2% 13 Had Adj Net between $400 -500K 2% 22 Had Adj Net over $500K 3% 80% had Adj Net < $125k
  • 15. Real World BBF Statistics  Of the 841 businesses sold:  46% (390) were a “sale of assets” and not sold based on cash flows  45% (383) were sold with a cash flow of $50K or more.  84% sold for less than $300k  80% had an adjusted net < $125k *“Sale of Assets” = current & fixed assets valued at 80% or more of sold price and/or the adj net was less than $25,000.
  • 16. Sold Multiples to Consider Brokers that sold businesses in the past year, priced them high but not high enough to deter a Buyer. Listed Sold Listed Sold Adj Net Mult Adj Net Mult % Sales Rev % of Sales Rev 50000 - 75000 1.84 1.47 56% 44% 75000 - 100000 2.12 1.75 69% 57% 100000 - 125000 1.94 1.61 51% 43% 125000 - 150000 2.22 1.88 70% 59% 150000 - 175000 2.79 2.24 103% 81% 175000 - 200000 2.49 2.17 90% 80% 200000 - 300000 2.45 2.06 61% 52% 300000 - 400000 4.04 3.51 97% 82% 400000 - 500000 2.21 1.90 69% 60% 500000 plus 3.23 2.86 72% 65% Average 2.57 2.12 66.57% 54.92% Adj Net 21.2% 21.2%
  • 17. Current BBF Listed data BBF Listed Data as of July 6, 2011 3276 number of current listings 40 Had Negative Adj Net 1% 446 Had Adj Net of 0 14% 682 Had adj net 0-50K 21% 550 Had adj net 50-75K 17% 401 Had adj net 75-100K 12% 296 Had adj net 100-125K 9% 182 Had adj net 125-150K 6% 126 Had adj net 150-175K 4% 89 Had adj net 175-200K 3% 237 Had adj net 200-300K 7% 110 Had adj net 300-400K 3% 44 Had adj net 400-500K 1% 73 Had adj net over 500K 2% 74% have Adj Net < $125k
  • 18. Current Listed Multiples compared to Sold Data Current Current Listed Sold Listed Sold Adj Net Mult Adj Net Mult % of Sales Rev % of Sales Rev 50000 - 75000 3.03 1.47 87% 44% 75000 - 100000 2.58 1.75 72% 57% 100000 - 125000 2.89 1.61 79% 43% 125000 - 150000 2.75 1.88 82% 59% 150000 - 175000 2.91 2.24 74% 81% 175000 - 200000 2.85 2.17 75% 80% 200000 - 300000 3.43 2.06 90% 52% 300000 - 400000 4.62 3.51 117% 82% 400000 - 500000 4.35 1.90 101% 60% 500000 plus 4.05 2.86 123% 65% Average 3.35 2.12 90.07% 54.92% Adj Net Current listings are priced so high that most will never attract a serious Prospect, let alone a yield Buyer. 58.0% 64.0%
  • 19. Current Listings  Are priced 50 to 100% too high.  At least 36% will qualify as a sale of assets. (adj net < $50k.)  Based on our current trend, only about 12.8% will result in a closing.  That suggests that BBF brokers have wasted at least 296,000 to 840,000 hours of effort in the past year trying to sell bad listings.
  • 20. Supporting Data  This data is not new!  In 2008, JohnsonServices.com completed a detailed study for the IBBA  White Paper entitled “Will Your Listing Sell” – paper by Douglas Perreault (April 2008)  Copies available on request email: LouisVescio@bellsouth.net
  • 21. JohnsonServices.com Data  JohnsonServices.com reviewed  Listed Data  Sold Data from all of the databases they manage – includes BBF MLS data  Every effort was made to exclude any duplicate data  Start-up listings were also excluded  The data was combined and just the overall results are provided
  • 22. Percent of Listed to Sold  Of the 96,935 listings in the databases, about 16,000 were still listed, leaving 80,927 businesses to evaluate.  Of this number, 8468 businesses were sold. Sold 10.5% Not Sold 89.5% Current Status Listed Percent Sold 8,468 10.5% Not Sold 72,459 89.5% Totals 80,927 100.0%
  • 23. Sold Based on Source of Financial Data Sale of Assets (sale of fixed assets only) Non Operating Projected, Owner to Prove, Annualized & Owner’s Estimate P&L’s, Tax Returns, Part Yr 2794 Unsold 330 Sold 10.56% Sold 17,751 Unsold 3,877 Sold 17.93% Sold 14,244 Unsold 2,416 Sold 15.50% Sold 3078 Unsold 29 Sold 0.93% Sold 56% of Listings, 62% of Sold
  • 24. What the Data Suggests  Brokers can reduce their risk by:  Pricing businesses properly. (Those that sold were listed at a price within ~20% of the sale price).  Listing businesses with positive cash flow (probability increases by 1.5 to 19 x).  Listing businesses with provable financial data.  Listing businesses with financing (PeerComps)  Now lets see what the experts say…
  • 25. Panel of Experts  Will each discuss:  A good listing that they sold  A bad listing that they could not sell  Someone else’s listing (chosen at random)  Audience: Feel free to ask questions or add insight.
  • 28. Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 20 X Years Owned 20 X Financial Records Tax Return X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 50% X Labor Costs 10% X Profitability 26% X Rent as % of Sales 3.5% X Profits over recent history Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Increasing X Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 2.07 x DE 2.2 w/o inv. 2.45 w/ inv. % Sales to comparable sold businesses 46% 57% to 64% ROI to comparable sold businesses 36% 34 to 38% Financing Offered Bank or Third Party Yes X Seller Yes X Other Comments 1 Health foods & supplements X 2 Revenue steady through year X 3 Minimal add backs and all provable X 4 Seller worked 45 hrs/wk with one wk off/month X 5 Seller was part of the business brand X Mensch – Sellable Listing
  • 31. Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 44 X Years Owned 17 X Financial Records Tax Return X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 69% X Labor Costs 7.5% X Profitability 11.5% X Rent as % of Sales 6% X Profits over recent history Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Same X Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.64 X DE 2.02 w/o inv. 3.25 w/ inv. % Sales to comparable sold businesses 35% 23% to 37% ROI to comparable sold businesses 44% 43% w/o inv. 27% w/ inv. Financing Offered Bank or Third Party Yes X Seller Yes X Other Comments 1 Niched electronics store X 2 Business was very well known in area X 3 Revenue seasonal X 4 Seller only worked 20 hrs/wk and traveled X 5 Add backs were a little heavy X Mensch – Unsellable Listing
  • 33. Many months breaking even or in the red! Mensch – Unsellable Listing
  • 34. Listings 1 thru 5 Random Listing Critique 1
  • 36. Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 10 X Years Owned 10 X Financial Records P&L X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 42% X Labor Costs ? Owner works 80 hrs/wk Profitability 19% X 15% if 1 employee is added Rent as % of Sales 7% X Profits over recent history Yes X Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Increase X Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.9 x DE 2.6 w/o inv. 3.19 w/ inv. % Sales to comparable sold businesses 39% 33% 62% ROI to comparable sold businesses 42% 19% Financing Offered Bank or Third Party Yes X Only 40% financing Seller No X Other Comments 1 Owner works 80 hrs/wk - error in adj net X 2 Only two employees X 3 Spike in sales in 2010 & $20k depreciation X 4 5 Random Listing Critique 1
  • 39. Rosen – Sellable Listing Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 18 X Years Owned 10 X Financial Records P&L X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 22% X Labor Costs ? Profitability 17% X Rent as % of Sales 11% X Profits over recent history Yes X Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Static X Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.59 x DE 2.79 % Sales to comparable sold businesses 45% 48% ROI to comparable sold businesses 38% 26% Financing Offered Bank or Third Party No X Seller No X Other Comments 1 Lease - Up for Renewal Market Rate X 2 Management team X 3 Recasting minimal add backs X 4 National Franchise X 5 High Profile Location X
  • 42. Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 18 X Years Owned 10 X Financial Records P&L X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 42% X Labor Costs ? Profitability 9% X Rent as % of Sales 13% X Profits over recent history Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady DOWN X Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.69 x DE 7.7 % Sales to comparable sold businesses 39% 77% ROI to comparable sold businesses N/A X Financing Offered Bank or Third Party No X Seller No X Other Comments 1 1 Partner wants out, Silent Partner Ambivalent X 2 Liquor License worth $130,000 X 3 Financial Add-Backs are myriad X 4 Owner Works Short Hours (20 / week) X Rosen – Unsellable Listing
  • 45. Random Listing Critique 2 Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 14 X Years Owned 14 X Financial Records Projection X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 61% X Labor Costs ? Profitability 11% X Rent as % of Sales 5% X Profits over recent history Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Decreasing X Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 2.0 x DE 12.5 % Sales to comparable sold businesses 60% 33% 138% ROI to comparable sold businesses 34% 4.50% Financing Offered Bank or Third Party Yes X Seller Yes X Other Comments 1 Selling based on projected growth X 2 Total debt service > 2010 adj net X 3 $650k in inventory > 2010 CGS X 4 5
  • 46. Shea – Sellable Listing
  • 47. Shea – Sellable Listing
  • 48.  Discussion  Good points  Bad points Shea – Sellable Listing
  • 51.  Discussion  Good points  Bad points Shea – Unsellable Listing
  • 54. Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 6 X Years Owned 5 X Financial Records Projection X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 89% X Labor Costs ? No expense listed for any year! Profitability 11% X Rent as % of Sales ? Profits over recent history Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Increasing X Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 2.08 x DE 6.7 % Sales to comparable sold businesses 34% 74% ROI to comparable sold businesses 41% 11.90% Financing Offered Bank or Third Party No X Seller No X Other Comments 1 Projecting doubling two years in a row? X 2 No expenses listed X 3 No financing X 4 Low profit margin X 5 Random Listing Critique 3
  • 57. Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 19 X Years Owned 19 X Financial Records Tax Return X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 28% X Labor Costs ? Profitability 13% X Rent as % of Sales 9% X Profits over recent history Yes X Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady X Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.9 x DE 2.59 % Sales to comparable sold businesses 40% 33% ROI to comparable sold businesses 38% 27% Financing Offered Bank or Third Party No X Seller No X Other Comments 1 Lease - 3 five year options X 2 Manaagement team X 3 Recasting minimal add backs X 4 5 Good Listing Checklist Bob Adams Good Listing Adams – Sellable Listing
  • 60. Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 24 X Years Owned 7 X Financial Records O to P X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 37% X Labor Costs ? Profitability 47% X Rent as % of Sales 2% X Profits over recent history ? Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady ? Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.5 x DE 2.1 % Sales to comparable sold businesses 40% 33% ROI to comparable sold businesses 38% 23% Financing Offered Bank or Third Party No X Seller No X Other Comments 1 Lease - 3 years remaining X 2 Minimal hours opened X 3 Owner to prove financials suspect X 4 Buying a $50K job for $125K X 5 Has 1 PT employee X Good Listing Checklist Bob Adams Not So Good ListingAdams – Unsellable Listing
  • 63. Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established 18 X Years Owned 18 X Financial Records Tax Return X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 39% X Labor Costs 31% X Profitability 10% X 12-15% desired Rent as % of Sales 2% X Profits over recent history Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady Yes X Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 2.48 x DE 2.96 For Bus only % Sales to comparable sold businesses 37-39% 38.6% Real Estate excluded ROI to comparable sold businesses 28-33% 25% Financing Offered Bank or Third Party Yes X Seller No X Other Comments 1 Lease - 3 five year options X Real Estate sold with Biz 2 Management team X 3 Recasting minimal add backs Recasting error in rent X 4 Very nice Conf Bus Review X Very nice work 5 Random Listing Critique 4
  • 66.  Discussion  Good points  Bad points Bateson –Sellable Listing
  • 69.  Discussion  Good points  Bad points Bateson – Unsellable Listing
  • 72. Answer Good OK Not so Good Bad Years Established ? Years Owned 9 Financial Records Tax Return X Meets Financial Model for Industry Cost of Goods Sold 67% X Labor Costs ? Profitability 7% X Rent as % of Sales 2% X Profits over recent history Sales Increasing, Decreasing, Steady ? Gross sales decreased but Gross Profit fluctuating Pricing DE multiple to comparable sold businesses 1.77 x DE 5.7 % Sales to comparable sold businesses 34% 41% ROI to comparable sold businesses 41% 12.70% Financing Offered Bank or Third Party No X Seller No X Other Comments 1 A/R, Inventory & F,F &E not included? X 2 Slim margins X 3 No financing X 4 5 Random Listing Critique 5
  • 73. Summary  The Broker carries most of the risk in marketing a business for sale.  Steps should be taken to minimize your risk and maximize your time & money:  Screening for sellable listings  Pricing & packaging them right  Following your gut