SlideShare a Scribd company logo
http://www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu/fileadmin/images/content/ 
D4.1_FourFutureScenarios.pdf 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy 
Endemic technology 
Human-centrism
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg 
30 000 kg
Leisure 
time 
300 kg 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg 
30 000 kg 
Mobility 
(daily and tourism) 
2800 kg 
Food 
2500 kg 
Housing: 
building 
1300 kg 
Others 
Housing: 
electricity 
300 kg 
Product 
consumption 
8000 kg
Leisure 
time 
300 kg 
Product 
consumption 
Mobility 
Others 
(daily and tourism) 
2800 kg 
Food 
2500 kg 
Housing: 
building 
1300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
300 kg 
8000 kg 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg 
30 000 kg 
2012 2020 2030 2040 2050
Leisure 
time 
300 kg 
Product 
consumption 
Mobility 
Others 
(daily and tourism) 
2800 kg 
Food 
2500 kg 
Housing: 
building 
1300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
300 kg 
8000 kg 
37 years = one generation 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg 
30 000 kg 
2012 2020 2030 2040 2050
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg 
Leisure 
time 
300 kg 
Product 
consumption 
Mobility 
Others 
(daily and tourism) 
2800 kg 
Food 
2500 kg 
Housing: 
building 
1300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
300 kg 
2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg 
Leisure 
time 
300 kg 
Product 
consumption 
Mobility 
Others 
(daily and tourism) 
2800 kg 
Food 
2500 kg 
Housing: 
building 
1300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
300 kg 
Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable 
goal 
2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg 
Leisure 
time 
300 kg 
Product 
consumption 
Mobility 
Others 
(daily and tourism) 
2800 kg 
Food 
2500 kg 
Housing: 
building 
1300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
300 kg 
Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable 
goal 
2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg 
Leisure 
time 
300 kg 
Product 
consumption 
Mobility 
Others 
(daily and tourism) 
2800 kg 
Food 
2500 kg 
Housing: 
building 
1300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
300 kg 
Elements of disruptive 
change 
Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable 
goal 
2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
Leisure time 
1500 kg 
From quantitative decline in resource 
use to qualitative bits of lifestyles 
Mobility (daily and tourism) 
11 000 kg 
Housing: building 
2400 kg 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Product 
consumption 
2600 kg 
Food 
7300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
3300 kg 
Others 
900 kg 
Leisure 
time 
300 kg 
Product 
consumption 
Mobility 
Others 
(daily and tourism) 
2800 kg 
Food 
2500 kg 
Housing: 
building 
1300 kg 
Housing: 
electricity 
300 kg 
Elements of disruptive 
change 
Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable 
goal 
2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy Human-centrism 
Endemic technology
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy 
Endemic technology 
Human-centrism
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy 
Endemic technology 
Human-centrism 
Singular Super Champions 
Governing the Commons 
Local Loops 
Empathetic Communities
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy 
Endemic technology 
Human-centrism 
Singular Super Champions 
price mechanism 
Upcycling economy 
Dense urban living 
Competition 
Governing the Commons 
Local Loops 
Empathetic Communities
Governing the Commons 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy 
Endemic technology 
Human-centrism 
Singular Super Champions 
price mechanism 
Upcycling economy 
Dense urban living 
Competition 
Ubiquitous technologies 
Multiprofessional careers 
Digital communities 
3D printing consumers 
Local Loops 
Empathetic Communities
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy 
Endemic technology 
Human-centrism 
Singular Super Champions 
price mechanism 
Upcycling economy 
Dense urban living 
Competition 
Ubiquitous technologies 
Multiprofessional careers 
Digital communities 
3D printing consumers 
Energy crises 
Local resources, local 
technologies 
Local professional clusters/guilds 
Service economy 
Governing the Commons 
Local Loops 
Empathetic Communities
Governing the Commons 
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy 
Endemic technology 
Human-centrism 
Singular Super Champions 
price mechanism 
Upcycling economy 
Dense urban living 
Competition 
Ubiquitous technologies 
Multiprofessional careers 
Digital communities 
3D printing consumers 
Energy crises 
Local resources, local 
technologies 
Local professional clusters/guilds 
Service economy 
Economic crises, collapse of nation states 
Local resources 
Production of food and energy in large 
role 
Local Loops 
Empathetic Communities
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy 
Endemic technology 
Human-centrism
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu 
Pandemic technology 
Meritocracy 
Endemic technology 
Human-centrism
www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu

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Spread scenarios for Sustainable Lifestyles 2050

  • 2. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Endemic technology Human-centrism
  • 3. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Leisure time 1500 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg
  • 4. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Leisure time 1500 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg 30 000 kg
  • 5. Leisure time 300 kg www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Leisure time 1500 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg 30 000 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 2800 kg Food 2500 kg Housing: building 1300 kg Others Housing: electricity 300 kg Product consumption 8000 kg
  • 6. Leisure time 300 kg Product consumption Mobility Others (daily and tourism) 2800 kg Food 2500 kg Housing: building 1300 kg Housing: electricity 300 kg 8000 kg www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Leisure time 1500 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg 30 000 kg 2012 2020 2030 2040 2050
  • 7. Leisure time 300 kg Product consumption Mobility Others (daily and tourism) 2800 kg Food 2500 kg Housing: building 1300 kg Housing: electricity 300 kg 8000 kg 37 years = one generation www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Leisure time 1500 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg 30 000 kg 2012 2020 2030 2040 2050
  • 8. Leisure time 1500 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg Leisure time 300 kg Product consumption Mobility Others (daily and tourism) 2800 kg Food 2500 kg Housing: building 1300 kg Housing: electricity 300 kg 2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
  • 9. Leisure time 1500 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg Leisure time 300 kg Product consumption Mobility Others (daily and tourism) 2800 kg Food 2500 kg Housing: building 1300 kg Housing: electricity 300 kg Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable goal 2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
  • 10. Leisure time 1500 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg Leisure time 300 kg Product consumption Mobility Others (daily and tourism) 2800 kg Food 2500 kg Housing: building 1300 kg Housing: electricity 300 kg Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable goal 2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
  • 11. Leisure time 1500 kg Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg Leisure time 300 kg Product consumption Mobility Others (daily and tourism) 2800 kg Food 2500 kg Housing: building 1300 kg Housing: electricity 300 kg Elements of disruptive change Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable goal 2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
  • 12. Leisure time 1500 kg From quantitative decline in resource use to qualitative bits of lifestyles Mobility (daily and tourism) 11 000 kg Housing: building 2400 kg www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Product consumption 2600 kg Food 7300 kg Housing: electricity 3300 kg Others 900 kg Leisure time 300 kg Product consumption Mobility Others (daily and tourism) 2800 kg Food 2500 kg Housing: building 1300 kg Housing: electricity 300 kg Elements of disruptive change Assumption on sustainable lifestyles as a doable goal 2050 2040 2030 2020 2012
  • 13. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 14. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 15. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 16. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 17. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 18. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 19. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 20. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 21. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 22. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 23. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Human-centrism Endemic technology
  • 24. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Endemic technology Human-centrism
  • 25. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Endemic technology Human-centrism Singular Super Champions Governing the Commons Local Loops Empathetic Communities
  • 26. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Endemic technology Human-centrism Singular Super Champions price mechanism Upcycling economy Dense urban living Competition Governing the Commons Local Loops Empathetic Communities
  • 27. Governing the Commons www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Endemic technology Human-centrism Singular Super Champions price mechanism Upcycling economy Dense urban living Competition Ubiquitous technologies Multiprofessional careers Digital communities 3D printing consumers Local Loops Empathetic Communities
  • 28. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Endemic technology Human-centrism Singular Super Champions price mechanism Upcycling economy Dense urban living Competition Ubiquitous technologies Multiprofessional careers Digital communities 3D printing consumers Energy crises Local resources, local technologies Local professional clusters/guilds Service economy Governing the Commons Local Loops Empathetic Communities
  • 29. Governing the Commons www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Endemic technology Human-centrism Singular Super Champions price mechanism Upcycling economy Dense urban living Competition Ubiquitous technologies Multiprofessional careers Digital communities 3D printing consumers Energy crises Local resources, local technologies Local professional clusters/guilds Service economy Economic crises, collapse of nation states Local resources Production of food and energy in large role Local Loops Empathetic Communities
  • 31. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Endemic technology Human-centrism
  • 32. www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu Pandemic technology Meritocracy Endemic technology Human-centrism