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The evaluation of socioeconomic
development of Latvian cities and towns
  using development level-rate matrix




                                                  Alise Vītola
                                     Riga Technical University

                                             Zintis Hermansons
                              Ministry of Regional Development
                                         and Local Government
             Riga, September 2010
Cities and towns in Latvia
• High degree of urbanisation – 70% of inhabitants live in cities and towns
• Wide network of 76 small and medium sized towns
• Monocentric development - dominancy of capital city Riga and it’s
  surroundings
• Alternative growth poles - Liepaja, Ventspils, Jelgava, Daugavpils,
  Rezekne, Valmiera




                                  Source: SRDA                                             Source: SRDA
  Incomes of inhabitants (2009)                  Changes in number of inhabitants (2005-2010)

        The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities
                           using development level-rate matrix
Regional policy in Latvia*
  Promotion of polycentric development by
     strengthening:
  • competitiveness of growth poles
  • functional networking of cities and towns
  • urban-rural partnership

  Preconditions for polycentric development:
  • specialisation
  • cooperation
  • concentration of resources

  Spatial perspective of “Latvia 2030”
     stipulates
  • levels of growth poles
  • functional networks of growth poles

                                                                 Source: Latvia 2030
* Sustainable Development Strategy for Latvia till 2030 (2010)
  National Development Plan 2007-2013 (2006)

           The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities
                              using development level-rate matrix
The study
• Purpose: to analyse socioeconomic development of major cities
  and towns in Latvia in 10 years period (1999-2008)

• Object:
   – 10 major cities – Riga (capital city), Daugavpils, Liepaja,
     Jelgava, Jurmala, Ventspils, Rezekne, Valmiera, Jekabpils
     and Ogre
   – 12 towns with more than 10 000 inhabitants, four of them –
     amalgamated municipalities

• Methodology: calculation of indexes and graphical analysis
  using development level-rate matrix

• Data: local level statistics - income of inhabitants, unemployment
  level and density of inhabitants

   The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities
                      using development level-rate matrix
Indexes and matrix
Indexes :                                               xi − ximin
• covering 10 year period                       Ii =                     (1)
• separate development level and
                                                       xi max − ximin
   rate indexes for each indicator (1)
                                                      Ii
• aggregated indicator for the                   I =∑                    (2)
   overall socioeconomic                              n
   development rate and level (2)

Matrix:
• x axis represents development
  level and y axis – development rate
• horizontal axis crosses vertical axis
  at 0,5
• “bubbles” represent the number of
  inhabitants in cities and towns


   The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities
                      using development level-rate matrix
Results: income




•   Leader positions are taken by Riga and cities and towns in 50 km radius around it, as well as
    Valmiera, Cēsis and Talsi
•   Also some cities and towns with lower income level have high income increase rates – Saldus,
    Jēkabpils
•   Special attention should be paid to Kuldiga where the income increase rate is lower than
    average, but the income lewel is rather low
          The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities
                             using development level-rate matrix
Results: unemployment




•   Higher unemplyment decrease rates are in the largest cities, except Riga (with the lowest
    unemployment level), and in Kraslava (with the highest unemployment level)
•   Higher unemplyment decrease rates are in cities and towns with higher unemployment level
    and vice versa
•   Exeptions – Dobele, Bauska and Kuldiga with moderate level of unemployment and lower
    unemployment decrease rates
          The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities
                             using development level-rate matrix
Results: density of inhabitants




•   Higher density increase rates - in cities and towns in 70 km radius around Riga, as well as
    Tukums, Saldus and Cēsis
•   N.B.! The number of inhabitants increased only in Tukums, Sigulda and Jelgava. In Jurmala,
    Ogre and Salaspils it remained unchanged
•   Special attention should be paid to Ventspils which is rapidly loosing it’s inhabitants while it’s
    density of inhabitants is very low
          The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities
                             using development level-rate matrix
Results: overal development




•   Leaders - cities and towns located in 70 km radius around capital city Riga, as well as Valmiera,
    Dobele, Cesis and Saldus
•   Special attention should be paid to:
     – further exploration of growth potential of Jekabpils, Liepaja, Daugavpils and Kraslava (low
        development level, high development rate)
     – strengthening of growth potential of Kuldiga (low development rate and level)
     – effective usage of existing resources in Ventspils (high development level, but the lowest
        development rate)
          The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities
                               using development level-rate matrix
vitola.alise@gmail.com
zintis.hermansons@raplm.gov.lv

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Socioeconomic Development of Cities & Towns in Latvia (Riga, 2010)

  • 1. The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian cities and towns using development level-rate matrix Alise Vītola Riga Technical University Zintis Hermansons Ministry of Regional Development and Local Government Riga, September 2010
  • 2. Cities and towns in Latvia • High degree of urbanisation – 70% of inhabitants live in cities and towns • Wide network of 76 small and medium sized towns • Monocentric development - dominancy of capital city Riga and it’s surroundings • Alternative growth poles - Liepaja, Ventspils, Jelgava, Daugavpils, Rezekne, Valmiera Source: SRDA Source: SRDA Incomes of inhabitants (2009) Changes in number of inhabitants (2005-2010) The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities using development level-rate matrix
  • 3. Regional policy in Latvia* Promotion of polycentric development by strengthening: • competitiveness of growth poles • functional networking of cities and towns • urban-rural partnership Preconditions for polycentric development: • specialisation • cooperation • concentration of resources Spatial perspective of “Latvia 2030” stipulates • levels of growth poles • functional networks of growth poles Source: Latvia 2030 * Sustainable Development Strategy for Latvia till 2030 (2010) National Development Plan 2007-2013 (2006) The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities using development level-rate matrix
  • 4. The study • Purpose: to analyse socioeconomic development of major cities and towns in Latvia in 10 years period (1999-2008) • Object: – 10 major cities – Riga (capital city), Daugavpils, Liepaja, Jelgava, Jurmala, Ventspils, Rezekne, Valmiera, Jekabpils and Ogre – 12 towns with more than 10 000 inhabitants, four of them – amalgamated municipalities • Methodology: calculation of indexes and graphical analysis using development level-rate matrix • Data: local level statistics - income of inhabitants, unemployment level and density of inhabitants The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities using development level-rate matrix
  • 5. Indexes and matrix Indexes : xi − ximin • covering 10 year period Ii = (1) • separate development level and xi max − ximin rate indexes for each indicator (1) Ii • aggregated indicator for the I =∑ (2) overall socioeconomic n development rate and level (2) Matrix: • x axis represents development level and y axis – development rate • horizontal axis crosses vertical axis at 0,5 • “bubbles” represent the number of inhabitants in cities and towns The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities using development level-rate matrix
  • 6. Results: income • Leader positions are taken by Riga and cities and towns in 50 km radius around it, as well as Valmiera, Cēsis and Talsi • Also some cities and towns with lower income level have high income increase rates – Saldus, Jēkabpils • Special attention should be paid to Kuldiga where the income increase rate is lower than average, but the income lewel is rather low The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities using development level-rate matrix
  • 7. Results: unemployment • Higher unemplyment decrease rates are in the largest cities, except Riga (with the lowest unemployment level), and in Kraslava (with the highest unemployment level) • Higher unemplyment decrease rates are in cities and towns with higher unemployment level and vice versa • Exeptions – Dobele, Bauska and Kuldiga with moderate level of unemployment and lower unemployment decrease rates The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities using development level-rate matrix
  • 8. Results: density of inhabitants • Higher density increase rates - in cities and towns in 70 km radius around Riga, as well as Tukums, Saldus and Cēsis • N.B.! The number of inhabitants increased only in Tukums, Sigulda and Jelgava. In Jurmala, Ogre and Salaspils it remained unchanged • Special attention should be paid to Ventspils which is rapidly loosing it’s inhabitants while it’s density of inhabitants is very low The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities using development level-rate matrix
  • 9. Results: overal development • Leaders - cities and towns located in 70 km radius around capital city Riga, as well as Valmiera, Dobele, Cesis and Saldus • Special attention should be paid to: – further exploration of growth potential of Jekabpils, Liepaja, Daugavpils and Kraslava (low development level, high development rate) – strengthening of growth potential of Kuldiga (low development rate and level) – effective usage of existing resources in Ventspils (high development level, but the lowest development rate) The evaluation of socioeconomic development of Latvian towns and cities using development level-rate matrix