Financial Market is a important area of study and its a most practical education where is News on Stock Market is even crucial as the market moves how we share the news coverage of the specific events and how fast we would disseminate them to the public.
1. SOCIAL MEDIA, FAKE NEWS,
NEWS AND STOCK MARKET
Compiled By
Sudarshan Kadariya, M. Phil (Finance – Gold Medalist), MA in RD
Chairman
Lagani Group = Lagani School Pvt Ltd + Lagani Holdings Pvt Ltd
2. OVERVIEW
Financial economists have long been interested in how markets
incorporate information. In the last decade, the confluence of
improved computational tools and data availability for text analysis
have led to new research methods and many important insights into
how markets respond to the news media.
But how does information become news in the first place? How do
choices made by journalists shape the news to which markets react?
(Source:https://www8.gsb.columbia.edu/financialstudies/events/annualne
wsandfinance/2019#overview)
3. FAKE NEWS
Presented byYin Luo, "Beyond Fake News - Extracting Signals from Noisy News, Social
Media, and Corporate Events"
What is fake news?
Fake news, or hoax news, refers to false information or propaganda published under the
guise/excuse of being authentic news. Fake news websites and channels push their fake
news content in an attempt to mislead consumers of the content and spread
misinformation via social networks and word-of-mouth.
Definitions of fake news from PolitiFact: "Fake news is made-up stuff, masterfully
manipulated to look like credible journalistic reports that are easily spread online to large
audiences willing to believe the fictions and spread the word."
Why Fake News?
The mission of fake news content isn't typically for financial gain — or at least not
completely for profit — but rather for luring visitors in via clickbaiting - and then getting
content consumers to virally spread the false information or hoax news.
4. FAKE NEWS
Fake News in Discussion:
The Role of Fake News in the 2016 U.S. Election
Both Facebook and Google have also been criticized for playing a large role in the spread of fake
news, with fake news stories typically spreading via Facebook and being boosted in Google search
results as the stories gained more attention from readers.
Fake news frequently originates from outside of the United States, particularly in countries
like Russia, even when the target is primarily an American-based audience. U.S.
intelligence officials have commented that they "believe Russia helped disseminate fake
and propagandized news as part of a broader effort to influence and undermine the
presidential election," according to BuzzFeed News.
(Source: https://www.webopedia.com/TERM/F/fake-news.html)
5. APPLICATION OF AI IN FINANCE
Evan Schnidman, CEO, Prattle presenting: “Applications of AI in Finance: Using
NLP to Analyze Market-Moving Language”
8. NEW AND OLD NEWS, REPRINTS &
COMBINATIONS NEWS
Anastassia Fedyk, Assistant Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, U.C.
Berkeley presenting: "When Can the Market Identify Old News?“
Reprints: Repeat single previous stories
Recombination: Combine into from different previous stories
Market Dynamics:
Recombination effect: Stronger reactions on days with more recombination than
reprints
These reactions are more likely to subsequently reverse
The effect has strengthened over time
9. ASSET PRICE IMPLICATIONS
Prediction (Novel vs Old News)
Compared to novel news, old news is associated with lower trading volumes and
absolute price change immediately following publication
Prediction (Reprints vs Recombination)
Among old news, recombination are associated with larger immediate trading
volumes and absolute price changes than reprint stories
10. SOCIAL MEDIA
Matthew Gentzkow, Professor of Economics, Stanford University presenting: "TheWelfare
Effects of Social Media"
Among social media platforms, people value Facebook a lot
People are overconsuming social media, the over use can cause some problems too such
as depression, individualists, social behavior, etc
Facebook makes people both more informed and more polarized
In light of these study results, we can think of what kind of impacts can be in the stock
market?
Examples…. Pls discuss
11. INSTITUTIONALTRADING
RussWermers, Bank of America Professor of Finance and Director, Center for
Financial Policy, Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland
presenting: "InstitutionalTrading Around Corporate News: Evidence fromTextual
Analysis"
News-Driven institutional trades results in abnormal returns in the next four
weeks
Institutional advantage stems mostly from their ability to process information in
a very timely manner
Abnormal returns from trading on news is a major concern
12. INSTITUTIONALTRADING, NEWS, MARKET
Institutional trading occurs around the corporate news
Timely access to information is important to institutions (even 2-second
earlier news feed matters! – HFT)
Bad news stored for later publication
Good news release fast
In general, one news per 20 days per company comes out
No news is considered as good news
Institutions trade news within 30 minutes
News release time – usually after hours and premarket
13. LATEST ANALYSISTOOLS IN STOCK MARKET
FOR INTERVIEWS, PRESS RELEASE, ETC
Meeting interviews
Press releases
Words used in the news
Facial expression
Sounds quality
Readability of the released documents, etc
All these aspects are analyzed with sophisticated tools like as sentiments analysis,
textual analysis, facial expression analysis, vocal analysis, etc
14. NEWS, FAKE NEWS &TRADING BEHAVIOR
Joshua Mitts, Associate Professor of Law, Columbia Law School presenting:
"Short and Distort"
V-Shape
Why price fall before news publish?
When news release: overreactions /underpricing i.e. mispricing,
Reversal