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Singapore	
  &	
  	
  
The	
  Warming	
  Climate	
  
An Island Surrounded by Change
01 June 2013
A Brief Backgrounder by Parivartin
Singapore	
  &	
  The	
  Warming	
  Climate	
  
Climate Change is one global trend that is guaranteed to impact every
person on the planet. While most analysis focus on the environmental
issues, there must be more focus on how countries must handle new
challenges as well as opportunities brought on by Climate Change.
This Backgrounder on Climate Change in Singapore is but a miniscule
exploration on the policy issues that will face countries all over the world as
Climate Change impacts infrastructure, agriculture, and economic
concerns throughout the world over.
Parivartin explores the impact of major global trends on organizations
from nation-states and political parties to multi-national corporations and
communities.
Global trends that we explore include Demographic Transition, Energy,
Raise of the Rest, Climate Change, Science and Technology Studies (STS),
and more.
Learn more at http://Parivartin.com
The principal of Parivartin, Daniel Riveong, is the lead analyst for
Parivartin. He is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Singapore:	
  The	
  “Monaco	
  of	
  the	
  East”	
  
5.1 Million People, Highest Millionaires Per Capita, Highest GDP Per Capita
City-­‐State’s	
  Achievements	
  (Highlights)	
  
•  Trade: Despite being a City-State, it is the 15th largest trading partner with the US
•  Energy: Top three export refining centers worldwide
•  Financial Services: Financial center of South East Asia, with USD 1.1 trillion in assets
under management in Singapore
•  Biotechnology: GlaxoSmithKline, Pfizer, Merck and others have set-up offices and
plants in Singapore.
•  Education: Top universities in the region, and also a host to INSEAD Asia Campus,
University of Chicago, Yale, New York University Tisch School of the Arts
Singapore	
  &	
  The	
  Warming	
  Climate	
  
Change is coming to Singapore with…
1.  Rain, Floods, and Raising Sea Levels
2.  Threat as Global Shipping Hub
Part	
  1.	
  Rains,	
  Floods	
  &	
  Raising	
  Sea	
  Level	
  
Singapore’s	
  Relationship	
  	
  
with	
  its	
  Coastline	
  
At Risk with Climate Change:
•  Land Reclamation…Goes Underwater?
•  Areas like the Business District at Risk
•  Salt Water into Water Reservoirs
Singapore’s	
  Increased	
  its	
  size	
  by	
  ~20%	
  	
  
using	
  Land	
  Reclamation	
  
As of 2011, there are 4 more reclamation underway with 2 more planned.
But,	
  Key	
  Parts	
  of	
  Singapore	
  
are	
  only	
  2m	
  Above	
  Sea	
  Level…	
  
Major Economics assets just 2m above sea level: Changi
International Airport, Business District, Petrochemical Plants,
Ports, & Shipyards.
Salt	
  Water	
  Intruding	
  to	
  	
  
Water	
  Reservoirs?	
  
•  Due to their proximity to the ocean, Rising seas threaten
Singapore's coastal reservoirs, such as Kranji, Sarimbun and
Seletar (above).
•  Salt water entering these reservoirs will make the water
undrinkable
Flash	
  Floods	
  
2010-­‐2012	
  
In the past three years,
Singapore has suffered a
higher incidence of flash
flooding (over 20 flash
floods).
The floods have even hit
the retail and
entertainment hub of
Singapore, Orchard Road
(pictured right).
These series of flash
floods point to what
increased rain fall due to
Climate Change could
look like for Singapore.
Arctic	
  Challenge	
  to	
  Singapore	
  
Part	
  2.	
  Less	
  Icy	
  Arctic:	
  	
  
Threat	
  to	
  Singapore’s	
  Economy?	
  
Shipping’s	
  Role	
  in	
  	
  
the	
  Singaporean	
  Economy	
  
“Singapore’s strategic location at the entrance to the
Strait of Malacca, through which roughly one-third of
global sea commerce passes each year, has helped it
become one of the most important shipping centers
in Asia. “
•  Second busiest port in the world after Shanghai
•  14th Largest exporter worldwide
•  15th Largest importer worldwide
Climate’s	
  Change	
  on	
  	
  
Shipping	
  Routes	
  
•  Amount of Arctic sea ice is
shrinking each year
•  Arctic sea ice will soon
disappear all together
during the summer months
•  Climate change will likely
open up two new routes
over Russia and another
over Canada through the
Arctic Ocean
Current extent of Arctic sea ice. The line
shows the average minimum extent from
1979 to 2010. (NASA Goddard Flight Center)
Northern	
  Sea	
  Route	
  (NSR)	
  v.	
  Singapore	
  
Dramatic	
  Routes	
  Opening	
  in	
  the	
  Arctic	
  	
  
by	
  Mid-­‐Century	
  
“Common	
  open-­‐water	
  ships	
  will	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  transit	
  the	
  Northern	
  Sea	
  
Route	
  (NSR)	
  during	
  September	
  by	
  mid-­‐century	
  (2040-­‐2059)”	
  
•  Each photo shows Canada on the left and Russia on the right
NSR	
  v.	
  Singapore	
  Route	
  
•  US National Intelligence Council predicts that as soon as this
year (2013), seasonally ice-free Arctic could open up and
allow for shipping
•  These ice-free season would lead to decrease in volume of
shipping for four months in a year for Singapore
•  For Asia, ports would shift from Singapore to closer to the
Arctic: Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Tokyo.
“When the Northern Sear Route opens up, transiting from the
NSR above Russia between North Atlantic and the North Pacific
would trim about 5000 nautical miles and a week’s sailing time
from the use of the Suez Canal and the Malacca Straits.”
Onwards	
  Singapore!	
  
Onwards	
  Singapore!	
  
Climate Change is not only a real phenomenon, but one with
real economic for every country, corporation, and person on
Earth.
For Singapore, Climate Change could mean:
•  Land erosion and increased flooding
•  Salt Water Intrusion to their water reservoir
•  Threat to Singapore as one of the major hubs for
international trade.
Singaporean Government has built a 21st Century Powerhouse
out of a small city-state in less than 40 years. It is very well
equipped to handle the impact of Climate Change.
Sources	
  1/2	
  
Slide #4
•  http://www.flickr.com/photos/acdovier/7568916474/sizes/c/in/
photostream/
Slide #5
•  Wikipedia contributors, "File:Supertree Grove, Gardens by the
Bay, Singapore - 20120712-02.jpg," Wikipedia, The Free
Encyclopedia, 12 July 2012, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
File:Supertree_Grove,_Gardens_by_the_Bay,_Singapore_-
_20120712-02.jpg.
•  Monetary Authority of Ssingapore, “Wealth Management and
Insurance,” 27 February 2013, http://www.mas.gov.sg/
singapore-financial-centre/overview/wealth-management-and-
insurance.aspx.
Slide #7
•  Adine Chin, “10 Ways to Love Singapore,” Penny’s Daybook,
August 2010, http://www.pennysdaybook.com/2010/08/10-
ways-to-love-singapore/.
Slide #9
•  Marine Conservation Goup, Nature Society, “Singapore Water -
Unveiling Our Seas,“ November 2003, http://
singaporewaters.nss.org.sg/Gallery.htm.
Slide #10
•  Ria Tan, “Rising seas and Singapore, on Blog Action Day,” Wild
Shores of Singapore, 14 October 2009, http://
wildshores.blogspot.com/2009/10/rising-seas-and-singapore-on-
blog.html.
•  “Sea Level Rise Explorer,” http://www.globalwarmingart.com/
sealevel?lat=4.741&lng=127.002
Slide #11
•  Arti Mulchand, “Is S'pore ready for the next big flood?,” Straits
Times, 24 June 2007, http://www.straitstimes.com/print/News/
Story/STIStory_132260.html20070506/070624-2.htm.
•  Singapore Ministry of the Environment, Singapore’s Initial
National Communication: Under The United Nations Framework
Convention On Climate Change,” August 2000, http://
app2.nea.gov.sg/data/cmsresource/
20101124427576877112.pdf.
•  http://www.flickr.com/photos/mystical-mii/5893808008/sizes/
o/
Slide #12
•  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010-12_Singapore_floods
•  Loufu, “Orchard Road Flooding!”, Singapore Bikes, 16 June 2010,
http://www.singaporebikes.com/forums/showthread.php/
291932-Orchard-Road-Flooding!?
s=b615d994388336a8a63c7439978aa5ba&p=6473111#post
6473111.
Slide #13
•  http://www.flickr.com/photos/gsfc/7163119469/sizes/l/in/
photostream/
Slide #14
•  “Singapore Economy”, Economy Watch, 18 March 2010, http://
www.economywatch.com/world_economy/singapore/?page=full.
•  “Singapore’s strategic location at the entrance to the Strait of
Malacca, through which roughly one-third of global sea commerce
passes each year, has helped it become one of the most
important shipping centers in Asia”, Petro-Min Pipeline, Jan-
March 2010, http://www.pm-pipeliner.safan.com/mag/ppl0310/
cr58.pdf.
Source	
  2/2	
  
Slide 15
•  http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/files/
2012/08/AP081208024026.jpg
•  Brad Plumer, “Arctic sea ice just hit a record low. Here’s why it
matters,” Washington Post, 28 August 2012, http://
www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/08/28/
arctic-sea-ice-just-hit-a-record-low-heres-why-it-matters/.
Slide 16
•  Malte Humpert, "The Future of the Northern Sea Route - A 'Golden
Waterway' or a Niche Trade Route,” The arctic institute: Center for
Circumpolar Security Studies, 15 September 2011, http://
www.thearcticinstitute.org/2011/10/future-of-northern-sea-route-
golden_13.html
•  Mia Bennett, “Study: New Trans-Arctic shipping routes navigable
by midcentury,” Foreign Policy Association, 04 March 2013,
http://foreignpolicyblogs.com/2013/03/04/study-new-trans-
arctic-shipping-routes-navigable-by-midcentury/
•  http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/files/
2013/03/arctic-crossings.png.
Slide 18
•  Ho, Joshua H, "The Arctic Meltdown and Its Implication for Ports
and Shipping in Asia,” in Arctic Security in an Age of Climate
Change, ed. James Kraska (Cambridge University Press, 2011),
33, http://books.google.com.my/books?id=b-
U1To97zqsC&pg=PA33&lpg=PA33&dq=%22The+Arctic
+Meltdown+and+Its+Implication+for+Ports+and+Shipping+in
+Asia.
%22&source=bl&ots=IKycuRuxUT&sig=71tYdazzWy_qg8qMAlwD
4DUtRbw&hl=en&sa=X&ei=OUJ1UYqGNNDjrAe7_oDABA&ved=0C
EcQ6AEwAw#v=onepage&q=%22The%20Arctic%20Meltdown
%20and%20Its%20Implication%20for%20Ports%20and
%20Shipping%20in%20Asia.%22&f=false
Slide 19
•  Wikipedia contributors, "File:Glaciers and Icebergs at Cape
York.jpg," Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia, 2 September 2005,
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/
File:Glaciers_and_Icebergs_at_Cape_York.jpg

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Singapore and the Warming Climate

  • 1. Singapore  &     The  Warming  Climate   An Island Surrounded by Change 01 June 2013 A Brief Backgrounder by Parivartin
  • 2. Singapore  &  The  Warming  Climate   Climate Change is one global trend that is guaranteed to impact every person on the planet. While most analysis focus on the environmental issues, there must be more focus on how countries must handle new challenges as well as opportunities brought on by Climate Change. This Backgrounder on Climate Change in Singapore is but a miniscule exploration on the policy issues that will face countries all over the world as Climate Change impacts infrastructure, agriculture, and economic concerns throughout the world over.
  • 3. Parivartin explores the impact of major global trends on organizations from nation-states and political parties to multi-national corporations and communities. Global trends that we explore include Demographic Transition, Energy, Raise of the Rest, Climate Change, Science and Technology Studies (STS), and more. Learn more at http://Parivartin.com The principal of Parivartin, Daniel Riveong, is the lead analyst for Parivartin. He is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
  • 4. Singapore:  The  “Monaco  of  the  East”   5.1 Million People, Highest Millionaires Per Capita, Highest GDP Per Capita
  • 5. City-­‐State’s  Achievements  (Highlights)   •  Trade: Despite being a City-State, it is the 15th largest trading partner with the US •  Energy: Top three export refining centers worldwide •  Financial Services: Financial center of South East Asia, with USD 1.1 trillion in assets under management in Singapore •  Biotechnology: GlaxoSmithKline, Pfizer, Merck and others have set-up offices and plants in Singapore. •  Education: Top universities in the region, and also a host to INSEAD Asia Campus, University of Chicago, Yale, New York University Tisch School of the Arts
  • 6. Singapore  &  The  Warming  Climate   Change is coming to Singapore with… 1.  Rain, Floods, and Raising Sea Levels 2.  Threat as Global Shipping Hub
  • 7. Part  1.  Rains,  Floods  &  Raising  Sea  Level  
  • 8. Singapore’s  Relationship     with  its  Coastline   At Risk with Climate Change: •  Land Reclamation…Goes Underwater? •  Areas like the Business District at Risk •  Salt Water into Water Reservoirs
  • 9. Singapore’s  Increased  its  size  by  ~20%     using  Land  Reclamation   As of 2011, there are 4 more reclamation underway with 2 more planned.
  • 10. But,  Key  Parts  of  Singapore   are  only  2m  Above  Sea  Level…   Major Economics assets just 2m above sea level: Changi International Airport, Business District, Petrochemical Plants, Ports, & Shipyards.
  • 11. Salt  Water  Intruding  to     Water  Reservoirs?   •  Due to their proximity to the ocean, Rising seas threaten Singapore's coastal reservoirs, such as Kranji, Sarimbun and Seletar (above). •  Salt water entering these reservoirs will make the water undrinkable
  • 12. Flash  Floods   2010-­‐2012   In the past three years, Singapore has suffered a higher incidence of flash flooding (over 20 flash floods). The floods have even hit the retail and entertainment hub of Singapore, Orchard Road (pictured right). These series of flash floods point to what increased rain fall due to Climate Change could look like for Singapore.
  • 13. Arctic  Challenge  to  Singapore   Part  2.  Less  Icy  Arctic:     Threat  to  Singapore’s  Economy?  
  • 14. Shipping’s  Role  in     the  Singaporean  Economy   “Singapore’s strategic location at the entrance to the Strait of Malacca, through which roughly one-third of global sea commerce passes each year, has helped it become one of the most important shipping centers in Asia. “ •  Second busiest port in the world after Shanghai •  14th Largest exporter worldwide •  15th Largest importer worldwide
  • 15. Climate’s  Change  on     Shipping  Routes   •  Amount of Arctic sea ice is shrinking each year •  Arctic sea ice will soon disappear all together during the summer months •  Climate change will likely open up two new routes over Russia and another over Canada through the Arctic Ocean Current extent of Arctic sea ice. The line shows the average minimum extent from 1979 to 2010. (NASA Goddard Flight Center)
  • 16. Northern  Sea  Route  (NSR)  v.  Singapore  
  • 17. Dramatic  Routes  Opening  in  the  Arctic     by  Mid-­‐Century   “Common  open-­‐water  ships  will  be  able  to  transit  the  Northern  Sea   Route  (NSR)  during  September  by  mid-­‐century  (2040-­‐2059)”   •  Each photo shows Canada on the left and Russia on the right
  • 18. NSR  v.  Singapore  Route   •  US National Intelligence Council predicts that as soon as this year (2013), seasonally ice-free Arctic could open up and allow for shipping •  These ice-free season would lead to decrease in volume of shipping for four months in a year for Singapore •  For Asia, ports would shift from Singapore to closer to the Arctic: Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Tokyo. “When the Northern Sear Route opens up, transiting from the NSR above Russia between North Atlantic and the North Pacific would trim about 5000 nautical miles and a week’s sailing time from the use of the Suez Canal and the Malacca Straits.”
  • 20. Onwards  Singapore!   Climate Change is not only a real phenomenon, but one with real economic for every country, corporation, and person on Earth. For Singapore, Climate Change could mean: •  Land erosion and increased flooding •  Salt Water Intrusion to their water reservoir •  Threat to Singapore as one of the major hubs for international trade. Singaporean Government has built a 21st Century Powerhouse out of a small city-state in less than 40 years. It is very well equipped to handle the impact of Climate Change.
  • 21. Sources  1/2   Slide #4 •  http://www.flickr.com/photos/acdovier/7568916474/sizes/c/in/ photostream/ Slide #5 •  Wikipedia contributors, "File:Supertree Grove, Gardens by the Bay, Singapore - 20120712-02.jpg," Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia, 12 July 2012, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ File:Supertree_Grove,_Gardens_by_the_Bay,_Singapore_- _20120712-02.jpg. •  Monetary Authority of Ssingapore, “Wealth Management and Insurance,” 27 February 2013, http://www.mas.gov.sg/ singapore-financial-centre/overview/wealth-management-and- insurance.aspx. Slide #7 •  Adine Chin, “10 Ways to Love Singapore,” Penny’s Daybook, August 2010, http://www.pennysdaybook.com/2010/08/10- ways-to-love-singapore/. Slide #9 •  Marine Conservation Goup, Nature Society, “Singapore Water - Unveiling Our Seas,“ November 2003, http:// singaporewaters.nss.org.sg/Gallery.htm. Slide #10 •  Ria Tan, “Rising seas and Singapore, on Blog Action Day,” Wild Shores of Singapore, 14 October 2009, http:// wildshores.blogspot.com/2009/10/rising-seas-and-singapore-on- blog.html. •  “Sea Level Rise Explorer,” http://www.globalwarmingart.com/ sealevel?lat=4.741&lng=127.002 Slide #11 •  Arti Mulchand, “Is S'pore ready for the next big flood?,” Straits Times, 24 June 2007, http://www.straitstimes.com/print/News/ Story/STIStory_132260.html20070506/070624-2.htm. •  Singapore Ministry of the Environment, Singapore’s Initial National Communication: Under The United Nations Framework Convention On Climate Change,” August 2000, http:// app2.nea.gov.sg/data/cmsresource/ 20101124427576877112.pdf. •  http://www.flickr.com/photos/mystical-mii/5893808008/sizes/ o/ Slide #12 •  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010-12_Singapore_floods •  Loufu, “Orchard Road Flooding!”, Singapore Bikes, 16 June 2010, http://www.singaporebikes.com/forums/showthread.php/ 291932-Orchard-Road-Flooding!? s=b615d994388336a8a63c7439978aa5ba&p=6473111#post 6473111. Slide #13 •  http://www.flickr.com/photos/gsfc/7163119469/sizes/l/in/ photostream/ Slide #14 •  “Singapore Economy”, Economy Watch, 18 March 2010, http:// www.economywatch.com/world_economy/singapore/?page=full. •  “Singapore’s strategic location at the entrance to the Strait of Malacca, through which roughly one-third of global sea commerce passes each year, has helped it become one of the most important shipping centers in Asia”, Petro-Min Pipeline, Jan- March 2010, http://www.pm-pipeliner.safan.com/mag/ppl0310/ cr58.pdf.
  • 22. Source  2/2   Slide 15 •  http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/ezra-klein/files/ 2012/08/AP081208024026.jpg •  Brad Plumer, “Arctic sea ice just hit a record low. Here’s why it matters,” Washington Post, 28 August 2012, http:// www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2012/08/28/ arctic-sea-ice-just-hit-a-record-low-heres-why-it-matters/. Slide 16 •  Malte Humpert, "The Future of the Northern Sea Route - A 'Golden Waterway' or a Niche Trade Route,” The arctic institute: Center for Circumpolar Security Studies, 15 September 2011, http:// www.thearcticinstitute.org/2011/10/future-of-northern-sea-route- golden_13.html •  Mia Bennett, “Study: New Trans-Arctic shipping routes navigable by midcentury,” Foreign Policy Association, 04 March 2013, http://foreignpolicyblogs.com/2013/03/04/study-new-trans- arctic-shipping-routes-navigable-by-midcentury/ •  http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/files/ 2013/03/arctic-crossings.png. Slide 18 •  Ho, Joshua H, "The Arctic Meltdown and Its Implication for Ports and Shipping in Asia,” in Arctic Security in an Age of Climate Change, ed. James Kraska (Cambridge University Press, 2011), 33, http://books.google.com.my/books?id=b- U1To97zqsC&pg=PA33&lpg=PA33&dq=%22The+Arctic +Meltdown+and+Its+Implication+for+Ports+and+Shipping+in +Asia. %22&source=bl&ots=IKycuRuxUT&sig=71tYdazzWy_qg8qMAlwD 4DUtRbw&hl=en&sa=X&ei=OUJ1UYqGNNDjrAe7_oDABA&ved=0C EcQ6AEwAw#v=onepage&q=%22The%20Arctic%20Meltdown %20and%20Its%20Implication%20for%20Ports%20and %20Shipping%20in%20Asia.%22&f=false Slide 19 •  Wikipedia contributors, "File:Glaciers and Icebergs at Cape York.jpg," Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia, 2 September 2005, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ File:Glaciers_and_Icebergs_at_Cape_York.jpg