Milo Hamilton presents an outlook on rice prices from 2010 to 2011 and beyond. He discusses short term drivers like weather events impacting production and the convergence of paddy prices. Long term, he expects inflation-adjusted prices to return to previous highs unless problems with the rice market are addressed. Key obstacles include government price manipulation and subsidization. His proposed solutions are to allow free trade of rice, pursue food security through consumer subsidies rather than production subsidies, and empower farmers with mobile information technology.
The Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS) and the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) jointly hosted the International Conference on Climate Change and Food Security (ICCCFS) November 6-8, 2011 in Beijing, China. This conference provided a forum for leading international scientists and young researchers to present their latest research findings, exchange their research ideas, and share their experiences in the field of climate change and food security. The event included technical sessions, poster sessions, and social events. The conference results and recommendations were presented at the global climate talks in Durban, South Africa during an official side event on December 1.
New Dynamics and Trajectories of Agrarian Change in Bolivia: The Soy Complex ...UNDP Policy Centre
This document summarizes the history of agrarian change in Bolivia since the 1950s agrarian reform. It describes how the country has shifted from small-scale subsistence farming to large-scale industrial agriculture focused on soy production for export markets. This has led to the displacement of many small farmers and increased rural poverty and inequality. The expansion of the soy industry has also contributed significantly to deforestation.
Dr. Bill Deen - Forages - Essential crop of the past, present and futureCorieA
This document summarizes a presentation on the past, present, and future of forage crops. It provides an overview of the Canadian forage industry, noting its economic importance. It then discusses trends of declining forage acreage and yields. Reasons for concern about these trends are explained, using Ontario as an example case study. The document suggests future opportunities for forages lie in continued research on improved varieties and management, promoting their economic and environmental benefits, and finding new ways to incorporate forages into cropping systems.
Livestock in a Changing Landscape. Overview of Key Issues, Drivers, Consequen...copppldsecretariat
Presentation from the Livestock Inter-Agency Donor Group (IADG) Meeting 2010. 4-5 May 2010 Italy, Rome IFAD Headquarters.
The event involved approximately 45 representatives from the international partner agencies to discuss critical needs for livestock development and research issues for the coming decade.
[ Originally posted on http://www.cop-ppld.net/cop_knowledge_base ]
A one-day Strategic Foresight Conference took place at IFPRI Headquarters in Washington DC on November 7, 2014. Participants from leading global modeling groups, collaborating CGIAR centers and research programs, and other partners reviewed new long-term projections for global agriculture from IFPRI and other leading institutions, examined the potential impacts of climate change and other key challenges, and discussed the role of foresight work in identifying and supporting promising solutions.
Topics included:
Long-term outlook and challenges for food & agriculture
Addressing the challenges
Foresight in the CGIAR
Webcast video of morning sessions available on Global Futures program website here: http://globalfutures.cgiar.org/2014/11/03/global-futures-strategic-foresight-conference/
Sucessful factor for small holder rice production in thailandsomporn Isvilanonda
Smallholder rice farmers in Thailand have achieved success due to several key factors:
1) Establishing private land ownership in the early 20th century encouraged smallholder settlement and farming.
2) Infrastructure development and the introduction of high-yielding rice varieties in the 1960s-1970s significantly increased productivity and profits.
3) Mechanization, such as power tillers and combine harvesters, and irrigation projects have helped reduce costs and increase crop intensity.
4) Formal credit institutions like the Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives have provided affordable loans to smallholders since 1966.
5) Off-farm employment opportunities in non-agricultural sectors have supplemented farm incomes.
MoringgaPlus.com markets Moringa-based superfood products. It was established in 2014 in Malaysia and works with Borneo Moringa to source raw Moringa from plantations in Sabah. It produces MoringgaPlus Collagen, Fiber, and Green Tea products. The marketing plan utilizes a multilevel structure with bonuses including fast start bonuses, introducer bonuses from 7.5-30%, overriding bonuses, mono leg bonuses up to 60%, and leadership bonuses. Clinical studies demonstrate Moringa's anti-cancer, anti-diabetic, anti-oxidant, anti-tumor, and blood pressure lowering properties as well as ability to boost libido. Customer testimonials praise
The Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences (CAAS) and the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) jointly hosted the International Conference on Climate Change and Food Security (ICCCFS) November 6-8, 2011 in Beijing, China. This conference provided a forum for leading international scientists and young researchers to present their latest research findings, exchange their research ideas, and share their experiences in the field of climate change and food security. The event included technical sessions, poster sessions, and social events. The conference results and recommendations were presented at the global climate talks in Durban, South Africa during an official side event on December 1.
New Dynamics and Trajectories of Agrarian Change in Bolivia: The Soy Complex ...UNDP Policy Centre
This document summarizes the history of agrarian change in Bolivia since the 1950s agrarian reform. It describes how the country has shifted from small-scale subsistence farming to large-scale industrial agriculture focused on soy production for export markets. This has led to the displacement of many small farmers and increased rural poverty and inequality. The expansion of the soy industry has also contributed significantly to deforestation.
Dr. Bill Deen - Forages - Essential crop of the past, present and futureCorieA
This document summarizes a presentation on the past, present, and future of forage crops. It provides an overview of the Canadian forage industry, noting its economic importance. It then discusses trends of declining forage acreage and yields. Reasons for concern about these trends are explained, using Ontario as an example case study. The document suggests future opportunities for forages lie in continued research on improved varieties and management, promoting their economic and environmental benefits, and finding new ways to incorporate forages into cropping systems.
Livestock in a Changing Landscape. Overview of Key Issues, Drivers, Consequen...copppldsecretariat
Presentation from the Livestock Inter-Agency Donor Group (IADG) Meeting 2010. 4-5 May 2010 Italy, Rome IFAD Headquarters.
The event involved approximately 45 representatives from the international partner agencies to discuss critical needs for livestock development and research issues for the coming decade.
[ Originally posted on http://www.cop-ppld.net/cop_knowledge_base ]
A one-day Strategic Foresight Conference took place at IFPRI Headquarters in Washington DC on November 7, 2014. Participants from leading global modeling groups, collaborating CGIAR centers and research programs, and other partners reviewed new long-term projections for global agriculture from IFPRI and other leading institutions, examined the potential impacts of climate change and other key challenges, and discussed the role of foresight work in identifying and supporting promising solutions.
Topics included:
Long-term outlook and challenges for food & agriculture
Addressing the challenges
Foresight in the CGIAR
Webcast video of morning sessions available on Global Futures program website here: http://globalfutures.cgiar.org/2014/11/03/global-futures-strategic-foresight-conference/
Sucessful factor for small holder rice production in thailandsomporn Isvilanonda
Smallholder rice farmers in Thailand have achieved success due to several key factors:
1) Establishing private land ownership in the early 20th century encouraged smallholder settlement and farming.
2) Infrastructure development and the introduction of high-yielding rice varieties in the 1960s-1970s significantly increased productivity and profits.
3) Mechanization, such as power tillers and combine harvesters, and irrigation projects have helped reduce costs and increase crop intensity.
4) Formal credit institutions like the Bank for Agriculture and Agricultural Cooperatives have provided affordable loans to smallholders since 1966.
5) Off-farm employment opportunities in non-agricultural sectors have supplemented farm incomes.
MoringgaPlus.com markets Moringa-based superfood products. It was established in 2014 in Malaysia and works with Borneo Moringa to source raw Moringa from plantations in Sabah. It produces MoringgaPlus Collagen, Fiber, and Green Tea products. The marketing plan utilizes a multilevel structure with bonuses including fast start bonuses, introducer bonuses from 7.5-30%, overriding bonuses, mono leg bonuses up to 60%, and leadership bonuses. Clinical studies demonstrate Moringa's anti-cancer, anti-diabetic, anti-oxidant, anti-tumor, and blood pressure lowering properties as well as ability to boost libido. Customer testimonials praise
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise stimulates the production of endorphins in the brain which elevate mood and reduce stress levels.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise boosts blood flow, releases endorphins, and promotes changes in the brain which help enhance one's emotional well-being and mental clarity.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise boosts blood flow, releases endorphins, and promotes changes in the brain which help regulate emotions and stress levels.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help boost feelings of calmness, happiness and focus.
Marie Velez submitted a photo assignment for her Photo Easy class taught by Dr. Clark. The assignment had a PAD number of 633. The document provided identifying information for a photo assignment submission.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The document provides an overview of the process for designing and producing an application specific integrated circuit (ASIC) with Swindon Silicon Systems. It discusses the design process from initial specification through layout, fabrication, and testing. Key steps include specification, design and simulation, processing including wafer thinning and dicing, and prototype evaluation. Swindon offers full turnkey ASIC design and supply services from concept to production.
Cassava markets, value chains and livelihoods in Asia: when uncertain is the...Jonathan Newby
Presentation at GCP21 Conference in the session of Cassava Mosaic Disease in Asia to highlight what is at stake with disease potentially impacting the productivity of this important commercial crop.
The document discusses the need to move beyond a focus on staple crops in agricultural policy and support diversified diets. It notes that while diets are diversifying globally to include more fruits, vegetables and animal products, agricultural production and policy still emphasize staple grains like wheat, rice and maize. This disconnect does not support the production of more nutrient-rich foods or the dietary changes occurring. The document advocates creating a more level policy playing field to encourage diversification into higher-value crops.
Rice production - trading - marketing & current situationHo Cao Viet
This document discusses rice production, trade, and current issues in Vietnam. It provides statistics on rice production and consumption globally and in Vietnam. It then examines Vietnam's rice exports by country in 2013. Current issues with rice production in Vietnam include high costs of production, lack of branding and marketing strategy, and small farm sizes. The document analyzes production costs like fertilizers, pesticides, and labor. It also provides selling prices and profits for farmers from 2010-2011 across provinces. The document concludes with opportunities for cooperation like market studies and improving logistics.
India has experienced strong economic growth but still faces food security challenges. While poverty has decreased and food production has increased, India still has a high proportion of hungry and malnourished people. Food prices periodically rise, reducing access for poorer sections. Rising prices of vegetables, pulses, milk, eggs and meat in 2011 worsened access. India has successes and failures in ensuring food security due to undecided policies around market economics versus controls and challenges with execution. Critical issues include stabilizing procurement, export, and futures market policies to help farmers plan and access markets while also improving distribution, nutrition, and agricultural statistics.
Presentations for CTA/WUR Inception Workshop on “Mainstreaming Tertiary Education in ACP ARD Policy Processes: Increasing Food Supply and Reducing Hunger”
14 March 2016. Brussels. DevCo External Cooperation InfoPoint. An overview of the situation of food and nutrition security in the world today was presented. Special emphasis was given to the current situation of El Niño, current droughts in Africa South of the Sahara, and potential policies that need to be put in place in the future to minimize these and associated risks.
Introduction: Jean-Pierre Halkin, Head of Unit - DEVCO C1- Rural development, Food security, Nutrition
Presentation: Maximo Torrero, Director, Markets, Trade and Institutions Division, International Food Policy Research Institute
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise stimulates the production of endorphins in the brain which elevate mood and reduce stress levels.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise boosts blood flow, releases endorphins, and promotes changes in the brain which help enhance one's emotional well-being and mental clarity.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise boosts blood flow, releases endorphins, and promotes changes in the brain which help regulate emotions and stress levels.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive functioning. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help boost feelings of calmness, happiness and focus.
Marie Velez submitted a photo assignment for her Photo Easy class taught by Dr. Clark. The assignment had a PAD number of 633. The document provided identifying information for a photo assignment submission.
The document discusses the benefits of exercise for mental health. Regular physical activity can help reduce anxiety and depression and improve mood and cognitive function. Exercise causes chemical changes in the brain that may help protect against mental illness and improve symptoms.
The document provides an overview of the process for designing and producing an application specific integrated circuit (ASIC) with Swindon Silicon Systems. It discusses the design process from initial specification through layout, fabrication, and testing. Key steps include specification, design and simulation, processing including wafer thinning and dicing, and prototype evaluation. Swindon offers full turnkey ASIC design and supply services from concept to production.
Cassava markets, value chains and livelihoods in Asia: when uncertain is the...Jonathan Newby
Presentation at GCP21 Conference in the session of Cassava Mosaic Disease in Asia to highlight what is at stake with disease potentially impacting the productivity of this important commercial crop.
The document discusses the need to move beyond a focus on staple crops in agricultural policy and support diversified diets. It notes that while diets are diversifying globally to include more fruits, vegetables and animal products, agricultural production and policy still emphasize staple grains like wheat, rice and maize. This disconnect does not support the production of more nutrient-rich foods or the dietary changes occurring. The document advocates creating a more level policy playing field to encourage diversification into higher-value crops.
Rice production - trading - marketing & current situationHo Cao Viet
This document discusses rice production, trade, and current issues in Vietnam. It provides statistics on rice production and consumption globally and in Vietnam. It then examines Vietnam's rice exports by country in 2013. Current issues with rice production in Vietnam include high costs of production, lack of branding and marketing strategy, and small farm sizes. The document analyzes production costs like fertilizers, pesticides, and labor. It also provides selling prices and profits for farmers from 2010-2011 across provinces. The document concludes with opportunities for cooperation like market studies and improving logistics.
India has experienced strong economic growth but still faces food security challenges. While poverty has decreased and food production has increased, India still has a high proportion of hungry and malnourished people. Food prices periodically rise, reducing access for poorer sections. Rising prices of vegetables, pulses, milk, eggs and meat in 2011 worsened access. India has successes and failures in ensuring food security due to undecided policies around market economics versus controls and challenges with execution. Critical issues include stabilizing procurement, export, and futures market policies to help farmers plan and access markets while also improving distribution, nutrition, and agricultural statistics.
Presentations for CTA/WUR Inception Workshop on “Mainstreaming Tertiary Education in ACP ARD Policy Processes: Increasing Food Supply and Reducing Hunger”
14 March 2016. Brussels. DevCo External Cooperation InfoPoint. An overview of the situation of food and nutrition security in the world today was presented. Special emphasis was given to the current situation of El Niño, current droughts in Africa South of the Sahara, and potential policies that need to be put in place in the future to minimize these and associated risks.
Introduction: Jean-Pierre Halkin, Head of Unit - DEVCO C1- Rural development, Food security, Nutrition
Presentation: Maximo Torrero, Director, Markets, Trade and Institutions Division, International Food Policy Research Institute
At Global Green Cherry, via our website www.ggcherry.com www.globalgreencherry.com, offer potential investors like yourself a wealth of information regarding cherry farming and the exciting opportunities on offer to you.
There are plans underway to exploit agricultural land to be acquired in Bulgaria.
Land Options have been secured over a substantial area of Farming Land with the stated aim of creating shareholder value by growing cherries on a professional scale.
This document summarizes findings from a study on diet transformation in Ethiopia between 2000-2011. Key findings include:
1) Ethiopians are consuming more calories on average and diversifying their diets away from cereals towards more expensive foods like animal products and processed foods.
2) Urban and richer populations have seen the biggest changes, consuming more teff, meat and processed foods compared to rural and poorer groups.
3) Income growth has been the main driver of increased calorie consumption, though some populations still have inadequate diets.
The Changing Economics and Politics of Rice: Implications for Food Security, ...Joachim von Braun
The document discusses the changing global context of rice production and consumption and its implications. It notes that while rice consumption is declining as incomes rise in Asia, population growth and urbanization are increasing global demand for rice. Future rice production will require sustainable technologies to increase yields while addressing environmental issues. Scenario analysis shows that without progressive policies that promote agricultural growth, global food security and malnutrition could worsen by 2050 due to rising prices and limited production increases. International cooperation in rice science and technology is needed to ensure continued improvements in global rice supply.
Brian Clancey from STATPUB.com shares Global Pulses Import - Export data in this insightful presentation. Pulses production, demand, trends in import-export and future outlook as presented at India Pulses & Grains Associaiton's 'Global Pulses Conclave 2012.
More than 100 years ago after Europe’s powers carved up the continent, Africa is again being stripped of its natural resources – this time the target is fruit, vegetable and water. An Observer investigation reveals how rich countries faced by a global food shortage farm huge land masses to guarantee supplies for their citizens – while Africans go hungry.
Presentation delivered by Dr. Jikun Huang (Chinese Academy of Sciences, China) at Borlaug Summit on Wheat for Food Security. March 25 - 28, 2014, Ciudad Obregon, Mexico.
http://www.borlaug100.org
Bart Minten
“Food Security and Nutrition in an Urbanizing World”
June 06, 2017
Brussels, Belgium
The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), SNV Netherlands Development Organization, and Welthungerhilfe are jointly organizing a one-day event in Brussels on the eve of the European Development Days to explore the challenges and opportunities of urbanization from a variety of perspectives.
This document discusses strategic issues related to global food security. It identifies both old and new risks threatening food security, such as conflicts, HIV/AIDS, and natural resource degradation. It presents data on historical and current hunger, undernutrition rates, and cereal production, stocks, and prices. Scenarios project potential outcomes of food security by 2050 under different policy approaches. Improving food security will require increased international and national commitments.
Corn is the largest agricultural commodity globally and in the US. It has a variety of uses including animal feed, ethanol production, human consumption, and polymers. Global demand for corn is rising due to population growth, increasing incomes in developing countries, and demand for meat and processed foods. The US and China are major producers and consumers of corn, and fluctuations in their crops and imports can impact global supply and prices. Exchange-traded fund CORN provides exposure to corn prices without the need to trade futures directly.
1. An Outlook For The Rice
Price 2010-2011
and Beyond
Milo Hamilton
Firstgrain
October 11, 2010
2. The Rice Price 2010-2011
About the Presenter
• Milo Hamilton is co-founder of Firstgrain, a
global rice market advisory service (est. 2000)
• Bought rice for Uncle Ben’s Inc. for 18 years
• Clients include: farmers, millers, traders,
government agencies, rice buyers
• Helped start and develop US rice futures
• Relates all markets to the rice market
2 October 2010
3. The Rice Price 2010-2011
"The precious things are not pearls and jade
but the five grains, of which rice is first.”
-Chinese saying
3 October 2010
4. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Outline
• Short-term rice price outlook and driving factors
• Longer term price outlook with status quo
• Problems with the rice market
• Obstacles to change
• Solutions to obstacles
4 October 2010
5. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Short-Term:
Price Drivers in next six months
• The loss of wheat and coarse grain production
• Weather and Climate factors:
– 2009 Monsoon and El Nino rice loses
– 2010 flooding and droughts
– US Rice production loses in 2010
• Convergence or divergence of paddy prices
• Price objectives of US rice futures
– With rise in Asian prices
– Without rise in Asian prices
5 October 2010
6. The Rice Price 2010-2011
$600
World LG Rough Rice Prices (USD/MT)
$500
$400
$300
$200
$100
US Rough Futures Brazil Thailand Vietnam India China
$0
Mar-98 Mar-99 Mar-00 Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06
6 October 2010
8. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Long Term Outlook: Status Quo
• Huge budget requirements for input subsidies
• Serious depletion of groundwater assets
• Inflation-adjusted rice prices (could) return to
spiked highs of 1916, 1946, 1973, not just 2008
prices
8 October 2010
9. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Long Term Outlook: Status Quo
• Despite 2008, food grain prices are relatively flat
• Rice is cheap to crude oil
• Water is not priced
• Rice price volatile to wheat, due to thinness of
world rice trade?
9 October 2010
12. The Rice Price 2010-2011
$150
Rice Minus Wheat (USD/MT)
$100
$50
$0
-$50
-$100
-$150
1914 1924 1934 1944 1954 1964 1974 1984 1994 2004
12 October 2010
13. The Rice Price 2010-2011
The Problem with the Rice Price
• Some want it very low
• Some want it high
• Some want it “fair” or “just right”
• Current obstacles can send the rice price very
high
13 October 2010
14. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Obstacles to Change
• Government manufactured rice prices
– Giving away water
– Inputs cheap or free
– GMO ban
– Shutting down price discovery
– Keep farmers in the dark
– Self-sufficiency at all costs
– Rejecting world trade as partial solution
14 October 2010
15. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Cost of Water
"Egypt cut by almost half the amount of land it
used to sow rice in 2010 versus the previous year,
saving the country 5-6 billion cubic metres of
water, the official state news agency MENA said
on Thursday.”
15 October 2010
16. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Cost of Water (continued)
“The amount of land on which rice was grown was
reduced to 1.2 million feddans (1.2 million acres)
from 2.2 million last year, MENA said, citing the
Water Resources and Irrigation Minister
Mohamed
NasreddinAllam.”
This implies one million acres = six billion cubic
meters of water - Reuters story, 19 August 2010
16 October 2010
17. The Rice Price 2010-2011
“In times of change, the future belongs to the
learner, while the learned find beautiful ways to
cope with a world that no longer exists.”
-Erick Hoffer
17 October 2010
18. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Solutions to Obstacles
1. Let rice trade freely
2. Pursue food security through direct subsidies to
the poor
3. Turn bottom of the food pyramid into informed
business people
– With mobile information technology
18 October 2010
19. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Solution 1: Freely Traded Rice
• Reject trade disruption
– Embargoes, export bans undermine trust
• Support rice futures markets
– Price discovery
– Merchandizing mechanism
– Reduced risk of default
– Global milled futures contract in Singapore?
19 October 2010
20. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Solution 2: Redefine Food Security
• Food security does not equal self-sufficiency!
– Self-Sufficiency: Eat what you grow, grow what you eat
• Vulnerable to crop failure
– Food Security: Purchasing power to buy food
• Requires robust international market
• Replace input subsidies with targeted cash
transfers to the poor
– Gives poor the capability to feed themselves
20 October 2010
21. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Solution 3: Empower the Farmer
• Example: Reuters Market Light (RML)
• Sends market and agronomic information to
farmers via text message in India today
– 300,000 subscriptions
– 60,000 active accounts
– 1.5 million farmers accessing RML information
• Every individual is a market force
21 October 2010
22. The Rice Price 2010-2011
Reuters Market Light
22 October 2010
23. The Rice Price 2010-2011
“If you farm as a way of life, it could be a very
expensive business.
But if you farm as a business, it can be a very
rewarding way of life.”
-Merrill Oster
23 October 2010