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PROBABILITY
Lecture by: Mr. Paik
PROBABILITY
• Probability definition: Measure of how likely an event is to occur
• For example:
• Today, there is a 30% of rain.
• The odds of being struck by lightning are a million to one.
• What are some examples you can think of?
PROBABILITY
• Probability can be written as:
• A ratio such as 1:10
• A fraction such as 1/10
• A percentage such as 10%
PROBABILITY
• If an event is going to occur certainly, then the
probability of the event is 1 or 100%.
• If the event will NEVER happen, the probability will be
0% or 0.
• If the event may or may not occur at the same
probability, then the probability is .5 or 50%
Probability
Impossible Unlikely Equal Chances Likely Certain
0 0.5 1
0% 50% 100%
½
PROBABILITY
• Questions for thought!
• What are some events that have a probability of 0%?
• What are some events that have a probability of 100%?
• What are some events that have a probability of 50%?
Probability
P(event) = number of ways event can occur
total number of outcomes
• An outcome is a possible result of a probability
experiment
• When rolling a number cube, the possible
outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6
Probability
P(event) = number of ways event can occur
total number of outcomes
What is the probability of getting heads when
flipping a coin?
P(heads) = number of ways = 1 head on a coin = 1
total outcomes = 2 sides to a coin = 2
P(heads)= ½ = 0.5 = 50%
PROBABILITY Problem
• Martin woke up late and is now in a hurry to get to school. He
brushes his teeth, eats breakfast and now has to put on a pair of
socks. He opens his drawers and without looking, pulls out a pair of
socks. If in his drawer, he has 3 blue, 5 green, 2 red, and 6 white
socks, what are the chances of him grabbing red socks randomly?
P(event) = number of ways event can occur
total number of outcomes
• P(event)= 2/16=1/8, .125 or 12.5%
Discuss With Your Partners!
• If you roll a six sided cube with the numbers labeled 1-6, what is the
probability of rolling an odd number? How about an odd number
greater than 3?
• Odd numbers:1,3,5
• Total numbers: 1,2,3,4,5,6
• P(event)=3/6=1/2=50%
• Odd number greater than 3: 5
• Total numbers: 1,2,3,4,5,6
• P(event)=1/6
Probability
• Discuss with your partners and come up with fun, probability
questions that occur in your daily lives.
• Try to come up with an answer that is as accurate as possible.
• For example: If I have 150 songs in my ipod, what is the probability of
my favorite song playing when I put it on shuffle mode?
• Have fun!!
Bonus Question!
• Take a look at this video, and see if you are able to figure out the right
answer. Discuss with your group and let the teacher know what
conclusion you come to.
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhlc7peGlGg

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Simon paik lecture

  • 2. PROBABILITY • Probability definition: Measure of how likely an event is to occur • For example: • Today, there is a 30% of rain. • The odds of being struck by lightning are a million to one. • What are some examples you can think of?
  • 3. PROBABILITY • Probability can be written as: • A ratio such as 1:10 • A fraction such as 1/10 • A percentage such as 10%
  • 4. PROBABILITY • If an event is going to occur certainly, then the probability of the event is 1 or 100%. • If the event will NEVER happen, the probability will be 0% or 0. • If the event may or may not occur at the same probability, then the probability is .5 or 50%
  • 5. Probability Impossible Unlikely Equal Chances Likely Certain 0 0.5 1 0% 50% 100% ½
  • 6. PROBABILITY • Questions for thought! • What are some events that have a probability of 0%? • What are some events that have a probability of 100%? • What are some events that have a probability of 50%?
  • 7. Probability P(event) = number of ways event can occur total number of outcomes • An outcome is a possible result of a probability experiment • When rolling a number cube, the possible outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6
  • 8. Probability P(event) = number of ways event can occur total number of outcomes What is the probability of getting heads when flipping a coin? P(heads) = number of ways = 1 head on a coin = 1 total outcomes = 2 sides to a coin = 2 P(heads)= ½ = 0.5 = 50%
  • 9. PROBABILITY Problem • Martin woke up late and is now in a hurry to get to school. He brushes his teeth, eats breakfast and now has to put on a pair of socks. He opens his drawers and without looking, pulls out a pair of socks. If in his drawer, he has 3 blue, 5 green, 2 red, and 6 white socks, what are the chances of him grabbing red socks randomly? P(event) = number of ways event can occur total number of outcomes • P(event)= 2/16=1/8, .125 or 12.5%
  • 10. Discuss With Your Partners! • If you roll a six sided cube with the numbers labeled 1-6, what is the probability of rolling an odd number? How about an odd number greater than 3? • Odd numbers:1,3,5 • Total numbers: 1,2,3,4,5,6 • P(event)=3/6=1/2=50% • Odd number greater than 3: 5 • Total numbers: 1,2,3,4,5,6 • P(event)=1/6
  • 11. Probability • Discuss with your partners and come up with fun, probability questions that occur in your daily lives. • Try to come up with an answer that is as accurate as possible. • For example: If I have 150 songs in my ipod, what is the probability of my favorite song playing when I put it on shuffle mode? • Have fun!!
  • 12. Bonus Question! • Take a look at this video, and see if you are able to figure out the right answer. Discuss with your group and let the teacher know what conclusion you come to. • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhlc7peGlGg