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1 / 6
Aug 30 , 2016
Background
ShenZhen – HongKong Connect programwas officially announced on Aug 16th. According to the
implementation timetable been released by HKEX, the official launch is scheduled in four months pending
further tweaking of the rules and market education and rehearsal.
Key Highlights
 Aggregated quotaceiling has been abolished
There will be no quota ceiling for SZ-HK connect, meanwhile the quote ceiling for SH-HK connect has
been abolished. However, daily quota of 13 Billion RMB (Northbound) and 10.5 Billion RMB
(Southbound) stay the same. As a major step towards market and capital account liberalization, the
abolishment of aggregatedquota marks the de-facto opening up of the domestic stock market to
global investors. It will no doubt boost the odds for MSCI inclusion decision in 2017.
 Southbound investableuniverseto include moresmall cap names
Eligible stocks for northbound tradeare constituents of the SZSE Component Index (399001.SZ) and
the SZSE Small-/Mid-cap Innovation Index (399015.SZ) with market cap > RMB 6 Billion, as well as all
A/H dual listed companies (872 stocks in total). Southbound tradewill add 115 constituents of the
Hang Seng Small-cap Index (HSSI Index) with market caps of more than HKD 5 Billion. Over 70% of A
share and HongKong market cap become accessible combing SH-SZ-HK. (Exhibit 1)
 ETF might be included in the investableuniverse
Exhibit 1:Over 70% of A share and HongKong market cap become accessible
Source: CICC
Short term: Hongkong sees inflow amid overseas allocation needs
There is strong desire for domestic investors to buy offshore assets, driven by RMB depreciation expectation,
Markets Constituents (No.) Constituents (%)
Daily Average
Volume (YTD)
Average
Volume (%)
Market Cap (%)
SH-HK Connect 567 51.1% 1360 67.5% 85.9%
Shenzhen Connect (Est) 872 48.8% 2280 68.3% 74.2%
HongKong Connect (Est) 438 22.5% 335 90.3% 73.2%
Shanghai A shares 1110 2015
Shenzhen A shares 1787 3337
HongKong Aggregated 1944 371
ShenZhen-HongKong Connect
Another milestone achieved
2 / 6
and exacerbatedby the suspension of QDII quota approval since April 2015. Beforethe announcement, the
Southbound balance had less than 20% remaining, and is expect to run out by year end. (Exhibit 2) But gladly,
the abolishment of aggregatedquotehas solved this issue once and for all.
Exhibit2:SH-HKConnect in hindsight…Southbound catching up
Source: Wind, ChinaAMC as ofSep 5,2016
Since the announcement on 16th, southbound daily quota usage has been picking up rapidly. (Exhibit 3)
Exhibit3:Southbound quota usage pick up significantlysince SZ-HKconnect announcement
Source: Wind, ChinaAMC as ofSep 5,2016
Medium to Long Term: A game changer
In a medium to long term time frame it will reshape the capital market structure and ecological system of
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
2014-11-17 2015-02-17 2015-05-17 2015-08-17 2015-11-17 2016-02-17 2016-05-17
Quota Balance
...Southbound Quota is running low
(NB~300 Billion, SB~250 Billion)
Northbound Southbound
NB saw mopreinfolw
initially
SB speed
up
SB inflow acceerlateand soonto bedepleted
before year end.
Aggrequote quotabollised on Aug 16, 2016.
Deceleratin in
both SB and NB
-1.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Daily QuotaUsage
(RMB Billion)
Northbound Southbound
SZ-HK Accountment
3 / 6
greater China.
 “GreaterChina” Strategy will prevail
Back in March 2015,fourth month after the launch of SH-HK connect, CSRC has approved domestic mutual
funds to participate the connect program. As the onshore and offshore stock market become more
integrated with over 70% of market cap on each side become tradable, asset managers are ramping up their
expertise to roll out new strategiesto capturethe opportunities set.
 Further Market integration between mainland and HongKong
With the major obstacle of aggregated quota now out of the way, we expect the two markets to further
converge and consolidate in terms of pricing mechanism, risk appetite and investor composition.
 Domestic market regulation to be improved by global participation
Amid greater participation from global investors, domestic regulatory framework and mindset will also have
to be renewed to adapt to the changes. It will serves in the interests of A-shares, as it will face the test of
MSCI inclusion again in June 2017, if not earlier.
Opportunities
In the near term, HK market has an edge in terms of valuation. (Exhibit 4) With 0.9X PB and 8.0X PE, major HK
index such as the HSCEI is almost at its all time low. That could also be attributed to its close correlations to
the global markets and had suffered from dual shocks earlier half of 2016 by the pulling out of Oil dollar and
the looming US ratehike.
Exhibit 4: HongKongMarkets look attractive from a valuationpoint
Source: Wind, ChinaAMC as ofSep 5,2016
Reckoning the difference in A-shares and HongKong market, A/H index, which gauges overall
premium/discount of the dual listcos could serve as the relative valuation barometer for the two markets.
(Exhibit 5) The index seems to have traded with a band of 100 to 140, with below 100 the undervalued zone.
This index also coincides with trough and peaks of the A-share markets such as in 2007. The law of
3.97
2.93
1.49 1.19 1.13 1.12 1.09 1.08 0.91
0
2
4
6
CSI1000 CSI500 CIS300 SSE50 HSI-MidCap HSI-SmallCap HSI` HSI-LargeCap HSCEI
PB Comprison
76.34
46.91
24.48
13.49 13.16 11.39 10.60 10.27 7.98
0
20
40
60
80
100
CSI1000 CSI500 HSI
-SmallCap
HSI
-MidCap
CIS300 HSI` HSI
-LargeCap
SSE50 HSCEI
PE Comprison
4 / 6
mean-reversion also seems to apply to the A/H index, however, the reversion could take years to take place,
as evidenced in 2010-2014.
Exhibit5:A/H index speaks volumes for long termrelative valuation
Source: Wind, ChinaAMC as ofSep5, 2016
We see opportunities in both H-share names as well as in A-share names. Value and scarcity still dictate our
preference. HongKong small caps may be favored for their valuation being merely half of their domestic
peers. For A/H names in HongKong, we like names with huge A/H premiums (H shares trading in discount)
and those names from scare sectors such as healthcare. Following the same logic, in A-shares, we like
names with wide A/H discount and low valuations also high dividend yields.
The unique A/H dual listing structure also allows for cross-market plays. ChinaAMC has coined its pioneering
ChinaAMC A/H Select strategy. Unitizing replication technique, this strategy seeks to outperform the SSE 50
AH index by dynamically tracking the cheaper of the A/H dual listed constituents. This strategy has
significantly outperformed both the standalone SSE 50 and HSCEI from 2014 to 2016. (Exhibit 6)
Exhibit6:ChinaAMCA/H Select LOF
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
2005-01-04 2006-01-04 2007-01-04 2008-01-04 2009-01-04 2010-01-04 2011-01-04 2012-01-04 2013-01-04 2014-01-04 2015-01-04 2016-01-04
A/H
SH-H SZ-HK
5 / 6
Source: Wind, ChinaAMC Backtestedresults
Disclaimer
Important Information
This report is intended only for the use of our clients and prospects. Neither this report nor any of its contents may
be reproduced or published for any other purpose without the prior written consent of China Asset Management Co.
Ltd (“ChinaAMC” ). All the investment strategy illustrated in this report was made on a preliminary basis only, no
representation or warranty is made as to the efficacy of any particular strategy or the actual returns that may be
achieved.
The information in this report reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgment as of this date, which are subject
to change. In preparing this report, we have relied upon and assumed without independen t verification, the accuracy
and completeness of all information available from public sources. We consider the information in this report to be
0
2
4
6
8
2004-12-31
2005-03-22
2005-06-06
2005-08-12
2005-10-27
2006-01-06
2006-03-27
2006-06-09
2006-08-17
2006-11-01
2007-01-12
2007-03-29
2007-06-13
2007-08-21
2007-11-05
2008-01-15
2008-03-31
2008-06-12
2008-08-20
2008-11-05
2009-01-15
2009-04-01
2009-06-15
2009-08-21
2009-11-06
2010-01-15
2010-04-01
2010-06-11
2010-08-24
2010-11-11
2011-01-20
2011-04-08
2011-06-20
2011-08-26
2011-11-11
2012-01-30
2012-04-11
2012-06-21
2012-08-30
2012-11-14
2013-01-25
2013-04-15
2013-07-01
2013-09-06
2013-11-25
2014-02-10
2014-04-21
2014-07-02
2014-09-10
2014-11-25
2015-02-04
2015-04-22
2015-07-02
2015-09-11
2015-11-26
2016-02-04
2016-04-19
2016-07-01
A/H Select Performance
(2004-2016)
SSE50 Select SSE50 HSCEI
6 / 6
reliable, but we do not represent that it is complete or accurate. ChinaAMC, its affiliates, directors, officers or
employees accept no liability for any errors or omissions relating to information available in this report, and will not be
liable for any damages or costs arising out of or in any way connected with the use of the information provided in this
report.
Any information given or representation made by any dealer, salesman or other person and (in either case) not
contained herein should be regarded as unauthorized and, accordingly, should not be relied upon. Accordingly, no
person receiving a copy of this report in any territory may treat the same as constituting an invitation to him to
purchase or subscribe for the participating shares of the Fund nor should he in any event use the Fund’s subscription
agreement unless in the relevant jurisdiction such invitation and distribution islawfully made.
Contact Information
China Asset Management Co. Ltd.
8F, Tower 7, One Yuetan Street South, Xicheng District, Beijing100045, China
IB@ChinaAMC.com
Tel:+86 10 8806 6688/ Fax:+86 10 8806 6330

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ShenZhen-HongKong Connect - Another milestone achieved

  • 1. 1 / 6 Aug 30 , 2016 Background ShenZhen – HongKong Connect programwas officially announced on Aug 16th. According to the implementation timetable been released by HKEX, the official launch is scheduled in four months pending further tweaking of the rules and market education and rehearsal. Key Highlights  Aggregated quotaceiling has been abolished There will be no quota ceiling for SZ-HK connect, meanwhile the quote ceiling for SH-HK connect has been abolished. However, daily quota of 13 Billion RMB (Northbound) and 10.5 Billion RMB (Southbound) stay the same. As a major step towards market and capital account liberalization, the abolishment of aggregatedquota marks the de-facto opening up of the domestic stock market to global investors. It will no doubt boost the odds for MSCI inclusion decision in 2017.  Southbound investableuniverseto include moresmall cap names Eligible stocks for northbound tradeare constituents of the SZSE Component Index (399001.SZ) and the SZSE Small-/Mid-cap Innovation Index (399015.SZ) with market cap > RMB 6 Billion, as well as all A/H dual listed companies (872 stocks in total). Southbound tradewill add 115 constituents of the Hang Seng Small-cap Index (HSSI Index) with market caps of more than HKD 5 Billion. Over 70% of A share and HongKong market cap become accessible combing SH-SZ-HK. (Exhibit 1)  ETF might be included in the investableuniverse Exhibit 1:Over 70% of A share and HongKong market cap become accessible Source: CICC Short term: Hongkong sees inflow amid overseas allocation needs There is strong desire for domestic investors to buy offshore assets, driven by RMB depreciation expectation, Markets Constituents (No.) Constituents (%) Daily Average Volume (YTD) Average Volume (%) Market Cap (%) SH-HK Connect 567 51.1% 1360 67.5% 85.9% Shenzhen Connect (Est) 872 48.8% 2280 68.3% 74.2% HongKong Connect (Est) 438 22.5% 335 90.3% 73.2% Shanghai A shares 1110 2015 Shenzhen A shares 1787 3337 HongKong Aggregated 1944 371 ShenZhen-HongKong Connect Another milestone achieved
  • 2. 2 / 6 and exacerbatedby the suspension of QDII quota approval since April 2015. Beforethe announcement, the Southbound balance had less than 20% remaining, and is expect to run out by year end. (Exhibit 2) But gladly, the abolishment of aggregatedquotehas solved this issue once and for all. Exhibit2:SH-HKConnect in hindsight…Southbound catching up Source: Wind, ChinaAMC as ofSep 5,2016 Since the announcement on 16th, southbound daily quota usage has been picking up rapidly. (Exhibit 3) Exhibit3:Southbound quota usage pick up significantlysince SZ-HKconnect announcement Source: Wind, ChinaAMC as ofSep 5,2016 Medium to Long Term: A game changer In a medium to long term time frame it will reshape the capital market structure and ecological system of 0.00 50.00 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00 2014-11-17 2015-02-17 2015-05-17 2015-08-17 2015-11-17 2016-02-17 2016-05-17 Quota Balance ...Southbound Quota is running low (NB~300 Billion, SB~250 Billion) Northbound Southbound NB saw mopreinfolw initially SB speed up SB inflow acceerlateand soonto bedepleted before year end. Aggrequote quotabollised on Aug 16, 2016. Deceleratin in both SB and NB -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 Daily QuotaUsage (RMB Billion) Northbound Southbound SZ-HK Accountment
  • 3. 3 / 6 greater China.  “GreaterChina” Strategy will prevail Back in March 2015,fourth month after the launch of SH-HK connect, CSRC has approved domestic mutual funds to participate the connect program. As the onshore and offshore stock market become more integrated with over 70% of market cap on each side become tradable, asset managers are ramping up their expertise to roll out new strategiesto capturethe opportunities set.  Further Market integration between mainland and HongKong With the major obstacle of aggregated quota now out of the way, we expect the two markets to further converge and consolidate in terms of pricing mechanism, risk appetite and investor composition.  Domestic market regulation to be improved by global participation Amid greater participation from global investors, domestic regulatory framework and mindset will also have to be renewed to adapt to the changes. It will serves in the interests of A-shares, as it will face the test of MSCI inclusion again in June 2017, if not earlier. Opportunities In the near term, HK market has an edge in terms of valuation. (Exhibit 4) With 0.9X PB and 8.0X PE, major HK index such as the HSCEI is almost at its all time low. That could also be attributed to its close correlations to the global markets and had suffered from dual shocks earlier half of 2016 by the pulling out of Oil dollar and the looming US ratehike. Exhibit 4: HongKongMarkets look attractive from a valuationpoint Source: Wind, ChinaAMC as ofSep 5,2016 Reckoning the difference in A-shares and HongKong market, A/H index, which gauges overall premium/discount of the dual listcos could serve as the relative valuation barometer for the two markets. (Exhibit 5) The index seems to have traded with a band of 100 to 140, with below 100 the undervalued zone. This index also coincides with trough and peaks of the A-share markets such as in 2007. The law of 3.97 2.93 1.49 1.19 1.13 1.12 1.09 1.08 0.91 0 2 4 6 CSI1000 CSI500 CIS300 SSE50 HSI-MidCap HSI-SmallCap HSI` HSI-LargeCap HSCEI PB Comprison 76.34 46.91 24.48 13.49 13.16 11.39 10.60 10.27 7.98 0 20 40 60 80 100 CSI1000 CSI500 HSI -SmallCap HSI -MidCap CIS300 HSI` HSI -LargeCap SSE50 HSCEI PE Comprison
  • 4. 4 / 6 mean-reversion also seems to apply to the A/H index, however, the reversion could take years to take place, as evidenced in 2010-2014. Exhibit5:A/H index speaks volumes for long termrelative valuation Source: Wind, ChinaAMC as ofSep5, 2016 We see opportunities in both H-share names as well as in A-share names. Value and scarcity still dictate our preference. HongKong small caps may be favored for their valuation being merely half of their domestic peers. For A/H names in HongKong, we like names with huge A/H premiums (H shares trading in discount) and those names from scare sectors such as healthcare. Following the same logic, in A-shares, we like names with wide A/H discount and low valuations also high dividend yields. The unique A/H dual listing structure also allows for cross-market plays. ChinaAMC has coined its pioneering ChinaAMC A/H Select strategy. Unitizing replication technique, this strategy seeks to outperform the SSE 50 AH index by dynamically tracking the cheaper of the A/H dual listed constituents. This strategy has significantly outperformed both the standalone SSE 50 and HSCEI from 2014 to 2016. (Exhibit 6) Exhibit6:ChinaAMCA/H Select LOF 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 2005-01-04 2006-01-04 2007-01-04 2008-01-04 2009-01-04 2010-01-04 2011-01-04 2012-01-04 2013-01-04 2014-01-04 2015-01-04 2016-01-04 A/H SH-H SZ-HK
  • 5. 5 / 6 Source: Wind, ChinaAMC Backtestedresults Disclaimer Important Information This report is intended only for the use of our clients and prospects. Neither this report nor any of its contents may be reproduced or published for any other purpose without the prior written consent of China Asset Management Co. Ltd (“ChinaAMC” ). All the investment strategy illustrated in this report was made on a preliminary basis only, no representation or warranty is made as to the efficacy of any particular strategy or the actual returns that may be achieved. The information in this report reflects prevailing market conditions and our judgment as of this date, which are subject to change. In preparing this report, we have relied upon and assumed without independen t verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available from public sources. We consider the information in this report to be 0 2 4 6 8 2004-12-31 2005-03-22 2005-06-06 2005-08-12 2005-10-27 2006-01-06 2006-03-27 2006-06-09 2006-08-17 2006-11-01 2007-01-12 2007-03-29 2007-06-13 2007-08-21 2007-11-05 2008-01-15 2008-03-31 2008-06-12 2008-08-20 2008-11-05 2009-01-15 2009-04-01 2009-06-15 2009-08-21 2009-11-06 2010-01-15 2010-04-01 2010-06-11 2010-08-24 2010-11-11 2011-01-20 2011-04-08 2011-06-20 2011-08-26 2011-11-11 2012-01-30 2012-04-11 2012-06-21 2012-08-30 2012-11-14 2013-01-25 2013-04-15 2013-07-01 2013-09-06 2013-11-25 2014-02-10 2014-04-21 2014-07-02 2014-09-10 2014-11-25 2015-02-04 2015-04-22 2015-07-02 2015-09-11 2015-11-26 2016-02-04 2016-04-19 2016-07-01 A/H Select Performance (2004-2016) SSE50 Select SSE50 HSCEI
  • 6. 6 / 6 reliable, but we do not represent that it is complete or accurate. ChinaAMC, its affiliates, directors, officers or employees accept no liability for any errors or omissions relating to information available in this report, and will not be liable for any damages or costs arising out of or in any way connected with the use of the information provided in this report. Any information given or representation made by any dealer, salesman or other person and (in either case) not contained herein should be regarded as unauthorized and, accordingly, should not be relied upon. Accordingly, no person receiving a copy of this report in any territory may treat the same as constituting an invitation to him to purchase or subscribe for the participating shares of the Fund nor should he in any event use the Fund’s subscription agreement unless in the relevant jurisdiction such invitation and distribution islawfully made. Contact Information China Asset Management Co. Ltd. 8F, Tower 7, One Yuetan Street South, Xicheng District, Beijing100045, China IB@ChinaAMC.com Tel:+86 10 8806 6688/ Fax:+86 10 8806 6330