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© 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved.
New Realities, New Opportunities
The Future of Recruiting
Ravin Jesuthasan
September 2013
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 1
Headlines: challenges and opportunities
Talent 2021
GWS
Transformative
HR
Generation Gap? Not when it comes to pay…it is
the #1 attraction driver for all ages in the U.S.
Generation Gap? Not when it comes to pay…it is
the #1 attraction driver for all ages in the U.S.
Structurally Unsound. Businesses are attempting to
reach 21stC heights on 20thC talent and reward platforms
Structurally Unsound. Businesses are attempting to
reach 21stC heights on 20thC talent and reward platforms
Friction Points. By 2021, a new map of
talent surplus and deficits will emerge
Friction Points. By 2021, a new map of
talent surplus and deficits will emerge
Security Minded. Whether it is attraction or
retention, financial security is top of mind
Security Minded. Whether it is attraction or
retention, financial security is top of mind
Engagement at Risk. Only 35% are highly engaged,
stress is increasing and energy is flagging
Engagement at Risk. Only 35% are highly engaged,
stress is increasing and energy is flagging
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 2
Human Capital Research
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 3
The major themes of Global Talent 2021
Business transformation demands new skills
Mobility from industrialized to emerging markets
Global talent mismatches
Changes in talent management strategies
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 4
What is driving the talent agenda?
0 10 20 30 40 50
Generational, social and cultural drivers
Geopolitical trends
Increasing focus on diversity
Regulatory changes
Sustainability and the environment
Shift of market momentum to emerging markets
Industry consolidation and transformation
Increasing competition
Changes in customer needs and behavior
Labor markets shifts
Globalization of markets
Technological and digital change
% of respondents
Market shifts that will have the biggest impact on future
talent requirements
Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 5
What strategies will most impact talent needs?
0 10 20 30 40 50
Other
Outsourcing and offshoring
Organizational realignment
Mergers, acquisitions and alliances
Downsizing and restructuring
Speeding time to market
Supply chain management
Emerging market focus
Penetrating new customer segments
Process improvements
Extending product and service portfolio
Developing digital channels
Reinventing business models
Driving innovation
Global expansion
Improving quality and customer service
Cost reduction and efficiencies
% of respondents
Organizational strategies that will have the biggest
impact on future talent requirements
Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 6
Demand for talent will rise strongly over next decade
4.0
1.8
4.4 4.5
4.7
4.5
1.2
5.0
5.3 5.3
-0.5 0.6 -0.5 -0.8 -0.7
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Global NA &
Europe
Americas Asia
Pacific
MEA
Market for talent: Global
Demand Supply Talent gap
% p.a.
Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 7
But supply to expand even
faster in emerging countries
4.5
5.2
4.6
5.3
7.3
4.6
-0.8 -2.1 0.0
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
Asia Pacific India China
Market for talent: Asia Pacific
% p.a.
Demand Supply Talent gap
Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 8
0.5
Talent challenge greatest in developed economies
1.8 1.6 1.6
2.2
1.2
0.9
0.7
1.4
0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9
0.8
-1
0
1
1
2
2
3
NA &
Europe
France Germany UK U.S.
Market for talent: North America and Europe
% p.a.
Demand Supply Talent gap
Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 9
Talent friction points in ten years:
Where are your future talent needs?
Deficit countries
Surplus countries
At equilibrium
Norway 0.5
Sweden 0.5
UK 0.9
France 0.7
Spain 0.2
Canada 0.9
USA 0.8
Mexico 0.1
Columbia -1.1
Argentina 0.1
Brazil -0.1
Morocco -0.8
Chile 1.0
Peru -0.6
Russia 0.1
South Korea 0.9
Japan 1.4
Philippines -0.2
Thailand 0.6
Malaysia -0.1
Indonesia -1.5
Netherlands 0.4
Germany 0.6
Poland 1.2
Czech Rep -0.8
Austria 0.4
Switzerland 0.5
Italy 0.8
Greece 0.7
Singapore 0.6
Turkey 0.7
Egypt -0.7
Saudi Arabia -0.2
United
Arab Emirates
-0.2
Qatar -0.6
China -0.0
India -2.1
South Africa -1.0
Bermuda -0.1
Australia 0.5
Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 10
The Global Workforce Study 2012 helps us understand
the drivers of attraction, retention and sustainable engagement
Attraction Drivers Retention Drivers
Sustainable
Engagement Drivers
Base pay/salary Base pay/salary Leadership
Job security
Career advancement
opportunities
Stress, Balance and
Workload
Career advancement
opportunities
Relationship with
manager/supervisor
Goals and Objectives
Convenient work location
Trust/confidence in
senior leadership
Supervision
Opportunities to learn
new skills
Manage/limit work-
related stress
Image
Drivers linked to Total
Rewards
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 11
The current status of the global workforce
35%
22%
17%
26%
Source: Towers Watson 2012 Global Workforce Study.
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 12
BY THE NUMBERS
The value of achieving high sustainable engagement
Only 15% of employees with high
engagement are high retention
risks compared to
64% of disengaged employees
3x
High sustainable engagement
companies’ operating margins are
3x higher compared to those with
the lowest levels of engagement
7.3
Higher presenteeism: An average of
6.2 days lost per year for employees
with high engagement vs. 13.5 days
lost per year for the disengaged
49%
operating margin fewer days
lower retention risk
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 13
What does this mean for the future of
the workforce?
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 14
A need for new skills in the future
Digital Skills
Agile Thinking
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Total Americas APAC MEA Europe
Ability to consider and prepare for
multiple scenarios
Innovation
Dealing with complexity and ambiguity
Managing paradoxes, balancing
opposing views
Ability to see the “big picture”
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Total Americas APAC MEA Europe
Digital business skills
Ability to work virtually
Understanding of corporate IT
Digital design skills
Ability to use social media and web 2.0
Source: Talent 2021.
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 15
A need for new skills in the future
Interpersonal and Communication Skills
Global Skills
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
TOTAL Americas APAC MEA Europe
Co-creativity and brainstorming
Relationship building (with customers,
partners, government, etc.)
Teaming (including virtual teaming)
Collaboration
Oral and written communication
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
TOTAL Americas APAC MEA Europe
Ability to manage diverse employees
Understanding international markets
Ability to work in multiple overseas
locations
Foreign language skills
Cultural sensitivity
Source: Talent 2021.
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 16
Ready for What’s Next...
Shape work
Environment
that
engages,
enables and
energizes
over time
Think more
broadly and
creatively
about where
talent is sourced
Embrace the
virtual
workplace and
maximize
mobility
and flexibility
Invest more
heavily
in retraining
and
reskilling
(security in
opportunity)
Rethink and
restructure
how
certain work
is
accomplished
Engaging
environment
Talent
sourcing
Virtual
workplace
Re-skilling
Rethinking
work
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 17
What does this mean for the Future
of Recruiting?
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 18
A shift from delivering services to
educating, enabling and equipping business leaders
Evidence Based Change . . . A Mindset and Approach
Segmentation
Integration
and Synergy
Optimization
Logic-Driven
Analytics
Risk Leverage
 Strategically
categorize
workforce
segments
 Understand
pivotal
segments to
advance
business
priorities
 Manage
unique
segments
holistically
 Understand
how to
leverage the
unique
capabilities of
different Bus
and other
organizations
 Focus on
“collaborative
production”
 Prioritize
investment
where returns
are greatest
 Enable the
business to
seamlessly
manage the
entire
“continuum of
work”
 Identify the
pivotal issues
associated
with getting
work done and
the revenue,
cost and risk
implications
 Robust
analytics to
bring focus to
issues and root
cause
 Identify and
analyze risk
associated
with alternative
talent pools
 Identify the
tradeoffs and
the “risks worth
taking”
Superior business outcomes are achieved when these principles are evident
1 2 3 4 5
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 19
Bring the same level of rigor to
human capital planning as you do to business planning
Are you measuring the impact of
your talent decisions relative to
business objectives and results?
Do you measure in single
dimension or focus on the few
critical linkage points?
Do you measure success through
traditional metrics or the desired
business outcome?
Getting the numbers right is just the beginning. The “magic” happens when
measures and analysis are combined with the logic of knowing where to look for
the important connections and the savvy of knowing when a story is better than
a number (for example, framing a talent problem using the metaphor of a supply
chain would likely motivate managers to think about it more critically)
Ensure common frameworks and mental models for analyzing issues and
defining success
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 20
The evolution of segmentation:
Granularity and sophistication have greatly evolved, allowing us to
address key questions such as:
 What employee behaviors does the business model require, and how
can we effectively elicit those behaviors from different segments?
 Where does exceptional talent really make a difference versus where
does good enough suffice?
 What behaviors do we need to change (e.g., healthier lifestyles,
increased retirement savings) to improve program effectiveness and
ROI?
Organization:
 Key drivers and performance expectations
 Pivotal versus proficiency rolesPotential
Life stages
Attitudinal
Demographics
Performance
Job roles
Rank and File
vs.
Executives Employee:
 Preferences, values, behaviors
 Lifestyles and life choices
Limited Traditional Microsegmentation: Two perspectivesEmerging
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 21
Microsegmentation enables us to identify
the organization requirements for talent in various roles
Example: Airline Industry
Pivotal role analysis, a key element of segmentation, helps
organizations determine how talent in different roles contributes to
business value and where having “great” talent versus “good” talent can
make a difference
Employee Performance
Customer
Loyalty
Airline Pilots
Having more higher
performing airline pilots
will not yield additional
business value (defined
as customer loyalty) to
the organization
Flight Attendants
Employee Performance
Customer
Loyalty
Because airlines maintain
competitive advantage by
differentiating the customer
experience, flight attendants
are a pivotal employee
segment. Higher levels of
performance yield significantly
greater customer loyalty
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 22
Create integration and synergy
 How to we meet our talent needs without building up cost and
infrastructure
 How do we tap into a unique ecosystem that ensures an optimal
supply at the right cost
 Transcend the typical organization construct to create integration and
synergy through “collaborative production” across:
 Organizations
 Functions and Business Units
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 23
Be prepared to deal with risk in a very different way
What’s known today
and what’s is
unknown
Plan for different scenarios
towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 24
Optimize the sources of work
 How to we seamlessly move work across multiple delivery platforms
and employment relationships to optimize
 Capacity and Capability
 Cost
 Risk (and control)
 How does HR exercise governance and control across these multiple
relationships
Full time,
onsite
Independent
contractor /
free agent
Full time,
virtual
JV/Partner
entity
Outsourced/
Offshored

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  • 1. © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. New Realities, New Opportunities The Future of Recruiting Ravin Jesuthasan September 2013
  • 2. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 1 Headlines: challenges and opportunities Talent 2021 GWS Transformative HR Generation Gap? Not when it comes to pay…it is the #1 attraction driver for all ages in the U.S. Generation Gap? Not when it comes to pay…it is the #1 attraction driver for all ages in the U.S. Structurally Unsound. Businesses are attempting to reach 21stC heights on 20thC talent and reward platforms Structurally Unsound. Businesses are attempting to reach 21stC heights on 20thC talent and reward platforms Friction Points. By 2021, a new map of talent surplus and deficits will emerge Friction Points. By 2021, a new map of talent surplus and deficits will emerge Security Minded. Whether it is attraction or retention, financial security is top of mind Security Minded. Whether it is attraction or retention, financial security is top of mind Engagement at Risk. Only 35% are highly engaged, stress is increasing and energy is flagging Engagement at Risk. Only 35% are highly engaged, stress is increasing and energy is flagging
  • 3. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 2 Human Capital Research
  • 4. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 3 The major themes of Global Talent 2021 Business transformation demands new skills Mobility from industrialized to emerging markets Global talent mismatches Changes in talent management strategies
  • 5. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 4 What is driving the talent agenda? 0 10 20 30 40 50 Generational, social and cultural drivers Geopolitical trends Increasing focus on diversity Regulatory changes Sustainability and the environment Shift of market momentum to emerging markets Industry consolidation and transformation Increasing competition Changes in customer needs and behavior Labor markets shifts Globalization of markets Technological and digital change % of respondents Market shifts that will have the biggest impact on future talent requirements Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
  • 6. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 5 What strategies will most impact talent needs? 0 10 20 30 40 50 Other Outsourcing and offshoring Organizational realignment Mergers, acquisitions and alliances Downsizing and restructuring Speeding time to market Supply chain management Emerging market focus Penetrating new customer segments Process improvements Extending product and service portfolio Developing digital channels Reinventing business models Driving innovation Global expansion Improving quality and customer service Cost reduction and efficiencies % of respondents Organizational strategies that will have the biggest impact on future talent requirements Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
  • 7. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 6 Demand for talent will rise strongly over next decade 4.0 1.8 4.4 4.5 4.7 4.5 1.2 5.0 5.3 5.3 -0.5 0.6 -0.5 -0.8 -0.7 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Global NA & Europe Americas Asia Pacific MEA Market for talent: Global Demand Supply Talent gap % p.a. Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
  • 8. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 7 But supply to expand even faster in emerging countries 4.5 5.2 4.6 5.3 7.3 4.6 -0.8 -2.1 0.0 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 Asia Pacific India China Market for talent: Asia Pacific % p.a. Demand Supply Talent gap Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
  • 9. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 8 0.5 Talent challenge greatest in developed economies 1.8 1.6 1.6 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.7 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.8 -1 0 1 1 2 2 3 NA & Europe France Germany UK U.S. Market for talent: North America and Europe % p.a. Demand Supply Talent gap Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
  • 10. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 9 Talent friction points in ten years: Where are your future talent needs? Deficit countries Surplus countries At equilibrium Norway 0.5 Sweden 0.5 UK 0.9 France 0.7 Spain 0.2 Canada 0.9 USA 0.8 Mexico 0.1 Columbia -1.1 Argentina 0.1 Brazil -0.1 Morocco -0.8 Chile 1.0 Peru -0.6 Russia 0.1 South Korea 0.9 Japan 1.4 Philippines -0.2 Thailand 0.6 Malaysia -0.1 Indonesia -1.5 Netherlands 0.4 Germany 0.6 Poland 1.2 Czech Rep -0.8 Austria 0.4 Switzerland 0.5 Italy 0.8 Greece 0.7 Singapore 0.6 Turkey 0.7 Egypt -0.7 Saudi Arabia -0.2 United Arab Emirates -0.2 Qatar -0.6 China -0.0 India -2.1 South Africa -1.0 Bermuda -0.1 Australia 0.5 Source: Global Talent 2021 Study conducted by Oxford Economics and Towers Watson, 2012.
  • 11. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 10 The Global Workforce Study 2012 helps us understand the drivers of attraction, retention and sustainable engagement Attraction Drivers Retention Drivers Sustainable Engagement Drivers Base pay/salary Base pay/salary Leadership Job security Career advancement opportunities Stress, Balance and Workload Career advancement opportunities Relationship with manager/supervisor Goals and Objectives Convenient work location Trust/confidence in senior leadership Supervision Opportunities to learn new skills Manage/limit work- related stress Image Drivers linked to Total Rewards
  • 12. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 11 The current status of the global workforce 35% 22% 17% 26% Source: Towers Watson 2012 Global Workforce Study.
  • 13. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 12 BY THE NUMBERS The value of achieving high sustainable engagement Only 15% of employees with high engagement are high retention risks compared to 64% of disengaged employees 3x High sustainable engagement companies’ operating margins are 3x higher compared to those with the lowest levels of engagement 7.3 Higher presenteeism: An average of 6.2 days lost per year for employees with high engagement vs. 13.5 days lost per year for the disengaged 49% operating margin fewer days lower retention risk
  • 14. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 13 What does this mean for the future of the workforce?
  • 15. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 14 A need for new skills in the future Digital Skills Agile Thinking 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Total Americas APAC MEA Europe Ability to consider and prepare for multiple scenarios Innovation Dealing with complexity and ambiguity Managing paradoxes, balancing opposing views Ability to see the “big picture” 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Total Americas APAC MEA Europe Digital business skills Ability to work virtually Understanding of corporate IT Digital design skills Ability to use social media and web 2.0 Source: Talent 2021.
  • 16. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 15 A need for new skills in the future Interpersonal and Communication Skills Global Skills 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% TOTAL Americas APAC MEA Europe Co-creativity and brainstorming Relationship building (with customers, partners, government, etc.) Teaming (including virtual teaming) Collaboration Oral and written communication 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% TOTAL Americas APAC MEA Europe Ability to manage diverse employees Understanding international markets Ability to work in multiple overseas locations Foreign language skills Cultural sensitivity Source: Talent 2021.
  • 17. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 16 Ready for What’s Next... Shape work Environment that engages, enables and energizes over time Think more broadly and creatively about where talent is sourced Embrace the virtual workplace and maximize mobility and flexibility Invest more heavily in retraining and reskilling (security in opportunity) Rethink and restructure how certain work is accomplished Engaging environment Talent sourcing Virtual workplace Re-skilling Rethinking work
  • 18. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 17 What does this mean for the Future of Recruiting?
  • 19. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 18 A shift from delivering services to educating, enabling and equipping business leaders Evidence Based Change . . . A Mindset and Approach Segmentation Integration and Synergy Optimization Logic-Driven Analytics Risk Leverage  Strategically categorize workforce segments  Understand pivotal segments to advance business priorities  Manage unique segments holistically  Understand how to leverage the unique capabilities of different Bus and other organizations  Focus on “collaborative production”  Prioritize investment where returns are greatest  Enable the business to seamlessly manage the entire “continuum of work”  Identify the pivotal issues associated with getting work done and the revenue, cost and risk implications  Robust analytics to bring focus to issues and root cause  Identify and analyze risk associated with alternative talent pools  Identify the tradeoffs and the “risks worth taking” Superior business outcomes are achieved when these principles are evident 1 2 3 4 5
  • 20. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 19 Bring the same level of rigor to human capital planning as you do to business planning Are you measuring the impact of your talent decisions relative to business objectives and results? Do you measure in single dimension or focus on the few critical linkage points? Do you measure success through traditional metrics or the desired business outcome? Getting the numbers right is just the beginning. The “magic” happens when measures and analysis are combined with the logic of knowing where to look for the important connections and the savvy of knowing when a story is better than a number (for example, framing a talent problem using the metaphor of a supply chain would likely motivate managers to think about it more critically) Ensure common frameworks and mental models for analyzing issues and defining success
  • 21. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 20 The evolution of segmentation: Granularity and sophistication have greatly evolved, allowing us to address key questions such as:  What employee behaviors does the business model require, and how can we effectively elicit those behaviors from different segments?  Where does exceptional talent really make a difference versus where does good enough suffice?  What behaviors do we need to change (e.g., healthier lifestyles, increased retirement savings) to improve program effectiveness and ROI? Organization:  Key drivers and performance expectations  Pivotal versus proficiency rolesPotential Life stages Attitudinal Demographics Performance Job roles Rank and File vs. Executives Employee:  Preferences, values, behaviors  Lifestyles and life choices Limited Traditional Microsegmentation: Two perspectivesEmerging
  • 22. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 21 Microsegmentation enables us to identify the organization requirements for talent in various roles Example: Airline Industry Pivotal role analysis, a key element of segmentation, helps organizations determine how talent in different roles contributes to business value and where having “great” talent versus “good” talent can make a difference Employee Performance Customer Loyalty Airline Pilots Having more higher performing airline pilots will not yield additional business value (defined as customer loyalty) to the organization Flight Attendants Employee Performance Customer Loyalty Because airlines maintain competitive advantage by differentiating the customer experience, flight attendants are a pivotal employee segment. Higher levels of performance yield significantly greater customer loyalty
  • 23. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 22 Create integration and synergy  How to we meet our talent needs without building up cost and infrastructure  How do we tap into a unique ecosystem that ensures an optimal supply at the right cost  Transcend the typical organization construct to create integration and synergy through “collaborative production” across:  Organizations  Functions and Business Units
  • 24. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 23 Be prepared to deal with risk in a very different way What’s known today and what’s is unknown Plan for different scenarios
  • 25. towerswatson.com © 2013 Towers Watson. All rights reserved. 24 Optimize the sources of work  How to we seamlessly move work across multiple delivery platforms and employment relationships to optimize  Capacity and Capability  Cost  Risk (and control)  How does HR exercise governance and control across these multiple relationships Full time, onsite Independent contractor / free agent Full time, virtual JV/Partner entity Outsourced/ Offshored