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Three-dimensional variational assimilation of
MODIS aerosol optical depth: Implementation and
application to a dust storm over East Asia
1
Liu, Zhiquan, et al. "Three‐dimensional variational assimilation of MODIS aerosol optical depth: Implementation and
application to a dust storm over East Asia." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 116.D23 (2011).
Presenter: Trieu Xuan Hoa
First Year Student, International Ph.D Program in Environmental Science and Technology
Advisor: Prof. Tang-Huang Lin
2018/03/22 R2-116
Outline
2
1. Introduction
2. Methodology
3. Results & Conclusions
4. My thought & Future work
5. References
Introduction
3
➢ Monitoring the distribution of atmospheric aerosols is crucial to
understanding how aerosols impact regional air quality and human
health.
➢ There are a lot of uncertainties in numerical modeling and prediction
of aerosol. Data assimilation (DA) can offer a mean to reduce
uncertainties of the model in the aerosol field.
➢ The main objective of this study is to developed a new algorithm for
AOD data assimilation. Therefore 3-D mass concentration of aerosol
species can be analyzed in a one-step minimization procedure.
➢ This is the first attempt to use individual aerosol species as analysis
variables in a truly 3DVAR (Three-dimensional variational) DA
system.
Introduction
4
STUDY AREA
Figure 1: The study area
located in East Asia with 27
km horizontal grid spacing.
Methodology
5
DATA USED
➢ AOD data from AERONET (AErosol RObotic NETwork) at
seven sites over East Asia. It provides real-time aerosol optical
depth;
➢ AOD data from MODIS sensors on board Terra and Aqua;
➢ Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP)
instrument on board the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared
Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO);
➢ Surface PM10 (particulate matter with diameters less than 10
mm) at 83 surface station across China.
Methodology
6
➢ The WRF-Chem (Weather Research and Forecasting – Chemistry)
model was used to predict the transport of aerosol and gaseous
chemical species in a limited area.
➢ The GOCART (Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and
Transport) aerosol module is available within the WRF-Chem model
and produces forecast for 14 aerosol species.
MODEL USED
• Hydrophobic and hydrophilic organic carbon (OC1, OC2)
• Hydrophobic and hydrophilic black carbon (BC1, BC2)
• Sulfate
• Dust in 5 particle-size bins [dust{1,2,3,4,5}]
• Sea salt in 4 particle-size bins [seas{1,2,3,4}]
Methodology
7
Formulation of 3DVAR aerosol data assimilation
Aerosol analysis variables and
the background error covariance statistics
Observation Operators
Application to a Dust Storm and Experimental Design
Methodology
8
1. Formulation of 3DVAR aerosol data assimilation
𝐽 𝑥 =
1
2
𝑥 − 𝑥𝑏
𝑇
𝐵−1
𝑥 − 𝑥𝑏 +
1
2
𝐻 𝑥 − 𝑦 𝑇
𝑅−1
[𝐻 𝑥 − 𝑦]
which measures the weighted distance of the model state x to the model “background” 𝑥𝑏 and
the observations y.
In our case for aerosol data assimilation:
x are 14 aerosol species mass concentration in 3D space.
𝑥𝑏 the “background” of x, short-term forecast from WRF/Chem.
y can be any aerosol-related observations (in our case, MODIS AOD and surface PM10).
H is “observation operator”, which transforms the model state to observation space.
The background error covariance B and observation error covariance R.
Methodology
9
2. Aerosol analysis variables and the background error covariance
statistics
➢ “NMC” (National Meteorological Center) method was used to compute aerosol
background error covariance (B) statistics using WRF-Chem model forecasts.
➢ For implementation of AOD DA, the 3-D mass concentrations of the 14 WRF/Chem
GOCART aerosol species within the entire domain and at all model levels comprised the
analysis variables in the GSI 3DVAR minimization procedure
Methodology
10
➢ MODIS AOD:
Use Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM) of Joint Center
for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA) as the observation operator
3. Observation Operators
➢ The CRTM-AOD module was incorporated into the Gridpoint
Statistical Interpolation (GSI) system
Methodology
11
 Experimental Design:
 Application to a Dust Storm: A dust storm that started in Mongolia
blasted Beijing on 20 March 2010.
4. Application to a Dust Storm and Experimental Design
➢ No data assimilation (continuous WRF-Chem forecast)
➢ AOD data assimilation
12
Results: Comparison to AERONET AOD
Figure 2: AERONET sites in (a)
Nanjing, (b) Jhongli city of Taiwan, (c)
Dongsha Island, (d) Hong Kong,
(e) Ubon Ratchathani, and (f) Bangkok.
Model output is hourly.
- Red line denotes the AERONET
observations
- Blue line denotes the DA
experiments
- Green line denotes the NoDA
experiments.
13
Results: Comparison to AERONET AOD
Figure 3: Model 550 nm AOD forecasts
from (a, d) the NoDA experiment and (b,
e) the DA experiment overlaid with
CALIPSO path,
and (c, f) 532 nm AOD values along the
CALIPSO path from CALIOP
observations (red) and 550 nm model
AOD output from DA (blue) and NoDA
(green) experiment.
Figures 11a–11c are valid around 17:00
UTC 19 March and Figures 11d–11f
around 20:00 UTC
20 March.
CALIPSO AOD
Results: Comparison to Surface PM10
14
Conclusions
15
➢ The GSI 3DVAR DA system was expanded to assimilate MODIS
AOD observations using 3-D mass concentrations.
➢ Promising results for both dust storm and general air-quality
applications.
➢ Simultaneous assimilation of surface PM10 and MODIS AOD
produced better analysis and forecast of PM10 and AOD.
➢ One-step 3DVAR method of assimilation MODIS AOD permits
concentrations of individual aerosol species.
My thought and Future work
16
➢ This method brought better effect than some previous studies, but
the further investigation is needed to more effectively use available
aerosol-related observations. Therefore, developing a more advanced
method considering the forecast bias is desired.
➢Doing research about Assimilate Multi AOD products and aerosol
related observations to build aerosol simulation model.
References
17
Liu, Zhiquan, et al. "Three‐dimensional variational assimilation of
MODIS aerosol optical depth: Implementation and application to a
dust storm over East Asia." Journal of Geophysical Research:
Atmospheres 116.D23 (2011).
18
Thank you!
Results
19
Fig 5: Scatter plots of observed
concentrations of OC (a), NO3
(b), SO4 (c) and NH4 (d) versus
simulated concentrations during
01:30 to 02:30 PDT
initialisations.
Results
20
- The first step: Analyzed from aerosol observations
- The second step: Partitioned using a postprocessing procedure into
3-D mass concentrations of different aerosol species, making
assumptions regarding vertical distribution and relative ratio of
individual species’ mass to total aerosol mass.
The newly developed 3DVAR aerosol DA system uses individual
aerosol species of the WRF/Chem built-in GOCART module as
“control variables.” Therefore, 3-D mass concentrations of the aerosol
species are analyzed in a one-step minimization procedure, obviating
the need for a second-step postprocessing required by previous
studies.

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Seminar 2

  • 1. Three-dimensional variational assimilation of MODIS aerosol optical depth: Implementation and application to a dust storm over East Asia 1 Liu, Zhiquan, et al. "Three‐dimensional variational assimilation of MODIS aerosol optical depth: Implementation and application to a dust storm over East Asia." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 116.D23 (2011). Presenter: Trieu Xuan Hoa First Year Student, International Ph.D Program in Environmental Science and Technology Advisor: Prof. Tang-Huang Lin 2018/03/22 R2-116
  • 2. Outline 2 1. Introduction 2. Methodology 3. Results & Conclusions 4. My thought & Future work 5. References
  • 3. Introduction 3 ➢ Monitoring the distribution of atmospheric aerosols is crucial to understanding how aerosols impact regional air quality and human health. ➢ There are a lot of uncertainties in numerical modeling and prediction of aerosol. Data assimilation (DA) can offer a mean to reduce uncertainties of the model in the aerosol field. ➢ The main objective of this study is to developed a new algorithm for AOD data assimilation. Therefore 3-D mass concentration of aerosol species can be analyzed in a one-step minimization procedure. ➢ This is the first attempt to use individual aerosol species as analysis variables in a truly 3DVAR (Three-dimensional variational) DA system.
  • 4. Introduction 4 STUDY AREA Figure 1: The study area located in East Asia with 27 km horizontal grid spacing.
  • 5. Methodology 5 DATA USED ➢ AOD data from AERONET (AErosol RObotic NETwork) at seven sites over East Asia. It provides real-time aerosol optical depth; ➢ AOD data from MODIS sensors on board Terra and Aqua; ➢ Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) instrument on board the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO); ➢ Surface PM10 (particulate matter with diameters less than 10 mm) at 83 surface station across China.
  • 6. Methodology 6 ➢ The WRF-Chem (Weather Research and Forecasting – Chemistry) model was used to predict the transport of aerosol and gaseous chemical species in a limited area. ➢ The GOCART (Goddard Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport) aerosol module is available within the WRF-Chem model and produces forecast for 14 aerosol species. MODEL USED • Hydrophobic and hydrophilic organic carbon (OC1, OC2) • Hydrophobic and hydrophilic black carbon (BC1, BC2) • Sulfate • Dust in 5 particle-size bins [dust{1,2,3,4,5}] • Sea salt in 4 particle-size bins [seas{1,2,3,4}]
  • 7. Methodology 7 Formulation of 3DVAR aerosol data assimilation Aerosol analysis variables and the background error covariance statistics Observation Operators Application to a Dust Storm and Experimental Design
  • 8. Methodology 8 1. Formulation of 3DVAR aerosol data assimilation 𝐽 𝑥 = 1 2 𝑥 − 𝑥𝑏 𝑇 𝐵−1 𝑥 − 𝑥𝑏 + 1 2 𝐻 𝑥 − 𝑦 𝑇 𝑅−1 [𝐻 𝑥 − 𝑦] which measures the weighted distance of the model state x to the model “background” 𝑥𝑏 and the observations y. In our case for aerosol data assimilation: x are 14 aerosol species mass concentration in 3D space. 𝑥𝑏 the “background” of x, short-term forecast from WRF/Chem. y can be any aerosol-related observations (in our case, MODIS AOD and surface PM10). H is “observation operator”, which transforms the model state to observation space. The background error covariance B and observation error covariance R.
  • 9. Methodology 9 2. Aerosol analysis variables and the background error covariance statistics ➢ “NMC” (National Meteorological Center) method was used to compute aerosol background error covariance (B) statistics using WRF-Chem model forecasts. ➢ For implementation of AOD DA, the 3-D mass concentrations of the 14 WRF/Chem GOCART aerosol species within the entire domain and at all model levels comprised the analysis variables in the GSI 3DVAR minimization procedure
  • 10. Methodology 10 ➢ MODIS AOD: Use Community Radiative Transfer Model (CRTM) of Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation (JCSDA) as the observation operator 3. Observation Operators ➢ The CRTM-AOD module was incorporated into the Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) system
  • 11. Methodology 11  Experimental Design:  Application to a Dust Storm: A dust storm that started in Mongolia blasted Beijing on 20 March 2010. 4. Application to a Dust Storm and Experimental Design ➢ No data assimilation (continuous WRF-Chem forecast) ➢ AOD data assimilation
  • 12. 12 Results: Comparison to AERONET AOD Figure 2: AERONET sites in (a) Nanjing, (b) Jhongli city of Taiwan, (c) Dongsha Island, (d) Hong Kong, (e) Ubon Ratchathani, and (f) Bangkok. Model output is hourly. - Red line denotes the AERONET observations - Blue line denotes the DA experiments - Green line denotes the NoDA experiments.
  • 13. 13 Results: Comparison to AERONET AOD Figure 3: Model 550 nm AOD forecasts from (a, d) the NoDA experiment and (b, e) the DA experiment overlaid with CALIPSO path, and (c, f) 532 nm AOD values along the CALIPSO path from CALIOP observations (red) and 550 nm model AOD output from DA (blue) and NoDA (green) experiment. Figures 11a–11c are valid around 17:00 UTC 19 March and Figures 11d–11f around 20:00 UTC 20 March. CALIPSO AOD
  • 14. Results: Comparison to Surface PM10 14
  • 15. Conclusions 15 ➢ The GSI 3DVAR DA system was expanded to assimilate MODIS AOD observations using 3-D mass concentrations. ➢ Promising results for both dust storm and general air-quality applications. ➢ Simultaneous assimilation of surface PM10 and MODIS AOD produced better analysis and forecast of PM10 and AOD. ➢ One-step 3DVAR method of assimilation MODIS AOD permits concentrations of individual aerosol species.
  • 16. My thought and Future work 16 ➢ This method brought better effect than some previous studies, but the further investigation is needed to more effectively use available aerosol-related observations. Therefore, developing a more advanced method considering the forecast bias is desired. ➢Doing research about Assimilate Multi AOD products and aerosol related observations to build aerosol simulation model.
  • 17. References 17 Liu, Zhiquan, et al. "Three‐dimensional variational assimilation of MODIS aerosol optical depth: Implementation and application to a dust storm over East Asia." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 116.D23 (2011).
  • 19. Results 19 Fig 5: Scatter plots of observed concentrations of OC (a), NO3 (b), SO4 (c) and NH4 (d) versus simulated concentrations during 01:30 to 02:30 PDT initialisations.
  • 20. Results 20 - The first step: Analyzed from aerosol observations - The second step: Partitioned using a postprocessing procedure into 3-D mass concentrations of different aerosol species, making assumptions regarding vertical distribution and relative ratio of individual species’ mass to total aerosol mass. The newly developed 3DVAR aerosol DA system uses individual aerosol species of the WRF/Chem built-in GOCART module as “control variables.” Therefore, 3-D mass concentrations of the aerosol species are analyzed in a one-step minimization procedure, obviating the need for a second-step postprocessing required by previous studies.

Editor's Notes

  1. This is my outline
  2. Let begin introduction: - It is very important to monitor the distribution of atmospheric aerosol. Because it can provide more understanding how aerosol impact regional air quality and human health. - There are a lot of uncertainties in numerical modeling and prediction of aerosol. DA can offer a mean to reduce uncertainties of the model in the aerosol field. - The main objective of this study is to develop a new algorithm for AOD data assimilation. Therefore 3-D mass concentration of aerosol can analyze in one-step minimization procedure. - This is the first attempt to use individual aerosol species as analysis variables in a truly 3DVAR DA system.
  3. - This figure show location of this study area. Small dot depict location where PM10 verification. Lager dot with letter indicates AERONET site used for AOD verification.
  4. Let move to the next part Method: - In this study, They used data AOD retrieval from MODIS, AERONET and CALIPSO. And then surface PM10 at 83 surface station across china.
  5. - They choose WRF-Chem to predict the transport of aerosol and gaseous chemical species in the limited area. - The GOCART aerosol module is available within the WRF-Chem model and produces forecast for 14 aerosol species.
  6. - Most of the previous studies of the aerosol data assimilation used a two-step process. In this paper, they develop a single-step aerosol DA capability within 3DVAR meteorological DA system. - This figure shows the workflows of method in this study, including four main parts.
  7. The first one is about Formulation of 3DVAR aerosol data assimilation. This is the equation of 3DVAR DA technique minimizes a cost function (Jx) that measures the distance of the state vector to the background and observations.
  8. The second part: +, There are 14 aerosol species which can be analyzed by the analysis variables in the GSI 3DVAR minimization procedure. +, They used the NMC method to calculate background error covariance by taking differences between forecast of lengths valid at common times
  9. The third part: Observation operators, The CRTM model was used in this part. It is used to computing satellite radiances. And they extended it to compute MODIS AOD using only aerosol profiles as input.
  10. The last is Application to a Dust Storm, that stared in Mongolia blasted Beijing on 20 march 2010. And they design two experiment: No Data assimilation and AOD data assimilation.
  11. - The first result when compare with AERONET AOD In this figure the Red line denotes the AERONET observations Blue line denotes the DA experiments Green line denotes NoDA experiments. +, We can see that In all sites and dates of the experiment, the green lines are far below red lines, but the blue lines much closer to AERONET observation. +, Start on the date 21, in Nanjing, Zhongli and Hong Kong have AOD values of DA experiment and AERONET observation are higher than other sites because of that storm’s effect. +, Especially in 21 at Nanjing and Ubon, The AOD values of DA experiment were similar with AOD values of AERONET observation. +, Beginning 22 of March, The decrease of AOD values in Dongsha Island was also well depicted in the DA experiment.
  12. Figure a,b,c shows CALIPSO AOD in 19 and figure d,e,f show CALIPSO AOD in 20. We can see, on both dates AOD values of DA experiment are higher than AOD values of No DA experiment. And in figure 3c-3f, the DA experiment agreed more with CALIPSO than the NoDA experiment.
  13. - The third result: Surface PM10 +, The average PM10 values from the DA experiment were closer to the observed values except for 19 March, when PM10 was grossly overestimated in the DA experiment. The reason for this overestimation is unclear and subject to future investigation. However, the DA experiment’s mean value on 21 March was similar to the observed mean and corresponded to the peak intensity of the dust storm. +, Similar to figure 4a, the figure 4b show that during the dust storm period AOD values of DA experiment produced standard deviation that were closer to the observation.
  14. Phương pháp 3DVAR mới sử dụng từng loại aerosol riêng biệt của WRF-Chem xây dựng trong module GOCART như biến điều khiển. Vì vậy độ hội tụ 3-D của từng loại aerosol được phân tích trong 1 thủ tục tối giản hóa trong một bước, loại bỏ sự cần thiết phải tiến hành hai bước bởi các nghiên cứu trước