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1. The Select Directional Model
Portfolio Manager
Composite Inception
As of Date
Total Net Assets
No. of Securities Held
Total Returns SD Model Benchmark
Since Inception 54.6% 62.9%
Year to Date 3.9% 7.7%
Risk
I Yr Portfolio Beta 0.61 1.00
Max Draw Down -10.62% -11.16%
August 31, 2016
Successful Portfolios LLC
Registered Investment Advisors
As investors grow fearful, they sell riskier assets, like stocks, and buy safe haven assets such as U.S. Treasuries and gold. As they grow more
confident, they seek higher returns by re-investing in stocks. We designed the Select Directional ETF Model (SD Model) with a simple premise,
buy the best performing assets and sell the laggards.
The SD Model begins with eleven strategically selected ETFs, each representing a distinct asset class. The SD Model’s objective ranking
system and rebalancing rules ensure the portfolio stays invested in only the three highest ranked ETFs. A white paper containing more
information regarding the SD Model is available at http://successfulportfolios.com.
Bradley E. Norbom, CFA
Net of Fees Total Return from Inception
10/1/2012
8/31/2016
$2,104,693
Return and Risk Measures
3
I Yr Daily Annualized
Volatility
0.83% 10.67%
Historical Sector Walk
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Oct
Dec
Feb
Apr
Jun
Aug
Oct
Dec
Feb
Apr
Jun
Aug
Oct
Dec
Feb
Apr
Jun
Aug
Oct
Dec
Feb
Apr
Jun
Aug
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Select Directional
Fifteen years of professional investment experience
Author of The Low Beta Model and The Select Directional ETF Model white papers
Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA)
Bachelor of Science in Finance from the University of South Florida in 1995
VFINX
Select Directional
611 Druid Road East, Suite 407
Clearwater, Florida 33756
http://successfulportfolios.com/
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug
2015 2016
Utilities
Technology
Precious Metals
Healthcare
Consumer Staples
Consumer Discretionary
2. Summary of Actual Monthly Returns (Net of Fees)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD
Select Directional -2.88% 0.87% 5.03% -2.85% -0.02% 7.12% 0.08% -3.03% 3.89%
VFINX Total Return -4.98% -0.16% 6.79% 0.37% 1.77% 0.23% 3.67% 0.15% 7.69%
Select Directional 0.09% 1.91% -1.39% -1.01% 2.38% -1.36% 3.45% -6.57% -2.54% 5.40% -0.56% -0.77% -1.50%
VFINX Total Return -3.02% 5.73% -1.57% 0.97% 1.27% -1.92% 2.08% -6.04% -2.49% 8.43% 0.29% -1.59% 1.30%
Select Directional -3.15% 5.37% -1.11% -0.20% 2.50% 0.78% -1.48% 3.12% -0.28% 2.38% 3.07% -0.59% 10.57%
VFINX Total Return -3.47% 4.56% 0.82% 0.72% 2.34% 2.04% -1.40% 3.99% -1.42% 2.42% 2.71% -0.26% 13.51%
Select Directional 6.93% 1.46% 4.73% 1.78% 2.32% -0.23% 6.17% -3.86% 3.73% 3.94% 4.10% 2.05% 38.00%
VFINX Total Return 5.16% 1.33% 3.74% 1.89% 2.33% -1.34% 5.08% -2.92% 3.14% 4.62% 2.99% 2.51% 32.15%
Select Directional -2.67% 0.84% 0.88% -1.00%
VFINX Total Return -1.87% 0.58% 0.89% -0.42%
Select Directional Universe
XLK - Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund 47$ 33.2% Technology
XLU - Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund 49$ 33.0% Utilities
GLD - SPDR Gold Trust 125$ 32.4% Precious Metals
XLB - Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund Materials
SHY - iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF 85$ Short Term Treasuries
XLP - Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR 54$ Consumer Staples
XLV - Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund 73$ Healthcare
XLE - Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund 69$ Energy
XLY - Consumer Discretionary Select Sector 81$ Consumer Discretionary
XLF - Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund 25$ Financial
XLI - Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund 59$ Industrials
Additional Information
Total Net Assets - Includes only the fee paying accounts invested in the SD Model.
1 Yr Portfolio Beta - Calculated from daily returns using the Excel formula =Slope(y,x).
I Yr Daily Annualized Volatility - Calculated as the standard deviation sample of the 252 most recent daily returns.
A cash balance is included when calculating Total Returns. The SD Model's cash balance is typically 1% of the portfolio.
Benchmark - Total Return of the Vanguard 500 Index Investor Fund (VFINX), an investable proxy for the S&P 500 Index.
Recent Price - The closing price for a stock as of the date of the report and retrieved from Interactive Brokers.
Max Draw Down - The greatest percent change from peak to trough.
Performance is expressed in US Dollars.
Firm Definition
Successful Portfolios LLC is an independent Registered Investment Advisor formed in February 2010.
Successful Portfolios LLC has no affiliations with any other investment advisors. For further information regarding our firm,
fee structure, and our qualifications, please visit successfulportfolios.com.
Successful Portfolios LLC claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®).
Composite Definition and Description
The Select Directional (SD) Model Composite is a carve-out composite. A carve-out represents a specific strategy within a portfolio
with a broader strategic investment mandate. The total return calculation for the SD Model Composite is net of fees and includes
a cash position, usually about 1%. The SDM is a rotational ETF strategy that rebalances monthly to the top 3 price performing ETFs
in a universe consisting of all 9 Select Sector Spyder ETFs, the SPDR Gold Shares ETF, and the iShares Short Term Treasuries ETF.
A white paper with more information regarding the SDM is available at http://successfulportfolios.com. A list of all composites with
descriptions is available upon request.
Risks
Past returns or simulated results are not indicative of future performance. While we took steps to mitigate hindsight bias
when developing the SD Model, simulated performance was nonetheless performed on historical data. We believe the data
provided by Portfolio 123 to be accurate; however, we can make no guarantee of past or future data reliability.
The portfolio manager, in his sole discretion, may override model investment decisions when he deems it to be in the
best interest of the client.
20162015201420132012
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