some notes about a couple current trends and some that seem to be coming, thoughts on how they might influence civil society in relation to the overall economy and I am curious for your thoughts - this is a conversation starter...

1. Sektor 3.0

2. A few of my favorite things…
Some bits of now and later shaping society, technology and civil society…
• Social Media
• Mobile
• BOP Design
• Demographics
• 3DPrinting

3. Social Media
Let’s start with an easy one…
8.26 million users in Poland vs 38 million population
1.17 million joined in the last 6 months
SO WHAT? What does it mean for civil society?
3

4. Example: Restart Challenges in RO
• 2 topics
• 800 ideas generated
• 250+ ideas entered
• 8,000 unique profiles created
• more than 150k unique visits, more than 1.3 million hits
• 2,400+ hours of IT volunteerism
• 14 websites
• Mass democratic dialog and citizen engagement
• Interesting leaders
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5. 5

6. What’s important in social media …
• Democratization of dialog
• Seeding Grass-roots
• Aggregation potential
• Ability to challenge ‘democracy’
The death of Authority … we need not apply

7. A few of my favorite things…
• Social Media
• Mobile
• BOP Design
• Demographics
• 3DPrinting

8. Mobile…
Smart phones:
democratize computing as social media democratizes dialog
Today the revolution is in services,
• Farmers
• Bankers
• Mobile medical
Tomorrow?

9. Mobile ahead…
1) The App Revolution
Problem
Campaign
Behavior Change

10. Mobile ahead…
2) Data

11. A few of my favorite things…
Some bits shaping society, technology and civil society…
• Social Media
• Mobile
• BOP Design
• Demographics
• 3DPrinting

12. These go together because their
interaction may change everything…
Definitions:
• BOP Design: Business services or processes for
people living at/below their country’s poverty level.
• 3D printing: Additive technology
• Demographics: population stuff…

13. Base of Pyramid/Bottom of the Pyramid
Serving the Un-served: a Social Market
Examples:
- Banking, Farming, etc…
A couple stats:
2.6 billion under $3k/year = $7 trillion
1.4 billion at $3k - $20k = $18.5 trillion
= $25.5 trillion

14. That’s a decent amount of zloty…
By market segment:
• $100 billion ICT market ($10B in E. Europe)
• $300 billion Health
• $900 billion energy market

15. Yeah, but we are in Europe…
The BOP market in Eastern Europe is estimated
at nearly $700 billion per year.
= 64% of the people
= 36% of total income generated…
It is our market, we know it better than anyone
and it is in flux…

16. BOP Demographics

17. Population Growth… it took:
250,000 years to hit 1 billion people
1 century to hit 2 billion (1927)
32 years to hit 3 billion…
44 years to double that…
Now 12 years/B babies…
.. 9.3 Billion by 2050…

18. Insert Malthusian Scream…
OMG.
That’s bad right?

19. Eh. Maybe.
Growth does not necessarily = BAD
– Violence is not increasing
– Pollution is not increasing

20. Eh. Maybe.
We do need to get smarter about:
– Food
– Population bubbles
– Having more babies…

21. Go back a bit
More babies?
FYI : Fewer babies are the future…
Growth of mankind peaked in 1960 at 2%.
It is now 1% and dropping.
Much of the world is already shrinking…

22. My favorite question… So WHAT?
So what if there are fewer babies?
So what if we peak at 10 Billion people and
start shrinking?

23. What happens then?
• Income goes up rapidly…
• Premium on services for the elderly
• Need for Adaptive Technology
• Healthcare keeps on growing
• Education changes
• Migration changes
• Change in consumer patterns
• … a lot changes …

24. Demographics, Us, and Technology?
Today we talk about:
…youth, over-consumption, environmental
degradation, politics, engagement, fighting
the ghosts of communism, health care,
capitalism …
No idea how this is going to hit us but the
ability of new tech to listen and gather data
will keep us in the game.

25. BOP
3DPrinting Demographics

26. Additive Tech…
3D printing will change mankind the way the
factory changed us during the industrial revolution.
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27. What’s being printed?
Everything:
• Cars,
• Organs,
• Machines,
• Tools,
• Prosthetics…
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28. Changes
• Consumerism
• Movement
• Consumption
We are just beginning to ride this wave…

29. Recap
• Population goes down
• Income goes up
• Consumerism changes
Market economics if flipped on head…
What about our models?

30. Put it all together and…
Mobile
Expectation
Social
Civil
Society
3D Power Comms
Printing
Techno –
Interaction Models ?
democracy

31. Put it all together and…
We have a lot of learning, thinking and
decentralizing of our own to do.
Hope: we can listen and engage better than
ever, we can influence behavior based on
people’s own willingness to change, we will
have more resources to do it with, we need
partners…

32. Start with social
Get mobile
And think about the rest…
GET GOING

33. Thank you.
Contact:
Chris Worman
Director Communications and Special Projects, Europe
chris@techsoup.ro