The document discusses scenario planning and how to increase options. It introduces a control/certainty matrix to analyze different scenarios based on what is known and unknown. The key points are: 1) Scenario planning considers different possibilities rather than predicting the future, in order to identify options and make decisions. 2) Choosing options is different than making predictions - a scenario outlines what could happen, not what will. 3) Exercising the best option leads to success, which comes from considering different scenarios, not necessarily getting what you want.