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The Report
on Intellectual
Capital of Poland
Authors of the Report:
The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland was commissioned by the Board of Strategic Advisers               Anna Blumsztajn
to the Prime Minister and prepared in cooperation with this team.                                              Pawe³ Bochniarz
                                                                                                               Ma³gorzata D¹browska
Board of Strategic Advisers is an advisory and consultative body to                                            Szczepan Figiel
                                                      th
the Prime Minister of Poland. It was established on 6 March 2008, according                                    Tomasz Kardacz
to the Prime Minister's regulation. The Board, headed by Micha³ Boni, Ph.D.,                                   Katarzyna Królak-Wyszyñska
Secretary of State in the Chancellery of the Prime Minister, prepares analyses                                 Robert Mazelanik
and assessments of the socio-economic situation of the country and participates                                Hanna Nowakowaska
in developing strategic plans of the government.                                                               Teresa Ogrodziñska
It also provides suggestions of goals and objectives for the strategy of economic                              Monika Roœciszewska-WoŸniak
and social development of the country.                                                                         Ma³gorzata Rószkiewicz
                                                                                                               Tomasz Rudolf
More information on members of the Board of Strategic Advisers to the Prime                                    Krzysztof Rybiñski
Minister and other authors of the report is available at:                                                      Andrzej Siemaszko
                                                                                                               Tomasz Schimanek
                                                                                                               Adam Turowiec
                                                                                                               Dorota Wêziak-Bia³owolska
                                                                                                               Andrzej Wodecki


                                                                                                   Editing:


                                                                                                   Design:



                                                                                                   Printing:
19 years ago Poland embarked upon a systemic transformation and laborious process of narrowing the gap separating
it from the world's most developed countries and leaders in the global economy. Those years may be perceived through
the turbulent political history, but also through the huge effort of Polish entrepreneurs developing market economy
and competitive exports, and through the diligence of Polish employees working at least 20% above the statutory
working time norms, and constantly raising their efficiency. Those years have also been the time of young Poles'
and their families' investments in higher education, due to which Poland is currently sixth in the world as far as
the number of students per 10,000 inhabitants is concerned.
We have had our successes and achievements, but we have also suffered a number of failures.
We have our strengths and weaknesses, but we are also aware of threats and opportunities. The goal of the Board
of Strategic Advisers, appointed by Prime Minister Donald Tusk, is to create a long-term vision of Poland's development,
as well as of new competitive advantages responding to the challenges of the first half of the 21st century.
We are convinced that it is future-oriented thinking, rather than focus on the present, that determines the standards
of political responsibility in the contemporary world. We believe that this is the only way to prosperity and, let us not
be ashamed to use this word, to the social well-being, where financial aspects of life conditions improvement converge
with the social ones and with the sphere of values.
One of the first initiatives of the Team was undertaking an effort to draw up the Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland.
External experts in various fields were invited to cooperation in the preparation of the project, with the hope that their
enthusiasm and competence would contribute to the compilation of a document which would initiate a wide public
debate. A debate that would focus on how to develop Poland's potential for its future progress, based on knowledge
economy and on the values crucial to triggering the energy of entrepreneurship and creativity.
A fundamental problem to a number of countries, including Poland, in the upcoming years will be presented by demographic
challenges. For this reason, we decided to set the description of Poland's intellectual capital in a generational perspective,
recognizing the importance of harmony and solidarity between generations.
By presenting this report, we intend to initiate a debate beyond current political disputes. The aim of the diagnosis
proposed in the report is not to lay blame, but to define problems to be solved commonly by Polish people.
The challenges identified in this report must be met without delay, as time is working to our disadvantage.
The transforming world will not wait.

Let us not waste our time and opportunities          Micha³ Boni, Ph.D.
Warsaw, 10th July, 2008                              Head of the Board of Strategic Advisers to the Prime Minister of Poland


                                                                                                The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
The report comprises three parts:

                                                                                                    - Summary, explaining the reasons for drawing up the report,

About the report                                                                                    and defining basic terminology as well as the method applied
                                                                                                    to assess the intellectual capital of Poland;

                                                                                                    - Diagnosis, identifying the key challenges related to
At the beginning of the year 2008, when the Board of Strategic Advisers to                          the development of the intellectual capital of Poland;
the Prime Minister was appointed, I was invited by the founder and head
of the team, Minister Micha³ Boni, to coordinate work on the Report                                 - Recommendations, proposing seven priority measures
on Intellectual Capital of Poland.This initiative was intended to call                              that must be taken in order to meet the challenges facing Poland.
the attention of politicians, the media and opinion leaders to the role
and importance of the quality and level of intellectual capital in
the long-term development of Poland.                                                                As the coordinator of this project, I would like to thank all those whose
The present report, which was drawn up in conclusion of the project, is in character of             knowledge, experience and commitment enabled us to draw up this report
a so-called 'green paper' (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_paper), which means that              within just four months.
it is aimed not at giving solutions, but instead, at initiating a public debate. A debate devoted
to the future development of Poland as a modern knowledge-based economy.
Although relevant government representatives were consulted about certain issues                    I would like to give special thanks to Prof Ma³gorzata Rószkiewicz
in the course of preparing the report, it is not a government document. It is an expert             from the Institute of Statistics and Demography of the Warsaw
report that provides inspiration for the Polish government when planning                            School of Economics, to Mr Ludwik Sobolewski, President
their policies.
                                                                                                    of the Management Board of the Warsaw Stock Exchange,
The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland was compiled by experts from the Board                 and to Mr Janusz Witkowski, President of the Central Statistical
of Strategic Advisers and a group of external experts.                                              Office, for their assistance, which was essential to the success
                                                                                                    of this project.



                                                                                                    Pawe³ Bochniarz,
                                                                                                    Prime Minister's Strategic Advisers Group,
                                                                                                    Coordinator of the Project on the Intellectual Capital of Poland.
Table of Contents
   Table of Contents


 Summary                               5

 Diagnosis                           27
  Young children                     28
  Pupils                             50
  Students                           71
  Adults                             88
  Senior citizens                   121

 Recommendations                    137




                       The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
Summary




          The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
Cooperation with the Institute of Statistics and Demography
THE INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL OF POLAND is the total of intangible assets                             of the Warsaw School of Economics resulted in developing
of people, enterprises, communities, regions, and institutions, which, properly                  a measurement model that allows to benchmark the intellectual
utilized, may become the source of the present and future well-being of Poland.                  capital of Poland and other EU Member States. The adopted
Both the economic theory and the experience of other countries indicate that the role            method involves presenting intellectual capital in a generational
of intellectual capital is fundamental to sustainable development of a country.                  perspective, which enables assessment of the future potential
Certain countries, comparable in respect of their natural resources, geographical position       of Poland's development with regard to the individual age
and financial condition, may differ significantly in terms of their successfulness, like Chile   brackets. The estimation of the intellectual capital value of
and Argentine, or Spain and Italy.                                                               each generation in selected countries has been standardized
The difference between these countries lies in the ability to develop intellectual capital,      and presented as percentage (from 0 to 100%). All indexes
which manifests in long-term thinking, readiness to learn, trust in market mechanisms            have been calculated as a result of statistical analysis covering
and receptiveness to global competition, but also in efficient government of the country.        from several to several dozen indicators.
Whether Poland will manage to find the proper response to its key challenges like                Altogether, the measurement model applied in the Report
demographic regression, increasing costs and worsening accessibility of traditional sources      on Intellectual Capital of Poland comprises 117 indicators.
of energy, or constantly accelerating pace of technological progress, depends on its ability
to utilize the intellectual capital of the Poles.                                                Index of the intellectual capital of Poland in respect of individual
                                                                                                 generations places Poland among 16 European countries surveyed:
Intellectual capital consists of the following components:
                                                                                                   13th as regards young children and pupils;
Human capital: the total potential of all Polish people embodied in their education,               13th as regards students;
life experience, attitudes and skills, which can be used towards increasing the present            14th as regards adults;
and future well-being of Polish people.                                                            16th as regards senior citizens.

Structural capital: the total potential of tangible infrastructure elements of the national      This indicates that the distance separating Poland from
system of education and innovation, i.e. scientific and educational institutions, research       developed European countries in terms of intellectual
centres, IT infrastructure, and intellectual property.                                           capital is still considerable. Until recently, the relatively
                                                                                                 low level of intellectual capital did not hinder economic
Social capital: the overall potential of the Polish society in the form of its social norms      development in Poland, since the country's competitiveness
of conduct, trust and involvement, which support cooperation and knowledge sharing,              was based on other advantages, such as low labour costs,
and thus, contribute to the improvement of the well-being of Polish people.                      a relatively big market, or its location in the centre of Europe.
                                                                                                 However, maintaining the current pace of development
Relationship capital: the potential related to the external image of Poland, to the level        in the upcoming decades will not be possible unless
of its integration with the global economy, and to its attractiveness to foreign 'clients':      intellectual capital, which is the foundation of
commercial partners, investors, tourists etc.                                                    any knowledge-based economy, is strengthened.


                                                                                          6
Nonetheless, Poland must do its utmost to create the optimal conditions                                       What is of top priority among the numerous challenges facing
for utilizing the capital of knowledge, energy, and entrepreneurship of Polish                                Poland is further investment in its human capital, which is key
people. It is absolutely crucial for Poland to promptly become a business-friendly                            to the development of the country.
environment. Otherwise, the human capital, i.e. the best students, workers, scientists and                    It is essential that pro-family policies encourage people to have children
entrepreneurs, will move abroad to countries offering better conditions to run operations.                    and ensure equal access to various forms of pre-school education, that
A simplified legal system, competitive and open markets, a transparent tax system,                            the quality of teaching in
and mechanisms stimulating creative cooperation of science, business and culture, may                         schools be increased, and that Polish institutions of higher education
turn Poland into an ideal location for innovative enterprises generating considerable added                   produce graduates whose qualifications are more relevant to the needs
value.                                                                                                        of the labour market. Finally, the ageing society brings new challenges,
                                                                                                              but also new opportunities related to the intellectual capital embodied
                                                                                                              in the senior generation.



                                                                                                                                                                            7
          More complex                 Increasing             Focusing the system            Activating           Ensuring synergy              Increasing               Regular
          and efficient                the quality               of education              senior citizens       of science, business           the quality          measurement of
          family policy               of education               on the needs                                        and culture.         of legal operations,         intellectual
                                                                 of the labour                                   Creating vacancies            procedures           capital indicators
                                                                     market                                            with high           and infrastructure
                                                                                                                     added value               for business


                                                                                                                             Enabling the utilization of human capital
                                  Ensuring high quality of human capital                                               as a source of the country's competitive advantage,
                                                                                                                                      growth and well-being


                                     Building social capital of Poles: increasing trust in interpersonal relations and in citizen-state relations,
                                                                               activating social activity.

           Initiatives related to activating and developing the potential embodied in Polish people should be joined with the use of social capital.The state can stimulate the process
           of increasing social capital by improving the credibility of its institutions and by promoting appropriate norms of conduct in mutual relations.


                                                                                              7                                                                  The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
The success of developing the intellectual capital of Poland will require a great deal               Nevertheless, such a negative scenario does not have to come true.
of effort aimed at changing the traditional attitude to the implementation of key reforms.           There is yet another possible scenario, in which Poland becomes
                                                                                                     one of the most dynamic economies in the EU. This scenario
The above-mentioned changes should manifest in:                                                      predicts that thanks to an extensive network of modern nurseries
                                                                                                     and kindergartens Polish children receive quality education from
  greater use of teamwork performed beyond government departments and coordinated by                 the very beginning of their educational path, and Polish families are
  the Prime Minister;                                                                                able to afford having more children and perfectly manage
                                                                                                     to reconcile their family life and professional careers. Professional
  wider scope of consultations, with the participation of representatives of the media,              activity of women and senior citizens is the highest in Europe, which
  NGOs, and parliamentary opposition;                                                                results in growing tax revenues to the treasury and,
                                                                                                     consequently, in increased public investments in infrastructure and
  engaging highly qualified and well prepared project managers to be operationally                   intellectual capital. There is no room for boredom, local
  responsible for the implementation of reform projects                                              communities are vibrant with life, nobody is left
                                                                                                     stranded. Several Polish universities make their way to the top
What is also essential is a shift from short-term to long term government                            100 universities in the world, and they become the first choice
policies, which should be accompanied by due regard to improving the quality                         universities for students from all over the world. Many of them
of political debate and focusing it on issues of genuine importance to the country                   take up their permanent residence in Poland, attracted by well-paid
                                                                                                     jobs for highly qualified and well educated professionals.
The experience of other countries teaches us that even twenty years of relatively                    Polish economy stimulates numerous innovations which are
dynamic economic growth is insufficient to bridge the gap separating a country                       afterwards implemented in other countries on all continents.
from the developed world. Unless the right decisions are taken at this moment,                       The choice of the scenario belongs to Polish people. The optimistic
the pace of Poland's development will decelerate, and the distance to more                           one will become realistic provided that challenging reforms in such
developed countries will stop shortening.                                                            areas as social transfers, taxes, economic regulations, or public sector
Given the intention to initiate a debate on the intellectual capital of Poland, this report has      operations, including health service, education and science, are
been made available online, with the possibility to add remarks and comments related to its          introduced successively without delay. One should be prepared for
individual parts.                                                                                    resistance on the part of strong groups of interest, and should be
You are welcome to take this opportunity at http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip                      aware that the results of the reforms will be visible not sooner than
                                                                                                     in 5-15 years.
If the Polish lack courage, determination and readiness to work in the interest of Poland
regardless of political divisions, history books of the third decade of the 21st century will cite
                                                                                                     Nevertheless, such reforms are indispensable if Poland's success is
the example of Poland as a warning of possible consequences of failure to invest in
                                                                                                     to become more than just wishful thinking.
the intellectual capital of a country. Poland may become one of the poorest countries of
the European Union, which allows the most talented individuals to emigrate and the most
prosperous businesses to move to countries with lower taxes.


                                                                                         8
Poland failed to develop as                                                                                                                            The rate of the long-term economic growth in Poland
                                                                                                                                                       does not exceed 4.3%, which is by far less than in other
dynamically as it should have                                                                                                                          countries in the region. Moreover, it is not certain

in the past decade                                                                                                                                     whether this pace will be maintained in the nearest
                                                                                                                                                       years.


                                                                              Poland has advanced towards Europe less
                                                                           significantly than other countries in the region
GDP per capita compared to the EU25 average in 2007




                                                                                                                                                       A proverb says that failure is an inherent part of each success.
                                                                                                                                                       Undoubtedly, a lot has changed for better in Poland for the last
                                                      90                                                                         Slovenia
                                                                                                                Czech Republic                         20 years: the society is more prosperous, people are better
                                                      80                                                                                               educated and more open-minded. What the Poles cannot afford
                                                      70
                                                                                        Estonia                                                        at the moment is to rest on laurels. Even a draft comparison of
                                                                                                     Slovakia
                                                                          Latvia    Lithuania        Hungary                                           the pace of economic development in Poland and other countries
                                                      60
                                                                                                                                                       from the former communist block demonstrates that Poland is
                                                      50                                                                                               failing to make the best use of its potential, and is not developing
                                                                Romania                    Poland                                                      as quickly as other countries in the region, e.g. Slovakia, Estonia,
                                                      40
                                                                                                                                                       or Lithuania.
                                                      30

                                                      20
                                                           20        30            40           50         60       70           80         90   100

                                                                     The length of the arrow illustrates by how much the distance separating
                                                                          each of the countries from the EU average has been shortened.
                                                                      GDP per capita as compared to the EU25 average for the year 2007.




                                                                                                                                                   9                                                   The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
Poland is not doomed to success
The experience of other countries teaches us that even twenty years of relatively dynamic            Poland is currently facing similar dilemmas. It is compelled
economic growth is insufficient to bridge the gap separating a country from the developed            to launch subsequent challenging reforms in such areas as
world. Unless the right decisions are taken at this moment, the pace of Poland's development         social transfers, taxes, business regulations, and the overall
will decelerate, and the distance to more developed countries will stop shortening.                  performance of the public sector including health service,
                                                                                                     education, and science.
Greece, Portugal and Italy are examples of countries which, after two decades of rapid growth,
experienced a decrease in the pace of development, and, as a result, have not yet reached            One should be prepared for resistance on the part of strong
complete convergence with richer EU countries in terms of well-being.                                groups of interest, and should be aware that the results of
                                                                                                     the reforms will be visible not sooner than in 5-15 years.
The countries that have achieved a spectacular economic success, such as Ireland, South Korea,
or Taiwan, have also managed to maintain their growth rate for 30 to 40 years at the minimum.        Nevertheless, such reforms are indispensable if Poland's
                                                                                                     success is to become more than just wishful thinking.
A distinctive feature of this group of countries in the overall profile is the exceptional ability
of their governments to employ long-term thinking and to give priority to measures aimed             What is also essential is a shift from short-term to long
at achieving strategic objectives over short-term operations.                                        term government policies, which should be accompanied
                                                                                                     by due regard to improving the quality of political debate
                                                                                                     and focusing it on issues of genuine importance to
                                                                                                     the country.




                                                                                          10
Key importance of intellectual
          capital to economic development
          Both the economic theory and the experience of other countries indicate that the role                                                                                     Interestingly, the first recorded use of the term 'intellectual
          of intellectual capital is fundamental to sustainable development of a country.                                                                                           capital' comes from the correspondence between two
          Certain countries, comparable in respect of their natural resources, geographical                                                                                         outstanding economists of the 20th century, John Kenneth
          position and financial condition, may differ significantly in terms of their successfulness,                                                                              Galbraith and Micha³ Kalecki from 1969. Galbraith wrote
          like Chile and Argentine, or Spain and Italy.                                                                                                                             in a letter to Prof Kalecki the following words:
                                                                                                                                                                                    “I wonder if you realizm how much those of us in the world
          The difference between these countries lies in the ability to develop intellectual capital,                                                                               around hale owed to the intellectual capital you have provided
          which manifests in long-term thinking, readiness to learn, trust in market mechanisms and                                                                                 over these past decades”2.
          receptiveness to global competition, but also in efficient government of the country.
                                                                                                                                                                                    The definition of intellectual capital was formulated by
                                                                                                                                                                                    Prof Leif Edvinsson, who often refers to it as 'the ability
                                                                                                                                                                                    to generate future income'.
          What does the term 'the intellectual capital of Poland' refer to?
                                                                                                                                                                                    Listen to the statement by Prof Edvinsson recorded
          THE INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL OF POLAND is the total of intangible                                                                                                             specially for the purposes of this report, in which he
          assets of people, enterprises, communities, regions, and institutions, which, properly
                                                                                                                                                                                    defines intellectual capital and explains its significance, at:
          utilized, may become the source of the present and future well-being
          of Poland.1                                                                                                                                                               http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=9




Source:    ¹ Literature on the subject does not offer one generally accepted definition of intellectual capital. The one accepted by the authors of this report is close to the definitions formulated by Malhotra and Bontis:
             Intellectual capital is the 'hidden assets' of a state/a nation which are the basis of its economic potential growth, its well-being, and its position in the world (Malhotra, 2000).
             Intellectual capital comprises the 'hidden properties' of people, enterprises, communities, regions, and institutions which are the source of the present and future well-being (Bontis, 2004).
           ² A. Serenko, N.Bontis (eds.), “Meta-Review of Knowledge Management and Intellectual Capital Literature …” (MacMaster University, 2004).



                                                                                                                                                          11                                                                          The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
Poland does not exist in a vacuum
Poland is not a country that functions in a vacuum. A complex network of economic, political,   Therefore, it is important to have a closer look
social and cultural relations makes us a part of the world's social and economic ecosystem.     at the key challenges in a worldwide perspective
                                                                                                and their implications for the development strategy
Important events and global trends have and will have an impact on the pace of the country's    of Poland as the economy based on intellectual
development, and for this reason Poland must observe them and consider their implications       capital.
for Poland.
                                                                                                The most important of them are as follows:
The 1998 crisis in Russia, the attacks of 11th September 2001, the epidemic of SARS,
or the most recent crisis in the US mortgage market are examples of events that                    ageing population of European countries and
influenced Poland, although they took place in distant countries.                                  the increasing flow of immigrants from Africa
                                                                                                   and Asia;


                                                                                                   demographic regression in Poland;


                                                                                                   rising costs and deteriorating accessibility
                                                                                                   of traditional sources of energy;


                                                                                                   increasing role of China and India in
                                                                                                   the global economy;


                                                                                                   knowledge becoming outdated, and the increasing
                                                                                                   pace of technological progress.



                                                                                       12
Ageing Europe, and the flow                                                                                                       Percentage of Population Aged 65+

          of immigrants from Asia and Africa                                                                    Year
                                                                                                                Worldwide
                                                                                                                                         1950
                                                                                                                                          5,2
                                                                                                                                                          2005
                                                                                                                                                           8,1
                                                                                                                                                                          2050
                                                                                                                                                                           16,2
                                                                                                                Africa                    3,3              3,4              6,9
                                                                                                                East Asia                 4,4              8,8             24,8
          Over the next 20-30 years every city in Europe, i.e. in Poland as well, may expect an increase
                                                                                                                South and Central Asia    3,7              4,7             13,5
          in the number of immigrants.                                                                          South East Asia           3,8              5,4             17,6
                                                                                                                Eastern Europe            6,5             14,3             26,6
                                                                                                                Poland                   5,2             13,3             31,2
                                                                                                                Western Europe           10,2             17,2             27,7
                                                                                                                Latin America             3,5              6,3             18,5
                                                                                                                South America             3,4             6,4              18,5
          Source: The cover of the World Bank's                                                                 North America             8,2             12,3             21,5
                  report on migrations
                                                                                                                                                Average Age of the Population
                   This is how a pedestrian crossing
                   in a Polish city in the year 2030                                                            Year                     1950             2005            2050
                   may look like.                                                                               Worldwide                23,9             28,0            38,1
                                                                                                                Africa                   19,1             19,0             28,0
                                                                                                                East Asia                23,5             33,4             45,9
                                                                                                                South and Central Asia   21,2             23,2             37,2
                                                                                                                South East Asia          20,6             26,0             40,2
          Poland needs immigrants due to a dramatic decrease in population, quickly ageing                      Eastern Europe           26,4             37,5             48,1
          society and workforce shortages in certain professions.                                               Poland                   25,8            36,8             52,4
          If immigrants work, pay taxes, and become part of the Polish society, the Polish                      Western Europe           34,6             40,5             46,7
          economy will only profit from that. However, if a proper immigration and integration                  Latin America            20,0             26,0             40,1
          policy is not implemented, Poland will face the risk of emergence of ghettos for                      South America            20,4             26,5             40,0
          immigrants from poorer countries, as well as of an increase in unemployment rate                      North America            29,8             36,3             41,5
          and social welfare expenditures.

Source:   UN, “World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision” [http://esa.un.org/unpp/index.asp?panel=2]




                                                                                                           13                                     The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
Poland is in danger of secondary                                                                                                        If the unfavourable demographic processes continue, Poland
                                                                                                                                                  will face the risk of public financing system collapse and inability
          demographic regression                                                                                                                  to provide welfare benefits for the senior generation. The 'social
                                                                                                                                                  welfare states' are threatened with bankruptcy.
                                                                                                                                                  The secondary demographic regression crisis may be avoided
          Secondary demographic regression entails exposure to the collapse
                                                                                                                                                  by way of stimulating the activity of senior citizens in the labour
          of economic growth and of the public financing system in Poland
                                                                                                                                                  market and by extending the period of professional activity.
          in a long-term perspective.
                                                                                                                                                               Change in the demographic structure of the population of Poland
                                                                                                                                                              as broken down into age group categories, in the years 2007-2030
                 If the current retirement age is maintained, the Polish population of productive                                               100%
                                                                                                                                                90%
                         age will have decreased by over 800 thousand by the year 2015.
                                                                                                                                                80%
                             Change in the population of Poland in the years 2007-2030                                                          70%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         65+
                                                                                                                                                60%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         45-59/64
                                                                         65+                                                                    50%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         18-44
                                                                                                                                                40%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         0-17
                                                                                                                                                30%

                                                               45-59/64                                                                         20%
                                                                                                                                                10%
                                                                                                                                                 0%
                                                                                                                                                                 2007                       2015                       2030
                                                                                                                                2030
                                                                                   18-44                                                                         2007 As early as           2015 The population        2030 The demographic
                                                                                                                                2015
                                                                                                                                                                 today the population       of children keeps          depression generations
                                                                                                                                                                 of children is by half     decreasing.                reach their adulthood.
                                                                                                                                                                 smaller than that          The percentage of          The senior population
                                                                                   0-17                                                                          of their parents.          retired population         doubles in number.
                                                                                                                                                                                            is rising.

                                                                                                                                                  The challenge to be faced by the Polish state is a shift from
                                                                                   Total
                                                                                                                                                  the passive policy of social transfers on behalf of senior citizens,
                   -1.500.000        -1.000.000          -500.000              0              500.000          1.000.000                          through an active policy taking advantage of the increasing
                                                                                                                                                  demand of the senior generation, to introducing new products
Source:    Population forecast for the years 2003-2030 based on the results of the 2002 Polish Census, Central Statistical Office (GUS).
                                                                                                                                                  and services and utilizing the intellectual capital of senior
                                                                                                                                                  citizens.

                                                                                                                                           14
Poland may have to face dramatic dilemmas, as, in the short run, it has
                                                                                                                                                                                 no alternative to coal-based energy, whose resources in Poland are
          Lack of a strategic attitude towards                                                                                                                                   substantial, and as 'clean coal' technologies are not yet accessible in
                                                                                                                                                                                 Poland on a commercial basis.
          investing in the Polish power
                                                                                                                                                                         A low level of intellectual capital manifests itself also in
          industry, combined with the                                                                                                                                     inability to develop strategic plans, which is likely to cause

          reductions of CO2 emissions,                                                                                                                                   inevitable energy deficiencies in Poland within a few years'
                                                                                                                                                                         time. Poland must overcome this weakness, otherwise it will

          has caused a significant                                                                                                                                       be constantly 'surprised' by events which might be foreseen
                                                                                                                                                                         if the strategic planning mechanisms were in place.

          barrier to our growth                                                                                                                                          It pays to learn from the experience of others. For example,
                                                                                                                                                                         in the Parliament of Finland a new committee was established
              Due to low prices of energy, investments in the Polish power industry has been marginal.                                                                   a few years ago. Its name is the Committee for a Constructive
              This may result in temporary problems with ensuring the continuity of energy supplies                                                                       Tomorrow, and its aim is to facilitate reflection and to conduct
              over the nearest 2 to 3 years, while the energy reserve in 2008 was de facto lower                                                                         debates on the strategic challenges facing Finland, such as
              throughout the year than what is required under the relevant energy security regulations.                                                                  the growing importance of Russia, the development
              Within 3 to 6 years' time Poland will be facing a permanent energy deficiency, which                                                                       of nanotechnology, or the ageing of the society.
              will be impossible to compensate with the country's limited import capacity.
                                                                                                                                                                         Listen to Paula Tiihonen, a Finnish MP, discussing the tasks
                                                                                                                                                                           of the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow here, at:
              Over 90% of the energy in Poland is generated from coal, which means that the country's
                                                                                                                                                                         http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=15
              CO2 emission per capita is higher than the EU average, although it uses as little as half
              of the EU energy consumption average.



Source:   "Najwa¿niejsze zagadnienia dotycz¹ce funkcjonowania sektora elektroenergetycznego w Polsce”, a report by presidents of the power industry companies (February 2008).




                                                                                                                                                 15                                                                          The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
% shares of China/India, OECD and

          Growing Importance of China                                                                                                         the rest of the world in global population and GDP

                                                                                                                                                            Share of world population
          and India in the Global Economy                                                                                                   1820


                                                                                                                                            1870
          Over the nearest few decades Chindia will significantly increase its share in the global GDP.
           It may once more account for half of the global production of goods and services, as at                                          1950
          the beginning of the 19th century. China is becoming a global competitor not only in
           the production of footwear, garments, computers, household appliances, and radio                                                 1973
          and television equipment. It is also strengthening its position in sectors requiring advanced
           knowledge and innovative approach.                                                                                               2001

                                                                                                                                                   0   10   20       30     40        50   60   70
                                                                                                                                                                                                     China + India
          The student population in China has exceeded 30 million, which is more than in the European                                                                                                Rest of World
                                                                                                                                                                 Share of world GDP
          Union and the United States put together.                                                                                                                                                  OECD
                                                                                                                                            1820
          China is the world's biggest exporter of computers and telecommunication equipment, while
          India is the world's capital of software outsourcing, earning over USD 12 billion yearly from                                     1870

          software production1.
                                                                                                                                            1950


          China and India are quickly developing their intellectual capital, viewing                                                        1973

          it as their chance for an evolutionary leap. Being aware of these trends,
                                                                                                                                            2001
          does Poland develop its relational capital with these two countries properly?
                                                                                                                                                   0   10   20       30     40        50   60   70

           1
Source:        European Commission, “Globalization: Trends, Issues, and Macro Implications for the EU”, Economic Papers, (EC, 2006).




                                                                                                                                       16
Knowledge becomes outdated                                                                   The number of patent applications submitted to the World Intellectual
                                                                                                   Property Organization increases significantly each year
                                                                                            180000

instantly, and technological                                                                160000
                                                                                                                    Number of patent

progress has reached a staggering                                                           140000

                                                                                            120000
                                                                                                                    applications


pace                                                                                        100000

                                                                                             80000

                                                                                             60000
A sharp increase in the number of patent applications indicates an accelerated pace
of technological progress in the 21st century.                                               40000

                                                                                             20000

Asian countries are fast in developing their knowledge-based economies; during four years        0
the number of patent applications tripled in China, and increased by 140% in South Korea.            1978    1982       1986        1990        1994      1998      2002         2006


                                                                                                                                 Number of patent           Growth dynamics of
                                                                                                                               applications submitted        number of patents
                                                                                                                               to the WIPO in 2007            (2003-2007, %)
There is a huge gap separating Eastern and Central Europe from the top
                                                                                                       USA                            52280                        27,4
ten leaders in the world's innovativeness, and Poland has been regressing                              Japan                          27731                        59,2
in recent years.                                                                                       Germany                        18134                        23,7
                                                                                                       South Korea                     7061                      139,4
Does the Polish system of education teach the right skills, such as creativity,                        France                          6370                        23,2
analytical thinking or teamwork, which are indispensable in the innovation                             Great Britain                   5553                        10,5
                                                                                                       China                           5456                      321,3
process?
                                                                                                       Netherlands                     4186                         -6,5
                                                                                                       Switzerland                     3674                        28,4
                                                                                                       Sweden                          3533                        35,3
                                                                                                       Hungary                          160                        40,4
                                                                                                       Czech Republic                   123                        48,2
                                                                                                       Poland                           102                       -33,8


                                                                                      17                                                            The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
Poland abounds in statistics presenting
     the past, or, what has been
     left behind.




18
How to show what is still
     ahead of us?
     How to present our potential
     for growth?




19                            The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
The Report on Intellectual           With this report Poland has joined a group of pioneer countries
                                     in measuring and describing national intellectual capital.
Capital of Poland is intended
to show growth potential             Before Poland, intellectual capital reports were issued
                                     among others in such countries as:
in Poland as compared to               Sweden (1999);

other EU countries                     Israel (2000);
                                       Taiwan (2003);
                                       Arabian Peninsula countries (on the UN initiative, 2004).


                                     The team responsible for compiling this report comprised
                                     over 21 members including Andrzej Wodecki, Tomasz Rudolf,
                                     Katarzyna Królak-Wyszyñska, Szczepan Figiel,
                                     Ma³gorzata D¹browska, Tomasz Kardacz, Tomasz Schimanek,
                                     Hanna Nowakowska, Anna Blumsztajn, Teresa Ogrodziñska,
                                     Miko³aj Herbst, Alek Tarkowski, Krzysztof Rybiñski,
                                     Eliza Durka, Pawe³ Kaczmarczyk, Mateusz Walewski,
                                     Maciej Duszczyk, Maciej Bukowski, Dorota Poznañska,
                                     Jakub Wojnarowski.


                                     Additionally, the report was enhanced by observations
                                     and suggestions of several dozen other people, representing
                                     institutions of public administration, science, education,
                                     health service, NGOs, and business.


                                20
In the course of creating the present report, a series of interactive workshops with over a
hundred participants were conducted. The workshops were intended to engage representatives
of government administration and NGOs in the debate on the key challenges related to
the intellectual capital of Poland.


A prototype of the report was presented at the fourth annual conference of the New Club
of Paris devoted to intellectual capital, held in Paris in May 2008.
That offered a chance to gather opinions on the Polish concept of the report from
the world's leading authorities on intellectual capital.




Listen to Prof Edvinsson comments at:
http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=10




                                                                                     21       The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
People with well developed human and relational capital tend to hold
                                                                                                 higher positions and earn more money than those who have low level
                                                                                                 of these kinds of capital. The following four components: human capital,
What are the components                                                                          relational capital, organizational capital (also termed 'structural'), and
                                                                                                 social capital constitute intellectual capital.
of intellectual capital?                                                                         It can be easily noticed that intellectual capital is not tantamount to
                                                                                                 intelligence as it is a much broader notion.


What is intellectual capital? Can it be measured on the level of a country, region, city, or                                  HUMAN CAPITAL:
                                                                                                                               the total potential of all Polish people embodied in their
company? Why is the growth of intellectual capital so essential for the future of Poland?                                      education, life experience, attitudes and skills, which can be used
Every one of us knows the right answers to these questions. Moreover, when making life             The four                    towards increasing the present and future well-being of Polish
                                                                                                                               people.
decisions, we are usually driven by the necessity of generating and developing intellectual        IC
                                                                                                                              STRUCTURAL CAPITAL:
capital or by the opportunities of using the already existing one. For example, when planning      components:                 the total potential of tangible infrastructure elements of
                                                                                                                               the national system of education and innovation, i.e. scientific
professional careers for our children, we often try to foresee what occupation will be best                                    and educational institutions, research centres, IT infrastructure,
for them, and what skills they will have to develop to succeed in the labour market. Our           INTELLECTUAL                and intellectual property.

decision is influenced by tradition, e.g. a child born in a family of lawyers, physicians, or      CAPITAL
                                                                                                                              SOCIAL CAPITAL:
scientists is more likely to follow the career path of his/her parents since they already know                                 the overall potential of the Polish society in the form of its social
                                                                                                                               norms of conduct, trust and involvement, which support
the environment and may assist the child in his/her future career. In other words, the parents                                 cooperation and knowledge sharing, and thus, contribute to
                                                                                                                               the improvement of the well-being of Polish people.
possess a firm relational capital (commonly and not quite adequately referred to as 'contacts'
or 'friends in high places'), which the child may benefit from. When we found a business, we                                  RELATIONAL CAPITAL:
                                                                                                                               the potential related to the external image of Poland, to the level
often ask ourselves whether we will manage, whether we are competent enough to remain                                          of its integration with the global economy, and to its
in the market and to succeed afterwards. In other words, we analyze our human capital. If it                                   attractiveness to foreign 'clients': commercial partners,
                                                                                                                               investors, tourists etc.
is too low, we sometimes enrol in extra courses to raise that capital. If, on the other hand,
we establish a joint venture, we usually trust our partners, which means that we have high
social capital in our environment.                                                               Listen to Prof Salim Al.-Hastani, University of Manchester, commenting
                                                                                                 on the crucial role of intellectual capital, and, in particular, on moral
                                                                                                 standards as a component of intellectual capital, at:
                                                                                                 http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=17


                                                                                            22
Cooperation with the Institute       In the literature neither the notion nor the concept of
                                     intellectual capital of a region have been formulated
of Statistics and Demography         in an explicit and comprehensive manner. Consequently,
                                     no common measurement method has been established.
of the Warsaw School of Economics    Nonetheless, two procedures of informing about regional
                                     national intellectual capital have been developed until now.
resulted in developing a             The first one, chronologically earlier, is based on assessing

measurement model which              the position of a given country or city in comparison
                                     with others by applying various indicators related to

enables comparing levels of          the components of intellectual capital. The other one,
                                     gaining increasingly more popularity, involves methods

the intellectual capital of Poland   for creating synthetic indicators of intellectual capital
                                     or of its components or elements.

and other EU Member States           Only the latter approach may be referred to as intellectual
                                     capital measurement procedure. In the case of the first one,
                                     such terms as 'reporting' or 'describing' should rather be
                                     used. Currently, professional literature in the field reflects
                                     a debate focused on selecting a set of most adequate
                                     indicators for assessing intellectual capital of a region.
                                     The controversies regard both the concept itself and the
                                     accessibility of required statistical data. Additionally, the
                                     discussion covers the issue of establishing a measurement
                                     model which would enable quantification of intellectual
                                     capital being in fact a conventional notion.




                               23                                                      The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
The search for the best formula of the measurement model of intellectual capital was based
on the following assumptions:


   It is possible to express intellectual capital of a region in numerical terms
   as one number;                                                                                                         INTELLECTUAL
                                                                                                                             CAPITAL
   Individual indicators suggested in the professional literature as describing
   intellectual capital do not have equal role in diagnosing intellectual
   capital, as some of them, at a given time and in a certain region,                                            -0,015       0,904                   0,919            0,83
   tend to reveal the level of the region's capital in greater extent than others;


   Consequently, it is possible to rank intellectual capital indicators, and to select         Intellectual capital:
                                                                                                                       Intellectual capital:   Intellectual capital:    Intellectual capital:
                                                                                              preschool and school
                                                                                                                             students                 adults             senior population
   those which are of key importance to measuring the value of intellectual                          children
   capital of a region at a given time;                                                                      0,086                     0,607                    0,583
                                                                                                                   0,201
   The intellectual capital model applied in this report was estimated for the region                                                                         0,507
                                                                                                                                         0,124
   of 16 EU countries, while the individual member countries were considered as
   observation units, and their intellectual capital was assessed in respect of its
                                                                                                                Diagram 1: Path diagram of the intellectual capital model:
   elements and components.                                                                                                components of intellectual capital, and
                                                                                                                                   their interrelationships




                                                                                         24
ksfims8      ksfims9   ksfims6     ksfims1


                                                                 klpe1     0,474                                                                                 0,512 0,897 -0,036 -0,898
The underlying assumption was that this report                   klpe10    0,876                                ksn1            0,926
                                                                                                                                0,844                                                                   0,755    ksictb3
would present the measurement of intellectual capital            klpe12   -0,735                                ksn2
                                                                                                                                -0,487        SCIENCE                    COMPANIES
                                                                 klpe13    0,803                                klste 3a                                                                                0,923    ksictg2
                                                                                                                                -0,287
in a generational perspective, which                             klpe2     0,886                                kklste 5a                                                                               0,038    ksictg3
                                                                                            EDUCATION                                                                                                   0,913    ksictg4
                                                                 klpe3     0,935
would enable assessment of the developmental                                                                                                                                          ICT               0,782    ksicti1
                                                                 klpe4     0,868                                                             -0,238           -0,943
potential of Poland related to each individual                   klpe5     0,751
                                                                                                                                                                              0,796
                                                                                                                                                                                                        0,947    ksictinf1

                                                                 klpe8    -0,477                                       ksrdi1                                                                           -0,005   ksictinf2
generation.                                                      klpe9    -0,742
                                                                                    HUMAN CAPITAL
                                                                                                                       ksed1
                                                                                                                                     0,746      STRUCTURAL CAPITAL                                      0,943    ksicts1
                                                                                      (ADULTS)                                       0,357           (ADULTS)                               0,161       0,949    ksicts2
The conceptual model of intellectual capital of individual                                                             ksed4
                                                                                                                                     0,116
generational groups was designed in compliance with              klpj1    0,808                              0,939                             0,549
                                                                                                                                                                            ENVIRONMENT                 -0,461   kssef1
                                                                 klpj10   -0,194                                                                                 0,681                                  0,191    kssem1
the general framework of the intellectual capital concept                               QUALITY
                                                                 klpe2    -0,214                                                                                                                         0,06    kssodn1
established in the professional literature [Edvinsson, Malone,             -0,81
                                                                                        OF LIFE                      INTELLECTUAL                                    INTELLECTUAL                       0,926    ksspo3
                                                                 klpj3
                                                                 klpj4    0,737                                         CAPITAL                                        PROPERTY
2001; Andriessen, Stam, 2004; Bontis, 2004; Lerro, Carlucci,                                                           (ADULTS)
                                                                                             ATTITUDES                                                                                                  0,878    kswp1
Schiuma, 2005; Rószkiwicz, Wêziak, Wodecki, 2007].                                                                                                                     BUSINESS                          0,851   kswp2

Therefore, certain subcategories of intellectual capital were                                                                                                        COOPERATION                        0,473    kswp3
                                                                 klpp1    0,276                             0,047                              0,876
distinguished, and afterwards separate measurement models                                                                                                                                               0,743    krge1
                                                                                                                                                                0,021
                                                                 klpp2    0,908
                                                                                                                                                                                                        -0,220   krge3
were developed for each of them, which were then used as         klpp3    -0,737                  SOCIAL CAPITAL                                      SOCIAL CAPITAL                                    -0,210   krge4
                                                                 klpp4    -0,563                     (ADULTS)                                            (ADULTS)
variables enabling construction of the measurement model                                                                                                                                                0,745    krgi1
                                                                 klpp5    -0,411
                                                                                         -0,241     -0,012                  -0,961                                                                      0,574    krgmi1
of intellectual capital of a given generation.                   klpp5a    0,29                                                                          0,055 0,970 0,938
                                                                                                                                                                                                        0,585    krgmi2
                                                                                          kspn8    kspn2
                                                                 klpp6    0,526
Measuring and describing national intellectual capital                                                           ENGAGEMENT                      krtu2        klste_6a     klste_7a
in a generational perspective is an innovative approach.
In other countries' reports which have been produced                                                          -0,04 -0,109 0,949 0,502

so far the age groups not participating in the labour                                               kspn8           kspn8        kspn8         kspn8
market have been omitted. The Polish approach, recognizing
the importance of inter-generational harmony and                                        Path diagram of the intellectual capital model of adults
solidarity, was acknowledged by international experts:
http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=12


                                                                                   25                                                                                       The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
The estimated values of intellectual                                                   Each such index is generated on the basis of statistical
                                                                                       analysis of several to several dozen indicators.
capital (IC) of individual generational
                                                                                       The measurement model used in the Report on Intellectual
groups in selected countries have                                                      Capital of Poland includes 117 indicators.

been standardized in the range                                                         A full list of indicators, together with the relevant data
                                                                                       for the 16 Member States included in this comparison,
of <0; 1>, and shown as percentages                                                    can be viewed on the website:
                                                                                       http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?a=
                                                                                       wskazniki


                                                                                       Additional information on the applied methodology is
Applying this approach enabled creating generation-based indexes                       also available on the above website.
or ratings of intellectual capital and of its individual components, including:
                                                                                       The report was originally intended to present comparative
                                                                                       data for all EU Member States. However, this occurred
   human capital;                                                                      unfeasible due to data inaccessibility. For countries not
   relational capital;                                                                 present in the IC ratings in the report several
                                                                                       indicators included in the model were unavailable.
   social capital;

   structural capital.




                                                                                  26
Diagnosis




            The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
Children
Children




                What are
                the living standards
                of Polish children?

                Are they provided with
                proper conditions for
                development?

                What can Poland
                learn from
                others?
           29                The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
Children



                                                                                                                                                           IC Index for preschool
                                                                                                                                                           and school children
        The intellectual capital index for preschool and school children places
                                                                                                                                               Germany
        Poland 13th among the 16 EU countries included in the comparison.
                                                                                                                                               Hungary

        This means that Poland lags behind most of the European countries in respect of                                                         Austria

        the intellectual capital of the part of society which determines the country's future                                                   Ireland

        capacity for development and competitiveness.                                                                                            France
                                                                                                                                                Belgium
        What considerably accounts for this disadvantageous position are, among others,                                                  Czech Republic
        the following statistical factors:                                                                                                        Spain
            low participation of 4-year-olds in education;                                                                                      Sweden
            relatively high under-5 mortality rate;                                                                                                Italy
            low percentage of pupils declaring their interest in future jobs connected with science.                                       Netherlands

                                                                                                                                           Great Britain

        By contrast, the following indicators have a positive impact                                                                             Poland

        on the above-mentioned position of Poland:                                                                                             Finland
                                                                                                                                              Portugal
            relatively low percentage of children aged 11, 13, and 15 who live in one-parent families;
                                                                                                                                                Greece
            comparatively large average number of days per week in which school children declare
            to spend an hour or more on physical activity;                                                                                               0        20          40          60          80            100

            very high average proportion of time spent on learning to read, or doing mathematics,                                        Intellectual capital indexes have been based on the analysis of the key
            as compared with the EU average;                                                                                             IC indicators attributed to a given generation. The full list of all 117
            good results of Polish pupils in respect of reading literacy (PISA).*                                                        indicators used for the purposes of Poland's IC model is available at:
                                                                                                                                         www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/

*PISA is the abbreviation for the Programme for International Student Assessment, which is an OECD-coordinated international research.




                                                                                                                               30
Children




          Children have always
          been considered as particularly
          important in Poland
          Poland's generation of children was affected by the income stratification in the days
          of the economic transformation, and by the resulting division of the country into
          Poland A and Poland B*.


          Relative poverty of numerous rural families, systemic weakness of the health service,
          as well as early childhood education standards which are inadequate for the needs
          of contemporary society, all make Polish children disadvantaged at the beginning
          of their life with comparison to their peers from other European countries.


          Children's attainment in primary school, presented in the PISA reports, place Poland
          at the level of the European average in respect of pupils' mathematical and scientific
          literacy, and in second position in Europe with regard to their reading literacy.




Source:   **Poland A – western, central and southern parts of the country, which are more prosperous, Poland B – eastern parts of the country, which are economically belated and underdeveloped.




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Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland

  • 2. Authors of the Report: The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland was commissioned by the Board of Strategic Advisers Anna Blumsztajn to the Prime Minister and prepared in cooperation with this team. Pawe³ Bochniarz Ma³gorzata D¹browska Board of Strategic Advisers is an advisory and consultative body to Szczepan Figiel th the Prime Minister of Poland. It was established on 6 March 2008, according Tomasz Kardacz to the Prime Minister's regulation. The Board, headed by Micha³ Boni, Ph.D., Katarzyna Królak-Wyszyñska Secretary of State in the Chancellery of the Prime Minister, prepares analyses Robert Mazelanik and assessments of the socio-economic situation of the country and participates Hanna Nowakowaska in developing strategic plans of the government. Teresa Ogrodziñska It also provides suggestions of goals and objectives for the strategy of economic Monika Roœciszewska-WoŸniak and social development of the country. Ma³gorzata Rószkiewicz Tomasz Rudolf More information on members of the Board of Strategic Advisers to the Prime Krzysztof Rybiñski Minister and other authors of the report is available at: Andrzej Siemaszko Tomasz Schimanek Adam Turowiec Dorota Wêziak-Bia³owolska Andrzej Wodecki Editing: Design: Printing:
  • 3. 19 years ago Poland embarked upon a systemic transformation and laborious process of narrowing the gap separating it from the world's most developed countries and leaders in the global economy. Those years may be perceived through the turbulent political history, but also through the huge effort of Polish entrepreneurs developing market economy and competitive exports, and through the diligence of Polish employees working at least 20% above the statutory working time norms, and constantly raising their efficiency. Those years have also been the time of young Poles' and their families' investments in higher education, due to which Poland is currently sixth in the world as far as the number of students per 10,000 inhabitants is concerned. We have had our successes and achievements, but we have also suffered a number of failures. We have our strengths and weaknesses, but we are also aware of threats and opportunities. The goal of the Board of Strategic Advisers, appointed by Prime Minister Donald Tusk, is to create a long-term vision of Poland's development, as well as of new competitive advantages responding to the challenges of the first half of the 21st century. We are convinced that it is future-oriented thinking, rather than focus on the present, that determines the standards of political responsibility in the contemporary world. We believe that this is the only way to prosperity and, let us not be ashamed to use this word, to the social well-being, where financial aspects of life conditions improvement converge with the social ones and with the sphere of values. One of the first initiatives of the Team was undertaking an effort to draw up the Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland. External experts in various fields were invited to cooperation in the preparation of the project, with the hope that their enthusiasm and competence would contribute to the compilation of a document which would initiate a wide public debate. A debate that would focus on how to develop Poland's potential for its future progress, based on knowledge economy and on the values crucial to triggering the energy of entrepreneurship and creativity. A fundamental problem to a number of countries, including Poland, in the upcoming years will be presented by demographic challenges. For this reason, we decided to set the description of Poland's intellectual capital in a generational perspective, recognizing the importance of harmony and solidarity between generations. By presenting this report, we intend to initiate a debate beyond current political disputes. The aim of the diagnosis proposed in the report is not to lay blame, but to define problems to be solved commonly by Polish people. The challenges identified in this report must be met without delay, as time is working to our disadvantage. The transforming world will not wait. Let us not waste our time and opportunities Micha³ Boni, Ph.D. Warsaw, 10th July, 2008 Head of the Board of Strategic Advisers to the Prime Minister of Poland The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 4. The report comprises three parts: - Summary, explaining the reasons for drawing up the report, About the report and defining basic terminology as well as the method applied to assess the intellectual capital of Poland; - Diagnosis, identifying the key challenges related to At the beginning of the year 2008, when the Board of Strategic Advisers to the development of the intellectual capital of Poland; the Prime Minister was appointed, I was invited by the founder and head of the team, Minister Micha³ Boni, to coordinate work on the Report - Recommendations, proposing seven priority measures on Intellectual Capital of Poland.This initiative was intended to call that must be taken in order to meet the challenges facing Poland. the attention of politicians, the media and opinion leaders to the role and importance of the quality and level of intellectual capital in the long-term development of Poland. As the coordinator of this project, I would like to thank all those whose The present report, which was drawn up in conclusion of the project, is in character of knowledge, experience and commitment enabled us to draw up this report a so-called 'green paper' (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Green_paper), which means that within just four months. it is aimed not at giving solutions, but instead, at initiating a public debate. A debate devoted to the future development of Poland as a modern knowledge-based economy. Although relevant government representatives were consulted about certain issues I would like to give special thanks to Prof Ma³gorzata Rószkiewicz in the course of preparing the report, it is not a government document. It is an expert from the Institute of Statistics and Demography of the Warsaw report that provides inspiration for the Polish government when planning School of Economics, to Mr Ludwik Sobolewski, President their policies. of the Management Board of the Warsaw Stock Exchange, The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland was compiled by experts from the Board and to Mr Janusz Witkowski, President of the Central Statistical of Strategic Advisers and a group of external experts. Office, for their assistance, which was essential to the success of this project. Pawe³ Bochniarz, Prime Minister's Strategic Advisers Group, Coordinator of the Project on the Intellectual Capital of Poland.
  • 5. Table of Contents Table of Contents Summary 5 Diagnosis 27 Young children 28 Pupils 50 Students 71 Adults 88 Senior citizens 121 Recommendations 137 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 6.
  • 7. Summary The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 8. Cooperation with the Institute of Statistics and Demography THE INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL OF POLAND is the total of intangible assets of the Warsaw School of Economics resulted in developing of people, enterprises, communities, regions, and institutions, which, properly a measurement model that allows to benchmark the intellectual utilized, may become the source of the present and future well-being of Poland. capital of Poland and other EU Member States. The adopted Both the economic theory and the experience of other countries indicate that the role method involves presenting intellectual capital in a generational of intellectual capital is fundamental to sustainable development of a country. perspective, which enables assessment of the future potential Certain countries, comparable in respect of their natural resources, geographical position of Poland's development with regard to the individual age and financial condition, may differ significantly in terms of their successfulness, like Chile brackets. The estimation of the intellectual capital value of and Argentine, or Spain and Italy. each generation in selected countries has been standardized The difference between these countries lies in the ability to develop intellectual capital, and presented as percentage (from 0 to 100%). All indexes which manifests in long-term thinking, readiness to learn, trust in market mechanisms have been calculated as a result of statistical analysis covering and receptiveness to global competition, but also in efficient government of the country. from several to several dozen indicators. Whether Poland will manage to find the proper response to its key challenges like Altogether, the measurement model applied in the Report demographic regression, increasing costs and worsening accessibility of traditional sources on Intellectual Capital of Poland comprises 117 indicators. of energy, or constantly accelerating pace of technological progress, depends on its ability to utilize the intellectual capital of the Poles. Index of the intellectual capital of Poland in respect of individual generations places Poland among 16 European countries surveyed: Intellectual capital consists of the following components: 13th as regards young children and pupils; Human capital: the total potential of all Polish people embodied in their education, 13th as regards students; life experience, attitudes and skills, which can be used towards increasing the present 14th as regards adults; and future well-being of Polish people. 16th as regards senior citizens. Structural capital: the total potential of tangible infrastructure elements of the national This indicates that the distance separating Poland from system of education and innovation, i.e. scientific and educational institutions, research developed European countries in terms of intellectual centres, IT infrastructure, and intellectual property. capital is still considerable. Until recently, the relatively low level of intellectual capital did not hinder economic Social capital: the overall potential of the Polish society in the form of its social norms development in Poland, since the country's competitiveness of conduct, trust and involvement, which support cooperation and knowledge sharing, was based on other advantages, such as low labour costs, and thus, contribute to the improvement of the well-being of Polish people. a relatively big market, or its location in the centre of Europe. However, maintaining the current pace of development Relationship capital: the potential related to the external image of Poland, to the level in the upcoming decades will not be possible unless of its integration with the global economy, and to its attractiveness to foreign 'clients': intellectual capital, which is the foundation of commercial partners, investors, tourists etc. any knowledge-based economy, is strengthened. 6
  • 9. Nonetheless, Poland must do its utmost to create the optimal conditions What is of top priority among the numerous challenges facing for utilizing the capital of knowledge, energy, and entrepreneurship of Polish Poland is further investment in its human capital, which is key people. It is absolutely crucial for Poland to promptly become a business-friendly to the development of the country. environment. Otherwise, the human capital, i.e. the best students, workers, scientists and It is essential that pro-family policies encourage people to have children entrepreneurs, will move abroad to countries offering better conditions to run operations. and ensure equal access to various forms of pre-school education, that A simplified legal system, competitive and open markets, a transparent tax system, the quality of teaching in and mechanisms stimulating creative cooperation of science, business and culture, may schools be increased, and that Polish institutions of higher education turn Poland into an ideal location for innovative enterprises generating considerable added produce graduates whose qualifications are more relevant to the needs value. of the labour market. Finally, the ageing society brings new challenges, but also new opportunities related to the intellectual capital embodied in the senior generation. 7 More complex Increasing Focusing the system Activating Ensuring synergy Increasing Regular and efficient the quality of education senior citizens of science, business the quality measurement of family policy of education on the needs and culture. of legal operations, intellectual of the labour Creating vacancies procedures capital indicators market with high and infrastructure added value for business Enabling the utilization of human capital Ensuring high quality of human capital as a source of the country's competitive advantage, growth and well-being Building social capital of Poles: increasing trust in interpersonal relations and in citizen-state relations, activating social activity. Initiatives related to activating and developing the potential embodied in Polish people should be joined with the use of social capital.The state can stimulate the process of increasing social capital by improving the credibility of its institutions and by promoting appropriate norms of conduct in mutual relations. 7 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 10. The success of developing the intellectual capital of Poland will require a great deal Nevertheless, such a negative scenario does not have to come true. of effort aimed at changing the traditional attitude to the implementation of key reforms. There is yet another possible scenario, in which Poland becomes one of the most dynamic economies in the EU. This scenario The above-mentioned changes should manifest in: predicts that thanks to an extensive network of modern nurseries and kindergartens Polish children receive quality education from greater use of teamwork performed beyond government departments and coordinated by the very beginning of their educational path, and Polish families are the Prime Minister; able to afford having more children and perfectly manage to reconcile their family life and professional careers. Professional wider scope of consultations, with the participation of representatives of the media, activity of women and senior citizens is the highest in Europe, which NGOs, and parliamentary opposition; results in growing tax revenues to the treasury and, consequently, in increased public investments in infrastructure and engaging highly qualified and well prepared project managers to be operationally intellectual capital. There is no room for boredom, local responsible for the implementation of reform projects communities are vibrant with life, nobody is left stranded. Several Polish universities make their way to the top What is also essential is a shift from short-term to long term government 100 universities in the world, and they become the first choice policies, which should be accompanied by due regard to improving the quality universities for students from all over the world. Many of them of political debate and focusing it on issues of genuine importance to the country take up their permanent residence in Poland, attracted by well-paid jobs for highly qualified and well educated professionals. The experience of other countries teaches us that even twenty years of relatively Polish economy stimulates numerous innovations which are dynamic economic growth is insufficient to bridge the gap separating a country afterwards implemented in other countries on all continents. from the developed world. Unless the right decisions are taken at this moment, The choice of the scenario belongs to Polish people. The optimistic the pace of Poland's development will decelerate, and the distance to more one will become realistic provided that challenging reforms in such developed countries will stop shortening. areas as social transfers, taxes, economic regulations, or public sector Given the intention to initiate a debate on the intellectual capital of Poland, this report has operations, including health service, education and science, are been made available online, with the possibility to add remarks and comments related to its introduced successively without delay. One should be prepared for individual parts. resistance on the part of strong groups of interest, and should be You are welcome to take this opportunity at http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip aware that the results of the reforms will be visible not sooner than in 5-15 years. If the Polish lack courage, determination and readiness to work in the interest of Poland regardless of political divisions, history books of the third decade of the 21st century will cite Nevertheless, such reforms are indispensable if Poland's success is the example of Poland as a warning of possible consequences of failure to invest in to become more than just wishful thinking. the intellectual capital of a country. Poland may become one of the poorest countries of the European Union, which allows the most talented individuals to emigrate and the most prosperous businesses to move to countries with lower taxes. 8
  • 11. Poland failed to develop as The rate of the long-term economic growth in Poland does not exceed 4.3%, which is by far less than in other dynamically as it should have countries in the region. Moreover, it is not certain in the past decade whether this pace will be maintained in the nearest years. Poland has advanced towards Europe less significantly than other countries in the region GDP per capita compared to the EU25 average in 2007 A proverb says that failure is an inherent part of each success. Undoubtedly, a lot has changed for better in Poland for the last 90 Slovenia Czech Republic 20 years: the society is more prosperous, people are better 80 educated and more open-minded. What the Poles cannot afford 70 Estonia at the moment is to rest on laurels. Even a draft comparison of Slovakia Latvia Lithuania Hungary the pace of economic development in Poland and other countries 60 from the former communist block demonstrates that Poland is 50 failing to make the best use of its potential, and is not developing Romania Poland as quickly as other countries in the region, e.g. Slovakia, Estonia, 40 or Lithuania. 30 20 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 The length of the arrow illustrates by how much the distance separating each of the countries from the EU average has been shortened. GDP per capita as compared to the EU25 average for the year 2007. 9 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 12. Poland is not doomed to success The experience of other countries teaches us that even twenty years of relatively dynamic Poland is currently facing similar dilemmas. It is compelled economic growth is insufficient to bridge the gap separating a country from the developed to launch subsequent challenging reforms in such areas as world. Unless the right decisions are taken at this moment, the pace of Poland's development social transfers, taxes, business regulations, and the overall will decelerate, and the distance to more developed countries will stop shortening. performance of the public sector including health service, education, and science. Greece, Portugal and Italy are examples of countries which, after two decades of rapid growth, experienced a decrease in the pace of development, and, as a result, have not yet reached One should be prepared for resistance on the part of strong complete convergence with richer EU countries in terms of well-being. groups of interest, and should be aware that the results of the reforms will be visible not sooner than in 5-15 years. The countries that have achieved a spectacular economic success, such as Ireland, South Korea, or Taiwan, have also managed to maintain their growth rate for 30 to 40 years at the minimum. Nevertheless, such reforms are indispensable if Poland's success is to become more than just wishful thinking. A distinctive feature of this group of countries in the overall profile is the exceptional ability of their governments to employ long-term thinking and to give priority to measures aimed What is also essential is a shift from short-term to long at achieving strategic objectives over short-term operations. term government policies, which should be accompanied by due regard to improving the quality of political debate and focusing it on issues of genuine importance to the country. 10
  • 13. Key importance of intellectual capital to economic development Both the economic theory and the experience of other countries indicate that the role Interestingly, the first recorded use of the term 'intellectual of intellectual capital is fundamental to sustainable development of a country. capital' comes from the correspondence between two Certain countries, comparable in respect of their natural resources, geographical outstanding economists of the 20th century, John Kenneth position and financial condition, may differ significantly in terms of their successfulness, Galbraith and Micha³ Kalecki from 1969. Galbraith wrote like Chile and Argentine, or Spain and Italy. in a letter to Prof Kalecki the following words: “I wonder if you realizm how much those of us in the world The difference between these countries lies in the ability to develop intellectual capital, around hale owed to the intellectual capital you have provided which manifests in long-term thinking, readiness to learn, trust in market mechanisms and over these past decades”2. receptiveness to global competition, but also in efficient government of the country. The definition of intellectual capital was formulated by Prof Leif Edvinsson, who often refers to it as 'the ability to generate future income'. What does the term 'the intellectual capital of Poland' refer to? Listen to the statement by Prof Edvinsson recorded THE INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL OF POLAND is the total of intangible specially for the purposes of this report, in which he assets of people, enterprises, communities, regions, and institutions, which, properly defines intellectual capital and explains its significance, at: utilized, may become the source of the present and future well-being of Poland.1 http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=9 Source: ¹ Literature on the subject does not offer one generally accepted definition of intellectual capital. The one accepted by the authors of this report is close to the definitions formulated by Malhotra and Bontis: Intellectual capital is the 'hidden assets' of a state/a nation which are the basis of its economic potential growth, its well-being, and its position in the world (Malhotra, 2000). Intellectual capital comprises the 'hidden properties' of people, enterprises, communities, regions, and institutions which are the source of the present and future well-being (Bontis, 2004). ² A. Serenko, N.Bontis (eds.), “Meta-Review of Knowledge Management and Intellectual Capital Literature …” (MacMaster University, 2004). 11 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 14. Poland does not exist in a vacuum Poland is not a country that functions in a vacuum. A complex network of economic, political, Therefore, it is important to have a closer look social and cultural relations makes us a part of the world's social and economic ecosystem. at the key challenges in a worldwide perspective and their implications for the development strategy Important events and global trends have and will have an impact on the pace of the country's of Poland as the economy based on intellectual development, and for this reason Poland must observe them and consider their implications capital. for Poland. The most important of them are as follows: The 1998 crisis in Russia, the attacks of 11th September 2001, the epidemic of SARS, or the most recent crisis in the US mortgage market are examples of events that ageing population of European countries and influenced Poland, although they took place in distant countries. the increasing flow of immigrants from Africa and Asia; demographic regression in Poland; rising costs and deteriorating accessibility of traditional sources of energy; increasing role of China and India in the global economy; knowledge becoming outdated, and the increasing pace of technological progress. 12
  • 15. Ageing Europe, and the flow Percentage of Population Aged 65+ of immigrants from Asia and Africa Year Worldwide 1950 5,2 2005 8,1 2050 16,2 Africa 3,3 3,4 6,9 East Asia 4,4 8,8 24,8 Over the next 20-30 years every city in Europe, i.e. in Poland as well, may expect an increase South and Central Asia 3,7 4,7 13,5 in the number of immigrants. South East Asia 3,8 5,4 17,6 Eastern Europe 6,5 14,3 26,6 Poland 5,2 13,3 31,2 Western Europe 10,2 17,2 27,7 Latin America 3,5 6,3 18,5 South America 3,4 6,4 18,5 Source: The cover of the World Bank's North America 8,2 12,3 21,5 report on migrations Average Age of the Population This is how a pedestrian crossing in a Polish city in the year 2030 Year 1950 2005 2050 may look like. Worldwide 23,9 28,0 38,1 Africa 19,1 19,0 28,0 East Asia 23,5 33,4 45,9 South and Central Asia 21,2 23,2 37,2 South East Asia 20,6 26,0 40,2 Poland needs immigrants due to a dramatic decrease in population, quickly ageing Eastern Europe 26,4 37,5 48,1 society and workforce shortages in certain professions. Poland 25,8 36,8 52,4 If immigrants work, pay taxes, and become part of the Polish society, the Polish Western Europe 34,6 40,5 46,7 economy will only profit from that. However, if a proper immigration and integration Latin America 20,0 26,0 40,1 policy is not implemented, Poland will face the risk of emergence of ghettos for South America 20,4 26,5 40,0 immigrants from poorer countries, as well as of an increase in unemployment rate North America 29,8 36,3 41,5 and social welfare expenditures. Source: UN, “World Population Prospects: The 2008 Revision” [http://esa.un.org/unpp/index.asp?panel=2] 13 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 16. Poland is in danger of secondary If the unfavourable demographic processes continue, Poland will face the risk of public financing system collapse and inability demographic regression to provide welfare benefits for the senior generation. The 'social welfare states' are threatened with bankruptcy. The secondary demographic regression crisis may be avoided Secondary demographic regression entails exposure to the collapse by way of stimulating the activity of senior citizens in the labour of economic growth and of the public financing system in Poland market and by extending the period of professional activity. in a long-term perspective. Change in the demographic structure of the population of Poland as broken down into age group categories, in the years 2007-2030 If the current retirement age is maintained, the Polish population of productive 100% 90% age will have decreased by over 800 thousand by the year 2015. 80% Change in the population of Poland in the years 2007-2030 70% 65+ 60% 45-59/64 65+ 50% 18-44 40% 0-17 30% 45-59/64 20% 10% 0% 2007 2015 2030 2030 18-44 2007 As early as 2015 The population 2030 The demographic 2015 today the population of children keeps depression generations of children is by half decreasing. reach their adulthood. smaller than that The percentage of The senior population 0-17 of their parents. retired population doubles in number. is rising. The challenge to be faced by the Polish state is a shift from Total the passive policy of social transfers on behalf of senior citizens, -1.500.000 -1.000.000 -500.000 0 500.000 1.000.000 through an active policy taking advantage of the increasing demand of the senior generation, to introducing new products Source: Population forecast for the years 2003-2030 based on the results of the 2002 Polish Census, Central Statistical Office (GUS). and services and utilizing the intellectual capital of senior citizens. 14
  • 17. Poland may have to face dramatic dilemmas, as, in the short run, it has no alternative to coal-based energy, whose resources in Poland are Lack of a strategic attitude towards substantial, and as 'clean coal' technologies are not yet accessible in Poland on a commercial basis. investing in the Polish power A low level of intellectual capital manifests itself also in industry, combined with the inability to develop strategic plans, which is likely to cause reductions of CO2 emissions, inevitable energy deficiencies in Poland within a few years' time. Poland must overcome this weakness, otherwise it will has caused a significant be constantly 'surprised' by events which might be foreseen if the strategic planning mechanisms were in place. barrier to our growth It pays to learn from the experience of others. For example, in the Parliament of Finland a new committee was established Due to low prices of energy, investments in the Polish power industry has been marginal. a few years ago. Its name is the Committee for a Constructive This may result in temporary problems with ensuring the continuity of energy supplies Tomorrow, and its aim is to facilitate reflection and to conduct over the nearest 2 to 3 years, while the energy reserve in 2008 was de facto lower debates on the strategic challenges facing Finland, such as throughout the year than what is required under the relevant energy security regulations. the growing importance of Russia, the development Within 3 to 6 years' time Poland will be facing a permanent energy deficiency, which of nanotechnology, or the ageing of the society. will be impossible to compensate with the country's limited import capacity. Listen to Paula Tiihonen, a Finnish MP, discussing the tasks of the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow here, at: Over 90% of the energy in Poland is generated from coal, which means that the country's http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=15 CO2 emission per capita is higher than the EU average, although it uses as little as half of the EU energy consumption average. Source: "Najwa¿niejsze zagadnienia dotycz¹ce funkcjonowania sektora elektroenergetycznego w Polsce”, a report by presidents of the power industry companies (February 2008). 15 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 18. % shares of China/India, OECD and Growing Importance of China the rest of the world in global population and GDP Share of world population and India in the Global Economy 1820 1870 Over the nearest few decades Chindia will significantly increase its share in the global GDP. It may once more account for half of the global production of goods and services, as at 1950 the beginning of the 19th century. China is becoming a global competitor not only in the production of footwear, garments, computers, household appliances, and radio 1973 and television equipment. It is also strengthening its position in sectors requiring advanced knowledge and innovative approach. 2001 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 China + India The student population in China has exceeded 30 million, which is more than in the European Rest of World Share of world GDP Union and the United States put together. OECD 1820 China is the world's biggest exporter of computers and telecommunication equipment, while India is the world's capital of software outsourcing, earning over USD 12 billion yearly from 1870 software production1. 1950 China and India are quickly developing their intellectual capital, viewing 1973 it as their chance for an evolutionary leap. Being aware of these trends, 2001 does Poland develop its relational capital with these two countries properly? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 1 Source: European Commission, “Globalization: Trends, Issues, and Macro Implications for the EU”, Economic Papers, (EC, 2006). 16
  • 19. Knowledge becomes outdated The number of patent applications submitted to the World Intellectual Property Organization increases significantly each year 180000 instantly, and technological 160000 Number of patent progress has reached a staggering 140000 120000 applications pace 100000 80000 60000 A sharp increase in the number of patent applications indicates an accelerated pace of technological progress in the 21st century. 40000 20000 Asian countries are fast in developing their knowledge-based economies; during four years 0 the number of patent applications tripled in China, and increased by 140% in South Korea. 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 Number of patent Growth dynamics of applications submitted number of patents to the WIPO in 2007 (2003-2007, %) There is a huge gap separating Eastern and Central Europe from the top USA 52280 27,4 ten leaders in the world's innovativeness, and Poland has been regressing Japan 27731 59,2 in recent years. Germany 18134 23,7 South Korea 7061 139,4 Does the Polish system of education teach the right skills, such as creativity, France 6370 23,2 analytical thinking or teamwork, which are indispensable in the innovation Great Britain 5553 10,5 China 5456 321,3 process? Netherlands 4186 -6,5 Switzerland 3674 28,4 Sweden 3533 35,3 Hungary 160 40,4 Czech Republic 123 48,2 Poland 102 -33,8 17 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 20. Poland abounds in statistics presenting the past, or, what has been left behind. 18
  • 21. How to show what is still ahead of us? How to present our potential for growth? 19 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 22. The Report on Intellectual With this report Poland has joined a group of pioneer countries in measuring and describing national intellectual capital. Capital of Poland is intended to show growth potential Before Poland, intellectual capital reports were issued among others in such countries as: in Poland as compared to Sweden (1999); other EU countries Israel (2000); Taiwan (2003); Arabian Peninsula countries (on the UN initiative, 2004). The team responsible for compiling this report comprised over 21 members including Andrzej Wodecki, Tomasz Rudolf, Katarzyna Królak-Wyszyñska, Szczepan Figiel, Ma³gorzata D¹browska, Tomasz Kardacz, Tomasz Schimanek, Hanna Nowakowska, Anna Blumsztajn, Teresa Ogrodziñska, Miko³aj Herbst, Alek Tarkowski, Krzysztof Rybiñski, Eliza Durka, Pawe³ Kaczmarczyk, Mateusz Walewski, Maciej Duszczyk, Maciej Bukowski, Dorota Poznañska, Jakub Wojnarowski. Additionally, the report was enhanced by observations and suggestions of several dozen other people, representing institutions of public administration, science, education, health service, NGOs, and business. 20
  • 23. In the course of creating the present report, a series of interactive workshops with over a hundred participants were conducted. The workshops were intended to engage representatives of government administration and NGOs in the debate on the key challenges related to the intellectual capital of Poland. A prototype of the report was presented at the fourth annual conference of the New Club of Paris devoted to intellectual capital, held in Paris in May 2008. That offered a chance to gather opinions on the Polish concept of the report from the world's leading authorities on intellectual capital. Listen to Prof Edvinsson comments at: http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=10 21 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 24. People with well developed human and relational capital tend to hold higher positions and earn more money than those who have low level of these kinds of capital. The following four components: human capital, What are the components relational capital, organizational capital (also termed 'structural'), and social capital constitute intellectual capital. of intellectual capital? It can be easily noticed that intellectual capital is not tantamount to intelligence as it is a much broader notion. What is intellectual capital? Can it be measured on the level of a country, region, city, or HUMAN CAPITAL: the total potential of all Polish people embodied in their company? Why is the growth of intellectual capital so essential for the future of Poland? education, life experience, attitudes and skills, which can be used Every one of us knows the right answers to these questions. Moreover, when making life The four towards increasing the present and future well-being of Polish people. decisions, we are usually driven by the necessity of generating and developing intellectual IC STRUCTURAL CAPITAL: capital or by the opportunities of using the already existing one. For example, when planning components: the total potential of tangible infrastructure elements of the national system of education and innovation, i.e. scientific professional careers for our children, we often try to foresee what occupation will be best and educational institutions, research centres, IT infrastructure, for them, and what skills they will have to develop to succeed in the labour market. Our INTELLECTUAL and intellectual property. decision is influenced by tradition, e.g. a child born in a family of lawyers, physicians, or CAPITAL SOCIAL CAPITAL: scientists is more likely to follow the career path of his/her parents since they already know the overall potential of the Polish society in the form of its social norms of conduct, trust and involvement, which support the environment and may assist the child in his/her future career. In other words, the parents cooperation and knowledge sharing, and thus, contribute to the improvement of the well-being of Polish people. possess a firm relational capital (commonly and not quite adequately referred to as 'contacts' or 'friends in high places'), which the child may benefit from. When we found a business, we RELATIONAL CAPITAL: the potential related to the external image of Poland, to the level often ask ourselves whether we will manage, whether we are competent enough to remain of its integration with the global economy, and to its in the market and to succeed afterwards. In other words, we analyze our human capital. If it attractiveness to foreign 'clients': commercial partners, investors, tourists etc. is too low, we sometimes enrol in extra courses to raise that capital. If, on the other hand, we establish a joint venture, we usually trust our partners, which means that we have high social capital in our environment. Listen to Prof Salim Al.-Hastani, University of Manchester, commenting on the crucial role of intellectual capital, and, in particular, on moral standards as a component of intellectual capital, at: http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=17 22
  • 25. Cooperation with the Institute In the literature neither the notion nor the concept of intellectual capital of a region have been formulated of Statistics and Demography in an explicit and comprehensive manner. Consequently, no common measurement method has been established. of the Warsaw School of Economics Nonetheless, two procedures of informing about regional national intellectual capital have been developed until now. resulted in developing a The first one, chronologically earlier, is based on assessing measurement model which the position of a given country or city in comparison with others by applying various indicators related to enables comparing levels of the components of intellectual capital. The other one, gaining increasingly more popularity, involves methods the intellectual capital of Poland for creating synthetic indicators of intellectual capital or of its components or elements. and other EU Member States Only the latter approach may be referred to as intellectual capital measurement procedure. In the case of the first one, such terms as 'reporting' or 'describing' should rather be used. Currently, professional literature in the field reflects a debate focused on selecting a set of most adequate indicators for assessing intellectual capital of a region. The controversies regard both the concept itself and the accessibility of required statistical data. Additionally, the discussion covers the issue of establishing a measurement model which would enable quantification of intellectual capital being in fact a conventional notion. 23 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 26. The search for the best formula of the measurement model of intellectual capital was based on the following assumptions: It is possible to express intellectual capital of a region in numerical terms as one number; INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL Individual indicators suggested in the professional literature as describing intellectual capital do not have equal role in diagnosing intellectual capital, as some of them, at a given time and in a certain region, -0,015 0,904 0,919 0,83 tend to reveal the level of the region's capital in greater extent than others; Consequently, it is possible to rank intellectual capital indicators, and to select Intellectual capital: Intellectual capital: Intellectual capital: Intellectual capital: preschool and school students adults senior population those which are of key importance to measuring the value of intellectual children capital of a region at a given time; 0,086 0,607 0,583 0,201 The intellectual capital model applied in this report was estimated for the region 0,507 0,124 of 16 EU countries, while the individual member countries were considered as observation units, and their intellectual capital was assessed in respect of its Diagram 1: Path diagram of the intellectual capital model: elements and components. components of intellectual capital, and their interrelationships 24
  • 27. ksfims8 ksfims9 ksfims6 ksfims1 klpe1 0,474 0,512 0,897 -0,036 -0,898 The underlying assumption was that this report klpe10 0,876 ksn1 0,926 0,844 0,755 ksictb3 would present the measurement of intellectual capital klpe12 -0,735 ksn2 -0,487 SCIENCE COMPANIES klpe13 0,803 klste 3a 0,923 ksictg2 -0,287 in a generational perspective, which klpe2 0,886 kklste 5a 0,038 ksictg3 EDUCATION 0,913 ksictg4 klpe3 0,935 would enable assessment of the developmental ICT 0,782 ksicti1 klpe4 0,868 -0,238 -0,943 potential of Poland related to each individual klpe5 0,751 0,796 0,947 ksictinf1 klpe8 -0,477 ksrdi1 -0,005 ksictinf2 generation. klpe9 -0,742 HUMAN CAPITAL ksed1 0,746 STRUCTURAL CAPITAL 0,943 ksicts1 (ADULTS) 0,357 (ADULTS) 0,161 0,949 ksicts2 The conceptual model of intellectual capital of individual ksed4 0,116 generational groups was designed in compliance with klpj1 0,808 0,939 0,549 ENVIRONMENT -0,461 kssef1 klpj10 -0,194 0,681 0,191 kssem1 the general framework of the intellectual capital concept QUALITY klpe2 -0,214 0,06 kssodn1 established in the professional literature [Edvinsson, Malone, -0,81 OF LIFE INTELLECTUAL INTELLECTUAL 0,926 ksspo3 klpj3 klpj4 0,737 CAPITAL PROPERTY 2001; Andriessen, Stam, 2004; Bontis, 2004; Lerro, Carlucci, (ADULTS) ATTITUDES 0,878 kswp1 Schiuma, 2005; Rószkiwicz, Wêziak, Wodecki, 2007]. BUSINESS 0,851 kswp2 Therefore, certain subcategories of intellectual capital were COOPERATION 0,473 kswp3 klpp1 0,276 0,047 0,876 distinguished, and afterwards separate measurement models 0,743 krge1 0,021 klpp2 0,908 -0,220 krge3 were developed for each of them, which were then used as klpp3 -0,737 SOCIAL CAPITAL SOCIAL CAPITAL -0,210 krge4 klpp4 -0,563 (ADULTS) (ADULTS) variables enabling construction of the measurement model 0,745 krgi1 klpp5 -0,411 -0,241 -0,012 -0,961 0,574 krgmi1 of intellectual capital of a given generation. klpp5a 0,29 0,055 0,970 0,938 0,585 krgmi2 kspn8 kspn2 klpp6 0,526 Measuring and describing national intellectual capital ENGAGEMENT krtu2 klste_6a klste_7a in a generational perspective is an innovative approach. In other countries' reports which have been produced -0,04 -0,109 0,949 0,502 so far the age groups not participating in the labour kspn8 kspn8 kspn8 kspn8 market have been omitted. The Polish approach, recognizing the importance of inter-generational harmony and Path diagram of the intellectual capital model of adults solidarity, was acknowledged by international experts: http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?m=12 25 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 28. The estimated values of intellectual Each such index is generated on the basis of statistical analysis of several to several dozen indicators. capital (IC) of individual generational The measurement model used in the Report on Intellectual groups in selected countries have Capital of Poland includes 117 indicators. been standardized in the range A full list of indicators, together with the relevant data for the 16 Member States included in this comparison, of <0; 1>, and shown as percentages can be viewed on the website: http://www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/index.php?a= wskazniki Additional information on the applied methodology is Applying this approach enabled creating generation-based indexes also available on the above website. or ratings of intellectual capital and of its individual components, including: The report was originally intended to present comparative data for all EU Member States. However, this occurred human capital; unfeasible due to data inaccessibility. For countries not relational capital; present in the IC ratings in the report several indicators included in the model were unavailable. social capital; structural capital. 26
  • 29. Diagnosis The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 31. Children What are the living standards of Polish children? Are they provided with proper conditions for development? What can Poland learn from others? 29 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland
  • 32. Children IC Index for preschool and school children The intellectual capital index for preschool and school children places Germany Poland 13th among the 16 EU countries included in the comparison. Hungary This means that Poland lags behind most of the European countries in respect of Austria the intellectual capital of the part of society which determines the country's future Ireland capacity for development and competitiveness. France Belgium What considerably accounts for this disadvantageous position are, among others, Czech Republic the following statistical factors: Spain low participation of 4-year-olds in education; Sweden relatively high under-5 mortality rate; Italy low percentage of pupils declaring their interest in future jobs connected with science. Netherlands Great Britain By contrast, the following indicators have a positive impact Poland on the above-mentioned position of Poland: Finland Portugal relatively low percentage of children aged 11, 13, and 15 who live in one-parent families; Greece comparatively large average number of days per week in which school children declare to spend an hour or more on physical activity; 0 20 40 60 80 100 very high average proportion of time spent on learning to read, or doing mathematics, Intellectual capital indexes have been based on the analysis of the key as compared with the EU average; IC indicators attributed to a given generation. The full list of all 117 good results of Polish pupils in respect of reading literacy (PISA).* indicators used for the purposes of Poland's IC model is available at: www.innowacyjnosc.gpw.pl/kip/ *PISA is the abbreviation for the Programme for International Student Assessment, which is an OECD-coordinated international research. 30
  • 33. Children Children have always been considered as particularly important in Poland Poland's generation of children was affected by the income stratification in the days of the economic transformation, and by the resulting division of the country into Poland A and Poland B*. Relative poverty of numerous rural families, systemic weakness of the health service, as well as early childhood education standards which are inadequate for the needs of contemporary society, all make Polish children disadvantaged at the beginning of their life with comparison to their peers from other European countries. Children's attainment in primary school, presented in the PISA reports, place Poland at the level of the European average in respect of pupils' mathematical and scientific literacy, and in second position in Europe with regard to their reading literacy. Source: **Poland A – western, central and southern parts of the country, which are more prosperous, Poland B – eastern parts of the country, which are economically belated and underdeveloped. 31 The Report on Intellectual Capital of Poland