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INTRODUCTION TO
INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL
ECONOMY
Political Science 186
Global Studies 123
I. Introduction – Conceptual and
Analytical Issues
• 1. What is International Political Economy?
• 2. What are the issues?
• A. Actor behavior
• B. System governance
• C. Globalization
I. Introduction (cont’d)
• A. Actor Behavior. How do we explain and evaluate the actions of
states?
• 1. Levels of analysis: international (structural, systemic) vs. domestic
• 2. State (government, public sector) vs. society (markets, private sector)
I. Introduction (cont’d)
•B. System Governance. Formulation,
implementation, and enforcement of rules;
promotion of cooperation; management of conflict
• 1. Governance without government; governance
mechanisms (regimes)
• 2. Organizing principles: automaticity, supranationality,
hegemony, pluralism (negotiation, cooperation)
I. Introduction (cont’d)
• C. Globalization. Inter-national vs. globalized model of world
economy
II. Analytical Perspectives on Political
Economy
• 1. Liberalism
• 2. Realism (statism, economic nationalism, mercantilism)
• 3. Structuralism (Marxism, historical materialism)
II. Analytical Perspectives on IPE -
Liberalism
• A. Focus: individuals, households, enterprises
• B. Nature of economic relations: harmonious; interests reconcilable
• C. Relationship between economics and politics: economics drives
politics
II. Analytical Perspectives on IPE -
Realism
• A. Focus: states
• B. Nature of economic relations: conflictual (zero-sum game)
• C. Relationship between economics and politics: politics drives
economics
II. Analytical Perspectives on IPE -
Structuralism
• A. Focus: classes, social forces
• B. Nature of economic relations: conflictual (zero-sum game)
• Relationship between economics and politics: economics drives
politics
III. Alternative Perspectives on
Globalization
•1. Definition: a broadening, deepening, and
acceleration of interconnectedness of states and
markets; networks of connections at
intercontinental distances
•2. Alternative views: from “hyperglobalists” to
skeptics
•3. Why do we care? By creating a dissonance
between the jurisdiction of states and the domains
of markets, globalization problematizes governance:
who is in charge?
III. Globalization (cont’d)
• 4. Perspectives on causes and consequences
• A. Liberalism: triumph of markets; good for economic welfare
• B. Realism: product of state policy; bad for power of states
• C. Structuralism: triumph of markets; bad for poorer states and
disadvantaged classes
IV. International Economic History –
Nineteenth Century
• 1. Three major developments
• 2. Political economy issues
• 3. Key lessons
IV. Nineteenth Century - three major
developments
A. Monetary system: classical gold standard
B. Trading system: movement toward free trade in 1860s-70s, then
back toward protectionism
C. Core-periphery relations: rise of “new imperialism” after 1870s
IV. Nineteenth Century - political
economy issues
• A. Gold standard: What accounted for its stability and relatively
smooth operation?
• B. Trade: What accounted for the free trade movement in the 1860s-
70s? What accounted for the subsequent return to protectionism?
• C. Core-periphery relations: What accounted for the “new
imperialism?”
IV. Nineteenth Century - key lessons
• A. No single (mono-causal) explanations; need to sift the evidence.
• B. No single rule for all regimes; different governance mechanisms
can exist side by side
V. International economic history –
interwar period
• 1. Major developments
• A. Breakdown during World War I
• B. Attempted reconstruction during 1920s
• C. Renewed breakdown (Great Depression) during 1930s
V. Interwar period (cont’d)
• 2. Political economy issue: What explains the failure of the
attempted reconstruction?
• A. Liberalism: markets failed because of wrong-headed government policies
• B. Structuralism: internal contradictions of capitalism
• C. Realism: absence of effective governance (theory of hegemonic stability)
VI. International economic history –
postwar period
•1. Major developments
• A. Creation of new international institutions: IMF, World
Bank, GATT
• B. Cold War, leading to two separate blocs (East-West)
and the rest (Third World)
• C. Unprecedented economic growth (early years)
• D. Globalization
• E. Rise of Europe, Japan; East Asia; China and BRICs
• F. From G-7 to G-20
• G. Increasing instability
VI. Postwar period (cont’d)
• 2. Political economy issues
• A. What explains the origins of the postwar system?
• B. What accounted for the relative success of the system in its early years?
• C. What accounts for the increased instability in more recent years?
The World Economy Today
• 1. Major developments
• A. Globalization and Regionalism
• B. Shifting balance of power among states
• C. Key challenges: trade, finance, development, environment, energy
• 2. Political economy issues
• A. Can key challenges be managed?
• B. Where will leadership come from?
VII. International Trade
1. Basic issue: a tension between desire for material benefits of an
open system and pressure to promote/defend state and/or
particularist interests
a. Advantages of free trade: efficiency, growth
b. Disadvantages of free trade: dependence, losses to key constituencies
c. Collective action problem: how to manage the basic tension
VII. International Trade (cont’d)
•2. Postwar experience: GATT/WTO
• a. Purposes: liberalization, dispute resolution
• b. Principles: non-discrimination, reciprocity, safeguards
•3. Protectionism (actor behavior)
• a. Instruments of trade policy
• b. Arguments for protection
• c. Practical motivations
VII. International Trade (cont’d)
• 4. Managing the system (system governance)
• a. Promotion of liberalization
• b. Dispute resolution
• c. Safeguards
• d. Other current issues
VII. International Trade (cont’d)
• 5. From multilateralism to regionalism
• a. Types of regional trade agreements (RTAs, PTAs)
• b. Advantages and disadvantages
• i. For individual countries
• ii. For overall system (trade creation, trade diversion)
• c. Postwar experience
• i. First wave: 1950s-60s
• ii. Second wave since 1980s
• d. Why the renewed interest in RTAs?
• e. Significance for system governance
VIII. Money and Finance
•1. Basic issue: as with trade, a tension between
desire for the material benefits of an open system
and pressure to promote/defend state and/or
particularist interests
•2. Basic concepts
• a. Balance of payments; deficits
• b. Financing: reserves, borrowing, liquidity
• c. Adjustment: the “Three D’s,” “Unholy Trinity”
Balance of payments deficits
• In case of deficit, two basic choices
• Finance: (1) run down assets or (2) build up liabilities (borrow)
• Adjust: (1) reduce external spending or (2) increase external revenues
• How to adjust: the “Three D’s”
• Deflation: (1) tighter fiscal policy (decrease gov’t spending, raise taxes) or
monetary policy (higher interest rates)
• Devaluation (depreciation): lower exchange rate
• Direct controls: (1) trade controls (tariffs or NTBs) or (2) capital controls
• Is there another D? Answer: D’em others…
• Summary: the Unholy Trinity
The Unholy Trinity
VIII. Money and Finance (cont’d)
•3. Postwar experience
• a. IMF, Bretton Woods system
• b. Financing: US dollar, SDRS, capital markets
• c. Adjustment: breakdown of pegged exchange-rate
system – currency wars?
• d. Debt problems; financial crises
•4. Managing the system
• a. Exchange rates
• b. International capital markets
• c. International currencies
• d. Who’s in charge?
IX. Economic Development
• 1. The developing world: differentiated, difficult to generalize
• 2. Postwar rules: based on principle of non-discrimination; trade was
to function as an “engine of growth”
• 3. Postwar experience: mixed – some success stories, many
disappointments
IX. Development (cont’d)
•4. Why has trade failed as an engine of growth for
so many?
• a. Liberalism: market failures -- weak demand, weak
linkages, weak adaptive capacity
• b. Structuralism: natural result of capitalist exploitation
• c. Realism: result of power politics
• i. Role of great powers in writing the rules
• ii. Attempts at collective action by LDCs
• iii. Outcomes: partial success
IX. Development (cont’d)
• 5. Options for development strategies
• a. Export promotion
• i. Traditional exports
• Problems: inelastic demand, protectionism
• Cartels? Three conditions necessary for success: control largest part of supply; no close
substitutes; agreement on the sharing of benefits
• ii. Non-traditional exports: manufacturing, services
• b. Import substitution (“import substitution industrialization” – ISI)
• c. Regionalism
X. The Environment
•1. Basic problem: the environment is a collective
good, shared by all and owned by none (“tragedy of
the commons”); core issue is “externalities,” which
can cross borders
•2. Economic functions of the environment
• a. A consumption good
• b. A supplier of resources
• c. A receptacle of wastes
• d. The problem: not always mutually consistent, hence a
collective action problem – a system governance issue
X. Environment (cont’d)
•3. Practical dimensions
• a. Pollution (air, water, etc.)
• b. Deforestation
• c. Endangered species
•4. Possible solutions – approaches to governance
• a. Laissez faire
• b. National regulation
• c. Formal regimes
• d. Market approaches
• e. Paris Climate Accord (2015)
XI. Energy
• 1. Importance: the world’s single most widely
traded product
• 2. First regime: the Seven Sisters – a classic
cartel, successful because it met all three key
conditions necessary for success: control of
supply; no close substitutes; agreement on
sharing of benefits. In place until late 1960s
• 3. Second regime: OPEC
• a. Dramatic emergence in 1973
• b. Ups and downs of OPEC power since 1973
XI. Energy (cont’d)
•4. Reasons for variations of OPEC power over time
– back to the three key conditions for a successful
cartel
•5. OPEC’s biggest challenge: agreement on benefits
(limiting free riding)
• a. Low absorbers vs. high absorbers
• b. Special role of Saudi Arabia
•6. Prospects
• a. Demand side (conservation)
• b. Supply side: exploration, alternative forms of energy,
technology
XII. Multinational Corporations
• 1. Definition
• 2. Perspectives on the MNC
• 3. History
• a. Until 20th century, mostly extractive (farming, mining, etc.)
• b. Real growth began in 1950s, for 2 reasons
• i. European Common Market (trade diversion)
• ii. Decolonization (ISI development strategies)
• c. Changing sources and destination of foreign direct investment
(FDI)
• i. Increasing share of FDI from developing world
• ii. Increasing share of FDI going to developing world
XII. MNCs (cont’d)
•4. Perspective of home country
• i. Advantages: profits, market share
• ii. Disadvantages: avoidance of taxes, regulation
•5. Perspective of host country
• i. Advantages: capital, technology, management
expertise, market access
• ii. Disadvantage: loss of control
•6. Shifting and uncertain balance of power
between states and markets
• i. The obsolescent bargain
• ii. Multinational production, supply chains
XIII. Prospects for the Future
• 1. Postwar period has seen major structural changes
• a. Distribution of power between states
• b. Distribution of power between states and markets
• c. Global security environment
• 2. Future scenarios
• a. Automaticity?
• b. World economic government (supranationality)?
• c. Renewed hegemony (US? Europe? Japan? China?)?
• d. Cooperative regimes (automaticity + pluralism)?
• e. Governance by MNCs?
• f. Collapse and economic warfare?
• g. Most probable: a “mosaic” (all of the above)

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PS 186 outline slide show_1 (1).ppt

  • 2. I. Introduction – Conceptual and Analytical Issues • 1. What is International Political Economy? • 2. What are the issues? • A. Actor behavior • B. System governance • C. Globalization
  • 3. I. Introduction (cont’d) • A. Actor Behavior. How do we explain and evaluate the actions of states? • 1. Levels of analysis: international (structural, systemic) vs. domestic • 2. State (government, public sector) vs. society (markets, private sector)
  • 4. I. Introduction (cont’d) •B. System Governance. Formulation, implementation, and enforcement of rules; promotion of cooperation; management of conflict • 1. Governance without government; governance mechanisms (regimes) • 2. Organizing principles: automaticity, supranationality, hegemony, pluralism (negotiation, cooperation)
  • 5. I. Introduction (cont’d) • C. Globalization. Inter-national vs. globalized model of world economy
  • 6. II. Analytical Perspectives on Political Economy • 1. Liberalism • 2. Realism (statism, economic nationalism, mercantilism) • 3. Structuralism (Marxism, historical materialism)
  • 7. II. Analytical Perspectives on IPE - Liberalism • A. Focus: individuals, households, enterprises • B. Nature of economic relations: harmonious; interests reconcilable • C. Relationship between economics and politics: economics drives politics
  • 8. II. Analytical Perspectives on IPE - Realism • A. Focus: states • B. Nature of economic relations: conflictual (zero-sum game) • C. Relationship between economics and politics: politics drives economics
  • 9. II. Analytical Perspectives on IPE - Structuralism • A. Focus: classes, social forces • B. Nature of economic relations: conflictual (zero-sum game) • Relationship between economics and politics: economics drives politics
  • 10. III. Alternative Perspectives on Globalization •1. Definition: a broadening, deepening, and acceleration of interconnectedness of states and markets; networks of connections at intercontinental distances •2. Alternative views: from “hyperglobalists” to skeptics •3. Why do we care? By creating a dissonance between the jurisdiction of states and the domains of markets, globalization problematizes governance: who is in charge?
  • 11. III. Globalization (cont’d) • 4. Perspectives on causes and consequences • A. Liberalism: triumph of markets; good for economic welfare • B. Realism: product of state policy; bad for power of states • C. Structuralism: triumph of markets; bad for poorer states and disadvantaged classes
  • 12. IV. International Economic History – Nineteenth Century • 1. Three major developments • 2. Political economy issues • 3. Key lessons
  • 13. IV. Nineteenth Century - three major developments A. Monetary system: classical gold standard B. Trading system: movement toward free trade in 1860s-70s, then back toward protectionism C. Core-periphery relations: rise of “new imperialism” after 1870s
  • 14. IV. Nineteenth Century - political economy issues • A. Gold standard: What accounted for its stability and relatively smooth operation? • B. Trade: What accounted for the free trade movement in the 1860s- 70s? What accounted for the subsequent return to protectionism? • C. Core-periphery relations: What accounted for the “new imperialism?”
  • 15. IV. Nineteenth Century - key lessons • A. No single (mono-causal) explanations; need to sift the evidence. • B. No single rule for all regimes; different governance mechanisms can exist side by side
  • 16. V. International economic history – interwar period • 1. Major developments • A. Breakdown during World War I • B. Attempted reconstruction during 1920s • C. Renewed breakdown (Great Depression) during 1930s
  • 17. V. Interwar period (cont’d) • 2. Political economy issue: What explains the failure of the attempted reconstruction? • A. Liberalism: markets failed because of wrong-headed government policies • B. Structuralism: internal contradictions of capitalism • C. Realism: absence of effective governance (theory of hegemonic stability)
  • 18. VI. International economic history – postwar period •1. Major developments • A. Creation of new international institutions: IMF, World Bank, GATT • B. Cold War, leading to two separate blocs (East-West) and the rest (Third World) • C. Unprecedented economic growth (early years) • D. Globalization • E. Rise of Europe, Japan; East Asia; China and BRICs • F. From G-7 to G-20 • G. Increasing instability
  • 19. VI. Postwar period (cont’d) • 2. Political economy issues • A. What explains the origins of the postwar system? • B. What accounted for the relative success of the system in its early years? • C. What accounts for the increased instability in more recent years?
  • 20. The World Economy Today • 1. Major developments • A. Globalization and Regionalism • B. Shifting balance of power among states • C. Key challenges: trade, finance, development, environment, energy • 2. Political economy issues • A. Can key challenges be managed? • B. Where will leadership come from?
  • 21. VII. International Trade 1. Basic issue: a tension between desire for material benefits of an open system and pressure to promote/defend state and/or particularist interests a. Advantages of free trade: efficiency, growth b. Disadvantages of free trade: dependence, losses to key constituencies c. Collective action problem: how to manage the basic tension
  • 22. VII. International Trade (cont’d) •2. Postwar experience: GATT/WTO • a. Purposes: liberalization, dispute resolution • b. Principles: non-discrimination, reciprocity, safeguards •3. Protectionism (actor behavior) • a. Instruments of trade policy • b. Arguments for protection • c. Practical motivations
  • 23. VII. International Trade (cont’d) • 4. Managing the system (system governance) • a. Promotion of liberalization • b. Dispute resolution • c. Safeguards • d. Other current issues
  • 24. VII. International Trade (cont’d) • 5. From multilateralism to regionalism • a. Types of regional trade agreements (RTAs, PTAs) • b. Advantages and disadvantages • i. For individual countries • ii. For overall system (trade creation, trade diversion) • c. Postwar experience • i. First wave: 1950s-60s • ii. Second wave since 1980s • d. Why the renewed interest in RTAs? • e. Significance for system governance
  • 25. VIII. Money and Finance •1. Basic issue: as with trade, a tension between desire for the material benefits of an open system and pressure to promote/defend state and/or particularist interests •2. Basic concepts • a. Balance of payments; deficits • b. Financing: reserves, borrowing, liquidity • c. Adjustment: the “Three D’s,” “Unholy Trinity”
  • 26. Balance of payments deficits • In case of deficit, two basic choices • Finance: (1) run down assets or (2) build up liabilities (borrow) • Adjust: (1) reduce external spending or (2) increase external revenues • How to adjust: the “Three D’s” • Deflation: (1) tighter fiscal policy (decrease gov’t spending, raise taxes) or monetary policy (higher interest rates) • Devaluation (depreciation): lower exchange rate • Direct controls: (1) trade controls (tariffs or NTBs) or (2) capital controls • Is there another D? Answer: D’em others… • Summary: the Unholy Trinity
  • 28. VIII. Money and Finance (cont’d) •3. Postwar experience • a. IMF, Bretton Woods system • b. Financing: US dollar, SDRS, capital markets • c. Adjustment: breakdown of pegged exchange-rate system – currency wars? • d. Debt problems; financial crises •4. Managing the system • a. Exchange rates • b. International capital markets • c. International currencies • d. Who’s in charge?
  • 29. IX. Economic Development • 1. The developing world: differentiated, difficult to generalize • 2. Postwar rules: based on principle of non-discrimination; trade was to function as an “engine of growth” • 3. Postwar experience: mixed – some success stories, many disappointments
  • 30. IX. Development (cont’d) •4. Why has trade failed as an engine of growth for so many? • a. Liberalism: market failures -- weak demand, weak linkages, weak adaptive capacity • b. Structuralism: natural result of capitalist exploitation • c. Realism: result of power politics • i. Role of great powers in writing the rules • ii. Attempts at collective action by LDCs • iii. Outcomes: partial success
  • 31. IX. Development (cont’d) • 5. Options for development strategies • a. Export promotion • i. Traditional exports • Problems: inelastic demand, protectionism • Cartels? Three conditions necessary for success: control largest part of supply; no close substitutes; agreement on the sharing of benefits • ii. Non-traditional exports: manufacturing, services • b. Import substitution (“import substitution industrialization” – ISI) • c. Regionalism
  • 32. X. The Environment •1. Basic problem: the environment is a collective good, shared by all and owned by none (“tragedy of the commons”); core issue is “externalities,” which can cross borders •2. Economic functions of the environment • a. A consumption good • b. A supplier of resources • c. A receptacle of wastes • d. The problem: not always mutually consistent, hence a collective action problem – a system governance issue
  • 33. X. Environment (cont’d) •3. Practical dimensions • a. Pollution (air, water, etc.) • b. Deforestation • c. Endangered species •4. Possible solutions – approaches to governance • a. Laissez faire • b. National regulation • c. Formal regimes • d. Market approaches • e. Paris Climate Accord (2015)
  • 34. XI. Energy • 1. Importance: the world’s single most widely traded product • 2. First regime: the Seven Sisters – a classic cartel, successful because it met all three key conditions necessary for success: control of supply; no close substitutes; agreement on sharing of benefits. In place until late 1960s • 3. Second regime: OPEC • a. Dramatic emergence in 1973 • b. Ups and downs of OPEC power since 1973
  • 35. XI. Energy (cont’d) •4. Reasons for variations of OPEC power over time – back to the three key conditions for a successful cartel •5. OPEC’s biggest challenge: agreement on benefits (limiting free riding) • a. Low absorbers vs. high absorbers • b. Special role of Saudi Arabia •6. Prospects • a. Demand side (conservation) • b. Supply side: exploration, alternative forms of energy, technology
  • 36. XII. Multinational Corporations • 1. Definition • 2. Perspectives on the MNC • 3. History • a. Until 20th century, mostly extractive (farming, mining, etc.) • b. Real growth began in 1950s, for 2 reasons • i. European Common Market (trade diversion) • ii. Decolonization (ISI development strategies) • c. Changing sources and destination of foreign direct investment (FDI) • i. Increasing share of FDI from developing world • ii. Increasing share of FDI going to developing world
  • 37. XII. MNCs (cont’d) •4. Perspective of home country • i. Advantages: profits, market share • ii. Disadvantages: avoidance of taxes, regulation •5. Perspective of host country • i. Advantages: capital, technology, management expertise, market access • ii. Disadvantage: loss of control •6. Shifting and uncertain balance of power between states and markets • i. The obsolescent bargain • ii. Multinational production, supply chains
  • 38. XIII. Prospects for the Future • 1. Postwar period has seen major structural changes • a. Distribution of power between states • b. Distribution of power between states and markets • c. Global security environment • 2. Future scenarios • a. Automaticity? • b. World economic government (supranationality)? • c. Renewed hegemony (US? Europe? Japan? China?)? • d. Cooperative regimes (automaticity + pluralism)? • e. Governance by MNCs? • f. Collapse and economic warfare? • g. Most probable: a “mosaic” (all of the above)