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The Diachronic Evolution of R&D Expenditures of International Business and Its Impact on Retail Sales-GDP Considering the “Made In” Feature   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Aim of the Paper ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Theoretical Background Link between R&D  investments and Economic Growth  Romer (1990);   Grossman and Helpman (1991);  Lichtenberg and Siegel (1991); Spivack (2001);  Zachariadis (2004) ;  Sveikauskas (2007);  Ulku (2007);   Coe, Helpman &  Hoffmaister (2008); Cocchia (2008);  Link between R&D  investments Product Quality  and Competitiveness Amendola et al. (1992); Hall (1996); Klete & Griliches (1998); Brécard et al.(2006); Johansson (2007) Product Quality and  the “Made in” feature Khacaturian & Morganosky (1990);  Cordell (1991);  Nes & Bilkey (1993);  Schniederjans  et al.   (2004 );
Relationship between total R&D Expenditures & GDP per capita   (2007)
Data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Summary Statistics over time – Total Sample Source: OECD Economic Outlook database, OECD Science and Technology indicators, Barro and Lee (2000). The number of observations is 110. 25 25 25 25 25 Number of countries 1,71 1,78 1,75 1,94 2,19 Total  R&D expenditures (GERD) % GDP 1,04 1,07 0,98 1,04 1,40 Business sector R&D expenditures (BERD) % GDP 6,75 6,53 9,03 8,68 8,19 Average years of Education (M+F) 23,02 23,19 22,23 23,83 23,19 Investment Ratio (%) 29,96 24,49 19,45 16,10 12,57 GDP per capita in PPP (thousands) 2002-2007 1998-2002 1993-1997 1988-1992 1983-1987   0,32 3,92 0,95 1,87 Total  R&D expenditures (GERD) % GDP 0,07 2,98 0,81 1,08 Business sector R&D expenditures (BERD) % GDP 2,94 11,89 1,99 7,86 Average years of Education (M+F) 11,53 35,53 3,80 23,09 Investment Ratio (%) 4,25 46,95 8,56 20,58 GDP per capita in PPP (thousands) min max s.t. Mean  
The Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Model We can derive the regression equation by taking first differences in order to remove  the unobserved time-invariant, and the country-specific effects   E(y  it−s  , Δ e  it ) = 0  t = 3, . . . , T and s  ≥  2.   E( Δ x  it−s  ,  Δ e  it ) = 0  t = 3, . . . , T and s  ≥  2   The system GMM is obtained by level and first-differenced moment conditions.  Blundell and Bond (1998)  show that  the system GMM estimator produces large  increases in both consistency and efficiency.   E(eit , Δ yit−1) = 0  t = 3, . . . , T,  E(eit, Δ Xit−1, ) = 0  t = 3, . . . , T s  ≥  1.
Estimation Results for the system GMM estimator   Investments in R&D Positive and Statistically significant  ** Statistically significant at level 5%  * Statistically significant at level 10% Average years of EDU positive but Statistically insignificant H o : instruments are uncorrelated with the error term NOT REJECTED Wald test indicates that all variables are s.s. at least  1% level       (p-value 0.005) F(2, 18) = 7.29  Wald-test: EDU = BERDXGDP = 0 Sargan test of overidentifying restrictions (p-value) 0.032       2.54 0.180 ** Constant 3.45 0.078 ** Δ  ln BERD % GDP (BERD) 0.48 0.068 Δ  ln average years education (EDU) 5.33 0.365 ** Δ  ln investment ratio (INV) 19.55 0.506 ** Lagged  Δ  ln GDP per capita, in const.  PPP t-test Coefficient   
Estimation Results Fixed effects results based on five year averages   The fixed effects results show R&D in the business   sector  is  positive and significant at the  5%  level     R 2  (within) = 32.97% No of groups :   21 No of observations:  92             4.64 9.061 ** Constant - 2.47 -0.510 ** ln EDU 3.37 0.976 ** ln BERD % GDP - 0.12 -0.444 ln Investment Ratio       t-test Coefficient    GDP per capita, in const.  PPP Dependent variable:
Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Future Research ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],?
[object Object],[object Object],Questions

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Presentation Af Gb 2008

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. Theoretical Background Link between R&D investments and Economic Growth Romer (1990); Grossman and Helpman (1991); Lichtenberg and Siegel (1991); Spivack (2001); Zachariadis (2004) ; Sveikauskas (2007); Ulku (2007); Coe, Helpman & Hoffmaister (2008); Cocchia (2008); Link between R&D investments Product Quality and Competitiveness Amendola et al. (1992); Hall (1996); Klete & Griliches (1998); Brécard et al.(2006); Johansson (2007) Product Quality and the “Made in” feature Khacaturian & Morganosky (1990); Cordell (1991); Nes & Bilkey (1993); Schniederjans et al. (2004 );
  • 4. Relationship between total R&D Expenditures & GDP per capita (2007)
  • 5.
  • 6. Summary Statistics over time – Total Sample Source: OECD Economic Outlook database, OECD Science and Technology indicators, Barro and Lee (2000). The number of observations is 110. 25 25 25 25 25 Number of countries 1,71 1,78 1,75 1,94 2,19 Total R&D expenditures (GERD) % GDP 1,04 1,07 0,98 1,04 1,40 Business sector R&D expenditures (BERD) % GDP 6,75 6,53 9,03 8,68 8,19 Average years of Education (M+F) 23,02 23,19 22,23 23,83 23,19 Investment Ratio (%) 29,96 24,49 19,45 16,10 12,57 GDP per capita in PPP (thousands) 2002-2007 1998-2002 1993-1997 1988-1992 1983-1987   0,32 3,92 0,95 1,87 Total R&D expenditures (GERD) % GDP 0,07 2,98 0,81 1,08 Business sector R&D expenditures (BERD) % GDP 2,94 11,89 1,99 7,86 Average years of Education (M+F) 11,53 35,53 3,80 23,09 Investment Ratio (%) 4,25 46,95 8,56 20,58 GDP per capita in PPP (thousands) min max s.t. Mean  
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  • 8. The Model We can derive the regression equation by taking first differences in order to remove the unobserved time-invariant, and the country-specific effects E(y it−s , Δ e it ) = 0 t = 3, . . . , T and s ≥ 2. E( Δ x it−s , Δ e it ) = 0 t = 3, . . . , T and s ≥ 2 The system GMM is obtained by level and first-differenced moment conditions. Blundell and Bond (1998) show that the system GMM estimator produces large increases in both consistency and efficiency. E(eit , Δ yit−1) = 0 t = 3, . . . , T, E(eit, Δ Xit−1, ) = 0 t = 3, . . . , T s ≥ 1.
  • 9. Estimation Results for the system GMM estimator Investments in R&D Positive and Statistically significant ** Statistically significant at level 5% * Statistically significant at level 10% Average years of EDU positive but Statistically insignificant H o : instruments are uncorrelated with the error term NOT REJECTED Wald test indicates that all variables are s.s. at least 1% level       (p-value 0.005) F(2, 18) = 7.29 Wald-test: EDU = BERDXGDP = 0 Sargan test of overidentifying restrictions (p-value) 0.032       2.54 0.180 ** Constant 3.45 0.078 ** Δ ln BERD % GDP (BERD) 0.48 0.068 Δ ln average years education (EDU) 5.33 0.365 ** Δ ln investment ratio (INV) 19.55 0.506 ** Lagged Δ ln GDP per capita, in const. PPP t-test Coefficient  
  • 10. Estimation Results Fixed effects results based on five year averages The fixed effects results show R&D in the business sector is positive and significant at the 5% level     R 2 (within) = 32.97% No of groups : 21 No of observations: 92             4.64 9.061 ** Constant - 2.47 -0.510 ** ln EDU 3.37 0.976 ** ln BERD % GDP - 0.12 -0.444 ln Investment Ratio       t-test Coefficient   GDP per capita, in const. PPP Dependent variable:
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