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Rapid Transformation 
of the Aquaculture 
Value Chain in 
Bangladesh 
Ricardo Hernandez, Ben Belton, 
Thomas Reardon, Shahid Rashid, 
Kaikaus Ahmed, Xiaobo Zhang and 
Akhter Ahmed 
Workshop on 
Evidence-Based Policy Options 
For Food And Nutrition Security 
in Bangladesh 
1 October 2014, Dhaka
Trends in Bangladesh Fish Economy 
Fish important to food security (availability): 
2/3 of Bangladesh’s animal source food consumption 
is from fish, 1/3 from meat 
Perception : fish sector is underdeveloped, slow 
growing, traditional 
Reality: very rapid growth and transformation in 
all segments of the fish value chain
Fish consumption growing fast: 
1.8 MMT in 2002  3.6 MMT in 2012, 100% in 10 years! 
Aquaculture important in fish/shrimp production. 
From 2000 to 2012: 
Inland capture  62% 
Marine capture  70% 
Aquaculture  220%!! 
Export Market  135% 
Local Market  100%
The importance of fish for food and 
nutrition security in Bangladesh 
Percentage of Bangladeshi households consuming nutrient rich foods on 0-2, 3-6, 7- 
10, or 11-14 days during the preceding 2 weeks 
(Toufique & Belton, 2014)
Aquaculture is important to food security 
(access via incomes & employment) 
Both farm and off-farm employment 
The attention of the sector demonstrates 
“export” bias 
Aquaculture has been the answer of the hidden 
miracle of the domestic market
The Rapid Growth of Aquaculture and 
the Local Market 
2,500 
2,000 
1,500 
1,000 
500 
Source: Statistical Yearbook of Bangladesh, 
Fisheries Statistical Yearbook of Bangladesh 
12% 
10% 
8% 
6% 
4% 
2% 
0% 
0 
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 
Percentage 
Volume (thousands MT) 
Capture Marine Culture Export Exports (Q/Share) Exports (V/Share)
VC Transformation: Formation of Clusters 
• Cluster formation in particular geographic 
areas is an important part of sector 
development 
• Several types of clusters: 
- New fish areas 
- Early fish and shrimp areas
VC Transformation: Structural Change 
• Rapid development of the off-farm components 
- Upstream: hatcheries and feed milling 
- Midstream & downstream: transport, wholesaling, 
retailing and processing 
• The upstream and midstream VC development 
kept pace with the rapid growth in fish 
production 
• Smallholders can specialize in pond operation, 
enjoy cost savings via economies of scale, scope, 
and agglomeration
• Farmers have additional sources of funding for 
operations, investment, and tech change. 
- Output tied credit market 
- Feed, fingerlings and fry sales on credit 
• Concentration & increase of enterprise scale in all 
segments of the VC 
- Large proliferation of hatcheries 
- extensive leasing-in land, converting paddy land to pond 
• The VC has “lengthened” geographically 
- Distance from farmer to consumer 
- Distance from input supplier to farmer and feed mill 
- Input acquisition stretches internationally, including FDI
VC Transformation: Product Cycle 
• Series of stages driven by: competition, tech change, 
market expansion, and product introduction. 
- (1) local niche (2) commodity stage (3) product 
differentiation (4) commodity stage (5) new niche or 
differentiated product 
• In Bangladesh we discern 3 stages: 
- In the 80s, shift from fishing to pond farming using native 
carp species 
- In the 1990s, exotic Pangas (catfish), and widespread 
hatchery production of monosex Tilapia in early 2000s 
- In late 2000s, introduction of native fish species, such as 
Koi (climbing perch), magur, shing, chitol, pabda. Once 
common, now scarce in the wild
Fish consumption by species and income 
in 2006-07 
Quantity of fish consumed in preceding 3 days by income 
group and species (2006/7). (Belton et al 2014)
Fish consumption by species and income 
in 2011-12 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
Pangas Silver 
Carp 
Tilapia Rui Puti Taki Mrigel Dry Fish Koi Shrimp Hilsa 
Quantity in g 
Quantity consumed per capita in the last 7 days. Source: 
IFPRI BIHS survey 2011 
Q1 
Q2 
Q3 
Q4 
Q5
VC Transformation: Rapid Technology Change 
• Upstream-farm segment TC: 
- Fishing/capture  pond production 
- Backyard ponds  commercial ponds 
- Intermediate stage intensification 
- No feed  artisanal feed  commercial (sinking to 
floating) 
- Hired labor, use of vitamins, antibiotics, lime 
- Pond productivity rose between 3-25 times higher than 
backyard
• Upstream-input supply TC: 
- Feed mills: from 7-8 in 1999 to 100 in 2012 (10% large scale) 
- Hand mixing  feed mills  differentiation of feed types  
extrusion 
- Hatcheries: wild fry or PL for stocking  hatcheries & nurseries 
- Diffusion  scale increase  concentration 
- Hatcheries’ “change agents” are varied: Government, NGOs, 
returning workers, large farmers 
• Midstream/downstream TC: 
- Wholesale sector rapidly expanding – rural fish wholesale markets 
- Expansion of fish seed wholesalers, feed dealers 
- Ag input stores now have “fish input lines”.
CONCLUSIONS 
• The fish VC in Bangladesh is transforming very 
rapidly, in all segments. Home grown-home 
experienced market revolution. 
• Transformation relied heavily on private sector 
(formal and informal) 
• Government paved the way between explosion 
of rural supply and the booming urban demand 
• The main problems remain cost of fuel, cost and 
access to electricity, cost of feed, and quality of 
inputs.

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Rapid Transformation of the Aquaculture Value Chain in Bangladesh by Ricardo Hernandez

  • 1. Rapid Transformation of the Aquaculture Value Chain in Bangladesh Ricardo Hernandez, Ben Belton, Thomas Reardon, Shahid Rashid, Kaikaus Ahmed, Xiaobo Zhang and Akhter Ahmed Workshop on Evidence-Based Policy Options For Food And Nutrition Security in Bangladesh 1 October 2014, Dhaka
  • 2. Trends in Bangladesh Fish Economy Fish important to food security (availability): 2/3 of Bangladesh’s animal source food consumption is from fish, 1/3 from meat Perception : fish sector is underdeveloped, slow growing, traditional Reality: very rapid growth and transformation in all segments of the fish value chain
  • 3. Fish consumption growing fast: 1.8 MMT in 2002  3.6 MMT in 2012, 100% in 10 years! Aquaculture important in fish/shrimp production. From 2000 to 2012: Inland capture  62% Marine capture  70% Aquaculture  220%!! Export Market  135% Local Market  100%
  • 4. The importance of fish for food and nutrition security in Bangladesh Percentage of Bangladeshi households consuming nutrient rich foods on 0-2, 3-6, 7- 10, or 11-14 days during the preceding 2 weeks (Toufique & Belton, 2014)
  • 5. Aquaculture is important to food security (access via incomes & employment) Both farm and off-farm employment The attention of the sector demonstrates “export” bias Aquaculture has been the answer of the hidden miracle of the domestic market
  • 6. The Rapid Growth of Aquaculture and the Local Market 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 Source: Statistical Yearbook of Bangladesh, Fisheries Statistical Yearbook of Bangladesh 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Percentage Volume (thousands MT) Capture Marine Culture Export Exports (Q/Share) Exports (V/Share)
  • 7. VC Transformation: Formation of Clusters • Cluster formation in particular geographic areas is an important part of sector development • Several types of clusters: - New fish areas - Early fish and shrimp areas
  • 8. VC Transformation: Structural Change • Rapid development of the off-farm components - Upstream: hatcheries and feed milling - Midstream & downstream: transport, wholesaling, retailing and processing • The upstream and midstream VC development kept pace with the rapid growth in fish production • Smallholders can specialize in pond operation, enjoy cost savings via economies of scale, scope, and agglomeration
  • 9. • Farmers have additional sources of funding for operations, investment, and tech change. - Output tied credit market - Feed, fingerlings and fry sales on credit • Concentration & increase of enterprise scale in all segments of the VC - Large proliferation of hatcheries - extensive leasing-in land, converting paddy land to pond • The VC has “lengthened” geographically - Distance from farmer to consumer - Distance from input supplier to farmer and feed mill - Input acquisition stretches internationally, including FDI
  • 10. VC Transformation: Product Cycle • Series of stages driven by: competition, tech change, market expansion, and product introduction. - (1) local niche (2) commodity stage (3) product differentiation (4) commodity stage (5) new niche or differentiated product • In Bangladesh we discern 3 stages: - In the 80s, shift from fishing to pond farming using native carp species - In the 1990s, exotic Pangas (catfish), and widespread hatchery production of monosex Tilapia in early 2000s - In late 2000s, introduction of native fish species, such as Koi (climbing perch), magur, shing, chitol, pabda. Once common, now scarce in the wild
  • 11. Fish consumption by species and income in 2006-07 Quantity of fish consumed in preceding 3 days by income group and species (2006/7). (Belton et al 2014)
  • 12. Fish consumption by species and income in 2011-12 50 40 30 20 10 0 Pangas Silver Carp Tilapia Rui Puti Taki Mrigel Dry Fish Koi Shrimp Hilsa Quantity in g Quantity consumed per capita in the last 7 days. Source: IFPRI BIHS survey 2011 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5
  • 13. VC Transformation: Rapid Technology Change • Upstream-farm segment TC: - Fishing/capture  pond production - Backyard ponds  commercial ponds - Intermediate stage intensification - No feed  artisanal feed  commercial (sinking to floating) - Hired labor, use of vitamins, antibiotics, lime - Pond productivity rose between 3-25 times higher than backyard
  • 14. • Upstream-input supply TC: - Feed mills: from 7-8 in 1999 to 100 in 2012 (10% large scale) - Hand mixing  feed mills  differentiation of feed types  extrusion - Hatcheries: wild fry or PL for stocking  hatcheries & nurseries - Diffusion  scale increase  concentration - Hatcheries’ “change agents” are varied: Government, NGOs, returning workers, large farmers • Midstream/downstream TC: - Wholesale sector rapidly expanding – rural fish wholesale markets - Expansion of fish seed wholesalers, feed dealers - Ag input stores now have “fish input lines”.
  • 15. CONCLUSIONS • The fish VC in Bangladesh is transforming very rapidly, in all segments. Home grown-home experienced market revolution. • Transformation relied heavily on private sector (formal and informal) • Government paved the way between explosion of rural supply and the booming urban demand • The main problems remain cost of fuel, cost and access to electricity, cost of feed, and quality of inputs.

Editor's Notes

  1. - Fish farming is everywhere, but more commercially developed in 90s and 2000s New areas: comilla, mymensingh in the 90s, and later bogra Traditional areas: well watered areas along the south coast, Khulna-Satkhira-jessore, cox’s bazar New &early:
  2. This has occurred within the last 5-10 years - Small farmers are shifting away from digging their own ponds, procuring/nursing their seed, producing their own feed
  3. - Added economy of proximity and proliferation The most evident concentration happened in the feed segment Hatcheries in 200s, and emergence of large hatcheries The emergence of commercialized farms Typical trend in transformation and modernization of supply chains feed mills concentrated around poultry mills for centralized acquisition of inputs, yet they sell everywhere in the country, hatcheries clustered in bogra and jessore and selling in Mymensingh Dried fish mainly produced from marine bangla, now increasingly imported from india, imported soy, imported medicines FDI, feedmills coming from india, china, thailand
  4. Massive investments have been mainly PS The govt role creating enabling conditions, building roads, wholesale markets, electrifying, liberalizing the trade and FDI regimes