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Contents
 Introduction
 What is Design Of Experiments ?
 Problem statement
 Methodology
 ANOVA Study
 System Modelling
 Model Validation and Optimization
 Experimental Setup
 Results
29 April 2023 1
Introduction
 It is generally recognized that direct use of main design data model is as
unifying agent in the design process. In return, this tends to force a
clarification of the process and a reduction in time.
29 April 2023 2
What is Design Of Experiments (DOE) ?
• It is a branch of applied statistics and a
powerful data collection and analysis tool that
can be used in a variety of experimental
situations like determining the effect of a
desired response, identifying important
interactions when experimenting one factor at
a time, etc...
29 April 2023 3
Problem statement
Space cooling using air conditioning and lighting are the main source of
energy consumptions in buildings in hot climates, but a typical
optimization analysis for a project like this can take years to iterate over 20
design variables each with three parametric levels, making it
computationally intensive.
29 April 2023 4
Methodology
To overcome this issue, an approach is proposed using a combination of
experimental design techniques (Fractional Factorial Design and Response
Surface Methodology) which are faster than a simulation model.
29 April 2023 5
Variables
29 April 2023 6
Variables Definition
 Visible Light Transmission (VLT): It is a measurement of the amount of light in the visible portion
of the spectrum that passes through the glass.
 Window U-Value: is a measure of the rate at which heat transfers through the window itself.
 Overhang Depth: Fin Depth:
29 April 2023 7
Variables
 Initial independent Variable: 26 design variables
 352 simulation runs were automated using VBA EnergyPlus batch file taking 9.5 hours on an
Intel® Core™ i7-2670QM processor.
 FFD : resolution V design, main effects and the two factor interactions.
 Dependent variable : Annual Cooling and lighting Energy consumption
 Design-Expert® software is used for the FFD, Box-Behnken RSM design and ANOVA..
 Some Control Variables:
 The equipment EUI is 58 kWh/(m2·yr)
 Air-conditioning set points are assumed to be 22 °C – 27 °C
 The structural material for the base case is taken as concrete
 Daylighting controls are used in each zone to reduce the lighting energy consumption
29 April 2023 8
ANOVA Study
29 April 2023 9
ANOVA Result
 For the lighting energy response variable. ( For All zone)
o Window VLT for each facade
o WWR for each facade
o and the interactions involving them
o explain more than 80% of the total variance
 For the cooling energy response variable. ( For All zone)
o WWR window for each facade
o SHGC for each facade,
o window U-value
o and wall insulation
o roof ρ and roof insulation are also important for zone 3.
o These variables and the interactions involving them : 80% of the total variance
29 April 2023 10
Results
29 April 2023 11
System Modelling
• Various methods can be used to model system behavior
• Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) & Support Vector Machines (SVM) are most
commonly used Machine Learning models for building design.
• ANN & SVM require a lot of experience and knowledge which limits the modelling
of building design
29 April 2023 12
System Modelling
• Response Surface Modelling (RSM) is easier to use, doesn’t require training and
can be of sufficient accuracy if an adequate model is selected thus, RSM can
increase the application of system modelling in building design
• After FFD is used to screen the variables, the significant ones are used for RSM
using a more complicated design that can capture non linear effects using 3 levels
to increase the accuracy while maintaining a reasonable number of trials
• Box Behnken or Central Composite Design can used for RSM of the different
responses (lighting energy response, zones 1&2, zone 3 cooling energy responses)
29 April 2023 13
Responses RSMs
Response Surface Models for the different responses using the screened variables
are:
• Annual lighting energy for each zone=
𝑓 (𝑉𝐿𝑇 − 𝑁, 𝑉𝐿𝑇 − 𝐸, 𝑉𝐿𝑇 − 𝑊, 𝑉𝐿𝑇 − 𝑆, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑁, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝐸, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑊, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑆)
• Annual cooling energy for zone 1 and zone 2 =
𝑓 (𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑁, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝐸, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑊, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑆, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑁, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝐸, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑊, 𝑊𝑊𝑅
− 𝑆 , 𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑜𝑤 𝑈 − 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒, 𝑊𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛)
• Annual cooling energy for zone 3=
𝑓 (𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑁, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝐸, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑊, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑆, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑁, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝐸, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑊, 𝑊𝑊𝑅
− 𝑆 , 𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑜𝑤 𝑈 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒, 𝑊𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛, 𝑅𝑜𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔, 𝑅𝑜𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛)
29 April 2023 14
Box Behnken Design for RSM
Form the table showing trials required for Box Behnken
Design:
• For 8 variables ( lighting response): 113 runs performed.
• For 10 variables ( for zones 1 and 2 for cooling response):
161 runs performed.
• For 12 variables ( for zone 3 for cooling response): 193
runs performed.
The results are used to fit a regression model which is then
validated
29 April 2023 15
Model Validation
• Various methods can be used to assess the quality of a model such as (runs plot,
normal probability plot, Box& Whisker plot ..etc)
• Latin hybercube is a sampling method that is often used construct computer
experiments
• Monte carlo is a class of computational algorithms that rely on repeated random
sampling to obtain numerical values
• Latin hypercube sampling and Monte Carlo sampling are each used to generate
125 test cases for the lighting and cooling energy of the three zones
29 April 2023 16
Model Validation
• Results obtained from the
models and simulation runs
at the sampled test cases are
compared as follows:
29 April 2023 17
Model Validation
• Box and Whisker plots are represented for the models
29 April 2023 18
Optimization
• Single objective function: minimizing lifecycle cost (LCC) of the building
29 April 2023 19
Optimization
• The objective function is
optimized by Genetic
Algorithms (GA) on Matlab
• Total 1000 simulation runs
are compared for 3 cases
29 April 2023 20
Optimization
• Multi objective functions: to minimize LCC and energy use intensity (EUI).
29 April 2023 21
Discussion Summary
• This paper discussed energy consumption minimization in buildings by defining the optimum
settings for the independent variables affecting the consumption.
• Two main significant variables affecting the energy consumption in buildings are lighting and
cooling energies
• Design of Experiments was chosen over “building simulation-based optimization” because
these analyses require a large number of simulations to find the optimal building designs and
hence, they may not be viable as they are computationally intensive
29 April 2023 22
Discussion Summary
• The methodology is illustrated for a 3-storey office building in
for New Delhi.
• Each floor has two blocks of 9 X 9 X 3 .
• This area on each floor is considered as a thermal zone and is
centrally air-conditioned.
• This leads to three zones on three floors with air-conditioning
• Sequence of work is categorized in 4 main phases.
29 April 2023 23
Phase 1: experimental set-up
• Choosing 26 independent variables.
• Identifying the domain for each variable.
• Performing FFD (fractional factorial design) with 352 runs.
29 April 2023 24
Phase 2: Modelling
• Running ANOVA
• Results show:
1) 8 significant variables affecting the lighting energy.
2) 10 significant variables affecting the cooling energy of zones 1 & 2.
3) 12 significant variables affecting the cooling energy of zone 3.
• BOX Behnken design used on variables that don’t satisfy normality criteria
• Eliminating least significant variables
29 April 2023 25
Phase 3: Validation using Surrogate Models
• For validation purposes a surrogate model is used which in this case is an RSM
design
• Performing ANOVA to output the surface model function
• Do some refinements in order to improve the adequacy checks
• Compare the results with previously constructed model
• Iterate till the error percentage is less than 10%
29 April 2023 26
Phase 4: Optimization
• Optimization techniques are performed on the refined response equation
• Best response is identified.
• Best solution is selected
29 April 2023 27
Criticism
• Very large fractionation is performed which definitely impacted the accuracy of the results
negatively.
• Significance of variables are assessed based on contribution to the total SS, it would have been
better if it was assessed against a certain confidence interval
• The model only used two levels of each of the design variables which assume a monotonic
relationship of the design variables with the response. A non-linear relationship might have been
better. However, 2-levels models save a lot of time in screening variable at the beginning.
• Despite the fact that Surrogate models such as RSM saves a lot of computational time, they
sometimes are not very useful with sensitive objective functions because any small deviation
would result in a great reduction in the optimum.
29 April 2023 28
Conclusion
• Design of experiments is proved to be time and cost effective by highlighting the significant variables and screening non-
significant variables at low cost and time by performing fractional factorial designs.
• FFD screens the most important design variables for which the SMs are created.
• The SMs are orders of magnitude faster than the simulation model by approximating the simulation model behavior.
• This model helps in achieving the best solution as well as the minimum computational time as compared to other cases.
“The optimization with GA using these SMs leads to quick analyses of single- and multi-objective optimization , resulting in a
better solution than GA directly coupled to the simulation model.”
• The model is set only one time and can be fit to be used for many objectives.
“The SMs developed through this analysis can be used for mass housing projects for a given climate by architects or other
building industry professionals, who do not have a background in building simulation.”
29 April 2023 29
References
• Alvarez LF (2000). Design optimization based on genetic
programming. PhD Thesis, University of Bradford, UK.
• Deb K (2001). Multi-Objective Optimization Using Evolutionary
Algorithms. Chichester, UK: John Wiley & Sons.
• Dhariwal J, Banerjee R (2015).Building simulation based optimization
through design of experiments. Paper presented at 2nd IBPSAItaly
Conference (BSA2015), Bozen-Bolzano
29 April 2023 30
29 April 2023 31

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presentation 2.pptx

  • 1. Contents  Introduction  What is Design Of Experiments ?  Problem statement  Methodology  ANOVA Study  System Modelling  Model Validation and Optimization  Experimental Setup  Results 29 April 2023 1
  • 2. Introduction  It is generally recognized that direct use of main design data model is as unifying agent in the design process. In return, this tends to force a clarification of the process and a reduction in time. 29 April 2023 2
  • 3. What is Design Of Experiments (DOE) ? • It is a branch of applied statistics and a powerful data collection and analysis tool that can be used in a variety of experimental situations like determining the effect of a desired response, identifying important interactions when experimenting one factor at a time, etc... 29 April 2023 3
  • 4. Problem statement Space cooling using air conditioning and lighting are the main source of energy consumptions in buildings in hot climates, but a typical optimization analysis for a project like this can take years to iterate over 20 design variables each with three parametric levels, making it computationally intensive. 29 April 2023 4
  • 5. Methodology To overcome this issue, an approach is proposed using a combination of experimental design techniques (Fractional Factorial Design and Response Surface Methodology) which are faster than a simulation model. 29 April 2023 5
  • 7. Variables Definition  Visible Light Transmission (VLT): It is a measurement of the amount of light in the visible portion of the spectrum that passes through the glass.  Window U-Value: is a measure of the rate at which heat transfers through the window itself.  Overhang Depth: Fin Depth: 29 April 2023 7
  • 8. Variables  Initial independent Variable: 26 design variables  352 simulation runs were automated using VBA EnergyPlus batch file taking 9.5 hours on an Intel® Core™ i7-2670QM processor.  FFD : resolution V design, main effects and the two factor interactions.  Dependent variable : Annual Cooling and lighting Energy consumption  Design-Expert® software is used for the FFD, Box-Behnken RSM design and ANOVA..  Some Control Variables:  The equipment EUI is 58 kWh/(m2·yr)  Air-conditioning set points are assumed to be 22 °C – 27 °C  The structural material for the base case is taken as concrete  Daylighting controls are used in each zone to reduce the lighting energy consumption 29 April 2023 8
  • 10. ANOVA Result  For the lighting energy response variable. ( For All zone) o Window VLT for each facade o WWR for each facade o and the interactions involving them o explain more than 80% of the total variance  For the cooling energy response variable. ( For All zone) o WWR window for each facade o SHGC for each facade, o window U-value o and wall insulation o roof ρ and roof insulation are also important for zone 3. o These variables and the interactions involving them : 80% of the total variance 29 April 2023 10
  • 12. System Modelling • Various methods can be used to model system behavior • Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) & Support Vector Machines (SVM) are most commonly used Machine Learning models for building design. • ANN & SVM require a lot of experience and knowledge which limits the modelling of building design 29 April 2023 12
  • 13. System Modelling • Response Surface Modelling (RSM) is easier to use, doesn’t require training and can be of sufficient accuracy if an adequate model is selected thus, RSM can increase the application of system modelling in building design • After FFD is used to screen the variables, the significant ones are used for RSM using a more complicated design that can capture non linear effects using 3 levels to increase the accuracy while maintaining a reasonable number of trials • Box Behnken or Central Composite Design can used for RSM of the different responses (lighting energy response, zones 1&2, zone 3 cooling energy responses) 29 April 2023 13
  • 14. Responses RSMs Response Surface Models for the different responses using the screened variables are: • Annual lighting energy for each zone= 𝑓 (𝑉𝐿𝑇 − 𝑁, 𝑉𝐿𝑇 − 𝐸, 𝑉𝐿𝑇 − 𝑊, 𝑉𝐿𝑇 − 𝑆, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑁, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝐸, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑊, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑆) • Annual cooling energy for zone 1 and zone 2 = 𝑓 (𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑁, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝐸, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑊, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑆, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑁, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝐸, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑊, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑆 , 𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑜𝑤 𝑈 − 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒, 𝑊𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛) • Annual cooling energy for zone 3= 𝑓 (𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑁, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝐸, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑊, 𝑆𝐻𝐺𝐶 − 𝑆, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑁, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝐸, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑊, 𝑊𝑊𝑅 − 𝑆 , 𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑜𝑤 𝑈 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒, 𝑊𝑎𝑙𝑙 𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛, 𝑅𝑜𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑒𝑓𝑙𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔, 𝑅𝑜𝑜𝑓 𝑖𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛) 29 April 2023 14
  • 15. Box Behnken Design for RSM Form the table showing trials required for Box Behnken Design: • For 8 variables ( lighting response): 113 runs performed. • For 10 variables ( for zones 1 and 2 for cooling response): 161 runs performed. • For 12 variables ( for zone 3 for cooling response): 193 runs performed. The results are used to fit a regression model which is then validated 29 April 2023 15
  • 16. Model Validation • Various methods can be used to assess the quality of a model such as (runs plot, normal probability plot, Box& Whisker plot ..etc) • Latin hybercube is a sampling method that is often used construct computer experiments • Monte carlo is a class of computational algorithms that rely on repeated random sampling to obtain numerical values • Latin hypercube sampling and Monte Carlo sampling are each used to generate 125 test cases for the lighting and cooling energy of the three zones 29 April 2023 16
  • 17. Model Validation • Results obtained from the models and simulation runs at the sampled test cases are compared as follows: 29 April 2023 17
  • 18. Model Validation • Box and Whisker plots are represented for the models 29 April 2023 18
  • 19. Optimization • Single objective function: minimizing lifecycle cost (LCC) of the building 29 April 2023 19
  • 20. Optimization • The objective function is optimized by Genetic Algorithms (GA) on Matlab • Total 1000 simulation runs are compared for 3 cases 29 April 2023 20
  • 21. Optimization • Multi objective functions: to minimize LCC and energy use intensity (EUI). 29 April 2023 21
  • 22. Discussion Summary • This paper discussed energy consumption minimization in buildings by defining the optimum settings for the independent variables affecting the consumption. • Two main significant variables affecting the energy consumption in buildings are lighting and cooling energies • Design of Experiments was chosen over “building simulation-based optimization” because these analyses require a large number of simulations to find the optimal building designs and hence, they may not be viable as they are computationally intensive 29 April 2023 22
  • 23. Discussion Summary • The methodology is illustrated for a 3-storey office building in for New Delhi. • Each floor has two blocks of 9 X 9 X 3 . • This area on each floor is considered as a thermal zone and is centrally air-conditioned. • This leads to three zones on three floors with air-conditioning • Sequence of work is categorized in 4 main phases. 29 April 2023 23
  • 24. Phase 1: experimental set-up • Choosing 26 independent variables. • Identifying the domain for each variable. • Performing FFD (fractional factorial design) with 352 runs. 29 April 2023 24
  • 25. Phase 2: Modelling • Running ANOVA • Results show: 1) 8 significant variables affecting the lighting energy. 2) 10 significant variables affecting the cooling energy of zones 1 & 2. 3) 12 significant variables affecting the cooling energy of zone 3. • BOX Behnken design used on variables that don’t satisfy normality criteria • Eliminating least significant variables 29 April 2023 25
  • 26. Phase 3: Validation using Surrogate Models • For validation purposes a surrogate model is used which in this case is an RSM design • Performing ANOVA to output the surface model function • Do some refinements in order to improve the adequacy checks • Compare the results with previously constructed model • Iterate till the error percentage is less than 10% 29 April 2023 26
  • 27. Phase 4: Optimization • Optimization techniques are performed on the refined response equation • Best response is identified. • Best solution is selected 29 April 2023 27
  • 28. Criticism • Very large fractionation is performed which definitely impacted the accuracy of the results negatively. • Significance of variables are assessed based on contribution to the total SS, it would have been better if it was assessed against a certain confidence interval • The model only used two levels of each of the design variables which assume a monotonic relationship of the design variables with the response. A non-linear relationship might have been better. However, 2-levels models save a lot of time in screening variable at the beginning. • Despite the fact that Surrogate models such as RSM saves a lot of computational time, they sometimes are not very useful with sensitive objective functions because any small deviation would result in a great reduction in the optimum. 29 April 2023 28
  • 29. Conclusion • Design of experiments is proved to be time and cost effective by highlighting the significant variables and screening non- significant variables at low cost and time by performing fractional factorial designs. • FFD screens the most important design variables for which the SMs are created. • The SMs are orders of magnitude faster than the simulation model by approximating the simulation model behavior. • This model helps in achieving the best solution as well as the minimum computational time as compared to other cases. “The optimization with GA using these SMs leads to quick analyses of single- and multi-objective optimization , resulting in a better solution than GA directly coupled to the simulation model.” • The model is set only one time and can be fit to be used for many objectives. “The SMs developed through this analysis can be used for mass housing projects for a given climate by architects or other building industry professionals, who do not have a background in building simulation.” 29 April 2023 29
  • 30. References • Alvarez LF (2000). Design optimization based on genetic programming. PhD Thesis, University of Bradford, UK. • Deb K (2001). Multi-Objective Optimization Using Evolutionary Algorithms. Chichester, UK: John Wiley & Sons. • Dhariwal J, Banerjee R (2015).Building simulation based optimization through design of experiments. Paper presented at 2nd IBPSAItaly Conference (BSA2015), Bozen-Bolzano 29 April 2023 30

Editor's Notes

  1. Error is less than 10% so the model is adequate
  2. Show spread and indicate variability outside the upper and lower quartiles
  3. Due to the speed of the “GSA+SM+GA” case, it is possible to find the effect of varying different options in GA to choose the best solution among them
  4. The “GA only” solution has a poorer spread and convergence as compared to the “GSA+GA” and “GSA+SM+GA” cases. The “GSA+GA” case spans the entire range but is not sufficiently spread. The “GSA+GA+SM” case solution has the best spread and convergence among the three cases. But there’s some error form The simulated solution as Yassin will discuss