PREDICTIVE
BY GÜNTHER HASLBECK

OVENGA MEDIA
ECOMMERCE
ECOMMERCE 
WITH DATA
CREATETHEMODEL
✓ WHAT PRODUCTS DID THEY LOOK AT BEFORE THEY MADE A
PURCHASE?
✓ WHAT PAGES DID THEY VIEW BEFORE MAKING THAT
PURCHASE?
✓ DID THEY LOOK AT THE PRODUCTS’ DESCRIPTIONS?
✓ DID THEY READ USERS’ REVIEWS?
✓ HOW MANY REVIEWS DID THEY READ?
✓ DID THEY READ BOTH POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE REVIEWS?
✓ DID THEY PURCHASE SOMETHING ELSE IN ADDITION TO THE
PRODUCT THEY CAME LOOKING FOR?
THINKBUSINESS
✓ THOROUGHLY UNDERSTAND THE BUSINESS PROBLEM WE’RE
TRYING TO SOLVE.
✓ OBTAIN AND PREPARE THE DATA WE WANT OUR MODEL TO
WORK WITH.
✓ RUN STATISTICAL ANALYSIS, DATA-MINING, AND MACHINE-
LEARNING ALGORITHMS ON THE DATA.
STEPBYSTEP
✓ EXTRACT THE FACTS THAT ARE CURRENTLY HAPPENING.
✓ DISTINGUISH PRESENT FACTS FROM THOSE THAT JUST
HAPPENED.
✓ DERIVE POSSIBLE SCENARIOS THAT COULD HAPPEN.
✓ RANK THE SCENARIOS ACCORDING TO HOW LIKELY THEY
ARE TO HAPPEN.
✓ USE EXISTING DATA FROM YOUR CATALOG, CRM …
✓ USE BUSINESS KNOWLEDGE
LETS
START
CATEGORIES
IP CLICKS IN > HEILPRAKTIKER >
HOMÖOPATHIE INTO 1 BOOK
IP	
  
HEILPRA
KTIKER	
  
CATEGORIES
IP CLICKS IN > HEILPRAKTIKER >
NATURHEILVERFAHREN INTO 2
DIFFERENT BOOKS
IP	
  
HEILPRA
KTIKER	
  
HOMÖO
PATHIE	
  	
  NATUR
HEIL	
  
1	
  BOOK	
  2	
  BOOKS	
  
BASKETTOCRM
IP PLACES BOOK FROM 
> HEILPRAKTIKER >
HOMÖOPATHIE INTO BASKET AND
BUYS
USER	
  
HEILPRA
KTIKER	
  
NATUR
HEIL	
  
CRM	
  
WE KNOW CUSTOMER
NOW
HOWABOUT OFFLINE
CUSTOMER
EANIDENTIFIESUNIQPRODUCT
CUSTOMER REGISTERS AT
WEBPORTAL FOR BONUS
MATERIAL
USER	
  
HEILPRA
KTIKER	
  
EAN	
  in	
  
Product	
  
catalog	
  
ADDUSERTOCRM
DATA IS ENOUGH TO IDENTIFY
INTEREST OF CUSTOMER.. WHY
SHOULD HE BUY STUFF AND
REGISTER WHICH IS NOT FROM
INTEREST?
USER	
   HEILPRA
KTIKER	
  
CRM	
  
ADDMOREDATA
USER	
  
HEILPRA
KTIKER	
  
Sell	
  Score:	
  2	
  
Order	
  Amount:	
  2	
  
Akupun
ktur	
  
Sell	
  Score:	
  1,8	
  
Order	
  Amount:	
  2	
  
Most	
  soled	
  Books	
  are	
  for	
  
Group:	
  Private	
  Use	
  |	
  Students	
  |	
  Professionals	
  
Score:	
  	
  1	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  |	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  2	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  |	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  3	
  
CUSTOMERSUSEOFPRODUCT ISIMPORTANT
SEGMENTBYCUSTOMERS
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
SIMPLE SQL OR SEGMENT BY
BAYES ALGORITHM OR OTHER
HELPFULL TOOLS
MAILBYGROUPS
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
USER	
  
- SEND MAIL BY GROUPS TO A/B
TEST YOUR MAILINGS
- DONT SEND TO ALL AT ONCE, OR
YOU HAVE ONLY ONE SHOT!
Mail	
  	
  
Vers	
  A	
  
ClickRate	
  1	
  
Mail	
  	
  
Vers	
  B	
  
ClickRate	
  2	
  
Mail	
  	
  
Vers	
  B	
  
ClickRate	
  2	
  
WEACHIEVED
SALESINCREASED
BY 300 % !
(XMIO€/YEAR)
U COULD DO MORE
-
WE STOPED HERE
UKNOWITFROMEVERYWHERE
2,5YEARSAFTERTEAM
LEAVE‘S COMPANY

PROOF....
SALESDECREASED
BY -50% !
COMPAREDTOLASTYEAR
2011	
  
2013	
  
2012	
  
2014	
  
2015	
  
2010	
  
NEWTEAM TEAMLEFT NEWSHOP
WHATHAPPENED
NEWTECLEAD:#
-OTHERCOUNTRY1:NODIRECT
COMPETITOR

NEWDEPARTMENTLEAD
-OTHERCOUNTRY2:NOAMAZON
UNKNOWNMARKET
NOKNOWLEDGE
OTHERCOUNTRY1:
-  WEBSHOP
-  MARKETINGBY
LETTER
NOKNOWLEDGE
OTHERCOUNTRY2:
-  WEBSITE,ORDERBY
LETTER
-  MARKETINGBY
LETTER
NEWEUROPEWEBSHOP
„MODERNECOMMERCE
PLATFORM“REPLACES
LOCALATGINSTANCE
WHICHREMOVESALL
„PLUGINS/EXTENSIONS“..
BUT
THEYDONOT
UNDERSTAND*THE
FOLLOWING...
* NOT BADWORDS,THEYAREVERY GOOD INWHATTHEYARE
DOING,ITS JUST NOT HELPFULL FOR GERMANY
IT‘S NOTTHE (BASIC)
WEBSHOP,
STUPID
ITISNOTTHESHELFORTHE
COLOROFTHESHELFINYOUR
STORE...
YOUDONOTNEEDANEWSHELF
CUSTOMERKNOWLEDGE,
PRODUCTKNOWLEDGE
AND
HOWTOSPEAKWITHTHE
CUSTOMER
ITSALLABOUTTHE
THINK SIMPLE
DOYOUREMEBERHER?
YOU NEED HELP
CHECK OUR
WEBSITE
OVENGA MEDIA#
CAN HELP
WWW.OVENGA-MEDIA.DE

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