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Modern Theory of Interest
IS-LM Curve
(By Hicks & Hansen)
Classical Theory of Interest:
 Interest rate is a real variable
 Interest is determined by savings (S) & Investment (I)
 Equilibrium rate of interest is determined when Goods Market is equilibrium
(S=I)
Keynes Liquidity Preference theory of interest:
 Interest rate is a monetary variable
 Interest rate is determined by Demand for Money (L) & Supply of Money (M)
 Equilibrium rate of interest is determined when Money Market is equilibrium
(L = M)
Modern Theory of Interest: (ISLM)
 By Hicks & Hansen
 No Single theory is adequate
 Interest rate is determined by both Goods Market & Money Market
 Equilibrium rate of interest is determined when both Goods Market &
Money Market is equilibrium
 Goods Market Equilibrium (S=I)
 Money Market Equilibrium (L=M)
 General Equilibrium when both goods & Money market is equilibrium ( IS-
LM)
Goods Market Equilibrium(I=S)
Money Market Equilibrium (L=M)
IS-LM Model
The IS Curve
&
Goods Market Equilibrium (S=I)
Or
Product Market Equilibrium
Goods Market Equilibrium:
Total Income (Aggregate Supply) = Total Expenditure(Aggregate
Demand)
Total Income (Y) = C+S, Total Exp. (Y) = C+I
Condition for Equilibrium:
C+S = C+I
S = I
Savings (S) = Investment(I)
Savings Function:
Savings (S) is a function of Income (Y)
S = f(Y)
Savings (S) increases when income increases (Y).
Investment Function:
Investment (I) is a function of both the level of income (Y) &
the rate of interest (r).
I = f ( Y, r )
Investment (I) increases with increase in income (Y) and
decreases with increase in rate of interest (r )
The IS Curve
IS curve is the Saving(S) & Investment (I) equality curve
IS curve shows the equality between Savings (S) &
Investment (I) at various combination of the levels of
Income (Y) & the Rate of interest (r ).
IS curve represents the goods market equilibrium at
various combinations of (r ) & (Y)
Derivation of IS Curve
• “S” is the savings curve & when income
rises savings also rises
• “I” is the investment curve at a given
interest rate
• At a 5% rate of interest(r), I2 is the
investment curve
• When rate of interest (r) reduced to
4%, Investment increases & it shifted
up to I3 .
• When rate of interest (r ) increased to
6%, investment decreases & it shifted
down to I1.
• S is the savings curve which increases
as the level of income (Y) rises.
Figure “A”:
At E1, E2 & E3 goods market equilibrium (S=I)
At point E1: r=6% & Y=100
At point E2: r=5% & Y=200
At point E3: r=4% & Y=300
Figure “B” represents derivation of IS curve
A, B, C are the corresponding goods market equilibrium of E1, E2 & E3
“A” represents goods market equilibrium at r=6% with Y=100
“B” represents goods market equilibrium at r=5% with Y=200
“C” represents goods market equilibrium at r=4% with Y=300
“IS” curve is the connection of A, B & C points together
IS curve slopes downward
Why Does “IS” curve slopes downward?
The IS curve slopes downward from left to the right
As the interest rate (r) falls, Investment (I) increases and so does
Income (Y)
• Low interest rate (r ) represents, more investment (I) & more
income (Y)
• High interest rate (r) represents, Low investment (I) & low
income (Y).
The LM Curve
&
Money Market Equilibrium (L=M)
Money Market Equilibrium
Demand for Money (L) = Supply of Money (M)
Demand for money is the total liquidity preferences (L)
LM stands for Money market equilibrium
Demand for Money (Liquidity Preference) : L
• Total Demand for Money (L) is function of Rate of interest (r ) and level of
Income (Y)
L = f (Y, r)
 Transaction & precautionary motive demand for money positively related with
level of Income (Y)
 Speculative motive demand for money is inversely related with rate of interest (
r)
 With given income level (Y), total demand for money is inversely related with
the rate of interest (r )
 Total demand for money slopes downward due to inverse relationship with the
interest rate (r )
Supply of Money is constant at a given point of time & Supply curve is
vertical straight line.
The LM Curve:
LM curve shows the equality between Demand for Money (L) &
Supply of Money (M) at various combination of the levels of
Income (Y) & the Rate of interest (r ).
LM curve represents money market equilibrium
Derivation of LM Curve
MS
Figure –A
 L1 represents demand for money at the level of income Y1=100
 When the income increased to Y2=200, demand for money increases & shifted
right ward to L2.
 When the income further increased to Y3=300, demand for money increased &
shifted right ward to L3.
 MS represents the Money supply (M) curve. It is vertical straight line as money
supply is fixed at a point of time.
 Money Market is equilibrium at point E1, E2 & E3
 At E1, income (Y1=100) & rate of interest (r1 = 4%)
 At E2, Income (Y2=200) & rate of interest (r2 =5%)
 Ar E3, income (Y3=300) & rate of interest (r3=6%)
Figure - LM Curve
LM curve derived in the figure-B
Each point in the LM curve represents Demand for Money(L)
& Supply of Money (M) equality at combination of various
levels of the Rate of interest (r ) and various levels of the
Income (Y).
Point “A” in LM curve represents money market equilibrium
with rate of interest r= 4% & level of income Y1= 100.
Similarly, Point “B” represents money market equilibrium
with rate of interest r =5% & level of Income Y2= 200.
Point “C” represents Money Market equilibrium with rate of
interest r =6% & level of Income Y3= 200.
Why does LM curve slopes upward?
Reason: When the national income (Y) increases, Demand
for money(L) increases in the economy, as a result the rate
of interest (r ) also increases.
LM Curve & Liquidity Trap
 The initial portion of the LM
curve is Horizontal straight line
due to liquidity trap.
 The remaining portion is
upward sloping.
 The liquidity trap is due to
unlimited demand for money
at a very low level of interest
rate.
General Equilibrium
Both Goods & Money Market equilibrium
simultaneously
IS & LM Curve intersection point
General Equilibrium
IS represents goods market
equilibrium (S =I)
LM represents Money Market
equilibrium (L=M)
At point “E” both Goods & Money
Market are equilibrium.
Equilibrium rate of interest r=5%
Equilibrium level of National Income
Y2=200.
Economy is equilibrium at point “E”
Goods Market (IS) & Money
Market (LM) Equilibrium
Shifts in IS Curve
Shifts in IS curve:
IS curve shifts to the right when the Investment (I) of an economy
increases with given interest (r )
IS curve shifts to the left when the Investment (I) of an economy
decreases with given interest
IS curve shifts to the left when the savings (S) increases with given
income (Y) .
IS curve shifts to the right when savings (S) decreases with given
income.
Note: When Savings & Taxes increases, Consumption exp & Aggregate demand
decreases. Due to national income decreases & IS shifts to left
Shifts in IS Curve
Investment Increases Rightward Shift
Investment Decreases Leftward Shift
Savings Increases Leftward Shift
Savings Decreases Rightward Shift
Tax Rate increases Leftward Shift
Tax Rate Decreases Rightward Shift
Govt. Spending Increases Rightward Shift
Govt. Spending Decreases Leftward Shift
Rightward Shift- IS
Curve
-Investment Rises
-Savings Decreases
Leftward Shift-IS
Curve
-Investment Decreases
-Savings Rises
Fiscal Policy Impact
on
Economy
Govt. Spending
Impact on Economy
Govt. Spending increased
IS curve shifted to right
New equilibrium E1
Aggregate Demand increased &
National Income increased to Y1
Demand for money increased
due to higher national income
Y1
As a result interest rate
increased to R1
Fiscal Policy Impact on IS curve & Economy
Fiscal Policy IS - Shifts Interest
Rate (r)
Changes in
National Income
Expansionary Fiscal Policy
Govt. Spending
Increases
Right Increase Increase
Taxes Decreases Right Increase Increase
Contractionary Fiscal Policy
Govt. Spending
Decreases
Left Decrease Decrease
Taxes Increases Left Decrease Decrease
Shifts in LM curve
Shifts in LM curve:
When Money Supply increases, interest rate (r ) decreases, LM shifts to right
When Money supply decreases, interest rate (r ) rises, LM shifts to left
When Demand for money increases, interest rate (r ) rises, LM shifts to left
When Demand for money decreases, interest rate ( r) decreases, LM shifts to right
Shifts-LM
Money Supply-Increases Right
Money Supply-Decrease Left
Demand for Money-Increases Left
Demand for Money-Decrease Right
Monetary Policy Impact
on
National Income
LM & Monetary Policy
Money Supply increased
LM shifts to right-LM1
New Equilibrium-E1
Interest Rate decreased to R1
Due to lower interest rate (r),
Investment, Employment &
National Income increased to Y1.
Note: when money supply decreases, LM curve
shifts Left , interest rate rises, investment,
employment and National income decreases.
Shifts-LM Interest Rate (r) Changes in
National Income
Money Supply Increases Right Decrease Increase
Money supply Decreases Left Increase Decrease
Demand for Money Increases Left Increase Decrease
Demand for money Decreases Right Decrease Increase
Shifts-LM Interest Rate (r) Changes in
National Income
Expansionary Monetary Policy
Money Supply Increases Right Decrease Increase
Contractionary Monetary Policy
Money supply Decreases Left Increase Decrease

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PPT-8 (1).pptx

  • 1. Modern Theory of Interest IS-LM Curve (By Hicks & Hansen)
  • 2. Classical Theory of Interest:  Interest rate is a real variable  Interest is determined by savings (S) & Investment (I)  Equilibrium rate of interest is determined when Goods Market is equilibrium (S=I) Keynes Liquidity Preference theory of interest:  Interest rate is a monetary variable  Interest rate is determined by Demand for Money (L) & Supply of Money (M)  Equilibrium rate of interest is determined when Money Market is equilibrium (L = M)
  • 3. Modern Theory of Interest: (ISLM)  By Hicks & Hansen  No Single theory is adequate  Interest rate is determined by both Goods Market & Money Market  Equilibrium rate of interest is determined when both Goods Market & Money Market is equilibrium  Goods Market Equilibrium (S=I)  Money Market Equilibrium (L=M)  General Equilibrium when both goods & Money market is equilibrium ( IS- LM)
  • 4. Goods Market Equilibrium(I=S) Money Market Equilibrium (L=M) IS-LM Model
  • 5. The IS Curve & Goods Market Equilibrium (S=I) Or Product Market Equilibrium
  • 6. Goods Market Equilibrium: Total Income (Aggregate Supply) = Total Expenditure(Aggregate Demand) Total Income (Y) = C+S, Total Exp. (Y) = C+I Condition for Equilibrium: C+S = C+I S = I Savings (S) = Investment(I)
  • 7. Savings Function: Savings (S) is a function of Income (Y) S = f(Y) Savings (S) increases when income increases (Y). Investment Function: Investment (I) is a function of both the level of income (Y) & the rate of interest (r). I = f ( Y, r ) Investment (I) increases with increase in income (Y) and decreases with increase in rate of interest (r )
  • 8. The IS Curve IS curve is the Saving(S) & Investment (I) equality curve IS curve shows the equality between Savings (S) & Investment (I) at various combination of the levels of Income (Y) & the Rate of interest (r ). IS curve represents the goods market equilibrium at various combinations of (r ) & (Y)
  • 9. Derivation of IS Curve • “S” is the savings curve & when income rises savings also rises • “I” is the investment curve at a given interest rate • At a 5% rate of interest(r), I2 is the investment curve • When rate of interest (r) reduced to 4%, Investment increases & it shifted up to I3 . • When rate of interest (r ) increased to 6%, investment decreases & it shifted down to I1. • S is the savings curve which increases as the level of income (Y) rises.
  • 10. Figure “A”: At E1, E2 & E3 goods market equilibrium (S=I) At point E1: r=6% & Y=100 At point E2: r=5% & Y=200 At point E3: r=4% & Y=300 Figure “B” represents derivation of IS curve A, B, C are the corresponding goods market equilibrium of E1, E2 & E3 “A” represents goods market equilibrium at r=6% with Y=100 “B” represents goods market equilibrium at r=5% with Y=200 “C” represents goods market equilibrium at r=4% with Y=300 “IS” curve is the connection of A, B & C points together IS curve slopes downward
  • 11. Why Does “IS” curve slopes downward? The IS curve slopes downward from left to the right As the interest rate (r) falls, Investment (I) increases and so does Income (Y) • Low interest rate (r ) represents, more investment (I) & more income (Y) • High interest rate (r) represents, Low investment (I) & low income (Y).
  • 12. The LM Curve & Money Market Equilibrium (L=M)
  • 13. Money Market Equilibrium Demand for Money (L) = Supply of Money (M) Demand for money is the total liquidity preferences (L) LM stands for Money market equilibrium
  • 14. Demand for Money (Liquidity Preference) : L • Total Demand for Money (L) is function of Rate of interest (r ) and level of Income (Y) L = f (Y, r)  Transaction & precautionary motive demand for money positively related with level of Income (Y)  Speculative motive demand for money is inversely related with rate of interest ( r)  With given income level (Y), total demand for money is inversely related with the rate of interest (r )  Total demand for money slopes downward due to inverse relationship with the interest rate (r ) Supply of Money is constant at a given point of time & Supply curve is vertical straight line.
  • 15. The LM Curve: LM curve shows the equality between Demand for Money (L) & Supply of Money (M) at various combination of the levels of Income (Y) & the Rate of interest (r ). LM curve represents money market equilibrium
  • 16. Derivation of LM Curve MS
  • 17. Figure –A  L1 represents demand for money at the level of income Y1=100  When the income increased to Y2=200, demand for money increases & shifted right ward to L2.  When the income further increased to Y3=300, demand for money increased & shifted right ward to L3.  MS represents the Money supply (M) curve. It is vertical straight line as money supply is fixed at a point of time.  Money Market is equilibrium at point E1, E2 & E3  At E1, income (Y1=100) & rate of interest (r1 = 4%)  At E2, Income (Y2=200) & rate of interest (r2 =5%)  Ar E3, income (Y3=300) & rate of interest (r3=6%)
  • 18. Figure - LM Curve LM curve derived in the figure-B Each point in the LM curve represents Demand for Money(L) & Supply of Money (M) equality at combination of various levels of the Rate of interest (r ) and various levels of the Income (Y). Point “A” in LM curve represents money market equilibrium with rate of interest r= 4% & level of income Y1= 100. Similarly, Point “B” represents money market equilibrium with rate of interest r =5% & level of Income Y2= 200. Point “C” represents Money Market equilibrium with rate of interest r =6% & level of Income Y3= 200.
  • 19. Why does LM curve slopes upward? Reason: When the national income (Y) increases, Demand for money(L) increases in the economy, as a result the rate of interest (r ) also increases.
  • 20. LM Curve & Liquidity Trap  The initial portion of the LM curve is Horizontal straight line due to liquidity trap.  The remaining portion is upward sloping.  The liquidity trap is due to unlimited demand for money at a very low level of interest rate.
  • 21. General Equilibrium Both Goods & Money Market equilibrium simultaneously IS & LM Curve intersection point
  • 22. General Equilibrium IS represents goods market equilibrium (S =I) LM represents Money Market equilibrium (L=M) At point “E” both Goods & Money Market are equilibrium. Equilibrium rate of interest r=5% Equilibrium level of National Income Y2=200. Economy is equilibrium at point “E” Goods Market (IS) & Money Market (LM) Equilibrium
  • 23. Shifts in IS Curve
  • 24. Shifts in IS curve: IS curve shifts to the right when the Investment (I) of an economy increases with given interest (r ) IS curve shifts to the left when the Investment (I) of an economy decreases with given interest IS curve shifts to the left when the savings (S) increases with given income (Y) . IS curve shifts to the right when savings (S) decreases with given income.
  • 25. Note: When Savings & Taxes increases, Consumption exp & Aggregate demand decreases. Due to national income decreases & IS shifts to left Shifts in IS Curve Investment Increases Rightward Shift Investment Decreases Leftward Shift Savings Increases Leftward Shift Savings Decreases Rightward Shift Tax Rate increases Leftward Shift Tax Rate Decreases Rightward Shift Govt. Spending Increases Rightward Shift Govt. Spending Decreases Leftward Shift
  • 26. Rightward Shift- IS Curve -Investment Rises -Savings Decreases
  • 29. Govt. Spending Impact on Economy Govt. Spending increased IS curve shifted to right New equilibrium E1 Aggregate Demand increased & National Income increased to Y1 Demand for money increased due to higher national income Y1 As a result interest rate increased to R1
  • 30. Fiscal Policy Impact on IS curve & Economy Fiscal Policy IS - Shifts Interest Rate (r) Changes in National Income Expansionary Fiscal Policy Govt. Spending Increases Right Increase Increase Taxes Decreases Right Increase Increase Contractionary Fiscal Policy Govt. Spending Decreases Left Decrease Decrease Taxes Increases Left Decrease Decrease
  • 31. Shifts in LM curve
  • 32. Shifts in LM curve: When Money Supply increases, interest rate (r ) decreases, LM shifts to right When Money supply decreases, interest rate (r ) rises, LM shifts to left When Demand for money increases, interest rate (r ) rises, LM shifts to left When Demand for money decreases, interest rate ( r) decreases, LM shifts to right Shifts-LM Money Supply-Increases Right Money Supply-Decrease Left Demand for Money-Increases Left Demand for Money-Decrease Right
  • 34. LM & Monetary Policy Money Supply increased LM shifts to right-LM1 New Equilibrium-E1 Interest Rate decreased to R1 Due to lower interest rate (r), Investment, Employment & National Income increased to Y1. Note: when money supply decreases, LM curve shifts Left , interest rate rises, investment, employment and National income decreases.
  • 35. Shifts-LM Interest Rate (r) Changes in National Income Money Supply Increases Right Decrease Increase Money supply Decreases Left Increase Decrease Demand for Money Increases Left Increase Decrease Demand for money Decreases Right Decrease Increase
  • 36. Shifts-LM Interest Rate (r) Changes in National Income Expansionary Monetary Policy Money Supply Increases Right Decrease Increase Contractionary Monetary Policy Money supply Decreases Left Increase Decrease