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©2015 TechIPm, LLC All Rights Reserved http://www.techipm.com/
Post-Smartphone (Wearables & IoT Devices) Patent Wars:
Strategic Forecasting Methodology
In the previous analysis works, we have seen the expansion indications of the post-smartphone patent wars
(http://www.slideshare.net/alexglee/postsmartphone-wearables-iot-devices-patent-wars-indicators-of-expansion)
and current status (http://www.slideshare.net/alexglee/postsmartphone-wearables-iot-devices-patent-wars-current-
status). As a next step, we want to predict the possible emerging development of the post-smartphone patent wars.
For that purpose, we develop a strategic forecasting methodology.
Step Details
Identification
of Key
Players
Based on the market research and M&A deal information, identify the key business players for
wearables (e.g. Apple) and IoT devices (e.g. Intel)
Categorize the key business players by their products (e.g. smart watch) and core business (e.g.
smart home)
Group the key business players by the same product and core business.
2
©2015 TechIPm, LLC All Rights Reserved http://www.techipm.com/
Identify the business relationship (whether competitor or collaborator) in a specific product and
business
Patent
Mining
Develop the specific search keywords for each product
Search the issued patents and published applications for each key player using the specific search
keywords for each product
Review the search patents for relevancy check
Group the patents for each key player by product and business
Additional search for the hidden business players that hold relevant patents for each product
Identification
of Litigation
Risks
Map the patent landscape for the cross-competitor analysis
For details regarding the cross-competitor analysis, please see “Cross-Competitor Analysis: Case
Study for RFID Patent Mining” http://www.slideshare.net/alexglee/crosscompetitor-
analysisrfid20091q
Identify potential patent litigation risks by analyzing overlapping (in product/business) patents
3
©2015 TechIPm, LLC All Rights Reserved http://www.techipm.com/
among competitors, new assignment and patents owned by NPE/PAE
Develop potential litigation scenarios
For a good information regarding scenario planning, please see “Scenario Planning and Strategic
Forecasting” http://www.forbes.com/sites/stratfor/2015/01/08/scenario-planning-and-strategic-
forecasting/
For more information, please contact Alex Lee at alexglee@techipm.com.

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  • 1. 1 ©2015 TechIPm, LLC All Rights Reserved http://www.techipm.com/ Post-Smartphone (Wearables & IoT Devices) Patent Wars: Strategic Forecasting Methodology In the previous analysis works, we have seen the expansion indications of the post-smartphone patent wars (http://www.slideshare.net/alexglee/postsmartphone-wearables-iot-devices-patent-wars-indicators-of-expansion) and current status (http://www.slideshare.net/alexglee/postsmartphone-wearables-iot-devices-patent-wars-current- status). As a next step, we want to predict the possible emerging development of the post-smartphone patent wars. For that purpose, we develop a strategic forecasting methodology. Step Details Identification of Key Players Based on the market research and M&A deal information, identify the key business players for wearables (e.g. Apple) and IoT devices (e.g. Intel) Categorize the key business players by their products (e.g. smart watch) and core business (e.g. smart home) Group the key business players by the same product and core business.
  • 2. 2 ©2015 TechIPm, LLC All Rights Reserved http://www.techipm.com/ Identify the business relationship (whether competitor or collaborator) in a specific product and business Patent Mining Develop the specific search keywords for each product Search the issued patents and published applications for each key player using the specific search keywords for each product Review the search patents for relevancy check Group the patents for each key player by product and business Additional search for the hidden business players that hold relevant patents for each product Identification of Litigation Risks Map the patent landscape for the cross-competitor analysis For details regarding the cross-competitor analysis, please see “Cross-Competitor Analysis: Case Study for RFID Patent Mining” http://www.slideshare.net/alexglee/crosscompetitor- analysisrfid20091q Identify potential patent litigation risks by analyzing overlapping (in product/business) patents
  • 3. 3 ©2015 TechIPm, LLC All Rights Reserved http://www.techipm.com/ among competitors, new assignment and patents owned by NPE/PAE Develop potential litigation scenarios For a good information regarding scenario planning, please see “Scenario Planning and Strategic Forecasting” http://www.forbes.com/sites/stratfor/2015/01/08/scenario-planning-and-strategic- forecasting/ For more information, please contact Alex Lee at alexglee@techipm.com.