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Case study forecasting
- 1. Profit-Chain Consulting
Our Client
The Forecasting Dilemma
"
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&
8 7
567
(
3-Month Rolling Average
% ERROR
%
•
•
•
39%
33%
29%
23%
66%
38%
33%
'
"
(
•
•
•
•
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33%
29%
&
&
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38%
25%
Product Line 11
From Solutions To Problems
20%
43%
Product Line 9
$
28%
24%
Product Line 5
Forecasting Goal:
Reduce error to
< 20%; actual =
42%
18%
Product Line 7
"
27%
Product Line 8
#
17%
72%
Product Line 4
"
% < 20%
Product Line 3
"
38%
Product Line 6
"
Product Line 1
Product Line 2
!
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#
9
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9:*
$
Planning: Improved
)
*
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Asset utilization varies by department and machine
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100%
(
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
BLEND
COMPRESS
Run
Raw Materials
0
20
Work-In-Process
40
60
80
$
Finished Goods
100
120
Clean
COAT
Labor/Breaks
PACKAGE
Changeover
Other
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Results
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