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Profit-Chain Consulting

Our Client

The Forecasting Dilemma
"
"

&
8 7

567

(

3-Month Rolling Average
% ERROR

%

•
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39%

33%

29%

23%

66%

38%

33%

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•

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33%

29%

&

&
"

38%

25%

Product Line 11

From Solutions To Problems

20%

43%

Product Line 9

$

28%

24%

Product Line 5

Forecasting Goal:
Reduce error to
< 20%; actual =
42%

18%

Product Line 7

"

27%

Product Line 8

#

17%

72%

Product Line 4

"

% < 20%

Product Line 3

"

38%

Product Line 6

"

Product Line 1
Product Line 2

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Planning: Improved

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Asset utilization varies by department and machine

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60%
40%
20%
0%

BLEND

COMPRESS

Run

Raw Materials

0

20

Work-In-Process

40

60

80

$

Finished Goods

100

120

Clean

COAT

Labor/Breaks

PACKAGE

Changeover

Other

'

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140

Results
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Case study forecasting

  • 1. Profit-Chain Consulting Our Client The Forecasting Dilemma " " & 8 7 567 ( 3-Month Rolling Average % ERROR % • • • 39% 33% 29% 23% 66% 38% 33% ' " ( • • • • " & 33% 29% & & " 38% 25% Product Line 11 From Solutions To Problems 20% 43% Product Line 9 $ 28% 24% Product Line 5 Forecasting Goal: Reduce error to < 20%; actual = 42% 18% Product Line 7 " 27% Product Line 8 # 17% 72% Product Line 4 " % < 20% Product Line 3 " 38% Product Line 6 " Product Line 1 Product Line 2 ! ( # 9 ) 9:* $ Planning: Improved ) * + # " ' & " ( " ' " , " # , " ( Asset utilization varies by department and machine " " & " " 100% ( 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% BLEND COMPRESS Run Raw Materials 0 20 Work-In-Process 40 60 80 $ Finished Goods 100 120 Clean COAT Labor/Breaks PACKAGE Changeover Other ' ' " 140 Results & -. 3 4 # / 01 2 " " ( . " • • • & # 3 ( = 0 5>4< >? @ " 3 ( , ( + # < 7 0 4 5 8 ; 5 5 7