Every large engineering and construction program is different as are the risks it faces. There are no silver bullets for managing and reducing risks in these large programs but there are some recurrent strategies. This paper lays out some candidate strategies organized from a “Triple Bottom Line” or sustainability perspective.
I have chosen this sustainability framework in recognition that a more holistic, life-cycle approach is characteristic in these emerging “giga” programs and consistent with the strategic program management approach I have written about previously.
Not every candidate strategy is viable, necessary or desirable on every large engineering and construction program. Nor is the list of such strategies complete. The purpose of this article is to get the reader started on the process of identify strategic options and tactics to reduce the risks that a major program faces.
According to the Construction Industry Institute, modularization entails the large-scale transfer of stick-build construction effort from the jobsite to one or more local or distant fabrication shops/yards in order to exploit one or more strategic advantages. Nonetheless, the majority of projects today still do not exploit these strategic advantages to their fullest potential.
Modular Construction has many advantages over conventional stick-build construction. These benefits include shorter schedules, lower cost overall cost, minimal plant site interruption and many more. Strengthen your knowledge of when and why to choose modularization as a project delivery model.
Application of system life cycle processes to large complex engineering and c...Bob Prieto
The complexity of megaprojects and programs continues to grow and with it the challenges of delivering ever larger and more complex programs. These large complex programs open the door to many new opportunities but also to increased challenges in delivery and sustainment throughout their lifecycle. Prior articles have described the open nature of this large complex program system and compared its attributes to many we find in the world of relativistic physics. These challenges must be addressed recognizing that they arise from a combination of physical, fiscal and human attributes in a realm of complexity which challenges the very foundations of project management theory.
This paper looks at hard systems aspects as contrasted with the soft system aspects more characteristic of an open system. Its purpose is to adapt a systems engineering framework associated with the hard closed elements of these large complex project systems without losing site of the overall open systems nature of large complex programs.
The systems life cycle process codified in ISO 15288 lends itself to application in large complex engineering and construction programs.
Engineering and construction project startupBob Prieto
This paper looks at engineering and construction project startup for three different project execution approaches. While specific to this industry, project professionals in other industries may find it is a good analog for their own efforts.
The paper underscores that:
• Large complex projects require strong foundations
• A day at the beginning of a project is just as valuable as a day at the end
• Strong project foundations are built during project startup
• Vertical startup is enabled by the use of a dedicated startup team
• Project startup should consider lessons learned on other projects
This paper addresses project startup for three general types of contracts:
• Pure design or engineering contracts typically performed for the Owner
• Design/build contracts performed for the Owner but recognizes that engineering may be undertaken by an engineering subcontractor within the D/B team
• Pure construction contract
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According to the Construction Industry Institute, modularization entails the large-scale transfer of stick-build construction effort from the jobsite to one or more local or distant fabrication shops/yards in order to exploit one or more strategic advantages. Nonetheless, the majority of projects today still do not exploit these strategic advantages to their fullest potential.
Modular Construction has many advantages over conventional stick-build construction. These benefits include shorter schedules, lower cost overall cost, minimal plant site interruption and many more. Strengthen your knowledge of when and why to choose modularization as a project delivery model.
Application of system life cycle processes to large complex engineering and c...Bob Prieto
The complexity of megaprojects and programs continues to grow and with it the challenges of delivering ever larger and more complex programs. These large complex programs open the door to many new opportunities but also to increased challenges in delivery and sustainment throughout their lifecycle. Prior articles have described the open nature of this large complex program system and compared its attributes to many we find in the world of relativistic physics. These challenges must be addressed recognizing that they arise from a combination of physical, fiscal and human attributes in a realm of complexity which challenges the very foundations of project management theory.
This paper looks at hard systems aspects as contrasted with the soft system aspects more characteristic of an open system. Its purpose is to adapt a systems engineering framework associated with the hard closed elements of these large complex project systems without losing site of the overall open systems nature of large complex programs.
The systems life cycle process codified in ISO 15288 lends itself to application in large complex engineering and construction programs.
Engineering and construction project startupBob Prieto
This paper looks at engineering and construction project startup for three different project execution approaches. While specific to this industry, project professionals in other industries may find it is a good analog for their own efforts.
The paper underscores that:
• Large complex projects require strong foundations
• A day at the beginning of a project is just as valuable as a day at the end
• Strong project foundations are built during project startup
• Vertical startup is enabled by the use of a dedicated startup team
• Project startup should consider lessons learned on other projects
This paper addresses project startup for three general types of contracts:
• Pure design or engineering contracts typically performed for the Owner
• Design/build contracts performed for the Owner but recognizes that engineering may be undertaken by an engineering subcontractor within the D/B team
• Pure construction contract
I have previously written about the transition that I believe is necessary in project management thinking related to large complex projects. In those writing I describe the shift as analogous to the shift from Newtonian to relativistic physics. Subsequently, I have compared the nature of large complex programs to open systems. Reflecting back, classical project management theory was very much based on closed systems thinking and early applications of systems thinking to projects and engineering was also very much based on closed systems thinking.
This is analogous to the closed systems of Newton and Einstein’s correction of his original General Theory of Relativity through the introduction of the cosmological constant to close a system which he believed behaved mechanistically and not expanding. In hindsight the cosmological constant was not necessary but does suggest some properties of the universe and became relevant in explaining an accelerating expansion of the universe. Subsequently, there was at least one special case where the deterministic nature of a closed system broke down when considering General Relativity suggesting at least some open nature to this system.
Systems nature of large complex projectsBob Prieto
This paper explores the system characteristics and behaviors of large engineering and construction programs with a particular focus on those that would be characterized as complex. It recognizes the interrelated and interacting elements of both programs and projects as they strive to form a complex whole. Large complex programs and projects are not well bounded as classical project management theory as espoused by Taylor, Gantt and Fayol would have us believe but rather behave in both independent and interconnected ways in a dynamic systems environment.
Large complex programs demonstrate the evolutionary nature of all complex systems; uncertainty; and emergence that comes with human actions and interactions. They struggle from insufficient situational awareness, treating the program to be more well-bounded than reality would suggest and using simplified models to understand the complexity inherent in execution. Best practices from project management literature were typically not derived from such environments and, worse, have fallen short on other large complex programs and projects.
In the engineering and construction industry governance needs and requirements exist at
multiple levels. These include:
• Governmental and industry level governance (laws, regulations, codes, standards)
• Enterprise level (encompassing social (stakeholder), political, economic (market,
shareholder, financial institutions), cultural (corporate and national/local),
technological)
• Portfolio and programs
• Project
This paper focuses on the portfolio and program level, collectively referred to as program in
this paper.
Strengthen outcome based capital project deliveryBob Prieto
Over the course of my career I have looked at a number of underperforming mega-projects. In every instance there was a common element of underperformance, the lack of clarity around the strategic business outcomes to be accomplished. Conversely, some of the best performing projects exhibited high clarity of recognized and shared outcomes.
This paper looks at the imperative to continue the shift to outcomes based contracts versus more traditional output based contracting forms. This shift is discussed from the perspective of the engineering and construction industry in the United States but draws upon the experience in other countries and other sectors.
Today’s infrastructure and facilities are “smart”. At least that is our objective as we seek to enhance lifecycle performance and capital efficiency. These “smart” facilities transcend any given sector and bring new challenges to the engineering and construction industry. In some ways our more traditional projects are today outcomes focused or capabilities delivering IT projects with bits of concrete and steel wrapped around them!
This “smart” focus is not limited to just a technology and systems dimension but goes further, demanding an increased and increasing environmental, social and governance (ESG) focus as well. Together “smart” and ESG create a greatly expanded set of interfaces for program and project managers to manage.
Rework in Engineering & Construction ProjectsBob Prieto
This paper is focused on engineering and construction projects which will experience increased emphasis as nations increase their focus on economic stimulus and climate change. It deals narrowly with the inevitable rework these projects often experience and which contributes to the cost and schedule growth we all too often witness. The objective of this paper is to:
• Categorize rework factors into four broad categories – project, human, organizational and complexity
• Identify rework impacts not just on cost and schedule but importantly morale and trust.
• Recognize that strategies exist to reduce the potential for required rework
• Suggest four dozen control points.
In this paper I will attempt to:
• Outline some of the systems of systems challenges that we will likely face.
• Discuss the emergent nature of both the challenges as well as the potential resultant outcomes.
• Draw attention to some of the driving forces acting both on this system of systems as well as the national and sectoral programs that may emerge to respond to this challenge.
• Highlight some of the feedback loops which may exist or emerge from both apparent and hidden coupling.
• Discuss system of system risks, program risks and where our perceptions and appetite for such risks may change over time.
• Outline some particular challenges for program managers as they are engaged in addressing this challenge.
A growing world requires improved and expanded infrastructure. Juxtapose that with the need for massive public investment driven by pandemic created economic weakness and the prospects for significant investment in infrastructure is improved, but as history has taught us not necessarily assured.
We have been through other infrastructure stimulus programs focused on so-called shovel ready projects and have been disappointed. But whether we define them as “shovel ready” or otherwise we need infrastructure projects, especially the largest of them, to be successful.
In this paper we will look at common reasons large scale infrastructure projects fail and importantly suggest some strategies and tactics to improve their success rate.
This paper builds on my beliefs that the prevailing theory of project management has failed us with respect to large complex projects. I have written extensively on this including highlighting that the assumptions of Gantt and Fayol fall short at scale and complexity. In this paper I examine the successes that underpin modern project management theory and seek to understand how the resulting approach to project management has failed to deliver comparable successes with regularity. As I explored these questions, I sought to understand the unique characteristics of the Atlas and Polaris missile programs; the subsequent institutionalization of the perceived success factors; and importantly, did perception and reality align. In other words, have we made an incomplete set of assumptions and institutionalized them?
Impact of correlation on risks in programs and projects Bob Prieto
One of the most under considered elements of cost and schedule risk is the correlation that exists within various WBS elements of a project or across projects comprising a program. Failure to adequately consider correlation between various activities and projects compounds the impact of other factors present in large complex projects.
This paper looks at the special case of decision making under uncertainty. The relationship between uncertainty and complexity is explored as is their joint relationship with large complex projects. The importance of getting these projects well founded from an ability to manage uncertainty is discussed and the aspects of these strong foundations is described
Post Dorian Engineering & Construction in the BahamasBob Prieto
As the task of recovery and rebuilding in the Bahamas post hurricane Dorian begins, it is important to understand that it cannot be business as usual. The increasing frequency and severity of hurricanes, driven by global climate change, cannot be ignored. Building codes will have to be further strengthened and development in coastal areas rethought.
Debating project decisions in an ai enabled environmentBob Prieto
I had the opportunity to watch the first debate between AI powered IBM Debater and a recognized human expert debater. I will not spoil the outcome for those who have not yet watched the debate but I will underscore one key aspect - all learned more about both sides of the position as a result of the debate.
We have seen a construct for the management of large
complex projects laid out in the earlier chapters. In these chapters we will simply lay out some of the main concepts and
considerations for a practitioner. Each of these can be more
extensively developed.
In the world of physics, classical theory breaks down at
scale. Conventional project management theory similarly
seems to break down at scale. The theoretical construct I
have been building to in this book is very much focused on this
project realm where scale and complexity rule.
In developing this theoretical construct I have essentially
considered three simple hypotheses, the first of which is:
Large complex projects are not well served by
conventional project management theory and
practice.
This hypothesis was demonstrated at the outset of this
book and the differential behavior between large and
traditionally scaled projects has been previously noted.
The second hypothesis considered relates to the Theory of
Management as applied to the management of projects. In
simplest terms this hypothesis says:
- The Theory of Project Management does not draw
fully on the richness of the Theory of Management
This hypothesis is demonstrated as we explored the
extensions of the Theory of Management to address chaos and
complexity and the more limited extensions of project
management theory.
The third and final hypothesis we considered focused on
the Theory of Projects, positing:
Large complex projects have significantly different
attributes than the more traditional projects which
comprise the basis for classical project management
theory
This chapter summarizes various aspects of large
projects and provides a foundation to consider what a new
Theory of Project Management for large complex projects may
look like.
In this chapter we will look at a few of the project attributes
that we observe in large complex projects and suggest they
may serve as a basis for a neo-classical Theory of Large
Complex Projects.
Theory of Management of Large Complex Projects - Chapter 7Bob Prieto
The world of large complex projects is challenging to say the least with a majority of these projects significantly under performing. It is this weak performance regime that underpins the key premise of "Theory of Management of Large Complex Projects" – project management theory as it currently exists and is applied to large complex projects falls short, significantly short, of what these projects require.
I have decided to serialize this book for the benefit of those interested in better understanding and improving project performance. If you are interested in purchasing a copy of the 400 page paperback you may click on http://www.lulu.com/us/en/shop/bob-prieto/theory-of-management-of-large-complex-projects/paperback/product-22342232.html
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