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REFLECTIONS ON SEPTEMBER MEETING
Overview of September Meeting 
• Entrepreneurship & fostering a start-up 
ecosystem 
– NS population challenges 
– The Communitech Example 
– ICT (Brilliant Labs, UIT, Volta) 
– OceanTech 
• Collective impact as a methodology
Meeting Messages 
– Youth retention is an opportunity for NS 
– Waterloo (similar size, less assets, less 
opportunities) used a start-up ecosystem 
approach to turn around 
– There is a lot of community activity in ICT but to 
scale it, everyone has a role 
– In the ocean sector we have a competitive 
advantage & there is an opportunity to exploit 
that advantage
Collective impact initiatives are characterized 
by five core conditions 
CONTINUOUS 
COMMUNICATION 
4 © 2014 FSG 
• Common understanding of 
Source: Kania, John and Mark Kramer. Collective Impact. 
Stanford Social Innovation Review, 2011 
COMMON 
AGENDA 
MUTUALLY 
REINFORCING 
ACTIVITIES 
BACKBONE 
INFRASTRUCTURE 
SHARED 
MEASUREMENT 
the problem 
• Shared vision for change 
• Collecting data and 
measuring results 
• Focus on performance 
management 
• Shared accountability 
• Differentiated approaches 
• Coordination through joint plan of action 
• Consistent and open 
communication 
• Focus on building trust 
• Separate organization(s) 
with staff 
• Resources and skills to 
convene and coordinate 
participating organizations
Mobilizing Broad Based Action 
Youth out-migration & Emerging Entrepreneurship 
• What is the common understanding of the 
‘challenge’? 
• What is the shared vision for change? 
• What can oneNS members do to ‘mobilize 
broad based action’?
COMMUNICATIONS UPDATE
Communications 
– Committee met 
• Gaynor, Henry, Rankin 
• Meeting monthly 
– Communications plan/approach discussed 
• Available 
– Agreement to ramp up 
– Your involvement 
• Protocols 
• 1 pager
Current Activities 
• Monthly online update 
• September newsletter update 
• Letter to MLAs 
– EG: NDP action 
• Twitter updates 
• Good morning Nova Scotia 
– Good news story on Facebook 
• Engage NS Share Thanksgiving 
• Starting to connect groups taking action 
– Engage NS/Colchester
Short Term 
• Media 
• Outreach campaign RFP 
• Urgent Call to Dinner 
• October online live discussion - Exports 
• Package to Coalition and MLAs 
• October content 
• Call to orgs to commit to a quick win and long term 
action working toward goals (timing) 
• List of ways to take action
MOVING FORWARD
Moving Forward 
• Executive Steering Committee for 10 year plan 
• Workplan updates 
• Activity updates since September meeting 
– Volta – next steps 
– Brilliant Labs – advancing with business plan 
– Oceans – progressing
November 14, 2014 
• Location: Annapolis Valley Area (tbc) 
• Proposed meeting: additional time potential 
• Additional proposed activities/opportunities 
• Meeting Focus: 
– Youth & international student retention 
– GHP Connector Program 
– Immigration Action Team update
November 27, 2014 
• Location: Halifax area 
• Proposed Meeting time: 2:00 – 5:30 (tbc) 
• Meeting Focus: 
– Youth & Social Entrepreneurship 
– Marc Kielburger, Co-Founder, Me To We 
• OneNS Holiday Reception
October 2 – Key Theme 
NOVA SCOTIA’S GLOBAL 
COMPETITIVENESS & TRADE
Reaching our International Trade Goals 
Framing the Discussion 
1. What is the most significant change that will 
improve NS Trade? 
2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 
3. What are the immediate opportunities? 
4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
Reaching our international trade goals 
THOMAS STORRING
Reaching our International Trade Goals 
Discussion Questions 
1. What is the most significant change that will 
improve the NS Trade? 
2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 
3. What are the immediate opportunities? 
4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
NS in a 2 Speed World 
Framing the Discussion 
1. What is the most significant change that will 
improve the NS position? 
2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 
3. What are the immediate opportunities? 
4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
GLOBALIZATION, TECHNOLOGY AND DEMOGRAPHICS ARE RESHAPING 
THE GLOBAL GROWTH EQUATION 
KEVIN LYNCH
GLOBALIZATION, TECHNOLOGY AND 
DEMOGRAPHICS ARE RESHAPING 
THE GLOBAL GROWTH EQUATION 
Kevin G. Lynch 
Vice-Chair BMO Financial Group, 
and 
Former Clerk of the Privy Council and Secretary to Cabinet, 
Government of Canada 
“One Nova Scotia” Roundtable 
Halifax, Nova Scotia 
October 2, 2014
Observation 1: The context facing Canada and Nova Scotia is 
changing 
The demographic 
imperative - we’re aging, 
with profound impacts 
Globalization 2.0 - 
the hyper-connected 
world 
The core question facing us in Nova Scotia is: how well and how quickly are we adapting to this change? 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 21 
Global financial 
crisis - with endless 
consequences 
Technology 
revolution - changing 
everything 
The competitiveness 
paradigm shift - need 
an innovation engine
Observation 2: The new global economic reality is a “two-speed 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 22 
world” 
2-speed World: By the Numbers 
2012 2013 2014 2015 
Avg growth 
2012-15 
Emerging 
Economies 
5.1 4.7 4.6 5.2 4.9 
Emerging Asia 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.7 6.6 
China 7.7 7.7 7.4 7.1 7.5 
Advanced 
Economies 
1.4 1.3 1.8 2.4 1.7 
US 2.8 1.9 1.7 3.0 2.4 
EU -0.7 -0.4 1.1 1.5 0.4 
Canada 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.1 
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Update, July 2014 
2-Speed World: The Visual 
1-2% 
growth 
6-7% 
growth 
5% 
growth
Observation 3: Trade diversification drives growth 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 23 
Rank 
Top Canadian 
Export Markets, 
2013 
% of all 2013 
Exports of 
Goods and 
Services 
Size of Economy 
(2013 USD Billion, GDP) 
4-year Average 
Growth: 2013-2016 
1 United States 75.9% 16,800 2.7% 
2 China 4.3% 9,181 7.4% 
3 United Kingdom 3.0% 2,536 2.4% 
4 Japan 2.3% 4,902 1.1% 
5 Mexico 1.1% 1,259 2.8% 
6 Hong Kong 1.0% 274 3.6% 
7 Netherlands 0.8% 800 0.8% 
8 South Korea 0.7% 1,222 3.5% 
9 Germany 0.7% 3,636 1.3% 
10 France 0.7% 2,737 1.1% 
11 India 0.6% 1,871 5.7% 
12 Belgium 0.5% 507 1.0% 
13 Brazil 0.5% 2,243 2.4% 
14 Norway 0.4% 511 1.6% 
15 Italy 0.4% 2,072 0.3% 
Sources: IMF World Economic Outlook, Oct 2013, Stats Canada
Observation 4: Lack of trade diversification has costs 
Export Values 
comparing actual Canadian activity weighting with 
China and Emerging Market Economies to what it 
would be with US weighting 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 24 
Exports to Emerging Market Economies 
% Share of total exports 
Canada UK Germany US Japan Australia 
% 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
Source: IMF Last observation: 2012 
Note: Bank of Canada foreign activity measures calculated based on 2012 share of Canada and US exports to China and select EMEs. The numbers displayed represent the gap 
between 2013Q2 exports and the level of exports implied by the recalculated foreign activity measures. 
Values expressed in 2007 chained dollars. 
Sources, IMF, Statistics Canada, Bank of Canada calculations. Las Observance 2013Q2
Observation 5: Asia is a market for Canada’s natural resources, 
and much more 
1.3 
8.3 
1.5 
1.2 
3.8 
2.3 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 25 
Numbers (millions) and Share (percent) of 
the Global Middle Class 
2009 2020 
North America 338 18% 333 10% 
Europe 664 36% 703 22% 
Central and 
181 10% 251 8% 
South America 
Asia Pacific 525 28% 1740 54% 
Sub-Saharan 
32 2% 57 2% 
Africa 
Middle East and 
North Africa 
105 6% 165 5% 
World 1845 100% 3249 100% 
Sources: OECD, The Emerging Middle Class in Developing Countries , 
http://www.oecd.org/dev/44457738.pdf; McKinsey. Global Insight, 
February 2009; MGI China Model, February 2009; MGI 
Private Domestic Consumption 
2020 (Forecast) 
CAGR 
2007-2020 
(%) 
2.2 
1.5 
6.3 
1.9
Observation 6: There are many untapped export opportunities 
in Asia for Nova Scotia firms 
Consumers - $22 T consumption in emerging markets in 2025 and almost 2B middle class consumers - 
wanting better foodstuffs, better housing, better financial services, better education, etc. 
Natural Resources - A 30% increase in global energy demand, of which China and India alone will 
account for 60% by 2035. 
Infrastructure - $27 T expected infrastructure spend in emerging Asia, creating opportunities in 
engineering services, consulting, financing , specialty services, as well as basic materials. 
Agriculture and Food - Middle class wants variety in agriculture and foodstuff as well as increased 
food safety. 
Tourism - approximately 80 million outbound Chinese travelers in 2012, growing to over 110 million in 
2015 - fastest growing segment in the world. 
Education - 1 B Asian youth to educate in any given year, and Canada/Nova Scotia have high quality, 
reasonably priced product offerings. 
Health Care - Spending expected to triple across Asia by 2020 but public systems are rudimentary-to-mediocre, 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 26 
and private systems are mixed.
Observation 7: Consider the energy opportunities, and risks 
CANADA’S ENERGY SECURITY 
CONUNDRUM 
US Hydrocarbon Supply  
US Hydrocarbon Demand  
+ 
100% reliance on US market for 
gas, oil and electricity exports 
+ 
Increasing Canadian 
unconventional supply capacity: 
oil sands + shale gas 
= 
Declining Canadian security of 
energy demand 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 27 
r r 
Global energy 
demand: 
• >33% growth by 2035 
• <5% growth in OECD 
• China demand > U.S. 
Global energy 
supply: 
• Shale oil, oil sands hhh 
• Shale gas hhhh 
• Renewables h 
Energy 
technology: 
r r 
• Fracking, oil sands 
• Renewables 
• Water remediation; CO2 
Global 
risk/uncertainty: 
• Geopolitical: Iraq, Syria, 
Nigeria, Russia, South 
China Sea 
Global energy 
equation: 
r 
• Shifts in security of 
global demand/supply 
• U.S. energy self-sufficiency 
• Global gas market?
Observation 8: Consider the food and agriculture opportunities, 
what we’re capable of and what we’re missing 
Canada’s global production rankings 
for agricultural resources 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 28 
China’s share of consumption 
%, 100% = $B Total 
400 
50 
383 
260 
173 
85 90 94 
100% = 
China 
ROW 
Dairy 
Beef 
Poultry 
Pork 
Sources: McKinsey. USDA, NBS, Food and agriculture organization of the United Nations (FAOSTAT) 
Agricultural 
Resources 
Ranking 
Lentils 1st 
Linseed 1st 
Mustard Seed 1st 
Dry Peas 1st 
Forest 2nd 
Barley 2nd 
Canola 2nd 
Blueberries 2nd 
Cranberries 2nd 
Mixed Grain 2nd 
Wheat 8th 
50 
15 
10 6
Observation 9: Consider the education opportunities, with 
Australia the best example of what is possible 
United 
States 
Australia 
18 
13 
723,000 
557,000 
SOURCE: McKinsey “International Education: A Key Driver of Canada’s Future Prosperity,” Advisory Panel on Canada’s International Education Strategy, August 2012; Government of Quebec 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 29 
International student 
market share (est.) 
Percent 
International 
students 
Number 
United 
Kingdom 
Canada 
10 
5 
428,000 
240,000
Observation 10: Consider the value added tourism opportunities, 
and what it will take to capture them 
Chinese tourist satisfaction rate 
Canada 84.5 
Italy 82.7 
New Zealand 
Spain 82.5 
France 82.3 
Argentina 81.0 
Brazil 80.3 
South Africa 80.2 
Germany 80.0 
Singapore 79.5 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 30 
China international travelers by destination 
South Korea 2.4 
Malaysia 
Thailand 
Singapore 
Indonesia 0.6 
Canada 
0.4 
0.4 
Germany 0.3 
Mongolia 0.3 
0.3 
UK 
1.1 
Cambodia 
Australia 
1.5 
1.2 
1.0 
USA 
Russia 
0.8 
0.7 
Vietnam 
1.4 
France 
1.7 
1.6 
Taiwan 
Japan 
Millions, 2011 
1.8 
SOURCE: McKinsey. CEIC, China tourism yearbook, Euromonitor (2011) Ctrip survey 2/2013; China Tourism Academy “China outbound travel satisfaction survey” 
82.6
Observation 11: How well positioned are Canada and Nova 
Scotia for success in today’s global economy? 
In today’s hyper-competitive world, the question for Nova Scotians is: is 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 31 
being “pretty good”, good enough? 
Rankings Global 
Competitive-ness 
Index 
(WEF) 
Innovation 
Capacity 
(WEF) 
Productivity 
GDP per 
employed 
worker, 
current 
prices, USD 
(OECD) 
Soundness 
of Financial 
Systems 
(WEF) 
Net Debt 
to GDP, 
2013 
(IMF) 
(lowest to 
highest) 
Tertiary 
Education, 
% of 
Population 
(OECD) 
K-12 Pisa 
Results: 
Math 
(OECD) 
Number of 
Universities 
in Top 100 
(Times 
Higher 
Education) 
Ranking of 
Cities – EIU 
Global 
Liveability 
(# of cities in 
top 10; ties 
settled based 
on rankings) 
Institutional 
Strength and 
Resilience, 
OECD 
Countries 
(World Bank) 
Norway 
Finland 
Sweden 
Estonia 
Denmark 
12th 
18th 
Canada 
New 
Zealand 
South 
Africa 
Hong Kong 
Singapore 
1st 
58th 
United 
States 
United 
Kingdom 
Germany 
Australia 
Canada 
5th 
1st 
Switzerland 
Singapore 
Finland 
Germany 
United 
States 
14th 
5th 
#1 
#2 
#3 
#4 
#5 
Canada 
United 
States 
Canada 
Japan 
United 
States 
New 
Zealand 
Finland 
1st 
3rd 
China 
(Shanghai) 
Singapore 
Hong Kong 
Taipei 
Korea 
13th 
36th 
Australia 
Canada 
Austria 
Finland 
New Zealand 
2nd 
n/a 
Switzerland 
Finland 
Germany 
Israel 
United 
States 
27th 
5th 
Luxembourg 
Norway 
US 
Ireland 
Belgium 
17th 
3rd 
Finland 
New Zealand 
Sweden 
Switzerland 
Norway 
9th 
17th
Observation 12: Trust matters for leading change 
Global Trust in Sectors, 2014 
79% 
75% 
66% 
65% 
65% 
64% 
63% 
60% 
59% 
59% 
55% 
51% 
51% 
Technology 
Consumer electronics 
manufacturing 
Automotive 
Food and beverage 
Entertainment 
Consumer packaged goods 
Brewing and spirits 
Telecommunications 
Consumer health companies 
Pharmaceuticals 
Energy 
Chemicals 
Banks 
Media 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 32 
Global Trust Index, 2014 
GLOBAL 54 
UAE 79 
China 79 
Singapore 73 
Indonesia 72 
India 69 
Malaysia 65 
Canada 60 
Netherlands 60 
Mexico 59 
Hong Kong 59 
Australia 58 
Brazil 57 
Germany 57 
Argentina 53 
U.K. 52 
Sweden 51 
S. Korea 51 
S. Africa 50 
U.S. 49 
France 46 
Japan 44 
Italy 43 
Turkey 41 
Spain 39 
Ireland 39 
Russia 37 
Poland 35 
50% 
70% 
Financial services
Observation 13: Culture and attitudes matter to success for 
Nova Scotia in this profoundly changing world 
One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 33 
• We need to avoid “short term-ism” --- it is hard to 
build for our long term future with a quarterly mindset. 
A focused, long term Strategic Plan, with clear 
implementation milestones and accountabilities, is a 
good place to start. 
• We need to avoid “status quo-ism” --- it cannot be a 
strategy for long term success in a profoundly changing 
world. Re-orienting the economy towards more innovation-intensive 
firms, particularly start ups, is key. 
• We need to avoid “parochial-ism” --- everyone needs 
clear “going global” strategies today. Job #1 for 
Canada and Nova Scotia is focussed, export market 
diversification. 
• We need to avoid “risk aversion” in policy and operations. 
Consider a number of immediate innovations: reverse trade 
missions; foreign student strategy; incubator(s); pervasive 
co-op; and Chinese tourism as possible places.
NS in a 2 Speed World 
Discussion Questions 
1. What is the most significant change that will 
improve the NS position? 
2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 
3. What are the immediate opportunities? 
4. Who are the leaders or catalysts
The Clearwater Example 
Framing the Discussion 
1. What is the most significant change that will 
improve the NS position? 
2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 
3. What are the immediate opportunities? 
4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
Global Competitiveness and Trade Action Team 
J.P. DEVEAU
Global Competitiveness 
and Trade Action Team 
2 October 2014
Agenda 
• Mandate of the Global Competitiveness and Trade Action Team 
• Tonight’s objective 
• Initial ideas 
• Next steps 
38
The Global Competitiveness and Trade Action Team will 
focus on these goals to be achieved by 2024: 
GOAL 5: VALUE OF EXPORTS 
Nova Scotia will have increased the total annual value of exports (international 
and inter-provincial), currently in the $14B range, by 50% to exceed $20B 
39 
$20B 
$14B 
850 1275 GOAL 6: FIRMS PARTICIPATING IN EXPORT 
TRADE 
The number of Nova Scotia firms participating in export trade will 
have increased by 50% over the current level of 850 
GOAL 15: FISHERIES AND AGRICULTURE EXPORTS 
The value of exports from the fisheries (including aquaculture) and the agricultural 
sectors will each have doubled on a sustainable basis 
Game Changer VI: Rebuilding Our Trade Economy 
Nova Scotia should embrace a free trade orientation and become a champion among provinces for 
the reduction of both internal and external trade barriers.
What is the path to achieving these goals? 
• Companies who have something exportable (and are not) must 
start to export 
• Companies who are currently exporting must increase their 
exports 
• We must attract companies who can export to NS 
40
This begs the following question for each group - 
• Companies who have something exportable (and are not) must 
start to export 
‒ Why are you not exporting? 
• Companies who are currently exporting must increase their 
exporting 
‒ What does it take for you to double your exports? 
• We must attract companies who can export to NS 
‒ What does it take for you to come to NS? 
41
Tonight’s objective 
• To review and seek feedback on initial ideas to move the needle 
on global competitiveness and trade 
42
Drivers of competitiveness and productivity per 
Michael Porter 
43 
Quality of the 
Overall Business 
Environment 
• Improve business 
environment by 
focusing efforts on 
strategic 
sectors/clusters 
Speed up 
regulations, 
permits, 
licensing 
Remove 
unnecessary 
costs of doing 
business 
Design 
policies to 
support 
growth 
1
Drivers of competitiveness and productivity per 
Michael Porter 
44 
Cluster 
Development 
• Make strategic choices 
to focus on 
sectors/clusters with 
competitive advantages 
and growth potential 
Leverage existing 
strengths when 
building/ choosing 
clusters 
Compete to 
serve 
international 
markets 
Align 
policies and 
programs to 
support 
2
Drivers of competitiveness and productivity per 
Michael Porter 
45 
Policy Coordination 
Among Multiple Levels 
of Geography/ 
Government 
• Relentlessly support 
improvements to 
– Capital spending 
– Existing processes 
– Training and education 
– Innovation 
– Entrepreneurship with 
global innovation 
Efforts should 
support 
enhancements to 
productivity and 
Use existing innovation 
resources 
differently/ 
better 
3
Drivers of competitiveness and productivity per 
Michael Porter 
46 
Quality of the Overall 
Business Environment 
• Improve business 
environment by 
focusing efforts on 
strategic 
sectors/clusters 
Policy Coordination 
Among Government, 
Academia, Private 
Sector 
• Relentlessly support 
improvements to 
– Capital spending 
– Existing processes 
– Training and education 
– Innovation 
– Entrepreneurship with 
global innovation 
Cluster Development 
• Make strategic choices 
to focus on 
sectors/clusters with 
competitive advantages 
and growth potential 
Speed up 
regulations, 
permits, 
licensing 
Remove 
unnecessary 
costs of doing 
business 
Design 
policies to 
support 
growth 
Efforts should 
support 
enhancements to 
productivity and 
Use existing innovation 
resources 
differently/ 
better 
Leverage existing 
strengths when 
building/ choosing 
clusters 
Compete to 
serve 
international 
markets 
Align 
policies and 
programs to 
support
Start with the business environment 
47 
Quality of the 
Overall 
Business 
Environment 
IMMEDIATE FOCUS 
(next 6 months) 
• Conduct research with: 
a. Successful exporters – 
what would it take for you 
to double exports? 
b. Potential exporters – what 
prevents you from 
exporting? 
• Identify short-term regulatory 
changes and other ways to 
improve the business 
environment to encourage 
exports 
1
Then identify the most attractive clusters 
48 
LONGER TERM FOCUS 
(starting spring 2015) 
• Discuss development of 
cluster strategy at spring 
coalition meeting 
• Proceed to make strategic 
choices about most attractive 
clusters for NS 
• Develop roadmap to build the 
chosen clusters 
Cluster 
Development 
2
Coordinate policies to advance the chosen clusters 
49 
LONG TERM FOCUS 
• Implement roadmap to build 
the chosen clusters including 
policy coordination 
Policy 
Coordination 
Among 
Government, 
Academia, 
Private Sector 
3
What role can the private sector play in global 
competitiveness and trade? 
50 
Support 4Front 
recommendations 
• Strategic 
competitiveness 
assessment 
• Industry collaboration 
• Reverse trade mission 
Provide mentorship 
• Students 
• Entrepreneurs 
• Other companies 
Be vocal and 
organized 
• Support initiatives 
where we can compete 
globally 
• Support the view that 
the private sector 
creates jobs 
Enhance private 
sector leadership 
(including leadership 
of NSBI)
Next steps 
51
The Clearwater Example (?) 
Discussion Questions 
1. What is the most significant change that will 
improve the NS position? 
2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 
3. What are the immediate opportunities? 
4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
Nova Scotia’s Global Competitiveness & Trade 
DEFINING A COMMON AGENDA
oneNS & Global Trade 
• Informing the development of a 
comprehensive 10 year plan 
• Mobilizing broad based action
Discussion Questions 
• What is the common understanding of the 
‘challenge’? 
• What is the shared vision for change? 
• What measure(s) will indicate success? 
• What can oneNS members do to ‘mobilize 
broad based action’? 
• What will oneNS members do to mobilize 
broad based action?
Meeting Close 
• Meeting Reflections 
– Initial thoughts 
– Most important take away 
– Opportunities for improvements 
• Communications Support 
– Key meeting themes
Next Meeting November 14 – Annapolis Valley 
ONE NS COALITION

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oneNS Coalition October 2nd Meeting Master Slides Including J.P Deveau

  • 2. Overview of September Meeting • Entrepreneurship & fostering a start-up ecosystem – NS population challenges – The Communitech Example – ICT (Brilliant Labs, UIT, Volta) – OceanTech • Collective impact as a methodology
  • 3. Meeting Messages – Youth retention is an opportunity for NS – Waterloo (similar size, less assets, less opportunities) used a start-up ecosystem approach to turn around – There is a lot of community activity in ICT but to scale it, everyone has a role – In the ocean sector we have a competitive advantage & there is an opportunity to exploit that advantage
  • 4. Collective impact initiatives are characterized by five core conditions CONTINUOUS COMMUNICATION 4 © 2014 FSG • Common understanding of Source: Kania, John and Mark Kramer. Collective Impact. Stanford Social Innovation Review, 2011 COMMON AGENDA MUTUALLY REINFORCING ACTIVITIES BACKBONE INFRASTRUCTURE SHARED MEASUREMENT the problem • Shared vision for change • Collecting data and measuring results • Focus on performance management • Shared accountability • Differentiated approaches • Coordination through joint plan of action • Consistent and open communication • Focus on building trust • Separate organization(s) with staff • Resources and skills to convene and coordinate participating organizations
  • 5. Mobilizing Broad Based Action Youth out-migration & Emerging Entrepreneurship • What is the common understanding of the ‘challenge’? • What is the shared vision for change? • What can oneNS members do to ‘mobilize broad based action’?
  • 7. Communications – Committee met • Gaynor, Henry, Rankin • Meeting monthly – Communications plan/approach discussed • Available – Agreement to ramp up – Your involvement • Protocols • 1 pager
  • 8. Current Activities • Monthly online update • September newsletter update • Letter to MLAs – EG: NDP action • Twitter updates • Good morning Nova Scotia – Good news story on Facebook • Engage NS Share Thanksgiving • Starting to connect groups taking action – Engage NS/Colchester
  • 9. Short Term • Media • Outreach campaign RFP • Urgent Call to Dinner • October online live discussion - Exports • Package to Coalition and MLAs • October content • Call to orgs to commit to a quick win and long term action working toward goals (timing) • List of ways to take action
  • 11. Moving Forward • Executive Steering Committee for 10 year plan • Workplan updates • Activity updates since September meeting – Volta – next steps – Brilliant Labs – advancing with business plan – Oceans – progressing
  • 12. November 14, 2014 • Location: Annapolis Valley Area (tbc) • Proposed meeting: additional time potential • Additional proposed activities/opportunities • Meeting Focus: – Youth & international student retention – GHP Connector Program – Immigration Action Team update
  • 13. November 27, 2014 • Location: Halifax area • Proposed Meeting time: 2:00 – 5:30 (tbc) • Meeting Focus: – Youth & Social Entrepreneurship – Marc Kielburger, Co-Founder, Me To We • OneNS Holiday Reception
  • 14. October 2 – Key Theme NOVA SCOTIA’S GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS & TRADE
  • 15. Reaching our International Trade Goals Framing the Discussion 1. What is the most significant change that will improve NS Trade? 2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 3. What are the immediate opportunities? 4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
  • 16. Reaching our international trade goals THOMAS STORRING
  • 17. Reaching our International Trade Goals Discussion Questions 1. What is the most significant change that will improve the NS Trade? 2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 3. What are the immediate opportunities? 4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
  • 18. NS in a 2 Speed World Framing the Discussion 1. What is the most significant change that will improve the NS position? 2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 3. What are the immediate opportunities? 4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
  • 19. GLOBALIZATION, TECHNOLOGY AND DEMOGRAPHICS ARE RESHAPING THE GLOBAL GROWTH EQUATION KEVIN LYNCH
  • 20. GLOBALIZATION, TECHNOLOGY AND DEMOGRAPHICS ARE RESHAPING THE GLOBAL GROWTH EQUATION Kevin G. Lynch Vice-Chair BMO Financial Group, and Former Clerk of the Privy Council and Secretary to Cabinet, Government of Canada “One Nova Scotia” Roundtable Halifax, Nova Scotia October 2, 2014
  • 21. Observation 1: The context facing Canada and Nova Scotia is changing The demographic imperative - we’re aging, with profound impacts Globalization 2.0 - the hyper-connected world The core question facing us in Nova Scotia is: how well and how quickly are we adapting to this change? One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 21 Global financial crisis - with endless consequences Technology revolution - changing everything The competitiveness paradigm shift - need an innovation engine
  • 22. Observation 2: The new global economic reality is a “two-speed One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 22 world” 2-speed World: By the Numbers 2012 2013 2014 2015 Avg growth 2012-15 Emerging Economies 5.1 4.7 4.6 5.2 4.9 Emerging Asia 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.7 6.6 China 7.7 7.7 7.4 7.1 7.5 Advanced Economies 1.4 1.3 1.8 2.4 1.7 US 2.8 1.9 1.7 3.0 2.4 EU -0.7 -0.4 1.1 1.5 0.4 Canada 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.1 Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Update, July 2014 2-Speed World: The Visual 1-2% growth 6-7% growth 5% growth
  • 23. Observation 3: Trade diversification drives growth One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 23 Rank Top Canadian Export Markets, 2013 % of all 2013 Exports of Goods and Services Size of Economy (2013 USD Billion, GDP) 4-year Average Growth: 2013-2016 1 United States 75.9% 16,800 2.7% 2 China 4.3% 9,181 7.4% 3 United Kingdom 3.0% 2,536 2.4% 4 Japan 2.3% 4,902 1.1% 5 Mexico 1.1% 1,259 2.8% 6 Hong Kong 1.0% 274 3.6% 7 Netherlands 0.8% 800 0.8% 8 South Korea 0.7% 1,222 3.5% 9 Germany 0.7% 3,636 1.3% 10 France 0.7% 2,737 1.1% 11 India 0.6% 1,871 5.7% 12 Belgium 0.5% 507 1.0% 13 Brazil 0.5% 2,243 2.4% 14 Norway 0.4% 511 1.6% 15 Italy 0.4% 2,072 0.3% Sources: IMF World Economic Outlook, Oct 2013, Stats Canada
  • 24. Observation 4: Lack of trade diversification has costs Export Values comparing actual Canadian activity weighting with China and Emerging Market Economies to what it would be with US weighting One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 24 Exports to Emerging Market Economies % Share of total exports Canada UK Germany US Japan Australia % 50 40 30 20 10 0 Source: IMF Last observation: 2012 Note: Bank of Canada foreign activity measures calculated based on 2012 share of Canada and US exports to China and select EMEs. The numbers displayed represent the gap between 2013Q2 exports and the level of exports implied by the recalculated foreign activity measures. Values expressed in 2007 chained dollars. Sources, IMF, Statistics Canada, Bank of Canada calculations. Las Observance 2013Q2
  • 25. Observation 5: Asia is a market for Canada’s natural resources, and much more 1.3 8.3 1.5 1.2 3.8 2.3 One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 25 Numbers (millions) and Share (percent) of the Global Middle Class 2009 2020 North America 338 18% 333 10% Europe 664 36% 703 22% Central and 181 10% 251 8% South America Asia Pacific 525 28% 1740 54% Sub-Saharan 32 2% 57 2% Africa Middle East and North Africa 105 6% 165 5% World 1845 100% 3249 100% Sources: OECD, The Emerging Middle Class in Developing Countries , http://www.oecd.org/dev/44457738.pdf; McKinsey. Global Insight, February 2009; MGI China Model, February 2009; MGI Private Domestic Consumption 2020 (Forecast) CAGR 2007-2020 (%) 2.2 1.5 6.3 1.9
  • 26. Observation 6: There are many untapped export opportunities in Asia for Nova Scotia firms Consumers - $22 T consumption in emerging markets in 2025 and almost 2B middle class consumers - wanting better foodstuffs, better housing, better financial services, better education, etc. Natural Resources - A 30% increase in global energy demand, of which China and India alone will account for 60% by 2035. Infrastructure - $27 T expected infrastructure spend in emerging Asia, creating opportunities in engineering services, consulting, financing , specialty services, as well as basic materials. Agriculture and Food - Middle class wants variety in agriculture and foodstuff as well as increased food safety. Tourism - approximately 80 million outbound Chinese travelers in 2012, growing to over 110 million in 2015 - fastest growing segment in the world. Education - 1 B Asian youth to educate in any given year, and Canada/Nova Scotia have high quality, reasonably priced product offerings. Health Care - Spending expected to triple across Asia by 2020 but public systems are rudimentary-to-mediocre, One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 26 and private systems are mixed.
  • 27. Observation 7: Consider the energy opportunities, and risks CANADA’S ENERGY SECURITY CONUNDRUM US Hydrocarbon Supply  US Hydrocarbon Demand  + 100% reliance on US market for gas, oil and electricity exports + Increasing Canadian unconventional supply capacity: oil sands + shale gas = Declining Canadian security of energy demand One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 27 r r Global energy demand: • >33% growth by 2035 • <5% growth in OECD • China demand > U.S. Global energy supply: • Shale oil, oil sands hhh • Shale gas hhhh • Renewables h Energy technology: r r • Fracking, oil sands • Renewables • Water remediation; CO2 Global risk/uncertainty: • Geopolitical: Iraq, Syria, Nigeria, Russia, South China Sea Global energy equation: r • Shifts in security of global demand/supply • U.S. energy self-sufficiency • Global gas market?
  • 28. Observation 8: Consider the food and agriculture opportunities, what we’re capable of and what we’re missing Canada’s global production rankings for agricultural resources One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 28 China’s share of consumption %, 100% = $B Total 400 50 383 260 173 85 90 94 100% = China ROW Dairy Beef Poultry Pork Sources: McKinsey. USDA, NBS, Food and agriculture organization of the United Nations (FAOSTAT) Agricultural Resources Ranking Lentils 1st Linseed 1st Mustard Seed 1st Dry Peas 1st Forest 2nd Barley 2nd Canola 2nd Blueberries 2nd Cranberries 2nd Mixed Grain 2nd Wheat 8th 50 15 10 6
  • 29. Observation 9: Consider the education opportunities, with Australia the best example of what is possible United States Australia 18 13 723,000 557,000 SOURCE: McKinsey “International Education: A Key Driver of Canada’s Future Prosperity,” Advisory Panel on Canada’s International Education Strategy, August 2012; Government of Quebec One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 29 International student market share (est.) Percent International students Number United Kingdom Canada 10 5 428,000 240,000
  • 30. Observation 10: Consider the value added tourism opportunities, and what it will take to capture them Chinese tourist satisfaction rate Canada 84.5 Italy 82.7 New Zealand Spain 82.5 France 82.3 Argentina 81.0 Brazil 80.3 South Africa 80.2 Germany 80.0 Singapore 79.5 One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 30 China international travelers by destination South Korea 2.4 Malaysia Thailand Singapore Indonesia 0.6 Canada 0.4 0.4 Germany 0.3 Mongolia 0.3 0.3 UK 1.1 Cambodia Australia 1.5 1.2 1.0 USA Russia 0.8 0.7 Vietnam 1.4 France 1.7 1.6 Taiwan Japan Millions, 2011 1.8 SOURCE: McKinsey. CEIC, China tourism yearbook, Euromonitor (2011) Ctrip survey 2/2013; China Tourism Academy “China outbound travel satisfaction survey” 82.6
  • 31. Observation 11: How well positioned are Canada and Nova Scotia for success in today’s global economy? In today’s hyper-competitive world, the question for Nova Scotians is: is One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 31 being “pretty good”, good enough? Rankings Global Competitive-ness Index (WEF) Innovation Capacity (WEF) Productivity GDP per employed worker, current prices, USD (OECD) Soundness of Financial Systems (WEF) Net Debt to GDP, 2013 (IMF) (lowest to highest) Tertiary Education, % of Population (OECD) K-12 Pisa Results: Math (OECD) Number of Universities in Top 100 (Times Higher Education) Ranking of Cities – EIU Global Liveability (# of cities in top 10; ties settled based on rankings) Institutional Strength and Resilience, OECD Countries (World Bank) Norway Finland Sweden Estonia Denmark 12th 18th Canada New Zealand South Africa Hong Kong Singapore 1st 58th United States United Kingdom Germany Australia Canada 5th 1st Switzerland Singapore Finland Germany United States 14th 5th #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 Canada United States Canada Japan United States New Zealand Finland 1st 3rd China (Shanghai) Singapore Hong Kong Taipei Korea 13th 36th Australia Canada Austria Finland New Zealand 2nd n/a Switzerland Finland Germany Israel United States 27th 5th Luxembourg Norway US Ireland Belgium 17th 3rd Finland New Zealand Sweden Switzerland Norway 9th 17th
  • 32. Observation 12: Trust matters for leading change Global Trust in Sectors, 2014 79% 75% 66% 65% 65% 64% 63% 60% 59% 59% 55% 51% 51% Technology Consumer electronics manufacturing Automotive Food and beverage Entertainment Consumer packaged goods Brewing and spirits Telecommunications Consumer health companies Pharmaceuticals Energy Chemicals Banks Media One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 32 Global Trust Index, 2014 GLOBAL 54 UAE 79 China 79 Singapore 73 Indonesia 72 India 69 Malaysia 65 Canada 60 Netherlands 60 Mexico 59 Hong Kong 59 Australia 58 Brazil 57 Germany 57 Argentina 53 U.K. 52 Sweden 51 S. Korea 51 S. Africa 50 U.S. 49 France 46 Japan 44 Italy 43 Turkey 41 Spain 39 Ireland 39 Russia 37 Poland 35 50% 70% Financial services
  • 33. Observation 13: Culture and attitudes matter to success for Nova Scotia in this profoundly changing world One Nova Scotia Roundtable, Halifax, Oct 2, 2014 33 • We need to avoid “short term-ism” --- it is hard to build for our long term future with a quarterly mindset. A focused, long term Strategic Plan, with clear implementation milestones and accountabilities, is a good place to start. • We need to avoid “status quo-ism” --- it cannot be a strategy for long term success in a profoundly changing world. Re-orienting the economy towards more innovation-intensive firms, particularly start ups, is key. • We need to avoid “parochial-ism” --- everyone needs clear “going global” strategies today. Job #1 for Canada and Nova Scotia is focussed, export market diversification. • We need to avoid “risk aversion” in policy and operations. Consider a number of immediate innovations: reverse trade missions; foreign student strategy; incubator(s); pervasive co-op; and Chinese tourism as possible places.
  • 34. NS in a 2 Speed World Discussion Questions 1. What is the most significant change that will improve the NS position? 2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 3. What are the immediate opportunities? 4. Who are the leaders or catalysts
  • 35. The Clearwater Example Framing the Discussion 1. What is the most significant change that will improve the NS position? 2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 3. What are the immediate opportunities? 4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
  • 36. Global Competitiveness and Trade Action Team J.P. DEVEAU
  • 37. Global Competitiveness and Trade Action Team 2 October 2014
  • 38. Agenda • Mandate of the Global Competitiveness and Trade Action Team • Tonight’s objective • Initial ideas • Next steps 38
  • 39. The Global Competitiveness and Trade Action Team will focus on these goals to be achieved by 2024: GOAL 5: VALUE OF EXPORTS Nova Scotia will have increased the total annual value of exports (international and inter-provincial), currently in the $14B range, by 50% to exceed $20B 39 $20B $14B 850 1275 GOAL 6: FIRMS PARTICIPATING IN EXPORT TRADE The number of Nova Scotia firms participating in export trade will have increased by 50% over the current level of 850 GOAL 15: FISHERIES AND AGRICULTURE EXPORTS The value of exports from the fisheries (including aquaculture) and the agricultural sectors will each have doubled on a sustainable basis Game Changer VI: Rebuilding Our Trade Economy Nova Scotia should embrace a free trade orientation and become a champion among provinces for the reduction of both internal and external trade barriers.
  • 40. What is the path to achieving these goals? • Companies who have something exportable (and are not) must start to export • Companies who are currently exporting must increase their exports • We must attract companies who can export to NS 40
  • 41. This begs the following question for each group - • Companies who have something exportable (and are not) must start to export ‒ Why are you not exporting? • Companies who are currently exporting must increase their exporting ‒ What does it take for you to double your exports? • We must attract companies who can export to NS ‒ What does it take for you to come to NS? 41
  • 42. Tonight’s objective • To review and seek feedback on initial ideas to move the needle on global competitiveness and trade 42
  • 43. Drivers of competitiveness and productivity per Michael Porter 43 Quality of the Overall Business Environment • Improve business environment by focusing efforts on strategic sectors/clusters Speed up regulations, permits, licensing Remove unnecessary costs of doing business Design policies to support growth 1
  • 44. Drivers of competitiveness and productivity per Michael Porter 44 Cluster Development • Make strategic choices to focus on sectors/clusters with competitive advantages and growth potential Leverage existing strengths when building/ choosing clusters Compete to serve international markets Align policies and programs to support 2
  • 45. Drivers of competitiveness and productivity per Michael Porter 45 Policy Coordination Among Multiple Levels of Geography/ Government • Relentlessly support improvements to – Capital spending – Existing processes – Training and education – Innovation – Entrepreneurship with global innovation Efforts should support enhancements to productivity and Use existing innovation resources differently/ better 3
  • 46. Drivers of competitiveness and productivity per Michael Porter 46 Quality of the Overall Business Environment • Improve business environment by focusing efforts on strategic sectors/clusters Policy Coordination Among Government, Academia, Private Sector • Relentlessly support improvements to – Capital spending – Existing processes – Training and education – Innovation – Entrepreneurship with global innovation Cluster Development • Make strategic choices to focus on sectors/clusters with competitive advantages and growth potential Speed up regulations, permits, licensing Remove unnecessary costs of doing business Design policies to support growth Efforts should support enhancements to productivity and Use existing innovation resources differently/ better Leverage existing strengths when building/ choosing clusters Compete to serve international markets Align policies and programs to support
  • 47. Start with the business environment 47 Quality of the Overall Business Environment IMMEDIATE FOCUS (next 6 months) • Conduct research with: a. Successful exporters – what would it take for you to double exports? b. Potential exporters – what prevents you from exporting? • Identify short-term regulatory changes and other ways to improve the business environment to encourage exports 1
  • 48. Then identify the most attractive clusters 48 LONGER TERM FOCUS (starting spring 2015) • Discuss development of cluster strategy at spring coalition meeting • Proceed to make strategic choices about most attractive clusters for NS • Develop roadmap to build the chosen clusters Cluster Development 2
  • 49. Coordinate policies to advance the chosen clusters 49 LONG TERM FOCUS • Implement roadmap to build the chosen clusters including policy coordination Policy Coordination Among Government, Academia, Private Sector 3
  • 50. What role can the private sector play in global competitiveness and trade? 50 Support 4Front recommendations • Strategic competitiveness assessment • Industry collaboration • Reverse trade mission Provide mentorship • Students • Entrepreneurs • Other companies Be vocal and organized • Support initiatives where we can compete globally • Support the view that the private sector creates jobs Enhance private sector leadership (including leadership of NSBI)
  • 52. The Clearwater Example (?) Discussion Questions 1. What is the most significant change that will improve the NS position? 2. What can oneNS to improve the conditions? 3. What are the immediate opportunities? 4. Who are the leaders or catalysts?
  • 53. Nova Scotia’s Global Competitiveness & Trade DEFINING A COMMON AGENDA
  • 54. oneNS & Global Trade • Informing the development of a comprehensive 10 year plan • Mobilizing broad based action
  • 55. Discussion Questions • What is the common understanding of the ‘challenge’? • What is the shared vision for change? • What measure(s) will indicate success? • What can oneNS members do to ‘mobilize broad based action’? • What will oneNS members do to mobilize broad based action?
  • 56. Meeting Close • Meeting Reflections – Initial thoughts – Most important take away – Opportunities for improvements • Communications Support – Key meeting themes
  • 57. Next Meeting November 14 – Annapolis Valley ONE NS COALITION