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Lui G Forni : Consultant Intensivist & Nephrologist
Faculty of Health Sciences : University of Surrey
The Injured Kidney:
AKI: Who Will Get It ??
OMG : Not Another
Biomarker Talk…
Disclosures
Research Funding
Commercial Trials:
Honorarium/Travel
Expenses:
Astute Medical
SBRI/D4D’s Renal Technologies
Patientrack
BRS/BKPA
Roche
Fresenius; Astute Medical;
Ortho Clinical Diagnostics;
Baxter/Gambro/Renal
AKI : What’sThe Problem ?
• Common
• High Mortality
• Heavy Burden of Illness
• Acute
• ‘Chronic’
• Expensive!!!
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
No AKI = 1.99% Mortality
AKI = 28.11 % Mortality
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Epidemiology
40% Europe
92% Northern Hemisphere
75% High Income
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AKI : Causes
WhenToStartRRTinAcuteLiverFailure
HT, Heart Failure, Cirrhosis,
Diabetes, Mechanical Ventilation
Who Will Get It ? : Risk Factors?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
So Which Of Our Patients Are
At Risk of AKI ?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Who Is At Risk ?…
141 Pages Long
132 Page Appendix
64 Pages of Tables
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Incidence and outcomes of acute kidney injury in intensive care units:
AVeterans Administration study
CV Thakar et al,
Crit Care Med 2009
Risk
Dependent on
Cause
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Can We Predict AKI??
Author/Study Year Number AKI (?)
Rasmussen 1985 148 SCr > 160
Lohr 1988 126 50% Elevation
Schaefer 1991 134 RRT
Liano 1993 328 RRT
Paganini 1996 506 SCr > 160
Chertow 1998 256 RRT
Lins 2000 197 Rise SCr > 80
Mehta 2002 605 SCR > 160
Lins 2004 293 SCr > 160
Dharan 2005 265 50% rise in SCr
Chertow 2006 618 SCr > 40
Demirjian 2011 1122 SCr > 2 / RRT
Poorly Performing
Variable Definitions
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
What about in well defined populations?
• Cardiac Surgery
–Known Baseline
–Timed Insult
–Accurate Data Collection
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Predictive Scoring Systems
• Variable Endpoints
• Poorly Performing
• Not applicable to the majority of our patients
• Is there another way to identify
AKI early?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
The Race For The AKI Biomarker…
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
“a characteristic that is objectively
measured and evaluated as an
indicator of normal biological
processes, pathogenic processes,
or pharmacologic responses to a
therapeutic intervention”
Biomarkers…..
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Cell Cycle Arrest Markers
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Biomarkers for AKI : The Dream
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
So What Went Wrong ?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
• Can Novel Biomarkers Help to Identify High
Risk Patients & Improve Clinical Practice?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
The Problem May be….
• Creatinine
• Under stable steady
state conditions…...
• Excellent for CKD
• Useless for AKI….
©2000 by American Physiological Society
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Dietary Intake
Muscle Bulk
Tubular Secretion Renal Reserve
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Why is Creatinine Imperfect?
• Poor Specificity in Pre-Renal Disease
• Levels Dependant on Dietary Intake/Sepsis
• Drug Induced Changes inTubular Secretion
• Poor Sensitivity with Adequate Renal Reserve
• Slow Kinetics Post Injury
• Poor Sensitivity Where Histologicl damage is Mild
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
AKI
No AKI
800
200
Lets Assume We Know Which
Patients In This Cohort Have AKI…
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Total 200 800 1000
AKI + (SCr) 180 80 260
AKI - (SCr) 20 720 740
90%
Sensitivity
90%
Specificity
If We Assume SCr has a S&S of 90%
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Total 260 740 1000
AKI (PT+ve) 180 20 260
No AKI (PT-ve) 80 720 720
69%
Sensitivity
97%
Specificity
“AKI” As Determined by PT
Even the perfect test
would give imperfect
results…...
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Sepsis
Hypovolaemia
Drug Related
Cardiogenic Shock
HRS
Obstruction
ONE
TEST?
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Initial Cellular Insults
Oxidative/Inflammatory Stress
DNA damage
G1 Cell-Cycle arrest
G1
G2
S
(DNA
synthesis)
InterphaseCytokinesis
Mitosis
Mitotic phase (M)
[TIMP-2] [IGFBP7]
Peroxidized lipids
Chemical exposure
PAMPSDAMPS
Reactive oxygen
species
Oxidized proteins
[IGFBP7]
[TIMP-2]
P53
P21
P27
CyclE
CDK2
CyclD
CDK4
Markers of Cell-Cycle Arrest
p53/p21
signaling
involved
in CCA
G1 = Gap 1
(Cell Growth/Preparation
for DNA Synthesis)
Conclusions
• Over 50% of our Patients Currently Get AKI
• Overall Poor Outlook Probably Reflects
– Multisystem effects of renal injury
– Underlying cause of the AKI
• We Should Probably Abandon the Slavish
Chase for a RenalTroponin….
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
Conclusions
• We need to
start listening
to what the
new molecules
are telling us..
AcuteKidneyInjury:WhoWillGetIt?
OMG: Not Another Biomarker Talk - Forni

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OMG: Not Another Biomarker Talk - Forni

Editor's Notes

  1. Major routes of Cr metabolism in the mammalian body. The most part (up to 94%) of Cr is found in muscular tissues. Because muscle has virtually no Cr-synthesizing capacity, Cr has to be taken up from the blood against a large concentration gradient by a saturable, Na+- and Cl−-dependent Cr transporter that spans the plasma membrane (□). The daily demand for Cr is met either by intestinal absorption of dietary Cr or by de novo Cr biosynthesis. The first step of Cr biosynthesis probably occurs mainly in the kidney, whereas the liver is likely to be the principal organ accomplishing the subsequent methylation of guanidinoacetic acid (GAA) to Cr. It must be stressed that the detailed contribution of different bodily tissues (pancreas, kidney, liver, testis) to total Cr synthesis is still rather unclear and may vary between species (see text). The muscular Cr and PCr are nonenzymatically converted at an almost steady rate (∼2% of total Cr per day) to creatinine (Crn), which diffuses out of the cells and is excreted by the kidneys into the urine.