This document summarizes findings from an Afrobarometer survey of Nigerian public opinion ahead of the February 2015 elections. Key findings include:
- Nigerians are generally dissatisfied with the economy and government performance on issues like jobs and corruption.
- Most feel free to vote as they choose but fear of political violence or intimidation has sharply risen. Views of the election commission are mixed.
- Based on December 2014 preferences, the ruling PDP and main opposition APC are in a close contest nationally for the presidency. Support levels vary significantly across Nigeria's regions.
- The election outcome is too close to predict as campaigning was still underway at the time of the survey. Nigerians widely support
In line with the IRR’s objective to become an authority on political market research, the Institute has undertaken its second full survey
of the electoral landscape, to supplement the first full survey carried out in September 2018, and a “snap poll” carried out in December
2018.
Kenya: Improving democracy in spite of political rhetoricAfrobarometer
Democratic preferences: A majority of Kenyans prefer democratic, accountable governance in which:
Leaders are elected in free and fair elections.
Political parties compete in an open field.
The president is accountable to the people and Parliament.
Visit www.afrobarometer.org for more publications.
This presentation is available here: http://afrobarometer.org/media-briefings/kenya-improving-democracy-spite-political-rhetoric
In line with the IRR’s objective to become an authority on political market research, the Institute has undertaken its second full survey
of the electoral landscape, to supplement the first full survey carried out in September 2018, and a “snap poll” carried out in December
2018.
Kenya: Improving democracy in spite of political rhetoricAfrobarometer
Democratic preferences: A majority of Kenyans prefer democratic, accountable governance in which:
Leaders are elected in free and fair elections.
Political parties compete in an open field.
The president is accountable to the people and Parliament.
Visit www.afrobarometer.org for more publications.
This presentation is available here: http://afrobarometer.org/media-briefings/kenya-improving-democracy-spite-political-rhetoric
Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...SABC News
South Africa is getting ready for its fifth general election, expected to be held by August 2019. Over the coming months, political parties will be campaigning for national and provincial leadership.
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In this presentation, the citizens of Tanzania speak on media freedom and free speech. There is nearly a universal (96%) satisfaction with freedom of expression in the country.
Survey of Myanmar Public Opinion March 9 –April 1- 2017-IRI Releases Survey o...MYO AUNG Myanmar
Survey of Burma/Myanmar Public Opinion-March 9 – April 1, 2017-IRI Releases Survey of Burmese Public Opinion
AUGUST 22, 2017
Yangon, Myanmar—The International Republican Institute’s (IRI) Center for Insights in Survey Research today released a new poll surveying Burmese public opinion.
The survey sample size consisted of 3,000 citizens of Burma, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 percent. IRI has worked in Burma since 2012, and provided assistance to Burmese civil society organizations for more than 25 years. IRI’s program is dedicated to strengthening Burma’s representative institutions and civil society organizations through public opinion polling, workshops and consultations that allow policymakers to more effectively address citizens’ concerns.
http://www.iri.org/resource/iri-releases-survey-burmese-public-opinion
https://burmese.voanews.com/a/myanmar-survey-results/3997693.html
Mixed results for Aung San Suu Kyi’s government in first major survey
http://www.iri.org/sites/default/files/flip_docs/2014%20April%203%20Survey%20of%20Burma%20Public%20Opinion,%20December%2024,%202013-February%201,%202014.pdf
Survey of Burma Public Opinion-December 24, 2013 - February 1, 2014
Economic Conditions: What the citizens of Ghana Say Findings from the Afrobar...Afrobarometer
In this first public release of Afrobarometer R6 findings in Ghana on the economy. Citizens speak on their economic and living conditions. These findings were presented at public event in Accra on Wednesday, October 22, 2014 brought together policy makers, individuals from private and public sectors, governmental ministries, development agencies, civil society, and the news media
Reynolds Fellow Scott Swafford kicked off the workshop and shared some of his research at RJI's "Down-home Democracy: Empowering Citizens With Outstanding Coverage of Local Elections" on Friday, Jan. 31, 2014.
Trust and corruption in public institutions: Ghanaian opinions- #ABR6 #ABGhanaAfrobarometer
In the third release of Afrobarometer Round 6 results, most citizens of Ghana say they have 'little' or 'no' trust in key public institutions the tax department, local government
body, police, Parliament, ruling party, Electoral Commission,
president, courts of law, and opposition. Most Ghanaians They also say that corruption has increased in the past year and that government has performed poorly in fighting this canker. See more in this presentation delivered in Accra on Dec. 2, 2014
CFIF National Survey Executive Summary Jeff Mazzella
New national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the Center for Individual Freedom (CFIF) shows voters want bipartisan agreement on spending bills, oppose COVID-19 vaccine patent waivers and reject government setting prices for health care.
My research topic is “the generational differences in views about the degree of rigging in local and national elections of Bangladesh.” Here the topic actually shows what the people of Bangladesh think about the voting system and also about the election process is fair or not. Vote rigging is common to all the people of Bangladesh. When it’s time for election there were vote rigging, collusion between political parties and violence happened. Two generations has their own different views about the matter. In my study I found the difference. Where my assumption was younger generations are more attached with technology on the other hand older generations are more experience about the matter. This study totally match with my hypothesis.
Kenyans decry incessant corruption but reluctant to report incidentsAfrobarometer
In the second release of Afrobarometer Round 6 results on corruption, Two-Thirds (64%) in Kenya say that the level of corruption in the country has increased somewhat or a lot in the past year. See more in this presentation.
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What do the citizens of #Zimbabwe say about #corruption and the influence of China on their country. On corruption, two-thirds Zimbabweans feel corruption has increased over the past year. Find out more in this presentation.
Increasingly non partisan, South Africans willing to trade elections for secu...SABC News
South Africa is getting ready for its fifth general election, expected to be held by August 2019. Over the coming months, political parties will be campaigning for national and provincial leadership.
Free Speech within Bounds? Views from Tanzania on Media Freedom and Free SpeechAfrobarometer
In this presentation, the citizens of Tanzania speak on media freedom and free speech. There is nearly a universal (96%) satisfaction with freedom of expression in the country.
Survey of Myanmar Public Opinion March 9 –April 1- 2017-IRI Releases Survey o...MYO AUNG Myanmar
Survey of Burma/Myanmar Public Opinion-March 9 – April 1, 2017-IRI Releases Survey of Burmese Public Opinion
AUGUST 22, 2017
Yangon, Myanmar—The International Republican Institute’s (IRI) Center for Insights in Survey Research today released a new poll surveying Burmese public opinion.
The survey sample size consisted of 3,000 citizens of Burma, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1.8 percent. IRI has worked in Burma since 2012, and provided assistance to Burmese civil society organizations for more than 25 years. IRI’s program is dedicated to strengthening Burma’s representative institutions and civil society organizations through public opinion polling, workshops and consultations that allow policymakers to more effectively address citizens’ concerns.
http://www.iri.org/resource/iri-releases-survey-burmese-public-opinion
https://burmese.voanews.com/a/myanmar-survey-results/3997693.html
Mixed results for Aung San Suu Kyi’s government in first major survey
http://www.iri.org/sites/default/files/flip_docs/2014%20April%203%20Survey%20of%20Burma%20Public%20Opinion,%20December%2024,%202013-February%201,%202014.pdf
Survey of Burma Public Opinion-December 24, 2013 - February 1, 2014
Economic Conditions: What the citizens of Ghana Say Findings from the Afrobar...Afrobarometer
In this first public release of Afrobarometer R6 findings in Ghana on the economy. Citizens speak on their economic and living conditions. These findings were presented at public event in Accra on Wednesday, October 22, 2014 brought together policy makers, individuals from private and public sectors, governmental ministries, development agencies, civil society, and the news media
Reynolds Fellow Scott Swafford kicked off the workshop and shared some of his research at RJI's "Down-home Democracy: Empowering Citizens With Outstanding Coverage of Local Elections" on Friday, Jan. 31, 2014.
Trust and corruption in public institutions: Ghanaian opinions- #ABR6 #ABGhanaAfrobarometer
In the third release of Afrobarometer Round 6 results, most citizens of Ghana say they have 'little' or 'no' trust in key public institutions the tax department, local government
body, police, Parliament, ruling party, Electoral Commission,
president, courts of law, and opposition. Most Ghanaians They also say that corruption has increased in the past year and that government has performed poorly in fighting this canker. See more in this presentation delivered in Accra on Dec. 2, 2014
CFIF National Survey Executive Summary Jeff Mazzella
New national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the Center for Individual Freedom (CFIF) shows voters want bipartisan agreement on spending bills, oppose COVID-19 vaccine patent waivers and reject government setting prices for health care.
My research topic is “the generational differences in views about the degree of rigging in local and national elections of Bangladesh.” Here the topic actually shows what the people of Bangladesh think about the voting system and also about the election process is fair or not. Vote rigging is common to all the people of Bangladesh. When it’s time for election there were vote rigging, collusion between political parties and violence happened. Two generations has their own different views about the matter. In my study I found the difference. Where my assumption was younger generations are more attached with technology on the other hand older generations are more experience about the matter. This study totally match with my hypothesis.
Kenyans decry incessant corruption but reluctant to report incidentsAfrobarometer
In the second release of Afrobarometer Round 6 results on corruption, Two-Thirds (64%) in Kenya say that the level of corruption in the country has increased somewhat or a lot in the past year. See more in this presentation.
Public Perceptions of Corruption, Trust in State Institutions, China’s Influe...Afrobarometer
What do the citizens of #Zimbabwe say about #corruption and the influence of China on their country. On corruption, two-thirds Zimbabweans feel corruption has increased over the past year. Find out more in this presentation.
The nationwide TNS opinion poll was carried out between 15 and 20 January of 2013 by its local partner IPSC. The poll was commissioned by European Friends of Armenia (www.EuFoA.org) in order to contribute to a factual debate ahead of the elections. The sample size of the survey is 1,607.
The second nationwide TNS opinion poll was carried out between 31 January and 5 February 2013 by its local partner IPSC. The poll was commissioned by European Friends of Armenia (www.EuFoA.org) in order to contribute to a factual debate ahead of the elections. The sample size of the survey is 1,609.
This is one of 2 presentations at the 4th Afrobarometer Round 5 Global Release event in Accra, Ghana on December 11, 2013 which focused on "Government Services and Natural Resources. The results show that Water & sanitation services and basic health care biggest performance issues
My team attempt to answer the question: How can the United States Increase its Voter Turnout? We present our research as well as provide recommendations for successful strategies.
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The report measures attitudes and preferences regarding the 2020 presidential election, as well as attitudes about the current administration and its policies.
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Zambians oppose physical violence against women and children Afrobarometer
Due to a coding error, initial Afrobarometer reports misstated the views of Zambian citizens on gender base violence yesterday Instead of approving of physical punishment, 9/10 Zambians disapprove of physical punishment of wives by their husbands. We regret this error and apologize to the citizens of Zambia. Please find updated report here
Zambians' Trust in the Judiciary Still High But Begins To Decline,Legitimacy...Afrobarometer
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Ethnicity and Democracy Findings from Afrobarometer:Round 6 Survey in ZambiaAfrobarometer
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Findings from Afrobarometer Round 6 Survey in ZimbabweAfrobarometer
In the latest set of results from Zimbabwe, their citizens speak on the economy, foreign direct investment and more. 6 in 10 believe the country is going in the wrong direction. Check out more in this presentation held on March 18, 2015.
Economic conditions and lived poverty in BostwanaAfrobarometer
In this presentation, the citizens of Botswana speak about their economic conditions. Round 6 Afrobarometer data show that 5 in 10 (56%) say that their living conditions are “fairly bad” to “very bad”. Check out this and also the lived poverty data here.
Ghanaians Evaluations of Public Service Delivery Afrobarometer
In this second release of Afrobarometer Round 6 survey results in Ghana, the citizens assess Government performance in the delivery of public services. For this and many check out this presentation which was delivered on November 13, 2014
Taxing a Developing Africa: Citizens' ViewsAfrobarometer
A presentation on African Citizens views on taxation, compliance and compliance at the Fifth Afrobarometer Round 5 Global Release Event in Lagos, Nigeria on March 4, 2014.
This presentation covers the first Afrobarometer Round 5 Global Release in #Johanesburg on Lived Poverty and the Economy where Citizens Give Governments Failing Grades on Economic Management despite decades of Growth.
Presentation by Jared Jageler, David Adler, Noelia Duchovny, and Evan Herrnstadt, analysts in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies and Health Analysis Divisions, at the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists Summer Conference.
What is the point of small housing associations.pptxPaul Smith
Given the small scale of housing associations and their relative high cost per home what is the point of them and how do we justify their continued existance
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Canadian Immigration Tracker March 2024 - Key SlidesAndrew Griffith
Highlights
Permanent Residents decrease along with percentage of TR2PR decline to 52 percent of all Permanent Residents.
March asylum claim data not issued as of May 27 (unusually late). Irregular arrivals remain very small.
Study permit applications experiencing sharp decrease as a result of announced caps over 50 percent compared to February.
Citizenship numbers remain stable.
Slide 3 has the overall numbers and change.
Russian anarchist and anti-war movement in the third year of full-scale warAntti Rautiainen
Anarchist group ANA Regensburg hosted my online-presentation on 16th of May 2024, in which I discussed tactics of anti-war activism in Russia, and reasons why the anti-war movement has not been able to make an impact to change the course of events yet. Cases of anarchists repressed for anti-war activities are presented, as well as strategies of support for political prisoners, and modest successes in supporting their struggles.
Thumbnail picture is by MediaZona, you may read their report on anti-war arson attacks in Russia here: https://en.zona.media/article/2022/10/13/burn-map
Links:
Autonomous Action
http://Avtonom.org
Anarchist Black Cross Moscow
http://Avtonom.org/abc
Solidarity Zone
https://t.me/solidarity_zone
Memorial
https://memopzk.org/, https://t.me/pzk_memorial
OVD-Info
https://en.ovdinfo.org/antiwar-ovd-info-guide
RosUznik
https://rosuznik.org/
Uznik Online
http://uznikonline.tilda.ws/
Russian Reader
https://therussianreader.com/
ABC Irkutsk
https://abc38.noblogs.org/
Send mail to prisoners from abroad:
http://Prisonmail.online
YouTube: https://youtu.be/c5nSOdU48O8
Spotify: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/libertarianlifecoach/episodes/Russian-anarchist-and-anti-war-movement-in-the-third-year-of-full-scale-war-e2k8ai4
ZGB - The Role of Generative AI in Government transformation.pdfSaeed Al Dhaheri
This keynote was presented during the the 7th edition of the UAE Hackathon 2024. It highlights the role of AI and Generative AI in addressing government transformation to achieve zero government bureaucracy
Understanding the Challenges of Street ChildrenSERUDS INDIA
By raising awareness, providing support, advocating for change, and offering assistance to children in need, individuals can play a crucial role in improving the lives of street children and helping them realize their full potential
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/how-individuals-can-support-street-children-in-india/
#donatefororphan, #donateforhomelesschildren, #childeducation, #ngochildeducation, #donateforeducation, #donationforchildeducation, #sponsorforpoorchild, #sponsororphanage #sponsororphanchild, #donation, #education, #charity, #educationforchild, #seruds, #kurnool, #joyhome
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
2. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
At a glance
• Nigerians are generally dissatisfied with current
economic conditions and the government’s
performance on key issues.
• Most say they are free to vote as they choose, but
fear of political intimidation or violence has
increased sharply.
• Views of the INEC are mixed.
• Based on voting preferences expressed in
December 2014, the PDP and APC are running neck
and neck.
3. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
What is Afrobarometer?
• An African-led, non-partisan survey research project that
measures citizen attitudes on democracy and governance, the
economy, civil society, and other topics.
• Started in 12 countries in 1999, expanded to more than 30 African
countries in Round 5 (2011-2013).
• Goal: To give the public a voice in policy making by providing
high-quality public opinion data to policymakers, policy
advocates, civil society organisations, academics, news media,
donors and investors, and ordinary Africans.
• National partners in each country conduct the survey. In Nigeria,
the Afrobarometer Round 6 survey was conducted by Practical
Sampling International (PSI) in collaboration with the CLEEN
Foundation.
5. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Methodology
• Nationally representative sample of adult citizens
o All respondents are randomly selected.
o Sample is distributed across regions and urban-rural areas in
proportion to their share in the national population.
o Sample covered 33 of Nigeria’s 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory.
o It was not possible to conduct interviews in Adamawa, Borno, and Yobe due to
unrest in the region, so substitutions of sampling units were made from neighbouring
states in the same zone.
o Each zone is represented in the sample in proportion to its share of the national
population.
o Every adult citizen has an equal chance of being selected.
• Face-to-face interviews in the language of the respondent’s
choice.
6. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Methodology (cont.)
• Standard questionnaire allows comparisons across countries and
over time.
• Sample size of 2,400 yields a margin of error of ±2% at a 95%
confidence level.
• Fieldwork for Round 6 in Nigeria was conducted between 5 and
27 December 2014. (For 80 cases, supplementary interviews were
conducted on 18 and 19 January 2015.)
8. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Key findings – national context
• Three-quarters (74%) of Nigerians say the country is headed
in the wrong direction.
• Satisfaction with democracy is low (29%).
• A majority (57%) say the economy is in bad shape.
• The public gives poor ratings for government performance in
many sectors (economic management, creating jobs, fighting
corruption, providing a reliable supply of electricity).
• People are evenly divided in their assessments of the
response to insecurity caused by armed extremists.
• Response to Ebola is the major exception (94% positive).
9. Overall direction of the country | 2012-2014
Respondents were asked: Would you say that the country is going in
the wrong direction or going in the right direction? (%)
26
23
70
74
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012 2014
Right direction Wrong direction
10. Satisfaction with democracy | 2014
Respondents were asked: Overall, how satisfied are you with the way
democracy works in Nigeria? (%)
1
68
29
2
The country is not a
democracy
Not at all / not very
satisfied
Fairly / very satisfied
Don't know
11. Condition of the national economy | 2012-2014
Respondents were asked: In general, how would you describe the present economic
condition of this country? (%)
25
67
8
31
57
12
0
20
40
60
80
Fairly/very good Fairly/very bad Neither good nor bad / Don't know
2012 2014
12. Government handling of key issues and priorities | 2014
Respondents were asked: How well or badly would you say the current government is
handling the following matters, or haven’t you heard enough to say? (%)
29
22 22
31
70
78 78
68
0
20
40
60
80
100
Managing the economy Creating jobs Fighting corruption Providing reliable electric
supply
Fairly / very well Fairly / very badly
13. Government responsiveness to national emergencies | 2014
Respondents were asked: In your opinion, how responsive do you think the
federal government has been to the following emergencies? (%)
49
94
51
6
0
20
40
60
80
100
Insecurity caused by armed extremists Ebola virus outbreak
Somewhat / very responsive Not at all / not very responsive
14. Approval of presidential performance | 2012-2014
Respondents were asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the way that President
Goodluck Jonathan has performed his job over the past 12 months, or haven’t you
heard enough to say? (%)
49
40
50
59
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
2012
2014
Disapprove /
strongly disapprove
Approve / strongly
approve
16. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Key findings – election environment
• Three-fourths (77%) of Nigerians say elections are the best system for
choosing leaders.
• 80% feel free to vote as they choose, down from 88% in 2012.
• In practice, significant concerns about elections in Nigeria:
• 68% lack confidence in elections as a means to “enable voters
to remove from office leaders who do not do what the people
want.”
• Only 23% believe that elections are “often” or “always”
determined by a fair count of votes.
• Only 35% consider that there is “often” or “always” fair media
coverage of campaigns.
• 57% say electoral bribery happens frequently.
• 50% fear electoral intimidation or violence, a dramatic increase
from 34% two years ago.
17. Freedom to vote as you choose | 2012-2014
Respondents were asked: In this country, how free are you to choose
who to vote for without feeling pressured? (%)
88
12
80
19
0
20
40
60
80
100
Somewhat / completely free Not at all / not very free
2012
2014
18. Election efficacy | 2014
Respondents were asked: How well do elections enable voters to
remove from office leaders who do not do what the people want? (%)
28
40
19
10
4
Not at all well
Not very well
Well
Very well
Don't know
19. Evaluations of the election environment| 2012-2014 | %
In your opinion, how often do the
following things occur in this
country’s elections:
Never Sometimes Often/Always Don’t know
Voters are offered genuine choice
in the elections 17 46 33 5
Voters are threatened with
violence at the polls 14 46 34 6
The media provides fair coverage
of all candidates
13 46 35 6
Opposition candidates are
prevented from running for office
32 36 25 8
Voters are bribed 6 34 57 4
Votes are counted fairly 23 52 23 3
20. Fear of political intimidation or violence | 2012-2014
Respondents were asked: During election campaigns in this country, how much do you
personally fear becoming a victim of political intimidation or violence? (%)
34
50
65
48
0
20
40
60
80
2012 2014
Somewhat / a lot Not at all / a little bit
22. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Key findings – INEC and election
preparedness
• Contradictory views of the INEC:
•Two-thirds (64%) of Nigerians believe the INEC is “ready to
hold credible free and fair elections.”
• Only 32% say they trust the INEC “somewhat” or “a lot.”
23. Is the INEC ready for elections? | 2014
Respondents were asked: Concerning the forthcoming 2015 elections, do you think that the
Independent National Electoral Commission, or INEC, is ready to hold credible free and fair
elections? (%)
64
18
18
Yes
No
Don't know
24. Trust in the INEC | 2012-2014
Respondents were asked: How much do you trust the Independent National Electoral
Commission, or INEC, or haven’t you heard enough about them to say? (%)
27
39
27
7
30
37
25
7
0
10
20
30
40
50
Not at all Just a little Somewhat A lot
2012 2014
26. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Key findings – voter engagement
• 78% plan to vote in the 2015 elections.
• Intention to vote increases with age.
• Men are more likely (83%) than women (73%) to plan on
voting.
• Voting intentions vary across zones:
• 85% in North East say they intend to vote, but some
voters in this insecure region may be disenfranchised due
to takeover of territory by insurgents or population
displacement.
• 73% in South South plan to vote, the lowest level among
the six zones.
27. Planning to vote, by age | 2014
Respondents were asked: Do you intend to vote in the forthcoming 2015 elections? (%)
11 9
5 5 5
8 9
15 14 13 12
8
13 14
74
78
82 83
87
79 78
0
20
40
60
80
100
18-25 26-35 36-45 46-55 56-65 Over 65 Total
Probably/definitely no Don't know/Refused/Uncertain Probably/almost certainly yes
28. Planning to vote, by zone | 2014
10
7 6
11
7
11
9
13
8
15
10
21
13 14
78
85
79 79
73
76 78
0
20
40
60
80
100
North
Central
North
East
North
West
South
East
South
South
South
West
Total
Probably/definitely no Don't know/Refused/Uncertain Probably/almost certainly yes
30. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Key findings – political party
evaluations
• Compared to 2012, trust in opposition parties has risen
from 24% to 31%, while trust in the ruling party has
remained unchanged at 29%.
• About one-third (31%) believe the opposition offers a
“viable alternative vision and plan for the country.”
• Respondents are almost evenly split on the question of
which party would do better in managing critical issues.
31. 31
Respondents were asked: How much do you trust each of the following, or haven’t you heard
enough to say? (% who said “somewhat” or “a lot”)
Trust in ruling and opposition parties | 2012-2014
29
24
29
31
0
10
20
30
40
50
Trust the ruling party Trust opposition political parties
2012 2014
32. 32
Respondents were asked: Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with the following
statement: The political opposition in Nigeria presents a viable alternative vision and plan for the
country? (%)
38
31
22
9
Disagree / strongly
disagree
Agree / strongly
agree
Neither agree nor
disagree
Don't Know
Opposition offers viable alternative | 2014
33. 33
Respondents were asked: Which of the following do you see as the most important difference
between the ruling party and opposition parties in Nigeria? (%)
10
6
10
14
17
21
21
0 5 10 15 20 25
Don't know
The personalities of party leaders
The experience of party leaders
Identity of party leaders or members
(region, religion, ethcnicity)
Their economic and development
policies
The honesty or integrity of party leaders
There is no difference
Differences between ruling and opposition parties | 2014
34. 34
Respondents were asked: Looking at the ruling and opposition political parties in this country,
which would you say is most able to address each of the following matters, or haven’t you
heard enough to say? (%)
28
34
35
40
32
33
30
31
29
24
25
21
11
9
10
9
0 20 40 60 80 100
Fighting corruption
Creating jobs
Controlling prices
Improving health
Ruling party Opposition party or parties Neither of them Don't know
Most capable party | 2014
36. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Key findings – voting intentions
• Snapshot of voter attitudes in December 2014, just before the
presidential campaigns went into full swing. As in any close contest,
small shifts in partisan preferences could swing the election either
way.
• Presidential race is too close to call:
• Among all respondents, 39% PDP, 38% APC (+/-2% margin of
sampling error).
• Among likely voters, 42% each.
• Only moderate differences in party preference across gender and
age group.
• Larger differences across the country’s six zones.
37. 37
Respondents were asked: If presidential elections were held tomorrow, which party’s candidate
would you vote for? (% of likely voters; due to rounding, percentages may not add up to 100%))
42 42
6
11
0
10
20
30
40
50
PDP APC Other party Don't know / Refused to
say
Voting intentions among likely voters, presidential election| 2014
39. 39
Presidential voting intentions by zone (all respondents) | 2014
45%
43%
20%
61%
65%
19%
39%
35%
44%
59%
4%
20%
46%
38%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
North
Central
North
East
North
West
South
East
South
South
South
West
National average
PDP APC
40. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Conclusions – election environment
• Large majorities support elections as the best mechanism for
choosing their leaders, have confidence in their ability to vote as
they choose, and intend to go to the polls.
• A sizeable majority believe that the INEC is adequately
prepared to manage the polls, but public trust in the institution is
weak.
• Many citizens lack confidence in the integrity of the electoral
process and express concerns about security and intimidation
around the elections.
• The public perceives an uneven and often ineffective
government response to critical challenges facing the country.
41. WWW.AFROBAROMETER.ORG
Conclusions – vote choice
• Nigerians are evenly divided in their preference for the ruling
party and the main opposition challengers.
• Support for the opposition is at the highest level recorded in any
Afrobarometer survey in Nigeria; challengers are set to make
their strongest showing since the restoration of multiparty
elections in 1990.
• There are sharp differences in party support across the country’s
zones.
• The campaign environment is fluid and highly competitive. As
such, the race remains too close to call.