Nigeria faces very high political and economic risks over the next 18 months and 5 years according to this forecast. The presidential election scheduled for February 14 was postponed until late March due to security issues posed by the militant group Boko Haram in northern Nigeria. The election is highly contested between the Christian southern incumbent and his party versus a northern Muslim candidate and opposition party, heightening the risk of post-election violence. Additionally, falling oil prices have weakened the economy, devalued the currency, increased inflation, and may lead to further unrest from higher prices and wages not keeping pace. Taken together with the tensions from the elections, Nigeria's situation is volatile and could explode into major upheaval.