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THE NET LEASE QSR
MARKET REPORT
Q2 2017
QSR (FRANCHISEE) PROPERTIES
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES
MARKET OVERVIEW
QSR PROPERTIES MEDIAN
ASKING PRICE
	
Median
Tenant Price
All QSR $2,356,560
Burger King $2,350,000
Chick Fil A (Ground Lease) $3,100,000
Dunkin Donuts $1,943,000
KFC $1,428,000
McDonald's (Ground Lease) $2,251,500
Panera Bread $2,888,889
Pizza Hut $783,000
Starbucks $2,717,000
Taco Bell $1,595,000
Wendy's $2,198,180
QSR (CORPORATE) PROPERTIES
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES	
Tenant Q2 2016
(Previous)
Q2 2017
(Current)
Basis Point
Change
All Corporate QSR 5.45% 5.35% -10
Chick Fil A (Ground Lease) 4.00% 4.00% 0
McDonald's (Ground Lease) 4.10% 4.00% -10
Panera Bread 5.10% 5.00% -10
Starbucks 5.05% 5.10% +5
	
Tenant Q2 2016
(Previous)
Q2 2017
(Current)
Basis Point
Change
All Franchisee QSR 5.80% 5.75% -5
Burger King 5.80% 5.75% -5
Dunkin Donuts 5.15% 5.25% +10
KFC 5.73% 6.00% +27
Pizza Hut 6.00% 6.35% +35
Taco Bell 5.63% 5.70% +7
Wendy's 5.60% 5.75% +15
Cap rates in the net lease quick service restaurant (QSR) sector
declined to 5.56% in the second quarter of 2017 representing a 14
basis point decline when compared to the prior year. Cap rates for
corporate leased QSR properties decreased by 10 basis points to a
5.35% cap rate while QSR properties leased to franchisees declined
by 5 basis points to a 5.75% cap rate. The 14 basis points of cap rate
compression within the net lease QSR sector occurred during the same
time period when cap rates for the net lease retail sector increased by
5 basis points. The recent inverse cap rate trend between the overall
retail and QSR sectors can be attributed to the influx of investors to
this sub-sector. Investors continue to target the QSR sector as it is
e-commerce resistant and is a popular alternative for 1031 investors
when compared to other low priced net lease properties.
New construction QSR properties are in the greatest demand amongst
investors as they exhibit the criteria that many 1031 exchange and
private buyers seek. 1031 exchange and private buyers target
single tenant QSR properties as the typical lease structures of QSR
properties are attractive. The vast majority of QSR properties exhibit
absolute NNN leases with scheduled rental escalations in the primary
term. QSR properties constructed in the past two years experienced
significant compression when compared to the prior year. In the
second quarter of 2017, QSR properties constructed in the past two
years had asking cap rates of 5.25%. This represented a 15 basis
point decline when compared to the second quarter of 2016. In the
first two quarters of 2017, more than 75% of the QSR properties sold
were purchased by private buyers.
The QSR sector differs from other sub-sectors within net lease as
the majority of the properties are leased to franchisees rather than
corporate entities. Cap rates for franchisee leased properties can vary
significantly as lease guarantors can range from franchisees with less
than ten locations to large franchisees with hundreds of locations.
Corporately guaranteed QSR properties were priced at a 40 basis
point premium over franchisee backed properties.
The single tenant net lease QSR sector will continue to garner investor
demand as the many investors have shifted their attention to assets
in e-commerce resistant arenas. Furthermore, 1031 exchange and
private buyers will continue to seek these assets as they offer low
price point acquisition targets with long term leases, rental escalations
and zero landlord responsibilities.
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE QSR
MARKET REPORT
Q2 2017
NET LEASE QSR PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY REGION
WEST
MOUNTAIN
MIDWEST
SOUTH
NORTHEAST
NORTHEAST
SOUTH
MIDWEST
MOUNTAIN
WEST
5.58%
5.42%
5.40%
5.85%
4.41%
Tenant Total Number of Locations Ticker Symbol Market Cap
Arby's 3,400 Private Private
Burger King 15,000 QSR $27 B
Carl's Jr. 1,385 Private Private
Chick Fil A 2,170 Private Private
Chipotle 2,330 CMG $9.8 B
Dunkin' Donuts 11,000+ DNKN $5.1 B
Hardee's 1,860 Private Private
Jack in the Box 2,255 JACK $2.7 B
KFC 19,950 YUM $26 B
McDonald's 35,000+ MCD $125 B
Panda Express 1,910 Private Private
Panera Bread 2,045 PNRA $7.1 B
Pizza Hut 16,400 YUM $35 B
Popeyes 2,730 PLKI $1.6 B
Sonic Drive-In 3,550 SONC $1.1 B
Starbucks 24,465 SBUX $80 B
Taco Bell 6,975 YUM $35 B
Wendy's 6,500 WEN $3.8 B
Whataburger 815 Private Private
SELECTED COMPANY COMPARISON
Leases can be guaranteed by franchisees or corporations.
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE QSR
MARKET REPORT
Q2 2017
© 2017. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information
and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any
circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability
arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express
written consent of The Boulder Group.
QSR VS RETAIL NET LEASE MARKET
CAP RATES
ASKING CAP RATE BY
LEASE TERM REMAINING
	
Q2 2016 Q2 2017
Sector (Previous) (Current)
QSR Sector 5.70% 5.56%
Retail Net Lease Market 6.18% 6.23%
QSR Premium (bps) 48 67
	
Lease Term Remaining Cap Rate
20+ 5.35%
15-19 5.45%
10-14 5.75%
Under 10 6.35%
MEDIAN NATIONAL CLOSED CAP RATE
SPREAD
QSR ASKING CAP RATE BY
GUARANTOR
	
Spread
Sector Closed Asking (bps)
QSR Sector 5.66% 5.40% 26
	
Corporate Franchise Spread
Cap Rate Cap Rate (bps)
5.35% 5.75% -40
FOR MORE INFORMATION
AUTHOR
John Feeney | Vice President
john@bouldergroup.com
Randy Blankstein | President
randy@bouldergroup.com
Jimmy Goodman | Partner
jimmy@bouldergroup.com
Asher Wenig | Vice President
asher@bouldergroup.com
CONTRIBUTORS
Scott Harris | Analyst
scott@bouldergroup.com

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Net Lease QSR Research Report

  • 1. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE QSR MARKET REPORT Q2 2017 QSR (FRANCHISEE) PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES MARKET OVERVIEW QSR PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING PRICE Median Tenant Price All QSR $2,356,560 Burger King $2,350,000 Chick Fil A (Ground Lease) $3,100,000 Dunkin Donuts $1,943,000 KFC $1,428,000 McDonald's (Ground Lease) $2,251,500 Panera Bread $2,888,889 Pizza Hut $783,000 Starbucks $2,717,000 Taco Bell $1,595,000 Wendy's $2,198,180 QSR (CORPORATE) PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES Tenant Q2 2016 (Previous) Q2 2017 (Current) Basis Point Change All Corporate QSR 5.45% 5.35% -10 Chick Fil A (Ground Lease) 4.00% 4.00% 0 McDonald's (Ground Lease) 4.10% 4.00% -10 Panera Bread 5.10% 5.00% -10 Starbucks 5.05% 5.10% +5 Tenant Q2 2016 (Previous) Q2 2017 (Current) Basis Point Change All Franchisee QSR 5.80% 5.75% -5 Burger King 5.80% 5.75% -5 Dunkin Donuts 5.15% 5.25% +10 KFC 5.73% 6.00% +27 Pizza Hut 6.00% 6.35% +35 Taco Bell 5.63% 5.70% +7 Wendy's 5.60% 5.75% +15 Cap rates in the net lease quick service restaurant (QSR) sector declined to 5.56% in the second quarter of 2017 representing a 14 basis point decline when compared to the prior year. Cap rates for corporate leased QSR properties decreased by 10 basis points to a 5.35% cap rate while QSR properties leased to franchisees declined by 5 basis points to a 5.75% cap rate. The 14 basis points of cap rate compression within the net lease QSR sector occurred during the same time period when cap rates for the net lease retail sector increased by 5 basis points. The recent inverse cap rate trend between the overall retail and QSR sectors can be attributed to the influx of investors to this sub-sector. Investors continue to target the QSR sector as it is e-commerce resistant and is a popular alternative for 1031 investors when compared to other low priced net lease properties. New construction QSR properties are in the greatest demand amongst investors as they exhibit the criteria that many 1031 exchange and private buyers seek. 1031 exchange and private buyers target single tenant QSR properties as the typical lease structures of QSR properties are attractive. The vast majority of QSR properties exhibit absolute NNN leases with scheduled rental escalations in the primary term. QSR properties constructed in the past two years experienced significant compression when compared to the prior year. In the second quarter of 2017, QSR properties constructed in the past two years had asking cap rates of 5.25%. This represented a 15 basis point decline when compared to the second quarter of 2016. In the first two quarters of 2017, more than 75% of the QSR properties sold were purchased by private buyers. The QSR sector differs from other sub-sectors within net lease as the majority of the properties are leased to franchisees rather than corporate entities. Cap rates for franchisee leased properties can vary significantly as lease guarantors can range from franchisees with less than ten locations to large franchisees with hundreds of locations. Corporately guaranteed QSR properties were priced at a 40 basis point premium over franchisee backed properties. The single tenant net lease QSR sector will continue to garner investor demand as the many investors have shifted their attention to assets in e-commerce resistant arenas. Furthermore, 1031 exchange and private buyers will continue to seek these assets as they offer low price point acquisition targets with long term leases, rental escalations and zero landlord responsibilities.
  • 2. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE QSR MARKET REPORT Q2 2017 NET LEASE QSR PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY REGION WEST MOUNTAIN MIDWEST SOUTH NORTHEAST NORTHEAST SOUTH MIDWEST MOUNTAIN WEST 5.58% 5.42% 5.40% 5.85% 4.41% Tenant Total Number of Locations Ticker Symbol Market Cap Arby's 3,400 Private Private Burger King 15,000 QSR $27 B Carl's Jr. 1,385 Private Private Chick Fil A 2,170 Private Private Chipotle 2,330 CMG $9.8 B Dunkin' Donuts 11,000+ DNKN $5.1 B Hardee's 1,860 Private Private Jack in the Box 2,255 JACK $2.7 B KFC 19,950 YUM $26 B McDonald's 35,000+ MCD $125 B Panda Express 1,910 Private Private Panera Bread 2,045 PNRA $7.1 B Pizza Hut 16,400 YUM $35 B Popeyes 2,730 PLKI $1.6 B Sonic Drive-In 3,550 SONC $1.1 B Starbucks 24,465 SBUX $80 B Taco Bell 6,975 YUM $35 B Wendy's 6,500 WEN $3.8 B Whataburger 815 Private Private SELECTED COMPANY COMPARISON Leases can be guaranteed by franchisees or corporations.
  • 3. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE QSR MARKET REPORT Q2 2017 © 2017. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group. QSR VS RETAIL NET LEASE MARKET CAP RATES ASKING CAP RATE BY LEASE TERM REMAINING Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Sector (Previous) (Current) QSR Sector 5.70% 5.56% Retail Net Lease Market 6.18% 6.23% QSR Premium (bps) 48 67 Lease Term Remaining Cap Rate 20+ 5.35% 15-19 5.45% 10-14 5.75% Under 10 6.35% MEDIAN NATIONAL CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD QSR ASKING CAP RATE BY GUARANTOR Spread Sector Closed Asking (bps) QSR Sector 5.66% 5.40% 26 Corporate Franchise Spread Cap Rate Cap Rate (bps) 5.35% 5.75% -40 FOR MORE INFORMATION AUTHOR John Feeney | Vice President john@bouldergroup.com Randy Blankstein | President randy@bouldergroup.com Jimmy Goodman | Partner jimmy@bouldergroup.com Asher Wenig | Vice President asher@bouldergroup.com CONTRIBUTORS Scott Harris | Analyst scott@bouldergroup.com