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THE NET LEASE
DOLLAR STORE REPORT
Q2 2016
	
Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Basis Point
Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change
Dollar General 6.50% 6.60% +10
Family Dollar 6.50% 6.50% 0
Dollar Tree 6.85% 7.00% +15
DOLLAR STORE PROPERTIES
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES
MEDIAN ASKING PRICE
	
Median Median Price
Tenant Asking Price Per Foot
Dollar General $1,329,231 $146
Family Dollar $1,549,074 $185
Dollar Tree $1,502,084 $151
MEDIAN NATIONAL CLOSED
CAP RATE SPREAD
MARKET OVERVIEW
Cap rates within the single tenant net lease dollar store sector
increased by 15 basis points from the second quarter of 2015 to the
second quarter of 2016 to a 6.65% cap rate. The dollar store sector, for
the purpose of this report, is defined as free standing Dollar General,
Dollar Tree and Family Dollar properties, as these tenants represent
the largest presence within the sector. Cap rates for Family Dollar
assets remained unchanged while Dollar General and Dollar Tree
experienced increases of 10 and 15 basis point each, respectively.
The cumulative expansion plans of each tenant create a market with
a consistent supply of new construction assets. The abundance of
supply resulted in an increase in cap rates for the dollar store sector
when compared to the second quarter of 2015. In the second quarter
of 2016, the discount associated with net lease dollar store assets
when compared to the net lease retail sector widened by 37 basis
points.Acontributing reason for the increase is many large institutional
buyers previously acquired a significant number of dollar stores and
reached their capacity. Furthermore, many lenders have filled their
dollar store allotment and are not offering the same financing options
as other net lease assets.
Despite the lack of institutional buyers, dollar stores remain attractive
to 1031 and private investors as they offer long term leases with low
price points. In the second quarter of 2016, the median asking price
for the net lease dollar store sector was $1,362,000.
Dollar General and Family Dollar continue to make up the majority of
the supply in the single tenant dollar store sector with Dollar General
leading the supply with 62% of the sector. Dollar Tree stores only
made up 7% of the total supply in the second quarter as Dollar Tree
stores are more commonly located within multi-tenanted assets.
The net lease dollar store sector will continue to realize demand as
dollar stores offer investors a higher yield to other low price point net
lease assets including quick service restaurants and auto part stores.
With the cumulative expansion plans of all three tenants, a strong
pipeline of new construction assets should remain. The expectation
is that the majority of demand for this asset class will remain in new
construction assets as investors look to take advantage of the full
lease term.
	
Tenant Closed Ask Spread (bps)
Dollar General 6.68% 6.50% 18
Family Dollar 6.82% 6.60% 22
Dollar Tree 7.25% 7.00% 25
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE
BY LEASE TERM REMAINING
	
Years Dollar Family Dollar
Remaining General Dollar Tree
12-15 6.50% 6.25% --
9-11 6.93% 7.10% 6.75%
6-8 7.58% 7.75% 7.10%
3-5 8.00% 8.20% 8.00%
Under 3 8.65% 9.00% --
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE
DOLLAR STORE REPORT
Q2 2016
DOLLAR STORE MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY REGION
	
Percentage
Tenant of Market
Dollar General 62%
Family Dollar 31%
Dollar Tree 7%
PERCENTAGE OF DOLLAR STORES
ON THE MARKET BY TENANT
	
Q2 2015 Q2 2016
Tenant (Previous) (Current)
Dollar Store 6.50% 6.65%
Market 6.40% 6.18%
Dollar Store Discount (bps) 10 47
DOLLAR STORE VS RETAIL NET
LEASE MARKET CAP RATES
WEST
MOUNTAIN
MIDWEST
SOUTH
NORTHEAST
NORTHEAST
SOUTH
MIDWEST
MOUNTAIN
WEST
6.00%
5.50%
5.85%
6.65%
6.35%
7.00%
6.50%
6.25%
--
6.15%
6.25%
6.88%
6.60%
6.40%
7.00%
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE
DOLLAR STORE REPORT
Q2 2016
© 2016. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information
and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any
circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability
arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express
written consent of The Boulder Group.
COMPANY AND LEASE OVERVIEW
Dollar General Family Dollar Dollar Tree
Credit Rating BBB (Stable) -- BB+ (Stable)
Stock Symbol DG -- DLTR
Market Cap $26.8 billion -- $22.8 billion
Revenue $20.4 billion -- $8.6 billion
Number of Stores 12,500 8,200 5,400
Typical New Lease Type Triple Net Triple Net Double Net
Typical New Lease Term 15 years primary term with
twenty years of options
15 years primary term with thirty
years of options
7 or 10 years primary term
with ten years of options
Typical Rent Increases None in primary term; 10%
each option period
Either every three years in primary
term or 10% in year 11
$0.50 per square foot every
five years
FOR MORE INFORMATION
AUTHOR
John Feeney | Vice President
john@bouldergroup.com
Randy Blankstein | President
randy@bouldergroup.com
Jimmy Goodman | Partner
jimmy@bouldergroup.com
Asher Wenig | Vice President
asher@bouldergroup.com
CONTRIBUTORS
Scott Harris | Analyst
scott@bouldergroup.com

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net lease dollar store report

  • 1. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DOLLAR STORE REPORT Q2 2016 Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Basis Point Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change Dollar General 6.50% 6.60% +10 Family Dollar 6.50% 6.50% 0 Dollar Tree 6.85% 7.00% +15 DOLLAR STORE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES MEDIAN ASKING PRICE Median Median Price Tenant Asking Price Per Foot Dollar General $1,329,231 $146 Family Dollar $1,549,074 $185 Dollar Tree $1,502,084 $151 MEDIAN NATIONAL CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD MARKET OVERVIEW Cap rates within the single tenant net lease dollar store sector increased by 15 basis points from the second quarter of 2015 to the second quarter of 2016 to a 6.65% cap rate. The dollar store sector, for the purpose of this report, is defined as free standing Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar properties, as these tenants represent the largest presence within the sector. Cap rates for Family Dollar assets remained unchanged while Dollar General and Dollar Tree experienced increases of 10 and 15 basis point each, respectively. The cumulative expansion plans of each tenant create a market with a consistent supply of new construction assets. The abundance of supply resulted in an increase in cap rates for the dollar store sector when compared to the second quarter of 2015. In the second quarter of 2016, the discount associated with net lease dollar store assets when compared to the net lease retail sector widened by 37 basis points.Acontributing reason for the increase is many large institutional buyers previously acquired a significant number of dollar stores and reached their capacity. Furthermore, many lenders have filled their dollar store allotment and are not offering the same financing options as other net lease assets. Despite the lack of institutional buyers, dollar stores remain attractive to 1031 and private investors as they offer long term leases with low price points. In the second quarter of 2016, the median asking price for the net lease dollar store sector was $1,362,000. Dollar General and Family Dollar continue to make up the majority of the supply in the single tenant dollar store sector with Dollar General leading the supply with 62% of the sector. Dollar Tree stores only made up 7% of the total supply in the second quarter as Dollar Tree stores are more commonly located within multi-tenanted assets. The net lease dollar store sector will continue to realize demand as dollar stores offer investors a higher yield to other low price point net lease assets including quick service restaurants and auto part stores. With the cumulative expansion plans of all three tenants, a strong pipeline of new construction assets should remain. The expectation is that the majority of demand for this asset class will remain in new construction assets as investors look to take advantage of the full lease term. Tenant Closed Ask Spread (bps) Dollar General 6.68% 6.50% 18 Family Dollar 6.82% 6.60% 22 Dollar Tree 7.25% 7.00% 25 MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY LEASE TERM REMAINING Years Dollar Family Dollar Remaining General Dollar Tree 12-15 6.50% 6.25% -- 9-11 6.93% 7.10% 6.75% 6-8 7.58% 7.75% 7.10% 3-5 8.00% 8.20% 8.00% Under 3 8.65% 9.00% --
  • 2. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DOLLAR STORE REPORT Q2 2016 DOLLAR STORE MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY REGION Percentage Tenant of Market Dollar General 62% Family Dollar 31% Dollar Tree 7% PERCENTAGE OF DOLLAR STORES ON THE MARKET BY TENANT Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Tenant (Previous) (Current) Dollar Store 6.50% 6.65% Market 6.40% 6.18% Dollar Store Discount (bps) 10 47 DOLLAR STORE VS RETAIL NET LEASE MARKET CAP RATES WEST MOUNTAIN MIDWEST SOUTH NORTHEAST NORTHEAST SOUTH MIDWEST MOUNTAIN WEST 6.00% 5.50% 5.85% 6.65% 6.35% 7.00% 6.50% 6.25% -- 6.15% 6.25% 6.88% 6.60% 6.40% 7.00%
  • 3. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DOLLAR STORE REPORT Q2 2016 © 2016. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group. COMPANY AND LEASE OVERVIEW Dollar General Family Dollar Dollar Tree Credit Rating BBB (Stable) -- BB+ (Stable) Stock Symbol DG -- DLTR Market Cap $26.8 billion -- $22.8 billion Revenue $20.4 billion -- $8.6 billion Number of Stores 12,500 8,200 5,400 Typical New Lease Type Triple Net Triple Net Double Net Typical New Lease Term 15 years primary term with twenty years of options 15 years primary term with thirty years of options 7 or 10 years primary term with ten years of options Typical Rent Increases None in primary term; 10% each option period Either every three years in primary term or 10% in year 11 $0.50 per square foot every five years FOR MORE INFORMATION AUTHOR John Feeney | Vice President john@bouldergroup.com Randy Blankstein | President randy@bouldergroup.com Jimmy Goodman | Partner jimmy@bouldergroup.com Asher Wenig | Vice President asher@bouldergroup.com CONTRIBUTORS Scott Harris | Analyst scott@bouldergroup.com