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MARKET NEWS
FEATURED ARTICLE
NorthMarq Capital 500 NEWPORT CENTER SUITE 500 NEWPORT BEACH, CA 92660
Y O U R Q U A R T E R L Y C A P I T A L M A R K E T S U P D A T E F O R 1 Q | 2 0 1 6
Although we anticipate short-term interest rates to
experience an upward trend, most other market conditions
that influenced the real estate finance industry in 2015 are
likely to continue to be evident in 2016. Importantly, the
ongoing gradual increase in short-term interest rates infers
that members of the Federal Reserve Board Open Market
Committee are generally positive about current and future
economic conditions and job growth.
Many factors will influence the availability of real
estate finance capital and the condition of real estate
markets. For example, variations in the homeownership
rate affect rental housing demand. New single-family
construction in 2015 was at the highest level since 2007;
economists expect continued growth in new home sales
in 2016. However, growth in the homeownership rate
could be subdued, if not flat, over the next few years.
Conversely, ongoing demand for multifamily rental units
will be powered by strong demographic trends, including
household formation, full employment and wage growth. It
would not be surprising if the supply of new rental housing
units exceeds demand in certain markets. Moreover, it
is important to underscore the continuing shortage of
affordable rental housing. Solving the affordable housing
crisis is a complex challenge that requires the attention of
the real estate industry.
The vacancy rate for retail properties continues a multi-
year slow decline. Most retail markets across the United
States are experiencing gradual growth. Ongoing retail
market stability and growth will depend on consumer
confidence; after all, consumer spending continues to be
the most significant backer of GDP growth. Over a longer
THE 2016 REAL ESTATE MARKET IS GENERALLY POSITIVE;
REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT COULD TEMPER FINANCE INDUSTRY
By Rodrigo López, CMB, Executive Chairman, NorthMarq Capital Finance
Chairman-Elect, Mortgage Bankers Association
time horizon, significant growth in Internet retail sales is
apt to have a negative impact in demand for retail real
estate assets.
Acceleration of GDP growth, which is anticipated to be
positive in 2016, should bode well for the industrial real
estate sector in the United States. Unlike the retail real
estate market, demand for distribution space should grow
with increasing online purchasing volumes. Given the
current economic conditions, industrial real estate should
enjoy strong performance in 2016.
The U.S. office property market has experienced a
gradually declining vacancy trend during the past five to six
years. The anticipated outcome of stable economic growth
is a sustainable demand for office space. Ongoing positive
net absorption and positive rent growth in the office
market will depend on continuing job growth.
Consistent with the positive trends in the real estate
markets, there are ample and diverse capital sources.
Although the price of capital is likely to increase in 2016,
we can anticipate readily available lending sources for real
estate assets.
All of these positive trends will be moderated in a
significant way by the dramatic increase in regulations
controlling the real estate finance industry. The list of
regulatory schemes is long: risk retention, “Regulation
AB,” Basel capital requirements, margin requirements,
multifamily loan reserves, HMDA disclosures, and housing
finance reform, to name a few. We must utilize a single,
loud voice to influence regulatory outcomes in a positive
way. v
northmarq.comLos Angeles Office 500 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE SUITE 500 NEWPORT BEACH, CA 92660
$67,000,000
University Park
SIZE: 256,000 SF
CITY: LAS VEGAS, NV
LENDER: CONSTRUCTION/PERM
$17,000,000
Five Property Portfolio
SIZE: 3,228 UNITS
CITY: VARIOUS (ARIZONA)
LENDER: LIFE COMPANY
$8,400,000
Garfield Garden Grove
SIZE: 125,773 SF
CITY: GARDEN GROVE, CA
LENDER: LIFE COMPANY
$6,075,000
24 Hour Fitness
SIZE: 13,760 SF
CITY: HUNTINGTON BEACH, CA
LENDER: BRIDGE
OTHER TRANSACTIONS
TRANSACTION TYPES
FEATURED TRANSACTIONS
OUR TEAM
MARKET NEWS
David Blum
P 949.717.5215
dblum@northmarq.com
Mark Dodson
P 949.717.5205
mdodson@northmarq.com
FIXED RATE AND VARIABLE-RATE
MORTGAGES
JOINT VENTURE STRUCTURES
EQUITY STRUCTURES
MEZZANINE DEBT
BRIDGE LOANS
CREDIT TENANT LEASE
TRANSACTIONS
CONSTRUCTION LOANS
FORWARD COMMITMENTS
CREDIT ENHANCED BOND
TRANSACTIONS
PROPERTY NAME	 AMOUNT	 TYPE	SIZE	LOCATION
Northridge Business Park	 $8,500,000	 Life Company 	 150,972 sf	 Chatsworth, CA
Inland Empire Distribution Center	 $6,600,000	 Life Company	 177,744 sf	 Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Redhill Office	 $5,150,000	 Bridge Lender	 44,513 sf	 Tustin, CA
Hancock Office	 $4,050,000	 Bridge Lender	 40,852 sf	 Anaheim, CA
College Corner	 $3,600,000	 Bank	 95 units	 Los Angeles, CA
Petsmart at Milestone Center	 $1,900,000	 Life Company	 26,137 sf	 Germantown, MD
Hamilton Center	 $1,800,000	 Credit Union	 6,800 sf	 Huntington Beach, CA
Michael Elmore
P 949.717.5213
melmore@northmarq.com
Joe Giordani
P 949.717.5208
jgiordani@northmarq.com
Robert Hervey
P 949.717.5210
rhervey@northmarq.com
Daniel McCarthy
P 949.717.5209
dmccarthy@northmarq.com
Blake Melstrom
P 949.717.5200
bmelstrom@northmarq.com
Ory Schwartz
P 949.717.5218
oschwartz@northmarq.com
1Q | 2016

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2Q2016_MarketNews_LOS

  • 1. MARKET NEWS FEATURED ARTICLE NorthMarq Capital 500 NEWPORT CENTER SUITE 500 NEWPORT BEACH, CA 92660 Y O U R Q U A R T E R L Y C A P I T A L M A R K E T S U P D A T E F O R 1 Q | 2 0 1 6 Although we anticipate short-term interest rates to experience an upward trend, most other market conditions that influenced the real estate finance industry in 2015 are likely to continue to be evident in 2016. Importantly, the ongoing gradual increase in short-term interest rates infers that members of the Federal Reserve Board Open Market Committee are generally positive about current and future economic conditions and job growth. Many factors will influence the availability of real estate finance capital and the condition of real estate markets. For example, variations in the homeownership rate affect rental housing demand. New single-family construction in 2015 was at the highest level since 2007; economists expect continued growth in new home sales in 2016. However, growth in the homeownership rate could be subdued, if not flat, over the next few years. Conversely, ongoing demand for multifamily rental units will be powered by strong demographic trends, including household formation, full employment and wage growth. It would not be surprising if the supply of new rental housing units exceeds demand in certain markets. Moreover, it is important to underscore the continuing shortage of affordable rental housing. Solving the affordable housing crisis is a complex challenge that requires the attention of the real estate industry. The vacancy rate for retail properties continues a multi- year slow decline. Most retail markets across the United States are experiencing gradual growth. Ongoing retail market stability and growth will depend on consumer confidence; after all, consumer spending continues to be the most significant backer of GDP growth. Over a longer THE 2016 REAL ESTATE MARKET IS GENERALLY POSITIVE; REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT COULD TEMPER FINANCE INDUSTRY By Rodrigo López, CMB, Executive Chairman, NorthMarq Capital Finance Chairman-Elect, Mortgage Bankers Association time horizon, significant growth in Internet retail sales is apt to have a negative impact in demand for retail real estate assets. Acceleration of GDP growth, which is anticipated to be positive in 2016, should bode well for the industrial real estate sector in the United States. Unlike the retail real estate market, demand for distribution space should grow with increasing online purchasing volumes. Given the current economic conditions, industrial real estate should enjoy strong performance in 2016. The U.S. office property market has experienced a gradually declining vacancy trend during the past five to six years. The anticipated outcome of stable economic growth is a sustainable demand for office space. Ongoing positive net absorption and positive rent growth in the office market will depend on continuing job growth. Consistent with the positive trends in the real estate markets, there are ample and diverse capital sources. Although the price of capital is likely to increase in 2016, we can anticipate readily available lending sources for real estate assets. All of these positive trends will be moderated in a significant way by the dramatic increase in regulations controlling the real estate finance industry. The list of regulatory schemes is long: risk retention, “Regulation AB,” Basel capital requirements, margin requirements, multifamily loan reserves, HMDA disclosures, and housing finance reform, to name a few. We must utilize a single, loud voice to influence regulatory outcomes in a positive way. v
  • 2. northmarq.comLos Angeles Office 500 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE SUITE 500 NEWPORT BEACH, CA 92660 $67,000,000 University Park SIZE: 256,000 SF CITY: LAS VEGAS, NV LENDER: CONSTRUCTION/PERM $17,000,000 Five Property Portfolio SIZE: 3,228 UNITS CITY: VARIOUS (ARIZONA) LENDER: LIFE COMPANY $8,400,000 Garfield Garden Grove SIZE: 125,773 SF CITY: GARDEN GROVE, CA LENDER: LIFE COMPANY $6,075,000 24 Hour Fitness SIZE: 13,760 SF CITY: HUNTINGTON BEACH, CA LENDER: BRIDGE OTHER TRANSACTIONS TRANSACTION TYPES FEATURED TRANSACTIONS OUR TEAM MARKET NEWS David Blum P 949.717.5215 dblum@northmarq.com Mark Dodson P 949.717.5205 mdodson@northmarq.com FIXED RATE AND VARIABLE-RATE MORTGAGES JOINT VENTURE STRUCTURES EQUITY STRUCTURES MEZZANINE DEBT BRIDGE LOANS CREDIT TENANT LEASE TRANSACTIONS CONSTRUCTION LOANS FORWARD COMMITMENTS CREDIT ENHANCED BOND TRANSACTIONS PROPERTY NAME AMOUNT TYPE SIZE LOCATION Northridge Business Park $8,500,000 Life Company 150,972 sf Chatsworth, CA Inland Empire Distribution Center $6,600,000 Life Company 177,744 sf Rancho Cucamonga, CA Redhill Office $5,150,000 Bridge Lender 44,513 sf Tustin, CA Hancock Office $4,050,000 Bridge Lender 40,852 sf Anaheim, CA College Corner $3,600,000 Bank 95 units Los Angeles, CA Petsmart at Milestone Center $1,900,000 Life Company 26,137 sf Germantown, MD Hamilton Center $1,800,000 Credit Union 6,800 sf Huntington Beach, CA Michael Elmore P 949.717.5213 melmore@northmarq.com Joe Giordani P 949.717.5208 jgiordani@northmarq.com Robert Hervey P 949.717.5210 rhervey@northmarq.com Daniel McCarthy P 949.717.5209 dmccarthy@northmarq.com Blake Melstrom P 949.717.5200 bmelstrom@northmarq.com Ory Schwartz P 949.717.5218 oschwartz@northmarq.com 1Q | 2016