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THE NET LEASE
DOLLAR STORE REPORT
Q2 2017
	
Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Basis Point
Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change
Dollar General 6.60% 6.75% +15
Family Dollar 6.50% 6.70% +20
Dollar Tree 7.00% 6.90% -10
DOLLAR STORE PROPERTIES
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES
MEDIAN ASKING PRICE
	
Median Median Price
Tenant Asking Price Per Foot
Dollar General $1,284,171 $141
Family Dollar $1,417,200 $170
Dollar Tree $1,788,027 $172
MEDIAN NATIONAL CLOSED
CAP RATE SPREAD
MARKET OVERVIEW
Cap rates within the single tenant net lease dollar store sector
increased by 10 basis points from the second quarter of 2016 to the
second quarter of 2017 to a 6.75% cap rate. The dollar store sector,
for the purpose of this report, is defined as free standing Dollar
General, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar properties, as these tenants
represent the largest presence within the sector. Cap rates for Dollar
Tree assets compressed by 10 basis points while Dollar General and
Family Dollar experienced increases of 15 and 20 basis point each,
respectively.
Supply of single tenant dollar store properties increased significantly
by 34% in the second quarter of 2017 when compared to the second
quarter of 2016. The majority of supply is made of new construction
properties as the tenants continue to expand at an aggressive pace.
In the second quarter of 2017, new construction properties built in
the past 12 months comprised over 57% of the supply of net lease
dollar stores. Further contributing to the increase in supply, is that
institutional buyers who previously acquired a significant number of
dollar stores in large portfolios have limited their acquisition of this
property type, leaving a greater remaining supply on the market. The
significant increase of supply is the main contributing factor for the
rise in cap rates experienced in the second quarter of 2017. Cap rates
declined for Dollar Tree properties as the majority of the properties are
located in primary markets or areas that are more densely populated
than a traditional Dollar General or Family Dollar.
With cap rates rising in the dollar store sector, the discount associated
with dollar store properties when compared to the overall net lease
retail market expanded by 5 basis points. In the second quarter of
2017, dollar store properties were priced at a 52 basis point discount
to the net lease retail market. Dollar stores continue to garnish
demand from all investor classes as they provide viable alternatives
to other net lease assets that can be acquired with long term triple net
leases priced below $2 million.
The net lease dollar store sector will remain active as investors
are attracted to the higher yields this asset class generates when
compared to other net lease sectors. With a strong development
pipeline due to dollar store expansion plans, supply will remain
saturated with long term leased properties. The expectation is that the
majority of demand for this asset class will remain in new construction
assets as investors look to take advantage of the full lease term.
	
Tenant Closed Ask Spread (bps)
Dollar General 6.90% 6.70% 20
Family Dollar 6.93% 6.60% 33
Dollar Tree 6.87% 6.75% 12
MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE
BY LEASE TERM REMAINING
	
Years Dollar Family Dollar
Remaining General Dollar Tree
12-15 6.65% 6.50% --
9-11 7.00% 6.95% 6.90%
6-8 7.70% 7.88% 7.30%
3-5 7.75% 8.50% 7.90%
Under 3 8.10% 8.65% --
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE
DOLLAR STORE REPORT
Q2 2017
DOLLAR STORE MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY REGION
	
Percentage
Tenant of Market
Dollar General 70%
Family Dollar 24%
Dollar Tree 6%
PERCENTAGE OF DOLLAR STORES
ON THE MARKET BY TENANT
	
Q2 2016 Q2 2017
Tenant (Previous) (Current)
Dollar Store 6.65% 6.75%
Market 6.18% 6.23%
Dollar Store Discount (bps) 47 52
DOLLAR STORE VS RETAIL NET
LEASE MARKET CAP RATES
WEST
MOUNTAIN
MIDWEST
SOUTH
NORTHEAST
NORTHEAST
SOUTH
MIDWEST
MOUNTAIN
WEST
6.25%
6.00%
6.10%
6.85%
7.25%
7.00%
6.65%
6.50%
8.00%
6.45%
7.75%
6.35%
6.85%
6.50%
6.75%
www.bouldergroup.com
THE NET LEASE
DOLLAR STORE REPORT
Q2 2017
© 2017. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information
and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any
circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability
arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express
written consent of The Boulder Group.
COMPANY AND LEASE OVERVIEW
Dollar General Family Dollar Dollar Tree
Credit Rating BBB (Stable) -- BB+ (Positive)
Stock Symbol DG -- DLTR
Market Cap $19.7 billion -- $16.5 billion
Revenue $22.3 billion -- $20.9 billion
Number of Stores 13,601 8,038 6,444
Typical New Lease Type Triple Net Triple Net Double Net
Typical New Lease Term 15 years primary term with
twenty years of options
15 years primary term with thirty
years of options
7 or 10 years primary term
with ten years of options
Typical Rent Increases None in primary term; 10%
each option period
Either every three years in primary
term or 10% in year 11
$0.50 per square foot every
five years
FOR MORE INFORMATION
AUTHOR
John Feeney | Vice President
john@bouldergroup.com
Randy Blankstein | President
randy@bouldergroup.com
Jimmy Goodman | Partner
jimmy@bouldergroup.com
Asher Wenig | Vice President
asher@bouldergroup.com
CONTRIBUTORS
Scott Harris | Analyst
scott@bouldergroup.com

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Net Lease Dollar Store Research Report

  • 1. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DOLLAR STORE REPORT Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Basis Point Tenant (Previous) (Current) Change Dollar General 6.60% 6.75% +15 Family Dollar 6.50% 6.70% +20 Dollar Tree 7.00% 6.90% -10 DOLLAR STORE PROPERTIES MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATES MEDIAN ASKING PRICE Median Median Price Tenant Asking Price Per Foot Dollar General $1,284,171 $141 Family Dollar $1,417,200 $170 Dollar Tree $1,788,027 $172 MEDIAN NATIONAL CLOSED CAP RATE SPREAD MARKET OVERVIEW Cap rates within the single tenant net lease dollar store sector increased by 10 basis points from the second quarter of 2016 to the second quarter of 2017 to a 6.75% cap rate. The dollar store sector, for the purpose of this report, is defined as free standing Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Family Dollar properties, as these tenants represent the largest presence within the sector. Cap rates for Dollar Tree assets compressed by 10 basis points while Dollar General and Family Dollar experienced increases of 15 and 20 basis point each, respectively. Supply of single tenant dollar store properties increased significantly by 34% in the second quarter of 2017 when compared to the second quarter of 2016. The majority of supply is made of new construction properties as the tenants continue to expand at an aggressive pace. In the second quarter of 2017, new construction properties built in the past 12 months comprised over 57% of the supply of net lease dollar stores. Further contributing to the increase in supply, is that institutional buyers who previously acquired a significant number of dollar stores in large portfolios have limited their acquisition of this property type, leaving a greater remaining supply on the market. The significant increase of supply is the main contributing factor for the rise in cap rates experienced in the second quarter of 2017. Cap rates declined for Dollar Tree properties as the majority of the properties are located in primary markets or areas that are more densely populated than a traditional Dollar General or Family Dollar. With cap rates rising in the dollar store sector, the discount associated with dollar store properties when compared to the overall net lease retail market expanded by 5 basis points. In the second quarter of 2017, dollar store properties were priced at a 52 basis point discount to the net lease retail market. Dollar stores continue to garnish demand from all investor classes as they provide viable alternatives to other net lease assets that can be acquired with long term triple net leases priced below $2 million. The net lease dollar store sector will remain active as investors are attracted to the higher yields this asset class generates when compared to other net lease sectors. With a strong development pipeline due to dollar store expansion plans, supply will remain saturated with long term leased properties. The expectation is that the majority of demand for this asset class will remain in new construction assets as investors look to take advantage of the full lease term. Tenant Closed Ask Spread (bps) Dollar General 6.90% 6.70% 20 Family Dollar 6.93% 6.60% 33 Dollar Tree 6.87% 6.75% 12 MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY LEASE TERM REMAINING Years Dollar Family Dollar Remaining General Dollar Tree 12-15 6.65% 6.50% -- 9-11 7.00% 6.95% 6.90% 6-8 7.70% 7.88% 7.30% 3-5 7.75% 8.50% 7.90% Under 3 8.10% 8.65% --
  • 2. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DOLLAR STORE REPORT Q2 2017 DOLLAR STORE MEDIAN ASKING CAP RATE BY REGION Percentage Tenant of Market Dollar General 70% Family Dollar 24% Dollar Tree 6% PERCENTAGE OF DOLLAR STORES ON THE MARKET BY TENANT Q2 2016 Q2 2017 Tenant (Previous) (Current) Dollar Store 6.65% 6.75% Market 6.18% 6.23% Dollar Store Discount (bps) 47 52 DOLLAR STORE VS RETAIL NET LEASE MARKET CAP RATES WEST MOUNTAIN MIDWEST SOUTH NORTHEAST NORTHEAST SOUTH MIDWEST MOUNTAIN WEST 6.25% 6.00% 6.10% 6.85% 7.25% 7.00% 6.65% 6.50% 8.00% 6.45% 7.75% 6.35% 6.85% 6.50% 6.75%
  • 3. www.bouldergroup.com THE NET LEASE DOLLAR STORE REPORT Q2 2017 © 2017. The Boulder Group. Information herein has been obtained from databases owned and maintained by The Boulder Group as well as third party sources. We have not verified the information and we make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. This information is provided for general illustrative purposes and not for any specific recommendation or purpose nor under any circumstances shall any of the above information be deemed legal advice or counsel. Reliance on this information is at the risk of the reader and The Boulder Group expressly disclaims any liability arising from the use of such information. This information is designed exclusively for use by The Boulder Group clients and cannot be reproduced, retransmitted or distributed without the express written consent of The Boulder Group. COMPANY AND LEASE OVERVIEW Dollar General Family Dollar Dollar Tree Credit Rating BBB (Stable) -- BB+ (Positive) Stock Symbol DG -- DLTR Market Cap $19.7 billion -- $16.5 billion Revenue $22.3 billion -- $20.9 billion Number of Stores 13,601 8,038 6,444 Typical New Lease Type Triple Net Triple Net Double Net Typical New Lease Term 15 years primary term with twenty years of options 15 years primary term with thirty years of options 7 or 10 years primary term with ten years of options Typical Rent Increases None in primary term; 10% each option period Either every three years in primary term or 10% in year 11 $0.50 per square foot every five years FOR MORE INFORMATION AUTHOR John Feeney | Vice President john@bouldergroup.com Randy Blankstein | President randy@bouldergroup.com Jimmy Goodman | Partner jimmy@bouldergroup.com Asher Wenig | Vice President asher@bouldergroup.com CONTRIBUTORS Scott Harris | Analyst scott@bouldergroup.com