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National Status of Peri-Urbanization in
               Pakistan




            Dr. Vaqar Ahmed
Sustainable Development Policy Institute   1
State of Urbanization



1981: 28 % (24 million)   1998: 32.5% (43.5 million)   2010: 36.3% (63.1 million)




                          2030: 45.6% (121 million)



   How clear is the distinction between rural and urban?2
Distinction between Urban and Rural
• Definition Issues

   – In the first three censuses (1951, 1961, 1972), settlements of
     5,000 and above population which had urban characteristics could
     be considered as urban

   – At the time of 1981, 1998 censuses, definition of urban was
     changed to mean only those human settlements which had
     municipal governments

   – As a result of this change, 1,483 settlements of over 5,000 were
     not considered urban in the 1981 Census
                                                                   3
Distinction between Urban and Rural
• Boundaries
   – Administrative boundaries of most urban areas do not
     include their peri-urban settlements

• Ribbons
   – ribbons of development along highways, between major
     centers and industrial satellite areas have developed

   – These developments have urban characteristics but are
     not classified as urban
                                                        4
Current Characteristics
• Urban areas contribute 78% of GDP
• The pattern of urbanization across provinces exhibits
  large variation
• More than half of the total population of the country is
  clustered in and around eight cities
• Expanding middle class comprising young generation
• Most smaller towns are located in the neighborhood of
  the 1 million plus towns and along the national highway
• Over 63.7% of internal migrants move to urban areas

                                                      5
Repercussions
• Welfare issues (Ahmed et al. 2011)
  – Housing deficit
  – Service delivery issues (education & health)
  – Infrastructure (transport & energy)
  – Growth combined with under or unemployment


• Environmental issues (Planning Commission 2011)
  – Water contamination
  – Waste management & sanitation
  – Various forms of pollution
                                                   6
Repercussions
• Administrative issues (Haider & Badami 2010)
   – Checkered history of local government initiatives
   – Poor state of municipal service delivery
   – Multiple government agencies in municipal affairs
      • Implication for attached towns

• Financing urban development (Planning Commission 2011)
   –   Reliance on provincial governments
   –   No attempts to mobilize own resources
   –   No attempts to mobilize private investment
   –   Legal framework needs up gradation                7
Urban Settlement and Domestic Commerce

Taskforce on Urban Management (2010)
  – Downtown and city center development discouraged
  – Zoning remains unfriendly:
     • density
     • high rise
     • mixed use development
     • commercial uses
  – Commercial development is punitively taxed
  – Rental market destroyed
  – Urban development and domestic commerce – delinked
                                                    8
Overlap in Urban Management Responsibilities

 – Ministry of Environment (devolved)
 – Ministry of Housing & Works
 – Ministry of Local Governments and Rural
   Development (devolved)
 – Planning Commission
 – Ministry of Communications



 Large chunks out of the jurisdiction of above authorities
                                                         9
Land Records
• Very difficult to obtain and verify land records

• Records maintained by public agencies not enough
  proof of ownership

• Pakistani law also recognizes oral gifts as valid
  transfers of property

• It also recognizes concept of “benami” ownership
                                                      10
Public Sector and Urban Policy

• Taskforce on Urban Management

• Framework for Economic Growth

• Provincial Medium-term Development Plans




                                             11
Competitiveness and growth
• Promote cluster development [Sialkot, Gujranwala,
  Hyderabad]

• Build local government capacity [public-private
  interaction]

• Skill development opportunities in urban centers

• Manage energy demand

• Improve legal framework for domestic commerce     12
Cities & Clusters
• Agglomeration
• Economies of Scale
• Spatial Comparative Advantages
                                             PESHAWAR
                                                         ISLAMABAD
                                                         RAWALPINDI

                                                                 SIALKOT
                                                  SARGODHA     GUJRANWALA



                                                          LAHORE
                                            FAISALABAD



                          QUETTA               MULTAN

                                                                                   Clusters
                                               BAHAWALPUR

                                                                            Population size
                                   SUKKUR
                                                                                    10M +
                                                                                    5M +
                                                                                    2M +
                                                                                    1M +
                                                                                    0.5M +
                             HYDERABAD
                          KARACHI


                                                                              2011
Land Use
• Review unregulated conversion of peri-urban
  agricultural/waste land in to housing for identifying the
  environmental and social damage
• Expand land supply in urban areas through high density
  and mixed use
• Smooth process for the conversion of agricultural/
  government/ community lands to urban use
• Reserve state land with metropolitan areas for low-income
  housing and deliver this land through market mechanisms
• Privatize state-owned land
• Politics of construction permits and capacity issue
                                                        14
Byelaws & Zoning Regulations
• Laws and regulations anti-street, anti-pedestrian,
  anti-mixed land use, anti-high densities and anti-
  public space
• Create a governing body to:
  – Monitor standards among property developers
  – Regulate property dealers
  – Enforce professionally set standards
• Amend the zoning and building regulations and
  match the market preferences at different locations
                                                   15
Byelaws & Zoning Regulations
• Make it mandatory for developers to provide facilities to the
  city in return for the use of land (e.g. auditoriums, cultural
  centers and related public spaces)
• Review byelaws, such as those levying commercialization
  charges, as these have become severe constraint on
  development of rental premises for residential and
  commercial purposes
• Introduce certification for the property dealers in the formal
  sector that ensures a minimum knowledge of property
  law, property transference and the dynamics of property
  markets
• Emphasize the importance of certification through the media
                                                               16
  so that these practices infiltrate into the informal sector as
Physical Infrastructure – Brief Facts
• 40 per cent water is wasted through leakages/theft
  in the water distribution networks
• Weak water treatment facilities
• Sewage is collected through open drains in most of
  the cities and discharge into rivers, streams, lakes
  and canals without treatment
• Only 5 per cent households have proper access to
  municipal garbage collection systems
• Use of public transport discouraged
                                                   17
Physical Infrastructure – Proposals
• Discontinue building open drains for sewage disposal in
  small towns.
• Divert sewerage for horticulture
• Install bulk water metering for specific purposes and
  areas so that water theft and usage can be easily
  monitored
• Explore private sector involvement in solid waste
  management
• Support all road construction and street paving through
  an effective, open and paved drainage system so that
  road surfaces are not damaged                         18
Social Infrastructure
• Develop and implement guidelines for an aesthetically pleasing,
  energy efficient, socially responsive architecture, signage and
  street furniture. Seek support of academia and professional
  organizations in this regard

• Integrate heritage conservation into the overall cities/towns
  planning and development process

• Allocate space for educational/academic pursuits and recreational
  activities based on a study of demand

• Develop and strictly enforce laws to protect land earmarked for
  these activities.                                             19
Housing & Real Estate
• Undertake land appraisal at the district level to act as the
  baseline inventory of land situation
• Establish Housing Price Index (HPI) and Housing Access
  Index (HAI)
• Develop a Housing Resource Centre in each district
• Re-vitalize HBFC by encouraging it to venture into new
  avenues such as community mortgage programs
• Identify laws, byelaws, zoning regulations and procedures
  that constrain the delivering of housing to low and lower-
  middle-income groups
• Take steps to remove impediments in the free and secure
  transfer of title                                          20
Transport
• Consider rapid transport options for lower cost and
  the flexibility in selection and change of routes
• Replace rolling stock for bus and rail systems every
  six to seven years as opposed to thirty years
• Consider floating of municipal bonds to raise funds
  for the financing of transportation systems.
• Give priority/precedence to transport
  projects/investments over road projects
• Subsidize public transport fares for the urban poor
                                                   21
Recent Pressures on Peri-Urban Areas
• Municipal jurisdiction

• Revenue and expenditure management

• Sectoral change: Crop sector degradation Vs.
  Livestock retreat



                                                 22
Thank You



vaqar@sdpi.org
 www.sdpi.org
                 23

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Urbanization in Pakistan

  • 1. National Status of Peri-Urbanization in Pakistan Dr. Vaqar Ahmed Sustainable Development Policy Institute 1
  • 2. State of Urbanization 1981: 28 % (24 million) 1998: 32.5% (43.5 million) 2010: 36.3% (63.1 million) 2030: 45.6% (121 million) How clear is the distinction between rural and urban?2
  • 3. Distinction between Urban and Rural • Definition Issues – In the first three censuses (1951, 1961, 1972), settlements of 5,000 and above population which had urban characteristics could be considered as urban – At the time of 1981, 1998 censuses, definition of urban was changed to mean only those human settlements which had municipal governments – As a result of this change, 1,483 settlements of over 5,000 were not considered urban in the 1981 Census 3
  • 4. Distinction between Urban and Rural • Boundaries – Administrative boundaries of most urban areas do not include their peri-urban settlements • Ribbons – ribbons of development along highways, between major centers and industrial satellite areas have developed – These developments have urban characteristics but are not classified as urban 4
  • 5. Current Characteristics • Urban areas contribute 78% of GDP • The pattern of urbanization across provinces exhibits large variation • More than half of the total population of the country is clustered in and around eight cities • Expanding middle class comprising young generation • Most smaller towns are located in the neighborhood of the 1 million plus towns and along the national highway • Over 63.7% of internal migrants move to urban areas 5
  • 6. Repercussions • Welfare issues (Ahmed et al. 2011) – Housing deficit – Service delivery issues (education & health) – Infrastructure (transport & energy) – Growth combined with under or unemployment • Environmental issues (Planning Commission 2011) – Water contamination – Waste management & sanitation – Various forms of pollution 6
  • 7. Repercussions • Administrative issues (Haider & Badami 2010) – Checkered history of local government initiatives – Poor state of municipal service delivery – Multiple government agencies in municipal affairs • Implication for attached towns • Financing urban development (Planning Commission 2011) – Reliance on provincial governments – No attempts to mobilize own resources – No attempts to mobilize private investment – Legal framework needs up gradation 7
  • 8. Urban Settlement and Domestic Commerce Taskforce on Urban Management (2010) – Downtown and city center development discouraged – Zoning remains unfriendly: • density • high rise • mixed use development • commercial uses – Commercial development is punitively taxed – Rental market destroyed – Urban development and domestic commerce – delinked 8
  • 9. Overlap in Urban Management Responsibilities – Ministry of Environment (devolved) – Ministry of Housing & Works – Ministry of Local Governments and Rural Development (devolved) – Planning Commission – Ministry of Communications Large chunks out of the jurisdiction of above authorities 9
  • 10. Land Records • Very difficult to obtain and verify land records • Records maintained by public agencies not enough proof of ownership • Pakistani law also recognizes oral gifts as valid transfers of property • It also recognizes concept of “benami” ownership 10
  • 11. Public Sector and Urban Policy • Taskforce on Urban Management • Framework for Economic Growth • Provincial Medium-term Development Plans 11
  • 12. Competitiveness and growth • Promote cluster development [Sialkot, Gujranwala, Hyderabad] • Build local government capacity [public-private interaction] • Skill development opportunities in urban centers • Manage energy demand • Improve legal framework for domestic commerce 12
  • 13. Cities & Clusters • Agglomeration • Economies of Scale • Spatial Comparative Advantages PESHAWAR ISLAMABAD RAWALPINDI SIALKOT SARGODHA GUJRANWALA LAHORE FAISALABAD QUETTA MULTAN Clusters BAHAWALPUR Population size SUKKUR 10M + 5M + 2M + 1M + 0.5M + HYDERABAD KARACHI 2011
  • 14. Land Use • Review unregulated conversion of peri-urban agricultural/waste land in to housing for identifying the environmental and social damage • Expand land supply in urban areas through high density and mixed use • Smooth process for the conversion of agricultural/ government/ community lands to urban use • Reserve state land with metropolitan areas for low-income housing and deliver this land through market mechanisms • Privatize state-owned land • Politics of construction permits and capacity issue 14
  • 15. Byelaws & Zoning Regulations • Laws and regulations anti-street, anti-pedestrian, anti-mixed land use, anti-high densities and anti- public space • Create a governing body to: – Monitor standards among property developers – Regulate property dealers – Enforce professionally set standards • Amend the zoning and building regulations and match the market preferences at different locations 15
  • 16. Byelaws & Zoning Regulations • Make it mandatory for developers to provide facilities to the city in return for the use of land (e.g. auditoriums, cultural centers and related public spaces) • Review byelaws, such as those levying commercialization charges, as these have become severe constraint on development of rental premises for residential and commercial purposes • Introduce certification for the property dealers in the formal sector that ensures a minimum knowledge of property law, property transference and the dynamics of property markets • Emphasize the importance of certification through the media 16 so that these practices infiltrate into the informal sector as
  • 17. Physical Infrastructure – Brief Facts • 40 per cent water is wasted through leakages/theft in the water distribution networks • Weak water treatment facilities • Sewage is collected through open drains in most of the cities and discharge into rivers, streams, lakes and canals without treatment • Only 5 per cent households have proper access to municipal garbage collection systems • Use of public transport discouraged 17
  • 18. Physical Infrastructure – Proposals • Discontinue building open drains for sewage disposal in small towns. • Divert sewerage for horticulture • Install bulk water metering for specific purposes and areas so that water theft and usage can be easily monitored • Explore private sector involvement in solid waste management • Support all road construction and street paving through an effective, open and paved drainage system so that road surfaces are not damaged 18
  • 19. Social Infrastructure • Develop and implement guidelines for an aesthetically pleasing, energy efficient, socially responsive architecture, signage and street furniture. Seek support of academia and professional organizations in this regard • Integrate heritage conservation into the overall cities/towns planning and development process • Allocate space for educational/academic pursuits and recreational activities based on a study of demand • Develop and strictly enforce laws to protect land earmarked for these activities. 19
  • 20. Housing & Real Estate • Undertake land appraisal at the district level to act as the baseline inventory of land situation • Establish Housing Price Index (HPI) and Housing Access Index (HAI) • Develop a Housing Resource Centre in each district • Re-vitalize HBFC by encouraging it to venture into new avenues such as community mortgage programs • Identify laws, byelaws, zoning regulations and procedures that constrain the delivering of housing to low and lower- middle-income groups • Take steps to remove impediments in the free and secure transfer of title 20
  • 21. Transport • Consider rapid transport options for lower cost and the flexibility in selection and change of routes • Replace rolling stock for bus and rail systems every six to seven years as opposed to thirty years • Consider floating of municipal bonds to raise funds for the financing of transportation systems. • Give priority/precedence to transport projects/investments over road projects • Subsidize public transport fares for the urban poor 21
  • 22. Recent Pressures on Peri-Urban Areas • Municipal jurisdiction • Revenue and expenditure management • Sectoral change: Crop sector degradation Vs. Livestock retreat 22