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- 12. Results Absence Presence Probability BTV1 and 4 outbreaks (2006, 2007) Methodology Class Temp. Warmest quarter Min. LST Slope Min. NDVI Discriminant analysis Absent 20,1 2778,4 7,3 1246,6 Present 23,5 2837,8 3,4 1345,7 Logistic regression Absent 20,5 1946,9 4,8 919,1 Present 23,6 2839,0 2,9 1264,8