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Government Contracts
         Risk Allocation
      Mark Wearen MInstCES ASCS MRICS MCIOB


Bruce Shaw




                                          CivilEx March 2009
Bruce Shaw Partnership

Ireland’s largest Cost Management Firm

Offices in Dublin; Cork; Limerick; Belfast

European offices in London, Bucharest and Warsaw

Specialist divisions

 – Civils; M&E; Healthcare; Retail; PPP; Consulting Services

Ireland’s largest cost database

Currently working on many of Ireland’s largest projects




                                  Bruce Shaw Partnership
Presentation Overview


Context of Risk Transfer - Why the new forms?

Key Aims

How are these aims to be achieved

Employer’s Perspective

Contractor’s Perspective




                           Bruce Shaw Partnership
Why the New Forms?


History of Cost Overruns

 – Budget Vs Tender Vs Final Outturn

Consultancy Contracts

 – Payment linked to construction outturn

Concern over Value for Money

Multiplicity of contract forms – inefficient




                Bruce Shaw Partnership
Why the New Forms? - MCC

                                    Project Delivery - Stages
               Prelim Planning      Detailed Planning         Implementation     Review




                                     Desired Budget Profile



                                                                                          ‘Overrun’


Estimate

                                                    Contract Award
               Desired Contingency Profile
                                                                       Final Account




                                             Time

           Contingency, Budget and Project Delivery Stages

                                 Bruce Shaw Partnership
Risk Allocation, Key Aims


Greater Cost Certainty

Lump Sum Fixed Price Contract

‘Optimal allocation of risk’

 – ‘the more comprehensive the information…the greater the risk transfer’

Value for money

 – Quantification ?....see also optimal allocation of risk

More efficient project delivery – standard forms; fewer disputes ???



                         Bruce Shaw Partnership
How Aims are to be achieved

   The Capital Works Management Framework
    – Introduces a structured framework for project delivery from Preliminary
      Planning stage to close-out – Procedures and Contracts
    – Defined procedures for the preparation of budgets
    – Formats & Component listings
       • Risk Assessment
       • Inflation Provision
    – Deliverables
       • Budget Templates
       • Risk Register
(Note : Appraisal stage covered by Cap Ex Guidelines – Feb 05)


                           Bruce Shaw Partnership
How Aims are to be achieved


Risk Transfer………. to the Contractor as per the Contract includes

 – Programme Contingency

 – Design by Specialists

 – PVC (first 36 months)

 – Design of the Works – the adequacy of the Works Requirements

    (D&B Only – Cl. 1.7 & Cl. 4.6.2 – also ‘Factual Errors’)

 – All other risks not expressly allocated in the Contract




                        Bruce Shaw Partnership
How Aims are to be achieved


Risk Transfer………….Optional as per Schedule K Compensation Events Risks
      • Pricing Document (BOQ) differences >€500 (not in D&B)
           – Lump Sum Option in practice
      • Unforeseeable Archaeology
      • Unforeseeable Ground Conditions (option not in D&B)
      • Unforeseeable Utilities (option not in D&B)
      • Unforeseen Utilitiy Owner Delays
If options are not completed – Risk lies with the Contractor




                              Bruce Shaw Partnership
How Aims are to be achieved

   Contractor carries all other risks not expressly allocated in the Contract
   (Articles 3 and 4)
   This includes Unforeseeable Ground Conditions/Unforeseeable Utilities Risk
   under the D&B Contract


Article 4 states:
‘The Contractor has included in the initial Contract Sum allowances for all risks,
     customs, policies, practices, and other circumstances that may effect it’s
    performance of the Contract, whether they could or could not have been
   foreseen, except for events for which the Contract provides for adjustment of
                              the initial Contract Sum.’


                               Bruce Shaw Partnership
How Aims are to be achieved

Schedule K risks which are carried by the Employer include :

      • Change Order (includes impossibility in Emp Design Only - Cl . 4.5.4)
      • Factual Errors (Emp Design Only)
      • Late Instructions (Emp Design Only)
      • Failure to allow occupation
      • Employers Personnel on site…unforeseeable
      • Breach of Contract

Price Variation – Employer Risk after 36 months & Hyperinflation



                         Bruce Shaw Partnership
How Aims are to be achieved

   Lump Sum Fixed Price with Cost Certainty except for :


    – Compensation Events (includes Breach)

    – Price Variation (in strictly defined circumstances)

    – Value Engineering Proposals (Cl. 4.8) – Savings Only

(Note Employer powers to set-off and withhold amounts – Cl. 10.9 and Cl. 11.4)



                            Bruce Shaw Partnership
Risk Allocation, Employers Perspective

     Contract achieves Risk Transfer

     Fixed Price Lump Sum should be achievable as intended….

     However Employers need to focus on :

      – Pre and Post Contract Risk and Value Management

      – Quality of ‘information about the Site’

      – Comprehensively developed design information


                      Bruce Shaw Partnership
Risk Allocation, Employers Perspective


Employers need to focus on :

   - Quality of Contract Documents

   - Consideration of project specifics when allocating optional risks as per
     Schedule K

   - Working with the Contract – pro-active risk mitigation
       • Issue Directions not Instructions
       • Implement Requirements of the Contract



                         Bruce Shaw Partnership
Risk Allocation, Employers Perspective


   Employers need to focus on :


    – Records – sufficient to protect the Employer (use Cl. 10.3.4)


    – Contractor has an obligation to mitigate (Cl. 10.1.1) - MONITOR


    – Reciprocal Co-operation – Employer also to mitigate (Cl. 4.1)




                       Bruce Shaw Partnership
Risk Allocation, Contractors Perspective

   Risk Transfer
    – ‘The governing principle is that risks should be allocated
      to whichever party is best placed to manage them’
        • Unforeseen Archaeology not a compensation event ?
        • Any other consents…

    – Quality of ‘information about the Site’

    – Comprehensively developed design information



                        Bruce Shaw Partnership
Risk Allocation, Contractors Perspective

    Need for Risk Management Strategy
     – Risk Register
     – Quantified Risk Assessment
     – Regular review and Updating


    Contract Administration - Resources
     – Notices (Cl. 10)
     – Submissions required under the contract (e.g. programme)



                       Bruce Shaw Partnership
Risk Allocation, Contractors Perspective

 Commercial Aspect
  – Initial Message from the industry – tender levels would increase..
  – Actual tender levels were not as envisaged (building and civils)

 Factors – tender levels…..
  – Competition – industry capacity
  – Current Market Conditions and Forecast Workload
  – Improved Efficiencies – better value
  – Contract possibly not as onerous as industry believed ?

                        Bruce Shaw Partnership
Risk Allocation, Contractors Perspective


 Future Scenario


  – Are tender levels reflecting risk transfer as per intention ?

  – When will risk transfer provisions be tested ?

  – When rather than if……




                         Bruce Shaw Partnership
Key Points – Old and New…

To achieve Aims – comply with DOF CWMF Guidelines
From Early Planning to Review
 – Systematic approach to design development and cost planning
      • Value Management Strategy
      • Risk Management Strategy
Comprehensive Design & Realistic Outturn Projections
Level of Factual Information – consider additional expenditure
Optimise Risk Transfer – reflecting the stated principles
Prices to reflect Risk Transfer
Pro-active post-contract risk mitigation from both parties

                          Bruce Shaw Partnership
Concluding Thought




‘The pessimist sees difficulty in every
     opportunity. The optimist sees
    opportunity in every difficulty.’

                                     Winston Churchill




            Bruce Shaw Partnership
Government Contracts
         Risk Allocation
      Mark Wearen MInstCES ASCS MRICS MCIOB

Bruce Shaw


     Thank You….
                                              CivilEx March 2009
                Bruce Shaw Partnership

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Mlw Presentation Dof Risk Civilex 09

  • 1. Government Contracts Risk Allocation Mark Wearen MInstCES ASCS MRICS MCIOB Bruce Shaw CivilEx March 2009
  • 2. Bruce Shaw Partnership Ireland’s largest Cost Management Firm Offices in Dublin; Cork; Limerick; Belfast European offices in London, Bucharest and Warsaw Specialist divisions – Civils; M&E; Healthcare; Retail; PPP; Consulting Services Ireland’s largest cost database Currently working on many of Ireland’s largest projects Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 3. Presentation Overview Context of Risk Transfer - Why the new forms? Key Aims How are these aims to be achieved Employer’s Perspective Contractor’s Perspective Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 4. Why the New Forms? History of Cost Overruns – Budget Vs Tender Vs Final Outturn Consultancy Contracts – Payment linked to construction outturn Concern over Value for Money Multiplicity of contract forms – inefficient Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 5. Why the New Forms? - MCC Project Delivery - Stages Prelim Planning Detailed Planning Implementation Review Desired Budget Profile ‘Overrun’ Estimate Contract Award Desired Contingency Profile Final Account Time Contingency, Budget and Project Delivery Stages Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 6. Risk Allocation, Key Aims Greater Cost Certainty Lump Sum Fixed Price Contract ‘Optimal allocation of risk’ – ‘the more comprehensive the information…the greater the risk transfer’ Value for money – Quantification ?....see also optimal allocation of risk More efficient project delivery – standard forms; fewer disputes ??? Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 7. How Aims are to be achieved The Capital Works Management Framework – Introduces a structured framework for project delivery from Preliminary Planning stage to close-out – Procedures and Contracts – Defined procedures for the preparation of budgets – Formats & Component listings • Risk Assessment • Inflation Provision – Deliverables • Budget Templates • Risk Register (Note : Appraisal stage covered by Cap Ex Guidelines – Feb 05) Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 8. How Aims are to be achieved Risk Transfer………. to the Contractor as per the Contract includes – Programme Contingency – Design by Specialists – PVC (first 36 months) – Design of the Works – the adequacy of the Works Requirements (D&B Only – Cl. 1.7 & Cl. 4.6.2 – also ‘Factual Errors’) – All other risks not expressly allocated in the Contract Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 9. How Aims are to be achieved Risk Transfer………….Optional as per Schedule K Compensation Events Risks • Pricing Document (BOQ) differences >€500 (not in D&B) – Lump Sum Option in practice • Unforeseeable Archaeology • Unforeseeable Ground Conditions (option not in D&B) • Unforeseeable Utilities (option not in D&B) • Unforeseen Utilitiy Owner Delays If options are not completed – Risk lies with the Contractor Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 10. How Aims are to be achieved Contractor carries all other risks not expressly allocated in the Contract (Articles 3 and 4) This includes Unforeseeable Ground Conditions/Unforeseeable Utilities Risk under the D&B Contract Article 4 states: ‘The Contractor has included in the initial Contract Sum allowances for all risks, customs, policies, practices, and other circumstances that may effect it’s performance of the Contract, whether they could or could not have been foreseen, except for events for which the Contract provides for adjustment of the initial Contract Sum.’ Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 11. How Aims are to be achieved Schedule K risks which are carried by the Employer include : • Change Order (includes impossibility in Emp Design Only - Cl . 4.5.4) • Factual Errors (Emp Design Only) • Late Instructions (Emp Design Only) • Failure to allow occupation • Employers Personnel on site…unforeseeable • Breach of Contract Price Variation – Employer Risk after 36 months & Hyperinflation Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 12. How Aims are to be achieved Lump Sum Fixed Price with Cost Certainty except for : – Compensation Events (includes Breach) – Price Variation (in strictly defined circumstances) – Value Engineering Proposals (Cl. 4.8) – Savings Only (Note Employer powers to set-off and withhold amounts – Cl. 10.9 and Cl. 11.4) Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 13. Risk Allocation, Employers Perspective Contract achieves Risk Transfer Fixed Price Lump Sum should be achievable as intended…. However Employers need to focus on : – Pre and Post Contract Risk and Value Management – Quality of ‘information about the Site’ – Comprehensively developed design information Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 14. Risk Allocation, Employers Perspective Employers need to focus on : - Quality of Contract Documents - Consideration of project specifics when allocating optional risks as per Schedule K - Working with the Contract – pro-active risk mitigation • Issue Directions not Instructions • Implement Requirements of the Contract Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 15. Risk Allocation, Employers Perspective Employers need to focus on : – Records – sufficient to protect the Employer (use Cl. 10.3.4) – Contractor has an obligation to mitigate (Cl. 10.1.1) - MONITOR – Reciprocal Co-operation – Employer also to mitigate (Cl. 4.1) Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 16. Risk Allocation, Contractors Perspective Risk Transfer – ‘The governing principle is that risks should be allocated to whichever party is best placed to manage them’ • Unforeseen Archaeology not a compensation event ? • Any other consents… – Quality of ‘information about the Site’ – Comprehensively developed design information Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 17. Risk Allocation, Contractors Perspective Need for Risk Management Strategy – Risk Register – Quantified Risk Assessment – Regular review and Updating Contract Administration - Resources – Notices (Cl. 10) – Submissions required under the contract (e.g. programme) Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 18. Risk Allocation, Contractors Perspective Commercial Aspect – Initial Message from the industry – tender levels would increase.. – Actual tender levels were not as envisaged (building and civils) Factors – tender levels….. – Competition – industry capacity – Current Market Conditions and Forecast Workload – Improved Efficiencies – better value – Contract possibly not as onerous as industry believed ? Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 19. Risk Allocation, Contractors Perspective Future Scenario – Are tender levels reflecting risk transfer as per intention ? – When will risk transfer provisions be tested ? – When rather than if…… Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 20. Key Points – Old and New… To achieve Aims – comply with DOF CWMF Guidelines From Early Planning to Review – Systematic approach to design development and cost planning • Value Management Strategy • Risk Management Strategy Comprehensive Design & Realistic Outturn Projections Level of Factual Information – consider additional expenditure Optimise Risk Transfer – reflecting the stated principles Prices to reflect Risk Transfer Pro-active post-contract risk mitigation from both parties Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 21. Concluding Thought ‘The pessimist sees difficulty in every opportunity. The optimist sees opportunity in every difficulty.’ Winston Churchill Bruce Shaw Partnership
  • 22. Government Contracts Risk Allocation Mark Wearen MInstCES ASCS MRICS MCIOB Bruce Shaw Thank You…. CivilEx March 2009 Bruce Shaw Partnership