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State of the State Survey:
                           y
  Michigan Residents Sharply
Divided Over Right to Work Law
              Right-to-Work

          Charles L. Ballard
                   L
 Professor, Department of Economics
  Director, State of the State Survey
  Di   t St t f th St t S

Institute for Public Policy and Social Research
                ballard@msu.edu
                  517.353.2961
                  517 353 2961
Background:
  Labor Unions Have Been
  Losing Strength For Decades,
                      Decades
    In Michigan and Across the
    United States.
Union Members as a Percent of the Labor Force, 
                     1964‐2011
50

45

40

35
                                                 Michigan
30

25
                                                 Louisiana
20

15                                               United States

10

5

0


                      Year
In December 2012, the
  Michigan Legislature Passed
  a Law to Make Michigan the
  24 th “Right-to-Work” State.



Many Expect This Will Further
 Reduce Union Membership.
State of the State Survey
         Round 64
        Winter 2013
  1,013 Interviews Completed
   ,                  p

January 14, 2013 – March 4, 2013
• 42.7% of Michigan Residents Said They
  Believe the Right-to-Work Law Will Help
  the Economy.

• 41% Said It Will Hurt.

• That’s a Statistical Tie.
  That s
Michigan Residents' Views of Whether the Right‐to‐Work Law Will 
                  h         d    '         f h h h         h        k       ll
                                   Help or Hurt the Economy



          30
                                       25.5

          25                                                                     22.5

                                                                   18.5
          20            17.2                        16.3
     nt
Percen




          15


          10


          5


          0
                  Help A Lot   Help A Little   No Effect   Hurt A Little   Hurt A Lot
Union Members Were
Considerably Less Optimistic
than Those Who Are Not a
Union Member.
Michigan Residents' Views of Whether the 
                                   g
               Right‐to‐Work Law Will Help or Hurt the Economy, By Union Membership


          80                                                           73.7


          70

          60
                                            46.4
          50          42.7
Percent




                               41.0
                                                   37.1                               Help
          40
P




                                                                                      Hurt
          30

          20                                                    12.3

          10

          0
                   Statewide          Not Union Member      Union Member
Attitudes by 
Race and Gender
R       dG d
Views of Michigan Residents
     by Race and Sex

                          State of 
                                      Men     Women   Whites   Blacks
                          Michigan
Right‐to‐Work Law Will 
                          42.7%       49.6%   36.1%   45.4%    24.9%
Help the Economy
Attitudes by Political Party
Views of Michigan
             Residents
         by Political P
         b P li i l Party
                         State of 
                                     Republican   Independent   Democrat
                         Michigan
Right-to-Work Law Will
                          42.7%       74.2%         42.3%        24.8%
Help the Economy
Attitudes by 
      Attit d b
Whether the Respondent 
  h h h             d
Supports Governor Snyder
S     t G         S d
Views of Michigan Residents
by Support for Governor Snyder

                   State of      Snyder      Snyder    Snyder   Snyder 
                   Michigan    “Excellent”   “Good”    “Fair”   “Poor”
Right‐to‐Work
Law Will           42.7%        74.0%        64.2%     41.7%    18.2%
Help the Economy
Attitudes by 
  Attitudes by
Political Ideology
Political Ideology
Views of Michigan Residents
         by Ideology

                 State of     Very                                            Very
                                       Liberal   Moderate   Conservative
                 Michigan    Liberal                                       Conservative
Right‐to‐Work
Law Will Help    42.7%       10.9% 20.9%          42.3%       57.8%           62.6%
The Economy
Regional Attitudes Show a 
 Large East‐West Divide
Views of Residents from
            Vi      f R id t f
          Different Regions in Michigan
                                                     Wayne, 
                           State of       City of                 SEMCOG      Grand Rapids 
                                                     Oakland, 
                                                     Oakland,
                           Michigan
                            i hi          Detroit
                                                i                  Regiona
                                                                      i          Areab
                                                     Macomb

Right-to-Work
Law Will Help               42.7%         32.4%      37.5%        38.2%         52.6%
The E
Th Economy



a   Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, St. Clair, Washtenaw, and Wayne Counties

b   Allegan, Barry, Ionia, Kent, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo, and Ottawa Counties

c Clinton,   Eaton, and Ingham Counties
Attitudes b
  Attit d by
Household Income
Views of Residents by
                   Vi     f R id t b
                      Household Income
                                          Income      Income       Income 
                           State of                                           Income Above 
                                           Below 
                                           Below    $50,000 to 
                                                    $50,000 to      Above 
                                                                    Above
                           Michigan
                            i hi                                                 $150,000
                                                                                 $
                                          $20,000    $100,000     $100,000

Right-to-Work
Law Will Help               42.7%         33.2%     42.5%         45.9%         48.3%
The E
Th Economy



a   Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, St. Clair, Washtenaw, and Wayne Counties

b   Allegan, Barry, Ionia, Kent, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo, and Ottawa Counties

c Clinton,   Eaton, and Ingham Counties
How to Learn More about SOSS:

http://ippsr.msu.edu/SOSS/

Charles Ballard:   ballard@msu.edu
                   517.353.2961

Cynthia Kyle:      kylec@msu.edu
                   517.353.1731

Graham Pierce:     gp
                   glpierce@msu.edu
                           @
                   517.884.0364
THANK YOU!

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Michigan Evenly Divided over Right-to-Work

  • 1. State of the State Survey: y Michigan Residents Sharply Divided Over Right to Work Law Right-to-Work Charles L. Ballard L Professor, Department of Economics Director, State of the State Survey Di t St t f th St t S Institute for Public Policy and Social Research ballard@msu.edu 517.353.2961 517 353 2961
  • 2. Background: Labor Unions Have Been Losing Strength For Decades, Decades In Michigan and Across the United States.
  • 3. Union Members as a Percent of the Labor Force,  1964‐2011 50 45 40 35 Michigan 30 25 Louisiana 20 15 United States 10 5 0 Year
  • 4. In December 2012, the Michigan Legislature Passed a Law to Make Michigan the 24 th “Right-to-Work” State. Many Expect This Will Further Reduce Union Membership.
  • 5. State of the State Survey Round 64 Winter 2013 1,013 Interviews Completed , p January 14, 2013 – March 4, 2013
  • 6. • 42.7% of Michigan Residents Said They Believe the Right-to-Work Law Will Help the Economy. • 41% Said It Will Hurt. • That’s a Statistical Tie. That s
  • 7. Michigan Residents' Views of Whether the Right‐to‐Work Law Will  h d ' f h h h h k ll Help or Hurt the Economy 30 25.5 25 22.5 18.5 20 17.2 16.3 nt Percen 15 10 5 0 Help A Lot Help A Little No Effect Hurt A Little Hurt A Lot
  • 8. Union Members Were Considerably Less Optimistic than Those Who Are Not a Union Member.
  • 9. Michigan Residents' Views of Whether the  g Right‐to‐Work Law Will Help or Hurt the Economy, By Union Membership 80 73.7 70 60 46.4 50 42.7 Percent 41.0 37.1 Help 40 P Hurt 30 20 12.3 10 0 Statewide Not Union Member Union Member
  • 11. Views of Michigan Residents by Race and Sex State of  Men Women Whites Blacks Michigan Right‐to‐Work Law Will  42.7% 49.6% 36.1% 45.4% 24.9% Help the Economy
  • 13. Views of Michigan Residents by Political P b P li i l Party State of  Republican Independent Democrat Michigan Right-to-Work Law Will 42.7% 74.2% 42.3% 24.8% Help the Economy
  • 14. Attitudes by  Attit d b Whether the Respondent  h h h d Supports Governor Snyder S t G S d
  • 15. Views of Michigan Residents by Support for Governor Snyder State of  Snyder Snyder  Snyder Snyder  Michigan “Excellent” “Good” “Fair” “Poor” Right‐to‐Work Law Will  42.7% 74.0% 64.2% 41.7% 18.2% Help the Economy
  • 16. Attitudes by  Attitudes by Political Ideology Political Ideology
  • 17. Views of Michigan Residents by Ideology State of  Very Very Liberal Moderate Conservative Michigan Liberal Conservative Right‐to‐Work Law Will Help  42.7% 10.9% 20.9% 42.3% 57.8% 62.6% The Economy
  • 19. Views of Residents from Vi f R id t f Different Regions in Michigan Wayne,  State of  City of  SEMCOG Grand Rapids  Oakland,  Oakland, Michigan i hi Detroit i Regiona i Areab Macomb Right-to-Work Law Will Help 42.7% 32.4% 37.5% 38.2% 52.6% The E Th Economy a Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, St. Clair, Washtenaw, and Wayne Counties b Allegan, Barry, Ionia, Kent, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo, and Ottawa Counties c Clinton, Eaton, and Ingham Counties
  • 20. Attitudes b Attit d by Household Income
  • 21. Views of Residents by Vi f R id t b Household Income Income  Income Income  State of  Income Above  Below  Below $50,000 to  $50,000 to Above  Above Michigan i hi $150,000 $ $20,000 $100,000 $100,000 Right-to-Work Law Will Help 42.7% 33.2% 42.5% 45.9% 48.3% The E Th Economy a Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, St. Clair, Washtenaw, and Wayne Counties b Allegan, Barry, Ionia, Kent, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo, and Ottawa Counties c Clinton, Eaton, and Ingham Counties
  • 22. How to Learn More about SOSS: http://ippsr.msu.edu/SOSS/ Charles Ballard: ballard@msu.edu 517.353.2961 Cynthia Kyle: kylec@msu.edu 517.353.1731 Graham Pierce: gp glpierce@msu.edu @ 517.884.0364