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CHAIRMEN
MICHAEL BLOOMBERG
JUDD GREGG
EDWARD RENDELL
FOUNDERS
ERSKINE BOWLES
AL SIMPSON
STEERING COMMITTEE
PHIL BREDESEN
KENT CONRAD
DAVID COTE
PETE DOMENICI
VIC FAZIO
JAMES B. LEE, JR.
JIM MCCRERY
SAM NUNN
JIM NUSSLE
MICHAEL PETERSON
STEVEN RATTNER
ALICE RIVLIN
SCOTT SMITH
ANTONIO VILLARAIGOSA
ROBERT ZOELLICK
1899 L Street, NW · Suite 225 · Washington, DC 20036 · (202) 596-3597 · www.fixthedebt.org
Common Myths About the Debt
Our nation’s debt has reached unsustainable levels, nearly twice the historical average and on
track to grow even greater unless Congress acts. Below, we tackle some common
misconceptions about the debt.
Myth: Deficit levels are falling and therefore, debt is no longer a concern.
Fact: Deficits are smaller this year and about one-third the size of the record-high
deficits in the peak of the Great Recession, but that doesn’t mean debt is no longer a
problem. This year, our government will still spend roughly $500 billion more than it
takes in. Over the next decade, our debt is on track to grow by almost $8
trillion. Even though debt may remain stable as a share of the economy for a few
years, its growth will accelerate after 2018 and exceed the size of the entire economy
by the mid-2030s. An ever-rising debt path will inhibit long-term economic growth,
increase the cost of living, leave the government unprepared for national
emergencies, and increase the risk of a fiscal crisis.
Myth: There is no harm in waiting to solve our debt problems.
Fact: The longer we wait to confront our debt problems, the larger the required
benefit cuts or tax increases will need to be for each individual. If policymakers wait
10 years before addressing the debt, spending cuts or tax increases would need to be
two-thirds larger to reduce debt back to the historical average. We will also have less
flexibility to respond to unexpected national emergencies, and it will be harder to
protect the most vulnerable in society from bearing the burden.
Myth: Deficit reduction is just code for austerity, which will ultimately hurt the
economy.
Fact: A comprehensive and gradual deficit reduction plan can replace austerity with
more targeted and pro-growth reforms that promote economic recovery and
accelerate long-term wage growth. For example, the Congressional Budget Office
found that a $4 trillion deficit reduction package would help the economy, increasing
average income by $7,000 by 2039. Average income would be 9 percent higher than
if policymakers allow debt to rise rapidly. (See The National Debt and You.)
1899 L Street, NW · Suite 225 · Washington, DC 20036 · (202) 596-3597 · www.fixthedebt.org
Page 2
Myth: Deficit reduction will harm low-income and vulnerable populations.
Fact: Every recent bipartisan deficit reduction plan has included progressive reforms that ask more from
those who can afford it, protect low-income programs, and offer new enhancements for the most
vulnerable.
Myth: The debt can be solved by cutting waste, fraud, or foreign aid.
Fact: Foreign aid represents around 1% of the federal budget. And while it is important to address
waste, fraud and abuse of taxpayer money, doing so would only marginally reduce the debt. Even if we
eliminated all waste, fraud, and foreign aid, we would still have not dealt with the long-term drivers of
the debt. Specifically, we need to slow the unsustainable growth of entitlement spending, which
currently makes up 60 percent of the budget. Mandatory and interest spending will nearly double in the
next 40 years due to population aging and rising health care costs.
Myth: The debt can be solved with faster economic growth.
Fact: Economic growth must be part of the solution, but it can’t solve the debt problem alone. The
amount of growth required would be unprecedented. Productivity growth would have to be 50 percent
higher over the next quarter century just to hold debt at its current record-high levels. In addition, many
spending programs grow faster when the economy does, which counteracts the benefits of growth in
reducing the debt.
Myth: Taxing the wealthy more will solve the debt problem.
Fact: Our debt problems are too large, and the top 1% too few, to solve the entire problem by raising
taxes on the wealthy. According to the Tax Policy Center, if we wanted to fix the debt only by raising taxes
on those making over $250,000, the top rate would need to be over 100% - a clearly unworkable solution.
Our debt problems are large enough that they should be solved by both tax reform to reduce tax breaks
and spending reform to slow the growth of entitlement programs.

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Common Myths About the debt and the Facts

  • 1. CHAIRMEN MICHAEL BLOOMBERG JUDD GREGG EDWARD RENDELL FOUNDERS ERSKINE BOWLES AL SIMPSON STEERING COMMITTEE PHIL BREDESEN KENT CONRAD DAVID COTE PETE DOMENICI VIC FAZIO JAMES B. LEE, JR. JIM MCCRERY SAM NUNN JIM NUSSLE MICHAEL PETERSON STEVEN RATTNER ALICE RIVLIN SCOTT SMITH ANTONIO VILLARAIGOSA ROBERT ZOELLICK 1899 L Street, NW · Suite 225 · Washington, DC 20036 · (202) 596-3597 · www.fixthedebt.org Common Myths About the Debt Our nation’s debt has reached unsustainable levels, nearly twice the historical average and on track to grow even greater unless Congress acts. Below, we tackle some common misconceptions about the debt. Myth: Deficit levels are falling and therefore, debt is no longer a concern. Fact: Deficits are smaller this year and about one-third the size of the record-high deficits in the peak of the Great Recession, but that doesn’t mean debt is no longer a problem. This year, our government will still spend roughly $500 billion more than it takes in. Over the next decade, our debt is on track to grow by almost $8 trillion. Even though debt may remain stable as a share of the economy for a few years, its growth will accelerate after 2018 and exceed the size of the entire economy by the mid-2030s. An ever-rising debt path will inhibit long-term economic growth, increase the cost of living, leave the government unprepared for national emergencies, and increase the risk of a fiscal crisis. Myth: There is no harm in waiting to solve our debt problems. Fact: The longer we wait to confront our debt problems, the larger the required benefit cuts or tax increases will need to be for each individual. If policymakers wait 10 years before addressing the debt, spending cuts or tax increases would need to be two-thirds larger to reduce debt back to the historical average. We will also have less flexibility to respond to unexpected national emergencies, and it will be harder to protect the most vulnerable in society from bearing the burden. Myth: Deficit reduction is just code for austerity, which will ultimately hurt the economy. Fact: A comprehensive and gradual deficit reduction plan can replace austerity with more targeted and pro-growth reforms that promote economic recovery and accelerate long-term wage growth. For example, the Congressional Budget Office found that a $4 trillion deficit reduction package would help the economy, increasing average income by $7,000 by 2039. Average income would be 9 percent higher than if policymakers allow debt to rise rapidly. (See The National Debt and You.)
  • 2. 1899 L Street, NW · Suite 225 · Washington, DC 20036 · (202) 596-3597 · www.fixthedebt.org Page 2 Myth: Deficit reduction will harm low-income and vulnerable populations. Fact: Every recent bipartisan deficit reduction plan has included progressive reforms that ask more from those who can afford it, protect low-income programs, and offer new enhancements for the most vulnerable. Myth: The debt can be solved by cutting waste, fraud, or foreign aid. Fact: Foreign aid represents around 1% of the federal budget. And while it is important to address waste, fraud and abuse of taxpayer money, doing so would only marginally reduce the debt. Even if we eliminated all waste, fraud, and foreign aid, we would still have not dealt with the long-term drivers of the debt. Specifically, we need to slow the unsustainable growth of entitlement spending, which currently makes up 60 percent of the budget. Mandatory and interest spending will nearly double in the next 40 years due to population aging and rising health care costs. Myth: The debt can be solved with faster economic growth. Fact: Economic growth must be part of the solution, but it can’t solve the debt problem alone. The amount of growth required would be unprecedented. Productivity growth would have to be 50 percent higher over the next quarter century just to hold debt at its current record-high levels. In addition, many spending programs grow faster when the economy does, which counteracts the benefits of growth in reducing the debt. Myth: Taxing the wealthy more will solve the debt problem. Fact: Our debt problems are too large, and the top 1% too few, to solve the entire problem by raising taxes on the wealthy. According to the Tax Policy Center, if we wanted to fix the debt only by raising taxes on those making over $250,000, the top rate would need to be over 100% - a clearly unworkable solution. Our debt problems are large enough that they should be solved by both tax reform to reduce tax breaks and spending reform to slow the growth of entitlement programs.