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DMA09
San Diego, California
              J. Patrick Bewley
  VP, Global Marketing Strategy
              October 17, 2009




       © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Helping Marketers Find Answers


•   Media Mix Optimization is a comprehensive and dynamic strategic
    capability that enables marketing practitioners to scientifically and
    quantitatively measure, plan, manage and optimize marketing
    resources and investments

•   MMO helps marketers to regularly capture insight to:
     – Drive business results through better strategic planning and execution of
       the marketing process
     – Identify opportunities to increase margin through improved ROI on existing
       marketing investments
     – Improve collaboration, brand positioning, coordination and consistency of
       analyses across lines of business, brands and geographies
     – Align resources to execute customer-centric strategies

                                        2
                                                             © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Media Mix Optimization – what it is and what it is not

        What it is                           What it isn’t

                                           An application
   A process and journey
                                           model or event

                                       Refinement to campaign
                                       strategy or optimization
    Organization change
                                           of a budget for a
                                        particular department


     Transformational                   Incremental efficiency
     business model                          improvement


                               3
                                                © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Approaches
                               Applied to…                          Goal…
  Inferred Attribution

                         Traditionally above the line      Seeks to correlate media spend
                         marketing spend (Print, TV,       with sales results, accounting for:
                         Radio)                            seasonality, competition


  Direct Attribution

                         Traditionally below the line      Seeks to close the loop on
                         marketing spend (Direct: IPTV,    channel specific campaigns,
                         Mail, Email)                      then optimize across


Normative Performance

                         How do I perform against my       Introduces benchmarking into
                         vertical market, geo, or market   the equation to create an
                         at large?                         “open system”

                                                4
                                                                   © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Linking Media Strategy to Customer Lifecycle
                            Above the line spend

                                                                                   Below the line spend
Customer Value




                         Intelligently Prospect                            Lengthen and Deepen                     Identify and Address
                         to Minimize CPA                                   Customer Value                          Potential Attriters




                                             Y1    Y2   Y3       Y 4
                                                                                                                                          Time
                  Y0
                        Acquisition Strategies               Retention and Growth Strategies              Attrition Strategies



                   Inferred Attribution                      Direct Attribution                           Direct Attribution




                       Normative Performance                                                        Normative Performance

                                                                                                                              Adopted from: Dr. V Kumar
                                                                       5
                                                                                                          © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Social Interaction
                                                                                                                     Triggers Incremental
                                                                                                                     Device and Additional
                                                                                                                      User and Consumer
                                                                                                                            Lifecycle
                                                                                                       Incremental
                                                                                                          Device
               Consumer
                 Value

                                                          Content          Purchase
                                   Device                                    Music
                                 Registration                             Transmitter
 Lifecycle
Relationship                                    Feature
 Strategy                                       Service
                                                                                        Next Device Upgrade
                      Device
                                                                                              Purchase
                     Purchase




                                                                                                      Ņ Cliff Ó
                                                                                                      The
                                                                                                                                      Consumer Life


 Channel                                                      e
 Strategy
                                                                        SE        SE               Operator
                      Operator    WEBSITE         SMS        Email
                                                                      STORE     STORE




                Key Opportunity                                      Revenue Impact                                     Margin Impact
                Avenue Revenue Per User (ARPU)                       Increase in ARPU

                Marketing Spend Per Device Shipped                                                                      Increased Margin Per Device
   Value
Relationship
                Improved Sales Mix                                   Increased Revenue Per User                         Increased Margin Per User

                Devices Sold per User                                Increased Revenue Per User                         Increased Margin Per User


                                                                     6
                                                                                                                             © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Connecting the dots…

     Inferred          Redeployed                  Redeployed
    Attribution        Media Mix #1                Media Mix #2

1                 3   10-15% Reduction     6                     Up to 30% Reduction off
                      in Media Spend                             original media spend



                                                         Enhanced             Channel
          Lifecycle            Direct
                                                         Customer            Propensity
          Marketing          Attribution
                                                          Profiles             Models
     2                  4    Up to 20% top     5                       7     10-15% reduction in
                             line growth                                     direct spend




                                                                                               Normative
                                                                     The “last” 5%
                                                                                              Performance

                                                                                     8
                                                     7
                                                                                     © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
A Comprehensive MMO Solution
 Marketing
Investments              Baseline Offerings              Included with Baseline Offerings (or stand alone)
                     Media /          Marketing         Media Type      Marketing         Cannibalization Competitor Mix
• Television
                    Channel             Mix            Optimization       Spend            Assessment        Impact
• Newspaper
                    Interplay         Modeling                         Benchmarking                        Assessment
• Magazine
• Radio                                                   Single or
• Out-of-Home                                             Multiple      Peer               Determining              Assessing
• Cinema                                                                comparison of      impact on                competitive
                                                                        marketing          revenues from            marketing
                  • Strategy        • Analytics                         investments        other                    activity
• Direct Mail     • Response        • Segmentation      Channel
                                                                        and return         channels                 impacts
• Teleservices      Attribution     •                  Optimization
• DR Broadcast    • Predictive
• Digital           Modeling
• DR Print                                               Single or
• Mobile                                                 Multiple

                                             Quantitatively-based, Continuously Assessed Output


                 • Optimal marketing investment mix to                    • Scenario planning
                     - reach the most profitable consumers                • Quantifies halo effects
                     - with the right product and offer                   • Consolidates all marketing analyses into a single
                 • Single product or full portfolio optimization            database
                 • Forecasting                                            • Provides effective, relevant reporting

                                                               8
                                                                                              © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Our Approach

•   Advanced analytics cover descriptive, diagnostic, predictive and
    prescriptive analytic work
•   Provide strategy, insights and execution on all direct and digital
    channels and are building capabilities based on customer preferences
•   Leverage our data and knowledge-base recognition capabilities to
    avoid the garbage in, garbage out trap
•   Automate the customer recognition process and provide the data at a
    moments notice; analytics are replicable, repeatable and scalable;
    partner with model visualization specialists




                                     9
                                                        © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
In summary…

•   There are multiple approaches and definitions of MMO
•   You should pick an approach that is consistent with your goals
•   To get the best return, you should link above the line and below the line MMO
    efforts
•   Normative performance expands your horizons
•   It’s a journey, not an event




                                        10
                                                              © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Appendix
Key Messages

•   Solving the extremely complex and dynamic problem of measuring the
    performance of media and channel combinations
•   Focusing on consumer-level media attribution
•   Helping marketers document their business impact … verifiability,
    accountability, measurability and return on investment
•   Providing marketers with accurate media usage data and consumer insight to
    drive consumer-centric media planning
•   Media mix optimization leverages Acxiom’s demonstrable expertise in data,
    analytics, technology and consulting




                                        12
                                                              © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Changes In Media and Consumption Are Generating Vexing
Questions From Marketers
• Insight
    – Which media mix drove the most volume
    – What’s the ROI for each marketing investment
    – Why share is up or down for this brand or line of business
• Forecasting
   – What volume and profit will my current marketing strategy drive
   – What would be the impact of a change in marketing mix
   – How will a competitor’s marketing investment affect my profitability
• Optimizing
   – What plan maximizes volume for the same spend
   – How can a marketer maximize revenue after a budget cut
   – How best to invest a windfall
                                    13
                                                        © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Inferred Attribution – Top Down

Is right when:
• You have two, preferably three years of weekly sales
     and marketing data
• You have a large and highly diverse marketing mix
• You go to market primarily via indirect channels

Work best when:
• They correlate sales and marketing activities using
  linear and multivariate regression analysis
• Quantify the impact of multiple demand drivers –
  environmental (i.e. gasoline prices, temperature)
• Reveal incremental impact and marginal return
• Can be viewed by geographic, media, or brand level
  budget allocations
                                      14
                                                         © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Direct Attribution – Bottom Up                                                      Efficiency
                                                                                      Curve




                                                         Maximize Return
Is right when:
• You have (or can develop) rich customer profiles
• You have multiple products that can be cross/up sold
• You have shopping basket data that allows for                            Fixed Marketing
                                                                               Spend
     collaborative filtering analysis
                                                                                     Efficiency
• You go to market primarily direct                                                    Curve




                                                            Fixed Return
Work best when:
• They discretely isolate a customer action (i.e.
     additional information inquiry)
• You spend the time to understand the decision
     making process
                                                                           Minimize Spend
• They are used in a test and control methodology
• Can be viewed by geographic, media, or product
     level budget allocations
                                      15
                                                         © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Normative Performance– Outside In

Is right when:
• You have either:
    –   Mature mix models (Inferred or Direct)
    –   Or no clue where to start
• You use them to get the last mile out of
  marketing spend
• You operate in a competitive or saturated
  market
• You need an objective, independent case for
  change
Works best when:
• They are applied at a fundamental unit level
  such as CPA, allowing a apples to apples
  comparison
• They are viewed at the vertical, and geo level
                                                 16
                                                      © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Tool Examples – Inferred Attribution


                                   Intuitive
                                       Easily create constraints based scenarios
                                   Transparent
                                       Allow complex manipulation of the models
                                       “Under the hood” where appropriate
                                   Actual Vs. Forecast
                                       Ability to contrast results against the model
                                       predictions
                                   Constraints based optimization
                                       Allows user to input spend/activity and
                                       smooth a result to revenue, or profit targets
                                   Side by Side contrast
                                       Ability to contrast one planed scenario
                                       against another in an easy to interpret
                                       interface




                              17
                                                       © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
Tool Examples – Direct Attribution

      Dashboard Summary                                                                               11/ 01/2006 Š 11/30/ 2006               [-]




                                                                                                                                                                              Configurable Dashboards
      Provide rs Se le c te d             [+ ]     Me dia Type s Se le c te d              [+ ]     Sum m a ry Se le c te d                                 [+ ]
      American Express                             D irect Mail                                     Average C ost Per Touch :                             $0.83

      Avis                                         Magazine                                         Total Outbound Solicitations      :       12,367,972

      Delta D ental

      Hartford H ome
                                                   Email

                                                   Outbound Telemarketing
                                                                                                                    D irect Mail

                                                                                                                    Magazine
                                                                                                                                                  1, 367,972

                                                                                                                                                  1, 000,000                        Point of View, Point of Time Reporting
                                                                                                                                                                              Statistical Analysis
      New York Life                                                                                                 Email                     10, 000,000
                                      more ...                                                                                                            more ...


      Solicitation Summary                                                                                                                    [-]


Monthly Solic ita tion by Provide r               Provide r Solic ita tion Sta tistic s                                                                            [+]
                                                                                                                                                                                    Use of complex concepts to create Readable
                                                                                                                                                                                    Visual Results
                                                  Provider                 D irect Mail           Magazine               Email            Total              % Total

                                                  American Express            1,367, 972           1, 367,972           1,367, 972        1,367, 972               33%

                                                  Avis                        1,367, 972           1, 367,972           1,367, 972        1,367, 972               17%

                                                  D elta D ental

                                                  H artford H ome
                                                                              1,367, 972

                                                                              1,367, 972
                                                                                                   1, 367,972

                                                                                                   1, 367,972
                                                                                                                        1,367, 972

                                                                                                                        1,367, 972
                                                                                                                                          1,367, 972

                                                                                                                                          1,367, 972
                                                                                                                                                                   25%

                                                                                                                                                                   25%
                                                                                                                                                                  more ...
                                                                                                                                                                              Top Demographic Analysis
      Inquiry /Response Summary                                                                                                               [-]
                                                                                                                                                                                    Net out top segments such as; age, income, and
  Monthly Inquiry by Provide r                   Provide r Inquiry by Me dia Type
                                                 Provider                  D irect Mail           Magazine              Email             Total
                                                                                                                                                   [+ ]
                                                                                                                                                                                    geography
                                                                                                                                                                              Real Time Reports
                                                 American Express            2,304 / 4%            1,304 / 2%        1, 304 / 1.5%    4912 / 2.3%

                                                 Avis                        2,304 / 4%            1,304 / 2%        1, 304 / 1.5%    4912 / 2.3%

                                                 D elta D ental              2,304 / 4%            1,304 / 2%        1, 304 / 1.5%    4912 / 2.3%



                                                                                                                                                                                    Up to the minute/day campaign information makes
                                                 H artford H ome             2,304 / 4%            1,304 / 2%        1, 304 / 1.5%    4912 / 2.3%
                                                                                                                                                  more ...


      Product/ Conversion Summary
Provide r Produc t C onve rsion Sta tistic s
                                                                                                                                              [-]

                                                                                                                                                              [+ ]
                                                                                                                                                                                    decisions nimble
Provider

N umber of C onversions

% C onversion R ate
                                    American Express

                                                         1, 523

                                                           9%
                                                                    Avis

                                                                                    1, 523

                                                                                          9%
                                                                                                   D elta D ental

                                                                                                                         1,523

                                                                                                                            9%
                                                                                                                                     H artford Home

                                                                                                                                                             1, 523

                                                                                                                                                                   9%
                                                                                                                                                                              UI Ergonomics
A ggregate C ost Per A cquisition

C onversion B y Product Type
                                                    $236. 08                      $236. 08                            $236.08                             $236. 08
                                                                                                                                                                                    Focus on simplifying interpretation, faster
                                                                                                                                                                                    decisions
                                                                                                                                                                   more ...

                                                                                                                                                                              Key Metrics
                                                                                                                                                                                    Top marketing metrics like CPR, CPA in real time



                                                                                                                                                                               18
                                                                                                                                                                                                             © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.

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Media Mix Optimization - The Starting Point for Customer-Centric Communications

  • 1. DMA09 San Diego, California J. Patrick Bewley VP, Global Marketing Strategy October 17, 2009 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 2. Helping Marketers Find Answers • Media Mix Optimization is a comprehensive and dynamic strategic capability that enables marketing practitioners to scientifically and quantitatively measure, plan, manage and optimize marketing resources and investments • MMO helps marketers to regularly capture insight to: – Drive business results through better strategic planning and execution of the marketing process – Identify opportunities to increase margin through improved ROI on existing marketing investments – Improve collaboration, brand positioning, coordination and consistency of analyses across lines of business, brands and geographies – Align resources to execute customer-centric strategies 2 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 3. Media Mix Optimization – what it is and what it is not What it is What it isn’t An application A process and journey model or event Refinement to campaign strategy or optimization Organization change of a budget for a particular department Transformational Incremental efficiency business model improvement 3 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 4. Approaches Applied to… Goal… Inferred Attribution Traditionally above the line Seeks to correlate media spend marketing spend (Print, TV, with sales results, accounting for: Radio) seasonality, competition Direct Attribution Traditionally below the line Seeks to close the loop on marketing spend (Direct: IPTV, channel specific campaigns, Mail, Email) then optimize across Normative Performance How do I perform against my Introduces benchmarking into vertical market, geo, or market the equation to create an at large? “open system” 4 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 5. Linking Media Strategy to Customer Lifecycle Above the line spend Below the line spend Customer Value Intelligently Prospect Lengthen and Deepen Identify and Address to Minimize CPA Customer Value Potential Attriters Y1 Y2 Y3 Y 4 Time Y0 Acquisition Strategies Retention and Growth Strategies Attrition Strategies Inferred Attribution Direct Attribution Direct Attribution Normative Performance Normative Performance Adopted from: Dr. V Kumar 5 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 6. Social Interaction Triggers Incremental Device and Additional User and Consumer Lifecycle Incremental Device Consumer Value Content Purchase Device Music Registration Transmitter Lifecycle Relationship Feature Strategy Service Next Device Upgrade Device Purchase Purchase Ņ Cliff Ó The Consumer Life Channel e Strategy SE SE Operator Operator WEBSITE SMS Email STORE STORE Key Opportunity Revenue Impact Margin Impact Avenue Revenue Per User (ARPU) Increase in ARPU Marketing Spend Per Device Shipped Increased Margin Per Device Value Relationship Improved Sales Mix Increased Revenue Per User Increased Margin Per User Devices Sold per User Increased Revenue Per User Increased Margin Per User 6 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 7. Connecting the dots… Inferred Redeployed Redeployed Attribution Media Mix #1 Media Mix #2 1 3 10-15% Reduction 6 Up to 30% Reduction off in Media Spend original media spend Enhanced Channel Lifecycle Direct Customer Propensity Marketing Attribution Profiles Models 2 4 Up to 20% top 5 7 10-15% reduction in line growth direct spend Normative The “last” 5% Performance 8 7 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 8. A Comprehensive MMO Solution Marketing Investments Baseline Offerings Included with Baseline Offerings (or stand alone) Media / Marketing Media Type Marketing Cannibalization Competitor Mix • Television Channel Mix Optimization Spend Assessment Impact • Newspaper Interplay Modeling Benchmarking Assessment • Magazine • Radio Single or • Out-of-Home Multiple Peer Determining Assessing • Cinema comparison of impact on competitive marketing revenues from marketing • Strategy • Analytics investments other activity • Direct Mail • Response • Segmentation Channel and return channels impacts • Teleservices Attribution • Optimization • DR Broadcast • Predictive • Digital Modeling • DR Print Single or • Mobile Multiple Quantitatively-based, Continuously Assessed Output • Optimal marketing investment mix to • Scenario planning - reach the most profitable consumers • Quantifies halo effects - with the right product and offer • Consolidates all marketing analyses into a single • Single product or full portfolio optimization database • Forecasting • Provides effective, relevant reporting 8 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 9. Our Approach • Advanced analytics cover descriptive, diagnostic, predictive and prescriptive analytic work • Provide strategy, insights and execution on all direct and digital channels and are building capabilities based on customer preferences • Leverage our data and knowledge-base recognition capabilities to avoid the garbage in, garbage out trap • Automate the customer recognition process and provide the data at a moments notice; analytics are replicable, repeatable and scalable; partner with model visualization specialists 9 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 10. In summary… • There are multiple approaches and definitions of MMO • You should pick an approach that is consistent with your goals • To get the best return, you should link above the line and below the line MMO efforts • Normative performance expands your horizons • It’s a journey, not an event 10 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 12. Key Messages • Solving the extremely complex and dynamic problem of measuring the performance of media and channel combinations • Focusing on consumer-level media attribution • Helping marketers document their business impact … verifiability, accountability, measurability and return on investment • Providing marketers with accurate media usage data and consumer insight to drive consumer-centric media planning • Media mix optimization leverages Acxiom’s demonstrable expertise in data, analytics, technology and consulting 12 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 13. Changes In Media and Consumption Are Generating Vexing Questions From Marketers • Insight – Which media mix drove the most volume – What’s the ROI for each marketing investment – Why share is up or down for this brand or line of business • Forecasting – What volume and profit will my current marketing strategy drive – What would be the impact of a change in marketing mix – How will a competitor’s marketing investment affect my profitability • Optimizing – What plan maximizes volume for the same spend – How can a marketer maximize revenue after a budget cut – How best to invest a windfall 13 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 14. Inferred Attribution – Top Down Is right when: • You have two, preferably three years of weekly sales and marketing data • You have a large and highly diverse marketing mix • You go to market primarily via indirect channels Work best when: • They correlate sales and marketing activities using linear and multivariate regression analysis • Quantify the impact of multiple demand drivers – environmental (i.e. gasoline prices, temperature) • Reveal incremental impact and marginal return • Can be viewed by geographic, media, or brand level budget allocations 14 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 15. Direct Attribution – Bottom Up Efficiency Curve Maximize Return Is right when: • You have (or can develop) rich customer profiles • You have multiple products that can be cross/up sold • You have shopping basket data that allows for Fixed Marketing Spend collaborative filtering analysis Efficiency • You go to market primarily direct Curve Fixed Return Work best when: • They discretely isolate a customer action (i.e. additional information inquiry) • You spend the time to understand the decision making process Minimize Spend • They are used in a test and control methodology • Can be viewed by geographic, media, or product level budget allocations 15 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 16. Normative Performance– Outside In Is right when: • You have either: – Mature mix models (Inferred or Direct) – Or no clue where to start • You use them to get the last mile out of marketing spend • You operate in a competitive or saturated market • You need an objective, independent case for change Works best when: • They are applied at a fundamental unit level such as CPA, allowing a apples to apples comparison • They are viewed at the vertical, and geo level 16 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 17. Tool Examples – Inferred Attribution Intuitive Easily create constraints based scenarios Transparent Allow complex manipulation of the models “Under the hood” where appropriate Actual Vs. Forecast Ability to contrast results against the model predictions Constraints based optimization Allows user to input spend/activity and smooth a result to revenue, or profit targets Side by Side contrast Ability to contrast one planed scenario against another in an easy to interpret interface 17 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
  • 18. Tool Examples – Direct Attribution Dashboard Summary 11/ 01/2006 Š 11/30/ 2006 [-] Configurable Dashboards Provide rs Se le c te d [+ ] Me dia Type s Se le c te d [+ ] Sum m a ry Se le c te d [+ ] American Express D irect Mail Average C ost Per Touch : $0.83 Avis Magazine Total Outbound Solicitations : 12,367,972 Delta D ental Hartford H ome Email Outbound Telemarketing D irect Mail Magazine 1, 367,972 1, 000,000 Point of View, Point of Time Reporting Statistical Analysis New York Life Email 10, 000,000 more ... more ... Solicitation Summary [-] Monthly Solic ita tion by Provide r Provide r Solic ita tion Sta tistic s [+] Use of complex concepts to create Readable Visual Results Provider D irect Mail Magazine Email Total % Total American Express 1,367, 972 1, 367,972 1,367, 972 1,367, 972 33% Avis 1,367, 972 1, 367,972 1,367, 972 1,367, 972 17% D elta D ental H artford H ome 1,367, 972 1,367, 972 1, 367,972 1, 367,972 1,367, 972 1,367, 972 1,367, 972 1,367, 972 25% 25% more ... Top Demographic Analysis Inquiry /Response Summary [-] Net out top segments such as; age, income, and Monthly Inquiry by Provide r Provide r Inquiry by Me dia Type Provider D irect Mail Magazine Email Total [+ ] geography Real Time Reports American Express 2,304 / 4% 1,304 / 2% 1, 304 / 1.5% 4912 / 2.3% Avis 2,304 / 4% 1,304 / 2% 1, 304 / 1.5% 4912 / 2.3% D elta D ental 2,304 / 4% 1,304 / 2% 1, 304 / 1.5% 4912 / 2.3% Up to the minute/day campaign information makes H artford H ome 2,304 / 4% 1,304 / 2% 1, 304 / 1.5% 4912 / 2.3% more ... Product/ Conversion Summary Provide r Produc t C onve rsion Sta tistic s [-] [+ ] decisions nimble Provider N umber of C onversions % C onversion R ate American Express 1, 523 9% Avis 1, 523 9% D elta D ental 1,523 9% H artford Home 1, 523 9% UI Ergonomics A ggregate C ost Per A cquisition C onversion B y Product Type $236. 08 $236. 08 $236.08 $236. 08 Focus on simplifying interpretation, faster decisions more ... Key Metrics Top marketing metrics like CPR, CPA in real time 18 © 2009 Acxiom Corporation. All Rights Reserved.