Mandulis Energy || Elizabeth Nyeko || A Digital Solution to the Energy Access 'Trilemma' in Uganda
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Elizabeth Nyeko of Mandulis Energy joins us at the Science: Disrupt London Session on Future Energy to talk about their work with distributed energy systems in Uganda.
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Mandulis Energy || Elizabeth Nyeko || A Digital Solution to the Energy Access 'Trilemma' in Uganda
- 1. Elizabeth Nyeko Co-Founder, Mandulis Energy elizabeth@mandulisenergy.com www.mandulisenergy.com A digital solution to the energy access ‘trilema’ in Uganda Least-cost and scalable approach using existing infrastructure
- 2. Sunrise at Lake Bunyonyi #ThisIsUganda “...Uganda is truly the pearl of Africa” - Winston Churchill
- 3. ____________________________________________ _________ Dalberg report, May 2017: "Improving access to electricity through decentralised renewable energy"MANDULIS ENERGY Grid access
- 4. GRID 19% of households MANDULIS ENERGY Low coverage
- 10. ____________________________________________ _________ Dalberg report, May 2017: "Improving access to electricity through decentralised renewable energy"MANDULIS ENERGY Shortfall
- 11. Blackouts
- 16. MODULARITY Decentralise d Distribution: ● AI/ML ● Blockcha in autonomous real time data-intelligent cost-effective sustainable reliable MANDULIS ENERGY
- 17. MODULARITY ‘Virtual’ local distribution network + GRID MANDULIS ENERGY SURPLUS
- 18. MODULARITY Micro-control & management +GRID MANDULIS ENERGY SURPLUS
- 19. Optimization & demand-based sharing MANDULIS ENERGY MODULARITY +GRID SURPLUS
- 21. 1. ‘Win-win-win’ for the grid ecosystem: ○ Consumers ○ Consumers that produce electricity ○ Grid operators 2. Demand-based sharing: ○ Simple, fast, cheap ○ Management/settlement ○ Avoids pre-pay cost and post- pay credit risk Value Creation autonomous real time intelligent cost-effective efficient reliable MODULARITY MANDULIS ENERGY
- 22. For us, electricity and internet are natural partners MANDULIS ENERGY
- 25. ELIZABETH, MD/FD CO-FOUNDER RICHARD, TD CO- FOUNDER - Co-founder UQuant, uncertainty quantification spinout from Imperial College. - Worked at NASA, Airbus, and DLR, within maths and engineering roles. - Statistics expert. Final year PhD student at Imperial’s Uncertainty Laboratory. - Double MEng in Aerospace and Finance from TU Delft. - Co-Founder Mandulis Energy, a renewable energy project developer backed by Power Africa, raised $1.4M (KfW, AfDB, Norgesvel) to develop 20MW grid & 8MW off-grid projects. - Worked in M&A at Goldman, Nomura/ Lehman; and Africa-focused VC Maris Capital - MSc from Oxford, where she was also a postgrad research student. - 2016 World Economic Forum “Top 10 Female Innovators in Africa”. FRANCESCO MONTOMOLI Software Engineer Heads Uncertainty Lab, Imperial College Co-Founder UQUANT PETER NYEKO Power Systems Engineer MEng Aerospace, Bristol University Co-Founder Mandulis Energy DATA SCIENCE & SOFTWARE ENGINEERING PROJECT DEVELOPMENT TETRATECH Technical Assistance Engineering Consultants Funded by Power Africa (Our Strategic Partner) Modularity team GOVIND PINDORIA Director Co.Create Lab ADVISORS IYINOLUWA ABOYEJI Founder Flutterwave
- 26. Team - Proven track record and expertise Market - New, large, global opportunity Technology - Proprietary Strategic partners - Speed to market Business model - Consumer-centered Significant network effects - AI/ML driving continually higher margins Key highlights MANDULIS ENERGY
- 27. Thanks ! Elizabeth Nyeko Co-Founder, Mandulis Energy elizabeth@mandulisenergy.com www.modularity-grid.com MANDULIS ENERGY
Editor's Notes
- Mandulis Energy, we develop software-enabled power projects
- We’re based in an absolutely spectacular little country in East Africa -of course I’m completely biased but look at that view Uganda has a population of 40 million and a GDP of $28bn on a growth trajectory of 6% this year.
- Grid access is sparse
- Only 19% of households in Uganda are covered by the grid
- during transmission and distribution, Up to 20% of electricity on the grid is action lost, compared to just 8% in OECD countries.
- For most consumers, the grid can only deliver less than 4 hours a day of reliable electricity And like other traditional grid systems globally, its centralised distribution model makes it highly vulnerable- it doesn’t take much to disrupt power supply, a lightning bolt, fallen tree...
- Or demand, which is not only stochastic but rising, and is expected to continue to growing at a rate of 10-12% year on year through 2020, and even higher beyond
- with the inevitable adoption of electric cars …random spikes of demand can only increase
- The grid’s vulnerability also increases as it ages. But at $800k-$1.2M per mile, the cost of replacing existing infrastructure is nearly prohibitive
- With peak supply at a fraction of installed capacity andtrailing peak demand
- As a result, power outages are a norm, nearly every other day, and these can last mins, hours, or even days Putting hospitals at risk, and costing $mil per year in losses to businesses and industries. Across Africa, the estimated economic value of power outages, amounts to as much as 2% of GDP (WB 2009).
- consumers are turning to solar
- Diesel generators dominate, even at cost $0.50-$1.20/kWh depending on the load factor, several times the grid tarriff
- And because the grid is so unreliable - domestic, commercial and industrial consumers are forced to generate their own power. This is a significant pain point. Particularly in countries like Uganda, where SMEs account for approximately 90% of the entire private sector, and generate over 80% of the total manufactured output, contributing up to 20% of GDP
- This creates surplus which is currently unexploited
- We are developing a digital platform for decentralised distribution, it is the least-cost path to addressing all these challenges using the existing infrastructure An evolution from a human-centered to a machine-centered model of distribution, with real-time, autonomous, data-driven decisions Think of it as game-based energy management, mathematical coupling of 3 elements: load, source, storage - and ‘winning’ by maintaining a stable, efficient system
- Modularity creates a ‘virtual’ network for local distribution, that seamlessly integrates these independently owned energy sources (e.g. solar rooftop, batteries, diesel, biomass) and makes use of the existing grid infrastructure
- This provides the grid operator, with an added layer of micro-control and management for local distribution circuits
- Optimized matching of local supply to local demand, at this level has 2 key benefits: reducing the peak demand alleviates the need to upgrade the power system infrastructure to meet growing demand; while shifting peak demand and smoothing the demand curve can result in lower average losses in the distribution system.
- Blockchain payments sphere is mature. Ethereum smart contracts allows a matching of distribution with real time, autonomous, transactions peer-to-peer Settlement time comes down from > 1 month to instant
- We create value for the entire ecosystem We also bring down the cost of paying for electricity because telecoms companies that provide mobile money charge extortionate fees e.g. Airtel charges 500UGX for a payment of 2,500UGX. re-pay cost to consumer (enabling them to pay for just what they can afford at the time they need it); post-pay credit risk to producer; and autonomous real time transaction management.
- Just like the success of the financial service sector in East Africa, required a blurring of lines between mobile phones & banks We are convinced that the connection between electricity and internet can enable us to address critical bottlenecks, and make energy access cost-effective, sustainable and reliable
- In Africa
- And across the world
- We have a strong team, with expertise across power systems, data science, software, as well as product design and project development.
- We’re developing the prototype of our digital platform, and gearing up for a commercial scale pilot in the latter part of the year.