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Make it Rain!
Courtesy of:
New approaches to
Water and Energy Independence
• Energy
• Water
• PACE Financing
• Q&A
Overview
• Food, Water & Energy security are inextricably linked
o Two greatest users of freshwater are agriculture and power plants
o We consume massive quantities of energy to deliver clean water
o We consume massive quantities of water to generate energy
o Rising energy prices are curtailing efforts to supply more clean water
o Water restrictions are hampering solutions for generating more energy
The Food–Water–Energy Nexus
Coal – cheap, but California won’t buy it
Natural Gas – unsustainably low prices, competes for water
Nuclear – Mothballed reactors, competes for water
Hydro – aging dams, permitting, climate change, competes for water
Failing Infrastructure - future costs
Energy - Utilities face rising & deferred costs
Energy – Growers face rising, volatile retail prices
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 CAGR
Large Ag Pricing
% change vs YAGO
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
$/kWh
Forecast Large Ag
Pricing
$/kWh - optimistic
$/kWh -
pessimistic
Energy - Diesel: An Unnecessary Evil?
Characteristics
 Reliable, on-demand
 High fuel costs
 High NOx Emissions
Tips & Traps
 Ongoing fuel costs
 NOx
 Limit usage to on-peak
 Plan on changing!
Energy - Natural Gas Engines
Characteristics
 Reliable, on-demand
 Cheap fuel cost
 Accessibility
 NOx Emissions
Tips & Traps
? Nice work if you can get it
 Emissions regs
 Rising fuel costs
Electricity
Natural Gas
Diesel
Propane
Relative Irrigation
Fuel Costs
Energy - Solar PV is the Long Term Winner
Characteristics
 Sustainable, no fuel
 Low ownership costs
 Incentives, financing
 Large capital investment
 Not “power-dense”
Tips & Traps
• Finance & Policy are as
important as engineering
 Got Taxes?
 PACE
 Net Meter: Buy low, sell high
 Meter Aggregation: Got space!
• Net Metering – Permits you to “bank” and
utilize 100% of solar production and
investment. Benefits decline for projects
completed after 7/1/17
• Meter Aggregation – Permits system owner
to allocate solar energy to various loads on
existing or adjacent parcels… whether leased
or owned.
Energy – Policy Wins
2014
• Meter Aggregation Implemented
• Contract by June for 30% 2014 Tax Credit
• Include in Fiscal Year budget for 2015 completion
2015
• Contract by June for 30% 2015 Tax Credit
• Include in Fiscal Year budget for 2016 completion
2016
• Net Metering Cap risk – benefits may decline
• Tax Credits will decline by 20% on Dec 31
• Expect a Utility backlog for inspections & interconnections
2017
• Net Metering benefits will decline on July 1
Energy – Policy Window: Plan now
• Consistent & stable long-term return on Assets & Invested Capital.
o Equal or better than alternative investments
• Annual Income + LT capital appreciation
• Grow the balance sheet
• Manage risk
Goals for the Ag Enterprise
• Quality
• High production
• Lowest cost / unit of production
• Operational efficiencies
• Low debt service
• Branding & Marketing
What is Your Long-Term Competitive Advantage?
Current Scenario:
$3,500 / ac – Annual Net $ BT
Future Scenario:
o Almond Price: $2.10/lb
o Bees: + $100/ac
o Energy: + 50/ac
o Water: + 400/ac
Sensitivity Analysis
(changes in revenue – production costs – additional capital)
Double-Line PC Drip Micro-Jets
Limited Water: How do you select an emission device?
Manage moisture & fertilizers in root zone
Distribution Uniformity
Every plants gets the same amount of water & fertilizers
Irrigation System Distribution Uniformity (DU)
Tools for measuring soil moisture
Monitor crop growing conditions
System Design: Know what is inside the black PE tubing
System Design: Match up irrigation zones & soils
Water Quality & Treatment Program
Build in well capacity now……..
• Manage risks – protect the capital investment
• Measure every aspect of the enterprise & benchmark - Improve
• Achieve Operational efficiencies
• Solidify your LT competitive advantages
“Take Home” Messages
Tulare County PACE
• PACE, property assessed clean energy, was passed into law in California in 2008
and approved by Tulare County in the Fall of 2013
• Financing is in the form of a property assessment
• Provides 100% non-recourse term, (no personal or corporate guaranty)
financing
• Terms are for up to 20 years and fixed rates of interest
PACE Improvements
100% Financing for:
Water – Sprinklers, pumps, weather stations, software,
controls – any type of water conservation
technology
Renewable Energy – Solar, fuel cell, micro turbine
Tulare County PACE Description
Security: PACE is a tax assessment; payment is made with
the property taxes. There is no deed of trust or
UCC-1 filing.
Term: Up to 20 years
Rate: Rate depends on quality of property and the
ownership
Accounting Treatment: PACE is off-balance sheet financing.
Tulare County PACE Description
Recourse: PACE is non-recourse and looks only to the
value of the property. No guaranty
Sale or
Transfer: PACE transfers with the property. There is no
prepayment or approval of the buyer.
Underwriting: 80% LTV; 1.25x debt service coverage
Benefits – Tulare County PACE
• Property acquires capital improvements and reduces
operating expenses. (No cost to the owner - 100% financing)
• Increase in operating income and cash flow net of cost of
PACE
• PACE financing is non-recourse – no guaranty
• PACE is off balance sheet – Does not affect future
borrowing
• PACE transfers with the sale of the property. Owner only
pays for the improvements during ownership period.
Reduced Operating Expenses – Increase in Cash Flow
Tom Millhoff – Ag/Food Practice Leader, HelioPower
E: TMillhoff@HelioPower.com C: 775.830.0448
Twitter: @tmillhoff www.LinkedIn.com/in/FoodEnergy
Jeff Bradshaw – District Sales Manager, RainBird
E: JeffBradshaw@RainBird.com C: 559.593.9814
Jean Dunn – CEO, Structured Finance
E: LJDunn@strucfinance.com P: 760.304.4371
Thank You!

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Make it Rain - New Approaches to Water and Energy Independence

  • 1. Make it Rain! Courtesy of: New approaches to Water and Energy Independence
  • 2. • Energy • Water • PACE Financing • Q&A Overview
  • 3. • Food, Water & Energy security are inextricably linked o Two greatest users of freshwater are agriculture and power plants o We consume massive quantities of energy to deliver clean water o We consume massive quantities of water to generate energy o Rising energy prices are curtailing efforts to supply more clean water o Water restrictions are hampering solutions for generating more energy The Food–Water–Energy Nexus
  • 4. Coal – cheap, but California won’t buy it Natural Gas – unsustainably low prices, competes for water Nuclear – Mothballed reactors, competes for water Hydro – aging dams, permitting, climate change, competes for water Failing Infrastructure - future costs Energy - Utilities face rising & deferred costs
  • 5. Energy – Growers face rising, volatile retail prices -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 CAGR Large Ag Pricing % change vs YAGO $0.00 $0.10 $0.20 $0.30 $0.40 $0.50 $0.60 $0.70 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 $/kWh Forecast Large Ag Pricing $/kWh - optimistic $/kWh - pessimistic
  • 6. Energy - Diesel: An Unnecessary Evil? Characteristics  Reliable, on-demand  High fuel costs  High NOx Emissions Tips & Traps  Ongoing fuel costs  NOx  Limit usage to on-peak  Plan on changing!
  • 7. Energy - Natural Gas Engines Characteristics  Reliable, on-demand  Cheap fuel cost  Accessibility  NOx Emissions Tips & Traps ? Nice work if you can get it  Emissions regs  Rising fuel costs Electricity Natural Gas Diesel Propane Relative Irrigation Fuel Costs
  • 8. Energy - Solar PV is the Long Term Winner Characteristics  Sustainable, no fuel  Low ownership costs  Incentives, financing  Large capital investment  Not “power-dense” Tips & Traps • Finance & Policy are as important as engineering  Got Taxes?  PACE  Net Meter: Buy low, sell high  Meter Aggregation: Got space!
  • 9. • Net Metering – Permits you to “bank” and utilize 100% of solar production and investment. Benefits decline for projects completed after 7/1/17 • Meter Aggregation – Permits system owner to allocate solar energy to various loads on existing or adjacent parcels… whether leased or owned. Energy – Policy Wins
  • 10. 2014 • Meter Aggregation Implemented • Contract by June for 30% 2014 Tax Credit • Include in Fiscal Year budget for 2015 completion 2015 • Contract by June for 30% 2015 Tax Credit • Include in Fiscal Year budget for 2016 completion 2016 • Net Metering Cap risk – benefits may decline • Tax Credits will decline by 20% on Dec 31 • Expect a Utility backlog for inspections & interconnections 2017 • Net Metering benefits will decline on July 1 Energy – Policy Window: Plan now
  • 11. • Consistent & stable long-term return on Assets & Invested Capital. o Equal or better than alternative investments • Annual Income + LT capital appreciation • Grow the balance sheet • Manage risk Goals for the Ag Enterprise
  • 12. • Quality • High production • Lowest cost / unit of production • Operational efficiencies • Low debt service • Branding & Marketing What is Your Long-Term Competitive Advantage?
  • 13. Current Scenario: $3,500 / ac – Annual Net $ BT Future Scenario: o Almond Price: $2.10/lb o Bees: + $100/ac o Energy: + 50/ac o Water: + 400/ac Sensitivity Analysis (changes in revenue – production costs – additional capital)
  • 14. Double-Line PC Drip Micro-Jets Limited Water: How do you select an emission device?
  • 15. Manage moisture & fertilizers in root zone
  • 16. Distribution Uniformity Every plants gets the same amount of water & fertilizers
  • 18. Tools for measuring soil moisture
  • 19. Monitor crop growing conditions
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. System Design: Know what is inside the black PE tubing
  • 24. System Design: Match up irrigation zones & soils
  • 25. Water Quality & Treatment Program
  • 26. Build in well capacity now……..
  • 27. • Manage risks – protect the capital investment • Measure every aspect of the enterprise & benchmark - Improve • Achieve Operational efficiencies • Solidify your LT competitive advantages “Take Home” Messages
  • 28. Tulare County PACE • PACE, property assessed clean energy, was passed into law in California in 2008 and approved by Tulare County in the Fall of 2013 • Financing is in the form of a property assessment • Provides 100% non-recourse term, (no personal or corporate guaranty) financing • Terms are for up to 20 years and fixed rates of interest
  • 29. PACE Improvements 100% Financing for: Water – Sprinklers, pumps, weather stations, software, controls – any type of water conservation technology Renewable Energy – Solar, fuel cell, micro turbine
  • 30. Tulare County PACE Description Security: PACE is a tax assessment; payment is made with the property taxes. There is no deed of trust or UCC-1 filing. Term: Up to 20 years Rate: Rate depends on quality of property and the ownership Accounting Treatment: PACE is off-balance sheet financing.
  • 31. Tulare County PACE Description Recourse: PACE is non-recourse and looks only to the value of the property. No guaranty Sale or Transfer: PACE transfers with the property. There is no prepayment or approval of the buyer. Underwriting: 80% LTV; 1.25x debt service coverage
  • 32. Benefits – Tulare County PACE • Property acquires capital improvements and reduces operating expenses. (No cost to the owner - 100% financing) • Increase in operating income and cash flow net of cost of PACE • PACE financing is non-recourse – no guaranty • PACE is off balance sheet – Does not affect future borrowing • PACE transfers with the sale of the property. Owner only pays for the improvements during ownership period. Reduced Operating Expenses – Increase in Cash Flow
  • 33. Tom Millhoff – Ag/Food Practice Leader, HelioPower E: TMillhoff@HelioPower.com C: 775.830.0448 Twitter: @tmillhoff www.LinkedIn.com/in/FoodEnergy Jeff Bradshaw – District Sales Manager, RainBird E: JeffBradshaw@RainBird.com C: 559.593.9814 Jean Dunn – CEO, Structured Finance E: LJDunn@strucfinance.com P: 760.304.4371 Thank You!

Editor's Notes

  1. This template can be used as a starter file to give updates for project milestones.SectionsRight-click on a slide to add sections. Sections can help to organize your slides or facilitate collaboration between multiple authors.NotesUse the Notes section for delivery notes or to provide additional details for the audience. View these notes in Presentation View during your presentation. Keep in mind the font size (important for accessibility, visibility, videotaping, and online production)Coordinated colors Pay particular attention to the graphs, charts, and text boxes.Consider that attendees will print in black and white or grayscale. Run a test print to make sure your colors work when printed in pure black and white and grayscale.Graphics, tables, and graphsKeep it simple: If possible, use consistent, non-distracting styles and colors.Label all graphs and tables.
  2. What is the project about?Define the goal of this projectIs it similar to projects in the past or is it a new effort?Define the scope of this projectIs it an independent project or is it related to other projects?* Note that this slide is not necessary for weekly status meetings
  3. Ag consumes 80-85% of CA’s developed waterPrices pressures are coming: new water projects cost $250-$500/acre-footThermoelectric & Hydroelectric power generation competes for scarce water
  4. OK we’ve established that we’re all in the Energy business. So let’s drill deeper to find out why energy matters to Farm owners, managers, appraisers and financiers. Bad news first:Utilities face fuel price/supply unpredictability and rising costs=========== SOURCES ===============Graphic – US Dept of Interior – Bureau of Reclamation - http://www.usbr.gov/power/edu/hydrole.htmlNatGas - The Economist 3/2/13 - http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21572815-natural-gas-prices-are-sure-riseeventually-bonanza-or-bane “Most gas wells require $4 or more to cover costs”Hydro - U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Water Resources California DWR - http://www.water.ca.gov/climatechange/docs/ClimateChangeWhitePaper.pdfNuclear – “Aging and expensive, reactors face mothballs” NYTimes 10/12/12(SCE announced on June 7, 2013 that it would "permanently retire" SONGS Unit 2 and Unit 3);Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant 2011Infrastructure – “CPUC recommends $2.25 billion fine for San Bruno” LA Times May 6 - http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-san-bruno-explosion-20130506,0,1062469.story
  5. (More bad news)… so retail energy prices are volatile & rising- Since 2006 PG&E pricing for large agricultural electrical services has been rising erratically at a 5% CAGR. - If the trend continues retail electricity prices will exceed $.50/kWh in 20 years… for those who have not developed alternatives sources.=========== SOURCES ===============PG&E - http://www.pge.com/tariffs/electric.shtml#LARGEAG
  6. Many of you probably converted irrigation pumps to diesel back in the 90’s when it was $1/gal… now that it’s $4/gal NatGas is looking attractive. But both solutions make you dependent on expensive feedstocks and are subject to emissions regulations. - You should consider moving off DieselNatGas may not be your best alternative… high ongoing fuel costsGrid or Solar+Grid… or soon even Solar + Battery can deliver much lower lifetime costsNOx is a generic term for mono-nitrogen oxides NO and NO2 (nitric oxide and nitrogen dioxide)Sources: http://heliopower.com/food-agriculture/diesel-solar-conversion-irrigation/
  7. Let’s take a closer look at NatGas in the context of irrigationtui========= SOURCES ===========http://heliopower.com/food-agriculture/diesel-solar-conversion-irrigation/KSU Irrigation Energy Costs.xls -----A spreadsheet program to compare the costs of irrigation energy options.Version -- 11.08.05Key assumptions:-INPUT------        Acres1 Electric:0.080$/kWh90% NPPPCInches Applied1 Nat. Gas:6.00$/mcf90% NPPPCFeet Lift300 Diesel:1.10$/gal90% NPPPCPSI Pressure20 Propane:0.90$/gal90% NPPPC-OUTPUT-----EnergyEnergy Energy ----- Cost as percent of: ----- Source Cost ($)Use  Elec.Nat. GasDieselPropaneElectricity3.9850kWh100%93%103%69%Natural Gas4.281mcf108%100%111%74%Diesel3.874gal97%90%100%67% Propane 5.756gal145%134%148%100%
  8. TRANSITION – RENEWABLES. Main advantage is zero feedstock costs… sustainability. Source: http://www.nrel.gov/gis/images/eere_pv/national_photovoltaic_2012-01.jpg See also http://maps.nrel.gov/prospector
  9. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
  10. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
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  13. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
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  15. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
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  18. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
  19. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
  20. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
  21. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
  22. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
  23. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
  24. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.
  25. * If any of these issues caused a schedule delay or need to be discussed further, include details in next slide.