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CROWDONOMIC MEDIA
1
Securities CF Impact on Traditional Finance and
Regulatory Regimes
Short Intro: Perspectives from the Front Line
2
@Crowdonomic; @Leo_Shimada
www.crowdonomic.com /
crowdonomic.vc
• Crowdonomic
• Fin-Tech = CF + Investment and Technology Professionals
• Multiple Regulator Engagement to help Shape Competitive Policy
• Singapore Home Grown; Active throughout ASEAN
• Largest in SE. Asia; Longest Running in SG
• Mission: Connect Region’s Best Growth Co’s w. Global Capital
Highlights: Asia Trends and Trajectory
3
• CF Journey: From Novelty to Financing
• Potential: Disrupting “Fundraising” to “Financial Services”
• Asia = CF Power House; China = Scale; SE. Asia = Growth
• CF & Traditional FI Relationships: From Amusement to Courtships
• Regulations at an Turning Point; Grey Operators Clamp Downs
• Securities CF on Accelerated Trajectory; Outpace Reward/ Donation CF
Global (1): Wall Street Under Siege from New Type of
Competitors
4
“There are hundreds
of startups with a lot
of brains and money
working on various
alternatives to
traditional banking”
Dimon Sees Threat
From Silicon Valley
Source: The Wall Street Journal
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan
Global (2): Fin-Tech Players are Unbundling
Traditional Financial Institutions
5
Source: CB Insights
In Asia: The Banking Snr Management – Changing
Competitive Mind-Set
6
Source: Crowdonomic Discussions
Private Internet Banks
Securities Crowdfunding
P2P / Debt Crowdfunding
On a Market Capitalization-basis, CF Global Leaders
Would Already be a Top 10 ASEAN Bank
7
Source: Bloomberg; Press Releases
13
10
Market Capitalization Comparison
Bn SGD; As of April 22nd, 2015
52
43
39
> Quarter of
top SG
Banks
38
29
> Third of top
IND Banks
33
20
> Half of top
MY Banks
15 13
Comparable
to top ASEAN
Starting to Have Real Business Impact Today
8
Source: Press Release
Loans to US companies
buying goods from
Chinese suppliers
Same service – Lowest
rate less than half of
BoC rates
On the Way - Asia CF Power House; China Dominates
in Scale; SE. Asia the Breakout Region in Growth
9
China
East Asia & Pacfic
S.Asia
Europe & Central Asia
Latin AM / CRBN
MENA
Africa
Low High
114
122
58 (51%)
64 (52%)
9 (8%) 10 (8%)
6 (5%) 6 (5%)
17 (15%) 17 (14%)
14 (12%) 14 (11%)
7 (6%) 7 (6%)
3 (2%) 3 (3%)
Crowdfunding annual transaction value –
Intermediate term
Billion; Singapore Dollars
c
CF Currently Targets the Startup / MSME Sector –
High Potential Segment for Banks
10
130 to 160 mn
MSMEs
Up to 67% feel they
are un(der) served
Banking revenue
potential ~310bn SGD
Note: NOT Adverse Selection
Source: IFC MSME Databse 2011
+20% Compound
Annual Growth Rate
c
11
Cross-sell / Upsell banking services
Extend Coverage to Un(der) Banked MSME/ Startup Sector
Offer innovative financing product to M/SME clients
Differentiated offering to private and priority banking
Monetization through ancillary services
Diverse Commercial Advantages to FIs to Participate
in CF Focus Segments
And Opportunity to Participate in Attractive Asset
Class through Equity Participation
12
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
USD Cumulative Loans Issued by Lending Club (LC)
10.3 mn
USD
$1.3m/ 214
loans
$24.8m/
2,996
loans
$76.6m/
8,277
loans
$202.9m/
20,814
loans
$460.3m/
42,535
loans
$1,178.2m/
95,902
loans
$3,242.9m/
240,321
loans
$6,205.4m/
477,320
loans
Investment timing / environment
LC as a mobile app (pre-
platform strategy
implementation)
Pre-Regulatory Quiet
Period during 2008 Q2/Q3
Before LC reaching pure
inflection point
Cumulative
issued loan $
and volume
Price per Share
$0.15 @
Series A
$15 @ IPO
pricing
$23 @ 1st day
closing
Est. return @
IPO of x55
13
FI Direct Participation – Too “Change Averse”;
Differentiated Business Model; Culture; Economics
Technology
Decision Making
Products
Infrastructure
Mindset
Regulations
Traditional Finance
Complex
Heavy (Deposits)
Legacy
Complex / Political
Monolithic / Physical
Risk / Long Term
S. Crowdfunding / Fintech
Simple
Fit-for-Purpose
2.0 / Core
Data / Market Driven
Virtual / Mobile / Lean
Innovative / Speed
Source: BBVA Research; Crowdonomic Discussions
Key players in Wallstreet, Highstreet, Mainstreet, SV
quick to embrace this CF thru Partnerships
14
Referral
Sourcing /
Distribution
Direct
Investments
Equity
Investments
into CFPs
Not Exhaustive
Co-
Investments
15
Regulation will Play a Key Part - All major markets now
at various stages of implementing CF legislation
Countries in Asia debating Equity CF
regulatory frameworks New Zealand Live Apr. 2014 – Equity / Debt CF
Malaysia Target Q2/Q3 2015 – Equity CF
Japan Target mid-2015 – Equity CF
India Proposal review – PCP* ended
Australia Proposal review – CAMAC
Singapore Public Consultation Paper shared
China Public Consultation Paper shared
Hong Kong Committee set up
Thailand SEC Public Consultation Paper
released in December 2014
Source: Crowdonomic Analysis; Competitive Intelligence; Literature search
* PCP: Public Consultation Process
16
Leading Markets with Multi-Year Track Records and
Credible Industry Players
2014
FCA Introduces
CF rules
2007
>8bn SGD to date
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
JOBS Act
signed into Law
by Obama
SEC
implements Title
II (Mass mktg)
Title I, V, VI
Effective
Immediately
SEC proposals
issued for Title
III, IV
SEC potential
Implementation
for Title III, IV
2010
>130mn SGD in
Funding (2014)
20132012
>70mn SGD in
Funding (2014)
2010 FSA Authorized
> 1bn SGD to date
2009
17
Competitive and Innovative Policies
Issuers
Investors
Offers
Operator Role
Advertisements
Corporation Only
AI / HNWIs Only
1 mn USD Primary Only
Neutral Marketplace
Within Website only
VC Funds
Inclusive w/Protective
Measures
Uncapped + Secondary
Investor / Fund Mgr
Via Social Media
18
Regulatory Impact on Industry
• Formation of Loose Alliances between Conventional Fis and Fin-Tech
• Near in – ‘Crowd’ed Space; Multiple Announcements; Little Substance
• Beginning of the End of Loopholes / Exceptions
• Long term trajectory – New type of Financial Sector
• Regulation – ‘First Steps’ for Competitive Policy
• Medium term – Fin / Tech Deficit leads to Mass purge / Consolidation
19
Thank You + Questions

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Securities Crowdfunding - Impact on Traditional Finance & Regulatory Regimes

  • 1. CROWDONOMIC MEDIA 1 Securities CF Impact on Traditional Finance and Regulatory Regimes
  • 2. Short Intro: Perspectives from the Front Line 2 @Crowdonomic; @Leo_Shimada www.crowdonomic.com / crowdonomic.vc • Crowdonomic • Fin-Tech = CF + Investment and Technology Professionals • Multiple Regulator Engagement to help Shape Competitive Policy • Singapore Home Grown; Active throughout ASEAN • Largest in SE. Asia; Longest Running in SG • Mission: Connect Region’s Best Growth Co’s w. Global Capital
  • 3. Highlights: Asia Trends and Trajectory 3 • CF Journey: From Novelty to Financing • Potential: Disrupting “Fundraising” to “Financial Services” • Asia = CF Power House; China = Scale; SE. Asia = Growth • CF & Traditional FI Relationships: From Amusement to Courtships • Regulations at an Turning Point; Grey Operators Clamp Downs • Securities CF on Accelerated Trajectory; Outpace Reward/ Donation CF
  • 4. Global (1): Wall Street Under Siege from New Type of Competitors 4 “There are hundreds of startups with a lot of brains and money working on various alternatives to traditional banking” Dimon Sees Threat From Silicon Valley Source: The Wall Street Journal Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan
  • 5. Global (2): Fin-Tech Players are Unbundling Traditional Financial Institutions 5 Source: CB Insights
  • 6. In Asia: The Banking Snr Management – Changing Competitive Mind-Set 6 Source: Crowdonomic Discussions Private Internet Banks Securities Crowdfunding P2P / Debt Crowdfunding
  • 7. On a Market Capitalization-basis, CF Global Leaders Would Already be a Top 10 ASEAN Bank 7 Source: Bloomberg; Press Releases 13 10 Market Capitalization Comparison Bn SGD; As of April 22nd, 2015 52 43 39 > Quarter of top SG Banks 38 29 > Third of top IND Banks 33 20 > Half of top MY Banks 15 13 Comparable to top ASEAN
  • 8. Starting to Have Real Business Impact Today 8 Source: Press Release Loans to US companies buying goods from Chinese suppliers Same service – Lowest rate less than half of BoC rates
  • 9. On the Way - Asia CF Power House; China Dominates in Scale; SE. Asia the Breakout Region in Growth 9 China East Asia & Pacfic S.Asia Europe & Central Asia Latin AM / CRBN MENA Africa Low High 114 122 58 (51%) 64 (52%) 9 (8%) 10 (8%) 6 (5%) 6 (5%) 17 (15%) 17 (14%) 14 (12%) 14 (11%) 7 (6%) 7 (6%) 3 (2%) 3 (3%) Crowdfunding annual transaction value – Intermediate term Billion; Singapore Dollars
  • 10. c CF Currently Targets the Startup / MSME Sector – High Potential Segment for Banks 10 130 to 160 mn MSMEs Up to 67% feel they are un(der) served Banking revenue potential ~310bn SGD Note: NOT Adverse Selection Source: IFC MSME Databse 2011 +20% Compound Annual Growth Rate c
  • 11. 11 Cross-sell / Upsell banking services Extend Coverage to Un(der) Banked MSME/ Startup Sector Offer innovative financing product to M/SME clients Differentiated offering to private and priority banking Monetization through ancillary services Diverse Commercial Advantages to FIs to Participate in CF Focus Segments
  • 12. And Opportunity to Participate in Attractive Asset Class through Equity Participation 12 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 USD Cumulative Loans Issued by Lending Club (LC) 10.3 mn USD $1.3m/ 214 loans $24.8m/ 2,996 loans $76.6m/ 8,277 loans $202.9m/ 20,814 loans $460.3m/ 42,535 loans $1,178.2m/ 95,902 loans $3,242.9m/ 240,321 loans $6,205.4m/ 477,320 loans Investment timing / environment LC as a mobile app (pre- platform strategy implementation) Pre-Regulatory Quiet Period during 2008 Q2/Q3 Before LC reaching pure inflection point Cumulative issued loan $ and volume Price per Share $0.15 @ Series A $15 @ IPO pricing $23 @ 1st day closing Est. return @ IPO of x55
  • 13. 13 FI Direct Participation – Too “Change Averse”; Differentiated Business Model; Culture; Economics Technology Decision Making Products Infrastructure Mindset Regulations Traditional Finance Complex Heavy (Deposits) Legacy Complex / Political Monolithic / Physical Risk / Long Term S. Crowdfunding / Fintech Simple Fit-for-Purpose 2.0 / Core Data / Market Driven Virtual / Mobile / Lean Innovative / Speed Source: BBVA Research; Crowdonomic Discussions
  • 14. Key players in Wallstreet, Highstreet, Mainstreet, SV quick to embrace this CF thru Partnerships 14 Referral Sourcing / Distribution Direct Investments Equity Investments into CFPs Not Exhaustive Co- Investments
  • 15. 15 Regulation will Play a Key Part - All major markets now at various stages of implementing CF legislation Countries in Asia debating Equity CF regulatory frameworks New Zealand Live Apr. 2014 – Equity / Debt CF Malaysia Target Q2/Q3 2015 – Equity CF Japan Target mid-2015 – Equity CF India Proposal review – PCP* ended Australia Proposal review – CAMAC Singapore Public Consultation Paper shared China Public Consultation Paper shared Hong Kong Committee set up Thailand SEC Public Consultation Paper released in December 2014 Source: Crowdonomic Analysis; Competitive Intelligence; Literature search * PCP: Public Consultation Process
  • 16. 16 Leading Markets with Multi-Year Track Records and Credible Industry Players 2014 FCA Introduces CF rules 2007 >8bn SGD to date 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 JOBS Act signed into Law by Obama SEC implements Title II (Mass mktg) Title I, V, VI Effective Immediately SEC proposals issued for Title III, IV SEC potential Implementation for Title III, IV 2010 >130mn SGD in Funding (2014) 20132012 >70mn SGD in Funding (2014) 2010 FSA Authorized > 1bn SGD to date 2009
  • 17. 17 Competitive and Innovative Policies Issuers Investors Offers Operator Role Advertisements Corporation Only AI / HNWIs Only 1 mn USD Primary Only Neutral Marketplace Within Website only VC Funds Inclusive w/Protective Measures Uncapped + Secondary Investor / Fund Mgr Via Social Media
  • 18. 18 Regulatory Impact on Industry • Formation of Loose Alliances between Conventional Fis and Fin-Tech • Near in – ‘Crowd’ed Space; Multiple Announcements; Little Substance • Beginning of the End of Loopholes / Exceptions • Long term trajectory – New type of Financial Sector • Regulation – ‘First Steps’ for Competitive Policy • Medium term – Fin / Tech Deficit leads to Mass purge / Consolidation
  • 19. 19 Thank You + Questions

Editor's Notes

  1. Title I Reopening Capital Markets to Emerging Growth Companies Title II General Solicitation to Ais Title III Crowdfunding (Retail) Title IV Small Company Capital Formation (50 mn USD) Title V Raise Shareholder Cap